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Fibonacci

GOLD potential Reversal Structure in SightGold has completed a 5-wave impulsive structure and is currently trading within the supply zone around its all-time high ($3,500). Price action suggests exhaustion, and unless a new ATH is formed, a macro correction is likely to begin soon. Key levels to monitor remain the Immediate Demand Zone $2,750 – $2,900 and this may offer short-term support with Main Demand Zone (Strong Buyback Area) $2,530 a critical level for potential re-accumulation and long-term re-entry. Moreover, the invalidation occur when Bullish bias resumes only if price breaks and closes above $3,500. Break of the ascending trendline will confirm a deeper corrective leg, likely toward the main demand. This structure offers a clear medium to long term roadmap watch for confirmation before positioning.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by weslad
3
AERO: Coming in to Refuel… or Crash Land!? AERO: Coming in to Refuel… or Crash Land!? 📅 Date: May 23, 2025 🧠 Framework: Elliott Wave with Fibonacci structure 🔍 Context: 4H timeframe 🔁 Recap of the Move AERO rallied off the 0.3465–0.3475 double bottom in what appears to be a clean 5-wave impulsive sequence. The price action respected both structural and Fibonacci guidelines: Wave 2 and Wave 4 both pulled back to 0.5 retracements. Wave 3 extended and subdivided with strong momentum, a common characteristic Wave 5 completed between 0.5 and 0.618 of Wave 3 from the Wave 4 low — a textbook termination zone Subdivisions within Wave 5 were also visible, including a smaller internal Wave 3 and 5, reinforcing the case for a completed motive wave. ⚠️ Current Price Behavior Post-impulse, the market is showing signs of correction. This pullback could mark the beginning of a deeper retracement, or it may be the early stages of a new larger-degree impulse if the uptrend continues. 📏 Levels to Watch Retracement zone: 0.54–0.49 (50–61.8% of the full move) Upside resumption: Requires a strong bounce from the retrace zone and break of the Wave 5 high 🔮 Outlook Two scenarios remain on the table: Bullish: This is a Wave 2 retracement in a larger degree move. If support holds, a strong Wave 3 may follow. Bearish/Neutral: The 5-wave or 3-wave structure is fully complete, and a deeper correction could be in play. Confirmation will come through structure, not assumption. Keep watching how price behaves around the key retrace levels. 📣 Trade safe, trade clarity. More updates coming as structure evolves.
COINBASE:AEROUSDLong
by CryptoKnee
2
Smells Like a Trend ReversalWeekly Recap – Gold Market Monday, May 12, 2025 The week began with a sharp GAP during the Asian session (starting around 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York on Sunday) : Gold dropped abruptly by $60, from $3,325 to $3,266. The catalyst was a temporary easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China, following weekend negotiations that led to a 90-day tariff pause. During the European session (starting at 8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , the downtrend continued, pushing the price further down to $3,207. Tuesday–Wednesday, May 13–14 Between these two sessions, the price consolidated within a narrow range of $3,265 to $3,202 (63 $ range). Despite better-than-expected U.S. inflation data, there was no significant breakout—the market remained indecisive. Wednesday, May 14 – European Session The price continued its descent, falling from $3,243 to $3,168—a $75 drop—indicating persistent downward pressure despite macroeconomic stability. Thursday, May 15 The Asian session (1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York) began quietly, with a range between $3,168 and $3,192. Then a sharp drop to $3,123 followed (down $71), triggered by new statements from President Trump, who announced potential trade deals with India, Japan, and South Korea. In the European session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , a strong reversal occurred. After failed peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul, and due to growing geopolitical uncertainty plus a weakening dollar, gold surged by $132, from $3,120 to $3,252. Friday, May 16 The Asian session opened slightly bearish, with gold dipping from $3,252 to $3,218. However, bullish momentum returned during the European and U.S. sessions, continuing Thursday’s upward trend and adding $51 by day’s end. 📰 Geopolitical News Landscape India / Pakistan Since the Kashmir terror attack on May 9, 2025, tensions have escalated again. Cross-border airstrikes and border closures have resumed. A fragile ceasefire, brokered by the U.S., is under pressure. Disputes over water rights further strain relations. ➡️ Short-term outlook: high tension remains. Gaza Conflict On May 9, Israel launched Operation Gideon’s Chariot against Hamas, aiming to dismantle the group and rescue hostages. Over 300 deaths have been reported. A leaked plan suggests Gaza will be divided into three heavily controlled zones. The humanitarian situation is catastrophic (over 53,000 deaths since 2023). Peace talks are underway in Doha, but the situation remains dire. ➡️ No relief in sight. Russia / Ukraine Direct talks were held in Istanbul for the first time in three years. While a prisoner exchange (1,000 each side) took place, no substantial progress was achieved. Russia demands Ukrainian troop withdrawals from contested areas—Kyiv refuses. Simultaneously, Russian attacks intensified, including drone strikes on Sumy. ➡️ A ceasefire remains unlikely in the near term. U.S.–China Trade War A 90-day tariff pause was announced the weekend before May 12: U.S. tariffs cut from 145% to 30% Chinese tariffs reduced from 125% to 10% Markets reacted positively at first—especially in retail and shipping sectors. ➡️ However, unresolved structural issues (e.g., tech transfers, export controls) keep tensions fragile. No comprehensive deal is in sight. ⚖️ Trump vs. Powell Tensions escalate between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell: - Trump demands aggressive rate cuts - Powell warns of inflation risks - The Fed holds the interest rate steady at 4.25–4.5% - A 10% staff reduction is planned at the Fed for “efficiency” ➡️ The growing political interference is increasing market instability. 📉 U.S. Inflation – April 2025 The official inflation rate dropped to 2.3%, the lowest since February 2021. However, consumer inflation expectations soared to 7.3%, the highest since 1981. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.8—a historic low. ➡️ A clear gap between perception and data is emerging. 📊 Technical Analysis – Short-Term Since May 12, an open GAP exists between $3,289 and $3,325 (36 $ range) A V-shaped reversal formed from the low on May 15 ($3,120) to the Friday close ($3,204) Symmetrical triangle formation suggests a convergence around $3,284 (possible by Tuesday) ➡️ Current trading range: $3,172 to $3,285 (113 $ range) 💡 Outlook for Monday, May 19 Time-Zone-Based Expectations: Asia session (starting 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York Sunday): 👉 Potential retest of $3,154 Europe session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York): 👉 Bullish outlook toward $3,234 U.S. session (2:30 PM London / 9:30 AM New York): 👉 Possible continuation of bullish move — open-ended potential 📌 Trade Setup – Monday 8:00 AM (London) / 3:00 AM (New York) If price is below $3,154 → I stay flat and wait for clear signals If price is above $3,172 → I consider a long position, unless conflicting news emerges 🎯 Weekly Target My goal for the week is $3,348, provided the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) holds near the 100-point level. 🧠 Conclusion I am increasingly convinced that news-driven trading delivers the best results—if one can properly interpret the signals. 🔢 Fibonacci Levels 1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,500 (April 22) Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5 1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,435 (May 6) Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5 1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,252 (May 16) Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
1
MooDENG price analysis😭 How “fun” you can live trading memecoins!) First, -97% dump, and then +1600% if from the absolute bottom, or +800% of a rapid pumping) And with all this, the capitalization of #MOODENG is only $275 million, and at the maximum it was around $600 million. 🕯 Moreover, on the OKX:MOODENGUSDT chart, they “draw” as if they want to give another upward momentum. Here's the question: to $0.40 or $0.70? ❗️ But this is an idea for spot holders!!! Because as you can see on the chart, a -50% correction "It's not a big deal" at all, and it can liquidate longs even with x2 leverage. _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
1
KDA - to the moon?Huge upside potential @ 4,600% to ATH (ignoring the "random" wick May 2021) vs -80% to ATH Next leg down would be: $0.24 (also the 786 fibbonachi) Followed by the ATL @ $0.126 I think anything between current price - ATL is a good spot buy. TP1 @ $28.00 TP2 @ $81.00 It would be interesting to see if the "random" wick is actually forecasting the end price for Kadena - it's worth a try 🤷‍♂️ ride price in the latter part of Q4 and see what happens. 2 x attempts to break out of downtrend. Bullish div on weekly RSI
CRYPTO:KDAUSDLong
by Strength_in_numbers
ETH — Bull Flag or Trap? Trade Plan with TargetsETH is setting the stage for its next major move — and the chart is packed with clues. After completing Wave 3 at $2738.50, ETH has entered a corrective phase, forming what looks like a bullish flag. But beneath the surface, smart money levels are aligning: VWAP, Fibs, key levels, and liquidity traps are all converging around one high-probability zone. This analysis breaks down both the long and short setups, backed by real confluence and clean R:R opportunities. Whether you’re planning to snipe the reversal near support or fade the rally at resistance, you’ll walk away with a clear trade plan and deeper insight into how price reacts at precision levels. Let’s get into it. 🟢 Bullish Scenario: Long Setup with Deep Confluence After a fakeout pump into the golden pocket of this minor downtrend (typical for a Sunday), ETH rejected cleanly at the upper resistance of the bull flag channel. We're now watching for the swing low at $2406.63 to be swept, setting up a potential SFP (Swing Failure Pattern) at a highly confluent support zone: 🔍 Confluence at the $2390–$2360 Zone: Anchored VWAP from the Wave 3 origin at $1752 is sitting at $2390 Trend-Based Fib Extension 1:1 of the correction lands at $2386.84 Liquidity pool just under the recent swing low 0.382 Fib retracement of the entire Wave 3 at $2361.66 0.618 Fib Speed Resistance Fan intersects this zone Lower bull flag support line also aligns This makes the $2390–$2362 zone a high-probability bounce area. 📌 Plan: Laddered long entries between $2390–$2362, watching closely for a clean SFP or reversal signal. Target 1: $3000 psychological level Target 2: 0.618 Fib retracement at $3067.71 (potential Wave 5 top) Stop-loss: Below previous yearly open (can be tightened after confirmation) R:R: 1:5 or better after SL adjustment 🔴 Bearish Scenario: Short Setup at Key Rejection Zone If ETH makes a move up to complete the 5th wave, we monitor $3067.71 — the 0.618 retracement of the entire corrective leg — as a key resistance. If price rejects here with momentum loss or bearish structure: 📌 Plan: Short on confirmed rejection of $3067.71 Stop-loss: Above $3211 (above 0.666 Fib) Target: Previous high near $2700 or lower R:R: 1:2 or better depending on entry and structure 🧠 Educational Insight: Why Confluence Increases Probability Many traders chase setups based on single indicators. Real edge comes from stacking independent tools: VWAPs, Fibs, FVGs etc... When they align, the setup isn’t random — it’s high conviction. This strategy gives you a framework to anticipate where price is likely to move and why, rather than reacting emotionally. Patience and preparation will always outperform panic and reaction. Trade the plan — not the impulse. ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
20
HBAR Masterclass: Fib Precision + ConfluenceHBAR has been a dream to chart lately — beautifully technical, clean reactions, and a strong respect for structure. When a chart follows fibs this precisely, charting becomes fun — like solving a puzzle that pays. You stop forcing trades and start enjoying the process. Let’s break down where the next high-probability trade setup lies — and why. Elliott Wave Context HBAR recently completed a 5-wave impulse structure and is now unfolding a ABC correction: ✅ Wave A: Broke below Wave 4's low ✅ Wave B: Rejected cleanly at the 0.618 retracement of Wave A 🔄 Wave C: Currently unfolding, with price structure hinting at a Head & Shoulders forming to the downside Interestingly, HBAR has been bouncing between golden ratios like a Fibonacci pinball machine. — reinforcing how well this asset respects technical structure. 🟢 Long Opportunity: The Golden Pocket Zone By pulling Fibonacci retracement from the entire 5-wave leg (from $0.16941 to $0.22885), we uncover the golden pocket: 0.618 Fib → $0.19212 0.666 Fib → $0.18926 But what really strengthens this zone is the confluence: 📍 21-Day EMA → $0.19361 📍 21-Day SMA → $0.19229 📍 Anchored VWAP from the $0.15396 low → ~$0.19135 📍 4/1 Gann Fan support (if reached between May 15–17) Together, they form a tight support band between: 🎯 $0.195 – $0.18926 📐 How We Projected the 1.618 Target Here’s where the magic of planning comes in. If Wave C finishes within this golden pocket, we can anticipate the next move by applying a trend-based Fibonacci extension. This gives us a realistic projection for the next impulsive move: 📈 1.618 extension lands at → $0.28654 This level also aligns with the yearly level and previous key high — forming an ideal final target 📘 Educational Insight: Why Golden Pockets Matter In trading, the “golden pocket” — the 0.618-0.666 Fibonacci retracement zone — is often where high-probability reversals take place. It’s a zone where buyers (or sellers) return with conviction after a correction. When this area also aligns with EMAs, anchored VWAPs, Gann levels etc. and previous structure, it becomes more than just a level — it becomes a decision zone. This is where confluence transforms a trade idea into a trade setup. 🟢 Long Trade Setup: Entry: Laddered between $0.195 – $0.18926 Stop-Loss: Below $0.185 Take-Profit: $0.28654 R:R: ~10:1 Potential Gain: ~+50% 🔴 Short Setup (If Rejected at Extension): If price hits $0.28654 and shows exhaustion or bearish reversal patterns (SFP, engulfing candle, volume spike), a short could be considered: Entry: ~$0.286 Stop-Loss: $0.2967 (better above $0.3) Target: $0.2622 R:R: ~2:1 HBAR is giving us a textbook case of structure, rhythm, and precision. Whether it’s the golden pocket, the 1.618 extension, or the alignment of multiple tools — this is how clean setups are built. Set your alerts. Trust the plan. Let the chart come to you. In trading, silence is a skill — knowing when not to act is as powerful as knowing when to strike. ____________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
37