Fibonacci
US Equities Fall Amid Inflationary Pressures and Trade TensionsUS equities closed the week with significant losses, reversing the gains recorded during the previous week. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropped more than 1%, reflecting a clear deterioration in market sentiment amid multiple adverse factors.
The bearish session unfolded in an environment dominated by worrying signs of inflationary pressures, particularly the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, a key gauge followed by the Federal Reserve (FED). The core PCE posted a monthly increase of 0.4%, the largest gain since January 2024, exceeding market expectations. On an annual basis, this measure accelerated to a concerning 2.8%, signaling persistent inflationary pressure that could complicate future monetary policy decisions by the FED.
At the same time, soft data has continued to deteriorate significantly, adding uncertainty regarding the resilience of hard data. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index fell to 57, its lowest level since November 2022, due to negative expectations regarding personal finances, unemployment, and inflation. In fact, two-thirds of consumers anticipate a rise in the unemployment rate, reflecting a level of concern not seen since the 2009 financial crisis.
Much of this uncertainty has been fueled by recent policies implemented by the Trump administration, particularly government spending cuts and aggressive trade policies. The latest move came with the announcement of 25% tariffs on imported cars and auto parts, effective April 3. This measure triggered an immediate negative reaction in both local and international markets, anticipating higher costs for US consumers and potential trade retaliation from key partners such as the European Union, Canada, China, Japan, and South Korea.
At the sector level, discretionary consumer goods were the most affected on Friday, while utilities showed relative resilience. This uneven performance supports the case for a defensive market, reflecting a growing risk aversion among investors.
The combination of inflationary pressures, economic slowdown, and rising trade tensions creates a challenging environment for equities. Overall, current conditions point toward a concerning scenario with signs of stagflation: low economic growth coupled with persistent inflation and a rapidly deteriorating economic sentiment.
In conclusion, it will be key to closely monitor the evolution of hard economic data as well as the international response to US trade policies. The big question in the coming months is whether the current fragility in economic sentiment will ultimately translate into hard economic indicators, decisively impacting equities.
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Market Neutral: Nasdaq, S&P500, Nikkei225, Hang SengThe equity indices has fallen to our target and we are seeing 5-wave completions. So I think it is a good time to reduce your shorts and move from a short to a more neutral stance. The current price is also a good support for the indices.
Remember that there is a weekend risk here also.
Good luck!
NIFTY50.....The stage has been set!Hello Traders,
on Monday and Tuesday the NIFTY50 has reached higher price levels, up to 23869.60! This was the peak for this wave.
Since, the NIFTY50 is in a corrective mode and set a new multi-days low @ 23412.10! This could be a wave "w" of a w-x-y correction. Possibly it can morph into a triple correction!
Anyway!
If N50 escape above the level of 23649.20 on a hourly basis at minimum, the door could be open to the latest ATH @ 23869.60! In this case, chance has been given for a flat-correction.
A break of the 23462 on an hourly basis instead means, the door is open to lower price in the coming days ahead!
A possible target area is around the 23289 to 23196 levels! More bearish potential exist!
It doesn't matter what the US government will do, it doesn't matter what others do! The playbook has been written, and the stage has been set!
In which direction? Markets will give the answer.
Have a great weekend.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
APPLE: Fibonacci Fractal Mapping IApple Inc has some complex cycles which we're about to breakdown to composite phases via fibonacci ratios.
REGULARITIES
Continuous Fractal
Since start 00's, bearish trends in Apple have notably shrunk in percentage terms, painting the past two decades as a period of ever growing optimism. Many long-term cycles remain incomplete for an extended time amplifying the opposing force.
A linear extensions through local tops can serve a future support level.
A parallel line of that same angle carries the same deterministic properties.
This unlocks use of Fibonacci channels to further analyze the structure factoring in specific side tilt.
Continuous Fractal Type - forces alternative approach in interconnecting critical points
Fibonacci Fractal Mapping
Fractal Hierarchy
IGL SWING TRADE 📊 Price Action & Trend Analysis
Analyzing market trends using price action, key support/resistance levels, and candlestick patterns to identify high-probability trade setups.
Always follow the trend and manage risk wisely!
Price Action Analysis Interprets Market Movements Using Patterns And Trends On Price Charts.
👉👉👉Follow us for Live Market Views/Trades/Analysis/News Updates.
LTC/USDT: at important resistance Until the price closes below 100, the current trend structure suggests a one more leg down toward the 76–70 macro support zone.
However, if the price successfully clears the 100 resistance level - rising and closing above it with strong volume - the odds will shift in favor of a correction ending and the potential start of a new uptrend toward the 210–270 macro resistance zone.
Macro-structure:
Thank you for your attention!
ADAUSDT from 0.50$ support heavy pump will lead ---> +200%As we can see price is now near strong support of 0.65$ and soon it can break to the downside and we are looking for more fall and correction to the 0.50$ support zone and after that start of next bull market and new high here for ADAUSDT.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
EURUSD 1.06 is now strong enough to pump it to 1.11As we can see strong supports are now ahead after this pump and soon we are looking for pump and rise once again here and this time our first target is near red trendline resistance also major Fibonacci level like 0.5 and 0.61 can hold price from falling and start this pump.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
NZDUSD → Consolidation within the correctionFX:NZDUSD is forming a local correction on the background of the uptrend. The dollar has been consolidating and strengthening for the last week, which generally creates pressure on the forex market
NZDUSD after a false break of the trend resistance, which also coincided with the stopping of the strong decline of the dollar, entered the correction phase. Locally, it is a downtrend, followed by consolidation, which in general forms a flag - a figure of continuation of the movement.
The chart reveals strong levels that can be paid attention to. The dollar may continue its growth due to the US policy, which generally has a negative impact on the market.
The price exit from the current consolidation may be accompanied by a strong impulse. Emphasis on 0.575 - 0.571.
Resistance levels: 0.57426, 0.57674
Support levels: 0.571, 0.5684
After stopping at 0.571, the price is not pulling back, but forming consolidation on the background of the local downtrend. Most likely a big player lures the crowd to get to the imbalance zone or trend support at their expense.
Regards R. Linda!
Britannia: FMCG Bounce in Play?🚀 Britannia: FMCG Bounce in Play? 🚀
📉 Current Market Price (CMP): ₹4845
🔒 Stop Loss: ₹4690
📈 Targets: ₹5045 | ₹5232
📊 Why Britannia Looks Promising:
🔹 Sector Rotation Insight:
After a strong run in Nifty, Banking, and IT sectors, FMCG appears primed for a potential bounce—and Britannia stands out as a top pick for this move.
🔹 Technical Setup:
The stock is holding key support levels, presenting a low-risk, high-reward opportunity for a short-term bounce.
💡 Strategy & Risk Management:
🔒 Stop Loss: Maintain a strict stop loss at ₹4690 to limit downside risk and protect capital.
📈 Staggered Entry: With the recent market rally, adopt a phased entry approach to mitigate volatility and enhance risk management.
⚠️ Caution: The market has already experienced a significant move—position sizing should be adjusted carefully to maintain a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
📍 Outlook:
As FMCG gears up for a potential bounce, Britannia offers a timely swing trading opportunity with defined risk parameters and clear technical targets.
💬 Do you see FMCG leading the next market move? Share your insights below!
📅 Follow for more technical insights and actionable market updates.
📈 #Britannia #FMCG #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #InvestmentOpportunity
📉 Disclaimer: As a non-SEBI registered analyst, I encourage investors to conduct independent research or consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.
ETH Rising Wedge: Are We Headed for a Bearish BreakdownHey traders! 👋
We’re seeing a rising wedge pattern on ETH, which is generally considered a bearish setup. 📉 We’ve also had a solid touch at the Fib 0.382, which is acting as strong resistance right now.
With that in mind, we’re opening a market order and targeting the daily FVG (Fair Value Gap) for the next move down. What’s even more interesting is that our eclipse indicator is showing bearish signals across all timeframes, adding even more weight to the trade. 🛑
We’re going for it—how about you? Let’s see how this plays out! 💪
Note: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/28/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20011.75
- PR Low: 19983.25
- NZ Spread: 63.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (MoM|YoY)
Holding value in the weekend gap range at previous session close
- Daily rotation short out of the Keltner average cloud, 20400-600 range
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 3/28)
- Session Open ATR: 421.56
- Volume: 22K
- Open Int: 233K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -11.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 18675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
GOLD → Consolidation forms a trigger. Rally?FX:XAUUSD continues to rise amid weakening dollar demand due to Trump's imposition of new tariffs. GDP and Initial Jobless Claims ahead
Gold is further supported by renewed concerns about a slowdown in the US economy due to trade duties. However, growth beyond ATH remains questionable due to geopolitical nuances.
The market focus shifts to macroeconomic data: the final US GDP for the fourth quarter and jobless claims will be released today. Also the attention will be drawn to the speeches of the Fed representatives, who earlier made it clear that they are in no hurry to cut rates due to inflation risks caused by Trump's tariff policy
Resistance levels: 3038, 3046, 3056
Support levels: 3033, 3025
The strong resistance is 3038. Breakdown and price consolidation above this level will provoke continuation of growth (there is a chance of ATH retest). But, since there is news ahead, gold may test the zone of interest and liquidity 3030-3025 before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
EURNZD Long BiasThe EURNZD pair is currently breaking out of a descending trendline on the 4H timeframe, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The price has recently bounced from a key demand zone, aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting strong bullish interest.
Additionally, the price is now trading above key moving averages, reinforcing the bullish bias. A sustained break above the breakout level could confirm further upside potential, with the next target around the 1.92 zone. However, if the price fails to hold above the breakout level, a potential retest of the demand zone near 1.87 could be expected before resuming upward momentum.
Daily CLS I KL - Order Block, Model 3 Continuation setupHey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion.
✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets.
🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2.
These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions.
📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
David Perk ⚔
HOOK/USDT Technical AnalysisThe market is showing signs of a bullish recovery, with price pushing into a key resistance zone after a strong move up. The Fibonacci retracement levels suggest that the price might face resistance around the 0.236 or 0.382 levels, where a pullback could occur. If buyers maintain control, the uptrend may continue, but there is also a possibility of a retracement to form a lower high before the next move. The RSI is climbing, indicating strengthening momentum, but traders should watch for rejection signals at resistance before confirming further direction.