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Fibonacci

Russell 2000 Short: Expecting 3rd WaveI haven't updated Russell 2000 in a while since I suggested the triple combination and a short. Nevertheless, here's the updated wave counts since then and right now I see another opportunity to short. As you can see, the stop is above recent high. However, I also put in a note that says to be ready for a z-wave. Meaning the small upmove recently could be a wxyxz instead of a simple abc. I am not sure why, but it seems like triple combinations are getting more and more common and one really has to be wary of such persistently unhealthy correction.
PEPPERSTONE:US2000Short
by yuchaosng
$SPY November 5, 2024AMEX:SPY November 5, 2024 15 Minutes. For the extension from 539 to 575 to 565 AMEX:SPY made 61.8% of the move at 586 levels. For the fall 583.32 to 568.44 it retraced 50% to 575.5 levels. Now we have a sideways in box range between 575 to 567. Bias id down as AMEX:SPY below all moving averages. The positive side we have is for the lows 568.44 and 567.86 in 15 minutes we have oscillator divergence. Therefore, if I take the rise 539.95 to 586.12, I expect first target to be 563 being 50% of retracement for the move. Bias is towards short side.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RiderTrader
17
GbpJpyExploring the GBP/JPY pair, a popular currency combination known for its volatility and responsiveness to global economic events. This pair typically reflects broader economic trends between the UK and Japan, influenced by factors like interest rate changes, geopolitical developments, and economic data releases. I analyze GBP/JPY through a blend of technical and fundamental analysis, considering recent policy adjustments from the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan. My approach highlights key support and resistance levels, potential trade setups, and the impact of risk sentiment on price movements, aiming to capture profitable opportunities while managing risk effectively
Short
by RubenK99
1
SLV eyes on $29.48: first/best of 3 possible supports for longsThis is in conjunction with my big picture Silver chart (click). SLV has had a significant pullback that may be done. Ended last week dancing on a pretty serious support. Ideally this is bottom, or should at least bounce a bit. $ 29.37 - 29.48 is the immediate and best support $ 28.83 - 28.89 is the next and moderate support. $ 28.37 - 28.40 should be strong and is CRITICAL. ================================================= .
AMEX:SLV
by EuroMotif
GOLD heads up into $ 2,700: long term target and possible "Top"Follow-up to my previous $2700 call (click). The uptrend has continued exactly as "expected". We are now approaching a "natural endpoint". Natural as in a Wave 5 that does not "extend". Even if 2700 is not the top, expect a pullback. Commodities are known for extended wave 5s. So very possible we go higher after a dip maybe. $ 2695.15 is a Golden Genesis fib, a BIG deal. $ 2710.21 is a local Golden and Wave ender. $ 2762.41 is the medium-term Wave ender. =========================================== .
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EuroMotif
GOLD 05/11 OTE Order Block (OB) Zone: The chart indicates a strong resistance level in the red-shaded area labeled "-OB" around 2,750. This zone signifies a potential reversal or strong selling point if the price reaches there, aligning with an Overbought Trigger Event (OTE). OTE Zone: This Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zone is marked in blue below the OB zone. It’s a significant level, usually associated with retracement and an ideal entry for short positions if price action confirms resistance. Support Levels: The green lines around 2,727 and lower levels indicate multiple support areas. They suggest potential bounce points if the price declines, aligning with the Fibonacci
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Engineer2008
Alikze »» CKB | Corrective wave AB=CD pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Corrective wave AB=CD pattern - In the weekly time frame, after filling the FVG gap, it has faced demand. - After filling the gap of FVG, this rising wave had a growth of more than 200%, which has again faced selling pressure in the supply area. - Currently, according to the bearish guard, in case of inability and stabilization above the 0.012200 area, the corrective structure will extend to the PRZ-3 area. 💎 But if it encounters demand again in the first high potential area where there is a FVG gap, it can retest the supply area. 💎In addition, if there is a demand in the PRZ-2 area, it can be extended to the PRZ-3 area with the pullback to PRZ-1. 💎Therefore, one should wait for the demand and return wave in areas with high return potential. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:CKBUSDT
Short
by alikze
Goldman Sachs (GS): Ready for a Big Correction?As we projected four months ago, Goldman Sachs ( NYSE:GS ) has reached our anticipated upside range between $516 and $575, touching $540 specifically. We've reinforced our analysis with a trend line dating back to 2016, which has been tested and validated three times. Combining this trend line, the Elliott wave count, and key Fibonacci levels, our outlook now points towards a significant pullback from current levels. Given that we're likely dealing with a larger Elliott wave cycle, we anticipate a substantial correction of around 28%. While a 28% decline sounds extreme, it's not unprecedented for $GS. The drop from the top of wave 3 to the bottom of wave 4 was 35%, and the decline from wave (1) to (2) was almost 50%. Even smaller corrections within these larger waves illustrate that major pullbacks are essential for long-term growth, especially as institutional investors take profits. With Goldman Sachs having gained 87% year-to-date—a remarkable rise in this sector—a correction is likely as big players start locking in their gains. We aren't sure yet how this correction will unfold, but we anticipate a sharper, quicker drop compared to the more prolonged wave (2) correction. A potential support level for wave A could be around $420. Meanwhile, wave C and the overarching wave (4) are expected to land between $366 and $264. We are not setting a limit order at the moment but have alerts in place for both scenarios: whether we call the exact top here or see NYSE:GS push higher before pulling back. Either way, we'll be ready and will update you as the situation evolves.
NYSE:GSShort
by freeguy_by_wmc
Coca-Cola (KO): Pullback Opportunity as Limit Order FillsOur first limit order for Coca-Cola was filled last Friday as the stock retraced over 11% from its peak at the upper trendline. Despite Coca-Cola's management expressing confidence in their recent performance, investors remain cautious. Zoran Bogdanovic, CEO of Coca-Cola HBC AG, stated, “I am pleased that our Q3 results build on the strength of our first half... However, we remain mindful of macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges.” This pullback appears to be a natural and necessary correction. Coca-Cola is typically a slow-moving, stable stock, and its surprising 43% rise over the past year warranted a healthy correction. The RSI is inching closer to the oversold zone, and a hidden bullish divergence is forming, lending support to our long-term bullish outlook. We’re prepared for a deeper retracement and have a second limit order set in the middle of the golden pocket (50-61.8% Fibonacci retracement), just above the Point of Control (POC). Given Coca-Cola’s reputation as a stable “safe haven” stock rather than a volatile investment, we’re maintaining a patient and calculated approach.
NYSE:KOLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Short gold, TP: 2730-2725Gold may still fall back and test the support of 2725 area again At present, gold maintains a volatile market as a whole. Although gold has failed to fall below 2730 several times, it is still in a rebound structure at the short-term level. But it is still relatively weak at present, and the rebound strength is not strong, so the continuity of gold rebound remains to be seen. At present, it is still suppressed by the trend in the short term, so gold may still fall back to around 2725, so I do not recommend aggressively chasing long gold for the time being, and you can still seize the appropriate opportunity to short gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading-Hawkeye
Bitcoin will trap everyone! 78k then 20% crash! (must see)Bitcoin is currently very bullish; that's clearly visible and soon will hit a new all time high. That's exactly the point where a lot of people will start buying with the belief of going to 100k - 130k. But you may know that Bitcoin is under extreme manipulation by BlackRock and other institutions. This is not a stock market, so they will not let Bitcoin go up, and instead they will trigger a massive crash back to 63k. Nobody likes Blackrock, but it's how it is. So what is the plan? First, I expect Bitcoin to go up and reach 78k. Then, when everyone buys, the price will crash to 63k. Do not forget that we also need to see a successful retest of the bullish flag. There is no retest yet. Bitcoin needs to confirm this uptrend, so do not FOMO in. I have been bullish since 60k or so, and I predicted the majority of Bitcoin movements in past months. Why is 63k important? We have a 200 daily moving average and FVG (Fair Value GAP) around this level. Also, the RSI indicator is starting to be overbought; you want to buy low when everyone is bearish. Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Long
by Xanrox
160
XAUUSD - Today's Setup - 04/11Good morning, traders! 🌞 Gold started its downtrend last week, so I’m keeping an eye out for sell opportunities. For now, I’ve got two key zones on my radar 📉—both align well with my confluences and look like promising spots to jump in. That said, I’ll be holding off on any trades until my payout day later this week. Just staying patient and waiting for the right moment ⏳. Wishing everyone a profitable week ahead! 💸✨ Happy trading! 🎉
FX:XAUUSDShort
by alexm1011
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/4/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 20158.00 - PR Low: 20070.50 - NZ Spread: 195.5 No key scheduled economic events High energy start to the week with significant gap down, quickly filled - QQQ daily gap above ~493 Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 11/4) - Weekend Gap: -0.13 (filled) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 299.59 - Volume: 40K - Open Int: 250K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -4.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024
by mv3trader5
SMHI - Can an ugly chart actually be a good play?This is one of those charts I had on a watchlist titled "Waiting For Bottom". I checked in on Friday and it was touching the bottom of the channel. Boom! Is this post a prediction? Nope. Do I think this Elliott Wave count is for sure accurate? Nope. So what is this? First of all, remove all of the markings and look at the chart with nothing but price action. What do you see? If your answer is a "a complete mess that was generally melting up until the middle of 2024", you'd be correct. This is not a trending stock with a high probability setup. There is no clear 5-waves up pattern playing out. In fact, there is no clear anything pattern playing out. But that's exactly why I think this "might" be a diagonal and might be an interesting play for a solid risk/reward. What is a diagonal you ask? Let's make sure you understand. In Elliott Wave, there are only TWO types of bullish patterns. The first is the classic 5-wave impulse where the underlying trends up in odd numbered waves and correcting each one in the even numbered waves. Think of a lightning bolt. 1 - Up off a low. 2 - Corrects 1, can't move below it. 3 - The breakout, usually the most impulsive and powerful wave. 4 - Corrects 3, can't break below the top of 1. 5 - The final move up, can be powerful, can be weak, but will almost always give a higher high. 5-wave impulsive moves start when the underlying is very bearish. Wave 1 starts by getting back to or breaking a key resistance area. Those who jump in during it are considered early adopters. The only support is the previous low. The vast majority of market participants are avoiding. Once it tops and rolls over, the majority are convinced new lows are coming. Some early adopters sell out or take profit. But a successful Wave 2 holds above the previous low, giving a higher low setup. It is followed by a consolidation as momentum builds up in the beginning of the 3rd wave. Once Wave 3 breaks out above Wave 1, smart technical traders start jumping in. Maybe it happens on an earnings report and some fundies jump in. It starts to really trend as more heads start to turn and realize that not only did it hold a higher low, buts its also working on a higher high. And if it is powerful enough, it will break more resistance and more and more participants will jump in. Eventually though, Wave 3 tops. Many early adopters take their profit and leave. It consolidates into a Wave 4, holding another higher low above the Wave 1 top. But as it starts Wave 5, the majority of the participants are now the late adopters and retail traders, with a spattering of early adopters who still have a small tranche left, already being in the green on smart sales at the top of Wave 3. Wave 5 then completes, often trapping late adopters who were sure it was going to the moon. Well this stock doesn't seem to be that. This thing overlaps all over the place. It could be an upward corrective wave of some sort before a drop to new lows. But as of now, it's playing along nicely with what its called a diagonal. A diagonal is a 5-wave structure. But this one is different. With diagonals, Wave 3 "can" overlap below the top of Wave 1. And one of the leading clues you might be in a diagonal is when the subwaves break down into segments of 3 wave moves instead of 5 wave moves. Why does this exist? Well, it starts off similar to a standard 5-wave move. A low is formed and a move is commenced off of it. But the succeeding retracement of that move is VERY deep, retracing almost all of the first move up. The next higher high is then around 100-161.8% of the first move, with the retracement that follows also very deep. All of this is likely happening within Wave (1) and Wave (2) of the diagonal. See, market participants are so polarized with the underlying, that they are whipping it back and forth, neither side able to ultimately win very long, yet the bulls slightly nudging out the bears with marginal higher highs and higher lows. It continues this whipsaw with every move, slowly melting upward. Instead of the whole 5-wave pattern targeting the 176.4%-200% extension of Wave 1 from the bottom of Wave 2 (what happens in a standard 5-wave impulse), it targets lower extension levels, typically the 161.8% level. Diagonals are either LEADING or ENDING moves. They CAN NOT be 3rd waves in larger patterns. So you will either get one as a first wave of a larger move, or you will get one to finish a larger move. In this case, it would be a leading diagonal of something much larger. So back to this specific stock. Thanks for enduring the educational section. Let's talk why I think this is a diagonal. You can see the wave labels clearly outlining the 3-wave moves within the larger 5-wave diagonal. They are labeled ABC within the (1)(2)(3)(4)(5). At present, this is within $1 of the ideal retracement level of the (3)rd wave for Wave (4). And it's clearly the 3rd segment of the ABC we would expect for a corrective (4)th wave. Not only that, it's holding the channel (but that's not required, just an area of support). Diagonals do often retrace deep, so I wouldn't be surprised to see it continue to the 76.4% correction area around $4.50. If you are risk averse, you could enter in the current area with stop just under $4.49. But as long as it holds the Wave (2) low, the diagonal stays valid. Ideally, it would be either contracting (trendline connecting (1), (3), and (5) contracting toward trendline connecting (2) and (4)) or expanding (same thing, but trendlines diverging away from each other), with expanding diagonals being pretty rare, but possible. They can tend to run in channels as well. So ideally, this doesn't get much lower as that would turn it into an expanding diagonal, which we know is rare, and leads to future bullish action being even MORE unreliable. Standard supply and demand zones are on the chart representing major support and resistance areas. If this holds support, it likely finds renewed strength up toward resistance and will bounce around in mostly unpredictable, overlapping structures that generally melt up. But once it engages the next C Wave, you should be able to track a standard 5-wave pattern within that C, as C-waves are always 5-wave structures. As I stated at the beginning, in no way is this a reliable structure. But you see things like this fairly often, and anywhere from second to monthly charts. The longer the duration, the more confusing, as you can have years of price movement that seem to make no sense. Ultimately, you have to watch supports and play smart. Is this something you want to align a lot of your money in? Probably not. It's unpredictable at best. And it could fail at any moment at worst since diagonals are "technically" corrective structures even when bullish. But is a chart like this giving up a setup for potentially phenomenal risk/reward? You bet. Just make sure and manage your risk. And you do that with your position sizing, using an appropriate stop *and if you get stopped, stay stopped. You set it for a reason, don't second guess), and understanding your targets, making sure to de-risk as quick as possible by selling enough at key levels to get your original equity back should it move upward. Feel free to ask questions. This was meant to be educational and shed some light on a complicated chart structure while providing a thesis for how to potentially play it. Standard disclosures: 1. This is 100% my idea. It was not sourced from any other avenue. 2. I am not invested in this company, though I am likely buying shares soon. 3. I am not paid to post content nor do I receive any contributions of any kind. 4. While this is outlining a potential profitable setup, this article is not investment advice. You should do your own due diligence on any company you invest in and apply your own trading strategies. 5. I know nothing about the fundamentals of this company. I suggest doing your due diligence if fundamentals are important to you. 6. Readers should always remember that markets are their own creature made up of millions of individuals and institutions each following some combo of inherent bullishness, inherent bearishness, fundamentals, technicals, stupidity, and pure emotion. Elliott Wave, and specifically Fibonacci Pinball (developed by Avi Gilburt at elliottwavetrader.net and prominent Seeking Alpha author), merely provide a framework based on the observed price action to date. 7. I know that while my wave outline is based on years and years of data and application from not only me, but some of the best in the game, I also know that markets do not follow a set path and that sentiment can remain irrational far longer than I can remain rational. That is why you MUST consider the alternatives and manage risk appropriately. Know the pivot zones that could lead to the primary path failing. I warrant that the information created and published by me on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors. My analysis is not a recommendation for a specific trade. My analysis outlines a potential scenario and provides risk assessments for multiple alternate scenarios. My analysis is purely educational.
NYSE:SMHIEducation
by mazag08