$ETH / USDT – 4H Time Frame Analysis 3,000 INCOMING?? CRYPTOCAP:ETH / USDT – 4H Time Frame Analysis
Structure: Bullish Flag | Outlook: Neutral-Bullish | Target: $3000?
🔹 Chart Overview
-Pattern: Bullish Flag (continuation structure)
Current Range:
- Supply Zone: $2,680.00 – $2,786.21
- Demand Zone: $2,319.79 – $2,417.61
Price Action:
- Tight consolidation between higher lows and lower highs, forming a symmetrical triangle within a flag structure.
Trend:
- Consolidation, but within a macro uptrend (prior strong rally).
Volume Profile:
- Anchored Volume shows high participation around $2,540–$2,600.
OBV:
- Flattening, signaling indecision and potential energy buildup.
Key Psychological Levels:
$2,860: Minor resistance from past S/R flips.
$3,000: Major round-number psychological resistance.
📐 Technical Confluences
Fibonacci Retracement:
- The 0.618 golden pocket aligns with the support trendline, reinforcing this as a critical zone.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
- Above Price: Acts as a magnet in bullish continuation.
- Below Price: Risk zone if price drops; aligns with liquidity and trendline support.
- Liquidity Zone: Aligned with 0.5–0.618 retracement; strong reaction expected.
📈 Bullish Scenari o
Breakout of Pennant Resistance:
- A clean break above $2,786 (supply zone & swing high) with volume.
Close above Upper FVG and Liquidity Zone:
- Confirms bullish intent. Targets psychological level at $2,860, then $3,000.
Volume Confirmation:
- OBV uptick and high breakout volume would validate the move.
Bullish Target Zones:
TP1: $2,860 (psych level + previous resistance)
TP2: $3,000 (major psychological level)
TP3: $3,120–$3,180 (1.618 Fib extension)
📉 Bearish Scenario
Rejection from Current Supply or Liquidity Zone:
- Fails to break above supply; rolls over from the upper pennant line.
Break Below Support Trendline:
- Break below golden pocket and $2,417.61 demand zone.
Invalidation of Bullish Flag:
- A breakdown below $2,319.79 (swing low) invalidates the bullish flag and may signal a trend reversal.
Bearish Target Zones:
TP1: $2,200 (local volume gap + structure support)
TP2: $2,060–$2,120 (previous accumulation zone)
TP3: $1,950 (macro support & last strong demand)
✅ Summary
Structure:
- Price is compressing within a bullish continuation pattern, awaiting breakout confirmation.
Bias: Slightly bullish unless the swing low at $2,319 is broken.
Confirmation Needed:
- Break above or below pennant boundaries with volume.
Fibonacci
OP / USDT 4hr PUMP INCOMING? OP/USDT – 4H Chart Summary
Market Structure:
4H Timeframe:
- Price consolidating within a descending triangle/wedge pattern, indicating potential buildup before a breakout.
- Lower Timeframes (1H and below): Bearish trend structure with lower highs and lows.
- OBV (On-Balance Volume): Forming a wedge—suggesting accumulation or distribution phase nearing a breakout.
Key Zones:
Demand Zone (Support):
- 0.5483 – 0.6351
This area has provided strong support historically. A clean break below could signal continuation of the larger downtrend.
Supply Zone (Resistance):
- 0.9068 – 1.0414
-Historically rejected price; high probability of reversal or consolidation if revisited.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
- FVG 1: 0.6659 – 0.6838
- FVG 2: 0.7024 – 0.7308
These inefficiency zones are likely to attract price if bullish momentum builds. Watch for potential short-term rejection or continuation setups here.
Volume Profile:
Strongest volume node (high liquidity zone) sits between 0.7470 – 0.8000
Suggests this area has been heavily traded and may act as magnet/resistance if approached again.
Fibonacci Confluence:
Previous swing high at 0.8232 aligns with the 0.618–0.65 golden pocket
A critical zone for potential take-profit or trend reversal on a breakout.
Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
If price holds above 0.6351 and bounces, look for:
- Retest of FVG 1, followed by FVG 2.
- Breakthrough of 0.7308 could target the golden pocket and swing high at 0.8232.
- Sustained bullish move may reach the supply zone above 0.9068.
Bearish Case:
- Breakdown below 0.6351 and especially below 0.5483 would:
- Invalidate the wedge support.
- Confirm continuation of the macro downtrend.
-Open room for new lows and bearish expansion.
Conclusion:
Price is at a key decision point inside a wedge.
Reaction at 0.6351 is critical—support bounce targets higher inefficiencies; breakdown signals deeper bearish continuation.
OBV and volume structure suggest an imminent volatility spike—prepare for a breakout.
ELLIOTT WAVE XAUUUSD H4 update
EW Trade Set Up H4
minuette wave (iv) running?
The upside move from 3120a of 150525 to 3439a of 130625 does not seem a motive (sure not impulsive/leading diagonal maybe) wave , so a sideways (flat) correction of the minuette wave (iv) is more likely
key levels (area)
3462
3402
3317 POC
3270
3238
DXY: STEP BY STEP.There was not much to yesterday as we awaited the FOMC minutes to know the Fed's rates decision.Interest rates remain unchanged so unless there are geopolitical catalysts I expect the dollar to rebound to 100.00 if there is successive break above 99.00. Subsequently leading to a higher price in dollar v yen. Patiently waiting to long this pair step by step. If London sessions fails then we wait for NY session.
#Happy Trading Y'all.
Lending Club Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 061825Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 10.7/61.80%
Chart time frame:C
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Home Depot Wave Analysis – 18 June 2025
- Home Depot broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level at 340.00
Home Depot recently broke the support zone located between the support level 352.00 (low of wave A from April) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the ABC correction (2) from April.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from May.
Home Depot can be expected to fall to the next support level at 340.00 (former support from the middle of April).
Adobe Wave Analysis – 18 June 2025- Adobe broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 364.90
Adobe recently broke through the support zone located between the support level 392.85 (which stopped wave A at the end of May) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse (1) from April.
The breakout of this support zone continues the active impulse wave C of the intermediate ABC correction (2) from last month.
Given the clear daily downtrend, Adobe can be expected to fall to the next support level at 364.90 (target for the completion of the active impulse wave C).
Preponderance of (or Preposterous?) Evidence
I was just proposing yesterday staying neutral in SPY (the S&P 500 ETF). The FOMC meeting today (Jun 18th) was a big-nothing burger (so far), which supports my (non)position, but we'll see. I will update that post when the time is right (ATH, 200dma, or bust).
Today, though, the IWM (the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index ETF) and, surprisingly, a potential short position.
First, the IWM (see below) is overbought on a weekly chart, with the Stochastics being above 80 (more on Stochastics and weekly charts at a later date). For now, let's go with IWM being a little overbought, in the longer-term view.
Now, let's switch to the big daily chart at the top and look at the evidence for going short;
- IWM never really got above it's 200-day moving average (purple line),
- That same level was consistent with a lot of resistance ~213 (yellow circles),
- IWM has trailed this whole rally.
- It has broken and somewhat retested a trendline (light blue) from this most recent rally,
- It bounced off it's 61.8% Fibonacci level (orange line, not my favorite indicator for ETFs, but I often sneak a peek),
- It's at its previous resistance high around 209 (blue circles).
On the not-bearish side;
- The daily chart is less overbought (this has to happen on weakness, though),
- There's (a little) support at 199 but not really again until 172,
- I still feel like the All-Time-High (ATH) is a magnet for the S&P (but IWM has trailed).
That's (a lot) more (and better) points for being bearish.
I'll go short (via a ~90 day ITM put position*) if IWM breaks below 207.50, between that and 202. If it opens lower than 202, I'll wait for a pull-up.
The stop will be a close above the 200 day.
The target is 172 (the previous tariff low), but I will lighten/tighten up (by selling OTM puts* and/or moving stop down) as IWM drops (if it drops).
It may seem a bit duplicitous to be neutral on SPY while being bearish on IWM.
But sometimes you have to go with the Preponderance of Evidence (or will it prove Preposterous Evidence?)
An update will be coming.
*Sorry for bringing up options. One can just go short IWM. I will explain my option choice one day.
My ideas here on TradingView are for educational purposes only. It is NOT trading advice. I often lose money and you would be a fool to follow me blindly.
Refined EURUSD setup Saw a 2H choch last night and today we've kept moving lower creating a new internal range.
Going to be waiting for price to shift bullish internally before trying to get into any longs. If I do not see any bullish intention then I will short following the 2H internal structure moving my SL where appropriate
I am still bullish on EURUSD but just waiting on confirmation before taking any longs
Bitcoin Cash BCH price analysisMore than 3 months have passed since the publication of the previous idea for #BCH, and the price itself has shown an increase of +40%
◆ Slowly but surely growing
◆ Does not react to the price fall CRYPTOCAP:BTC (for those who don't know, #BCH is the first CRYPTOCAP:BTC fork and probably the only one that survived. Then there were 8-10 more of them in 2017-2018... but hey...)
◆ It has been moving in its own direction for more than a year, when OKX:BCHUSDT is cheaper than $300, it is actively bought back by someone.
We have slightly revised the growth target for #BitcoinCash, but why not consider this asset as a long-term investment from $350-400 to $900 and $1250
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Wave C Complete — Time for the Real Move on LaunchCoin?Yello, Paradisers! Is #LaunchCoin about to reverse from its brutal downtrend? After completing a probable ABC correction right at key support, the conditions are setting up for a potential bounce — but only for those patient and prepared.
💎#Launchcoinusdt ,We’re most likely looking at the final leg of a Zig-Zag correction pattern, with wave C landing precisely within a well-defined support zone between 0.1006 and 0.1060. This zone has held up well so far, and there’s a clear bullish divergence forming on the RSI, which statistically increases the probability of a short-term reversal from this level.
💎The structure suggests we’re near a local bottom, but follow-through is essential. A sustained reclaim of the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level could act as a confirmation trigger for further upside. If that occurs, we expect price to approach the next resistance at 0.1493, followed by a strong resistance zone between 0.1900–0.2000, and eventually the major resistance around 0.2200–0.2350.
💎However, invalidation remains clear: any 4-hour candle closing below 0.1006 would reduce the probability of this bounce playing out and shift the bias back toward further downside. Until then, the setup remains valid and tradable for those who follow a structured and disciplined approach.
Paradisers! we are playing it safe right now. If you want to be consistently profitable, you need to be extremely patient and always wait only for the best, highest probability trading opportunities.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Zambian Kwacha Technical Outlook - A Wave Analysts PerspectiveUSDZMW seems to have reached what appears to be a major market top after completing a classic 5 wave Elliott impulse cycle on the monthly timeframe. This marks the end of a multi-decade bullish structure and signals the beginning of a corrective phase potentially reshaping Zambia’s FX landscape in the medium term.
Key Technical Insights:
The final Wave 5 peaked at 28.97, followed by a sharp decline to 23.90 (at the time of this publication).
A corrective ABC structure is now likely underway with fibonacci based downside targets around:
Target 1: $1 = K22.31 – minor correction (23.6%)
Target 2: $1 = K18.30 – medium correction (38.2%)
Target 3: $1 = K15.05 – deep retracement (50% of the main wave on monthly TF)
While various fundamentals, copper prices, debt restructuring and prevailing fiscal policies play a role, this technical setup suggests a strong medium to long term appreciation of the Kwacha is on the cards.
We may be witnessing the early stages of a multiyear FX shift.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes ONLY and does not constitute financial advice in any way. Market conditions are subject to change and all trading involves risk.
Bitcoin Long Setup: Two Potential Entry Zones After The DropHello, traders! As predicted, Bitcoin is perfectly following Scenario #2 from my previous analysis.
📉 What Happened?
The instrument showed a fake rally, luring impatient traders into premature long positions, only to liquidate them with a sharp downward move. The primary Point of Interest (POI) remains below us — this is where the "whale" aims to deliver the price to fill their orders and close the shorts they used for the initial SSL manipulation.
My Trading Scenarios & Entry Plan
1️⃣ Scenario 1: Mitigation of the Primary POI
My expectation remains the same: a reaction upon the mitigation of the 4h order block , which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci level.
Entry Condition: The level must hold on at least the 4H timeframe, confirmed by a bullish reversal and an order flow shift on the Lower Timeframe (LTF).
Zone: $102,745 - $103,868
Invalidation: A clear break and close below the 78.6% Fib level would invalidate this scenario.
2️⃣ Scenario 2: Deeper Liquidity Grab
If the liquidity at the 4h OB isn't enough for the whale to continue the uptrend, they might trigger a more aggressive decline to grab liquidity from the low at $100,370.
Entry Condition: A swift sweep of this low, followed by a sharp reclaim of the level and the beginning of a bullish order flow on the LTF.
Zone: $100,700 - $102,000
Invalidation: A candle close below the $100,370 liquidity level would invalidate this scenario.
Final Thoughts
Do not open positions just because the price has reached a POI. Wait for a clear reversal reaction and LTF confirmation for more conservative and safer entries. Always use stop-losses to protect your capital; no setup has a 100% win rate, and for every whale, there can always be a bigger one.
To be consistently profitable, you just need to find setups with a win rate greater than 50% — this is how casinos and professional traders operate.
Happy hunting with the whales — don't be the plankton. Follow their tracks.
How Bitcoin can impact alt coins like sol and sui This video is a very quick update on the potential for bitcoin to drop into the 96/97k region and the effect it will have on alt coins .
If you hold altcoins and you see them bleed in price then its important to know and understand whats ahead for Bitcoin .
Understanding this will help you with your entry's and your exits on all altcoins .
GBPNZD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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USD/CAD mid-term shift?The rise in the US Dollar Index has led to a rebound against several currencies such as the Canadian dollar, the euro, and the Japanese yen, shifting the medium-term bearish trend into a bullish one. One of the pairs that could benefit from the USD’s strength is the USD/CAD.
After the USD/CAD pair recorded a new high by breaking the last lower high, the recent pullback is considered a correction within the upward trend. The price is likely to rise from the 1.35725 level toward the 1.36567 target.
However, a drop below the 1.35397 level and a 4-hour candle closing beneath it would invalidate the bullish scenario.
Note:
This pair is trading in a general downtrend on the daily timeframe. However, the above analysis is specifically based on the 4-hour chart for the medium-to-short-term outlook.
Markets are also closely watching the Federal Reserve meeting later today, as its outcome will have a direct impact on all USD-related currency pairs.
GOLD → Consolidation. Awaiting the FOMC meetingFX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the range of 3403 - 3373. The problem is that there is news ahead. FOMC and interest rate meeting. The market may react in any unpredictable way...
On Wednesday, the price of gold retreated from $3,400 as sentiment stabilized and investors focused on the upcoming Fed decision. Tensions in the Middle East remain high, but there is less panic in the markets. The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged. The focus is on forecasts for rates, growth, and inflation. Dovish signals could support gold and weaken the dollar. If the Fed is more cautious due to oil and the conflict in the Middle East, the dollar could rise and gold could fall.
Technical nuances are irrelevant in this case, as price behavior depends on the market's interpretation of fundamental factors.
Resistance levels: 3403, 3420
Support levels: 3373, 3339
BUT! Technically, I would say that there is pressure from the bears. The price is compressing towards the support level of 3373.
The market remains unbalanced in favor of buyers, and it is logical that market makers will be interested in testing the trend support zone or the 3339 level (due to the liquidity pool) before continuing to rise (gold may continue to rise both if rates are lowered and if they remain at the same level. However, the tone of the Fed will play a major role here)
Best regards, R. Linda!