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Fibonaccianalysis

Gold Gains Strength as the Dollar Wobbles – What’s Next?Hello, my dear friends – let’s take a fresh look at gold after yesterday’s moves! At the moment, gold is trading steadily around 3,345 USD as the market awaits tonight’s highly anticipated U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report. Yesterday’s ADP data caused a mild shake in sentiment, showing the first drop in private sector employment in over two years. This immediately fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve could move to cut interest rates sooner than expected — putting pressure on the U.S. dollar and offering support to gold as a non-yielding safe haven. Meanwhile, the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) has slipped to its lowest level in nearly three years, making dollar-denominated assets like gold more attractive to international investors. On top of that, lingering geopolitical tensions and ongoing strong central bank buying continue to reinforce gold’s role as a long-term store of value. From a technical perspective on the H4 timeframe, gold is showing a very tight structure after breaking out of a prolonged downtrend channel. Price is currently consolidating between 3,330 and 3,360 USD, with a clearly defined bullish formation: higher highs and higher lows — a strong signal that the uptrend is starting to take shape again. The key level to watch now is 3,358 USD. If price breaks above this level with convincing buying momentum, I expect gold to enter a new bullish leg toward 3,390 – 3,407 USD, aligning with the Fibonacci 1.618 extension — often a magnet for price during strong trends. On the other hand, if there’s a short-term pullback, the support zone around 3,327 – 3,318 USD will be critical, offering a potential re-entry point for buyers looking to ride the next wave up. This is not a phase for impulsive decisions — but it’s definitely not a moment to be passive either. The breakout could come fast, and only prepared traders will be ready to act.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Smith_TradingFX
9
XAUUSD analysis - potential for pullback and continuationOANDA:XAUUSD is currently consolidating near $3,310 after a decisive breakdown below the ascending trendline, signaling a shift in the short-term structure from bullish to bearish. This breakdown was accompanied by strong bearish momentum, indicating that buyers have temporarily lost control of the market. After the initial drop, the price is now attempting to retrace toward the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci zone, with the 0.618 level located around $3,335. This zone also coincides with dynamic resistance from short-term moving averages (EMA cluster), making it an important confluence area. A rejection from this level would confirm a bearish retest, supporting the idea of a continuation toward the 1.618 Fibonacci extension near the $3,225 level. However, if the price breaks and holds above $3,348, the bearish scenario will be invalidated, potentially signaling that buyers are regaining strength and may aim to reclaim higher resistance levels. Traders are advised to wait for confirmation, such as a bearish engulfing candle, rejection wicks, or a surge in volume, before entering short positions. As always, this is a personal viewpoint, not financial advice. Trade with appropriate risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LygridTrading
INTEL INTC Short setup target 15.29Fibonacci technical analysis : Intel Corporation NASDAQ:INTC has already found resistance at the Fib level 61.8% (23.07) of my Down Fib. The May 30th Daily candle has closed below retracement Fib level 23.6% (19.73), confirming a sell signal. A Bear Flag pattern has also formed. My Down Fib guides me to look for NASDAQ:INTC to eventually go down to hit first target at Fib level -27.2% (15.29). NASDAQ:INTC – Target 1 at -27.2% (15.29), Target 2 at -61.8% (12.26) and Target 3 at -78.6 (10.79) Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (22.04). Enjoy the trading process and take time to smell the roses🌹
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by rose_excellence
S&P ES Long setup target 5963.50 / Calls SPY target 596Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (5623.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (May 2) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for CME_MINI:ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (5963.50). CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (5963.50), Target 2 at 161.8% (6205.50) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6322.75) Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5506.25). Option Traders : My AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (595.82), Target 2 at 161.8% (620.50) and Target 3 at 178.6 (632.50) Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (549). Enjoy the trading process and take time to smell the roses🌹
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by rose_excellence
AERGO: Golden Pocket Hit – Crash Incoming?On April 3rd, AERGO hit a historic low of $0.04746—and just 13 days later, it's trading around $0.60, an astonishing +1500% surge in less than two weeks. The rapid rise begs the question: What are the bulls aiming for next, and how sustainable is this move? Key Observations: Explosive Rally: AERGO’s meteoric move from $0.04746 to $0.70 in just 13 days has propelled the coin into uncharted territory. Such a dramatic spike is not only eye-catching but also raises concerns about overextension. RSI Overbought: The daily RSI sits at 98, indicating extreme overbought conditions. This level suggests that the current rally is unsustainable and may be ripe for a pullback. Historical Resistance Levels: Looking back at 2021, key highs were established around $0.60 to $0.62. These levels serve as critical resistance zones. Fibonacci Confluence: Taking the Fibonacci retracement from the low at $0.04746 to the previous rally's high at $1.0809 (April 13, 2024), the 0.618 level is projected at $0.68613. The bulls just tested that golden pocket. Trade Strategy & Potential Setups: For Longs: With the market showing signs of being overbought (RSI at 98) and the explosive move possibly winding down, this may be the perfect opportunity to take profits rather than accumulate further. Take Profit Consideration: Target: Near the 0.618 fib retracement at $0.68613. Observation: If bulls push beyond this level, the move might extend — however, the risk of a sharp pullback is high given current overbought conditions. For Shorts: A corrective move is very much on the table, and traders looking to short should focus on the key resistance zone between $0.60 and $0.70. Short Setup: Entry: Look to initiate shorts near the $0.60–$0.70 zone. Target: $0.4 and $0.2 as take profit targets The Big Question: Will AERGO drop as sharply as it surged? Given the extreme overbought conditions and the rapid, unsustainable spike, a healthy—and perhaps brutal—correction seems very possible. Keep a close eye on volume and price action near the $0.60–$0.70 resistance zone and be ready to adjust positions accordingly. Anyone riding this wave has experienced one of the wildest moves in recent memory. For those in long positions, consider taking profits now; for potential short traders, watch those key levels tightly. The market's rhythm will soon reveal its next chapter.
Short
by SiDec
17
Bitcoin Analysis: Potential Path to $150K and Market TrendsCurrent Price & Key Levels - BTC/USDT Price: BINANCE:BTCUSDT (as per chart). - Critical Support: Bottom of the ascending channel . - Key Resistance: Upper trendline of the channel (to be confirmed). Technical Signals 1. Ascending Channel: - Price is at the bottom of the channel, historically a bounce zone. - A break above the upper trendline could signal a bullish continuation. 2. Moving Averages: - SMA 200 (4H) and SMA 20 (1D) are critical for trend confirmation. - A bullish crossover (e.g., SMA 20 > SMA 200) would strengthen the buy signal. 3. Dominance (BTC.D): - If Bitcoin dominance turns bearish, expect capital rotation into altcoins (altseason potential). - Monitor dominance alongside price action for market shifts. $150K Target: When and How? - Scenario 1: - A strong breakout from the ascending channel + rising volume → Acceleration toward $150K. - Timeline:Mid-2025/Late-2025 (historically aligns with post-halving cycles). - Scenario 2: - Slow grind upward with corrections → $150K likely by 2026, pending macroeconomic stability (e.g., ETF inflows, regulatory clarity). Altcoin Season Watch - Trigger: - If Bitcoin’s dominance drops below 57%, altcoins may surge. - Focus on high-cap alts (ETH, SOL) and narratives like AI, DePIN, or RWA. Trade Strategy - Entry: - Buy on confirmed breakout above the channel + SMA crossover. - Stop Loss: - Below the channel’s lower trendline (e.g., $80,000). - Take Profit: - targets: $100,000.120,000 - Final target: $150,000 (scale out profits). Risks to Monitor - Macro Factors: Fed rate decisions, geopolitical tensions. - Bitcoin ETF Flows: Sustained inflows/outflows impact momentum. - Regulation: Crackdowns or approvals (e.g., ETH ETF). --- Conclusion - Bullish Outlook: $150K is achievable if Bitcoin holds the ascending channel and dominance remains stable. - Altseason Hedge: Prepare a basket of altcoins if BTC.D trends downward. Like, comment, and follow for updates! 🚀
Long
by amirhoseinsl2000
Best Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Levels for Trading In this short article, you will learn the best Fibonacci extension and retracement levels for trading Forex and Gold. I will share with you correct settings for Fibonacci tools and show you how to use & draw Fibonacci's properly on TradingView. Best Fibonacci Retracement Levels First, let's discuss Fibonacci retracement levels. Here are the default settings for Fibonacci retracement tool on TradingView. We will need to modify that a bit. We should keep 0; 0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786; 1 levels 0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786 will be the best retracement levels for Forex & Gold trading. How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement Levels Properly In order to draw fib.retracement levels properly, you should correctly identify a price action leg. You should underline that from its lowest low to its highest high, taking into consideration the wicks of the candlesticks. Fibonacci Retracement of a bullish price action leg will be applied from its low to its high. 1.0 Fibonacci level should lie on the lowest lie, 0 - on the highest high. Fibonacci Retracement of a bearish price action leg will be applied from its high to its low. Best Fibonacci Extension Levels Above, you can find default Fib.extension settings on TradingView. We will need to remove all the retracement levels; 2,618; 3,618; 4,236 and add 1,272; 1,414 levels. 1,272; 1,414; 1,618 will be the best Fibonacci Extension levels for trading Gold and Forex. How to Draw Fibonacci Extension Levels Properly Start with correct identification of a price action leg. Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bearish price movement from its high to its low . Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bullish price movement from its low to its high. I apply the fibonacci levels that we discussed for more than 9 years. They proved its efficiency and strength in trading different financial markets. Learn to combine Fibonacci levels with other technical analysis tools to make nice money in trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
2
Gold/USD Monthly Elliott Wave & Fibonacci ProjectionsPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD This analysis presents a detailed Elliott Wave count on the monthly chart of Gold/USD with Fibonacci extension levels for key price targets. Wave Structure: The chart follows a classical 5-wave impulse structure (I to V). Wave V is currently forming with possible subwave developments marked (1, 2, 3, 4, 5). Fibonacci Key Levels: 100% ($2,529) — initial projection target 127.2% ($2,778) — intermediate resistance 161.8% ($3,095) — dominant bullish extension target 261.8% ($3,019) — extended bullish zone Potential Price Movement: A correction near $2,550 aligns with the Fibonacci 161.8% retracement, followed by a rally to complete wave V. Long-term resistance and liquidity zones highlighted around $3,095. Use this projection for long-term trading strategies. Fibonacci and wave alignments may guide stop-loss placements or profit-taking points. Keep an eye on corrections near wave 4 zones for confirmation before further bullish continuation Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to trade any securities or assets. Trading in financial markets involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a certified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Trwin
2
SPY | The End of a 16-Year Bull Cycle? Major Correction Ahead?🔎 Overview: The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has been in a massive bull run since the 2009 bottom, forming a clear 5-wave structure based on Elliott Wave Theory. Now, the market is showing multiple top signals, suggesting that a major correction may be imminent. 📉 Key Warning Signs: 1️⃣ 5-Wave Completion: The 5th wave is approaching a key Fibonacci extension level (0.618 of Waves 1-3), a common reversal zone for extended moves. The previous wave count has been respected perfectly, reinforcing this structure. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Circles Alignment: Price is reaching the outermost Fibonacci arc, a historically significant zone where reversals have occurred. The market has reacted strongly in previous arcs, indicating this could be another turning point. 3️⃣ RSI Bearish Divergence: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is making lower highs while price is making higher highs—a classic bearish divergence signal. Previous similar divergences led to major corrections, including 2000, 2008, and 2021 dips. 4️⃣ Overextended Market Conditions: Volume is declining despite new highs, signaling weak buying pressure. Sentiment is euphoric, typically a late-stage bull market characteristic. 📊 Possible Scenarios: 🟢 Bullish Case: If SPY breaks and sustains above the 0.786 Fibonacci level (~672), we could see an extension. 🔴 Bearish Case: A break below 600 and a weekly close under 575 would confirm the start of a major correction back to the 350-400 zone (previous wave 4 region). 🚨 Final Thoughts: The technical evidence suggests that SPY is in a late-stage bull cycle, and the risk of a major pullback is high. While timing exact tops is difficult, long-term investors should be cautious, and traders may want to start looking at hedging strategies or taking partial profits. 📢 What’s your take? Are we near a major top, or is there more upside left? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇 #SPY #SP500 #StockMarket #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #RSI #BearishDivergence #Trading #Investing 🚀📉
AMEX:SPY
by EduNuri
2
EGLD (MultiverseX) - AltSeason Cycle - Bull RunBINANCE:EGLDUSD (#MultiverseX) is ready to jump. That's because the #AltSeason shall push #AltCoins to the limits. Its Market Cap ( CRYPTOCAP:EGLD ) is very low now and about to grow significantly. This will be the result of #Crypto #MarketCap ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 & CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS ) breaking through their #ATH. With #BitcoinDominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) showing signs of #Correction, #eGold should prevail. What Happened with BINANCE:EGLDUSDT ? #EGLD managed to spike a bit in the end of '23, thus confirming the start of a larger #Bullish #Cycle. #Correction is also complete (Q4 in '24), which leaves room for the Bull. What's next for BINANCE:EGLDUSD ? An Impressive Rise is expected for $EGLD. The current levels are to be watched closely by #Traders going #Long. #MultiverseX #TechnicalAnalysis - #ElliottWave A-B-C Sequence: Confirmed - Intermediate (A) & (B) (white): Complete - #Bullish #Fractal: Commenced - #Fibonacci Levels: Conditions Met My BINANCE:EGLDUSDT #Long Levels #HODL #Trade: - Entry @ 31.00 USD (or below) - TP @ 420.00 USD #Futures #Trading: - Entry @ 31.00 USD (or below) - SL @ 10.00 USD - TP @ 225.00 USD
Long
by EW4X
4
S&P ES Long setup target 6129 / Calls SPY target 605Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (6020.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (Jan 17) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (6129.00). CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (6129.00), Target 2 at 161.8% (6206.00) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6243.50) Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5983.00). Option Traders : My SPY AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (605), Target 2 at 161.8% (613) and Target 3 at 178.6 (616) Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (592).
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by rose_excellence
Interesting Simetry in $AMZNStarting from the 5th of August 2024 every time NASDAQ:AMZN reaches an important Fibonacci level retraces around 7%, then moves higher. Once it reached 0.618, the Fibonacci level corrected by 6.86% in 5 days and then moved higher. We have another wave up followed by another correction this time 7.62% in 9 days. And again another wave up followed by a correction of 7.51% in 10 days to Fibonacci level 1 Once it reached 1.618 Fib level retraced to 1.382 Fib level Correcting 7.24% in 18 days this time.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by WavesInvesting
GOLD 30m CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR DAILYGold (XAU/USD) Outlook for the Upcoming Week: The outlook for XAU/USD in the coming week depends on a combination of technical, fundamental, and economic factors, including the Federal Reserve's policy, economic data, and the strength of the U.S. dollar. Here's an analysis based on the provided chart: Technical Analysis: Overall Trend: The chart shows a medium-term uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows forming. A small pullback is observed toward the end of the chart, which could potentially act as a retracement before resuming the uptrend. Key Levels: Support Levels: $2,700 is the nearest support level. A deeper support is located at $2,685. Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance lies between $2,715 and $2,720. A breakout above this zone could push prices toward $2,735. Indicators (if applicable): Indicators such as RSI or MACD (not shown in the chart) can confirm whether gold is in overbought or oversold territory. If RSI is above 70, it might suggest selling pressure could emerge soon. Fundamental Analysis: U.S. Economic Data: Key economic releases, such as inflation data (CPI) or employment reports, could influence the dollar. Weak U.S. data typically supports gold prices. Federal Reserve Policy: Any dovish signals from the Fed, such as reluctance to raise interest rates further, would be bullish for gold as a non-yielding asset. Geopolitical Risks: Heightened geopolitical tensions could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Forecast for the Week: If prices hold above the $2,700 support level and break the $2,720 resistance, a continuation of the uptrend is likely. Failure to hold $2,700 could lead to a decline toward $2,685 or even $2,665.
SAXO:XAUUSD
by hesamdrgym
SPX: MTF Cluster Support at 5,810 with EMA Confirmation StrategyCurrent Technical Setup The SP:SPX is testing a significant cluster support level at 5,810, identified by FibExtender Pro with multiple timeframe confluence. The price has shown a clear reaction at this level, making it a potential launching point for a bullish move. Entry Conditions Primary Triggers Required: 8 EMA crossing above 34 EMA on 30-minute chart (currently bearish) Price breaking above last swing high at 5,850 Price holding above cluster support at 5,810 Price Targets First target: 6,000 (psychological level and major cluster resistance - 4 levels) Second target: 6,170 (cluster resistance - 3 levels) Risk Management Stop Loss Parameters: Place stops below 5,810 cluster support Exit if price fails to hold above EMAs after entry Cancel setup if entry triggers aren't activated Timeframe Analysis 30-Minute Chart: Currently bearish configuration 8 EMA below 34 EMA Waiting for bullish crossover and Price breaking above last swing high at 5,850 Weekly Chart: Strong bullish structure Moving averages stacked positively 5,810 cluster support adds confluence 50 EMA > 200 EMA (bullish) Time-Based Considerations The January 13 time cluster provides an additional layer of confluence for potential trend reversal. This timing aligns with Fibonacci principles suggesting higher probability setups when time and price zones converge. Special Notes The mixed signals between timeframes require patience. The weekly chart provides a strong bullish foundation, but entry must wait for 30-minute confirmation signals to align. The setup becomes invalid if price breaks below cluster support without triggering entry conditions.
SP:SPXLong
by TradeVizion