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Fibonaccianalysis

GOLD → Consolidation. Which way will the momentum go? XAUUSD in consolidation phase. The market is nervous because of misunderstanding of further actions in anticipation of news. What to expect and what can happen? The US labor market is stronger than expected, but the dollar remained cold amid expectations of more important news. At the moment, there is a 75% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut. But, the dollar is still in demand due to the unstable geopolitical background. At the moment gold depends on the US employment data, ADP and Powell's speech Bad employment data may increase the probability of further Fed rate cuts in 2025. And vice versa. But, this background is unlikely to create a medium-term potential for gold..... Also, in the perspective of NFP... Technically, gold is in consolidation and the price exit from the flag boundaries may be accompanied by a strong impulse. The probability of a further fall is a little higher... Resistance levels: 2651, 2660 Support levels: 2636, 2618 Gold continues to test the support 2636, which only increases the probability of a breakdown and further fall. But on the background of the news, the price may test the resistance before a further fall
FX:XAUUSD
by MarketAnalyzar
XAUUSD Speculative BuySAXO:XAUUSD moves higher from Asian to Europe session and seems continue to catch 2670. As middle east tension continue spark, investor and trader likely hunt the safe haven assets especially GOLD. Another fundamental reason is FED Cut Rate cycle probability which now on 80% 0.25bps cut this month. On the technical analysis side, GOLD now testing the sideways resistance. We may see 2658 - 2666 as resistance area and if it's broke up the price would come to 2670-2677 as we see MA200 on H4 and trendline resist on D1 chart. Anyone agree with this idea? Please leave your comment! Thankyou
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by vicariuzchrist
Last Leg XAUOverall uptrend still needs a leg to complete its wave. Considering higher lows of around -10%, the recent drop is the 4th point in our Elliot Wave analysis. Last leg is to form the head and shoulders, synonym of long term tops. I think the focus will be towards currencies, with countries focusing on Trumponomics, strengthening currencies for the dollar against tariffs. PBOC just reached an ATH in their gold hoarding. Dollar itself might feel some headwind, because of the recent rise in DXY, a cool down soon is expected with my lower yields analysis. This would go well with foreign currencies reaching up while some headwind causes the USD to lag. Let's see
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Osmanomics
Link/USD Fibonacci targetsLink does look ok, but not as good as many other coins. If we hold the blue level, we will pump towards the next bullish targets. Breaking it will mean a dump to the green levels. The current chart shows the most important Fibonacci targets. Grey: Resistance/support, decisive prices. A dump/pump can happen at these levels, but is not a main target Red: Main target to take profits or potentially enter shorts Green: Buy or rebounce expected Red box: resitance are, mainly caused by the 1.618-1.65 fib level Green box: Support level, mainly 0.618-0.65 fib Breaking each target gets us to the next one.
BINANCE:LINKUSD
by DCCryptoacademy
1
SAND/USD Fibonacci targetsSand is currently at a main resistance. If it breaks we will continue to pump even harder. The current chart shows the most important Fibonacci targets. Grey: Resistance/support, decisive prices. A dump/pump can happen at these levels, but is not a main target Red: Main target to take profits or potentially enter shorts Green: Buy or rebounce expected Red box: resitance are, mainly caused by the 1.618-1.65 fib level Green box: Support level, mainly 0.618-0.65 fib Breaking each target gets us to the next one.
by DCCryptoacademy
2
Focus on CADJPY: Pre-London Session AnalysisHi traders, The focus today is on CADJPY during the pre-London session. I believe we have a bullish setup forming, often referred to as a Late Session Reversal or Late Day Reversal. Price Analysis The bullish move in CADJPY began late during the New York session yesterday. The overall trend has been bearish, with the last leg showing a 3-wave extension below the accumulation zone. Interestingly, the downtrend's origin was marked by a momentum high, suggesting that price should, at a minimum, retest that level. So far, we've seen a completed bullish wavestructure with accumulation forming above High 3, indicating strong buyer interest. The plan is to buy into the next bullish wavestructure once price breaks above the current internal momentum high. Our initial target is 107.45 (the Momentum High). Fibonacci Analysis Using Fibonacci from the Low (0) to High (3), we see indications of further bullish potential. The High (5) or Internal Momentum High stalled at T1 (23.6% extension) of the 0-3 wave. This signals a likely continuation with a stronger second wave structure, aiming towards the Major Extension 1 (107.993) Wishing you a successful trading week!
Long
by Charts247TradingAcademy
1
Understanding ICT Bullish Mitigation BlockA Bullish ICT Mitigation Block is a concept from Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology. It forms at the end of a bearish trend when the price reaches a strong bullish institutional reference point, such as a bullish order block or breaker block. Formation: It occurs when the price fails to create a lower low in a bearish trend and instead reverses to shift the market structure to the bullish side. Identification: Look for a price level where the market attempted to break lower but was halted by significant buying pressure. Trading Implications: This area can serve as a strong demand level, from which the price can rally further stronger because of short traders exit and long traders enter at the same area. Multi Time Frame Analysis: Higher Time Frame - H4 Lower Time Frame - M15 Institutional Framework: Price Expansion (MMXM Buy Model) Institutional Reference Points: Bullish Mitigation Sell Side Liquidity (SSL)
NSE:HUDCOEducation
by chartology369
Genus Power Infra: Bullish Breakout – Buy now for higher targets🔍 Technical Analysis: NSE:GENUSPOWER (NSE: GENUSPOWER) 1️⃣ Overview: 📈 Current Market Price (CMP): ₹430.15 (+2.26%) 🗓️ Date & Time: As of 15:25 (UTC+5:30) 🕹️ Chart Analysis: Daily (1D) 2️⃣ Technical Indicators Overview: 📊 Moving Averages: 🟢 50-Day EMA: ₹399.89, currently acting as a support zone. 🔵 200-Day EMA: ₹332.71, indicating the longer-term trend remains positive. 📦 Volume Profile: Strong demand visible between ₹360-₹380, suggesting robust buying interest at lower levels. 📈 MACD: Bullish crossover with the MACD line above the signal line, implying momentum is still positive. MACD Line: 3.76 Signal Line: 1.04 Histogram: 📈 Positive, indicating rising momentum. 📉 Williams %R (14): At -5.59, signaling overbought conditions, which might result in a short-term pullback. 💹 Stochastic RSI (14, 3): At 100, indicating strong bullish momentum, though caution is advised as overbought zones can precede minor corrections. 🟣 Parabolic SAR: Positioned below the price, supporting the ongoing uptrend. 3️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The stock is retracing from the swing high of ₹451.55 to the swing low of ₹351.05. 📐 38.2% Retracement: ₹399.30 – Strong support. 📐 50% Retracement: ₹414.05 – Intermediate resistance. 📐 61.8% Retracement: ₹428.80 – Currently breached, signaling bullish strength. 📐 78.6% Retracement: ₹442.80 – Next resistance level to watch . 4️⃣ Rationale for Buy: 🚀 Breakout above 61.8% Fibonacci Level: The breach above ₹428.80 indicates a potential continuation of the upward move. 🔥 Bullish Momentum: MACD crossover, Stochastic RSI in overbought territory, and Parabolic SAR below the price all point to a continuation of the bullish trend. 📈 Volume Surge: Increased volume activity supports the bullish move, suggesting robust buying interest. 📦 Demand Zone: The significant demand between ₹360-₹380 acts as a strong base, providing a good risk-reward opportunity for entry. 5️⃣ Recommendation: 🔔 Action: Buy 🎯 Target 1: ₹442.80 (78.6% Fibonacci Level) 🎯 Target 2: ₹451.55 (Recent Swing High) 🛑 Stop Loss: ₹414.05 (50% Fibonacci Level) to protect against downside risk. 6️⃣ Risk Management: 📥 Entry Strategy: Consider entering near the current price or on minor pullbacks towards the 61.8% retracement level (₹428.80). ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2 based on defined targets and stop-loss levels. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is based on technical indicators and market patterns and is intended for educational purposes. Market conditions may change, and this is not investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions. #GenusPower 🚀 #TechnicalAnalysis 📊 #StockMarket 📈 #FibonacciLevels 📐 #SwingTrading 💹 #MACD 🔵 #StochasticRSI 💠 #VolumeProfile 📦 #BuyRecommendation 🛒 #IndianStocks 🇮🇳 #NSE 📉 #FinogentSolutions 💼
NSE:GENUSPOWERLong
by finogent
EUR/USD Finally Finds Some Support, But Can it Build a Bounce?EUR/USD Talking Points The strength from Q3 has been mostly erased so far in Q4, with a fast sell-off developing in EUR/USD. In late-September the pair continued to grind away at the 1.1200 handle but not even a month later the pair has dropped by more than four big figures. Support showed up at the 1.0761 level looked at on Tuesday. The big question now is whether that can lead to some profit taking from sellers, which could build a bounce and that can remain of interest for bears looking for lower-highs. EUR/USD has now traded lower for 15 of the past 20 days. An amazing trend by any stretch but perhaps even more so when compared to the strength that showed in the pair during the first two months of Q3. While that prior bullish trend put in a month of grind at the 1.1200 level, eventually failing, the bear move that’s come in response has been fast and heavy. There’s been only a minimum of pullback so far and any excuse for sellers to continue pushing has so far contributed to continuation. Last Friday brought a bit of bounce. That went along with a pullback in the USD from the 200-day moving average. But support soon showed at a key zone in DXY and bulls were off to the races (and bears in EUR/USD) after this week’s open. In EUR/USD, that resistance earlier in the week played-in right off the underside of the 200-day moving average. At this point the challenge is chasing an oversold trend as RSI on the daily remains in oversold territory on EUR/USD. There has been a bounce showing thus far at Tuesday's level looked around 1.0761. That price is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of last year’s sell-off, and its confluent with a trendline originating from last year’s low. EUR/USD Longer-Term Just as I was saying in September when strength was all the range, EUR/USD remains in a range that’s been in-play since last year’s open. There have certainly been some clean shorter-term trends in the confines of that ranging backdrop, and we’ve made a fast move towards the support side of that range but if we do see sellers continuing to push, those values could soon come into play. The current 2024 low plots around the 1.0611 Fibonacci level, which is the 38.2% retracement of the 2021-2022 major move. On the below weekly chart, I’ve linked that level to the shorter-term Fibonacci level at 1.0643 to create the next support zone, down. Below that, it’s the 1.0500 level that put up considerable fight for about a month before leading to a turn a year ago. --- written by James Stanley, Senior Strategist
Short
by WHSelfInvest
NASDAQ: Push to 22K or Drop to 19K? Key Levels and Profit Zones Evening Traders NASDAQ is hanging on to the 20,256 level, but if we break lower, we could be looking at a slide down to the 20,000-19,200 range. On the bright side, there’s a ton of support that could push us up to 21-22K. If that happens, it’s a great spot to take some profit before we hit major resistance—or worse, a deep correction. Let’s dive into the key levels to watch and where to take action before things get bumpy. Will NASDAQ keep climbing, or are we in for a pullback? If this gave you some insights (or at least made you think twice about your next move), give it a like, drop your thoughts in the comments, and hit follow for more updates. Your support keeps me going Happy trading Mindbloome Trader
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by Mindbloome-Trading
Fibonacci Retracement ExplainedWhat Are Fibonacci Retracement Levels? In simple terms, Fibonacci Retracement Levels are horizontal lines on a chart that represent price levels. These price levels help identify where support or resistance may likely occur on a chart. Each retracement level corresponds to a specific percentage, indicating how much of a pullback has taken place from a previous high or low. These percentages are derived from the Fibonacci sequence and include 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. Although not an official Fibonacci ratio, the 50% level is also commonly used. This indicator is useful because it can be drawn between a high and a low price point, creating levels that indicate potential retracement areas between those two prices. The basic Fibonacci Retracement amongst many trading platforms would normally look like this: While this is okay, I would recommend changing the settings to my suggested format to improve clarity and comprehension. The revised version would look like this: To copy this, the revised Fibonacci Retracement Settings are bellow: By doing this, it shows you the “Golden Zone.” This spot is considered one of the most important areas because price often pulls back into this zone right before “extending” in a bullish pattern. >>>>>NERDY INFO AHEAD<<<<< Calculating Fibonacci Retracement Levels The origin of the Fibonacci numbers is fascinating. They are based on something called the Golden Ratio. This is a sequence of numbers starting with zero and one. Then, keep adding the prior two numbers to get the third number. This will eventually produce a number string looking like this: • 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987...with the string continuing indefinitely. Fibonacci retracement levels are derived from the Fibonacci number sequence. As the sequence progresses, dividing one number by the next number yields 0.618, or 61.8% (233 divided by 377 gives you 0.618037. Divide a number by the second number to its right; the result is 0.382 or 38.2% (233 divided by 610 gives you 0.381967. All these ratios, apart from 50% (which is not officially part of the Fibonacci sequence), are calculated based on relationships within this number sequence. The golden ratio can be found in various places in nature as well. This includes spiral patterns of seashells (like nautilus shells), the arrangement of leaves on a plant stem, the petals of certain flowers, and the structure of pinecones; it's also often observed in art and architecture, such as in the proportions of the Mona Lisa and the Parthenon, where artists intentionally incorporated it for aesthetic appeal. Now, as you can tell, the Fibonacci isn’t just some lines and numbers someone made up. It’s in everything you encounter. It’s on charts. It’s in nature. It’s in geometry. It’s even in HUMAN DNA. Fibonacci Retracements vs. Fibonacci Extensions Remember when I said, “price often pulls back into this zone right before extending in a bullish pattern.” ??? That’s because Fibonacci Retracement, sometimes confused with Fibonacci Extension, is the act of price level pulling back to the Golden Zone. The Fibonacci Extension is when price level continues to move in a bullish pattern after pulling back to the Golden Zone. For example, if a stock goes from $10 to $20, then back to $13. The move from $20 to $13 is the retracement. If the price starts rallying again and goes to $30, that is the extension. Limitations of Using Fibonacci Retracement Levels While the retracement levels suggest potential areas for support or resistance, there’s no guarantee that the price will reverse to these levels. This is why traders often look for additional confirmation signals such as price action and patterns. A double bottom in this Golden Zone coupled with an RSI divergence is a very good indication the price will move after entering the Golden Zone. !!!Fun Fact!!! Fibonacci retracement levels were named after Italian mathematician Leonardo Pisano Bigollo, famously known as Leonardo Fibonacci. However, Fibonacci did not create the Fibonacci sequence. Instead, Fibonacci introduced these numbers to western Europe after learning about them from Indian merchants. Some scholars suggest Fibonacci retracement levels were formulated in ancient India between 700 BCE and 100 AD, while others estimate between 480-410 BCE.2 Cheers everyone!!! Happy Trading 😊
Education
by TaylorDeMario
ALL ABOUT FIBONACCIFibonacci retracement levels serve as indispensable tools for evaluating retracement potential and identifying targets This analytical scheme is most effective in market trends. In a market with an upward trend, the traders' goal is to determine the correction potential and strategically identify entry points for long positions. Conversely, in a downtrend, the focus shifts to evaluating correction potentials and tactically identifying entry points for short positions. By utilizing Fibonacci levels with precision and insight, traders can navigate market dynamics with greater clarity and strategic foresight. Operating rules: ●Identify the trend and work according to it ●To determine the correction potential for uptrend use the grid below up. ●To determine the correction potential for downtrend use a top-down grid. ●Find Swing High and Swing Low for correct using the tool. 1. For an uptrend, the Fibonacci grid extends from HL to HH. After breaking the downtrend from LL to HH. 2. For a downtrend, the Fibonacci grid extends from LH to LL. After breaking the uptrend from HH to LL. Settings for corrective movements: 0.5 - fair price (equilibrium). 0.62; 0.705; 0.79 - OTE zone (optimal entry into a deal). Unlike the standard values, this is a modified version with the highest mathematical expectation of price reversal. To open a position, we are always interested in the price behavior above or below the 0.5 value. The smart money will always look to buy at a discount and sell at a premium. Therefore, to open a short position we always look at the price above 0.5, which is considered a premium. And to open long positions, we look at the behavior of prices below 0.5, which is considered discount prices. The OTE zone is an extended grid that is always in the premium market when you are looking for a short position, or in the discount market when you are looking for a long position. These levels act as an area for the optimal entry point. Correction of the upward impulse. Fibonacci lines themselves do not act as support or resistance levels. It is not relevant to trade only on the basis of them. The price turns from specific areas that are displayed on the chart. Correction of the upward impulse. The price may go beyond OTE, this does not negate the relevance of the setup, HL is still being formed in the discount market. Correction of the upward impulse. Not in all cases, the price corrects to the OTE zone: when it reaches the support zone at the 50% level (equilibrium) or slightly below it, a reversal may already begin, because this moment already implies the start of buying or selling with smart money. Downward impulse correction. Make it a rule to open positions only after a correction in the premium or discount market, and skip other opportunities. Take profit according to Fibonacci In order to determine where you will take profits, you can use negative values. Settings for setting takes: -0.27 – take 1 -0.62 – take 2 -1 – take 3 or closing the position -1.5 / -2 – take 4 Fibonacci take Negative Fibonacci values can be used effectively on every trade, but try to prioritize the chart to identify more precise zones where price may reverse.
Education
by truepersonal
12
EURUSD Momentum Break: Trade Setup and Alternative ScenarioBased on this morning’s analysis, we’ve seen a break above the momentum high, signalling that buyers remain confident the EURUSD isn’t too overvalued. As a straightforward principle, we trade what we observe. Buy above the momentum high, aiming for the next decision point at 1.1140 (H4 Structural Point). Stop Loss: What gets you in, gets you out! Technically, if the price drops back below the momentum high (1.10899), it will be a negative signal for buyers. Therefore, we’ll set a conservative stop at 1.1085. Profit Target: 1.1134 (Fibonacci Target) 1.1140 (Structural Target) Alternative Scenario: If the price breaks below 1.1085, buying is no longer advised. We will reverse the position for a trend reset trade towards the Fibonacci buy zone range of . Happy Trading!
Long
by Charts247TradingAcademy
1
BTC at some support levelsLets look at BTC. Some people have been saying that its getting ready to take off again, so I wanted to do my own analysis. I've got three indicators I'm using here. - Wedges/channels (the thin green lines) - Fibs - the gold colored fib levels - Wick Strength - the oscilalator at the bottom First, Wedges. We can see that price is at the bottom of a wedge/channel. Its been pretty consistent on the plotted wedges that breakouts have been significant. However with the support of the Wick Strength as well as support of the 0.382 fib level, it looks like we might return to the top of the channel rather than crashing through the bottom. Next, Fibs. Fibonacci are one of my favorite technicals and popular for a reason. Look at all the times price has bounced right off a near-exact fib level! Recently BTC hit the 0.5 with a STRONG support. And here we are again at the 0.382. Looking left on this line we can see multiple wax and wick bottoms rejecting at this price point in recent months. Lastly, Wick Strength. I'm still learning this one as its new, but here's what I've seen. In up markets, Wick Strength is low, because there is constant downward pressure from all the bears. So the top wicks are long, and the bottom wick are short. (Indicating that bulls are stronger since wax is bullish, but bears still have a voice and top wicks are longer than bottom). In down markets, its the opposite, and the Wick Score goes up due to longer bottom wicks by the bulls. Here, Wick Strength is relatively high actually, and we're in a flag price action pattern. Looking like Wick Strength will come down as the market takes off bullish again. Just at thought! We'll see what happens. What do you think?
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by marketscripters