Demonstration of the Wave principle in real life KRE
If you want a demonstration of the Wave principle in real life look no longer than KRE.
It is a textbook example of an impulse wave started on 23 March 20220.
Wave almost 61.8% retracement of Wave 1
Extended 3rd wave with a 2.00 multiple of Wave 1
Wave 4 has almost 0.382 retracement of Wave 3.
And the most important one: the entire impulse wave is divided perfectly into golden ratio. 0618/0382
This impulse wave finished on 19th January 2022. Since then the corrective phase has begun.
We have 2 viable scenarios over here
Scenario nr 1.
An ABC zigzag
We clearly have a minor impulse wave down finished in 5 waves that could be intermediate wave (A).-finished on 16th June 2022
Followed by a running flat ABC for wave B. notice the truncation of minor wave C of (B) warning us about the underlying selling pressure in KRE.
And that's precisely what happened in wave (C). That is what an impulse wave 3 of (3) looks like. Fear response appropriate!
The Fibonacci ratio for wave (B) is precisely 0.382 retracement of wave A . The most common one in a zigzag.
Guideline of equality
Waves (A) = Wave (C) at $42.65 normal in a zigzag. So with this interpretation probably one more minor wave down and everything will be roses in the regional banks.
What is not normal in a zigzag is the slope of wave C should be less aggressive. So this brings me to an alternate count.
Scenario nr 2
Because of the slope and severity of this late sale this makes it a wave 3. As I said before has all the marks of impulse wave 3 down in this case.
So the whole correction becomes just waves 123 with waves 4 and 5 still to come to make just wave (A) of the decline.
I will leave it up to you to decide which interpretation is most appropriate.
Legal Disclaimer: The information presented in this analysis is solely for informational purposes and does not serve as financial advice.
Fibonaccianalysis
Top 10 Technical Indicators for Successful TradingTop 10 technical indicators for successful trading
Introduction:
Technical indicators are essential tools for traders to analyze market trends, identify potential trading opportunities, and manage risk. These indicators are mathematical calculations based on past price and volume data that can help traders make informed decisions about buying or selling assets. In this article, we'll discuss the top technical indicators that traders can use to enhance their trading strategies.
Moving Average:
A moving average is a widely used technical indicator that helps traders identify market trends. A moving average is calculated by averaging the price of an asset over a specific period, such as 10 days or 50 days. This indicator smooths out the price data and makes it easier for traders to identify the direction of the trend. When the price is above the moving average, it's considered a bullish trend, and when the price is below the moving average, it's considered a bearish trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the strength of a price trend. The RSI is calculated by comparing the average gains and losses over a specific period, typically 14 days. The RSI value ranges from 0 to 100, with values above 70 indicating an overbought market, and values below 30 indicating an oversold market. Traders can use the RSI to identify potential trend reversals and overbought or oversold conditions in the market.
Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands are another widely used technical indicator that helps traders identify potential trend reversals and price volatility. Bollinger Bands consist of three lines: a moving average in the center, and two outer bands that represent the standard deviation of the price data. When the price is within the bands, it's considered normal market volatility. However, when the price reaches the outer bands, it's considered an overbought or oversold condition, and a potential reversal may be imminent.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a trend-following momentum indicator that helps traders identify changes in momentum and trend reversals. The MACD is calculated by subtracting the 26-day exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-day EMA. A signal line, which is a 9-day EMA of the MACD, is also plotted on the chart. Traders can use the MACD to identify potential buy and sell signals, as well as divergences between the MACD and the price of the asset.
Fibonacci Retracements:
Fibonacci Retracements are a popular technical indicator that helps traders identify potential support and resistance levels. Fibonacci Retracements are based on the idea that prices tend to retrace a predictable portion of a move, after which they may continue in the original direction. Traders can use Fibonacci retracements to identify potential entry and exit points, as well as stop-loss levels.
Stochastic Oscillator:
The Stochastic Oscillator is another momentum oscillator that helps traders identify overbought and oversold conditions in the market. The Stochastic Oscillator is calculated by comparing the closing price of an asset to its price range over a specific period. The Stochastic Oscillator value ranges from 0 to 100, with values above 80 indicating an overbought market, and values below 20 indicating an oversold market. Traders can use the Stochastic Oscillator to identify potential trend reversals and overbought or oversold conditions in the market.
Average True Range (ATR):
Average True Range (ATR) is a technical indicator that measures the volatility of a stock or currency. Developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr., ATR calculates the average range of price movements over a specific period, taking into account gaps in price movements. ATR is typically calculated over a period of 14 days, but traders can adjust this period to fit their specific trading strategy.
To calculate ATR, traders first calculate the true range (TR), which is the greatest of the following:
Current high minus the current low
Absolute value of the current high minus the previous close
Absolute value of the current low minus the previous close
Once the true range is calculated, traders can calculate the ATR by taking an average of the true range over a specific period.
ATR can be used to measure volatility in the market, helping traders to identify potential trading opportunities. When ATR is high, it indicates that there is a lot of volatility in the market, which can present opportunities for traders to profit. Conversely, when ATR is low, it indicates that the market is relatively stable, and traders may want to avoid entering trades at that time.
Ichimoku Cloud:
The Ichimoku Cloud, also known as Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, is a technical indicator that provides a comprehensive view of potential support and resistance levels, trend direction, and momentum. The indicator was developed by Japanese journalist Goichi Hosoda in the late 1930s and has gained popularity among traders in recent years.
The Ichimoku Cloud consists of five lines, each providing a different view of the market:
Tenkan-Sen: This line represents the average of the highest high and the lowest low over the past nine periods.
Kijun-Sen: This line represents the average of the highest high and the lowest low over the past 26 periods.
Chikou Span: This line represents the current closing price shifted back 26 periods.
Senkou Span A: This line represents the average of the Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen, shifted forward 26 periods.
Senkou Span B: This line represents the average of the highest high and the lowest low over the past 52 periods, shifted forward 26 periods.
The area between Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B is referred to as the "cloud" and is used to identify potential support and resistance levels. When the price is above the cloud, it indicates a bullish trend, and when the price is below the cloud, it indicates a bearish trend.
Traders can also use the Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen lines to identify potential entry and exit points, with a bullish crossover of the Tenkan-Sen above the Kijun-Sen indicating a potential buying opportunity, and a bearish crossover of the Tenkan-Sen below the Kijun-Sen indicating a potential selling opportunity.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, technical indicators are valuable tools for traders in the financial markets. The Average True Range (ATR) can be used to measure volatility in the market, while the Ichimoku Cloud provides a comprehensive view of potential support and resistance levels, trend direction, and momentum. By using these indicators in combination with other technical analysis tools and market knowledge, traders can make informed trading decisions and improve their chances of success. It's important for traders to experiment with different indicators and find the ones that work best for their trading strategy.
XRP/USDT 1DInterval Resistance and SupportHello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of XRP in pair to USDT, on a one-day timeframe. First, we will use the yellow line to mark the downtrend line that the price is trying to overcome.
Moving on, we can move on to marking support areas when we start a larger correction. And here, in the first place, we can mark the support zone from $ 0.37 to $ 0.35, when the zone does not hold the price, we have the next support at the level of $ 0.33 and further at the price of $ 0.30.
Looking the other way, we see a strong resistance zone from $0.40 to $0.43, but before that we need to break the downtrend lines. The next resistance is at $0.46, followed by resistance at $0.50.
Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that we have a lot of energy for the upcoming move, the MACD is on the verge of entering an uptrend, while the RSI is moving in the lower part of the range, which gives room for increases.
BNB/USDT 1DInterval Resistance and SupportHello everyone, I invite you to review the BNB chart on a one-day interval. At the beginning, it is worth marking with blue lines the sideways trend channel in which the price is fighting to go up, while locally we can see that the downtrend channel has been defeated, despite the numerous fears that have appeared in recent days near the Binance exchange and its BNB coin.
Let's start by marking the support spots for the price and we see that we first have support at $310, but if the price goes lower, we have another support at $293, then at $279, and another support at $266, at 0.618 FIB.
Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the price is currently testing resistance at $331, equal to 0.618 Fib. We continue to have strong resistance at $360, once the price breaks it, it will move towards resistance at $399.
When we look at the volume, we can see a definite predominance of green candles.
The CHOP index indicates that the energy has been used up, the MACD indicates that the uptrend is maintained, while the RSI has approached the upper limit of the range, which, combined with the exhausted energy on the CHOP, may give the price a rebound.
📊 Fibonacci Trading: Extension LevelsThe Fibonacci retracement tool plots percentage retracement lines based upon the mathematical relationship within the Fibonacci sequence. These retracement levels provide support and resistance levels that can be used to target price objectives.
Fibonacci Retracements are displayed by first drawing a trend line between two extreme points. A series of six horizontal lines are drawn intersecting the trend line at the Fibonacci levels of 0.0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%.
📍 How this indicator works
The percentage retracements identify possible support or resistance areas, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 100%. Applying these percentages to the difference between the high and low price for the period selected creates a set of price objectives.
Depending on the direction of the market, up or down, prices will often retrace a significant portion of the previous trend before resuming the move in the original direction.
These countertrend moves tend to fall into certain parameters, which are often the Fibonacci Retracement levels.
📍 Calculation
Fibonacci numbers are a sequence of numbers in which each successive number is the sum of the two previous numbers:
1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, and so on.
📍 What Are Fibonacci Extensions?
Fibonacci extensions are a tool that traders can use to establish profit targets or estimate how far a price may travel after a pullback is finished. Extension levels are also possible areas where the price may reverse.
Drawn as connections to points on a chart, these levels are based on Fibonacci ratios (as percentages). Common Fibonacci extension levels are 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%, 200%, and 261.8%.
🔹 Because Fibonacci ratios are common in everyday life, some traders believe these common ratios may also have significance in the financial markets.
🔹 Fibonacci extensions don't have a formula. Rather, they are drawn at three points on a chart, marking price levels of possible importance.
🔹 The Fibonacci extensions show how far the next price wave could move following a pullback.
🔹 Based on Fibonacci ratios, common Fibonacci extension levels are 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%, 200%, and 261.8%.
🔹 Extension levels signal possible areas of importance, but should not be relied on exclusively.
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Daily BTC 4HChart - resistance and supportHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour timeframe. As you can see, the price has bounced off the local downtrend line.
Let's start with the support line and as you can see the first support in the near future is $20903, if the support is broken then the next support is $20651 and $20433, then we have a support zone from $20230 to $19941.
Now let's move to the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $21478, if you manage to break it the next resistance will be $21998 and $22671.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that the energy is being used for the current increase, the MACD indicates entering a local uptrend, while the RSI shows a strong increase.
DOT/USDT 4HInterval Resistance and SupportHello everyone, I invite you to review the DOT chart in pair to USDT, on a four-hour interval. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the downtrend channel in which the price is moving.
Moving on, we can move on to marking support areas when we start a larger correction. As we can see, the price fell below the strong support at 0.618 FIB, and turned back moments before the second very strong support at $5, however when the price drops below the next support is at $4.23.
Looking the other way, we see that the first resistance is at $5.81, when the price breaks it, the second resistance is at $6.20, the third is at $6.52 and the fourth is at $6.85.
Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that the energy is slowly starting to rise, the MACD indicates a downtrend, however, there is a change in the direction of the blue line, which can give a trend change. On the other hand, on the RSI we touched the lower limit of the range, which gave a visible price rebound.
SOL/USDT 4HInterval Resistance and SupportHello everyone, I invite you to review the SOL chart in pair to USDT, the same as its predecessors on the four-hour interval. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the sideways trend channel where the price is moving at the lower border, while locally, with the yellow line, we can mark the local downtrend line.
Moving on, we can move on to marking the places of support. And here we see that the price is in a strong support zone from $21.52 to $20.02, if this zone does not hold the price, we can see a strong drop to around $15.62.
Looking the other way, we see that the first resistance is at $22.09, which was previously support for the price. Next we have support at $23.18, third at 24.08, fourth at $24.98 and fifth at $26.25, at the upper limit of the sideways trend channel.
Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that the energy has been used, the MACD indicates that we are in a downtrend, while the RSI is moving in the lower part of the range, which could potentially be the reason for the trend reversal.
Daily BTC 4HChart - resistance and supportHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on BTC in pair to USDT, taking into account the interval of four hours. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the uptrend channel in which the BTC price is moving. And as you can see, we have touched the lower border of the channel for the third time.
Now we can move on to marking support areas in case of deepening of the current correction. And here, in the first place, it is worth marking a strong support zone from $ 22,270 to $ 21,440, but when we fall below this zone, we can see a drop to around $ 20,417, and then even to the price of $ 17,410.
Looking the other way, we can determine the places of resistance in a similar way. First, we will mark the resistance zone from $22,749 to $23,610, when we manage to break it, we have a second zone from $24,034 to $25,258. When you manage to overcome these two, the road will open towards $27,323.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index which indicates that in the four-hour interval the energy has been used up, the MACD indicator has a strong local downtrend, while the RSI has rebounded to the lower limit of the range, which creates a lot of room for possible increases.
Daily BTC 1HChart - resistance and supportHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 1-hour timeframe. As you can see, the price is moving below the local downtrend line.
Let's start with the support line and as you can see the first support in the near future is $23232, if the support is broken then the next support is $23017 and $22752.
Now let's move to the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $23389, if you manage to break it, the next resistance will be $23505, $23601 and $23694.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that there is a lot of energy for movement, the MACD maintains a local downtrend, while the RSI has a strong rebound, which creates room for new increases.
Next target 1650Hi
After drop from 3rd wave and retest the support around 1460 and one more time at the middled of ascending channel 1560.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT is going up to 1650 before move on.
Can Long/Short at lower timeframees
Hit then drop 1742, seem ETH's complete the impulse wave and everything happened after that is a correction wave.
Right now, we have a support at 1560 and resistance 1650
Wait and see what next happen
A potential BTC price action rH&SWhen we look on a larger time-frame, foremost 1D, we can see more and more evidence that BTC moves with a channel, respecting the FIBO retracements. Also on a global scale we can see a reverses head and shoulder formation, that could lead to a short and rather rapid price explosion towards the uptrend.
the RSI 13 illustrates that BTC returned from overbought to a normal level, expecting to retest or maintain top upper channel from 50 RSI 13 above. Recharging for a larger move.
We also see that there is not much liquidity at higher price levels, hence the cohort of investors is not deciding to sale, but rather take profit and move some liqudity into the Altcoins, which pop-up.
On a larger time frame we see a massive resistance at 27.5-31.5k, indicated with a red rectangle .
The bitcoin seems to follow closely recovery from 2019 bottom, with a rapid uptake towards higher prices. Will this scenario play-out? This is a bit foreseeing but we see on the chart even more evidences for potential price speculation towards the uptrend.
Important to highlight is the analysis of social sentiment: a large cohort of investors yet believes that this is a suckers rally, hence they do not participate in the market, but their belief may be invalidated when breaking out 25.3 and maintaining this regime, pushing them to loss aversion due to missing the opportunity (also known as FOMO).
A confluence of:
- The rH&S, FIBO extension
- Massive volume resistance at arround 27-32k
- VPVR at around 27-32
- Potential resistance line draw from the 2021 Mai ATH, that has been respected
- On-chain analysis suggesting that the peak of the last bulllrun was in fact in Mai 2021
- On chain analysis, mainly aSOPR but also other parameters suggest a change in Investor's perception of the market towards the bull trend
- Historic fractal pattern from 2019 bottom that has been a black swan event too
- Golden Cross on 1D
- PRice action multiply respecting the 50% retraction
- MACD
- STOCH RSI (not shown in analysis)
This is surely a bet, but backed by several parameters that confluence.
Good luck with trading
LINKUSDT is testing the support right nowLINKUSDT is testing a key level at the $9.1 area, where the market has previously encountered resistance.
This level is important because it has acted as a significant point of resistance in the past, and traders will be closely watching the price action to see if the level is broken. If the price of LINKUSDT is able to break through this key level and establish new support, this could signal a potential bullish trend.
To apply Plancton's Rules in this scenario, traders should wait for the new liquidity and a new breakout to be confirmed before taking a long position. This means waiting for the price to break through the key resistance level and establish new support, which can provide more reliable signals for traders.
So, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ black structure -> <= 1h structure.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
BTCUSDT MACRO TIME FIBS...MARK YOUR CALENDARS FOR THESE DATES You can bet your bottom dollar these dates will make MILLIONAIRES and PAUPERS of Men and Women! Gann had 90+ percent accuracy for a reason. Study his philosophies and time cycles therein for some SACRED HIDDEN KNOWLEDGE! EDUCATE YOURSELVES!
Bullish and Bearish BTCUSDAt the moment there is a lot of TV Guru's publishing they idea/chart for each different segment of market.
In the recent history of BITCOIN as you all know pretty young market in compare to all other market. No one in their real life would dare to short these Mar 2020 to Nov 2021.
Bull markets are a time of optimism and growth, and they can be a great opportunity for making substantial gains. However, it's important to remember that bull markets don't last forever, and it's crucial to approach them with a healthy dose of caution while keeping your eye on your long-term goals.
Bull markets can provide excellent opportunities, however, they must be approached with caution and with defined personal goals. Consider the risks and rewards of each investment, keep an eye on valuations, and always be prepared for a downturn.
We hope you enjoyed this post!
Please feel free to write any additional tips or pieces of advice in the comments section below.
COTI / USDT 1D CHART - Resistance and SupportHello everyone, I invite you to review the COTI chart on a one-day interval. As we can see, the price failed to break the ongoing downtrend channel.
Let's start by marking the price support spots and we see that we first have support at $0.098, but if the price goes lower then we have another support at $0.089, then at $0.08, then we have a strong support zone from $0.067 to $0.05.
Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the price is currently moving towards the $0.11 to $0.12 resistance zone. We continue to have a strong resistance at $0.15, once the price breaks it it will move towards the resistance at $0.20.
The CHOP index indicates that we have a lot of energy for the next move, the MACD indicates that we are on the verge of entering an uptrend, while the RSI, after the last recovery, returns to the upper part of the range.
how knows maybe the next bnb? (BGBUSDT) 💣🚀Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, and Fibonacci indicator and fib supports and many other fundamental sign we expect more gain ✔️
here
the price can shape the parallel channel and see more range market or explosive volume and huge gain 💣🚀
otherwise
we can see more correction to lower support level ❌🧨
if
breakout of the upper resistance zone be completed, we can see more pump to the upside and ATH ✔️🚀
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋