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Fibonaccianalysis

USDCHF Zone To Watch Out ForUSDCHF is at a resistance zone. If the market make it a support zone and gives a bullish confirmation above it, it can be a good buying opportunity. At the moment it is at resistance level so if you want to go long, you must wait for a proper confirmation. Remember Buy at support and Sell at resistance :) If you found this interesting please consider supporting this analysis by liking, commenting, and sharing with friends, colleagues, traders, and trading communities. Thanks👍🙂
by vikinsa
1
NZDUSD Can Rise From The FCP Zone & M PatternNZDUSD Can Rise From The FCP Zone & M Pattern As the chart indicates, we have an M pattern completion along with and FCP zone on the daily time frame. Wait for a confirmation based entry on smaller time frames. This can be a good day trade or swing trade opportunity depending on your trading plan. If you found this interesting please consider supporting this analysis by liking, commenting, and sharing with friends, colleagues, traders, and trading communities. Thanks👍🙂
Long
by vikinsa
AUDUSD W pattern completion - Can FallAUDUSD has reached an area where it has completed a complex W pattern. There are a few levels and zones (as on the chart) to be watched. When W pattern completes, a correction comes. This idea is on the daily time frame, so wait for a confirmation on smaller time frame to execute trades. If you found this interesting please consider supporting this analysis by liking, commenting, and sharing with friends, colleagues, traders, and trading communities. Thanks👍🙂
by vikinsa
1
USDJPY Higher Time Frame AnalysisJapanese Yen collapse continues with its lowest closing price in 34 years. If it falls through 160, it will be the lowest level against the U.S. Dollar since the 1980s. It can get even worse. Let's look at some charts: 1. We are currently sitting at 160 resistance level where a W FCP pattern is completed which can give us a correction. This is the last level which is preventing the USDJPY from slingshotting upwards. 2. A CUP formation is happening at the moment (rounding bottom). So if the correction comes at the current levels, that can make this a Cup and Handle pattern. 3. If the correction does not occur or we get a shallow one, these current levels can become a new support which can push USDJPY higher once confirmed. 4. There are several gaps left in 1980s. I posted about these gaps in my previous post approximately 7 months ago, indicating that USDJPY would be bullish. 5. These are the levels where in the long run USDJPY can go to complete a big W pattern. This can have a huge impact on the #dollar index (DXY) too. I recently did a premium analysis report on USDJPY and DXY (dollar index) for a client which has a more in-depth analysis and potential target zones/levels. Get in touch with me via DM if you want to order a copy of that report. If you found this interesting please consider supporting this analysis by liking, commenting, and sharing with friends, colleagues, traders, and trading communities. Thanks👍🙂
by vikinsa
USOIL Higher Time Frame Possible Bullish ScenarioThis is higher time frame bullish scenario on USOIL (WTI). This is only applicable if a bullish breakout occurs. 1. The price is inside a triangle which is getting squeezed and reaching its apex. That means we are going to have a breakout very soon. 2. Recently the price completed and M pattern and jumped higher. When M pattern completes the market goes higher. 3. If we get a bullish breakout from this triangle and if this breakout confirms, we can have formation of a potential W pattern. This when completed will have the potential to make oil fall again. 4. After that if the price stays bullish or becomes bullish again, we have a gap available around 100 area which needs to be filled at subpoint. 5. That will also lead us into a bigger multiple month and possibly multi year bullish formation of a W pattern. But first, we need to see how price breaks out of the triangle. If you found this post useful or information please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍✔ Also us for more.
TVC:USOIL
by vikinsa
BTC - A Healthy Pullback or a Sign of More to Come?Hey fellow crypto enthusiasts! Let's dive into Bitcoin's recent price action and what we can expect in the coming months. The Correction Phase: Why It's Not All Doom and Gloom First off, don't panic about the current correction phase. After the halving, a correction was not just expected. It’s healthy! Think of it as Bitcoin catching its breath before the next big sprint. We're seeing an ABC correction pattern, which savvy traders will recognize as a typical and necessary, market movement. Timing the Market: When to Make Your Move So, when’s this correction likely to wrap up? Our crystal ball suggests somewhere between July and August/September. This is the perfect window to dollar-cost average (DCA) into your positions. By buying a fixed dollar amount of BTC at regular intervals, you can average out your entry price, reducing the impact of volatility. Long Positions: Entering long positions in the 50000-52245 range could be a smart move, considering the support levels and the bullish outlook post-summer. Key Levels to Watch: The Golden Zone Here’s where it gets interesting. The big kahuna level to keep an eye on is 50K. Not only is it a psychological level, but it’s also where several technical indicators converge. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the smaller wave sits at $52,245, while the 0.382 Fibonacci level of the entire 491 day bull run is at $51,690. This zone also hosts an old trading range, known as a bullish order block. Translation? This area is packed with historical significance and potential support. Fibonacci Levels: Fib 0.618 of the smaller wave is at $52,245. Fib 0.382 of the entire 491-day bull run is at $51,690. Ichimoku Cloud: Your Support Safety Net On the daily timeframe, the Ichimoku cloud’s edge (custom settings) aligns around the 50K mark, offering additional support. It's like having an extra safety net below a tightrope walker. Altcoins: The Unsung Heroes Don't forget about altcoins! Many have pulled back significantly, with some seeing 60-80% corrections. This is a golden opportunity to DCA into altcoins and position yourself for potential gains. Remember, during market corrections, altcoins often offer lucrative entry points for those looking to diversify. Wrapping Up: The Bigger Picture While the correction phase may seem daunting, it’s a natural part of the market cycle. The key levels around 50K-52K are not just numbers, they’re strategic entry points. With the support of the Ichimoku cloud there’s a lot to be optimistic about as we move towards the end of summer. What do you think? Are you positioning yourself for the end of the correction? Drop your thoughts and let’s discuss! With a clearer understanding of Bitcoin's correction phase and the key levels to watch, you're now better equipped to navigate the crypto waters. Happy trading!
CME:BTC1!Long
by SiDec
EUR/GBP Struggling to Find Grip at Support The EUR/GBP cross recently shook hands with support made up of Fibonacci ratios between £0.8408 and £0.8434 (consisting of 78.6% and 88.6% retracement ratios and a 1.618% projection ratio). While buyers have attempted to make a stand from the aforementioned area, the trend has largely favoured bears since November’s top (2023) at £0.8766. A clear descending resistance also warrants attention overhead that may discourage buying, extended from November’s peak. Given the current structure/trend, traders (and investors) may watch the descending resistance – as well as resistance marked above at £0.8500 – for selling opportunities over the coming weeks.
Short
by FPMarkets
GBP/JPY - Price is the leading IndicatorToday we are looking at GBP/JPY 5 Minutes timeframe. Based on the price structure, we believe that the high probability direction in the short term is downtrend. We have seen an ABC (Corrective) wave after the Low of Friday was made. Key Structures to note: Structure 4: 200.022 Downtrend continuation reversal point. Structure 2: 200.674 Downtrend Violation Structure. Always Think in Probability: As traders, you must be careful to align your behavior and expectations with the following principles: - Anything can happen - An EDGE is only an indication of one thing happening over another - There is a random distribution between wins and losses - You don't need to know what will happen in order to make money in trading.
Short
by Charts247TradingAcademy
USD/CAD Trend reset - Buy ContinuationMomentum preceeds prices! The USDCAD has had a trend reset (Secondary Trend), which is key to the Up-trend continuation. The structural point for trend reversal is 1.3656, we want to see a second breakdown below the structure without breaking below 1.3624. A trade back above 1.3656 will be the first buy, confirmation will be a trade above 1.3671. In terms of Target, we will use the Fibonacci retracement from the low to the high of 3. Target 1: 1.3780 Target 2: 1.3838 Initial Stop Loss: 1.3624
Long
by Charts247TradingAcademy
1
Ethereum 15k+- i am far to be Elliot Wave expert and to be honest i am not a fan. - there's a lack of precision and EW can be extended. - Don't forget that the real name is " Elliot Wave THEORY ". - included a Fibo Analysis + Trend Analysis + famous bubbles. "The Elliott Wave Theory is a form of technical analysis that looks for recurrent long-term price patterns related to persistent changes in investor sentiment and psychology. The theory identifies impulse waves that set up a pattern and corrective waves that oppose the larger trend ". - Everything is in graphic as always. Happy Trading !
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by thecryer
13
USDJPY Bearish ContinuationThe USD/JPY is one of the sell pairs we have from the portfolio selection we did yesterday. The Major pull for us thinking of shorting this pair is the wave structure (3) Momentum Low; this price point has over 70% probability that at some time in the future, the price will come back there after a retracement. On Friday,15-minute timeframe, we saw a breakdown which signifies a continuation of the downtrend. Here are the key prices we should be looking at: Sell Below: 155.60 Sell Confirmation: 155.24 Stop Loss: 156.02 Sell target T1 152.85
Short
by Charts247TradingAcademy
2
3 Best Fibonacci Tools For Forex Trading Hey traders, In this article, we will discuss 3 classic Fibonacci tools you must know for trading different financial markets. 1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement Fib.Retracement is my favorite fib.tool. It is aimed to identify strong horizontal support and resistance levels within the impulse leg . We draw this tool based on the high and low of the impulse (from wick to wick) and it shows us POTENTIALLY strong structure levels determined by Fibonacci numbers . Common Fib.Retracement levels are: 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786 . Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions. Above is the example of an application of a fibonacci retracement tool based on a bearish impulse leg on EURUSD. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Extension Fib.Extension indicates strong horizontal support and resistance levels beyond the impulse . Similar to Fib.Retracement tool, Fib.Extension is drawn relying on impulse's high and low (from wick to wick) and it shows POTENTIALLY strong structure levels where the consequent impulses may complete based on Fibonacci number. Common Fib.Extension levels are: 1.272, 1.414, 1.618 . Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions. Above is the example of fibonacci extension tool based on USDJPY based on a bullish impulse leg. 3️⃣ Fibonacci Channel Fib.Channel shows strong vertical supports and resistances (trend lines) within the channel . The tool is drawn based on the trend line of a valid parallel channel (based on wicks) and it shows POTENTIALLY strong trend lines from where the market may retrace . The trend lines within Fib.Channel rest on 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786 Fib.Levels . Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions. Above is the example of a fibonacci channel on USDCHF. Remember that Fibonacci's are simply tools in a toolbox. In order to use them properly, you need to build a trading system around them, test it and confirm its efficiency.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
3
GBPJPY Strong Reversal & GBPUSD UpdateThe Japanese Yen(D) is going through the B to C leg of its correction, which we saw in the yen pairs in the last 24 hours. The GBP/JPY is our pick for a long trade because it has a more technical-bullish outlook than most other yen pairs. More info in the video. GBP/USD The cable broke higher yesterday above 1.2634 , the limit for any downtrend continuation. The violation of this point invalidated the expected downtrend continuation trade. We must wait for the price to conclude the current rally before we can act on a new position in the cable.
Long
by Charts247TradingAcademy
3
EURUSD | MT Long H4 |Overly OversoldPair: FX:EURUSD Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT) Direction: Long Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames - Price action has some support trend-line holding it - Horizontal trendline looks like a demand zone across the years - Horizontal trendline (Red) is at the 1% Fib Extension Level - Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - EUR weakness has been mostly been pricing in the expectation that ECB will cut in June and diverge from the FED. Currently, priced in. - Risk is further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 1.0620 - 1.0650 SL @ 1.0589 TP 1 @ 1.0698 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 1.0758 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.44 (Depending on Entry Level) May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D *This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Long
by weekendanalyst
AUDUSD | Short H4 | Market Exe | Consolidation TradeTechnical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1 time-frame - Price action is at a Consolidation Zone - Aiming for the 50% Fibo retracement to TP Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - US yield differential against AUD will support USD - China's economy is still struggling to improve and dampening AUD's growth potential Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 0.6550 - 0.6560 SL @ 0.6596 TP 1 @ 0.6505 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 0.6479 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.10 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Short
by weekendanalyst
USDJPY | MT Short H4 | Riding on BOJ InterventionPair: FX:USDJPY Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT) Direction: Short Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames - Price action may face some resistance from a previous support line - Price is close to 61.8% Fib Extension Level - Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - Dividend repatriation season for Japan where MNCs bring back USD dividends and converts them to JPY - These levels may see BOJ intervening to stop the Yen weakness - Yield differential between USA and Japan cannot be denied and dovish BOJ doesn't help much; hence the weak JPY unless we see a firmer BOJ - Further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension may bring on risk-off moves and see the JPY strengthen Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 154.00 - 155.15 SL @ 156.56 TP 1 @ 151.30 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 149.27 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 3.03 (Depending on Entry Level) May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D *This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Short
by weekendanalyst
2
From Leonardo to Trading: The Evolution of Fibonacci LevelsIn the labyrinthine landscape of financial markets, where volatility reigns supreme and uncertainty lurks around every corner, traders seek reliable navigational tools to steer through the tumultuous waters of price movements. Among the myriad techniques at their disposal, Fibonacci analysis emerges as a stalwart companion, offering a nuanced understanding of market dynamics rooted in mathematical precision. In this comprehensive exploration, we delve deep into the multifaceted realm of Fibonacci levels, unraveling their historical significance, evolutionary trajectory, practical applications, and the diverse perspectives that shape their interpretation. Tracing the Roots: To appreciate the profound impact of Fibonacci analysis on modern trading methodologies, a journey back in time to the 13th century is warranted. It was during this epoch that Leonardo of Pisa, known colloquially as Fibonacci, unveiled a numerical sequence that would transcend mathematical realms and find profound resonance in the domain of financial markets. Beginning with 0 and 1, each subsequent number in the sequence is the sum of the two preceding ones, laying the groundwork for a sophisticated understanding of market movements rooted in the natural order of mathematics. Evolution in Financial Analysis: While Fibonacci himself might not have envisaged the application of his sequence in financial markets, the 20th century witnessed a paradigm shift as visionaries such as Ralph Elliott and Robert Prechter pioneered its integration into trading methodologies. Elliott's Wave Theory, with its emphasis on repeating patterns and sequences, forged an intriguing connection with Fibonacci numbers, laying the groundwork for a symbiotic relationship between mathematical principles and market analysis. This union catalyzed a renaissance in technical analysis, ushering in an era where Fibonacci levels became indispensable tools in the arsenal of traders worldwide. Unveiling Fibonacci Retracement Levels: At the heart of Fibonacci analysis lies the concept of retracement levels, a cornerstone of technical analysis that echoes the natural order observed in the Fibonacci sequence. These levels, including 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%, serve as pivotal markers in identifying potential zones of price reversal, offering traders valuable insights into market sentiment and trend dynamics. By applying the Fibonacci retracement tool to significant highs and lows, traders gain a nuanced understanding of market psychology, discerning the underlying rhythm of price movements amidst the chaos of market fluctuations. Venturing into Fibonacci Extension Levels: Beyond retracement levels, Fibonacci extension levels offer a panoramic vista into the future trajectory of price movements, illuminating the path for traders seeking to navigate the complexities of trending markets. With extensions such as 161.8%, 261.8%, and 423.6%, traders can delineate potential targets for price continuation after a correction, harnessing the mathematical harmony inherent in the Golden Ratio to set profit targets and manage risk effectively. These extension levels, rooted in the timeless principles of Fibonacci analysis, serve as guiding beacons for traders navigating the ever-shifting tides of financial markets. Practical Applications and Precautions: While Fibonacci levels furnish traders with a potent framework for analysis, it is essential to exercise caution and supplement Fibonacci analysis with corroborating indicators and risk management strategies. By integrating tools such as Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index, and candlestick patterns, traders can enhance the robustness of their trading decisions, mitigating the inherent uncertainties of financial markets and maximizing the efficacy of Fibonacci analysis. A Tapestry of Perspectives: As we reflect on the journey of Fibonacci levels through the annals of financial history, we encounter a tapestry of perspectives that weave together to form a rich tapestry of knowledge and insight. From Larry Pesavento's exploration of harmonic price patterns to Philip Carret's pioneering work in long-term investing, the legacy of Fibonacci continues to inspire and guide traders in their quest for market mastery. These diverse perspectives underscore the enduring relevance of Fibonacci analysis in an ever-changing landscape, reaffirming its status as a timeless ally in the pursuit of profit and prosperity. Conclusion: In conclusion, the comprehensive exploration of Fibonacci analysis reveals its enduring significance as a cornerstone of technical analysis in financial markets. From its humble origins in the mathematical treatises of Leonardo of Pisa to its integration into modern trading methodologies, Fibonacci analysis embodies the timeless principles of mathematical harmony and market psychology. As traders navigate the labyrinthine paths of price movements, they find solace in the elegant simplicity of Fibonacci analysis, a steadfast companion in their quest for success amidst the ever-shifting currents of financial markets. Thank you for reading! I hope this article proves to be interesting for all of you!
Education
by FOREXN1
4
The Art of FibonacciBitcoin has been on the rise, and I would like to share my Master Fib. This angled fibonacci structure encompasses the entirety of Bitcoin's history and can be used to help discover price action patterns, facilitating future trade decisions. The chart can be useful on both logarithmic and linear price scales. This idea highlights the fib structure on the log scale. This particular fibonacci-based structure utilizes the following levels : 0, 0.214, 0.236, 0.35, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.65, 0.764, 0.786, and 1, and extends 20 levels above and below 0. The core channel from which the structure is built is established using the following 3 points: These 3 points create the core channel of the master structure: The final version of this chart has been optimized for, and makes use of, the 10 day timeframe. While I personally prefer using this chart on a smaller timeframe for everyday use, the 10 day timeframe was chosen as a suitable balance of factors, including the following: maximizing the amount of bitcoin historical data and fib data displayed maximizing chart clarity at all zoom levels maximizing visibility of price action reactions maximizing published idea usefulness lifespan When viewing the fib structure on alternate timeframes, reactions in price can be seen as high as the monthly timeframe, all the way down to the 1 minute timeframe. Utilizing various timeframes can help display more pronounced, obvious, or acute reactions to fib levels. 1day price action fib reaction (April 2018 - July 2019) 1hour price action fib reaction (April 3/4 2022) 1min price action fib reaction (March 5 2024 - 5 days ago) Even on the 10 day timeframe, reactions can be seen as far back as December 2009... bouncing off the 6.214! There are many such reactions to this fib structure throughout the entire history of bitcoin. What's amazing is that the 3 points used to create the structure are from December 2017 to November 2021! So, let's take a quick look at some of the reactions in price to some of the various fib levels. Doing this will add validity to the effectiveness and usefulness of the fibs. And finally, here's a look at where we are today, on the linear scale, just before the 10day candle close: Now that we have established some validity of the fib structure, we can use it to help us make future trading decisions, particularly when the price of bitcoin approaches, rejects, breaks through, or retests the various levels. Does, and will, bitcoin always react to every level? No. But I think this is one of the best bitcoin fib structures I've seen that encompasses every single displayed candle while maintaining such accuracy and effectiveness. Its influence on the bodies and wicks of past and present candles can be seen. I think it is likely to guide and influence future candles. I estimate that the further above or below that price is from the core channel, the less accurate and influential the levels and angles will be. I also estimate that the further away we are, in time, from the 3 points that build the core channel, the less accurate and influential the levels and angles will be. That being said, we, being humans, only have so many 10 day candles left, so... yeah. *Bonus* Keep zooming into the light (on the chart) Thank you for checking out my idea! I hope that you like it and find it useful. If you do, please give it a boost. And feel free to comment. //Durbtrade
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Durbtrade
5