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Fibonaccianalysis

GE continues its bullrun LONGGE on the weekly chart has been in a trend up with some corrections along the way since a double bottom in the summer of 2022. It has had some sections spin-off including the health care poriton of the company. This company as a mega-cap industrial with cash on hand is independent of interest rate concerns. Much of its business in long term contracts. I see GE as a great long-term long trade. I am focused on accumulating long shares as well an options into 2026. The last correction on this chart was this past October. I will average more in at this time but am really looking for another smaller correction like last October for a bigger buy to add to the positions. GE is safe from the volatility of most of the technology stocks and in my opinion, is a good stock to "back up the truck".
NYSE:GELong
by AwesomeAvani
BTC : 5Day MACD Fib WavesBitcoin Bitstamp 5Day moving average convergence/divergence and fibonacci-based primary and secondary sine wave structures established from historical MACD positive and negative momentum. The MACD is displayed using the standard fast and slow lengths of 12 and 26, respectively. Signal smoothing length is the standard value of 9. For visual clarity, the signal line is not displayed... but I have left in the colored fill between the MACD line and signal line, so you can still see where the signal line would be. Also included is the colored fill between the MACD and zero line. The wave structure template used in this idea is roughly relative to a standard fibonacci channel, using the following levels : 0, 0.214, 0.236, 0.50, 0.764, 0.786, and 1.00. The primary fib wave template is displayed using solid lines. The positions of the upper and lower bounds of the wave structure are established using the March/April 2021 high, and the June/July 2022 low. The horizontal positioning of the wave structure is established using the March/April MACD high for the lowest wave value. The highest value of the 1.00 wave (amplitude), as well as its' wavelength, is established using the 0.50 midline level interactions...but more on that soon. Note, while the build and placement of the fib wave structures mimic a standard fib channel, it is not exact. Looking closely, you'll notice that the midline isn't exactly in the middle of the 0 and 1.00 wavelines. The structure compresses towards the bottom, thus it is not vertically symmetrical. Either way, these fib wave levels surely line up with the MACD rather impressively. Also of note, by applying a horizontal fibonacci channel using the lowest values of the 0 and 1.00 wave levels, and adding 0.35, 0.382, 0.618, and 0.65 to the existing levels, one can see interesting interactions between the MACD and these horizontal levels. Returning to the primary wave structure... we can see some very interesting interactions between the MACD and the waves. Here we look at the pink/blue wave levels : And here, we look at the 0.50 green midline : These midline interactions were used in creating the amplitude and wavelength of the entire wave structure. By looking at all the interactions, I believe that it is fair to assume that interactions similar to these could occur in the future when the MACD reaches the various levels of this fibonacci wave structure. Ok. So what if, in the future, the MACD reaches beyond the upper and lower bounds of the fibonacci wave structure? My first thought was to just extend the current wave structure by adding more levels above and below the existing structure : This could indeed be useful. But, when I looked at the current structure, and then looked at historical MACD values before 2017, I concluded that this structure doesn't necessarily apply to that data. If I were to predict future MACD action beyond this structure, especially a massive logarithmic rise/drop similar to what happened at the end of 2020/beginning of 2021, I would need to think about this completely different, and find a another method... one outside of simply adding more levels above and below the existing structure. What did I find? Let's return to the midline interactions that we looked at earlier. We see the MACD hits the green midline and reverses 3 times before breaking through the it, and then the MACD rises to the white 1.00 fib wave level. I realize the following might be reaching a bit far, but, what if this particular MACD behavior pattern occurs again in the future? If the possibility of this occurring again exists, is there any existing MACD data that I can use to form an entirely new fib wave structure? A new structure that when placed properly, allows this behavior pattern to occur once again? Here is what I found. I can place a brand new wave on the chart, one with a larger wavelength, and a much larger amplitude. I can modify its' wavelength, amplitude, and position, so that it mimics the midline of the existing wave structure, but on a larger scale. Take a look... here it is, displayed with a dashed line : Now I ask, is it possible to estimate the other levels of this new structure using this waveline and any existing MACD data? Here is what I found : Is this stretching a bit too far? Maybe. But, I think that this way of thinking is what is necessary to imagine what the MACD may look like in the future if there is a massive logarithmic swing in either direction. And of course, because this new fib wave structure is built using less data than the previous structure, and involves more estimation, it is likely to be less accurate as well. So, if all of this possibly plays out, what would the MACD look like if it did reach these types of levels? Well, using an unpublished pinescript indicator that I wrote, I can give you an idea of what it would look like... If you take all of the existing MACD data, offset it horizontally to the right by 500, and then multiply the values by 4.20, you get this : Awesome, right?!?! Interestingly, this projection also fits the initial fib wave extensions that I used in one of the previous images above. Take a look : So, in conclusion, this is how I created the main chart of this idea. I tried to include my logic and reasoning behind it. Is this useful? I think so. Naturally it depends on several factors such as whether you agree with the logic and conclusions of this idea, whether you use the MACD to help you trade, the timeframes of your trades, as well as your trading style. If anything, I think this chart is definitely worth looking at every now and then, especially when the MACD gets close to the various levels. Regarding sine waves, I have found some other waves that can be applied to the MACD that could prove useful. I refer to them as sub-waves. These are not placed within a unifying fib structure... they are individual waves, each with different amplitudes and wavelengths. All sub-waves : I think that these sub-waves can be useful at levels in between the fib wave levels of the two main structures, and overall help add to the validity of the notion of using sine waves in conjunction with an MACD while trading. Finally, here is a bonus 5Day MACD fib grid image... Thank you for checking out my idea. I hope it makes you look at sine waves, fibs, and the MACD differently. Please give it a boost if you liked it, and feel free to comment. //Durbtrade
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Durbtrade
Bitcoin: Bull Run Targets through FibonacciLet me explain. These are all Fibonacci Extensions. The Market Maker is officially done imo so I am very comfortable posting these finished schematics. Many Extensions reach the exact ATH at 69k as you can clearly see... The Schematics are numbered Chronologically. #1-#8 are placed in the order they were created. #3 are the SUPPORT Schematics that are highlighted in RED. #1 and #2 are monthlies because they are considered longer term. HOWEVER, every single schematic can affect any timeframe so there is zero bias. --For anyone thinking, "well theres lines everywhere so whats the point?" --All of these 'lines' are mathematically perfect so there is no arguing with them because they are all perfect and unique in placement. The linked idea is my old one... so this new idea is the revamped one. (better)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by MichaelBsul
7
How to trade the Fibonacci indicator in 2024Today, we’ll start with what Fibonacci is and how to use it to spot significant market turning points. Let’s start with... A short story about Fibonacci In 13th century Italy, lived a man named Leonardo Pisano – one of the greatest mathematicians of all time. Leonardo (also known as Fibonacci), learnt all about Arabic and Indian mathematics during his travels in North Africa and around the Mediterranean regions. Each time he travelled to a new place, he kept noticing a consistent pattern that repeated itself throughout nature. The sequence he defined was as follows. 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144… Basically, all you do is take the last two numbers and add them up to get the next number. 0 + 1 = 1 1 + 1 = 2 1 + 2 = 3 2 + 3 = 5 3 + 5 = 8 8 + 5 = 13 And so on… Fibonacci first contrived this pattern through a pair of breeding rabbits but he then saw this pattern throughout nature - in the breeding of honeybees , the shape of seashells as well as plants. This sequence also applies to trading and investing charts and is called the Fibonacci Retracement indicator. The Fibonacci Retracement indicator is used to help identify possible support and resistance levels for any market. The idea is all high liquid markets tend to move, to and retrace back, to certain levels after a big price move. The indicator is used to calculate the ratios and percentages using the Fibonacci sequence. Let’s look at an example with the South African JSE ALSI 40. Fibonacci on the JSE ALSI 40 Looking at the above daily chart of the JSE ALSI 40, you can see the index has fallen from a Swing High point of (100%) at 70,522 down to a Swing Low point (0%) to 65,386. On your platform, when you add the Fibonacci Retracement tool onto your chart, you'll drag it from the swing high to the swing low price of the uptrend to see six main horizontal fib lines present themselves: Fib line #1: 100% (Swing high) Fib line #2: 61.8% Fib line #3: 50% Fib line #4: 38.2% Fib line #5: 23.6% Fib line #6: 0% (Swing low) Traders use these lines to establish and identify supports (floor) and resistances (ceiling) levels. And with these levels you’ll be able to spot good entry, stop loss and take profit price levels. Once you draw the Swing High and Swing Low on the JSE ALSI 40, the Fibonacci lines will be plotted on the chart. You would also have seen the market then went to one of the high points at 61.80% at 68,560. The price then retraced back to the 23.6% level at 66,598. So you can see where we are going with this. As a reversal trader, you could have sold (gone short) the index around 68,560 and held it until it hit the 66,598 line at 23/6%. That’s where you would have banked a gain just by waiting for the market to bounce off a fib line. That’s a good introduction and a different way for you to trade and use the Fibonacci Retracement tool with your trading in 2024. Let me know if this was helpful!
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
1
Upside potential unlocked as bears hibernate - Alt frenzy? Bitcoin has passed through the fib values of 0.618 and 0.615, known as the "golden ratio". A compelling zone to indicate that there will be a test for support on the longer time frame. Once we can establish support, which given FOMO, may even shoot through the 0.75 before finding a footing on the weekly. Bitcoin, once support on the longer time frame is poised to enter a Bull market opening up alt coins to shine in the next foreseeable future
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by dasBoot
6
Long term *reliable* Fibonacci levels - lose or rally up? The Fibonacci levels are projected based on weekly price move of BYBIT:BTCUSDC.P from August 2020 till January 2021 . For reliance discovery please follow yellow arrows. These significant price reaction are happened after revealing the levels. This shows these Fibo levels are highly reliable and has proved it can project the resistance and support levels with higher trust and accuracy. But still it is projection and anytime can be expired. We are now over an important level of ~48900, obviously we have 2 scenarios for next ~2 weeks; 1) remain 2) lose Right now there are still 6 days until weekly close, I would expect it closes under this level in upcoming 2 weeks. Unless, we will ride up till ~55500 level. Based on market behaviors it would be logical and stronger to range between 38221 and 48900 for sometime and then rally up. What is your opinion?
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by Rezakaz
Tricky Moves for GBPUSDPure technical analysis. After making a bullish move from November 23, 2023, GBPUSD has completed Elliott Waves (first 12345), and then made a sideways movement since mid-December 2023. In this sideways movement, GBPUSD made micro-Elliott Waves and has completed them. The extension of this wave is predicted to complete leg 3 of the second 12345 waves in the range and reverse downwards. On this large time frame (D1/H4), this is a retracement to the bullish wave in the previous large time frame. In the small time frame (H1), this is an opportunity to sell GBPUSD into the 0.618 Fibonacci zone of the large time frame, which is the flip zone area as well as the area that still leaves an imbalance wide enough to be filled. Another reason to sell is the divergence on the oscillator which indicates buyers are starting to get exhausted. To enter, wait until the price reaches the middle or top of the range, where there is a lot of equal high liquidity (range 1.27100 - 1.28250). Pay attention to price movements in smaller time frames (M5 - M15) to get an entry sell position. We prefer to enter at the 1.27040 level or higher and aims for 2R to the support zone at 1.23710 that acted as 0.618 fib level of the higher time frame, as well as the former bullish flip zone. Stop loss is at 1.28700 to avoid stop loss hunting/purge. Cancel the setup if the price exceeds 1.28166 with high volume. Note: if the price reaches take profit and shows reversal symptoms, take a buy position. Analysis will be provided later.
Short
by adittiaduilocca84
2
Sellers are Ready for EURUSDPure technical analysis. EURUSD appears to have completed the 4th leg of Elliott Waves and is approaching previous support at 1.07464. There is still 1 leg of the Elliott Wave left to be fulfilled (leg E) which is predicted to be a pullback to the 0.618 Fibonacci zone, where there is equal high liquidity to be taken and then EURUSD will start a new wave (12345). For entry, wait for a pullback to the 1.01000 - 1.10485 zone and wait for signs of reversal (engulfing candles or double/triple top in the smaller time frame). Ride the bearish waves to the strong support zone at 1.06110, an area that was previously also a flip zone. Stop loss at level 1.11135 or slightly higher to avoid fakeout (stop loss hunting/purge). Cancel the setup if the price rises to 1.11135 with high volume.
Short
by adittiaduilocca84
BTC near term Retrace zones of interest: 40.4k a MUST HOLDThe current bounce wave looks to be done. Now we watch and prepare at each support. Which supports hold or not will be telling. 42,789 is the first support, a Genesis fib. 42,200 is next, Covid + local fib confluence. 41,405 is a minor support that may slow bears. 40.4k is the CRITICAL support that bulls MOST HOLD . This is an update to the fib picture idea posted here: ================================================================================================
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EuroMotif
BTC in the most important zone of this Bull RunBTC is currently hovering within a very important zone. Zone is defined by confluence of Genesis and Covid fibs. These high timeframe fibs have caught all major turns. The zone of relevance is $ 42,200 to 42,789 (on coinbase). This may be a turning point into retrace before continuation. Bulls' best strategy will be to hold this zone thru the weekend. Strong break should jump to 45K then 52k very quickly. Rejection here could send us to new lows around 32k. So it is the most important zone for this halving cycle. . These two fib sequences are posted individually as well: The full Genesis Sequence: The Covid Stimulus series:
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EuroMotif
4
$TLT - 20 year US Treasury, possible support -I'm huge ultra BULLISH on US treasuries currently, so please excuse my bias. Not in any specific order, however here are all the factors in this thesis... 1. Interest rates have dramatically increased since Jan 2021, and the overall bond market, including treasuries, had its worst 2 years on record, going back to 1915. 2. Since Nov 2022 just after Halloween, Jerome Powell, "top FED dude", has already said that interest will no longer get increased and that there's possibly three RATE CUTS this year 2024. Even if he said, "Rates will remain unchanged" is enough to make treasuries bounce back to even. (par value). 3. Looking at everything in Barron's most recent "Top Income Plays for 2024" from last week, US Treasuries now offer the most bang for buck interest rate 4.10% with the lowest risk, compared to every other income asset in that article. (i.e, Dividend stocks, muni bonds, REITS, preferred stocks, etc.,) 4. US treasuries are back by the full faith of the US Government. 5. There's now a website that tracks Congress women & men trades, capitol trades.com. And there's A LOT of them buying US Treasuries. 6. There's massive geopolitical risk right now and WW3 is now a word being used. 7. Bottomline: between the yield of +4% and the upside appreciation of treasuries being at the biggest discount in US History, I believe any pull back should bought. 8. COMPLIMENT OPTION STRATEGIES A. You could buy 100 shares of TLT and the following are low risk option strategies to compliment your 100 shares of TLT. i. Sell short term (30 days out) 1 call. If you buy 100 shares of TLT, then you can sell 1 covered call on TLT out of the money OTM, and take that premium and purchase another share of TLT. think "snow ball" effect. The strike I am selling on 1000 shares of TLT is Ten $98 strike TLT calls with 2/23 expiration. Then take that money and bought 10 additional shares of TLT. ii. If you want to get fancy with this, you can also add to the above covered call BUY WRITE and do a VERTICAL PUT SPREAD, aka Credit Put Spread to add to the income (which adds to the "Income Snow Ball" of something that is appreciating. Mo Money Mo Money! a. Sell $90 strike Put on TLT, 30 days out b. Buy $87 stake Put on TLT,, same exp, to cover your short put. c. This produces an extra $200 which you could spend on blow (or groceries) or you can buy 2 more shares of TLT. Weeeeeeeeeeeeee! thats capital generating income, that's generating income, being used to buy more of the thing that's appreciating in value, that's also generating income. THAT'S A LOT OF CHEDDAR!! After one month, THEN REPEAT. :)
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by jgeno
1
GOLD, SHORTGold has been on an uptrend path since a new low was updated at 1812 (Friday, 6th October 2023. The bulls took over from 1812 until there was a break of structure when the price updated the LH from 2013 (11th January) to 2002 on Wednesday, 17th January 2024. The break of structure could mean that if gold price fails to retest the recent HL of 2061 on the Daily, then the recent LH of 2002 will be retested in an attempt to update that LH to possibly 1974. Price is expected to retrace to at least 50% level in 2020 before a potential rise to retest the 2060 level but the price is expected to have a strong resistance at 2045-2048 level. However, the fundamentals lining up for the week (Flash Manufacturing PMI, advance GDP m/m, unemployment claims, Core PCE price index m/m would actually determine the direction of the gold pricing and it is necessary to keep an eagle eye on the event proceedings. A failure to break up the 2045-2048 resistance could mean the SELLERS may drive down the GOLD Price to 2002 and further plundering down to 1974 to confirm a new low update.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by AbeikuGlobal_FX
1
Invest in Bitcoin: Analyzing Market with Fibonacci PitchforkAre you considering investing in Bitcoin but unsure of the best time to do so? The past few years have seen a bear market for cryptocurrency, but it's important to remember that markets are cyclical and that prices will likely rise again. One of the best tools to analyze market trends and predict future price movements is the Fibonacci Pitchfork. This tool uses trendlines to identify support and resistance levels and can also be used to project future price movements. According to the Fibonacci Pitchfork, we are currently in the bottom territory of the trend for Bitcoin, which suggests that now may be the perfect time to invest. There is potential for significant price appreciation in the coming months. If you're willing to hold for the long term, this could be an excellent opportunity to get in at a low price. Don't miss out on the potential for significant returns on your investment. Best of luck.
BNC:BLXLong
by Majnoonu