BNBUSDT Potential Bear ActionPotential bearish scenario to this asset. Price action is suggesting a further drawdown to the 239USDT demand region as the actual pullback seems to be accomplished. The reciprocal AB=CD pattern projection is reinforcing this idea, as a Head and Shoulders pattern is likely in formation. Thus, on this hypothetical 30m scenario, the price can made a ranging interacting w/ the neckline. Chaikin Money Flow hidden divergence & below zero + Awesome oscillator twin peaks in formation + Fisher Transform bear crossing.
Fibonacci Confluence
EURUSD weekly outlook: Bearish bias for June weeks 3-4Weekly Outlook (W)
Bear bias until price action establishes an uptrend above 1.1092
6/15/23
Still making higher highs and lower highs
Last week of May just made the last higher low @ Weekly fib 78.6 level
Expectation:
IF
Continues uptrend: reach last HH level or 1.1100 and eventually 1.1250 (27 ext)
If not:
Price reactions from levels below:
1) 0.0865
H&S Weekly line and does a downtrend from there
2) Weekly IMB and OB with BOS down.
INVALIDATION POINT: 1.1092
📈 Fibonacci Power in Uptrends📍 What Are Fibonacci Retracement Levels?
Fibonacci retracement levels—stemming from the Fibonacci sequence—are horizontal lines that indicate where support and resistance are likely to occur.
Each level is associated with a percentage. The percentage is how much of a prior move the price has retraced. The Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. While not officially a Fibonacci ratio, 50% is also used.
The indicator is useful because it can be drawn between any two significant price points, such as a high and a low. The indicator will then create the levels between those two points.
📈 To effectively trade Fibonacci retracements during an uptrend and strategically enter the market during pullbacks, follow these steps:
🔷Identify the uptrend: Determine the presence of a clear upward price movement.
🔷Apply Fibonacci tool: Utilize the Fibonacci retracement tool to identify potential retracement levels within the uptrend.
🔷Focus on pullbacks: Wait for the price to experience a pullback or retracement within the uptrend.
🔷Assess Fibonacci levels: Analyze the price's interaction with key Fibonacci levels, such as the 61.8% or 65% zone, to identify potential support or resistance areas.
🔷Higher highs confirmation: Look for the formation of higher highs after the price touches a Fibonacci level, indicating a continuation of the uptrend.
🔷Entry opportunity: Consider entering the market after a pullback when the price resumes its upward movement, using appropriate risk management strategies.
By combining the power of Fibonacci retracements, recognizing pullbacks in uptrends, and waiting for higher highs, traders can position themselves to capitalize on the potential profit opportunities offered by the market.
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$EURUSD Can Jump #EURUSDTraders and Investors,
EURUSD has been falling after reaching one of our long-term targets. Now it is at a junction from which it can make a little jump. The price action is still weak, so we must be watchful and wait for good confirmations.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
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-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
$TSLA Can Fall #TeslaTraders and Investors, Tesla has been in a downtrend and is looking weaker at the moment. It is forming a potential M pattern which can push the price down. A good confirmation may be needed to initiate a position.
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1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
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Take care and trade well
-Vik
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📌 DISCLAIMER
The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
$EURCAD Can Rise Now #EURCADTraders, EURCAD has been falling nicely and gave us a very good short trade. Now it has completed an M pattern in a medium time frame. When the M pattern completes the market goes up. So we can expect this market to rise up any time.
Beware that this can still form an extended M pattern as we have a trend lines cross. So trade what you see and only with a confirmation.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
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✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions, and questions.
Take care and trade well
-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
$NZDCAD Can Rise On An M Pattern #NZDCADTraders, NZDCAD has been falling nicely and gave us a very good short trade. Now it has completed an M pattern in a medium time frame. When the M pattern completes the market goes up. So we can expect this market to rise up any time.
Please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍🙂
Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
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✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions, and questions.
Take care and trade well
-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
#NASDAQ Can Go Higher $NQ $NDX On The Higher Time FramesTraders, We have been bullish since the last quarter of 2022 on this market. NASDAQ now is reaching a point of a possible breakout. Short term it can go a down a bit but on this higher time frame, it is still forming a bigger W FCP Pattern which means that it is still on its target to reach higher levels.
Please note that the chart is Weekly timeframe.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade setups, and updates on this analysis
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Take care and trade well
-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
$EURGBP Can Fall Down Further Before Rising Up #EURGBPTraders, EURGBP last week showed a rejection from the 200 sma. It fell a bit from there. We have a potential M pattern forming on the daily time frame. So it can continue to fall until it reaches one of the FCP zones where it can bounce upward again.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade setups, and updates on this analysis
✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions, and questions.
Take care and trade well
-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
$DXY Latest Analysis #DXY #USDOLLARTraders and Investors,
It is still consolidating. I tried to go higher in the last week of the last month but failed to keep the breakout. There is a double bottom below which can target liquidity but trade what you see. It may or may not happen. Below this, we have 100 as the psychological level. A possible W pattern is also forming. It is not confirmed yet and is just a scenario (possibility) for now to consider. The higher time frame levels are there on the chart.
Please check USDCHF and USDJPY analysis too as they can give strength to DXY.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
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-Vik
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📌 DISCLAIMER
The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
$CADJPY Can Rise #CADJPYCADJPY has a similar pattern as USDJPY. Please see the attached USDJPY analysis:
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
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📌 DISCLAIMER
The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
$GBPUSD Watch These 2 Zones On #GBPUSD Traders and Investors,
GBPUSD has been very bullish but the recent price action has started to show signs of fatigue. So watch these 2 zones (as marked on the chart) for a possible correction downward or trend reversal. A proper confirmation will be needed as the trend has been strong.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
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-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
$USDJPY Can Rise #USDJPYTraders and Investors,
Overall on the monthly and weekly time frame, it is still bullish although it fell down from the 150 level. Once this sort of thing happens, it is natural for the price action to revisit areas around previous highs to form a W pattern. USDJPY created a double top this week and fell down. now we are watching a few zones and the trend lines which can provide support to the price. If the price gets supported it can target that liquidity above the double top. This also can lead it to rise higher to complete a W pattern. The formation of the W pattern is bullish and the completion is bearish. So whilst it will be making a W pattern, it is expected to rise higher.
So watch out for these levels and trend lines in the coming weeks.
Check UDSDCHF also pointing a little bullish pattern here:
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
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____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
$USDCHF Can Rise Soon #USDCHFTraders and Investors,
USDCHF has completed a weekly M pattern as we approach the end of this week. Remember this is a weekly time frame pattern so may take days and weeks but we can expect USDCHF to rise upward because of the M pattern and trend line. This can impact EURUSD inversely and also can give strength to DXY (USDOLLAR) which in turn can impact all asset classes.
Last week (the last week of April) a rise in this gave strength to DXY. This can happen again. So beware of this potential bullish pattern.
DXY, on the other hand, has a possibility of W formation of a smaller time frame which can push the price up
There are also a few gaps left on DXY as below in the chart. Bearea that we have a potential double bottom and 100 psychological number. So the market may try to come down to collect liquidity below the double bottom and 100 number. But even in that case, the potential bullish W pattern will still be valid.
Please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍🙂
Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade setups, and updates on this analysis
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____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
$GBPJPY Can Go Much Higher #GBPJPYTraders and Investors,
GBPUSD fell to multi-decade lows last year and since then it has been consistently rising up. Whilst GBPUSD itself was not moving that sharply up, other pairs such as GBPJPY showed much higher strength. GBPJPY last week/month crossed an important barrier. If this trend line and this correct resistance level are broken and confirmed, GBPJPY can rise much higher into FCP zones as marked on the chart to complete potential W patterns.
Please note that this is a Weekly/Month time frame so it can take months with a lot of ups and downs.
Please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍🙂
Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade setups, and updates on this analysis
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____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
BTCUSDT ZIGZAG heading to 19600USDTBTCUSDT entered in a downtrend on a corrective intermediate Zig-Zag pattern, in which minor wave-(A) is potentially aiming the greater demand @ 19600. A swing trading plan can be made easily based on supply and demand theory, avoiding to trade in the grey sectors, so-called equilibrium zone.
📊 Fibonacci Trading: Extension LevelsThe Fibonacci retracement tool plots percentage retracement lines based upon the mathematical relationship within the Fibonacci sequence. These retracement levels provide support and resistance levels that can be used to target price objectives.
Fibonacci Retracements are displayed by first drawing a trend line between two extreme points. A series of six horizontal lines are drawn intersecting the trend line at the Fibonacci levels of 0.0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%.
📍 How this indicator works
The percentage retracements identify possible support or resistance areas, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 100%. Applying these percentages to the difference between the high and low price for the period selected creates a set of price objectives.
Depending on the direction of the market, up or down, prices will often retrace a significant portion of the previous trend before resuming the move in the original direction.
These countertrend moves tend to fall into certain parameters, which are often the Fibonacci Retracement levels.
📍 Calculation
Fibonacci numbers are a sequence of numbers in which each successive number is the sum of the two previous numbers:
1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, and so on.
📍 What Are Fibonacci Extensions?
Fibonacci extensions are a tool that traders can use to establish profit targets or estimate how far a price may travel after a pullback is finished. Extension levels are also possible areas where the price may reverse.
Drawn as connections to points on a chart, these levels are based on Fibonacci ratios (as percentages). Common Fibonacci extension levels are 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%, 200%, and 261.8%.
🔹 Because Fibonacci ratios are common in everyday life, some traders believe these common ratios may also have significance in the financial markets.
🔹 Fibonacci extensions don't have a formula. Rather, they are drawn at three points on a chart, marking price levels of possible importance.
🔹 The Fibonacci extensions show how far the next price wave could move following a pullback.
🔹 Based on Fibonacci ratios, common Fibonacci extension levels are 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%, 200%, and 261.8%.
🔹 Extension levels signal possible areas of importance, but should not be relied on exclusively.
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LINKUSDT is testing the support right nowLINKUSDT is testing a key level at the $9.1 area, where the market has previously encountered resistance.
This level is important because it has acted as a significant point of resistance in the past, and traders will be closely watching the price action to see if the level is broken. If the price of LINKUSDT is able to break through this key level and establish new support, this could signal a potential bullish trend.
To apply Plancton's Rules in this scenario, traders should wait for the new liquidity and a new breakout to be confirmed before taking a long position. This means waiting for the price to break through the key resistance level and establish new support, which can provide more reliable signals for traders.
So, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
–––––
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ black structure -> <= 1h structure.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
The Ultimate Algorand (ALGO) Analysis - Bottom $0.1618On the 22nd June 2019, Algorand opened at a price of around $3.28 on Coinbase, and slightly higher on Binance.
Over the next few months, it dropped to around $0.1648 (maybe $0.1618 on some exchanges) and then $0.097 at the Covid crisis.
Before the 2021 bull run, in November, ALGO's Support level was around $0.2247 (Point X of the harmonic) before it began its ascend.
In early February of 2021, ALGO topped around $1.8427 (Point A of the harmonic)
This increase is by an exact amount of $1.618, the main number in the Fibonacci sequence.
Coincidence? I don't think so.
After it dropped to Point B of the harmonic, around $0.67, which is a very strong Support/Resistance level.
Notice the number - 0.67 is exactly 2/3 of 100.
If I multiply 0.6667 by 0.6667 I get 0.44444.
0.6667 - 0.44444 = 0.223, the EXACT NUMBER of Algorand's Support level before the bullrun.
OK, now this is getting crazy.
Algorand then increased by 161.8% (A-B) to create Point C (around 2.5589).
It then dropped to around $1.5144 - the 0.444 support level (which I have marked "S"). (Remember that 0.4444 number from earlier? Yeah.....)
The price was then manipulated up to around $2.99-$3.
This manipulation point is a whole new conversation involved with even more complex numbers and I think its best we avoid this in this argument, since it doesn't affect this current idea.
ANYWAY, if we ignore the manipulation which we usually do in these circumstances and create Point C as our harmonic level, we can see that BC is a +1.618% of AB.
Now if we draw a fib between ZERO and A we get 0.618 which is at point B
OR
if we draw a fib between $0.223 (Start of 2021 bull run) and $1.84 ish (Point A), we get the retracement value around 0.707 which is half of the value of 1.414, and 1.414 is the square root of 2.
So AB is (XA x half of the square root of 2) and the next move entails a 1.618 move of that figure.
Crazy maths...
Anyway, In a standard AB=CD HARMONIC PATTERN, we have 3 different variations, AB=CD, AB=CDx1.272 or AB=CDx1.618.
The most common one is 1.272, which is the square root of 1.618.
Now what happens if we measure BC x 1.272?
The answer is a price of ALGO of $0.1618.
As soon as I saw that it hit me.
That's the bottom.
$0.1618, the Fibonacci golden number will likely be the bottom of Algorand in this cycle.
So what is the profit target?
So I checked a few measurements.
I tried CD x 1.618 (if we hypothetically say that $0.1618 is the bottom of Algorand this cycle) and that gave me a figure of around $4.03.
I also did (All Time High minus All Time Low) x 1.272 (the square root of 1.618)
and that gave me a similar figure of around $4.03.
OH ALSO, one last thing...
Algorand is currently in a Bear Flag, the target is around $0.223-0.226 to Buy the bounce. It will go lower around Christmas time, but if you look at the 1.414 level (square root of 2) of the Bear Flag, it also reaches the same point around $0.1618!
Fibonacci Retracement Levels In Forex TradingBoth novice and seasoned traders use Fibonacci levels as one of the most common and universal strategies when trading forex and other markets. It is a well-known fact that market prices incline toward levels where the bulk of market orders are gathered. Such levels can be found and predicted using a variety of ways.
Systems for trading are built on a variety of levels. Since traders first realized that the price fluctuations of some assets frequently followed the Fibonacci number sequence, the Fibonacci levels have been employed in trading. The standard Tradingview trading platform, which is currently the most well-known and in demand, includes the tool because of how useful it is.
Leonardo Fibonacci, who was born in ancient Italy, discovered a straightforward numerical sequence that is utilized globally and is consistent with a wide range of natural occurrences.
The order is as follows: 0 followed by 1, then 1 (0+1), then 2 (1+1), then 3 (1+2), followed by 5, then 8 (3+5), etc. It appears that the Fibonacci sequence is the sum of the two numbers before it.
An intriguing ratio may be calculated using these numbers: 0.618 is the result of dividing the first by the second (regardless of which of the numbers in the sequence are taken). And you get 0.382 when you split the numbers by one. The "golden ratio" is this set of fractions, and it appears frequently in nature, a striking example is a spiral like the seeds in a sunflower.
The following are the trading-related Fibonacci correction levels: 0.236, 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, and 0.764.
Levels of expansion are 0; 0.382; 0.618; 1.000; 1.382; and 1.618. It makes no sense for traders to manually calculate any of these figures, which are all calculated from the sequence. The key is to comprehend how they operate, what they are used for, what data they offer, and how to make effective use of them when trading.
Special indicators that automatically draw lines on the chart or symbols in the trading platform are used while trading with Fibonacci levels. Retracement levels can be utilized for a number of purposes, such as support and resistance, to start trades, and to set stop orders. The usage of extension levels by traders for take-profit placement. Based on swings, or candles with at least two upper highs or upper lows on the left and right, Fibonacci levels can be applied to a chart. Additionally, bear in mind that Fibonacci levels for forex are a trending technique and are not applied during periods of consolidation. When the trend is upward, the price tends to retreat from Fibonacci-based resistance levels; the opposite is true for downtrends and support.
Fibonacci Levels in Forex: How to Use Them
Almost all charting applications contain Fibonacci retracement levels. Fibonacci lines are regarded as the most flexible and understandable option, however others also use fan lines, arcs, and time periods as typical tools.
What do you need to know about Fibonacci numbers in order to trade?
Values are calculated as 23.6, 38.2, 50.0, 61.8, and 76.4% on a scale of 0 to 100. The primary signal for foreseeing likely future price fluctuations is these ratios (prices often bounce back from levels). The indicator shows levels on the price chart and allows forecasting of future price changes.If you want to manually trade using the price chart or the software, you can select to display correction levels. To do this, drag the cursor from the bottom point of the trend to the top point. There will be five horizontal lines that display 0, 38.2, 50, 61.8, and 100% (an additional line showing 23.6% can be added).
Depending on whether Fibonacci is trading above or below the lines, the lines can be utilized as support or resistance levels. The levels activate more frequently as the time span becomes longer. Finding a downward trend, appropriately stretching the Fibonacci lines, waiting for confirmation, and placing an order are the essential duties of a trader. Numerous strategies for using numerical series in trading exist.
How Fibonacci Levels Work And How To Use Them In Trading
Trading professionals can examine the changes in asset values by using Fibonacci numbers that are displayed as lines on the chart. As a result, resistance/support levels are established, and the degree of a trend movement's already-started corrective is examined.
The price typically follows the guidelines of key levels on the Fibonacci lines. Therefore, there is a strong likelihood of a price reversal at the level, for instance, if the price crosses the line. Fibonacci retracement levels are particularly helpful for discovering pullback levels, for establishing the conclusion of a pullback, and for the continuation of price movement along with the trend because pullbacks are a natural part of every trend.
The key correction levels are created by the interrelations between a trend and a correction shown by Fibonacci levels, which have recovery probabilities of 38%, 50%, and 62%. It only takes placing a grid over critical spots to see that pivotal price levels frequently cross Fibonacci percentage lines. Fibonacci levels and graphical patterns can be used to coincidentally determine market entrance and exit points. Opening profitable trading positions after a collapse or rebound from a level is beneficial.
Trading professionals frequently employ Fibonacci lines to place Stop-Loss and Take-Profit orders. To avoid being caught by an unintentional pullback, it is preferable to position the Stop-Loss order above the levels (for the recovery from which the trader is counting). Take-Profit levels are based on Fibonacci extension.Remember that on a price chart, the support/resistance areas that coincide with the Fibonacci net levels are viewed as further support for the lines' significance.
This instrument is the foundation of many trading techniques. Beginners should be aware that there is no definitive interpretation of the Fibonacci technique; it is merely a point of reference. Trading systems frequently incorporate Fibonacci levels with other technical analysis tools because this technique can occasionally fail to corroborate the signals.
Importance Of Different Fibonacci Levels
Expert traders claim that not every Fibonacci level behaves the same way on a price chart. Before using the instrument for trading, some regularities should be studied.
Fibonacci levels and their importance in trading:
23.6 - weak, a clear confirmation is required to use it in trading.
38.2 - an important level, the price of the asset bounces from it for further consolidation.
50 is intermediate in importance between the two previous levels and gives a high probability of trigger.
61.8 - strong, like 38.2.
76.4 - 80.9 is a strong level as well.
The likelihood of a profitable trade is quite high if we consider the strength of the levels, trade in line with the trend, weed out erroneous signals using a straightforward extra indicator, and avoid using low time frames. Additionally, it's critical to remember risk management and trading psychology's fundamental principles.
Advice for using 38%, 50%, and 62% levels effectively
Stretched between the trend's minimum and maximum, a grid is drawn on the graph. On the charts, three to four separate time frames with longer value movements can be displayed in various colors. Numerous Fibonacci levels will be displayed on the graph, allowing for analysis. Usually several of them exactly coincide on various time scales, therefore they are regarded as significant support/resistance levels.
These three can be utilized to enter positions and exit open ones because fibonacci numbers have potentially important levels. These price retreat levels by themselves are not what drives price movement; if this line doesn't have the appropriate support, it will simply go to the next. More accurate signals are produced by combining Fibonacci with other tools (such as Moving Averages, trading channels, reversal patterns, etc.).
A significant resistance/support level is 62%. When it is attained, the price frequently starts to vary erratically. When the price surges past the 62% level and moves on to the 70–75% retracement level (before returning to the 62% level), you can place an order. When two to three further crossover signals are received, trades can be initiated from deep retracement levels. It is preferable to avoid entering if there are no cross confirmations. It's also a good idea to keep in mind that once the correctional movement reaches the 62% pullback level, it may go on to reach 100% in the chosen time frame and stop the trend.
Fibonacci Levels: How to Use Them in Forex Trading
Fibonacci levels can be used relatively easily. The most crucial levels in forex trading are 23.6% and 38.2%, 61.8% and 76.4%. They are used to identify price pullbacks; when one appears on the chart, one should wait for a favorable price before joining the impulse (enter the movement at the moment of a pullback).
When there is a significant market movement, the asset's price can drop by up to 23.6%, 38.2%, or even 50%. These ranges are regarded as ideal. Price increases of 61.8% or more may signal the beginning of a trend reversal.
The Fibonacci levels should be drawn correctly:
-Finding the price impulse.
-Plotting the grid on the chart.
-The expectation of a pullback to 23.6% or 38.2% or 50% to enter the market.
-When there is no pullback, the price keeps moving, updating the lows/maximums, it is worth pulling over the grid based on new local extrema.
-In this case, it is important not so much to determine the levels as to understand whether the current price movement is a correction concerning the previous one or the beginning of a new trend.
When Fibonacci Correction Levels Do Not Work
Fibonacci levels are not 100% reliable signals; they are more like rough guidelines that give information about the movement that is likely to occur. Fibonacci levels can also be broken occasionally, just like support/resistance levels can. There are many exceptions to the rules, therefore it is advisable to check the signals with additional tools and to take the maximum precautions when opening any position.
The levels need to be carefully worked, refined, and filtered on a regular basis. Sometimes levels might be crossed, and the bounce occurs at 61.8 instead of 50%; other times, the price skips levels and views essential ones as weak and unimportant ones as important. Because of all these features, it is important to be able to combine different tools in a strategy and constantly gain experience trading with the selected tools.
Conclusion
The suggested strategy broadens the potential uses for trading with Fibonacci levels. You can use it to your advantage so that practically any corrective movement—not just ones that conclude at 38.2% or 61.8%—will be beneficial. You must be able to accept what the market offers you since it doesn't always move that well.
Bitcoin Starting Wave III run to ~20,000 with ~16,250 S/LBullish continuation for D1 through W1 on BTCUSD after confirming the higher high on the D1 timeframe from late December. W1 timeframe showing promise to close near the late November weekly high, confirming the higher low from mid November and continuing up towards 20,000 with a stop loss around 16,250.
Entry at ~17,000 should have a good Return to Risk ratio of 3:1 but a drop to ~16,650 is possible. Using the same S/L would yield ~9 R/R. I would suggest starting a small position at ~17,000 and adding down to ~16,650 with all stop losses at ~16,250.
Targets and Stop Loss are based on fib retracements and expansions and a bit of a fast and loose Elliot Wave, assuming the run from ~15,460 to 18,450 was Wave I. Wave III will target the 20,000 area since Wave IV should be approximately half of Wave II and needs to start above where Wave I ended.