Technical Analysis of XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – 4H ChartTechnical Analysis of XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – 4H Chart
1. Review of Last Week’s Trend
Strong Uptrend: Gold prices have been steadily rising over the past week, particularly after breaking the structure (BOS) and confirming bullish pressure.
Breaking Resistance Levels: The price has moved above the equilibrium level and the PDL (Previous Day Low), approaching the premium zone.
Resistance at 2800 - 2820: The red zone (Premium) indicates a strong resistance area where the price has reacted and formed a weak high.
2. Forecast for the Upcoming Week
Possible Price Correction: Since the price has reached a strong resistance level (red zone), a potential pullback may occur. The PDH (Previous Day High) could act as support.
Key Support Levels:
PWH (Previous Week High)
2760 (aligned with the white moving average)
2740 - 2725 (aligned with the green and yellow moving averages)
Two Possible Scenarios for Next Week:
If the price breaks above the 2820 resistance: The uptrend may continue towards 2840 and 2850.
If the price fails to break resistance: A correction towards the mentioned support zones is likely.
3. Impact of News on Gold
Trump’s Policies & Geopolitical Tensions: The U.S. warning to Iran regarding Trump could increase market uncertainty, which generally benefits gold.
Inflation Expectations & Fed Policies: Any signs of potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could further boost gold prices.
Economic Data: The release of U.S. employment and inflation data in the upcoming week could significantly impact gold’s movement.
Conclusion:
✅ The overall trend remains bullish, but a pullback from the 2820-2800 resistance zone is possible.
✅ Key support levels are 2760, 2740, and 2725.
✅ A breakout above 2820 could push prices towards 2850.
✅ Economic and geopolitical news will play a crucial role in price action.
Fibonacci Extension
Bitcoin: Full February plan (125K shortly)Since the price of bitcoin broke out of the falling wedge formation and was successfully retested twice, its price action is incredibly bullish right now! We may anticipate higher prices over the next few days and weeks because there isn't anything particularly negative about the price action.
Three powerful levels are visible on the chart, which you can utilize to guide your trading selections. The symmetrical triangle's 0.382 FIB and POC mark the initial level, which is located at 105,544 USDT. Following a breakout, this level will probably be tested soon. This implies that Bitcoin may surge above $110,000, then return to test this level before rising further. 110,342 USD is the second level price. Because it is the 0.618 FIB extension from wave 1 to wave 2, this level is likewise quite powerful.
We can anticipate a liquidity sweep above this swing high and a brief downturn since it is also above the prior all-time high. At 118,109 USDT, the third level is located. We also have a 1:1 FIB extension, and as you may know, Bitcoin responds to this extension rather consistently, so this is another important level. It's among the greatest.
The Elliott Wave analysis shows that the price action is likewise bullish. Impulse wave 3 has begun, and we have just completed the ABC correction with a 1:1 FIB extension. The 1:1 FIB extension may also mark the end of this wave 3, but we must watch for trendlines, chart patterns, and maybe RSI bearish divergence.
For the upcoming days and weeks, this is my main strategy. The other strategy is that the ABC correction (wave 2) may become a WXYXZ triple three corrective wave if it is not finished.
I'll provide you with an analysis if you leave a comment with your altcoin. For more inspiration, please hit boost and follow. If you have a skilled coach, trading is easy! Since there is no stop-loss or profit goal, this is not a trade setup. I keep my trades to myself. Thank you, and best of luck with your transactions!
Bitcoin - Complete plan for February (125K soon)Bitcoin's price action is currently extremely bullish because the price broke out of the falling wedge pattern and 2x successfully retested it! There is really nothing bad about the price action, so we can expect higher prices in the coming days and weeks.
On the chart we can see 3 strong levels that you can use for your trading decisions. The first level is at 105,544 USDT (0.382 FIB and POC of the symmetrical triangle). This level will most likely be tested in the near future after a breakout. That means Bitcoin can pump to 110k and then come back and retest this level before continuing higher. The second level is 110,342 USD. This level is also very strong because it's the 0.618 FIB extension from wave 1 to wave 2. It's also above the previous all-time high, so we can expect a liquidity sweep above this swing high and then a short-term downtrend. The third level is at 118,109 USDT. This is also a significant level because we have a 1:1 FIB extension, and you may know that Bitcoin reacts pretty reliably to this extension. It's one of the best.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, the price action is also bullish. We have just finished the ABC correction with a 1:1 FIB extension, and we have started impulse wave 3. This wave 3 could end at the 1:1 FIB extension as well, but we need to wait for chart patterns, trendlines, and potentially RSI bearish divergence.
This is my primary plan for the next days and weeks. The secondary plan is that the ABC correction (wave 2) has not been completed, and it can transform into a WXYXZ triple three corrective wave.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
ETHUSD Prepares for Expansion with Targets at $4,689 and $6,279
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD remains bullish, with the EMA ribbon confirming its upward trajectory. The price is currently holding above the critical $3,000 support, which has acted as a rebound level multiple times. Previously, a hidden bullish divergence formed on the Stochastic indicator. A hidden bullish divergence occurs when the price makes a higher low while the oscillator forms a lower low, signaling the continuation of the prevailing uptrend. This divergence is often considered a key signal for bullish continuation. The Stochastic has recently crossed above the zero level, indicating momentum with room to reach the overbought zones.
The Signal Builder tool has previously provided bullish signals, aligning with the current analysis. Entry opportunities could be around $2,927, upon the breakout of the descending trendline, or following the breach of a prior swing high during this pullback phase. Using Fibonacci projections of the last impulse, targets are identified at $4,689 (100%) and $6,279 (161.8%). The stop-loss is positioned below the last swing low before the $3,000 support break, around $2,116.
👨🏻💻💭 Does this analysis align with your perspective on BITSTAMP:ETHUSD ? Share your thoughts below!
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XRP | Bull Flag ContinuationPrice action successfully holding up above liquidity after breaking out from $2.80
As this retest develops it looks like we're forming a bull flag for a continuation towards $4.35 and then to see another rip onwards on the high side of the parallel channel with a second target of around $5.50.
Bitcoin - Crash to 50k in 2026! (Best cycles analysis)In this very detailed and unique analysis, we will look at the most important Bitcoin fundamental analysis of halving cycles. I predict Bitcoin will crash to 50k in 2026, so if you are buying now for the long term as an investment (buy and hold), you can probably wait for a better price!
Statistically, Bitcoin crashes every 4 years by 86% to 77%. The market cap is getting bigger as institutions stepping in, so this time I expect a weaker crash (around 65%). Still, it's a huge crash, and many investors will sell at a loss as usual. Knowledge of the Bitcoin cycles will save you a lot of money.
We are in the final stage of the bullish cycle, and this cycle should end between February and November 2025. When you draw a trendline on the linear monthly chart, you will get a target of around 125,000 USD. This is a good level to sell Bitcoin. I would never listen to moon boys that are screaming that Bitcoin will never go down and Bitcoin will reach 500k or 1M in the next months. That's due to an already big market cap, pretty much impossible. After we finish this bull cycle, we can expect a massive crash to 50k in 2026. For people who are prepared, this may be an incredible investment opportunity. Also, you can short Bitcoin at the top and ride the investment in the opposite direction, plus you will make money on funding fees every 8 hours.
Bitcoin halving is coded to occur once every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every four years, and will continue in this fashion until the final supply of 21 million BTC is reached. It is assumed that the last BTC will be mined in 2140. After that, transaction fees are supposed to be the only source of block rewards for miners.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Can ETH Maintain Its Uptrend and Reach New Highs?
BINANCE:ETHUSDT shows strong bullish momentum after rebounding from the key support level at 2900. The EMA ribbon confirms the upward trend, acting as a dynamic support throughout the price action. The ascending trendline indicates that buyers have consistently stepped in at higher lows, reinforcing the bullish structure.
Using a Fibonacci extension from the previous cycle, potential targets are at the 100% level (5663.56) and the 161.8% level (8618.84). For the bullish scenario to remain valid, the price must stay above 2111; a close below this level would invalidate the setup and signal a shift in market dynamics.
Additionally, the Signal Builder has recently provided upward signals, complementing the technical bullish outlook. If the price maintains the current trend and breaks through resistance levels, it could be poised to test the outlined targets.
👨🏻💻💭 What do you think about this ETH setup? Are these targets achievable? Share your insights!
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The information and publications within the 3Commas TradingView account are not meant to be and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by 3Commas and any of the parties acting on behalf of 3Commas, including its employees, contractors, ambassadors, etc.
Interpretation of support and resistance points and Fib ratios
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There was a change in the chart while I was writing the idea.
Therefore, please refer to the chart attached below.
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(TRUMPUSDT.P 1D chart)
Since the chart was created not long ago, it is practically impossible to analyze it.
However, I will take the time to explain it as an extension of the explanation of Fibonacci ratios.
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(1D chart)
You can check the retracement ratio using the Fibonacci retracement tool on the 1D chart.
(30m chart)
You can check the Fibonacci ratio on the 30m chart and analyze the chart.
However, I think the Fibonacci ratio is a chart tool for chart analysis, so in order to trade, you need to draw support and resistance points by the arrangement of candles.
As I mentioned earlier, since the chart is created not long ago, you can select support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, so even if you draw support and resistance lines, their role is likely to be weak.
Therefore, I think it is better to trade these coins (tokens) in short-term transactions such as scalping or day trading.
If the trading period is long, the psychological burden is likely to increase, which can lead to incorrect trading.
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The HA-MS indicator was activated to indicate support and resistance points.
If you activate the Fibonacci ratio drawn on the 1D chart, it is as follows.
You can see that the maximum range we can trade is 28.0-70.654.
If we go outside this range, a new wave will be created, so new support and resistance points are needed.
At this time, a chart tool that can help interpret the chart is the Trend-Based Fib Extension.
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Since the HA-Low indicator was formed at the 40.245 point, we can see that the low point has been formed.
Therefore, if it shows support near the HA-Low indicator, it is a time to buy (LONG).
Since it has currently fallen below the HA-Low indicator, it is highly likely that it will update the latest low, so it was possible to enter a sell (SHORT) position when it fell from the HA-Low indicator.
As the price falls, I think it is better not to make a new transaction until the HA-Low indicator is newly created or the existing HA-Low indicator rises and shows support.
If it is supported by the HA-Low indicator and rises,
- 46.618
- 63.882-70654
You should check for support in the above section.
If it is not supported, it is a time to sell in parts.
In my chart, the MS-Signal indicator is an important indicator in terms of trend.
Therefore, in order to turn into an uptrend, the price must be maintained above the MS-Signal indicator.
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(12h chart)
The current chart is so new that it is virtually impossible to see the trend.
If you want to draw with the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool, the largest time frame chart you can draw is the 12h chart.
The point where the finger points is the selection point.
(30m chart)
The chart above is drawn with the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool.
The circles marked on the far right correspond to important support and resistance zones.
When interpreting Fibonacci ratios, the 0, 0.5, 0.618, and 1 ratios can be interpreted as key ratios.
Therefore, if it falls below 1, it may fall to around 1.618 (2.198), so caution is required when trading.
The 0.618 (35.663) ~ 0.5 (39.612) section can be interpreted as an important support and resistance section.
Since the HA-Low indicator is formed within this section, it can be interpreted that the role of support and resistance is emphasized.
Even if the Fibonacci ratio is drawn in this way, it can be helpful in setting the timing of trading only when it is interpreted in accordance with the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Otherwise, it is likely that your subjective thoughts will be included and the transaction will proceed in the wrong direction.
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The support and resistance points must be drawn by looking at the arrangement of candles on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts to be activated as support and resistance points.
The support and resistance points drawn on the time frame chart below may have a weak role, so caution is required when trading.
In that sense, I hope you understand the content of this idea as how to comprehensively interpret the Fibonacci ratio and support and resistance points.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Bitcoin - Very bullish, Ethereum will +50% in a week!Bitcoin is currently very bullish, as the price broke the 60-day long range. Bitcoin hit an all-time high yesterday, which confirms the breakout of the range. We can expect 122k to be hit in the near future, but let's take a look at Ethereum, because this is a very good indicator, not only for bitcoin but for altcoins in general.
Ethereum is forming a huge inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. Don't be surprised if ETH starts pumping like crazy; this is probably your last chance to buy it cheap! You can wake up in the morning and see a huge green dildo on the ETHUSDT chart, so you really don't want to miss it. Personally, I would prefer ETH over BTC in the next few days or weeks.
Back to Bitcoin. What we can see on the chart is my Elliott wave count. We are in the final wave (5) of a major impulse wave. It's time to set up your sell orders and prepare for a significant bear market in 2025/2026. I recommend selling Bitcoin around 120k, while moonboys expect 300k or 500k. I stay grounded, I don't think Bitcoin will go exponentially.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
S&P ES Long setup target 6129 / Calls SPY target 605Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (6020.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (Jan 17) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (6129.00).
CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (6129.00), Target 2 at 161.8% (6206.00) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6243.50)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5983.00).
Option Traders : My SPY AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (605), Target 2 at 161.8% (613) and Target 3 at 178.6 (616)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (592).
SONIC - New altcoin, is 10x possible?SONIC is a new altcoin that has been listed on all major exchanges. I received many requests from you to do an analysis on it and if it's worth it to buy. First, let's take a look at fundamentals, then technicals.
The market cap is 202 million dollars ($202.91M) and is ranked #362. There is room to grow, as the market cap is not that high. As the coin is listed on major exchanges, it has relatively good liquidity, and you can trade it on the futures market. You can go long/short, and the volatility is extremely high. Pretty much every retail trader is addicted to volatility because if the coin is not moving, there are no opportunities. Always choose coins that move; you don't want to be stuck in the boring range.
Sonic is the first SVM network extension to launch on Solana, for games and applications. They are partners with Backpack, OKX Wallet, Metaplex, Pyth, Solayer, and more. The Solana network is getting popular, also with the latest TRUMP coin pump. They have 566k followers on Twitter and the number is rising pretty quickly.
Now, can this coin 10x? Yes, but this will definitely take some time. If you want to trade this coin, which I highly recommend due to its high volatility, you can take the following trade.
On the chart, you can see a descending channel, and I see an opportunity to go long on the next touch of it. Take profit is at the top of the channel or liquidity zone above the previous range, which you can see on the chart. Now, I am very curious - What do you think about this coin? Buy or sell? Let me know in the comment section. Thank you and have success!
BTC 121k and then the Bull Run StartsSo right now we are at about the max of our next consolidation zone which is. almost the local high 109,975.00usd then i think we form a flag or wedge up here as we consolidate then run to 121,676.00usd then the bull run will start....that will trigger the retail into the space.
Example of how to use the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool
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There was a question about how to select the selection point when using the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool, so I will take the time to explain the method I use.
Since it is my method, it may be different from your method.
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Before that, I will explain the difference from the general Fibonacci retracement tool.
The Fibonacci retracement tool uses the Fibonacci ratio as the ratio to be retracement within the selected range.
Therefore, the low and high points are likely to be the selection points.
The reason I say it is likely is because the lowest and highest points are different depending on which time frame chart it was drawn on.
Therefore, in order to use a chart tool that specifies a selection point like this, you must basically understand the arrangement of candles.
If you understand the arrangement of candles, you can draw the support and resistance points that make up it and determine the importance of those support and resistance points.
The HA-MS indicator that I am using is a more objective version of this.
Unlike the published HA-MS indicator, several have been added.
I do not plan to disclose the formulas of these added indicators yet.
However, if you share my ideas, you can use them normally at any time.
The selection point for using the current Fibonacci retracement tool is the point that the fingers are pointing to.
In other words, the 1st finger is the low point, and the 2nd finger is the high point.
One question may arise here.
Why is it the position of the 1st finger?
The reason is that it is the starting point of the current wave.
Therefore, you can find out the retracement ratio in the current rising wave.
In fact, it is not recommended to use the Fibonacci ratio as support and resistance.
This is because it is better to use the Fibonacci ratio to check how much wave is being reached and how much movement is being shown in chart analysis.
However, the Fibonacci ratio can be usefully used when the ATH or ATL is updated.
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If the Fibonacci Retracement tool was a chart tool that found out the retracement ratio in the current wave, the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool can be said to be a chart tool that found out the extension ratio of the wave.
Therefore, while the Fibonacci Retracement tool requires you to specify two selection points, the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool requires you to specify three selection points.
That's how important it is to understand the arrangement of the candles.
The chart above is an example of drawing to find out the extension ratio of an uptrend
The chart above is an example of drawing to find out the extension ratio of a downtrend
Do you understand how the selection points are specified by looking at the example chart?
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The chart above is the chart when the 1st finger point is selected.
The chart above is the chart when the 1-1 hand point is selected.
When drawing on a lower time frame chart, you should be careful about which point to select when the arrangement of the candles is ambiguous.
Examples include the 1st finger and the 1-1 finger.
It may be difficult to select 1-1 and 1 depending on whether they are interpreted as small waves or not.
The lower the time frame chart, the more difficult this selection becomes.
Therefore, it is recommended to draw on a higher time frame chart if possible.
The reason is that the Fibonacci ratio is a chart tool used to analyze charts.
In other words, it is not drawn for trading.
In order to trade, you trade based on whether there is support or resistance at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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BTC new all time highsOn going FIBonacci price targets of BTCUSD.
112,750 1st target, new all time high.
Resistance likely @ previous 108k all time high.
:: See chart for predictive price path.
--- Mid - Late Feburary price price prediction.
::: Speculative assumption on current BTC price action. :::
***Newest local low and price action suggest the new local low bottom with continuation to the up side.
108k should stabilize - followed by 112,750 new ATH target.
Airtel Vs (TTML, MTNL, IDEA) - Pre-Rally Vs Post-RallyHere’s an assertive revision of your content:
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**Why Airtel Dragged While TTML, MTNL, and IDEA Blasted?**
The government’s consideration of waiving 50% interest and 100% penalties on AGR dues created a buzz, and certain "gurus" began hyping a potential rally in **Bharti Airtel**, a fundamentally strong telecom stock compared to **TTML**, **MTNL**, and **Vodafone Idea**.
**But the market did the exact opposite.**
TTML (+16.5%), MTNL (+10.5%), and IDEA (+9.11%) soared, while Airtel struggled below 1%. The question is **why?**
**The Answer: The Importance of Technical Structures, Supports, and Resistances.**
Market participants often assume that fundamentals drive prices. This is the **biggest myth.** Fundamentals (valuations, PE ratios, book value, order books, quarterly results) can create momentum but never dictate its **direction.** Supports and resistances are the **primary drivers** of price movement. Relying solely on fundamentals is like pressing the accelerator while trying to reverse park—damages are inevitable.
Now, let’s review the technical factors behind the explosive moves in TTML, MTNL, and IDEA compared to Airtel’s stagnation.
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### **TTML**
On the **monthly chart**, TTML formed a **bullish flag pattern**, breaking out in **July 2024**. However, the lack of momentum in the telecom sector kept it range-bound until now.
**Key Points:**
1. A **77% correction** from its all-time high (ATH) formed the flag.
2. Sideways consolidation since March 2024 created a **strong base**.
3. This base aligned with the **Fib 0.618 retracement** from the previous high.
TTML was primed for a move. The AGR news provided the necessary trigger, leading to the much-anticipated breakout.
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### **MTNL**
The **monthly chart** of MTNL shows a **multi-decade bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern**. After breaking out, the stock faced resistance at ₹103 and retraced **58.5%**, aligning perfectly with the breakout zone and the **Fib 0.618 retracement level.**
**Why the Rally?**
MTNL’s bounce was overdue, and the AGR news acted as a catalyst, triggering the massive move.
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### **IDEA**
Vodafone Idea, the weakest of the group, also surged 10% (hitting an intraday high of 15% before closing at 9.11%). Despite its struggles, IDEA displayed critical technical alignments:
1. A **65.54% correction** from its previous high.
2. Support at the **Fib 0.786 retracement** level.
3. A bounce from the **bottom of a rising parallel channel**.
Though IDEA lacked the fundamental strength of TTML and MTNL, it still rallied due to the technical setup.
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### **Bharti Airtel: Why Didn’t It Rally?**
**Quarterly Chart** (Right):
1. Airtel has been traveling within a **multi-decade parallel channel**.
2. After consolidating for 13 years, it broke out in **October 2018**, delivering **613% returns** since then.
3. The stock reached an **extended Fibonacci target (Fib 2.618)**—an exhaustion zone.
**Weekly Chart** (Left):
1. Airtel corrected only **15%** from its ATH.
2. It is still in a **lower high-lower low (LH-LL)** bearish formation.
3. The price was at a critical juncture of **two resistances**:
- The **falling trendline** from ATH.
- A **weekly resistance** at ₹1640.
**Verdict:**
Airtel had already rallied significantly before the news and was in an exhaustion phase. Strong resistances at current levels obstructed its movement.
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### **Key Takeaways:**
- TTML, MTNL, and IDEA rallied because they **completed major corrections, formed strong bases, and awaited a trigger.**
- Airtel, having already rallied, was in a consolidation phase with significant resistance levels.
**Conclusion:**
Blindly trading based on news or fundamentals without considering technicals is a recipe for disaster. Fundamentals may create momentum, but the **direction** is always governed by supports and resistances.
A sector-wide news event will not trigger the same momentum across all stocks unless their **technical structures** align. Always combine fundamentals with technical analysis for informed decision-making.
**Disclaimer:**
With over **3 years of teaching experience** in the stock market, including **Technical Analysis**, **Behavioral Analysis**, **Advanced Patterns**, **Emotional Management**, and **News-based Trading**, we are dedicated to educating, not advising on buy/sell decisions.
We are **NOT SEBI Registered** and do not provide specific **Buy/Sell recommendations or calls**. Our primary goal is to deliver **detailed analysis** on how to review charts and offer multi-timeframe perspectives purely for **educational purposes**.
We strongly recommend that our followers **"Learn to Ride the Tide, Regardless of Its Side."**
**Important:** Always consult with a **financial advisor** before making any investment decisions.
If you appreciate our detailed analysis, we encourage you to **rate, like, boost, and share your feedback**.
**- Team Stocks-n-Trends**
Bitcoin - Roadmap 2025 to 2026 (Best plan)This analysis is all you need for 2025 and 2026 from the long-term perspective. Bitcoin is currently in the final stage of the bullish cycle that started in 2022 (15,632 USDT) and is predicted to end in 2025 (around 125,000 USDT). This was a pretty good investment, but if you are jumping in right now, you will most likely get hurt in 2025 and 2026. Let's take a look at history to see what we can expect in the next few years.
Bitcoin crashed by 84% (in 2018) and 77% (in 2021). These are the classic bear market crises that Bitcoin experiences every 3–4 years. It's because we have halving events (reducing rewards for miners in BTC) every 4 years from a fundamental perspective. You may know that Bitcoin is highly volatile. History is telling us that in 2025/2026 a huge bear market and crisis are ahead.
But bitcoin's market capitalization is constantly rising, and big players are entering the market. That's to say there is no longer room for such massive crashes. I don't think we will see an 87% crash like in 2015 or 2021. But 60% is still very likely—this would bring the price of Bitcoin down from 125,000 to 50,000. If you buy now at 100,000 USDT, your investment may shrink by 50% in 2026. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years.
So where to take profit in 2025 and prepare for a massive crash? This is a pretty easy question because we have a long-term trendline (2017 -> 2021 -> 2025) on the linear scale. And yes, I don't use the LOG scale in this case. You want to sell at the touch of the trendline. The second option is to use the Fibonacci extension tool and look for the 1.618 FIB. I did it for you on this chart, and the level to sell is 122,069 USDT.
From the Elliott wave perspective, we are in the final wave (5). We can expect an ABC correction in 2025/2026 which would bring the price down to 50,000. I bring you this very strong technical data that you can use on your trading decisions.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Bull Flag on BTC Daily!!!The cryptocurrency market is once again at the edge of a seismic shift. Following the recent uptrend, Bitcoin (BTC) has established a formidable Bull Flag on the daily chart. By utilizing a trend-based Fibonacci extension on top of the current Bull Flag, we can identify the coveted 'golden pocket' positioned at $126,000, with the subsequent target level at an impressive $185,000.
If historical patterns hold true, this year is set to be another record-breaking period for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Investors and enthusiasts alike should prepare for a potentially parabolic movement. Fasten your seat belts, an exciting journey awaits.
Bitcoin is breaking down right now! (lifetime opportunity)Bitcoin is currently breaking down out of the head and shoulders pattern, as I expected in past weeks. The next support is 85k, and we can hit this support pretty quickly. Bitcoin is known for its huge volatility.
After we hit 85k, I expect Bitcoin to go up and retest the previous neckline of the HaS pattern, which is at around 91k! So you can make 2 trades in the short term. If you watch my posts, you know that 85k is a significant support level. It's the start of the FVG on the daily chart. Between 85k and 77k there is pretty much no price action. That means we can experience a huge flash crash. But let's be realistic: 85k is also a 20% correction from the ATH. Statistically, a 20% crash is when you want to put your buy orders.
1:1 FIB extension corresponds to the ABC correction. We are in Wave C of a corrective pattern.
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S&P ES Short setup target 5811 / Put SPY target 574Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) has already found resistance at the Fib level 78.6% (6057.75) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (Jan 7) has closed below retracement Fib level 38.2% (5963.75). My Down Fib guides me to look for CME_MINI:ES1! to eventually go down to hit first target at Fib level -27.2% (5811.50).
S&P CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 5811.50, Target 2 at -61.8% (5731) and Target 3 at -78.6 (5691.75)
Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (5991.25).
Option Traders : My SPY AMEX:SPY chart (Down Fib from 602.48 to 580.50) shows price to go down to Target 1 at -27.2% (574.52), Target 2 at -61.8% (566.92) and Target 3 at -78.6 (563.22)
Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (591.50).