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Fibonacci Extension

💱NZDUSD - Bounce from 0.618 before further decline NZDUSD is making a perfect move within the previously formed idea. The currency pair breaks the ascending support and falls to 0.618. The target has been reached, But! TA on the high timeframe: 1) Price has passed only the first half of the way. The global target could be 0.6084 or 0.5985 2) Overcame the liquidity area, which is resistance at the moment and the price is heading towards support. TA on the low timeframe: 1) A rebound from 0.618 fibo to the nearest resistance is likely to follow at the moment 2) The resistance at 0.62328 may take the price again, but not let it go up. In this case a rebound or a false breakout with a subsequent fall will be formed. 3) The local trend is downtrending and it can bring the price to 0.61339 rather quickly. Key resistance📈: 0.5 fibo Key support📉: 0.618 fibo, 0.61339
Short
by Gold-Tech
9
S&P 500 Daily Technical Analysis (UPDATED)ES (SP 500) Daily - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Trend Lines , Parallel Channel, Cluster, Confluence, Pitchfork, Gap, Fibonacci Retracement / Extension - Hope it Helps, Good Luck DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by BahamasX
2
Is MSFT's bullish momentum depleted? The uptrend channel A 100% parallel extension of the uptrend channel indicates the strength of this bullish trend. Symmetrical projection: An uptrend N pattern By projecting a 100% symmetry projection of the initial swing from point A to B, and extending it from point C, the target price would be point D at $303.3. Given that the anticipated symmetric pullback to point E did not occur, my expectation is for a further 100% extension from point D. As a result, the target price has been revised upwards to point F at $360.8. Other key levels Resistance The historical highest high at $349.6 is a very strong resistance level, coinciding with the upper band of the channel's 100% extension. The more resistances encountered, the harder it is to break through. Support The 1.5 extension level at $ 332 is a support level that has been tested. Clear price reactions to key Fibonacci levels can enhance the overall significance and value of the analysis. The prior low level, which is at $322.5, can always act as a significant support level. Moreover, it’s a resistance turned support level, making it more important. Possible scenarios If the uptrend continues… When facing the key resistance at $349.6, the market should exhibit a clear movement, like a gap-up opening or a significant bullish candle, to demonstrate its determination. If the bullish momentum is depleted… The market is likely to pull back the price to below the prior low level, which is at $322.5. Compared to the 1.5 extension support level, the level of the prior low holds greater importance. If the 1.5 extension support level is breached, it serves as a mere warning. However, If the level of the prior low is breached, it disrupts the rhythm of a healthy bullish trend and makes price movements difficult to anticipate. Conclusion If the key support at $322.5 is breached, it’s better to step out of the market. Allow the market to stabilize on its own, and wait for a clearer signal before reentering. If not, the uptrend will continue, and the target price remains at $360.8. Hindsight bias part While our target price is $360.8, the prior historical high level at $349.6 represents the optimal target price. Considering the formidable resistance at the prior historical high, I prefer to sacrifice a small portion of potential returns in favor of a higher probability of success. **Not Financial Advice** The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by stock_adelie
NZDCHF → Activity of dynamic sellers forms a triangle FX:NZDCHF is forming a multi-month descending triangle. Globally, the currency pair is under downtrend pressure. What's going on? Buyers are forming the limit zone at 0.5444, sellers continue to press this area since the end of April, thus a descending triangle is formed on the chart, which speaks for itself. False breakdown of the support does not give the result and we see an attempt of another retest of the support level. Formation of the subsequent test or pre-breakdown consolidation will form the momentum that can break the mentioned support and form a bearish impulse towards 0.5350. But, if the buyers hold the zone, the price will head upwards. A breakout and consolidation of the price above 0.5496 will be a buy signal. Support levels: 0.5444 Resistance levels: 0.5496 I expect the support breakout based on the technical feature of the currency pair at the moment. Medium-term target is the support at 0.5350. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
16
NQ: How far can this uptrend go? Channel - There’s a clear uptrend channel. Symmetrical projection: An uptrend N pattern - By projecting a 100% symmetry projection of the initial swing from point A to B, and extending it from point C. - As the expected symmetric pullback to E did not occur, I anticipate a further 100% extension from D to F ($16,733). The target price level aligns with the historical high level, adding significance to the target price. Resistance levels on the way - The price successfully surpassed the previous key resistance level at $15,344 and paused by reaching the upper band of the uptrend channel. (Please refer to the link, "Related Ideas", below for more details.) - The next resistance level is the “Another potential TP” level at $16,216. ( If applying a more conservative initial swing. Please refer to the link, "Related Ideas", below for more details.) Support/ Defence level for bulls - Since the price successfully broke out and closed above the old key resistance at $15,344, we can adjust the prior low level to $14,853. - The level at $14,853 coincides with two key Fibonacci levels: The 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level from point A to “Another potential TP” level (assuming that level G represents the end goal of this uptrend). The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from point C to point F (assuming that level F represents the end goal of this uptrend). - While the new support/defense level for the uptrend is set at $14,853, the ideal scenario for bulls is to observe a shift in the previous key resistance level at $14,344, turning it into a support level. **Not Financial Advice** The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by stock_adelie
BTC to 41K Before Cool OffBTC On the Weekly time Frame. BTC has been in a strong Elliot 5 Wave Impulse Move since the start of 2023. Analyzing the Fibonacci Retracement of the first pull back (wave 2) which occurred in March of this year, we can see an almost perfect touch at the .618 level before wave 3 ensued. In Keeping with the laws of Fibonacci, Wave 3 was the most violent (so far) and ended at the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension - roughly 31KUSD per Bitcoin. Again further validating that this is a text book Elliot 5 Wave Impulse move, wave 3 was followed by a slow, drawn out Wave 4 which consolidated in a falling wedge formation and respected the top of Wave 1 before making a less violent but still respectable move back to 31K (our most recent push up). Now standing in the face of Cryptos greatest resistance level to ever exist, I am expecting further consolidation before eventually breaking 31K and stopping at our next and final Fibonacci Extension, the 2.618; Completing the 5th wave of this Macro Move. Once the target is achieved I anticipate that we will move into an ABC correction and Retrace back to Roughly 25K. Why 25K? When analyzing the structure as one move, a Fibonacci Retracement Tool can be pulled from the Bear Market Bottom, to the 2.618 Level. The .618 Retracement for this entire move lands Bitcoin roughly at 25KUSD per Bitcoin. This technical analysis is to price scale but not time scale. I cannot predict when 41K will be achieved and when 25K will be achieved. If this move plays out this will be the perfect set up as the first leg up into the new Bull Market. the pull back to 25K will be the last time to buy before new ATHs (with the exception of a black swan event of course). I have been tracking this move since March, since my related Ideas.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by AlexSpicer94
2
TESLA: Can the minor uptrend win? Channel - A minor uptrend exists within a main downtrend. For TESLA to officially transition into an uptrend, it must break the main downtrend and surpass the significant prior high at $313.5. Symmetrical projection: An uptrend N pattern - By projecting a 100% symmetry projection of the initial swing from point A to B, and extending it from point C. - As the expected symmetric pullback to E from D did not occur, I anticipate a further 100% extension of the primary bullish momentum (A to B) from D to F ($384.6). The target price level aligns perfectly with the starting point of the primary downtrend, further enhancing the significance of the target price. Resistance level on the way - The significant prior high at $313.5 represents a critical resistance level as the market must break through it to officially reverse the downtrend. Support/ Defence levels for bulls - The prior low at $241 is a key support level that shouldn’t be broken, if the market intends to sustain the uptrend. The level aligns with two critical Fibonacci levels, adding its importance. The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of the primary downtrend from point X to point A. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from point C to point F (assuming the target price of $384.6 marks the end of the uptrend). - If the price manages to sustain above the current level at $268, it would create the ideal scenario for a healthy uptrend. This is because $268 serves as both the original target price at level D and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the nearest downswing from point X to point A. **Not Financial Advice** The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by stock_adelie
3
💱USDCAD - False breakdown and flat formation is possibleUSDCAD formed a head and shoulders after a false breakdown of key resistance. It was at this point that the dollar began to weaken and led the currency pair to test the local bottom at 1.30900 TA on the high timeframe: 1) A false break of resistance sends the price to support at 1.3138 2) Since the forex market is flat more than 70% of the time, the price is likely to form a false break of support and start to strengthen TA on the low timeframe: 1) A false breakout is forming against the local support at 1.31179. A rebound to the resistance is possible 2) Fibo levels can also serve as a magnet for correction. 3) There are high chances of flat formation, the price may form a rebound before further fall. Key support📉: 1.31179 Key resistance📈: 1.31776
Long
by Gold-Tech
8
💱EURAUD - Break of triangle support gives a signal EURAUD failed to break through the resistance at 1.65000. Having formed a false breakdown, the price falls and breaks the support of the ascending triangle, thus opening a red carpet for itself TA on the high timeframe: 1) Price in range. From resistance, price may reach support in the medium term 2) Weakness on the buy side will lead to a quick test of support TA on the low timeframe: 1) a break of triangle support is a strong signal 2) Price breaks 1.6364 and heads towards 1.61868. 3) A retest of resistance is likely to follow. Key support📉: 1.62500, 1.60961 Key resistance📈: 1.63640
Short
by Gold-Tech
1
GOLD → Mid-term perspective OANDA:XAUUSD breaks the uptrend. A break of the support of the bullish price channel ends the impulse to 1893 and forms a smooth transition to the state of consolidation in the flat boundaries On Friday, the price makes a retest of the previously broken support level of 1935. Tandem of technical and candlestick analysis does not give the preconditions for a possible breakout of the resistance in the near future. In the first half of the week the price might again test the 1935-1939 area and make a false-break. The situation looks bearish at the moment, so my main priority is the downside of the price to 1907 with a new attempt to break-through this support. The moving averages are also pointing at the formation of a global flat. 1954-1870. The strong pressure from the sellers is likely to be still present in the market. The medium-term outlook points to a possible further decline. To make a bet on further growth from the technical analysis point of view, the price should break through the resistance area of 1935-1935, and then the momentum to 1960-1981 will be formed. There are some interesting news in the week ahead. The inflation in the west is still high and in that case the gold has negative fundamentals as the Fed continues to aggressively look at the rates. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
19
Nasdaq for the coming week (7/10) Channel - There’s a clear uptrend channel. Symmetrical projection: An uptrend N pattern - By projecting a 100% symmetry projection of the initial swing from point A to B, and extending it from point C. - As the expected symmetric pullback to E did not occur, I anticipate a further 100% extension from D to F ($16733). The target price level aligns with the historical high level, adding significance to the target price. Resistance levels on the way - The price range from $15340 to $15360 is a crucial resistance level zone, as it aligns with multiple key Fibonacci levels. The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the entire downtrend from point X to point A'. The 1.5 Fibonacci extension level from point Y to point A'. - $16216 could serve as another potential target if we apply a more conservative initial swing from Orange point A to point B. Support/ Defence level for bulls - The prior low at $14250 is a key support level that shouldn't be broken, otherwise, the bullish momentum will be difficult to sustain. - In addition to being level D, the level aligns with two critical Fibonacci levels, further enhancing its significance. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the entire downtrend from point X to point A’. Assuming the current high marks the end of the uptrend, the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level of the uptrend from point A’ to point Z perfectly aligns with the prior low level. Key points on the chart. **Not Financial Advice** The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by stock_adelie
2
💱EURCHF - A triangle is formed. We wait for a bounceEURCHF continues to decline and forms a pattern. a break in the support of which will form the continuation of the trend. TA on a high timeframe: 1) A flat is forming. But, the price does not reach the resistance and continues to fall to the support. 2) The retest at 0.97505 might form a breakthrough, which will send the price to 0.97200. TA on the low timeframe: 1) Within the triangle, the price drops to 0.97375. A retest of the figure support and subsequent pullback is possible. At the moment the price continues to form a pattern 2) Within the figure we may buy from support and sell from resistance. 3) I expect strengthening of the price from the support area till the retest, then from the upper border we will consider short set-ups Key support📉: 0.97357 Key resistance📈: 0.97660
Long
by Gold-Tech
6
GOLD → The market is buyback the fall, but for how long? OANDA:XAUUSD makes a retest of local support at 1902, but amid a weaker dollar, the market buys out the drop. The price returns to the range. Global and local trend coincide and have a common downward direction. The price rebounds from 1902 on the background of the dollar weakening from the news on Thursday. It is too early to speak about the global change, because the Fed is still preparing to keep the rates at the same level or even to raise the rates, in which case the dollar will continue its strengthening because of the high inflation. The price comes back to the range and most likely it might strengthen to 1920. But in the medium term I see a continuation of the fall towards 1902 or 1893. Resistance levels: 1920, 1933 Support levels: 1912, 1902, 1893 The market is bearish and most likely, from one of the key resistance levels, the continuation of falling is expected on the background of negative fundamentals for gold. Regards R.Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
23
GOLD → FOMC meeting forms a bearish candleOANDA:XAUUSD is testing 1933 and after the third retest it forms a false-break. A Triple Top pattern (local value) appears on the chart. The price decreases to the support and forms a local consolidation. The retest of the 1912 area indicates to us that the market is preparing for a decline. A pullback to 1920 might be the key maneuver. If the price rebounds to 1912 and continues consolidating near the support, it is a good hint that the market is about to break the support and test the new low. But again, as long as the price is in the 1912-1938 range, it might continue rising above the 1920 level. Consolidation could last for quite a long time. Since at yesterday's FOMC meeting the majority supported holding the previous level or a rate hike, it is a priority to consider selling. A bearish candlestick is forming on the daily chart after the retest of the resistance area. If the sellers are ready with volumes, the price can quickly test the global low in the medium term. Resistance levels: 1920, 1930, 1933 Support levels: 1914, 1912, 1909. The price is squeezed in the 1920-1912 consolidation, the next retest of support may result in a breakout. Regards to R.Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
22
🥇GOLD - Inside the range price breaks support Gold is testing the resistance area of the global trend and breaking the local support. A rebound from 0.382 could reach the retest area and then the downside phase could activate. TA on high timeframe: 1) Price is testing the liquidity area of the global downtrend channel 2) The liquidity zone 1939-1935 is not reached, most likely a market maker trap may follow TA on the low timeframe: 1) A breakout of uptrend channel support forms 2) The price tests 0.382 Fibo and starts to form a pullback. There is a chance of the retest of the channel support or the level of 1932. 3) The price may also strengthen to 0.618 Fibo before declining further 4) The global TA says about the priority of further falling. 5) I think the local correction will end soon 6) The price may stay in the 1932-1910 range all week Key resistance📈: 1932, 1939. Key support📉: 1921, 1910
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Gold-Tech
14
💱EURUSD - A resistance retest is forming. Breakout or rebound? EURUSD is retesting the wedge resistance and the level of 1.09125. But on the D1 the price is trading under the strong resistance, forming a false-break TA on the high timeframe: 1) False breakdown of 1.09125 level. Consolidation and decline below 1.08800 will form further momentum 2) The price is in the "wedge" pattern, breaking through one of the lines will open a new potential after the consolidation. TA on the low timeframe: 1) Price makes a retest of 1.09125. The local trend is ascending, hence it is likely that the price can break the resistance 2) The price will continue growing in case of breaking through the wedge resistance and the level of 1.09125. 3) On the rebound from the wedge resistance, the price will head towards 1.08440 and continue its consolidation in the figure Key resistance📈: 1.09125 Key support📉: 1.08800, 1.08400
Short
by Gold-Tech
9
EURGBP → The market is getting ready to continue falling FX:EURGBP is forming a counter-trend correction to increase liquidity and accumulate potential for a possible further decline. The trend is bearish and now there are signals that could continue the trend Note the local uptrend channel. This is most likely a correction on the background of a bearish trend. Price can't go down all the time, so the market needs to make these maneuvers. The price broke through the support of the correction, we expect the price consolidation. At the moment, the support of the ascending channel and the level of 0.85412 plays a key role. Consolidation below these areas will form entry points for possible sales. The moving averages have moved towards resistance. Impulse is forming. Support levels: 0.85412 Resistance levels: the earlier broken through channel boundary, MA50, 0.86000, MA200 I expect continuation of falling after the price consolidation under the specified levels. Most likely, the trend will continue. Regards, R.Linda!
Short
by RLinda
15
🥇GOLD - A counter-trend correction may end up GOLD is forming a counter-trend correction within the ascending price channel. The momentum appears after breaking through the wedge resistance. But at the same time the price is under strong resistance 1938 TA on a high timeframe: 1) Price forms a global downward price channel. 2) The market is recovering and a retest of the trend resistance area will happen soon 3) Also ahead is the level of 1938, which plays a key role in the mid-term. TA on the low timeframe: 1) The local price channel is forming on the background of a global bearish trend. 2) The price is headed towards the resistance of 1932, most likely, it will succeed to break through this area, as the retest is formed 3) We are interested in the channel resistance at 0.618 Fibo, which may push the price down to the support 4) The correction is formed on the background of a global downtrend. Chances are high that the fall will continue Key support📉: 1921 Key resistance📈: 1932, 1938.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Gold-Tech
21
IOTA: Bullish Butterfly RSI Bullish Divergence (Final Fib Level)IOTA is currently sitting at the 1.272 PCZ of a Bullish Butterfly and this 1.272 extension happens to be the last positive Fibonacci Extension on the linear scale, meaning that this is probably the least risky area possible to buy IOTA and perhaps aim for much higher levels, even as high as 1–2 dollars. Given how tight the entry and price action are, I think as long as it holds above 15 cents, we could see it go for some major Bullish targets.
Long
by RizeSenpai
1
Bitcoin - Huge crash soon! Retest is required (wedge) The price of Bitcoin recently pumped from the falling wedge pattern with a very strong impulse wave. But the problem is that because of that, we have an unfilled FV GAP on a previous breakout point, and the price tends to go back and retest it. Usually, when patterns break, the price tends to go back and retest them! In this case, we can completely retest the wedge at the trendline (which will be a deep retracement) or retest the breakout point of the wedge and fill the FB GAP. In the confluence, we have the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the impulse wave, giving us a pretty good long trade with a solid risk-to-reward ratio. We are going to go down sooner or later; the probability of it is actually very high. But there is also a chance of going higher to 32399 first to take the liquidity above the previous swing high from 2022 before retesting the wedge! It was a huge pump, and buying or speculating on price increases is very risky. I would not do that at all, so rather prepare your shorts at higher prices or at confirmation of the downtrend! From the Elliott Wave perspective, I can already see a completed impulse wave that screams for a retracement. The trendline of the impulse wave is broken, and we could definitely go down next week! This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately. Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Short
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
212