Daily review of BTC interval 4HHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on the BTC pair to USDT, taking into account the four-hour interval. First, we will use blue lines to mark the local uptrend channel in which the BTC price is moving.
Now we can move on to marking the places of support in the event of a correction. And here, in the first place, it is worth marking the support zone from $ 23,361 to $ 22,779, but when we fall below this zone, we can see a drop to around $ 21,883 and even $ 20,406.
Looking the other way, in a similar way, using the trend based fib extension tool, we can determine the places of resistance. First, we will mark the resistance zone from $23,769 to $24,209, when we manage to break it, we have a second zone from $24,445 to $24,744. Once these two zones are broken, we will move towards resistance at $25,121 and then $26,221.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index which indicates that most of the energy has been used, the MACD indicator indicates entering a local downtrend, while the RSI shows a visible rebound, which may give room for new increases.
Fibonacci Extension
nifty it bottomed outnifty it bottomed out
now IT index can be accumulated for longterm and short-term through ITBEES cmp 31.84
short-term
cmp 30556
sl 29508 closing basis weekly
target 33174
risk 3% reward 8%
longterm
cmp 30566
sl 27908 closing basis weekly
target 36064
risk 8% target 18%
buy right sit tight
keep position sizing in check
wealth generation takes longterm
Fibonacci Retracement Levels In Forex TradingBoth novice and seasoned traders use Fibonacci levels as one of the most common and universal strategies when trading forex and other markets. It is a well-known fact that market prices incline toward levels where the bulk of market orders are gathered. Such levels can be found and predicted using a variety of ways.
Systems for trading are built on a variety of levels. Since traders first realized that the price fluctuations of some assets frequently followed the Fibonacci number sequence, the Fibonacci levels have been employed in trading. The standard Tradingview trading platform, which is currently the most well-known and in demand, includes the tool because of how useful it is.
Leonardo Fibonacci, who was born in ancient Italy, discovered a straightforward numerical sequence that is utilized globally and is consistent with a wide range of natural occurrences.
The order is as follows: 0 followed by 1, then 1 (0+1), then 2 (1+1), then 3 (1+2), followed by 5, then 8 (3+5), etc. It appears that the Fibonacci sequence is the sum of the two numbers before it.
An intriguing ratio may be calculated using these numbers: 0.618 is the result of dividing the first by the second (regardless of which of the numbers in the sequence are taken). And you get 0.382 when you split the numbers by one. The "golden ratio" is this set of fractions, and it appears frequently in nature, a striking example is a spiral like the seeds in a sunflower.
The following are the trading-related Fibonacci correction levels: 0.236, 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, and 0.764.
Levels of expansion are 0; 0.382; 0.618; 1.000; 1.382; and 1.618. It makes no sense for traders to manually calculate any of these figures, which are all calculated from the sequence. The key is to comprehend how they operate, what they are used for, what data they offer, and how to make effective use of them when trading.
Special indicators that automatically draw lines on the chart or symbols in the trading platform are used while trading with Fibonacci levels. Retracement levels can be utilized for a number of purposes, such as support and resistance, to start trades, and to set stop orders. The usage of extension levels by traders for take-profit placement. Based on swings, or candles with at least two upper highs or upper lows on the left and right, Fibonacci levels can be applied to a chart. Additionally, bear in mind that Fibonacci levels for forex are a trending technique and are not applied during periods of consolidation. When the trend is upward, the price tends to retreat from Fibonacci-based resistance levels; the opposite is true for downtrends and support.
Fibonacci Levels in Forex: How to Use Them
Almost all charting applications contain Fibonacci retracement levels. Fibonacci lines are regarded as the most flexible and understandable option, however others also use fan lines, arcs, and time periods as typical tools.
What do you need to know about Fibonacci numbers in order to trade?
Values are calculated as 23.6, 38.2, 50.0, 61.8, and 76.4% on a scale of 0 to 100. The primary signal for foreseeing likely future price fluctuations is these ratios (prices often bounce back from levels). The indicator shows levels on the price chart and allows forecasting of future price changes.If you want to manually trade using the price chart or the software, you can select to display correction levels. To do this, drag the cursor from the bottom point of the trend to the top point. There will be five horizontal lines that display 0, 38.2, 50, 61.8, and 100% (an additional line showing 23.6% can be added).
Depending on whether Fibonacci is trading above or below the lines, the lines can be utilized as support or resistance levels. The levels activate more frequently as the time span becomes longer. Finding a downward trend, appropriately stretching the Fibonacci lines, waiting for confirmation, and placing an order are the essential duties of a trader. Numerous strategies for using numerical series in trading exist.
How Fibonacci Levels Work And How To Use Them In Trading
Trading professionals can examine the changes in asset values by using Fibonacci numbers that are displayed as lines on the chart. As a result, resistance/support levels are established, and the degree of a trend movement's already-started corrective is examined.
The price typically follows the guidelines of key levels on the Fibonacci lines. Therefore, there is a strong likelihood of a price reversal at the level, for instance, if the price crosses the line. Fibonacci retracement levels are particularly helpful for discovering pullback levels, for establishing the conclusion of a pullback, and for the continuation of price movement along with the trend because pullbacks are a natural part of every trend.
The key correction levels are created by the interrelations between a trend and a correction shown by Fibonacci levels, which have recovery probabilities of 38%, 50%, and 62%. It only takes placing a grid over critical spots to see that pivotal price levels frequently cross Fibonacci percentage lines. Fibonacci levels and graphical patterns can be used to coincidentally determine market entrance and exit points. Opening profitable trading positions after a collapse or rebound from a level is beneficial.
Trading professionals frequently employ Fibonacci lines to place Stop-Loss and Take-Profit orders. To avoid being caught by an unintentional pullback, it is preferable to position the Stop-Loss order above the levels (for the recovery from which the trader is counting). Take-Profit levels are based on Fibonacci extension.Remember that on a price chart, the support/resistance areas that coincide with the Fibonacci net levels are viewed as further support for the lines' significance.
This instrument is the foundation of many trading techniques. Beginners should be aware that there is no definitive interpretation of the Fibonacci technique; it is merely a point of reference. Trading systems frequently incorporate Fibonacci levels with other technical analysis tools because this technique can occasionally fail to corroborate the signals.
Importance Of Different Fibonacci Levels
Expert traders claim that not every Fibonacci level behaves the same way on a price chart. Before using the instrument for trading, some regularities should be studied.
Fibonacci levels and their importance in trading:
23.6 - weak, a clear confirmation is required to use it in trading.
38.2 - an important level, the price of the asset bounces from it for further consolidation.
50 is intermediate in importance between the two previous levels and gives a high probability of trigger.
61.8 - strong, like 38.2.
76.4 - 80.9 is a strong level as well.
The likelihood of a profitable trade is quite high if we consider the strength of the levels, trade in line with the trend, weed out erroneous signals using a straightforward extra indicator, and avoid using low time frames. Additionally, it's critical to remember risk management and trading psychology's fundamental principles.
Advice for using 38%, 50%, and 62% levels effectively
Stretched between the trend's minimum and maximum, a grid is drawn on the graph. On the charts, three to four separate time frames with longer value movements can be displayed in various colors. Numerous Fibonacci levels will be displayed on the graph, allowing for analysis. Usually several of them exactly coincide on various time scales, therefore they are regarded as significant support/resistance levels.
These three can be utilized to enter positions and exit open ones because fibonacci numbers have potentially important levels. These price retreat levels by themselves are not what drives price movement; if this line doesn't have the appropriate support, it will simply go to the next. More accurate signals are produced by combining Fibonacci with other tools (such as Moving Averages, trading channels, reversal patterns, etc.).
A significant resistance/support level is 62%. When it is attained, the price frequently starts to vary erratically. When the price surges past the 62% level and moves on to the 70–75% retracement level (before returning to the 62% level), you can place an order. When two to three further crossover signals are received, trades can be initiated from deep retracement levels. It is preferable to avoid entering if there are no cross confirmations. It's also a good idea to keep in mind that once the correctional movement reaches the 62% pullback level, it may go on to reach 100% in the chosen time frame and stop the trend.
Fibonacci Levels: How to Use Them in Forex Trading
Fibonacci levels can be used relatively easily. The most crucial levels in forex trading are 23.6% and 38.2%, 61.8% and 76.4%. They are used to identify price pullbacks; when one appears on the chart, one should wait for a favorable price before joining the impulse (enter the movement at the moment of a pullback).
When there is a significant market movement, the asset's price can drop by up to 23.6%, 38.2%, or even 50%. These ranges are regarded as ideal. Price increases of 61.8% or more may signal the beginning of a trend reversal.
The Fibonacci levels should be drawn correctly:
-Finding the price impulse.
-Plotting the grid on the chart.
-The expectation of a pullback to 23.6% or 38.2% or 50% to enter the market.
-When there is no pullback, the price keeps moving, updating the lows/maximums, it is worth pulling over the grid based on new local extrema.
-In this case, it is important not so much to determine the levels as to understand whether the current price movement is a correction concerning the previous one or the beginning of a new trend.
When Fibonacci Correction Levels Do Not Work
Fibonacci levels are not 100% reliable signals; they are more like rough guidelines that give information about the movement that is likely to occur. Fibonacci levels can also be broken occasionally, just like support/resistance levels can. There are many exceptions to the rules, therefore it is advisable to check the signals with additional tools and to take the maximum precautions when opening any position.
The levels need to be carefully worked, refined, and filtered on a regular basis. Sometimes levels might be crossed, and the bounce occurs at 61.8 instead of 50%; other times, the price skips levels and views essential ones as weak and unimportant ones as important. Because of all these features, it is important to be able to combine different tools in a strategy and constantly gain experience trading with the selected tools.
Conclusion
The suggested strategy broadens the potential uses for trading with Fibonacci levels. You can use it to your advantage so that practically any corrective movement—not just ones that conclude at 38.2% or 61.8%—will be beneficial. You must be able to accept what the market offers you since it doesn't always move that well.
Bitcoin - Buy here if you feel FOMO!
The new bull market on Bitcoin started with a strong impulsive structure, which is definitely a positive sign. We have an unfilled CME GAP at 20,000 - 20,450, and there is a very high chance that the market will fill the GAP; I would say 90%. We can fill this gap next week, next month, or next year, believe it or not. It happened during the COVID flash crash.
If we fill this gap, you want to buy as much bitcoin as possible for the long term investment! I expect this bull market to end in September 2025, so we have plenty of time! And what is my ultimate profit target at the end of the bull market in 2025? I showed you the previous analysis, so check it out!
This analysis is a bullish idea, where you can buy BTC if the price drops. If you feel FOMO and you need to buy cheap Bitcoin, then 20,000 USDT is a reasonable price for you. We already bought Bitcoin at 16,500 privately for the long term investment on the spot, and I do not touch these bitcoins.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
On the chart, you can see my main Elliott Wave count. There are multiple valid Elliott Wave counts, but I am not able to show you all of them on the same chart. For example, wave 5 of wave 3 could still be in progress, and we could make an ending diagonal wedge. We should not go below the previous wave 1, which is at 18,373. Otherwise, this Elliott Wave count will be invalidated.
The 0.618 LOG FIB is slightly above the wave 1, so this is like the worst-case scenario if a flash crash occurs to wipe out high leverage longs before continuing higher to 30k.
I am very bullish on Bitcoin and my strategy is to not short Bitcoin at all. It's better to trade longs only at this moment.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Bitcoin will 14x - 342,000 USD - 2025 projection!
Welcome to this professional technical analysis. First of all, I want to say many congratulations to the bulls for this amazing start of the new bull market; it brings a lot of happiness back to the crypto community!
January is one of the best months in Bitcoin's history and also for me because the profits are very high, but now let's take a look at the most important thing, which is the profit target for 2025!
Bitcoin is an extremely volatile asset like no other. Every third year, we experience a brutal bearish retracement with a statistical correction of around 77% - 90%. A good strategy is not only to hold for the long run but also to sell at the top and buy at the bottom. It's not easy, of course, but it's extremely profitable.
If you are a trader, I know you are most likely interested in the next profit target for this bull market. My expectation is that Bitcoin will reach its peak in September 2025, but the question is at what price?
I know more about Bitcoin than anyone else, so let's take a look at it!
Of course, it's very hard to predict the profit target exactly to the dollar. But we can use strong tools such as FIB extensions, trendlines, and chart patterns to determine the selling point and prepare for the next bear market in 2026.
FIB extension is a very powerful tool. We need to use the LOG version and the linear version of the FIB extension simultaneously because they are both valid. On the left side of the chart, you can see a classic linear version, and on the right side, you can see a logarithmic version of the bitcoin price.
The most likely and successful FIB extensions are 0.618, 1:1, 1.618, 2:1, 2.618, 4,618, and 6,618, where we may find a top and begin a new bear market later in 2025.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Trendlines are very powerful as well. We have an upward sloping trendline on both the linear and log scales.Take a look at that! On the log scale, we also have an ascending parallel channel that may have significant resistance at the top of the channel as well!
My conclusion is that the next peak for Bitcoin is going to be around 122,000 USDT or around 330,000 USDT. If we reach the first target and the bulls continue higher, then the second target is definitely acceptable!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
BTCUSDT is testing the 0.618 Fibonacci levelBTCUSDT is testing the 0.618 Fibonacci level as resistance in the long-term technical analysis . The 0.618 Fibonacci level is a key resistance level and breaking above it could indicate further upside potential for BTCUSDT . The next resistance level to watch for is at 26743. However, if the price fails to break above the 0.618 Fibonacci level, it could indicate a potential reversal and a move back down towards the support levels.
The Fibonacci retracement levels also show that the next potential support level is at the 0.618 Fibonacci level, specifically at 21689.56. This is a key level of support, as it has been a significant level of support and resistance in the past. However, if the price fails to hold above the 0.618 Fibonacci level, it could indicate a further retracement and a move down towards the next support levels. This could be a good opportunity for buying the dip.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <= 1h structure.
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
NASDAQ 100 Futures for the week 1/23 to 1/27If the market wants to keep a healthy bullish trend, the excess oversold disruption in box 1 should be reflected with price action in box 2, outside of the yellow box.
And if the level of prior high at 11727 holds as support upon retesting, we can set our target price at 12068.
But if the prior high cannot hold, the market is likely to range. By then, it's safer to wait for the price to break the ranging zone. Otherwise there are too many uncertainties when the market has no specific direction.
**Not Financial Advice**
The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
BTC and ETH are being pumped by Bogdanoff !
The Bogdanoff twins claim they participated in helping Satoshi Nakamoto build Bitcoin. Igor and Grichka Bogdanoff claim to have helped Satoshi elaborate on Bitcoin’s ‘predictive code’.
Bofdanoff twins died in 2022. They were both at the same hospital, Grichka died six days earlier than Igor. The twins also claim to have known Satoshi Nakamoto, the creator of Bitcoin.
There are rumors and conspiracy theories that the Bogdanoff twins can manipulate cryptocurrency prices from the afterlife. Do you think it's true? Let me know in the comment section right now!
Ethereum and Bitcoin are now unstappable, and the FOMO hasn't even started. The fear is still extremely high, and a lot of people believe in lower prices, such as 10k for Bitcoin.
From the technical perspective, you can clearly see a parallel channel on the daily chart that is currently breaking out! This is huge. This channel is also a ZigZag corrective pattern from the Elliott Wave perspective, which is even better!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
There is some resistance on the way up, of course. All of them are pretty significant, and I believe we will reach 4,080 USDT pretty quickly. This seems to be the strongest resistance, but we will see! I want to see the developing market structure and waves to determine the profit target first.
It's absolutely a pleasure to see that the bulls are back, and I wish you massive profits!
Look at my previous idea about ETH, where I told you to buy it almost at the bottom. Check out the related section down below!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Who thinks that this January is the best month ever? Let me know in the comment section!
XLMLikely completed a HTF running Flat which is as follows :
Wave B extends beyond the start of wave A
Wave C finishes above the end of Wave A
Wave A must breakdown into 3 sub wave ABC
Wave B must Breakdown into 3 sub wave ABC
Wave C must subdivide into 5 waves (in the case of XLM an Ending diagonal)
the ending diagonal is a precursor to a strong reversal.
Likely the forever bottoms in around .06c & up only from now on, any dips will be eating up by the XLM bulls & Algos.
SANDUSDT time to retrace?SAND had a huge breakout as I mentioned in my previous idea () where the price printed a clear 66% after breakout and after satisfying our Plancton's Rules.
Not the price is over extended and it's testing the 1.618 Fibonacci level exactly on the supply zone.
We can see how the price formed a clear falling wedge exactly on the weekly support on 0.38$ area and after the false breakout, the market started with the bullish movement.
What's next?
The price could have a retracement until the 0.618 Fibonacci level (the 0.6$ area) if the price is going to lose the current support (0.7$) area, so According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ black structure -> <= 1h structure.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐