BTC weekly falling wedge and bullish signs#BTC/USDT
$BTC in the weekly time frame shows a divergence between RSI and price, also RSI candles are above HMA indicator, and price is above the lower zone of the falling wedge pattern.
🐮 these are some bullish signs that if it remains this way price will make a leg up to touch the resistance zone around $30k which is the same with the upper zone of the falling wedge pattern.
🐻 breaking down from 1.272 fib level will invalidate this scenario and price will drop to 1.414 fib level which is the lower of the lower line of the falling wedge.
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Fibonacci Extension
EUR/USD SELL IDEAStoryline: EU is currently in a bearish condition and has been that way for a minute.
Basically the whole year so far. Last week price action initiated a sell for the continuation of the trend.
Price is currently moving off a weekly OB and headed for 0.95429 which is the -sell side liquidity that lies below the previous range swing low.
0.94655 and 0.87377 would be the levels to look forward to get tagged next.
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Thanks for reading :)
BTC.D - The Alt Season is around the corner! Don't miss it.
The Alt Season is around the corner, I can see it on this chart! It's not a question of if it will happen, but when it will happen.
The lighting network is not supported by major exchanges because they don't want it and it's not in their business plan (as per the statement). This is, at this moment, very positive for altcoins.
It's really important to pick the right altcoins because we are not in 2017 when even scam coins pump.
We have been moving sideways on this chart for a long time, but nothing lasts forever. I expect a breakdown of this bearish rectangle pattern very soon!
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, this structure is very bearish and we should continue down with another impulse wave. From an EW standpoint, an ABC correction has been completed, so there is probably nothing that can stop this downtrend.
ALT SEASON usually happens when the BTC.D goes down. It's usually during bull markets. When we are in a bear market, everyone is selling their altcoins and buying bitcoin instead.
The 0.618 FIB extension from wave (1) to wave (2) is the next target, but I think we can go even lower later.
Make sure to pick the right altcoins. I expect tremendous gains for selected altcoins. You can find them in the related section down below.
For more analysis, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Volkswagen going wild soon Germany's largest carmaker and DAX40 group Volkswagen did not perform well on the stock market in recent months and the share price went south. Since the beginning of the Ukraine war, the price lost slightly over 50% or 126€.
On the overarching chart picture, however, this sell-off is only part of an overarching correction according to my assessment. The market is catching its breath to be able to survive the upcoming wave 3 well.
Due to the current market situation on the indices, especially the strong sell-off in the German economy, the price will probably come down to the 0.887 retracement at the 99€, before the trend direction of the market turns.
From there, a price increase of at least 300% is possible on a multi-year level. The 1.618 extension is at 396€ per share.
I Entered Long on Bitcoin TodayBitcoin broke a temporary downtrend with an impulse up. With the 1 marked on the fib tool, I drew down to where the impulse started from. Noticing that it retraced without a bar close below the 88 percent retracement effectively, I entered the trade. Luckily, it has not reached the 161.8 percent extension of its golden ratio sequence of the pattern that all assets follow.
AUDUSD CONSOLIDATION BREAKOUTPair: AUDUSD
Timeframe: 4H
Analysis: Round number level, trend line, volume profile, support and resistance, consolidation break
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Key Takeaway: Been ranging for some time now and we finally saw some breaks to the downside toward the end of last week, we are looking for re-tests of this broken level of support before shorting as USD has gained some strength pushing this pair down
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Level needed: need a close by —
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Trade: Short
RISK:REWARD —
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DO NOT ENTER OUR SETUPS WITHOUT CONFIRMATION
3 FIBONACCI TOOLS YOU MUST KNOW 💡
Hey traders,
In this article, we will discuss 3 classic Fibonacci tools you must know.
1️⃣Fibonacci Retracement
Fib.Retracement is my favorite fib.tool. It is aimed to identify strong horizontal support and resistance levels within the impulse leg.
We draw this tool based on the high and low of the impulse (from wick to wick) and it shows us POTENTIALLY strong structure levels determined by Fibonacci numbers.
Common Fib.Retracement levels are: 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786.
Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions.
2️⃣Fibonacci Extension
Fib.Extension indicates strong horizontal support and resistance levels beyond the impulse. Similar to Fib.Retracement tool, Fib.Extension is drawn relying on impulse's high and low (from wick to wick) and it shows POTENTIALLY strong structure levels where the consequent impulses may complete based on Fibonacci number.
Common Fib.Extension levels are: 1.272, 1.414, 1.618.
Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions.
3️⃣Fibonacci Channel
Fib.Channel shows strong vertical supports and resistances (trend lines) within the channel. The tool is drawn based on the trend line of a valid parallel channel (based on wicks) and it shows POTENTIALLY strong trend lines from where the market may retrace.
The trend lines within Fib.Channel rest on 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786 Fib.Levels.
Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions.
Remember that Fibonacci's are simply tools in a toolbox. In order to use them properly, you need to build a trading system around them, test it and confirm its efficiency.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
10/5/22 XOMExxon Mobil Corporation ( NYSE:XOM )
Sector: Energy Minerals (Integrated Oil )
Market Capitalization: $413.096B
Current Price: $99.12
Breakout price: $100.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $97.60-$87.90
Price Target: $105.00-$106.20 (3rd), $120.10-$121.70 (4th)
Estimated Duration to Target: 26-29d (3rd), 85-91d (4th)
Contract of Interest: $XOM 10/21/22 100c, $XOM 12/16/22 105c, $3.80/contract
Trade price as of publish date: $2.69/contract, $3.80/contract
10/5/22 CEGConstellation Energy Corporation ( NASDAQ:CEG )
Sector: Utilities (Electric Utilities)
Market Capitalization: $29.200B
Current Price: $88.17
Breakout price: $89.45
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $86.80-$82.45
Price Target: $93.20-$95.00
Estimated Duration to Target: 21-23d
Contract of Interest: $CEG 11/18/22 95c
Trade price as of publish date: $3.00/contract
Jumping S-curvesIn this post, I will explain what jumping S-curves means and how you can identify potential S-curves before they jump .
First, let's begin with the chart above (also copied below).
This is a yearly chart of McKesson Corporation (MCK), a medical supplies company.
As you can see in the chart below, this stock has been soaring over the past year despite most other stocks being significantly lower.
Here is the performance of the S&P 500 over the same time period.
Whenever I see something highly unusual in a chart, such as extreme outperformance, I check the higher timeframes to see what's driving price on a technical level. Below is the yearly chart for MCK.
When I examine price action over a long time period, I always log adjust my chart. Below is the log-adjusted chart.
Upon seeing this chart I immediately knew what was going on: the stock price jumped S-curves. I will try to illustrate below how I reached this conclusion.
To begin, I drew Fibonacci levels from the last reaction low to the last reaction high on the yearly timeframe.
The previous reaction low was the bottom of 2008 because that bottom was a Fibonacci retracement of some earlier reaction high, the reaction high is the top in 2015 because price did not surpass that high without first undergoing a Fibonacci retracement (to the golden ratio).
As you can see above, from 2015 to 2018 the price retraced down to the golden ratio (0.618) on the yearly chart. It is often from this retracement level that the base of the second S-curve is created. (For simplicity, I only included the 0.618 Fibonacci level on the chart).
Some may say that this pattern is merely a bull flag or pennant. (See chart below)
Indeed, bull flags and pennants can be another way to visualize S-curve jumps.
Whereas, on a deeper, more mathematical level, S-curve jumps are logarithmic spirals (approximated as Fibonacci spirals or Golden spirals). If you wish to delve deeper into logarithmic spirals, including the Golden spiral, you can check out this Wikipedia page: en.wikipedia.org
These Fibonacci or Golden spirals are present on mostly every chart and they appear on mostly every timeframe (hence they are fractal ).
One of the best charts you can use to visualize these spirals is the chart of Bitcoin. Below are charts of Bitcoin which attempt to show the endless fractal nature of Fibonacci spirals (or "S-curve jumps").
I've only illustrated a few of the spirals, but indeed there are numerous spirals. (I tried to do my best using the tools on Trading View to draw these spirals, but it can be quite hard to manipulate the curves perfectly to price action.)
One may ask what about when price falls? That is obviously not an S-curve jump since the price is falling.
Actually, when price is crashing it is usually just an S-curve jump, or Fibonacci spiral, on the inverted chart.
Although I have not tested it with scientific rigor, I do hypothesize that Bitcoin's price movement is a series of infinitely fractal and competing Fibonacci spirals on various timeframes, including Fibonacci spirals on inverted scales. Price movement can be thought of as an infinite series of S-curve dilemmas where infinitely fractal S-curves, including those of which are inverse S-curves, compete to govern the next price move.
Each dilemma is resolved when an S-curve reaches its inflection point, such that it governs price movement and price moves rapidly in that direction until it approaches capacity and faces its next dilemma.
Those who know Calculus may recognize this chart. Indeed this is the graph of a logistic function. The mathematical terminology for an "S-curve" is sigmoid function .
Here are some more interesting charts of S-curves (none of which is intended to be investment advice)
Meridian Bioscience (VIVO) jumps S-curves on its yearly chart
The U.S. Dollar Index jumps S-curves on its yearly chart
The entire price action of Chinese EV Company (NIO) is an S-curve that just completed a perfect golden ratio retracement
Japan's faces a population S-curve dilemma
Citigroup underwent S-curve growth up until the Great Recession.
Then it crashed or underwent S-curve growth on the inverted chart.
In summary, price movement involves an endless series of S-curves or Fibonacci spirals. Identifying an S-curve on a high time frame before it reaches its inflection point and breaks out can lead to tremendous gains (among the most lucrative gains one can realistically make in the financial markets).
BNB / USDT 4HCHART TARGETS AND STOPLOSSHello everyone, let's take a look at the 4H BNB to USDT chart as you can see the price is moving in the local uptrend channel.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can consider:
T1 - $ 289
T2 - $ 323
T3 - $ 355
T4 - $ 401
and
T5 - $ 460
Now let's move on to the stop loss in case of further market declines:
SL1 - $ 279
SL2 - $ 261
SL3 - $ 243
SL4 - $ 217
and
SL5 - $ 184
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we can see that in the 4H range the energy slowly starts to rise, while the MACD indicator shows a local downward trend.
Silver market catches airSilver is performing magnificently, exactly in the momentum moves envisioned by the Elliott waves. At the moment, we are in the wave (iv) of the . The wave (iii) we have completed at the high of $ 21.3 A slope of almost 19% in less than a week. Where else is there something like that?
We reach the end of wave at least at the 1.618 extension at 22.135$, but also the 200% extension at 23.12$ can be reached easily.
Often the fifth waves reach the 1 extension of the wave, which is approximately at 22.8$. So, an overshooting wave can be expected according to the current structure. Good for all who are invested in silver.
The (iv) should bottom at the 0.382 retracement at $20.020 and then extend the last impulse wave before we correct again in the .
US OIL not finish yet US OIL still has a correction of at least 30% ahead of it. According to the Elliott Wave calculations, we have seen the end of the correction of the superior 2 in April 2020.
Since then, US OIL has risen almost 20000% to the top. Those who were invested then have been able to take good profits. Unfortunately, these times are over. We saw the top at the beginning of the Ukraine war, in March 2022. Since then we are in a correction.
The wave (2) mostly builds up to the 0.618 Fibonacci, which is at $59.72 per barrel. Values to $40 and below are also possible due to the pronounced and steep wave 1.
Once the correction is extended, OIL will extend a wave (3) and surpass the current top at 125$ per barrel.
Silver Market near to bottom Silver got off to a good start and built a clean 5-part move through September 12, where it closed the wave at $20,020 per ounce. Expected after wave is a correction between the 0.618 Fibonnaci retracement and the 0.887 Fibonacci retracement. This area, starting from 18.4$ has silver now expired and with the entry of the territory of the (i) now the alternative wave (iv) excluded.
Silver is expected to change trend direction in the pink trend reversal area and complete the , then continue to rise higher in a wave .
GBPUSD BREAK OR BOUNCE ?Pair: GBPUSD
Timeframe: 4H, 1H
Analysis: Round number level, trend line, volume profile, support and resistance, pennant pattern
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Key Takeaway: Just approached a very significant level of resistance where we have seen alot of consolidation. We could either see a bounce or break, we have to be ready for either move
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Level needed: need a close by —
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Trade: Neutral
RISK:REWARD —
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DO NOT ENTER OUR SETUPS WITHOUT CONFIRMATION
EURGBP BREAKOUT?Pair: EURGBP
Timeframe: 4H
Analysis: Round number level, trend line, volume profile, support and resistance, breakout, descending triangle
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Key Takeaway: Just approached mass support with alot of historical strength, we have also followed along with our downward trend line for some time. We need to see a break and retest of this level of support before entering short
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Level needed: need a close by 0.86942 (after restest)
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Trade: SHORT
RISK:REWARD 1:5
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DO NOT ENTER OUR SETUPS WITHOUT CONFIRMATION
USDJPY ASCENDING TRIANGLE BREAKOUT?Pair: USDJPY
Timeframe: 4H
Analysis: Round number level, trend line, volume profile, support and resistance, ascending triangle pattern, breakouts
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Key Takeaway: We have seen price consolidating in a ascending triangle manor for the past week and we might finally see a breakout this week. We have been using resistance and high volume profile together and the level is seeming difficult to break, due to upsides of USD we are looking to break these levels and entering long
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Level needed: need a close by 144.965
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Trade: LONG
RISK:REWARD 1:3
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DO NOT ENTER OUR SETUPS WITHOUT CONFIRMATION