GOLD → A very strong uptrend may get its continuationFX:XAUUSD is rising due to high geopolitical and political risks. A strong bullish trend is forming, within which the price tests the strong resistance 2726 and draws a false break of the resistance...
The rise is shaping up more on the back of Trump's threats on tariffs, adding to the risk-negative sentiment in the markets. Trump has proposed imposing tariffs on Mexico and Canada, as well as the EU and China, if a trade agreement is not reached. These threats are supporting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, the strengthening dollar and expectations of Fed rate cuts are limiting further upside for gold. Trading in the coming days will depend on the general market atmosphere and Trump's tariff discussions.
Technically, a false break of such a strong resistance could temporarily slow the growth and move the price into correction or consolidation, but there are nuances of technical...
Resistance levels: 2721, 2726, 2761
Support levels: 2703, 2697, 2690
At the moment it is worth paying attention to 0.5 fibo (2717) and 0.7-0.79 fibo. These are quite strong and important liquidity zones that can stop the correction and bring gold back to the uptrend. A retest of the local high of 2726 - 2732 will hint at the readiness of the metal to go even higher.
Regards R. Linda!
Fibonacci Retracement
Example of how to use the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool
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-------------------------------------
There was a question about how to select the selection point when using the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool, so I will take the time to explain the method I use.
Since it is my method, it may be different from your method.
-
Before that, I will explain the difference from the general Fibonacci retracement tool.
The Fibonacci retracement tool uses the Fibonacci ratio as the ratio to be retracement within the selected range.
Therefore, the low and high points are likely to be the selection points.
The reason I say it is likely is because the lowest and highest points are different depending on which time frame chart it was drawn on.
Therefore, in order to use a chart tool that specifies a selection point like this, you must basically understand the arrangement of candles.
If you understand the arrangement of candles, you can draw the support and resistance points that make up it and determine the importance of those support and resistance points.
The HA-MS indicator that I am using is a more objective version of this.
Unlike the published HA-MS indicator, several have been added.
I do not plan to disclose the formulas of these added indicators yet.
However, if you share my ideas, you can use them normally at any time.
The selection point for using the current Fibonacci retracement tool is the point that the fingers are pointing to.
In other words, the 1st finger is the low point, and the 2nd finger is the high point.
One question may arise here.
Why is it the position of the 1st finger?
The reason is that it is the starting point of the current wave.
Therefore, you can find out the retracement ratio in the current rising wave.
In fact, it is not recommended to use the Fibonacci ratio as support and resistance.
This is because it is better to use the Fibonacci ratio to check how much wave is being reached and how much movement is being shown in chart analysis.
However, the Fibonacci ratio can be usefully used when the ATH or ATL is updated.
-
If the Fibonacci Retracement tool was a chart tool that found out the retracement ratio in the current wave, the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool can be said to be a chart tool that found out the extension ratio of the wave.
Therefore, while the Fibonacci Retracement tool requires you to specify two selection points, the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool requires you to specify three selection points.
That's how important it is to understand the arrangement of the candles.
The chart above is an example of drawing to find out the extension ratio of an uptrend
The chart above is an example of drawing to find out the extension ratio of a downtrend
Do you understand how the selection points are specified by looking at the example chart?
-
The chart above is the chart when the 1st finger point is selected.
The chart above is the chart when the 1-1 hand point is selected.
When drawing on a lower time frame chart, you should be careful about which point to select when the arrangement of the candles is ambiguous.
Examples include the 1st finger and the 1-1 finger.
It may be difficult to select 1-1 and 1 depending on whether they are interpreted as small waves or not.
The lower the time frame chart, the more difficult this selection becomes.
Therefore, it is recommended to draw on a higher time frame chart if possible.
The reason is that the Fibonacci ratio is a chart tool used to analyze charts.
In other words, it is not drawn for trading.
In order to trade, you trade based on whether there is support or resistance at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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GOLD → A change in fundamental background. Strong resistanceFX:XAUUSD faces strong resistance at 2721 and enters correction phase, which also coincides with the change of fundamental background and economic data
Weakening geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have reduced demand for safe-haven assets such as gold, the US dollar and US bonds. In addition, expectations of stimulus measures from China improved market sentiment.
Despite this, the downward trend for gold may remain limited due to Trump's rather risky policies and expectations of two Fed interest rate cuts later this year. Overall, gold prices are likely to be volatile in the short term due to holiday market conditions and Trump's upcoming executive orders.
Technically, the price is inside a symmetrical triangle, which in turn is located inside an ascending channel. If the resistance is not broken, pressure will be applied to the support....
Resistance levels: 2713, 2717, 2721
Support levels: 2702, 2697, 2690
A retest of 2702 will increase the chances of support breakdown and further fall. It can happen after the resistance retest. I do not exclude a false breakdown of one of the mentioned resistance levels before a further fall.
Regards R. Linda!
SUI → The coin is coming out of an uptrend. Capitulation?BINANCE:SUIUSDT is breaking the bullish structure and testing a trigger that could trigger a strong fall. Yesterday's speech by President Trump Disappointed the cryptocurrency community. The main question is whether a correction is possible?
A correction is possible and there are several reasons for that: bitcoin is making a false breakout and generally hinting at a possible price correction after Trump's post-inauguration speech yesterday, where not a word was said about cryptocurrency. Some felt cheated. But, in this context, actions are important, if Trump moves to fulfill his promises, we may have a bullish driver.
At the moment, technically, the price is leaving the uptrend and testing the 4.250 trigger. It is a strong enough level, a break of which could make the bulls panic, which could lead to capitulation and price decline.
Resistance levels: 4.489, 4.84, 5.12
Support levels: 4.25, 4.00
A retest of the resistance or the previously broken channel boundary is possible, but a break below 4.25 may trigger a fall. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming around this level. Watch the coin!
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → Japan's central bank is about to raise ratesFX:USDJPY cannot continue its uptrend yet. Rumors about possible actions from the central bank of Japan will appear. The dollar in the meantime continues to rise....
158.46 is a rather strong resistance formed by the bears, who continue to put pressure on the market. This week, we expect active actions from the Central Bank of Japan, namely - raising interest rates. In general, this phenomenon is quite rare, but it can support the currency pair very well. If the Japanese decide to take such actions, the currency pair may continue the correction from 0.5 - 0.7 fibo. Priority targets in this case may be the zones of interest at 153.24, 151.94.
Resistance levels: 156.56, 157.22
Support levels: 155.1
Price fixing below 0.5 Fibo or below 155.95 may provoke aggressive selling. The decision on rates in Japan will take place on Friday, until then the price may be in consolidation....
Regards R. Linda!
Airtel Vs (TTML, MTNL, IDEA) - Pre-Rally Vs Post-RallyHere’s an assertive revision of your content:
---
**Why Airtel Dragged While TTML, MTNL, and IDEA Blasted?**
The government’s consideration of waiving 50% interest and 100% penalties on AGR dues created a buzz, and certain "gurus" began hyping a potential rally in **Bharti Airtel**, a fundamentally strong telecom stock compared to **TTML**, **MTNL**, and **Vodafone Idea**.
**But the market did the exact opposite.**
TTML (+16.5%), MTNL (+10.5%), and IDEA (+9.11%) soared, while Airtel struggled below 1%. The question is **why?**
**The Answer: The Importance of Technical Structures, Supports, and Resistances.**
Market participants often assume that fundamentals drive prices. This is the **biggest myth.** Fundamentals (valuations, PE ratios, book value, order books, quarterly results) can create momentum but never dictate its **direction.** Supports and resistances are the **primary drivers** of price movement. Relying solely on fundamentals is like pressing the accelerator while trying to reverse park—damages are inevitable.
Now, let’s review the technical factors behind the explosive moves in TTML, MTNL, and IDEA compared to Airtel’s stagnation.
---
### **TTML**
On the **monthly chart**, TTML formed a **bullish flag pattern**, breaking out in **July 2024**. However, the lack of momentum in the telecom sector kept it range-bound until now.
**Key Points:**
1. A **77% correction** from its all-time high (ATH) formed the flag.
2. Sideways consolidation since March 2024 created a **strong base**.
3. This base aligned with the **Fib 0.618 retracement** from the previous high.
TTML was primed for a move. The AGR news provided the necessary trigger, leading to the much-anticipated breakout.
---
### **MTNL**
The **monthly chart** of MTNL shows a **multi-decade bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern**. After breaking out, the stock faced resistance at ₹103 and retraced **58.5%**, aligning perfectly with the breakout zone and the **Fib 0.618 retracement level.**
**Why the Rally?**
MTNL’s bounce was overdue, and the AGR news acted as a catalyst, triggering the massive move.
---
### **IDEA**
Vodafone Idea, the weakest of the group, also surged 10% (hitting an intraday high of 15% before closing at 9.11%). Despite its struggles, IDEA displayed critical technical alignments:
1. A **65.54% correction** from its previous high.
2. Support at the **Fib 0.786 retracement** level.
3. A bounce from the **bottom of a rising parallel channel**.
Though IDEA lacked the fundamental strength of TTML and MTNL, it still rallied due to the technical setup.
---
### **Bharti Airtel: Why Didn’t It Rally?**
**Quarterly Chart** (Right):
1. Airtel has been traveling within a **multi-decade parallel channel**.
2. After consolidating for 13 years, it broke out in **October 2018**, delivering **613% returns** since then.
3. The stock reached an **extended Fibonacci target (Fib 2.618)**—an exhaustion zone.
**Weekly Chart** (Left):
1. Airtel corrected only **15%** from its ATH.
2. It is still in a **lower high-lower low (LH-LL)** bearish formation.
3. The price was at a critical juncture of **two resistances**:
- The **falling trendline** from ATH.
- A **weekly resistance** at ₹1640.
**Verdict:**
Airtel had already rallied significantly before the news and was in an exhaustion phase. Strong resistances at current levels obstructed its movement.
---
### **Key Takeaways:**
- TTML, MTNL, and IDEA rallied because they **completed major corrections, formed strong bases, and awaited a trigger.**
- Airtel, having already rallied, was in a consolidation phase with significant resistance levels.
**Conclusion:**
Blindly trading based on news or fundamentals without considering technicals is a recipe for disaster. Fundamentals may create momentum, but the **direction** is always governed by supports and resistances.
A sector-wide news event will not trigger the same momentum across all stocks unless their **technical structures** align. Always combine fundamentals with technical analysis for informed decision-making.
**Disclaimer:**
With over **3 years of teaching experience** in the stock market, including **Technical Analysis**, **Behavioral Analysis**, **Advanced Patterns**, **Emotional Management**, and **News-based Trading**, we are dedicated to educating, not advising on buy/sell decisions.
We are **NOT SEBI Registered** and do not provide specific **Buy/Sell recommendations or calls**. Our primary goal is to deliver **detailed analysis** on how to review charts and offer multi-timeframe perspectives purely for **educational purposes**.
We strongly recommend that our followers **"Learn to Ride the Tide, Regardless of Its Side."**
**Important:** Always consult with a **financial advisor** before making any investment decisions.
If you appreciate our detailed analysis, we encourage you to **rate, like, boost, and share your feedback**.
**- Team Stocks-n-Trends**
Boeing is ready for next leg up to $200On December 10, 2024, we had a look at the weekly chart of NYSE:BA Boeing and it was a very good opportunity to get into this stock. Since then, we made over 20% in under one month.
After consolidating for nearly three weeks, we may have another chance to get in for the next leg up to $200. The only thing to worry about are the earnings on January 28. Those could have a huge impact on the stock price, but chances are the impact will be positive. Since 2024 was a very challenging year for Boeing with lower net orders booked compared to Airbus the comparisons are much easier to beat than it is for Airbus.
Boeing experienced a decline in various metrics last year. The company recorded 569 gross orders, representing a 61% decrease compared to the previous year. Cancellations increased by 50 units, mainly due to the anticipated cancellation of 135 jets ordered by Jet Airways. Net orders fell by 71% to 377 orders, and the net order value also decreased by 71% to $33 billion. This reduction in orders is attributed to the uncertainty surrounding Boeing's production schedule, which makes it less attractive for airplane orders. Deliveries fell by 34% to 348, and the delivery value decreased by 35% to $26.1 billion due to the grounding of the Boeing 737 MAX 9 and a subsequent strike.
If we assume no further crashes or problems with Boeing aircrafts the numbers are easier to beat, and we come from a very low base. In addition, most analysts are quite conservative right now.
Looking at the technical setup we just bounced from the 0.382 fib from the current upward movement. Below the fib we have another support at around $160 as well as a resistance at $200 with an open gap. Assuming no surprises during the earnings we’re up for another leg up to $200 (15% ROI).
Target Zones
$198-200
Support Zones
$165
$160
Interpretation of support and resistance points and Fib ratios
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
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-------------------------------------
There was a change in the chart while I was writing the idea.
Therefore, please refer to the chart attached below.
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(TRUMPUSDT.P 1D chart)
Since the chart was created not long ago, it is practically impossible to analyze it.
However, I will take the time to explain it as an extension of the explanation of Fibonacci ratios.
-
(1D chart)
You can check the retracement ratio using the Fibonacci retracement tool on the 1D chart.
(30m chart)
You can check the Fibonacci ratio on the 30m chart and analyze the chart.
However, I think the Fibonacci ratio is a chart tool for chart analysis, so in order to trade, you need to draw support and resistance points by the arrangement of candles.
As I mentioned earlier, since the chart is created not long ago, you can select support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, so even if you draw support and resistance lines, their role is likely to be weak.
Therefore, I think it is better to trade these coins (tokens) in short-term transactions such as scalping or day trading.
If the trading period is long, the psychological burden is likely to increase, which can lead to incorrect trading.
-
The HA-MS indicator was activated to indicate support and resistance points.
If you activate the Fibonacci ratio drawn on the 1D chart, it is as follows.
You can see that the maximum range we can trade is 28.0-70.654.
If we go outside this range, a new wave will be created, so new support and resistance points are needed.
At this time, a chart tool that can help interpret the chart is the Trend-Based Fib Extension.
-
Since the HA-Low indicator was formed at the 40.245 point, we can see that the low point has been formed.
Therefore, if it shows support near the HA-Low indicator, it is a time to buy (LONG).
Since it has currently fallen below the HA-Low indicator, it is highly likely that it will update the latest low, so it was possible to enter a sell (SHORT) position when it fell from the HA-Low indicator.
As the price falls, I think it is better not to make a new transaction until the HA-Low indicator is newly created or the existing HA-Low indicator rises and shows support.
If it is supported by the HA-Low indicator and rises,
- 46.618
- 63.882-70654
You should check for support in the above section.
If it is not supported, it is a time to sell in parts.
In my chart, the MS-Signal indicator is an important indicator in terms of trend.
Therefore, in order to turn into an uptrend, the price must be maintained above the MS-Signal indicator.
-
(12h chart)
The current chart is so new that it is virtually impossible to see the trend.
If you want to draw with the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool, the largest time frame chart you can draw is the 12h chart.
The point where the finger points is the selection point.
(30m chart)
The chart above is drawn with the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool.
The circles marked on the far right correspond to important support and resistance zones.
When interpreting Fibonacci ratios, the 0, 0.5, 0.618, and 1 ratios can be interpreted as key ratios.
Therefore, if it falls below 1, it may fall to around 1.618 (2.198), so caution is required when trading.
The 0.618 (35.663) ~ 0.5 (39.612) section can be interpreted as an important support and resistance section.
Since the HA-Low indicator is formed within this section, it can be interpreted that the role of support and resistance is emphasized.
Even if the Fibonacci ratio is drawn in this way, it can be helpful in setting the timing of trading only when it is interpreted in accordance with the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Otherwise, it is likely that your subjective thoughts will be included and the transaction will proceed in the wrong direction.
-
The support and resistance points must be drawn by looking at the arrangement of candles on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts to be activated as support and resistance points.
The support and resistance points drawn on the time frame chart below may have a weak role, so caution is required when trading.
In that sense, I hope you understand the content of this idea as how to comprehensively interpret the Fibonacci ratio and support and resistance points.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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PEPE Deep dive before pumping? To what price?CRYPTOCAP:PEPE Script: A potential deep dive might be on the horizon before the next pump.
Right now, it’s forming a structure that looks a lot like the pattern we saw from March to May, which I’ve marked as points 1 to 7.
Both of these structures showed up after breaking out from the near-end of a symmetrical triangle.
Currently, we’re sitting at point 6.
Using Fibonacci retracement, we can estimate how deep the dip might go.
Last time, it reached Fib 1.618. If history repeats itself, PEPE could pull back to around 0.00009485.
This potential drawback would also break the uptrend line, which could shake market confidence and flush out weaker hands—perfect for accumulating liquidity to fuel a future price surge.
I’ve already set a buy order at this level, just in case this scenario plays out.
Of course, this is just one potential script among many. I’ll share more as they unfold.
Follow me for more insights and updates! 😊
BTCUSD | 1D SMC Short Setup with Refined SL and TargetsDescription:
This analysis identifies a high-probability short opportunity for BTCUSD on the 1D timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. The chart shows clear bearish confluences, including market structure, supply zones, liquidity levels, and Fibonacci retracement zones. I believe the current bullish momentum is merely a manipulation driven by inflation news and the upcoming Trump inauguration. Following these events, I anticipate a significant market correction. Here’s the detailed breakdown and trade plan:
Analysis:
Market Structure:
Break of Structure (BOS): Price has confirmed a bearish trend with BOS to the downside, signaling a continuation of lower highs and lower lows.
Trendline Resistance: A well-defined downward trendline indicates selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Key Zones and Liquidity:
Supply Zone: Highlighted in purple at $102,000-$104,000 . This zone represents an area where strong selling previously occurred, creating an imbalance.
Golden Zone (Fibonacci Retracement): Located around $101,000-$103,000 , this area aligns with the 61.8%-78.6% retracement levels and offers a high-probability reversal opportunity.
Weak High: The high near $104,000 represents untapped liquidity, which smart money may target for a liquidity grab before reversing lower.
Equal Lows (EQL): Around $92,000 , these act as a bearish target where liquidity rests, aligning with the continuation of the bearish trend.
Confluences for Short Entry:
Price is approaching the supply zone and Fibonacci Golden Zone , indicating a potential reversal point.
The weak high may trigger a liquidity grab to entice buyers before sellers regain control.
Previous BOS and trendline resistance add further validation to the bearish bias.
Trade Plan:
Short Entry Setup:
Entry Zone: $102,000-$104,000 (inside the supply zone and Golden Zone).
Stop Loss (SL): $105,500 (above the supply zone and imbalance to account for liquidity grabs).
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: $97,000 – Close partial profits at this imbalance mitigation level.
TP2: $92,000 – Target the equal lows and resting liquidity.
TP3: $88,000 – Final target near the blue demand zone for maximum reward.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
With the entry at $103,000 (midpoint of supply), SL at $105,500, and TP at $92,000, the trade offers a 1:4 RR or better, depending on execution and scaling.
Additional Notes:
Monitor the price action closely as BTC approaches the supply zone for confirmation, such as bearish candlestick patterns or lower timeframe CHoCH (Change of Character).
Scaling into the trade in smaller portions across the supply zone can improve overall entry precision.
Adjust stop loss or take profit levels as market conditions evolve
QQQ vs S&P500Today we are looking at a ratio chart from TradFi. We are plotting the ratio of Nasdaq100 vs S&P 500. Even if both charts observed separately tell us the same story. That we are in a bullish uptrend on the daily chart for the past 1 year. But the ratio chart clearly shows Nasdaq100 peaked out relative to S&P 500 on Aug 2024 just prior to the unravelling of Yen carry trade. Since then, the ratio has not broken to the upside and registered an ATH even if the tech stocks have been doing exceptionally well recently. The ratio of QQQ vs SPX is within a local uptrend but still within the upward sloping Fib Retracement level between 0 and 0.618. The tech heavy QQQ can and will claim leadership once we break out of the range in the upward sloping Fib retracement level and break above the 0.618 levels.
Will ETH take the direction of growth?Hi everyone, let's look at the 1D ETH to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a downtrend channel, currently there is no indication of which direction it will go.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face:
T1 = 3357 USD
T2 = 3502 USD
Т3 = 3600 USD
Т4 = 3729 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 3211 USD
SL2 = 3016 USD
SL3 = 2877 USD
SL4 = 2704 USD
If we look at the MA indicator we can see how the blue line has entered above the orange one, which indicates the entry into a temporary uptrend, where the price may try to continue to grow.
Total2 Market Cap vs BTC Market CapToday we are looking at ratio charts. We plot the ratio of Total 2 Market Cap (Total Crypto Market Cap excluding BTC) to BTC Market CAP. This ratio chart is making new lower highs this BTC Halving cycle. There seems to be no bounce from the lows and Alt coin season seems to be elusive. As we move towards the end of the halving cycle there is very little time left for this Alt season. To reach the previous cycle highs of 1.5 in the chart the Alt Coins have to more than double from here and BTC must remain at this price for the rest of the cycle. For this the total Crypto market cap must reach almost 5 trillion USD, which remains unlikely. A better estimate will be the ratio of Total 2 Market Cap vs BTC Market Cap ratio reaches 1.09 which will be 0.618 Fib retracement level. This 0.618 fib retracement repeats in many instances. The same is true for BTC.D. What do you think?
Today's Market Overview and for Tomorrow Today's Market Overview:
General Trend:
The market seems to be consolidating after breaking key structural levels (BOS and CHoCH). The price is hovering near resistance zones (Premium and EQH) and shows potential for a move toward lower support zones (Discount and Equilibrium).
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Zones (Fibonacci Levels):
The range of $2,690 to $2,684 serves as a critical support area.
Resistance Zones:
The area around $2,718 to $2,725 acts as a strong resistance zone, likely to impede further upward movement.
Scenarios for Tomorrow (January 21, 2025):
If the price breaks above the $2,718 level and sustains, it may target the next resistance at $2,725 or higher.
If the price drops below $2,698, it could retest the support zone between $2,690 and $2,684.
Fibonacci Insights:
Key Retracement Levels:
Based on the chart, critical Fibonacci retracement levels seem to align near $2,705 (0.382) and $2,690 (0.618), making these levels important for potential reversals.
Recommendations for Tomorrow:
For Bullish Traders:
Wait for the price to stabilize above $2,718 and look for buy (long) opportunities targeting $2,725 or beyond.
For Bearish Traders:
If the price breaks below $2,698, short positions targeting the $2,684 support zone could be profitable.
NZDCAD GARTLEY PATTERNHarmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
S&P ES Long setup target 6129 / Calls SPY target 605Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (6020.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (Jan 17) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (6129.00).
CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (6129.00), Target 2 at 161.8% (6206.00) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6243.50)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5983.00).
Option Traders : My SPY AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (605), Target 2 at 161.8% (613) and Target 3 at 178.6 (616)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (592).
GOLD 30m CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR DAILYGold (XAU/USD) Outlook for the Upcoming Week:
The outlook for XAU/USD in the coming week depends on a combination of technical, fundamental, and economic factors, including the Federal Reserve's policy, economic data, and the strength of the U.S. dollar. Here's an analysis based on the provided chart:
Technical Analysis:
Overall Trend:
The chart shows a medium-term uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows forming.
A small pullback is observed toward the end of the chart, which could potentially act as a retracement before resuming the uptrend.
Key Levels:
Support Levels:
$2,700 is the nearest support level.
A deeper support is located at $2,685.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance lies between $2,715 and $2,720.
A breakout above this zone could push prices toward $2,735.
Indicators (if applicable):
Indicators such as RSI or MACD (not shown in the chart) can confirm whether gold is in overbought or oversold territory. If RSI is above 70, it might suggest selling pressure could emerge soon.
Fundamental Analysis:
U.S. Economic Data:
Key economic releases, such as inflation data (CPI) or employment reports, could influence the dollar. Weak U.S. data typically supports gold prices.
Federal Reserve Policy:
Any dovish signals from the Fed, such as reluctance to raise interest rates further, would be bullish for gold as a non-yielding asset.
Geopolitical Risks:
Heightened geopolitical tensions could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Forecast for the Week:
If prices hold above the $2,700 support level and break the $2,720 resistance, a continuation of the uptrend is likely.
Failure to hold $2,700 could lead to a decline toward $2,685 or even $2,665.
Will BTC continue its uptrend?Hi all, let's look at the 1D BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has broken out of the downtrend line and currently we can see how we are struggling to move towards the recent ATH at $108700.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = 106275 USD
T2 = 108476 USD
Т3 = 112839 USD
Т4 = 115756 USD
Т5 = 118876 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 102746 USD
SL2 = 100744 USD
SL3 = 99094 USD
SL4 = 97479 USD
SL5 = 95161 USD
It is worth taking a look at the MACD indicator, which shows that we have entered an uptrend again, and here we have a visible place for this trend to continue.
Additionally, on the SMAs 20 and 50 we can see how we are getting closer to returning to a strong uptrend.
Alikze »» LINK| Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D
📣 BINANCE:LINKUSDT currency on the daily timeframe touched its targets in accordance with the analysis presented earlier, the scenario of the first of 3 bullish waves.
🟢 Chainlink touched its target after breaking out of the short-term descending channel.
🟢 It is currently in the supply zone on the daily and weekly timeframes.
💎Given the bullish momentum, this bullish leg, after breaking the supply zone, will have the ability to grow to the large supply zone of $60-$100.
💎In the first step after breaking the supply zone, the target will be $38 and $55.
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MKR/USDT 1D chart - accumulationHello everyone, let's look at the 1D MKR to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a channel where it is currently struggling to choose the direction of further movement.
Let's start, however, by defining the goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $1,533
T2 = $1,703
Т3 = 1997$
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $1,301
SL2 = $1150
SL3 = $1008
When we look at the RSI indicator and the MACD indicator, we can see that we are moving at the bottom of the range, which may indicate an upcoming trend change, in this situation, after such accumulation, we should see price increases again.
ZEN Trade Setup: Ride the Wave to +50% ProfitAfter a strong bullish impulse, ZEN completed a 5-wave structure resulting in a +72% price increase and successfully took out a key high. This marked a potential short trade opportunity at the key resistance level.
Subsequently, the price retraced significantly, forming a pullback into the golden pocket (0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement), a high-probability buying zone. This corrective move also completed a 5-wave structure to the downside, providing a favorable long trade opportunity with a compelling Risk-to-Reward (R:R) ratio of 3:1.
The target for this long trade is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the entire impulse wave at $35.86, representing a potential upside of nearly 50%. Additionally, the negative 0.234 Fibonacci level at $35.98 aligns closely with this target, creating a good confluence zone.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone: $23–$25
Primary Target: $35.86 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement)
Confluence Level: $35.98 (Negative 0.234 Fibonacci extension)
Stop-Loss: Below the low of $21 for downside risk mitigation, DCA
GOLD → Correction after a false breakout. What's next?FX:XAUUSD reaches a key resistance that stops a strong rally. A false breakdown triggered a correction, which could be a chance for comfortable buys.
The gold price stabilized around $2,725 after a three-day climb, remaining under profit taking pressure. Strong data on China's economy failed to inspire the market as real estate concerns and possible U.S. tariffs dampened optimism.
Expectations of Fed rate cuts continue to support gold despite mixed data on the US labor market and retail sales. The Fed chief's statements about possible rate cuts in the first half of the year are adding support to the metal.
Next week, traders' attention will be focused on US housing and industrial production data.
Support levels: 2700, 2697
Resistance levels: 2712, 2721
Global and local trend is bullish. Counter-trend correction is being formed. Technically, the correction may reach the zone of interest 2700 - 2697, from which we should expect a rebound, for example, to 2712, or even the recovery of the bullish trend.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → The bearish trend may get its continuationFX:NZDUSD failed to realize the chance when the dollar went into correction. Buyers do not believe in the realization of the bullish scenario at the moment. The price continues to succumb to pressure
On the weekly timeframe the price approached the strong support level 0.5545 - 0.55. Accordingly, a reaction in the form of a small correction is possible. Small, because the dollar continues its bull run, and Trump's policy allows to keep this scenario in the medium term.
On H4, the price continues to test the support at 0.5588 and a local descending triangle is forming amid pressure from the bears. Possible retest of the channel resistance before further decline.
Resistance levels: 0.563, 0.567
Support levels: 0.5588, 0.5511
Technically, a breakdown and consolidation of the price below 0.5588 will provoke further sales against the background of the current local and global downtrend.
Regards R. Linda!