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Fibonacci Retracement

GOLD → The rally has given way to a correction. News aheadFX:XAUUSD is rising amid a challenging geopolitical environment. During the Asian session, a correction to the zone of interest (0.5 Fibonacci) is forming. The situation is quite complex and tense. On Tuesday, the metal strengthened to 3433 due to tensions in the Middle East, but during the Asian session, gold fell sharply due to optimism surrounding the upcoming US-China trade talks, the strengthening of the dollar, and profit-taking ahead of the Fed's decision. Investors are waiting for Powell's speech, which will determine the future of interest rate policy. Despite the decline, gold is supported by ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and South Asia. Theoretically, if the bulls keep the price above 0.5 Fibonacci, the growth may continue to 3439, as the price has not yet reached the liquidity zone. Resistance levels: 3439 Support levels: 3369, 3352 However, unpredictable data could trigger a return of the price to the range and a correction to 3323-3300. Risk is posed by upcoming news: FOMC, Powell's speech, and the rate meeting. The Fed's hawkish stance could put pressure on gold... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
31
NZDCAD → Intra-range trading. Retest of resistanceFX:NZDCAD is strengthening within a neutral trading range. The currency pair is supported by the dollar's correction, but how long will this last? Ahead of us are the FOMC meeting and Powell's speech... The focus is on the trading range within which the currency pair continues its local trend. Liquidity around the 0.8317 level is attracting the price. The correction of the dollar is having a positive effect on the NZD. However, news is ahead, and traders are expecting a hawkish stance from the Fed. Against this backdrop, a reversal may occur... Since the currency pair is in a neutral range, there is a high probability of a false breakout and correction. Resistance levels: 0.83175 Support levels: 0.82644, 0.8235, 0.8225 The liquidity zone is likely to stop the price (temporarily or reverse it). Further movement depends on fundamental sentiment, but based on rumors about the Fed's position, it is worth carefully analyzing what data the market will receive this evening. A tougher Fed policy or hints of one could strengthen the dollar and weaken currencies... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
15
GOLD → Return to range. Fall from resistance...FX:XAUUSD is reacting to data related to the tariff war. The price is returning to the range and forming a false breakout of resistance. The level of 3370 and the zone of interest at 3387 play a key role. On Thursday, gold rose to $3,400 amid a weaker dollar, increased demand for safe-haven assets, and continued uncertainty due to US trade policy and tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine. The Fed left rates unchanged and expressed caution in its assessment of the outlook, which also supports gold's rise. However, in the European session, we are seeing gold react to the trade deal with Britain, most likely due to the easing of tariffs. Now the main focus is on the terms of the deal. We should not forget about China, where the situation remains tense, but everyone is waiting for a resolution. Resistance levels: 3352, 3369, 3385 Support levels: 3319, 3269 The fundamental backdrop changes several times a day. At the moment, the situation is as follows: the rise of the dollar, the weakening of the tariff war, and the hawkish stance of the Fed may put pressure on gold. Therefore, I expect the decline to continue after a retest of 3370-3386. In this case, the target could be 3319. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
5
SOLANA → Resistance level and free zone for growth up to 180.0BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is holding steady and consolidating near the resistance level of the global price range of 152.85–111.85. Thus, the market has signaled that it is in a positive mood. A trigger is ahead... SOL is forming a flag consolidation near the upper border of the trading range of 152 - 111, which indicates the accumulation of pre-breakout potential. A breakout from the flag, a break of resistance, and consolidation above 152.85 could provide support and growth. The cryptocurrency market is reviving after yesterday's news and relatively positive data in the tariff war. Countries are gradually beginning to agree, which is generally supportive for the crypto market. Resistance levels: 152.85 Support levels: 144.6, 141.2 A breakout of the resistance range of 152.85 and consolidation of the price above this level will confirm the readiness for further growth. Further on, there is a free zone and the price can easily reach 180.00. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
GOLD → An amazing recovery. Up to 3400?FX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen, testing resistance in the range, with buyers not giving up. The price breaks through the flat line and enters the buying zone; everything depends on the bulls... Gold is rising for the second day in a row amid a weak dollar, increased demand for safe assets, and escalating conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. Market nerves are being stoked by trade risks and instability in Asia, while investors await the Fed's decisions and Powell's speech. GOLD is breaking out of its neutral range. Focus on 3369 and local resistance at 3381. The fundamental backdrop is favorable for gold. If buyers hold their ground above the indicated levels, the price may continue to rise. Resistance levels: 3369, 3381, 3408 Support levels: 3352 (0.5f), 3330 I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the local liquidity zone (long squeeze) at 3352 (0.5f) before continuing to rise. But at the moment, the focus is on 3369-3370, which are key levels (currently acting as support). Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
VIRTUALUSDT → Rebound from resistance. Trend break, U-turn?BINANCE:VIRTUALUSDT.P is pausing within an uptrend and forming a range within which signals of a possible reversal and decline are appearing. Bitcoin is pausing its rally and moving into correction. This is a negative development for altcoins, which will not grow without the flagship. VIRTUAL is consolidating, but pressure is building in the market (as can be seen from the cascade of resistance levels within the range). Another prerequisite for a breakdown of the market structure is a downward exit from the upward channel (a break of the trend support). Another retest of support at 1.581 could trigger a breakout and a fall. There is a fairly free zone below, and the nearest target is located in the 1.178 zone. Resistance levels: 1.72, 1.829 Support levels: 1.581, 1.416, 1.178 Focus on the current range of 1.581 - 1.829. The chart shows that the price continues to storm and test support, which is an important signal against the backdrop of a broken uptrend. A break of support at 1.581 and consolidation below this level could trigger liquidation and a fall to the fvg zone or the liquidity zone at 1.178. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
USDCAD → Storming the support level to break throughFX:USDCAD continues to storm support within the trading range amid a global downtrend The currency pair is within the range, but the battle for support continues. The reaction to false breakouts is weakening and the price continues to attack the 1.378 level, which only increases the chances of a further decline The dollar is rebounding from resistance and beginning to fall, which is having a corresponding effect on USDCAD. If the currency pair breaks 1.378 and consolidates below the level, this could trigger a continuation of the trend after consolidation... Resistance levels: 1.381, 1.383 Support levels: 1.378, 1.374 Focus on the lower boundary of the trading range at 1.378. The role of the range is consolidation against the backdrop of a downtrend. Thus, a breakout of support will activate the distribution phase Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
XAUUSD (GOLD) | 4H | SWING TRADING Good morning, my friends, Gold is currently at the 3355.0 level. Even if gold makes a correction at this point, my target remains 3461.0. This is a swing trading model, so there may be delays in reaching my target. However, I am confident that I will reach it eventually. Once we hit that level, I will share an update for you all. Dear friends, your likes are always my biggest motivation to keep sharing analyses. That’s why I kindly ask each of my followers to show their support—please don’t hold back on the likes. I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes. It truly means a lot
FX:XAUUSD
by TraderTilki
BTC/USD 1D chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart for USD, in this situation we can see how the price came out of a strong downward trend, which gave a strong upward movement for the price. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price: T1 = 96592 $ T2 = 101878 $ Т3 = 109442 $ Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = 92363 $ SL2 = 89028 $ SL3 = 83498 $ SL4 = 79350 $ Looking at the RSI indicator, we can see that despite a small price change, the indicator strongly reacted what potentially can give energy to further price increases in the coming weeks.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
The Nasdaq 100’s rally may be coming to an endThe Nasdaq 100 has staged an impressive rally over the past two weeks, climbing more than 12% since Monday 21 April to close at roughly 19,970 on Monday 5 May. However, if there were a point at which the advance might pause, it could be near current levels. The index has risen to a key area of technical resistance in the 19,900 to 20,200 range, which could prove challenging to break through, especially given the uncertain outlook. One driver behind the Nasdaq 100’s rise has been the fall in implied volatility, as indicated by the VXN. While the better-known Vix measures expected volatility in the S&P 500 over the next month of trading, the VXN measures volatility on the Nasdaq 100. It has recently dropped to a reading of 25.7, down from more than 50 in April, as shown on the chart below. This decline in implied volatility probably triggered significant unwinding of put positions in the options market, allowing market-maker hedging flows to provide a tailwind for stocks. But with the VXN now back at levels last seen on 2 April, this tailwind may no longer be available to support the market. Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 has returned to the 61.8% retracement level, a significant Fibonacci level that frequently acts as strong resistance and could help determine whether the recent rebound is genuine or merely a short-term blip. Just above this 61.8% retracement lies the 200-day moving average, another level that typically provides strong resistance. Furthermore, the 19,950 region has consistently acted as both support and resistance, dating back to June 2024. With these three resistance areas converging, it may be challenging for the tech-heavy index to sustain its upward momentum. Should stocks begin to reverse lower, initial support may be around 19,300, followed by a gap at 18,240. That said, if the Nasdaq 100 somehow manages to overcome all these hurdles, it could rise to 21,100 – though such a move appears unlikely at this stage. Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
CMCMARKETS:NDAQ100
by cmcmarkets