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Fibonacci Retracement

GOLD → Retest of trend support before the NEWS FX:XAUUSD is forming a false breakdown of the lower boundary of consolidation and support of the uptrend within the correction. Traders are waiting for S&P Global PMI indices in the US. The gold price has rolled back from the record $2,955, but still retains chances for growth continuation. The decline is due to profit taking as traders prepare for the release of the S&P Global PMI indices in the US. The PMI data may affect the expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates. Nevertheless, a possible price drop on the back of strong PMI data could be short-lived if Trump's new tariff plans reignite demand for safe-haven assets. While gold may continue to correct, any drawdowns are likely to be seen as a near-term buying opportunity Resistance levels: 2933, 2939, 2946, 2955 Support levels: 2924, trend support A false breakdown of the uptrend support is forming. If the bulls hold their defenses above the key area, gold may continue its rise in the short to medium term. But, the short-term outlook depends on the news Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
3
GOLD → Updated to the max. Growth may continueFX:XAUUSD updates its high to 2955, entering a clear zone where nothing prevents the price from continuing its rise. Economic risks and the dollar correction are still supporting the price of the metal Investors are seeking refuge in gold amid Trump's threats to impose another tariffs as early as next month. Markets remain under pressure due to a lack of support from China and tensions between the US and EU over peace talks with Russia without Ukraine. Although the Fed meeting minutes have gone unreported, investors remain focused on tariff negotiations, expecting gold prices to rise further amid market uncertainty Technically, the strong bullish trend and rally continues. Focus on key levels and local range 2955 - 2946 Resistance levels: 2955 Support levels: 2946, 2938 The price is pinned at 2955, the next trigger, the breakdown of which will provoke the continuation of growth. But before that the gold may test the support zone 2946 - 2938. The growth may continue after a false breakdown of support. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
4
USDJPY → Retest of key resistance before fallingFX:USDJPY breaks the bullish structure of the market. Dolla in the correction phase has a favorable impact on the market. The currency pair is forming a retest of the previously broken trendline after a strong impulse The yen reached a 10-week high on Thursday, causing the USDJPY pair to fall to 149.5. Investors are looking for safe-haven assets due to increased trade tensions caused by Donald Trump's aggressive tariff policy. The Japanese currency received additional support due to expectations of an interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan, which will increase its attractiveness for investors For now, the focus is on the 0.5 fibo resistance zone, 150.95, and previously broken upside support Support levels: 149.5, 148.64 Resistance levels: 150.95, 151.4 Most likely, before a possible fall, the price will be able to test the previously broken support, and now it is resistance 150.95 - 151.4. False breakdown of the key Fibo zones may provoke further fall. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
OMUSDT → Flag (correction) before the rally BINANCE:OMUSDT still looks quite interesting. Consolidation in the flag format is forming within the bullish trend. The structure looks strong especially against the background of a weak altcoin market Bitcoin after Trump's speech yesterday was able to overcome local resistance and entered the buying zone. If the price can hold above 96.5 - 97K and continue its growth, some altcoins may have a bullish driver, which could push them up in general, including the already strong OMUSDT Technically, the focus is on the local descending flag channel, within which there are two key supports 7.324, 7.213. A false breakdown could trigger a continuation of the upside. Resistance levels: 7.755 Support levels: 7.324, 7.213 The trigger for growth continuation in our case is the channel border and resistance at 7.755. At the moment, we are still far from this zone and the coin is heading towards the support. A retest of the liquidity zone may end with a bullish impulse. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
EUR/JPY – High-Probability Short Setup 1️⃣ Market Overview – Bearish Bias Confirmation EUR/JPY remains in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is retracing into a critical Fibonacci resistance zone, making this a prime opportunity to short the pair in line with institutional sentiment and seasonality trends. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels – Identifying Key Resistance The Fibonacci retracement is drawn from the most recent bearish impulse. Resistance Zone: 0.5 (156.888) to 0.786 (157.107) – a high-probability rejection area. If price fails to break above this zone, a continuation to the downside is expected. Prime Seasonality Insights – Historical Data Supports the Short Bias 📊 Seasonality trends over 15 years indicate that EUR/JPY historically declines in late February and early March. 🔻 February seasonality performance: -0.7% average return 🔻 Next 3-5 day forecast: Bearish probabilities (-0.06% to -0.21%) 🔻 Seasonality prediction candles show a short-term retracement, followed by downside continuation. 💡 This aligns with the technical setup, reinforcing a short bias. 4️⃣ Retail Sentiment – Smart Money Edge 🚨 79% of retail traders are LONG on EUR/JPY – a contrarian signal for a short trade. 🔻 Institutions (Smart Money) are aggressively shorting EUR/JPY, as seen in COT data. 🔻 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increased institutional short positioning. 🔻 Retail traders trapped in longs will likely get stopped out, fueling further downside. 5️⃣ Technical Confirmation – Trendline & Indicators ✅ Price is below all major EMAs (6, 24, 72, 288) on the 4-hour chart. ✅ Supertrend remains bearish on the 4-hour timeframe. ✅ A downward sloping trendline aligns with the Fibonacci resistance zone. 💡 I will wait for confirmation (rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle) before entering a short position. 6️⃣ Conclusion – Trade Plan for EUR/JPY 🔹 Bias: Bearish due to downtrend, Fibonacci resistance, seasonality, and institutional short positioning. 🔹 Trade Setup: Sell EUR/JPY at 156.88 - 157.10 (Upon rejection) Stop Loss: Above 157.26 Take Profit Targets: 156.30, 156.04, 156.00 🔹 Key Confirmation: Retail traders are trapped in longs, seasonality supports further downside, and institutions are short. 🚀 This is a prime example of how combining Seasonality, Smart Money Positioning, and Technicals can create a powerful trade setup. 📌 What’s your outlook on EUR/JPY? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Short
by LDForex_
EURJPY → Consolidation before further declineEURJPY is forming a downtrend. The price is bouncing off the channel resistance and has approached strong support, the breakout of which may trigger further decline Global EURJPY is in a neutral trend, but locally, due to economic nuances, the euro is weakening against the Japanese yen There are two key zones on the chart - resistance at 159.112 against which a false breakdown can be formed before the price continues its decline. And support at 158.45 - support of the pre-breakdown consolidation and at the same time a strong level, the break of which will open the way to 156.29. Resistance levels: 159.11, 160.16, 160.9 Support levels: 156.29 Technically, the situation is weak and hints that in the short term the bears could overcome the key support, which could trigger a bearish momentum Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
12
GOLD → ATH Retest. High chance of breakout and growth to $3KFX:XAUUSD has again approached ATH 2938 - 2942. This yours increases the chance of resistance breakout and further growth. We are getting closer and closer to $3000 The market maintains recent gains as it awaits the release of minutes from the January Fed meeting and news of Trump's tariff plans. The US President threatened to impose duties on pharmaceuticals and chips, and confirmed the imposition of tariffs on automobiles from April 2, which strengthened demand for defensive assets. The lack of progress in peace talks between the US and Russia has also supported gold prices. However, traders are cautious ahead of the release of Fed minutes, which could cool expectations of rate cuts this year. Technically, all eyes are on the conglomerate resistance at 2938 - 2942. A breakdown and consolidation of the price above this area will provoke further growth Resistance levels: 2938, 2942 Support levels: 2924, 2915 Gold is in local pre-breakdown consolidation 2938 - 2924. Emphasis on these boundaries. Breakout and consolidation of the price above the resistance can provoke continuation of growth. But, before the growth the price may test the nearest support. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
23
LINK/USDT 1W chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1W link to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves under the downward trend line, but we can see some price stabilization, which can affect the potential change of trend. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face: T1 = 19.20 $ T2 = = $ 21.67 Т3 = $ 25 T4 = $ 27.65 Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = $ 16.82 SL2 = $ 14.90 SL3 = 12.73 $ Looking at the RSI indicator, we see the descent below the lower limit of the range, which may also indicate
by cryptodailyuk
FTM/USD 8H possible correction?Hello everyone, let's look at the 8H FTM to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has broken out of the local downtrend line, which it is currently moving above. Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price must face: T1 = $0.75 T2 = $0.86 Т3 = $1.02 Т4 = $1.19 Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = $0.60 SL2 = $0.49 SL3 = $0.42 SL4 = $0.32 It is worth looking at the RSI indicator, which shows how strongly we have broken out of the upper limit of the range, moreover, here we can see how we have touched the level of 81, at which price rebounds were previously visible.
CRYPTO:FTMUSD
by cryptodailyuk
SOL on the Slide: Is a Bounce from $150 in the Cards?Solana has been in a downtrend for over 30 days after reaching its ATH at $295.83. For the past two weeks, SOL was stuck in a trading range that formed a descending triangle (a bearish pattern) which eventually broke down, confirming the downtrend. Additionally, SOL lost its yearly support level at $189.31. Where is SOL heading next? Let's find out! Key Support Zone Our main long opportunity is around the $150 level, where several confluences align: Fibonacci Levels: The 0.5 fib retracement of the entire 5-wave structure sits at $151.92. The 0.786 fib retracement from the 5th wave is at $149.77. A fib extension 1.618 of the descending triangle is at $148.65, which is very close to the $150 mark. Volume Profile: The Point of Control (POC), highlighted by the red horizontal ray, is around $144, adding another layer of support. Trade Setup Currently waiting for SOL to reach the support zone between $152 and $144. An alarm is set when price nears these levels for a long opportunity.
Short
by SiDec
GBPNZD / looks good to buy Given the overall market direction, which remains extremely bullish across multiple timeframes, this trade has a high probability of continuing its upward trajectory. Looking specifically at the 4-hour timeframe, price initially made a strong push to the downside, retested a key area of interest, yet ultimately closed above critical levels—including the monthly and weekly pivots, Fibonacci levels, and the 50-period moving average—forming a high-confluence zone. With recent signs of exhaustion, price may once again retest the previous 4-hour resistance zone, as its identified on the chart.
Long
by fxtraderkristina
GOLD → Bullish trend, but the price depends on the newsFX:XAUUSD bounces off previously tested trend support and gives a chance for possible upside. Economic risks are still high and gold as a safe haven is in demand Investors are cautious ahead of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia where they will discuss a possible end to the conflict in Ukraine. Weak risk appetite is supporting the dollar, also helped by comments from Fed officials. They express concern about inflation and call for caution in cutting rates. The attention of market participants is directed to the upcoming speeches of the Fed members and the publication of the minutes of the January meeting Technically, the price broke 2905 in the Asian session, at the moment this area plays an important role as support. The first target is 2922, the second target is 2938 Resistance levels: 2922, 2938 Support levels: 2905, 2893 The most likely scenario is a retest of support amid the global uptrend, as liquidity below 2905 is still of interest to the market. But, the price may continue to rise due to imbalance from the bullish side. A breakout and consolidation of the price above 2915 may also trigger a rise. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
JUP in Danger: Are We in for a Crash?JUP has been on a four-day downtrend, and it's starting to show its bearish side. The token has lost its yearly open, which was a major support level. Let’s break down the key support and resistance to see what the chart is telling us. Support & Resistance Resistance: Yearly Open & Monthly Level: JUP has dropped below the yearly open at $0.8169 and the monthly level at $0.7427 Support: Long-Term Range & Liquidity: JUP has been trading within a range for over 300 days, with a significant amount of liquidity below the low at $0.6328 from 5 July 2024. POC: The volume profile shows the POC sitting at around $0.5, marking an attractive entry point for a long position. Fibonacci Confluence: The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level falls just below the key low at $0.431 (a level last seen on 12 February 2024), offering a great long trade setup. Long Trade Opportunity: Alarms are set, let's see if JUP drops to these key support levels. If it does, we could have a solid long setup on our hands.
Short
by SiDec
BTC/USDT 1D Chart Reviev/Are we approaching a new upward moveme?Hello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is locally below the downtrend line and currently following the downtrend we are approaching the main uptrend line which is a strong support for the price. Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face: T1 = 98948USD T2 = 101357USD Т3 = 103727USD Т4 = 107100USD Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: Currently we can see how the price is holding in a strong support zone from the level of $94450 to the level of $92683, however if we exit this zone below it it is worth considering a stoploss at these levels. SL1 = 89791USD SL2 = 85213USD It is worth paying attention to the RSI indicator where we can see a break of the support line, which gives a strong reaction, and we can see how we are approaching the lower limit of the range, and what is more, we can see that currently we are lower on the indicator, but the price remains at a similar level or even slightly higher, which can positively affect the potential price rebound, giving a greater increase.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
CAKEUSDT → False breakout of resistance. Return to the trendBINANCE:CAKEUSDT is forming a false breakdown of key resistance as part of a bullish rally. Further altcoin decline may be influenced by bitcoin's decline, the flagship looks rather weak Technically, the move in Cake looks like a counter-trend maneuver to gather liquidity before a further, possible fall. The altcoin market is weak and most coins continue to look for a bottom, while bitcoin is consolidating but with a hint of a decline to 91-90K. CAKEUSDT is focusing on 2.6144 - 2.7288. If the bears keep the price below these zones, the coin could head down in the short to medium term Resistance levels: 2.6144, 2.7288, 2.2964 Support levels: 2.420, 2.0634 Statistically, a false breakdown provokes the strongest movements, often even trend changes. In this case, it is a counter-trend movement and if the price reverses locally, the coin will be under the pressure of the trend again. A price fixing below 2.6144 may strengthen the fall to 2.42, 2.06, 1.04. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
10
BITCOIN → Consolidation. Shake-out before growth to 110KBINANCE:BTCUSD is consolidating both locally and globally. The market lacks drivers, but at the same time, big players continue to keep the coin from falling further Bitcoin is in consolidation or in a localized correction due to Trump putting cryptocurrencies on the back burner. No supportive executive orders have been issued, except that there is a little noise around the federal reserve, but only from the states and that is in question what assets will fill this fund, confiscated or still politicians will start buying BTC. As for the global economy regarding bitcoin, a lull has been forming lately. Except for SOL and DOGE, for which the SEC has already started accepting applications to launch ETFs. Technically, I'm keeping an eye on local consolidation: 94800 - 98400. A breakout of resistance could give hope to the market and in that case bitcoin could strengthen to 102 - 107K Resistance levels: 98.4, 100.2, 102.7 Support levels: 94.8, 91.3 But, based on the general technical situation, there is a huge pool of liquidity in the 91-90K zone and before further growth the price may test this zone and form a false breakdown before the market returns to active buying. Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
34
Bitcoin Seasonality - Best Month (October) and Best Day (Monday)It's very important for every Bitcoin trader to know its seasonality because this will significantly increase the probability of successful trades. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years, and I successfully use seasonality patterns to predict Bitcoin price movements. For example, you don't want to go long on Bitcoin during August or September; that's probably a very bad idea. The biggest market crashes usually happen in September. But you definitely want to go long in October or April, as these months are the most promising. Knowledge of these patterns will give you an advantage over standard retail traders. Every trade matters. Average return by Month (%) January: +5.1% February: +12.1% March: +4.8% April: +18.7% May: +14.2% June: +4.4% July: +6.1% August: -3.1% September: -8.4% October: +22.2% November: +17.9% December: +7.3% Average return by Weekday (%) Monday: +0.63% Tuesday: +0.18% Wednesday: +0.54% Thursday: +0.40% Friday: +0.37% Saturday: +0.45% Sunday: +0.10% Currently I am bullish on Bitcoin as the price is in an uptrend and the bear market is not confirmed; I expect Bitcoin to hit 115k probably at the end of February/March. What I also expect is an alt season - alt season is starting right now! So it's time to buy some altcoins. Ethereum should outperform BTC in the next weeks as well. Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Long
by Xanrox
52
BNX Breakdown: The Next Trade SetupBNX has recently been testing a key resistance zone around the $1 level. After hitting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $1.10, the market shifted into a downtrend. Let's analyse where our next trade opportunity might arise. Market Structure & Confluence Zones $1 to $1.1: BNX encountered robust resistance between $1 and $1.1, where the 0.618 Fib retracement aligns perfectly with the fib speed fan (0.618-0.65). Additionally, the anchored VWAP taken from the high at $1.1 aligns beautifully with the $1 mark, adding another robust layer of resistance. This convergence reinforces the strength of this zone and signals potential continuation of the downtrend. Recent price action shows that BNX has repeatedly bounced off the 0.618/0.666 levels during small downward corrections. Moving Averages on the 1-Hour Chart: The 21 EMA/SMA on the 1-hour timeframe is clustering between $0.97 and $1, providing additional confirmation of the resistance and offering an ideal entry region for short trades. Primary Short Trade Setup Given the multiple confluences around the resistance zone, our main focus is a short trade with a well-defined laddering strategy: Entry Strategy (Laddering): Initiate short positions with staggered entries between $0.97 and $1.019. This dollar-cost averaging (DCA) approach allows for flexibility and optimises your entry as price tests the resistance zone. Stop Loss (SL): Place your stop loss around $1.0375, just above the Point of Control (POC) or the previous high in this range to effectively manage risk. Target: Aim for a profit target at $0.8. This target is supported by multiple technical indicators. Risk/Reward Ratio: With these levels, you are looking at an approximate risk/reward ratio of 4:1 or better, depending on your specific DCA weighting. Confirmation: As always, await confirmation through order flow analysis and the appearance of rejection candles at key levels before entering the trade.
Short
by SiDec
3
GOLD → Price is confirming the flat. Emphasis on 2905FX:XAUUSD within the 2% correction that happened on Valentine's Day confirmed that one should not fall in love with the market. Technically the market is still bullish, the price is inside the range of 2880 - 2940 Investors are waiting for the meeting between Trump and Putin, which may influence the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and reduce geopolitical risks. Additional support for gold is provided by expectations of Fed rate cuts after weak US retail sales data. At the same time, the markets are watching the escalation of the tariff confrontation between the US and the EU. High volatility is possible in the coming days due to holidays in the USA and speeches of the Fed representatives The key figure is the ascending support, relative to which a false breakdown and the range of 2880 - 2940 is formed. If the price holds in the buying zone, under the bullish support, we can still see the growth. Resistance levels: 2904.7, 2922.6 Support levels: 2893, 2880 A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming around 2904.7. If the resistance is broken and the bulls can keep the defense above this zone, the gold may continue its strengthening. I do not exclude a retest of the support at 2893 - 2880 before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17