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Fibonacci Retracement

GOLD → Countertrend correction. What to do in this case?FX:XAUUSD , after a bull run, bumps into strong limit resistance at 3244 and enters a correction phase, which is generally a logical maneuver amid strong gains. Gold corrects from Friday's record $3,245 and moves back to $3,200 amid improving market sentiment and progress in trade talks. The price pared gains after a strong weekly rally, reacting to U.S. concessions on tariffs on Chinese electronics and China's pledges to boost economic stimulus. Additional influences come from the dialog between the US and Iran, as well as the anticipation of China's GDP and trade data for March. Despite the pullback, downside may be limited due to ongoing uncertainty. Technically, it is worth looking at the 3187 - 3167 conglomerate of support, which can stop (temporarily or even turn the price upward) a strong and sharp decline, as the fundamental backdrop within the tariff war is still tense. Resistance levels: 3244, 3270 Support levels: 3187, 3174, 3167 The rally is temporarily halted, but there is no talk of a trend reversal, as the tariff war fire is still burning, Trump or Xi Jinping may add to the fire.... Within the framework of counter-trend correction, the emphasis is on the support of 3187, 3174, 3167 from which we can trade a false breakdown and catch the price rebound. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
ETH is fighting in the support zoneHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on ETH. When we enter the one-day interval, we can see how the ETH price moved in a strong downtrend channel. What's more, we can see that the price fell below the main uptrend line. As we can see, the price is currently fighting to break out on top in the support zone from $ 1690 to $ 1350, in a situation if this zone was broken, we could see another strong drop to the support area at $ 884 at the previous low after the bull run. On the other hand, if ETH gets wind in its sails again, it must first pass through the resistance zone from $ 1952 to $ 2100, while further on there is a very strong zone from $ 2500 to $ 2740. However, here, taking into account the one-day interval, the RSI indicator shows a breakout above the top of the border, which may affect the potential end of the current uptrend.
by cryptodailyuk
1
NZDJPY → Back in range, there's a chance to strengthenFX:NZDJPY is forming a false break of the range support and within the reversal pattern confirms the break of the bearish structure The fundamental background has been extremely unstable lately and depends on any harsh statements of politicians, mainly related to the trade war. But, technically, the pair is returning to the range on the background of local market recovery. A false breakdown of the range support is formed. The break of the bearish structure, the formation of the reversal pattern and the return to the trading range give chances for strengthening of the price. If the bulls hold the defense above 83.7 - 84.2, the currency pair may strengthen to 85.15 - 87.4 Resistance levels: 84.196, 86.15 Support levels: 83.79, 83.31, 82.21 Consolidation above the key support zone may allow the bulls to strengthen the price to the local zone of interest. Global trend is neutral, local trend is upward. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
GOLD → Price is consolidating, but to what end? Growth?FX:XAUUSD continues on its way as part of a strong rally. Price is testing strong resistance and there is a good chance of a new high as the trade war escalation intensifies. Against the backdrop of the bull run, there is no need to think about selling! Gold is trading near all-time highs above $3,200 on Friday, posting a weekly gain of about 5.5%. Rising prices are fueled by concerns over U.S. financial stability and the possible resignation of the Fed chief, adding to pressure on the dollar. Expectations of recession and Fed rate cuts are increasing amid escalating trade war with China, after the US imposed tariffs of 145% and Beijing retaliated - China raised tariffs to 125%. Inflation in March came in below expectations, reinforcing forecasts for a rate cut. Focus is on further trade talks and China's response Resistance levels: 3219.5 Support levels: 3197, 3187, 3167 Emphasis on the local range: 3219 - 3187. Breakdown and price consolidation above the resistance will provoke rally continuation. But I do not rule out a correction to accumulate energy before the continuation of growth. In this case gold may test 3197 (0.7f), or support of 3187 range. But we should be aware of the fact of unpredictability: If the US and China sit down for negotiations, the situation may change dramatically. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
SOL Bulls Strike Back — But Is It Sustainable?Solana continues to respect technicals with precision — after a +42.9% move from the $95 low, we're now at a pivotal moment in price structure. Let’s break down what’s happening and where the high-probability setups lie. 📍 Key Bounce Zone – Golden Pocket Confluence Local Low: $95.26 Golden Pocket Zone (0.618–0.666): $97.09–$94.82 This area acted as a major demand zone, with price sharply rebounding. First Volume Spike: Followed by retracement into Golden Pocket Zone at $102. Second Volume Spike: Occurred right after touching Anchored VWAP ($108.21) from the $95.26 low, which added beautiful confluence with the Golden Pocket Zone – a secondary high-conviction long entry. 📈 Rally to Resistance – Short-Term Climax After the anchored VWAP retest, SOL rallied into the key resistance zone aligned with the 0.786 Fib retracement from the previous down move — a historically reactive level and a prime profit-taking zone. Monthly 21 EMA ($135.83) and the monthly 21 SMA ($133) — both key dynamic resistance zones. Low-volume retest of that key high suggests buyer exhaustion, not continuation — a classic setup for a short-term reversal. 🧭 Current Market Structure Current Price Action: Trading above both the weekly open ($128.38) and the monthly open ($124.54). This forms a critical S/R zone between $124–$128, now acting as a potential battleground for bulls and bears. As long as price stays above this zone, momentum remains with the bulls. 🔍 What to Watch Next – Reclaim or Reject? Key Support to Watch: $125 (psychological level) and monthly open at $124.54 – This zone is likely to be liquidity-hunted. Expect a sweep of this low, look for the reaction. Daily Support Confluence: currently at 21 EMA: $123.77 & 21 SMA: $123.27 1.) 📈 Scenario A – Bullish Reclaim: If SOL sweeps the low and shows strong buying reaction (bullish engulfing candle, volume spike), it sets up a potential long opportunity towards the weekly open, to watch for the next reaction. 2.) 📉 Scenario B – Failed Hold: If there's no bullish reaction at $124–$125, expect further downside. First target = $122 Second target = $120.65 🎯 Tactical Game Plan Bulls: Watch for reaction at $124–$125 – potential scalp long with tight SL. Confirmation on volume expansion and break of $128.38 for continuation. Re-enter long after clean retest of weekly open from above. Bears: Short setup possible if weekly/monthly open is broken and retested as resistance. First TP = $122, second TP = $120.65.
Short
by SiDec
1
Will BTC emerge from the descending channel on top?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. On the one-day interval, you can see how the price is moving in the downtrend channel in which there is again a fight with the upper boundary of the channel. At this stage, you can also see how the EMA Cross 50/200, they have come very close but still indicate the maintenance of a long-term upward trend. Here you can see how the price has currently bounced off the resistance zone from $ 86,503 to $ 87,934. Only an upper exit from this zone will open the way towards the second important zone at the levels of $ 93,959 to $ 96,142, and then we have visible strong resistance around $ 101,800. Looking the other way, you can see that in the event of further declines, we have support at $ 80,550, then you can see an important zone that previously maintained the price decline from $ 74,340 to $ 71,380, in a situation where this zone is broken, we can see a quick decline to around $ 65,360. The MACD indicator shows an attempt to switch to an upward trend, it is worth watching whether there is enough energy for further movement.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
BITCOIN → Testing trend resistance. Will there be a breakout?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is approaching trend resistance and most likely it may test the liquidity zone and risk zone for sellers (liquidity hunt ?), but does the market have the potential to support the upside? Bitcoin is strengthening and channel resistance may not stop this growth. Based on the nature of price movement (smooth, gradual, consolidating), bitcoin may test liquidity 84.7K - 88.8K. But it is too early to talk about further growth On W1, the price is in a trading range (consolidation) between the previously broken global consolidation support and the current support. Short bodies, long shadows speak about consolidation. Also worth noting are the relatively long tails to the downside and the weak market reaction... Fundamentally, the cryptocurrency market (community as a whole) for the past week did not get anything positive as from the very beginning of this year, the growth can be attributed to the 90-day technical break by Trump, but there are a number of nuances: - the fire has not yet been put out - just because they gave a 90-day break doesn't mean everything is fine. It's just a head start for the U.S. to prepare for the situation more thoroughly - The escalating conflict between the U.S. and China has investors looking for less risky assets like gold. Cryptocurrencies are definitely not on that list. - Rumors of a US interest rate cut are likely to provide support as well. Resistance levels: 84700, 88800 Support levels: 78200, 73-74К, 66500 I would not hurry with conclusions about further growth. Growth could be considered if bitcoin overcomes 88800 and consolidates above this zone. But a sharp approach or a false breakout of one of the mentioned liquidity zones may provoke a reversal and fall. Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
20
LTC/USDT 1W ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on LTC. When we enter the one-week interval, we can see how the price is struggling to return above the upward trend lines. Here you can see how the current rebound is going towards resistance at $ 82.82, then resistance is visible at $ 95, but an important resistance point will be around $ 115. Looking the other way, you can see that the price has gone below the support level at $ 70, however, we could see a quick rebound, in a situation where the price continues to go down, the next very strong support is around $ 50. It is worth looking at the RSI indicator, which shows another descent in the week interval to the level where we could previously see strong price rebounds, which could potentially repeat itself.
by cryptodailyuk
1
BIG BIG weekI think 7 FED speakers, A lot of tension in the markets, tops mean polarisation, considering reflexivity theory extreme volatility will ensue. A lot of people might think the -0.786 ATH we got before the holidays is the top. I think they are mistaken as seen in the analysis below. There is still legroom for higher, this is a big bet on my part. I have a few contracts on the mag7 (GOOGL, TSLA and META) focusing on GOOGL since they seem to be in the same headwind as S&P Let's see how this plays out
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by Osmanomics
GBPCAD → False breakdown, where do we go from here?FX:GBPCAD is forming a false breakdown of trend support. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, the pound sterling went into the rally phase, which is favorable for the currency pair. The fundamental situation is in favor of GBP and CAD against the dollar, which continues its rapid decline. As part of the correction, the currency pair forms a test of support without the opportunity to continue the downward movement. The maneuver ends with a false breakdown and consolidation above the level (inside the channel). The currency pair may continue the uptrend if the bulls hold the defense above 1.8144 - 1.823 Support levels: 1.81500, 1.79788 Resistance levels: 1.8233, 1.83796 Accordingly, based on the fact that we have an uptrend, a strong currency pair (on the background of a weak dollar) and a false breakdown of support, we can say that the price is not allowed down and it is worth considering an attempt to continue the uptrend. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
Does History Repeat Itself? How Far Can the Nasdaq Fall?Let's examine the current 2025 correction on a logarithmic chart: the price movements show significant similarities to the February 2020 decline. At that time, the global crisis—then driven by COVID-19 panic—fundamentally influenced market movements, while now, trade uncertainties are generated by President Trump's aggressive tariff announcements. The chart reveals that the Nasdaq is declining steeply, and technical levels play a decisive role: yesterday, the price bounced back from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. However, it is clear that supporting technical indicators—such as the break of the RSI convergence trend on the days triggering the decline—confirm the downward movement. In the earlier 2020 decline, massive volume accompanied the initial weeks' movements, while this year's movement is characterized by steadily increasing volume. Nevertheless, the current volume peak falls short of the peak measured in the 2020 week (4.45 million vs. 6.8 million), indicating that the trend may continue with further declines. Overall, technical analysis—the examination of logarithmic charts, the break of the RSI trend, and volume movements—suggests that the current correction may deepen further, and the Nasdaq's target price can be estimated between 14,500 and 15,000 points. Observing a similar scenario in history, when global events triggered high volatility, it appears that market reactions now do not differ from past patterns. If the current negative trend continues, a further deepening of the correction is plausible, as the lag in market volume (4.45M vs. 6.8M) indicates that investors have not yet been able to offset the negative sentiment prevailing in the sector.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by jpsatrio
1
GOLD → Global economic risk indicator consolidates ahead of CPIFX:XAUUSD , rather quickly changes the market structure to bullish and continues its aggressive rally. The economic risk indicator is working perfectly. Technically, the focus is on the range 3135 - 3099 Gold is consolidating around $3,100 in anticipation of US inflation data. The escalating trade war between the US and China keeps demand for defensive assets alive despite the pause in price gains. Trump imposed 125% tariffs on Chinese goods and China retaliated with duties of 84% on U.S. imports. Increased tariff tensions are raising recession expectations and encouraging bets on a Fed interest rate cut, which supports gold. However, a rise in March CPI inflation (expected 2.6% y/y) could trigger a downward correction, although the impact could be short-lived - tariff news remains the main driver Technically, the price failed to reach the 3135 liquidity zone and reversed, which attracted the crowd willing to sell (deceptive maneuver). But, after correction the price may return to the target quite quickly Resistance levels: 3135, 3167 Support levels: 3100, 3090, 3077 Emphasis on the range boundaries, possible retest of 3100-3090- 3075 before continuation of growth. On the news or before the opening of the American session there may be a long squeeze before the continuation of growth. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
DOGE → Will the market hold strength or lose it all?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT is testing the liquidity and resistance zone amid a downtrend as part of a news-induced rally. Will the market hold this trend or return to a sell-off? The downtrend continues. As part of the correction triggered by the news backdrop, bitcoin strengthened and pulled the altcoins with it. But the market may lose all its growth quite quickly, as bearish pressure on the market is still very strong (There are no fundamental positive changes for the market). The fall of BTC may be followed by DOGE as well. Technically, the price is forming a false break of the resistance zone 0.1622 - 0.15700, consolidation of the price below this zone will provoke the continuation of the fall to the nearest zone of interest 0.13646. Resistance levels: 0.157, -0.1622 Support levels: 0.13646, 0.1277, 0.1154 A retest of the trend resistance is possible, but price consolidation below the key zone will be a good signal indicating the seller's strength, the decline may continue. On the weekly timeframe we have a trigger at 0.14217, break of which will open the way to 0.1277 - 0.1025. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
11