Bitcoin - If you buy, you can get REKT in 2025! (Insider Info)Bitcoin is forming a historical bearish divergence on the weekly chart. As we can see, the price is making higher highs, while the RSI indicator is making lower highs. Historically, Bitcoin reacts to the divergence very successfully, and a lot of traders use it as a main indicator.
Bitcoin can fall to 38k - 44k, so if you buy now, you can experience a massive loss if you are going against the RSI divergence. Best to open a short position, stop loss 81k. This bullish flag looks like a trap for retail traders.
Intelligence people know that Bitcoin can have an infinite supply. It's nothing more than a computer program, and it can be modified. And they will give you good reasons to increase Bitcoin supply in the future, such as World War 3. And sheep will say yes, let's print more Bitcoin to end the war. Once Bitcoin becomes the world's digital currency, controlled by the FED as they plan to do so, you will hate Bitcoin.
In a previous article, I said that crypto technology is not new and nothing special. This technology was brought to earth by alien entities. Crypto technology is already used on thousands of different planets in the galaxy. In fact, crypto is another version of the fiat money printing system. You probably heard about Greys, Reptilians, and Draconians. When you look at them, you will notice their ugly appearance. Nature hates them; that's why they are very ugly. Their intelligence is extremely low compared to humans, and they take instructions mostly from the AI.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Fibonacci Retracement
GOLD → U-turn and fall... Waiting for Powell (Fed)FX:XAUUSD is forming a reversal setup with a bias for the medium and long term. The fundamental background is changing in favor of the dollar at the expense of gold, as well as changing the targets...
Trump is the new (old) president of the United States. What does that mean? Rising inflation, a rising dollar, stock market and bonds are possible, but not gold or currency markets. But because Trump's policies promise to be tough on China and Europe, gold may get additional support from investors, but not in the near term, perhaps not in the next year. What are the targets to gold going forward? 2400, 2300, 2200. 2K is not excluded.
Now all eyes are on the Fed rate meeting later on Thursday. Will they cut 0.25% or keep the rate the same? The important aspect in that case is the regulator's comments and hints (slowing down the easing cycle is not ruled out). Waiting for Powell...
Technically, gold is returning to the range, so the focus is on the internal levels and the key 0.5 fibo, from which the decline may resume
Resistance levels: 2670, 2685, 2696
Support levels: 2652 (trigger), 2637, 2624
A correction after the spill is being formed. False breakdown and subsequent consolidation below the above resistance levels will be a signal for the continuation of the fall
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Fundamental Swing. What to expect from gold?FX:XAUUSD updates the low to 2643. The reason - change of fundamental background and outflow of funds to safer assets... But, Powell supported the metal by lowering the US interest rate....
Overall, the fundamental backdrop for gold has changed to negative. The impact is not short-term and can only increase further, but the metal will be supported by the Chinese market and the Middle East conflict. Yesterday gold strengthened to 2710, testing key resistance on the back of 0.25% interest rate cut. Powell gave a hint that the Feds are generally willing to continue the easing course. The environment is quite interesting...
Technically, gold is in a local descending channel and below 0.5 Fibo. If the bears keep the 0.5 - 0.7 fibo zone under their control, gold may continue to weaken towards 2650 - 2600.
Resistance levels: 2696, 2714, 2720
Support levels: 2685, 2652
Technically, after a busy week, the metal may go into a consolidation phase, for example in the area of 2714 - 2685, but it is still worth paying attention to resistance and support from which strong moves can be formed...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Global reversal H&S. How far do we fall? FX:XAUUSD was looking pretty steady in the Asian session until the press came out with their statements before Trump's speech. The fundamental background is weakening, but there are positive nuances from the news....
There is one last vote left, but Trump has a 99% chance of winning.
Markets believe his policies will put upward pressure on inflation, treasury yields and the US dollar, which could have an overall negative impact on the XAU
BUT, there is a possibility that in the long term, the gold price will also benefit from the new president's policies as Trump's foreign policy related to China and Europe could cause unrest and panic in the market
Sentiment around the US election will play a key role in gold price movement ahead of the US Fed policy announcement due on Thursday.
Technically, gold is giving hints of a possible reversal by forming a classic H&S pattern. The main support is at 2708
Resistance levels: 2731, 2735, 2749
Support levels: 2724, 2713, 2708, 2689
Also, H1 is starting to show a local descending channel. Before the official verdict of the vote, the price can still test these resistance areas, but later the market may turn around and start a gradual decline until the end of market-wide euphoria....
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
CADJPY at strong resistance in the Daily chartHistorical context: +60% up since 2020
The CAD/JPY pair has demonstrated a remarkable upward trajectory since March 2020, recording an impressive increase of over 60%. This surge can be partly attributed to Japan's prolonged monetary policy, which maintained negative interest rates while many other countries raised their rates to combat inflation following the pandemic.
Recently, the Bank of Japan signalled a significant shift in its monetary policy, indicating its intention to begin raising interest rates. This development has provided a boost to the Japanese Yen. The current pullback represents the sharpest decline observed since the onset of the uptrend in 2020, potentially signalling a change in market direction. This analysis will delve into the recent price action, loss of key support levels, and critical areas to monitor.
Technical Perspective: Key Indicators
Break Below the 200-Period Moving Average
The recent breach below the 200-period moving average signifies a weakening uptrend. This movement suggests a potential reversal in the prevailing direction, accompanied by increasing selling pressure. The 200-period moving average is often regarded as a critical threshold separating bull markets from bear markets, making a drop below this level particularly significant.
Accelerating Downward Movement
The decline observed between 10 July and 5 August marks the steepest drop in CAD/JPY since 2020. Most notably, this downturn has effectively engulfed all gains made by CAD/JPY over the previous 12 months. The acceleration of this downward movement underscores significant selling interest in the pair.
Fibonacci Analysis and Price Structure
Following the breakout of the SMA200 on the daily chart, the price has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent downtrend. The 50% level is often viewed as a critical area of interest that can present opportunities aligned with the primary trend. The confluence of the 50% level with the 200-period moving average marks a pivotal point for sellers at this juncture.
Possible Sell Scenario
Given the breach of the 200-period moving average and the prevailing price structure indicating a potential reversal, a selling opportunity may arise if the pair continues to exhibit weakness.
A sell signal could be triggered if the price breaks below the uptrend line on the daily chart (highlighted in black). Initial targets for this sell-off could include the 23.6% Fibonacci level at 105.7, with an extended target around the 103.00 region.
A stop loss should be established if the price demonstrates a clear breakout above the range defined by the 50% Fibonacci level and the SMA200 on the daily chart, situated around 111.20.
The CAD/JPY pair is beginning to exhibit signs of exhaustion following a prolonged uptrend. The breach below the 200-period moving average and the testing of Fibonacci levels suggest a potential period of correction or reversal ahead. Close monitoring of price action around the 108.229 and 110.258 levels will be crucial in validating any potential short entries.
Disclaimer:
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
BTC new ATH what's next?BTC reaches new ATH, but the level around $76,600 is a key place in the four-year cycles lasting for BTC, because from its low in each cycle, it grows less by 5.3 times than in the previous cycle. However, the situation may change with the introduction of ETFs to the market, which changed price movements. If we manage to break out of the $76,600 level, we can see a move towards $83,800, and then the important level is at $89,000. When the price starts to recover, the first important thing for us is the support zone from $73,700 to $70,000, when this zone is broken, the price can quickly return to the level of $66,000, and then the important support is at the price of $59,300. We have also identified a visible upward trend line on which we can currently base critical points in the event of a correction.
Nifty Bank Index Analysis (30-Minute Chart)Key Observations:
1.Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The chart shows a clear downtrend from around 54,497 to the recent low near 50,279.
Key retracement levels include:
23.6% Retracement : Around 53,497, indicating minor resistance.
38.2% Retracement : Near 52,882, a level that has acted as resistance multiple times.
50% Retracement : Around 52,385, which has been retested recently.
78.6% Retracement is seen at 51,180.8, a key level of support.
2.Moving Averages (MA):
The 30-minute chart shows price movement interacting with multiple MAs.
The 200-period MA is an essential indicator of trend direction and resistance/support.
Shorter MAs like the 20 and 50 periods can highlight entry points during trend reversals.
3.Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance: 52,389.90 and 53,497.15. Breaking these could signal bullish momentum.
Support: 51,195.90 and a lower support at 50,279.50, which marks the recent low.
4.Trendline Channels:
The index is moving within a channel, with an upward support trendline. The price respecting these levels might suggest range-bound movement with breakout potential.
3.Volume Analysis:
Recent volume spikes align with price testing key resistance levels, hinting at possible rejection or continuation if volume sustains.
GBPUSD → Negative fundamental background. Going to 1.2500FX:GBPUSD is reversing after a retest of strong resistance with no opportunity to enter the liquidity zone. The negative fundamental background is confirmed.
The dollar is flying upwards. News channels and not only already declare about the victory of Trump, whose policy is directed towards the strengthening of the dollar. Markets are starting to react accordingly.
As for GBPUSD, in the last article I focused your attention on 1.2813 and 1.305: If after a pullback to the resistance the price starts to retest the support, the chances of a breakdown and further decline will increase.
The fundamental background, formed at the moment, is favorable for the fall of the currency pair.
Resistance levels: 1.294, 1.30, 1.3044
Support levels: 1.2813, 1.2672, 1.25
The technical and fundamental background are going in the same direction. Emphasis on the key support. A slight pullback is possible before further breakout. Also continue to follow the news!
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The SMAs are hinting that it's about time ... News!FX:XAUUSD is forming a phase of correction, the reason for which is the change of fundamental background. The pressure from sellers is increasing, and the market is forming a key support at this time...
Disappointing NFP data was offset by hot wage inflation data. The U.S. labor market report failed to deter dollar buyers as it had limited impact on market pricing in Fed meeting expectations. Which had a negative impact on the price of gold...
All eyes are now on the US presidential election on November 5, and the outcome of the Fed meeting on Thursday. Markets believe that Trump's policy will put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the dollar, while if Harris wins, the dovish policy will continue.
Technically, traders are taking a wait-and-see approach. The price is forming a range, and most likely gold will trade inside this channel in the near term
Resistance levels: 2745, 0.5 and 0.7 Fibo, 2758
Support levels: 2731, 2724, 2713
SMAs are tending towards each other, which could be a mixed reaction from traders. Markets are prioritizing a Republican victory, in fact, this could intensify gold's correction. But the denouement of the presidential race is tomorrow! For now, the focus is on the flat boundaries!
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
APEUSDT → Is the dump still in progress? Emphasis on resistanceBINANCE:APEUSDT in the dump phase updates lows. Consolidation and a slight pullback is forming before important news from the US. There is a storm ahead!
The coin pump is most likely a manipulation of fundamental facts related to the launch of Level 3 blockchain. But based on the overall situation, traders do not believe in further growth ...
Technically, the coin is in the channel 0.963 (deeper 1.032) -0.900, accordingly, at the time of writing, prices are diving after bitcoin as markets are betting on Trump's victory, which puts a favorable wind on this market. But the outcome could be 50/50 as the politicians in the race go toe-to-toe...
I emphasize the range boundaries to form a short and medium term strategy for APE.
Resistance levels: 0.963, 1.032
Support levels: 0.900, 0.875
Technically, the primary target is resistance. Further we should consider a false breakdown with a possible decline to support, which may lead to a breakout and further decline to the zone of interest 0.733 - 0.695
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:APEUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Speculators waiting for news.... FX:NZDUSD is moving into consolidation after a strong and progressive fall amid a halt in the dollar index. Markets are waiting for news related to the US presidential election....
The currency pair amid strong bullish DXY is not practicing attempts to update local highs with the aim of changing the trend to a bullish one. Buyers are not ready yet, and are waiting for November 5...
If Trump is elected, the dollar, supported by a pro-inflationary president, may continue to recover, which, accordingly, will manifest itself in the form of negative dynamics in the currency pair. But, most likely, with the election of a politician from the Democratic Party, the regulators are likely to continue to hold the dovish rate, in which case the NZDUSD will have a chance to change the trend.
Resistance levels: 0.6031, 0.6066
Support levels: 0.5953, 0.5915
Technically, bears continue to hold the dominant position. The area 0.5915, 0.585 is a zone of interest in terms of liquidity formation, thus, there is a high probability of reaching these areas...
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin is FAILING! Why is Bitcoin the worst investment.Bitcoin is the worst investment. Where is the lambo? The price of Bitcoin in 2017 was $20,000 and the current price is $68,000 in 2024, so after 7 years, the profit is very poor - only +240%. So where is the lambo and where is the moon all the influencers are talking about? Clearly, you have been scammed. And I am not talking about altcoins, because the majority are down by 95% from their peak and will continue to 99% or to zero (rug pull).
Crypto technology is not new and nothing special. This technology was brought to earth by alien entities. Crypto technology is already used on thousands of different planets in the galaxy. In fact, crypto is another version of the fiat money printing system.
Where is the moon for Bitcoin? Clearly no where because the moon is a hologram and humans never landed on it. It's a hugs scam by NASA. The landing on the moon was recorded on Earth. It's not possible to physically leave Earth with current technology because the Van Allen radiation belt would burn your body. It's possible with advanced spaceships, but this technology is hidden and intentionally not available. It's also possible to leave Earth after you die or during sleep/meditation in non-physical form.
So is Bitcoin bad? Bitcoin is just another form of fiat money. If you like high inflation and money printing, then you can support Bitcoin. Bitcoin is a computer program, and as any program in existence, it can be modified or rewritten. There is no such thing as a fixed supply; they can increase the supply without any issues.
Why was Bitcoin brought to earth? It's part of the total control program. First bring electricity to earth, then microchips (computers), then the internet, then blockchain and AI. This technology is completely incompatible with the human body and causes major issues, which you can see around you - almost everyone is ill or has some kind of sickness. Maybe you didn't know that 100 years ago, there was no cancer, no diabetes, no anxiety, no common cold, almost nothing.
Why are those alien entities? You probably heard about Greys, Reptilians, Draconians, Mantis, and Insectoids. When you look at them, you will notice their ugly appearance. They are very ugly by nature. Their intelligence is extremely low compared to humans, and they take instructions mostly from the AI. That means they lost control over themselves. You may say that their technology is advanced, but this is a deception. Their technology is based on unsuccessful design and architecture. In core, they are outdated and actually very stupid. What they do is drain your life energy during sleep and use it to feed their AI machines. They also manipulate your dreams, causing nightmares at night, manipulating your thoughts, and causing sleep paralysis. For each like, one alien dies! Hit the like/boost button now. Thanks that you help humanity! Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response.
XRP/USDT 1D ChartHello everyone, let's look at the current situation of XRP in pair with USDT taking into account the one-day time frame. In this situation, we can see the price rebounding from the downtrend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $0.56
T2 = $0.60
T3 = $0.63
T4 = $0.68
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $0.50
SL2 = $0.47
SL3 = $0.42
Groupon long position/swing trade idea - $NASDAQ:GRPNNASDAQ:GRPN may be a long from here. It put in a monthly indecision candle last month, along with a relative volume per range signal, after sweeping below a pivot near an area of interest. Also swept under prior weekly low and reversed, heading back toward prior week high.
I've started a tiny feeler position today looking for a potential weekly breakout and run up toward the highs around 19-20 and beyond, perhaps even starting a long run back up to the IPO price. I will tighten and add more if it takes out the weekly high.
Normally in this distribution I would only look for a long if it first dropped to $7.5, and it may still do that or continue lower, but the monthly relvol signal made me want to make an attempt at this one from here. Monthly and quarterly relvol signals tend to lead to the best trends.
LONG: Mahindra & Mahindra on the Rise: Targeting New Highs!🔍 Technical Analysis Report: NSE:M_M
Current Overview: 📈 NSE:M_M have shown a strong reversal from its recent low of ₹2,665.55. This recovery is significant as it has crossed the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, with the highest reference point being the level 1 Fibonacci at ₹3,214.95.
Key Observations:
Volume Analysis: Over the past 3-5 trading days, the stock has displayed consistent positive volume, indicating sustainable upward movement. 📊🔼
Critical Resistance: Since mid-June, the stock has been approaching a key resistance level. It briefly breached the 0.5 Fibonacci level yesterday but closed near the 0.382 Fibonacci level. 🚧
Price Movement: Today, the stock opened around the 0.382 Fibonacci level at ₹2,827.10 and is inching upwards. 📈
Technical Indicators:
MACD Analysis: The current MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows an impending buying crossover. If market conditions stay favorable, we anticipate the MACD histogram turning green tomorrow, reinforcing the bullish trend. 🔄🟢
Target Levels:
🎯 First Target: ₹2,942.15
🎯 Second Target: ₹3,005.10
🚀 Extended Target (if resistance is broken): Around ₹3,100.00
Risk Management:
Primary Stop-Loss: ₹2,800.00 to protect against downside risk. ⚠️
Extended Stop-Loss: ₹2,720.85 for those accommodating broader market volatility. 📉
Conclusion: 🟢 If M&M opens in the green tomorrow, this will confirm the buying trend, potentially reaching the target levels mentioned above. However, cautious trading is advised, particularly around the set stop-loss thresholds, to manage inherent market risks effectively. ⚖️
#Hashtags: #MahindraAndMahindra #StockAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #FibonacciLevels #MACD #TradingInsights #StockMarketIndia #BullishTrend #InvestmentStrategy #RiskManagement #FinogentSolutions
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
GOLD → The US election and how does XAUUSD depend on it?FX:XAUUSD is waiting for strong news. The price continues to test and even update local lows, but in the next 1-2 days you need to be careful as high volatility is expected.
The main issue on the agenda is the US presidential election. High volatility is expected. Until last week, markets were pricing in a Trump victory (his policies on immigration, tax cuts and tariffs will put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the US dollar). But on Monday, the situation showed a slightly different picture, with the odds of a Harris victory (opposite, successor, policies) rising
In addition, expectations of a less aggressive easing cycle from the Fed are also supporting the dollar.
Also, markets are taking into account the ongoing Middle East conflict between Israel and Iran.
Technically, the emphasis of the flat boundaries. While the price is trading inside, but most likely an attempt to get out of the accumulation will be formed....
Resistance levels: 2745, 2758
Support levels: 2731, 2724, 2713
Technically, gold continues to test support with the aim of retesting deeper liquidity zones below. But the risks are quite high right now. Gold is still feeling the support, so there could be unpredictable market reactions depending on the outcome!
Regards R. Linda!
Sonata Software Ltd. (NSE: SONATSOFTW)The daily chart of Sonata Software shows a notable consolidation phase after a strong uptrend earlier this year, which peaked around ₹837. The stock has been trading within a descending triangle pattern, a sign of ongoing consolidation with potential for a breakout in either direction. Here’s a closer look at key levels and technical indicators:
1.Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The stock has retraced to key Fibonacci levels, finding temporary support near the 0.236 level around ₹563 and facing resistance near the 0.382 level around ₹615. These levels are crucial as the stock approaches a breakout or breakdown point.
2.Trendline Analysis:
Two converging trendlines form a descending triangle, indicating potential price compression. A breakout above the upper trendline or a breakdown below the lower trendline could signal the next trend direction. Traders should watch for a breakout above ₹615-₹620 or a breakdown below ₹563.
3.Volume and Momentum:
Volume has been gradually decreasing during this consolidation, which typically precedes a breakout. If there’s a spike in volume with a breakout, it could confirm the direction.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is around 47, showing neutral momentum but with room for movement in either direction. A rise above 50 could indicate bullish momentum.
3.Key Support and Resistance:
Support: Major support is around ₹563 (0.236 Fibonacci level) and ₹479 (100% retracement).
Resistance: Immediate resistance stands at ₹615, with stronger resistance around ₹658 (0.5 Fibonacci level) and ₹700.
Outlook:
Given the current pattern, Sonata Software is approaching a decisive moment. A breakout above ₹615-₹620 with strong volume could push the stock towards ₹658 and beyond. Conversely, a breakdown below ₹563 might lead to further downside.
Note: Keep an eye on broader market conditions as well, as they can influence breakout strength and follow-through.
SWING IDEA - BAJAJ FINSERV Bajaj Finserv , a prominent player in financial services, presents a compelling swing trade setup.
Reasons are listed below :
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout and Retest : The price has recently broken out of a symmetrical triangle pattern and successfully retested, signaling a strong support level.
Consolidation Break : A significant 3+ year consolidation phase has been broken, indicating potential for a sustained upward move.
0.618 Fibonacci Support : The price is holding above this key Fibonacci level, suggesting strong buyer interest at current levels.
EMA Support on Weekly : Trading above the 50 and 200 EMAs on the weekly timeframe reinforces the bullish sentiment and strengthens support levels.
Target - 1900 // 2030 // 2200
Stoploss - weekly close below 1635
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Birlasoft Ltd - Technical Analysis and Potential Trade IdeasPrice Structure and Fibonacci Analysis:
Birlasoft's stock is currently in a descending triangle pattern, with price approaching a critical support level around ₹523, which aligns with the 0% Fibonacci retracement level from the recent peak of ₹859.55.
The Fibonacci levels on this chart highlight major retracement zones:
23.6% Fibonacci level at ₹602.60 served as previous support but has now turned into resistance.
The 50% level at ₹691.35 and the 61.8% level at ₹731.05 acted as strong resistance levels during past retracements.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
The stock has a key support zone around ₹523, which has been tested multiple times (green arrows on the chart), indicating a possible demand zone.
If this level fails, there is further support around ₹512.40 and a long-term support zone near ₹476.30.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance is seen near the 23.6% Fibonacci level at ₹602.60, where previous breakdowns occurred.
A descending trendline (marked with red arrows) indicates continuous selling pressure around this level.
Volume Profile Analysis:
The Volume Profile on the right shows a high-volume node around ₹570-₹600, suggesting strong historical trading interest in this area.
If the price breaks out of the descending triangle pattern, this zone could act as an initial resistance on a potential upward move.
Technical Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is near the oversold region, which could indicate a potential rebound if buying interest emerges at the support levels.
Volume Trends: A noticeable increase in selling volume has been observed during the recent downtrend, highlighting persistent selling pressure.
Trading Ideas and Strategy:
Bullish Scenario:
A bounce from the ₹523 support level, accompanied by a volume spike, could present a buying opportunity for a short-term recovery to ₹602.60 or higher.
Confirmation of a reversal at this level could open the path towards ₹651.70 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement), where further resistance is expected.
Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below ₹523, especially with high volume, could lead to further downside toward ₹512.40 or even the long-term support at ₹476.30.
Traders may consider short positions below ₹523, targeting lower support levels with proper risk management.
Conclusion:
Birlasoft is currently at a critical juncture. Traders should keep an eye on the ₹523 support level for potential bullish setups or watch for a breakdown below this level to consider bearish trades. This analysis highlights both opportunities and risks, depending on the upcoming price action around these crucial levels.
Bitcoin's Squeeze in price is building momentum upwards
I hope you are well this Sunday.
If you have been following my Bitcoin thread this weekend, you will know that price has further to fall, if the Bitcoin market is to tank downwards. What I am saying is that we are in a squeeze moving price down and up which contracts price and causes the squeeze effect, which quite frankly is needed in circumstances where volumes are again low this weekend.
But this squeeze is building momentum in the Bitcoin tank.
Bitcoin price has recently tested the level just under 69000 which is a big support level. Unfortunately some Stop Losses would've been triggered and price has taken the liquidity and moved higher. I never like to promote a stop loss level to someone, but I think it's reckless if I do not in circumstances where price tanks.
Please take a look at a recently Daily Chart of Bitcoin. I present Fib Levels & Fib EMA's 8,13,21,55. Both are supportive of price to move higher from current levels. 69,000 and thereabouts is the support zone and I think this level will hold.
SBI Life Insurance Co. Ltd (NSE: SBILIFE) - Technical Analysis Price Action and Fibonacci Analysis
SBI Life is currently trading at ₹1,628.85, which is near a crucial Fibonacci retracement level:
1. Fibonacci Levels:
The price previously peaked around ₹1,935.10, forming a possible double-top pattern.
It has since retraced, approaching the 50% retracement level at ₹1,624.75, a significant support zone. This level often acts as a key point for potential rebounds.
Below this, the 61.8% level at ₹1,551.50 is the next major support. If the price declines further, this level could provide strong support.
2. Volume Profile:
The Volume Profile on the right suggests a high volume node around ₹1,450, indicating strong accumulation in this zone. This level, if reached, could serve as a significant support area and potential bounce point.
3 . Moving Averages:
The stock is currently trading near the 200-day moving average (black line), which may act as a long-term support level.
The 50-day (blue) and 100-day (red) moving averages are above the current price, indicating that the stock has broken below its short- and medium-term trend lines.
Technical Indicators
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The RSI is showing signs of being in the lower half of its range but hasn’t reached oversold territory, suggesting there may be further downside before a potential rebound.
2. Volume Trends:
There has been a significant increase in volume during the recent pullback, indicating strong selling pressure.
Conclusion and Potential Scenarios
Bullish Scenario: If the stock holds the 50% Fibonacci level at ₹1,624.75 and the 200-day moving average, we could see a recovery toward the 38.2% level at ₹1,698.00, with further resistance at ₹1,788.60.
Bearish Scenario: A break below ₹1,624.75 could lead the price toward the 61.8% level at ₹1,551.50. A further decline might see the price test the high-volume node around ₹1,450.
Trading Strategy
For Long Positions: Watch for a bounce near ₹1,624.75 or ₹1,551.50 with confirmation from volume and RSI improving from lower levels.
For Short Positions: A breakdown below ₹1,624.75, particularly with strong volume, could present a shorting opportunity down to ₹1,551.50 or potentially lower.
Note: Always consider market conditions and use proper risk management techniques.