GOLD → CPI ahead. High risks to renew ATH, but...FX:XAUUSD is testing 2530 and risks a new high as each new retest increases the chances of a resistance breakout. Ahead of CPI, inflation data could set the medium-term tone for markets...
Traders are waiting for US inflation data that could confirm the size of the Fed's interest rate cut next week.
An uptick in CPI figures could trigger a rise in the dollar at the expense of gold prices (capital outflows), negating expectations of an excessive Fed rate cut.
Conversely, softer CPI data could revive bets for a 50 basis point Fed rate cut, collapsing the dollar and pushing the gold price to new lifetime highs. The 2530 area is very active in keeping the market from rising, accordingly, the accumulation of orders above 2530, if the resistance is broken, could activate a rally....
Resistance levels: 2530
Support levels: 2514, 2512, 2506
The price return to the resistance area will confirm the readiness to test 2530 for a breakout. If the bulls manage to pass this zone, we should count on growth, but the bears are holding this area quite aggressively. There is also a high probability to catch a short-squeeze and further decline to 2506-2500.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Fibonacci Retracement
$ETH | Buy Trade | Market Exec | Technical Confluences:
- Price action bounced off the 150% Fibo Extension & 61% Fibo Retracement
- Price action is at an Interest Zone area
Fundamental Confluences:
- Nothing much happening in the Crypto space at the moment and it will follow general market sentiment
- The main mover for Crypto space now will be on the FED interest rate cuts which cheapens cost of money and the US election
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Will be entering an entry here for CRYPTOCAP:ETH & target the $3,244 levels.
Will cut the position if it breaks the $2047 levels and will buy again if it's close to the support trendline and the Demand Zone.
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GOLD → Liquidity is a magnet. Getting ready to test 2475FX:XAUUSD like the TVC:DXY is going up, only the currency has a reason, and gold forms this movement based on manipulation. The price is at a strong resistance and a double top, which forms the prerequisites for a decline towards 2490-2475.
The dollar is strengthening on the background of a weak report on the U.S. labor market, as well as due to the Asian market, where fears of a slowdown in the Chinese economy are growing, despite the fact that traders expect lower interest rates next week. The theme of a “hard landing” for the U.S. economy is still on a high tone.... The reason for gold's rise since the beginning of the trading session on Monday is behind the decline in US Treasury bond yields
All eyes are still on the US inflation data due to be released on Wednesday... There is no reason for the price to move out of the range, accordingly, gold will continue to form a sideways (neutral) market direction.
Resistance levels: 2507, 2516
Support levels: 2500, 2494, 2484, 2475
Technically, the price is bouncing off 0.5 fibo, forming a double top with no opportunity to reach the upper boundary of the range as there is no interest for MM. The key liquidity is hidden in the lower part of the range, where, most likely, the price will seek in the near future on the background of the dollar growth
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
$GOOG | Watchlist | Buy Limit |Technical Confluences:
- Price is at Oversold levels from 1H all the way till the Weekly timeframe
- Price just broke the 38% Fibo Retracement level (Orange)
- Price bounced off the 61% Fibo Extension (Blue)
- Price is also in a strong Interest zone; previously the highs of end-2021
- However, price has also broken through a Support trendline
Fundamental Confluences:
- No doubt, Google is a strong name in the tech and now, AI space
- Due to their dominance in many sectors, they are bound to face many kinds of regulatory scrutiny and lawsuits from anti-trust laws etc.
- Revenue streams moving forward may also be affected from the court's hearings
- Considering that Generative AI is picking up traction, will it impact Google's core internet search business activity? Google will definitely still be there just facing stiffer competition
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As market is consolidating and rotation out of the tech and AI strategy, I will also bide my time and not rush to get into holding this tech dominant force.
It will be wait and watch story and orders have been set to buy some within the $115 - $130 range.
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BTC/USDT 4H Interval Chart Hello everyone, let's look at the 4H BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a downtrend channel, and currently we can see how the price has moved upwards from it.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $58674
T2 = $60394
T3 = $62412
T4 = $65143
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $55,105
SL2 = $53,217
SL3 = $50,380
And
SL4 = $48,219
Looking at the RSI indicator, we can see that we are high on the 4-hour interval, which may slow down the upward movement or try to recover.
GOLD → Area of Interest 2475. What's next? 2450 or 2500?FX:XAUUSD is shedding downward on the background of unexpected NFP, which was published on Friday. The dollar is rising, which is generally negative for the metal. But, globally, gold is still strongly bullish....
The first half of the week should be extremely quiet, as important news will not start to arrive until Wednesday. Traders are waiting for CPI, PPI, as well as the Fed meeting scheduled for September 18, where they are expected to make a decision on interest rate cuts. A rate cut makes currencies cheaper, which only increases the interest in gold.
Technically, the price of gold can't consolidate above 2500 and is trading below the critical level of 2494, indicating buyer weakness, which goes into the accumulation or waiting phase....
Resistance levels: 2493, 2500
Support levels: 2485, 2475, 2450
Technically, it is worth considering a decline and a retest of 2475, as after the upward rally from below there is a huge pool of liquidity that attracts the market. Further, further scenario will depend on the market reaction to the range support: False breakdown may give a chance for growth to 2500, and breakdown and consolidation below 2475 may provoke longsqueeze to 2450.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
BTC at some support levelsLets look at BTC. Some people have been saying that its getting ready to take off again, so I wanted to do my own analysis.
I've got three indicators I'm using here.
- Wedges/channels (the thin green lines)
- Fibs - the gold colored fib levels
- Wick Strength - the oscilalator at the bottom
First, Wedges.
We can see that price is at the bottom of a wedge/channel. Its been pretty consistent on the plotted wedges that breakouts have been significant. However with the support of the Wick Strength as well as support of the 0.382 fib level, it looks like we might return to the top of the channel rather than crashing through the bottom.
Next, Fibs.
Fibonacci are one of my favorite technicals and popular for a reason. Look at all the times price has bounced right off a near-exact fib level! Recently BTC hit the 0.5 with a STRONG support. And here we are again at the 0.382. Looking left on this line we can see multiple wax and wick bottoms rejecting at this price point in recent months.
Lastly, Wick Strength.
I'm still learning this one as its new, but here's what I've seen. In up markets, Wick Strength is low, because there is constant downward pressure from all the bears. So the top wicks are long, and the bottom wick are short. (Indicating that bulls are stronger since wax is bullish, but bears still have a voice and top wicks are longer than bottom). In down markets, its the opposite, and the Wick Score goes up due to longer bottom wicks by the bulls. Here, Wick Strength is relatively high actually, and we're in a flag price action pattern. Looking like Wick Strength will come down as the market takes off bullish again.
Just at thought! We'll see what happens.
What do you think?
GOLD H1 Chart analysis 100%Hello Traders!
Follow the instructions.
If the price consolidates between $2498 and $2497, gold may touch the $2480 level before bouncing back to $2528. A break above the strong resistance level could potentially send gold to new all-time highs (ATH).
Bullish Opportunities:
1. 2495 - 2490
2. 2477 - 2487
Bearish Opportunities:
1. 2525 - 2530
2. 2546 - 2560 (Only if the Strong resistance level Breaks and Gold Reaches its new high).
Possibility:
waiting for geopolitical situation as it getting worsting.
I'll Update as it needs to be updated.
Use proper risk management Or money management and follow my instructions properly.
Don't forgot to support by liking or following!!
Fibonacci Retracement swing golden levels breakout-reversalThe "golden levels" — specifically the 1.618 , 2.618 and 3.618 retracement points — hold a special place. These ratios, derived from the Fibonacci sequence, are revered for their tendency to act as crucial support and resistance zones.Fibonacci sequence expresses the golden ratio 1.61803 and the market fullfills the structure most of the time by retracing the golden levels or zones.
The market has swings and fibonacci retracemnet tool helps to find the exact levels of breakout and reversals based on market trend swings.
Here, after breaking out the level there must be some sustaining candles formed to make a position in the market. Or, if the candles sustain over the level, it can turn into a reversal point.
The market follows an integrated psychology of traders,brokers,makers,takers.Therefore,we must wait for some sustaining candles and the candles must retrace the level for a continuation or reversal of the trend.
-Asif Hassan Risan
7 september,2024
GOLD → Aggressive bulls and double bottoms. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is testing the support of the range, forming a double bottom and distribution. Buyers are not ready to say goodbye to 2475, aggressively holding this area. Price is heading towards the upper end of the range.
Bulls held global support, bringing price back to ATH amid expectations of key economic data from the US. NFP, and inflation data on Friday weigh on markets' assessment of the size of the Fed's rate cut this month. Gold traders will be focused on ADP private sector employment data, Initial Jobless Claims and ISM services PMI.
Technically, the focus is on the 2526 - 2504 range. Such a strong move (distribution) is fraught with a false breakdown and rebound, but there are fundamental nuances: favorable news can strengthen the rally and break the resistance, while negative news can turn the price all the way to 2475.
Resistance levels: 2526, 2531
Support levels: 2510, 2504, 2494
Emphasis on the retest of resistance 2526. High probability of a rebound to 0.5 fibo. Further, the market will be influenced by economic data, which will be published from 12:15 GMT. It is not excluded that the price will reverse earlier or fly to 2550.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → Consolidating before the news.... FX:USDJPY has been in consolidation for a long time, correlating with the dollar. Traders are waiting for key news and are not ready to act early.
The currency pair is in the downward phase, which is a consequence of the strengthening of the Japanese yen on the background of the dollar's decline. The Central Bank of Japan actively considered the issue of raising rates, but postponed this step for later because of destabilized markets.
Today is an important report on inflation in the USA. So far, everything is going according to the Fed's plan. Markets are actively plotting the start of a Fed rate cut in September.
Technically, the bearish trend may continue, there is a huge pool of liquidity above 147.9, which may be liquidated before further decline.
Resistance levels: 147.9, 150.2, 150.86
Support levels: 146.29, 144.04
Technically and fundamentally we have prerequisites leading to a possible decline. We should wait for news to take some actions....
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDJPY ;)
Regards R. Linda!
I Just Bought Back-In To Gold @ A Fib - Retracement
As I have been saying so far during Asia Friday trading I had no Long positions in Gold. Squeezed out like everyone else. (I don't know how those people do it who buy on weakness & accrue - I have to take a page out of their book).
The 'funny' thing is, my old broker Fusion Markets phoned me about a month ago to say that I was no longer allowed to accrue Gold & Silver overnight & longer term. Because that is exactly what I was trying to do before. Fusion Markets said, ASIC rules that came in for Australia now make it illegal to accrue Gold & Silver overnight. I was pretty p....off to say the least.
My gut feeling is that the Broker did want me to Capitalise on the FED reducing interest rates in 2 weeks time and the highly probable scenario (not 100%) that Gold and its price will 'scream off the roof'.
I changed brokers the next day to Eightcap. They are great, even if I break my margin, they don't jump down my throat, and I break it all the time with my aggressive style of trading when I see an opportunity I am very sure about.
I digress. Here are the Fib levels where I got into gold. I am not very confident about the Gold price holding up. But it depends on whether the USDX has a rally.
Will Gold Bounce or Slide?Hello traders! My technical indicators and analysis suggest that gold is likely to be a buy if it breaks out above the level of 2519-2520 and subsequently retests this level as support. On the other hand, if gold breaks down below the support level of 2504-2505 and then retests it, we may consider a potential sell opportunity.
EURUSD → A retest of the liquidity zone. Ready to go to 1.130FX:EURUSD is testing the liquidity zone within the correction. False breakdown of the channel boundary may form another bullish potential for continuation of growth to 1.1300
The currency pair forms a false breakdown of 1.1123, after which it enters the correction phase amid a strong market. The price is testing 0.236 fibo on D1, forming a false breakdown we get a reaction in the form of a pullback. On H4 the situation is even more interesting: false breakdown of the support conglomerate: 0.5 fibo + channel boundaries, which only strengthens the bullish set-up.
Today the focus is on CPI in the Eurozone, as well as Core PCE in the US. High volatility is possible and the news may set a short-term tone in the market.
Resistance levels: 1.1099, 1.1201
Support levels: channel boundary, 1.1061, 1.1047
The task of the bulls is to keep the defense above the resistance of the ascending channel, as well as above the level of 1.1099 - 1.11, in this case the price will consolidate above the lower boundary of the new bullish channel, which will open for us the potential for growth to 1.1300.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
$BIDU | Allocation | Market Exec | Technical Confluences:
- Price is considered at Oversold conditions in the D1, Weekly and Monthly Timeframes
- Taking a Fibonacci Retracement from the beginning to the high of BIDU, price action is now at the 78% Fibo retracement
- Price levels coincides with a Demand Zone which has been a strong demand zone over many years every time these levels are tested
Fundamental Confluences:
- NASDAQ:BIDU is referred to as the 'Google of China' and has been diversifying it's offering into AI, cloud services and autonomous driving tech.
- Locally, they are up against Tencent and Alibaba in the digital ads, AI and cloud services but on a global scale, Google and Microsoft are there against them
- Being 'Google of China' gives them the brand recognition and giant user-base helping ads revenue
- Financially, they have been reinvesting most of their profits back for R&D and business expansion which for me, is important for Baidu to leave their mark strongly and remain competitive globally.
- Recent earnings showed that they missed Revenue slightly but it's higher than previous Revenue results; EPS has beaten estimates most of the time as well
- However, Baidu has high reliance on the Chinese market and makes them vulnerable to economic downturns or regulatory matters which is the current situation for them now
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NASDAQ:BIDU is a long-term hold for me and considering it's value has dropped, it could be a value play at 9x forward earnings.
I have previously got my first entry into it early August. Prices is still pretty much at the same levels. I will still look to add on more in the Target Zone area and hold onto it for now
Will revisit it again later on but it's still allocation period for me.
If price breaks below 70 then, I may reconsider re-shifting my target buy levels
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LTC → Price exit from accumulation ↑BINANCE:LTCUSDT is coming out of accumulation, breaking the structure of the “descending wedge” pattern - a rather strong bullish pattern. Price is still pinned by resistance, but the bulls have a chance...
Globally, there is no trend in the market. The price is in a sideways movement between 114.0 - 56.0, which I consider a positive reason for a possible rise, as the price moves between the levels in a range. But we have prerequisites for possible growth (consolidation above MA-50, break of the wedge resistance), theoretically the price can head towards the resistance of the global range.
Emphasis on the area of 0.5 fibo - 67.8. If the bulls successfully manage to keep the defense above the mentioned zones, in the mid-term the coin can show a good realization towards 76.9 - 88.6.
Resistance levels: 67.8, 76.9
Support levels: descending line, MA-50, 0.5 Fibo
Perhaps the primary retest of 67.8 will not bring success and the price may form a small correction, but the gradual return of the price to the retest will increase the chances of a breakout. A fixing above the level will be a good signal for growth!
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:LTCUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!