GOLD → Background Change. Is it time for a correction?FX:XAUUSD is facing profit-taking and a strong correction after Thursday's news. From ATH, the metal is down 2% for the day. Today is an equally busy news day!
The stock and futures market declined quite a bit in yesterday's session. Most likely a reaction to rising inflation..... The data was quite unexpected. The election race is on the agenda. The main question is the pace of easing under this or that president.... At the moment the focus is on the NFP report, which will be released later Friday. It is expected that the economy added 109K new jobs in October and the unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.1%.
Technically, gold is coming back under the strong 2760 level, this was confirmed by a retest early in the European session. The market may be interested in the imbalance zone and the approximate area of 0.5-0.7 fibo...
Resistance levels: 2758, 2771, 2789
Support levels: 2745, 2738, 2728
The fundamental background is changing and it is reflected in gold. The outflow of investments may continue. If the negative background intensifies, gold may fall lower after resistance retest, e.g. to 2724-2713. But, unpredictable data will renew interest in the metal, which may return to the range of 2760 - 2790
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Fibonacci Retracement
GBPUSD → Confirmation of a trend change. The Bear ZoneFX:GBPUSD confirms the bearish market structure. The fundamnetal factor is favorable for further decline. Since the opening of the session, the price has been testing the previously broken boundary. The market is not ready to resist the sellers yet
On the background of difficult situation in the west, the course of interest rate cuts in the UK, a pool of sell orders is forming in the zone 1.315 - 1.300. Buyers are turning around.
On Monday, in the Asian session, the retest of the previously broken trend support ended with a downward impulse, which confirms the bearish mood in the market. GBPUSD confirms the price exit from the channel.
It is possible that another retest is possible, as the dollar is forming a short-term correction, but it does not change the general essence of it
Resistance levels: 1.3044, 1.3068
Support levels: 1.300, 1.2975, 1.2938
The trigger for the continuation of the fall will be the breakdown of 1.3000 and further consolidation of the price below this zone. Additional scenario: retest of 1.3063 - 1.3075 before further fall
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ETHEREUM → Price can't break the bearish trend. False breakoutBINANCE:ETHUSD is facing selloffs. Technically, ETH is showing weakness on the background of growing sales. Any growth attempts are aggressively sold off. The price continues to test the support, which only increases the chances of a breakdown
Accumulation is narrowing. Ethereum is unable to leave the downtrend. The pressure formed by the bears is only getting stronger. Earlier there was a growth attempt, which became unsuccessful, after a false breakdown of the intermediate resistance 2717. The bears did not let anyone near 2817. On the background of yesterday's fall, associated with bitcoin correction in the 67K - 65K zone, the price tested the consolidation support and is forming a false breakdown.
From October 22: BITCOIN → False Breakout & Bearish Engulfment ↓
If the price does not start active growth, but returns to the support and starts to enter the risk zone, it can provoke the activation of orders and a strong impulse to 2100-1900.
Resistance levels: 2562, 2728, 2764
Support levels: 2392, 2318, 2111
It is not excluded that the price may return to the triangle resistance or 2728, but there are no hints for now. Emphasize on 2562 and 2392, two important zones from which a strong fall can be formed
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Bearish Divergence in AUD/JPY: Short Opportunities Now.In the 1-hour timeframe for AUD/JPY , there’s a bearish divergence, with strong support just above and several high-volume zones at lower price levels. For now, I see good short opportunities at a premium price, while later on, the golden Fibonacci area could provide a great entry point for long positions once the price reaches that level. FX:AUDJPY
GOLD → The calm before the storm. News ahead... FX:XAUUSD is at a strong resistance of 2790. Traders are getting nervous before the news. Risks as well as the price are rising. PCE, Initial Jobless Claims, Chicago PMI are ahead.
Traders have taken a wait-and-see stance ahead of the news. PCE along with NFP on Friday should give an insight into the Fed's interest rate outlook. Against the backdrop of a steady US labor market, a 0.25% cut is the most likely scenario. The metal is holding back any fall that could be seen as a correction due to election uncertainty. There is not much time left. As well as news from China and the escalated conflict in the Middle East.
Technically gold is in a range, the chart indicates stronger levels and liquidity zones. The most probable scenario is a retest of one of the support zones and further growth after liquidity capture. Targets in such a case could be 2789-2800.
Support levels: 2771, 2758, 2745
Resistance levels: 2789, 2800
It is not excluded that there may be a strong shakeout on the background of the news. Market behavior at the moment will depend on the actual data. The reaction may be extremely aggressive.
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FX:XAUUSD ;)
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DOGE/USDT chart review 1D I invite you to take a quick look at the chart of DOGE in pair with USDT, taking into account the time frame of one day. As we can see, when the price left the downtrend lines, it gained energy for new increases.
But you can see here that the 0.618 Fib level turned out to be a strong resistance at the $0.176 level, only when it is overcome we can see the resistance at the $0.2 level, and then the $0.234 level will be important.
Looking the other way, first of all you need to take into account the level of $0.146 as support, then the level of $0.123 is important, and then visible support is at the price of $0.089.
When we look at the RSI indicator, we will see a reflection from the upper limit, but the large rebound resulted in a slight downward price movement on the chart, which translated into a strong upward movement.
GOLD → Risks are rising and so is the price. News ahead! FX:XAUUSD updates ATH to 2790. This is probably not the limit, but the risks, like the price, are rising ahead of strong news and the US election race.
Gold feels support for several reasons: stopping the rally in DXY (profit taking is possible), positive hints about the Chinese economy, escalating conflict in the Middle East. The dollar stops the rally and forms consolidation for the last few days, which is generally favorable for gold.
The metal is updating the highs and in the current conditions trading is quite simple: we trade either a breakdown of resistance in order to continue the movement, or search for strong support zones, where we can trade price pullbacks.
Today the Nonfarms from ADP, US GDP will be released. This is worth paying attention to. Weaker data can greatly increase volatility and provoke the continuation of metal growth. And vice versa.
Resistance levels: 2789, 2800
Support levels: 2777, 2771, 2758
Gold is in a local correction. Emphasis on strong support zones with the purpose of rebound and continuation of growth. But, we need to watch the news, there may be shake-ups, but the general background for gold is expected to remain favorable.
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EURJPY → Buyer pressure is mounting. Pre-breakout consolidationFX:EURJPY is forming quite an interesting situation on the background of inaction of the Japanese Central Bank (weakening of JPY exchange rate) as well as strengthening of EUR.
The currency pair has been in the realization phase for more than a week. Based on the general assumptions, we can assume that this is not the end and the growth may continue. An ascending triangle is being formed on H1 (pre-breakout consolidation) against the resistance at 166.065. Accordingly, this level is a trigger. Within the general technical and fundamental environment, we can conclude that the currency pair is preparing for the continuation of growth.
If the bulls are able to overcome 166.06 and keep the defense above this zone, we should expect the continuation of the growth in the short and medium term.
Resistance levels: 166.06, 166
Support levels: 165.68, 165.14, 164.95
The trend is bullish, buyers are actively defending the trend support. All market pressure is focused on the resistance. A break of the level may provoke a strong upward impulse
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Mastering Fibonacci ChannelsFibonacci Channel: A Tool for Identifying Potential Trend Levels
The Fibonacci Channel is a powerful technical analysis tool that advanced traders use to identify potential support and resistance levels within a trend. This tool is particularly useful in trending markets, such as Forex and equities, to gauge price movement and pinpoint strategic entry and exit points.
The Fibonacci Channel consists of a series of parallel lines plotted using Fibonacci ratios (such as 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, etc.). These lines help traders mark key areas within a price trend that could indicate a potential reversal or continuation.
How to Use the Fibonacci Channel
1. Identify Start and End Points: Begin by identifying the start and end points of a trend that you want to analyze.
2. Draw the Channel Lines: Next, draw a trendline between the two points. The Fibonacci levels are then plotted as parallel lines above and below this trendline, helping traders visualize potential levels for price to reach or retrace.
3. Interpret the Lines: The plotted Fibonacci levels act as potential areas of support and resistance, providing traders with strategic points for entry or exit. For example, price movement reaching the 0.618 level often suggests a high probability of either reversal or trend continuation.
Using the Fibonacci Channel allows you to take advantage of market psychology embedded in these ratios, helping you make more informed decisions in a trend-driven market.
Dow Jones IndustrialHello community,
A short daily analysis of the famous Dow Jones Industrial.
As long as we stay above the red line at 41832 points, there is not much to worry about.
However, if we break this level, it is another story.
I drew a Fibonacci, to have the levels.
The market is nervous with the Trump and Kamala duel.
The trend is still bullish, because we are above the simple average of the 200 periods!
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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GOLD → ATH Retest. Next $2800 or reversal? FX:XAUUSD is going to 2800 or??? The price is testing the ATH and does not show signs of reversal. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming around 2758. Will there be another update of the highs?
Traders remain cautious ahead of Thursday's PCE release followed by jobless claims and NFP.
Profit-taking risks are increasing in both DXY and gold. It all depends on pre-news sentiment (background) as well as actual data.
The overall environment is complicated due to the US presidential race.
Gold is supported by the Middle East conflict, as well as hopes for more stimulus in the Chinese markets and economy.
Technically, gold is returning to the ATH, forming a pre-breakdown consolidation, hinting that there may be breakout attempts for further gains. Accordingly, as we are testing the ATH, we need to be ready for all eventualities!
Resistance levels: 2758, 2775
Support levels: 2745, 2728, 2724
Price has been in consolidation near resistance 2758 for the last 8 hours. It is gaining potential. Consequently:
1) If there will be an attempt to break through 2758 with the subsequent holding of the defense by the bulls above this area, then in the short term we should count on the continuation of growth to 2775-2800
2) IF a false breakout is formed and the price comes back down, forms consolidation below 2745, then further gold may go down to support before further growth.
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WLD → The bottom in the coin is formed. Readiness... BINANCE:WLDUSDT is confidently trading within the ascending channel. Bulls are aggressively guarding the area of ascending support. At the moment, the price is changing the local market structure into a bullish one, which may become a prerequisite for further growth
The focus is on the 2.053 zone, which divides the market plane into bullish and bearish. After forming a rebound and consolidation, the price breaks the resistance and tries to consolidate above the level, which, at the moment, is already acting as support.
If the bulls are able to hold their defenses above this area, the coin can easily reach the mentioned targets on the background of the rising bitcoin, which can have a favorable impact.
Support levels: 2.053, 1.883, 1.787
Resistance levels: 2.325, 2.533
Technically, we have a bullish trend and resistance breakout, which can be considered as a buyer's willingness to go higher.
Accordingly, the strong zone of 2.053 may provide strong support for the price
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GOLD → Consolidation amid a bull run. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is forming a sideways range of 2758 - 2713. Relatively strong support is forming to confirm the buyer's intentions, and the fundamental background is still favorable for the ATH retest
The dollar continues to rise on the back of a less aggressive easing cycle from the Fed, as well as the upcoming US election. In general, this is a negative leverage against gold.
BUT. The decline in the gold price remains limited due to renewed expectations of additional stimulus measures in China, as the largest gold consumer in the world, and the situation in the Middle East, where there is no hint of de-escalation of the situation.
The situation, technically, is simple. Trade inside the range and exclusively from strong levels. A possible retest of the range boundary, post facto, will determine the future prospects.
Resistance levels: 2745, 2758
Support levels: 2728-2724, 2713
Bounces or false breakdowns may be formed against the boundaries, as gold is flat. Another retest of resistance may lead to a breakout and growth towards ATH. It can also happen after the support retest before further growth
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SCR → The dump continues. How far will the coin fall?BYBIT:SCRUSDT is in the dump phase after listing. The coin is losing 40% and is not going to stop yet. After a strong fall, the coin does not bounce back, but forms consolidation before a possible continuation of the fall...
The reasons for the cold reception in the cryptocurrency community are quite objective:
Rumors have surfaced that the founder took most of the coins from the amount allocated for airdrop, depriving active users, accordingly, people got few tokens... Criticism among the community regarding the design of the project. The Binance Launchpool whales got access to SCR early.
Technically, the picture on the chart also points to weakness... The coin is unable to form a pullback or correction and update the local high. It can be seen that the bears are creating a huge pressure...
Resistance levels: 0.9533
Support levels: 0.882, 0.8, 0.7
Accordingly, a retest of the resistance is possible before a further fall. It is not excluded, if the development team puts forward some announcement or news that can bribe speculators, in this case the coin can give a strong impulse upward, which will break the structure, but this is not the case yet.
The fall will continue after the support breakdown...
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BTC/USD 4H chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the current BTC situation considering the four-hour interval. In this situation, we can see the price rebounding from the downtrend line and continuing to rise.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $71,389
T2 = $72,135
T3 = $73,533
T4 = $75786
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $68,616
SL2 = $67,857
SL3 = $67,284
SL4 = $66,576
SL5 = $65,516
NZDJPY → Consolidation before breakout and distributionFX:NZDJPY is forming a pre-breakdown consolidation amid the weakening of the Japanese national currency. There is a chance to get out of the accumulation...
The potential, if the bulls hold the victory and go outside the channel, is quite high. Above 92.00 there is a free way to 94.4 - 98.87, there is no resistance that can prevent the movement.
BUT, for this to happen, the buyers need to be able to utilize their potential.
On H4, a global range of 91.9 - 86.5 is forming. But, more remarkable is that a strong consolidation is forming near the upper boundary of the channel, hinting at a possible upside realization.
Resistance levels: 91.975
Support levels: 90.788, 90.03
Technically, there is no pullback at all from the resistance at 91.97. Accumulation before distribution is forming. A break of 91.97, which may happen soon, may trigger a strong bullish momentum
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GBPJPY → Buyers increase positions to break 195.5 ↑FX:GBPJPY continues to climb purposefully towards 195.5, forming a consolidation in the form of an ascending triangle. The goal of this maneuver is to break the resistance with further continuation of the upward movement...
The bulls are trying to keep the defense above the key support at 193.5. The change of the fundamental background for JPY strengthens the sales of the national currency, which favorably affects, in our case, GBP. As a consequence, the market starts testing 195.5 with the aim of a breakout. GDP in UK remained at the same level of 0.2%. There is important news ahead - PPI. Based on the previous economic data, we can assume that PPI will also support the dollar, which will negatively affect the JPY. On the background of this influence, the bulls will be able to overcome the key resistance.
Support levels: 193.5, 191.7, 190.0
Resistance levels: 195.5
The acutal situation on the chart is directed towards the continuation of the movement. The market structure is changing, the fundamental background is on the side of the buyer. We are waiting for the breakthrough of the key resistance (trigger) and the continuation of growth...
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Technical Analysis of Coca-Cola (KO)The stock ( KO ) is currently in a retracement phase from its all-time highs reached in September 2024, having momentarily paused at previous relative highs.
Given Coca-Cola’s long-term uptrend, we can identify several key support levels where the retracement may halt and resume its upward trajectory:
SUP 1 : The first support area could be the current level, marked as SUP 1.
SUP 2 : The second area is around $64, labeled as SUP 2. Analyzing the Volume Profile, we notice significantly higher volume levels here.
POC : Just below SUP 2, we find the POC (Point of Control) area in the Volume Profile, located around $60.
SUP 3 : Another support level, marked as SUP 3, is around $57.
In the worst-case scenario, a drop down to SUP 3 would represent a drawdown of around 20%. Historically, Coca-Cola has seen similar drawdowns of 15%-20% and even as much as 40% at times.
The final potential support area is between $54-$53, corresponding to a secondary peak in the Volume Profile and an area where the stock has previously found resistance. This scenario would reflect a drawdown of about 30%
An additional note: the SUP 2 and POC levels align precisely with the 0.382 and 0.618 levels of the Fibonacci Retracement indicator.
Binance BNB - Time to buy, new ATH! (here is why)Binance Coin is ready to make at least 300% in 2025. The current market cap of BNB is 86 billion dollars compared to Bitcoin's 1136 billion dollars. BNB has been going sideways for more than 3 years, currently building a bullish base. Usually these types of consolidations are very bullish and lead to a massive breakout!
Currently the price is inside a new ascending channel (new uptrend), which you can see on the chart. As long as price is inside this pattern, BNB is bullish. From the Elliott Wave perspective, the bull market is confirmed. We see a strong impulse wave (1) followed by a corrective zigzag wave (2). This setup is very strong and reliable.
In conclusion, BNB is one of the few strongest coins that are worth buying. I also recommend SOLANA. Investors are interested in pushing the price higher.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD → Retest of range support in a bull marketFX:XAUUSD is trading inside the channel and is not yet ready to approach the resistance with the target of ATH retest. Profit-taking amid increased risk due to news, economic data affect the price of metal.
Price is closing inside the range of 2748-2713. A support retest is forming and liquidity capture may reignite upside interest. Traders are waiting for the Fed's actions: which side will the regulator take - aggressive or conservative strategy of policy easing? We should not forget the uncertainty around the US presidential election combined with growing geopolitical concerns in the Middle East.
For today, all eyes are on Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Sep), which could provide new hints on the state of the US economy
Resistance levels: 2722, 2729, 2737, 2748
Support levels: 2713 (trigger), 2702
Emphasis on 2713. Price may test this area. Based on how buyers are defending the support, the market may form a false breakout and bounce to resistance. But, if the bounce is minimal, and then the price starts to retest 2713 and consolidate, we have increased risks to break the support. In this case, the price will head towards 2700-2685
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