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Fibonacci Retracement

The Last Chance for a Rebound? AVAAI at a Critical Turning PointMarket Watch: A Vital Moment for AVAAI Today’s price action for AVAAI hovers around $0.11503, marking a 66% retracement from its January 15 absolute high of $0.33852​. The asset sits just above its historic low of $0.11075, hit earlier today—a signal of potential exhaustion after a prolonged downtrend​​. The RSI (14) on the 1-hour chart has plummeted to 25.94, screaming oversold conditions, while the MFI at 35.43 hints at a lack of aggressive buying power to counter selling pressure​. Despite this bearish sentiment, the emergence of a “VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st” on the 1-hour chart signals possible accumulation. Coupled with decreasing bearish momentum, this could indicate that the market is primed for a short-term rally​​. The burning question: Can AVAAI rise from the ashes, or will it sink below support, confirming a deeper capitulation? AVAAI's mid-term trajectory depends on a test of the powerful resistance at $0.15486. A break above this level could trigger a momentum surge toward the 50-day MA of $0.15548, offering hope to bulls. However, failure to stabilize may lead to a retest of today’s low and a possible further collapse​. This is a pivotal moment for both cautious investors eyeing long-term accumulation and short-term traders aiming for quick profits. Stay tuned, the clock is ticking on AAVAAI’s next big move! Roadmap of AVAAI: Historical Patterns in Action Dive into the sequential analysis of key patterns observed on AVAAI, uncovering how past signals played out and what lessons they offer for traders and investors. Let’s walk through the timeline, separating the winners from the noise. January 23, 00:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st Direction: Buy Opening at $0.18614, the pattern closed slightly lower at $0.17788. This was a cautious buy signal as the main direction was upward, but the price slid further in the next bars. A return above the low of $0.17746 would have been a key confirmation, but the lack of upward momentum resulted in a muted follow-through. This pattern didn’t hold water. January 24, 08:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 3rd Direction: Sell This was a classic bearish setup, with the opening at $0.15864 and a subsequent close at $0.15382. The following bars confirmed the downward pressure as the price dropped further to $0.13872. This sell signal worked perfectly, offering an actionable trade for short-sellers. January 24, 16:00 UTC – Increased Sell Volumes Direction: Sell The bearish trend continued with volumes surging as the price opened at $0.1498 and closed at $0.13872. The subsequent bars saw an aggressive decline, validating the pattern. For traders eyeing confirmation, this signal was textbook accurate. January 24, 18:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd Direction: Buy At this point, the bulls attempted a comeback. Opening at $0.14034, the price closed at $0.13479. However, despite some short-lived bullish movement, the pattern lacked strength as the price failed to hold above $0.1418. This was a fakeout rather than a breakthrough. January 24, 19:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st Direction: Buy Opening at $0.13479 and closing at $0.13316, this pattern once again showed bulls struggling to reclaim dominance. The key levels failed to trigger, and the main direction wasn’t validated. Skipping this pattern would save traders from unnecessary risk. January 25, 00:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st Direction: Buy With the opening price at $0.118 and closing at $0.11206, this marked another failed attempt by the bulls to regain control. The pattern lacked follow-through, signaling the market's overall bearish sentiment. Key Takeaways The recent history of AVAAI showcases a dominating bearish narrative validated by successive sell signals. Buyers, though making attempts, have failed to sustain momentum. For traders, this roadmap highlights the importance of validating signals with follow-through price action and staying flexible in shifting markets. Are we seeing the final test of bearish resolve, or is a reversal brewing? Watch for stronger confirmations and keep your risk tight—opportunities await the sharp-eyed trader. Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch When it comes to trading, knowing your levels is half the battle. Below are the critical support and resistance zones for AVAAI based on current market dynamics. Remember, if these levels fail to hold, they’ll flip to act as resistance, creating new challenges for price action. Support Levels There are no confirmed support levels currently holding the price steady. The market remains in a precarious position, and traders should keep a close eye on any emerging floors for potential reversals. Resistance Levels $0.15486 – A minor resistance that the bulls need to smash to build any meaningful upward momentum. $0.30293 – A higher resistance zone that will require significant buying volume to conquer. Powerful Support Levels Absent from the current technical landscape, underscoring the fragility of the asset's price structure. Powerful Resistance Levels None have been explicitly defined, indicating a market with room for the bears to dominate until new strength appears. Game Plan for Traders These levels are your map. If the bulls can’t reclaim $0.15486, expect it to flip and act as a ceiling, creating more downside pressure. Similarly, any failure to establish solid support at new lows will extend bearish control. Keep it tight with stop-losses, and don’t chase – wait for confirmation before jumping in. Trading Strategies Based on Fibonacci Rays Understanding the dynamics of price interaction with Fibonacci Rays allows traders to identify key zones for potential reversals or continuations. Below are two scenarios—optimistic and pessimistic—designed to provide a flexible framework for your trades, all based on precise levels from the technical data. The interaction with rays, combined with Moving Averages, defines the boundaries of potential moves, ensuring dynamic support and resistance levels are considered. Concept of Rays: How They Work Fibonacci Rays are mathematically significant and reflect natural proportions in market movements. Constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, they provide: Dynamic levels that adapt as the market evolves. Channels for identifying movement boundaries. Clear signals for taking positions after interaction and the emergence of momentum. Each movement from one ray to the next serves as a trade target, providing structured, actionable insights. Optimistic Scenario: Bullish Playbook If AVAAI bounces off lower Fibonacci Rays and bullish momentum builds, watch for a push toward higher levels: First Target : $0.15486 – Price interaction here, combined with a break above the MA50 at $0.15548, will confirm upward movement. Entry should be considered after a confirmed interaction with these levels. Second Target : $0.30293 – A sustained move beyond the first target could lead to this level. Strong volume and continued interaction with ascending rays are necessary for confirmation. Third Target : $0.33852 – This represents a full recovery toward previous highs and will require confluence with higher ray zones and potential dynamic factors like MA100 at $0.17884. Pessimistic Scenario: Bearish Playbook If AVAAI fails to hold at key supports and interacts with descending Fibonacci Rays, prepare for downward movement: First Target : $0.11075 – A test of the absolute low. Positions can be taken after interaction with rays confirms further bearish movement. Second Target : Below $0.11075 – If the market breaks through this critical support, expect acceleration toward uncharted bearish territory. This may align with descending ray boundaries. Dynamic Resistance : Look for the price to reject MA50 or MA100 on the way down, reinforcing bearish momentum. Proposed Trades Based on Ray Interaction Bullish Breakout Trade : Enter long after interaction with ascending rays, targeting $0.15486 and then $0.30293 if confirmed by moving averages. Bearish Breakdown Trade : Short below $0.11075 with first targets at lower ray intersections. Maintain a tight stop-loss to manage risk. Momentum Continuation : Ride trends between Fibonacci Rays, with each new level serving as the next target. Final Note The key to trading Fibonacci Rays lies in patience and discipline. Wait for price interaction with the rays and moving averages before committing to a position. From there, let the natural flow of the market guide your targets from ray to ray. Always manage risk and keep your stops in place to navigate volatile movements effectively. Let’s Connect and Build Success Together! Trading is all about growth, learning, and sharing ideas, and I’d love to hear your thoughts! If you have questions about this analysis or want to dive deeper into specific assets, drop your comments below—I’ll make sure to respond and help out. Your engagement is what makes this journey exciting! If you found value in this idea, don’t forget to Boost and save it to revisit later. Watching price action evolve along these rays will sharpen your trading instincts and help you understand how critical zones guide market movement. Trust me, that’s a game-changer for any trader. My indicator, which automatically maps all these rays and levels, is available in Private. If you’re interested in using it, feel free to reach out to me via private messages—I’d be happy to share more details. Have a specific asset you’d like analyzed? Let me know in the comments! I can prepare free posts for the community or work with you privately if discretion is your priority. Remember, these rays work across all markets, and I can create custom layouts for any asset you’re interested in. Lastly, if you like my approach, make sure to follow me here on TradingView! This is where I post my ideas, share strategies, and help traders like you navigate the market with confidence. Thanks for your support—together, we’ll keep growing and winning!
by brandlabelden
2
Interpretation of support and resistance points and Fib ratios Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- There was a change in the chart while I was writing the idea. Therefore, please refer to the chart attached below. ------------------------------------------------- (TRUMPUSDT.P 1D chart) Since the chart was created not long ago, it is practically impossible to analyze it. However, I will take the time to explain it as an extension of the explanation of Fibonacci ratios. - (1D chart) You can check the retracement ratio using the Fibonacci retracement tool on the 1D chart. (30m chart) You can check the Fibonacci ratio on the 30m chart and analyze the chart. However, I think the Fibonacci ratio is a chart tool for chart analysis, so in order to trade, you need to draw support and resistance points by the arrangement of candles. As I mentioned earlier, since the chart is created not long ago, you can select support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, so even if you draw support and resistance lines, their role is likely to be weak. Therefore, I think it is better to trade these coins (tokens) in short-term transactions such as scalping or day trading. If the trading period is long, the psychological burden is likely to increase, which can lead to incorrect trading. - The HA-MS indicator was activated to indicate support and resistance points. If you activate the Fibonacci ratio drawn on the 1D chart, it is as follows. You can see that the maximum range we can trade is 28.0-70.654. If we go outside this range, a new wave will be created, so new support and resistance points are needed. At this time, a chart tool that can help interpret the chart is the Trend-Based Fib Extension. - Since the HA-Low indicator was formed at the 40.245 point, we can see that the low point has been formed. Therefore, if it shows support near the HA-Low indicator, it is a time to buy (LONG). Since it has currently fallen below the HA-Low indicator, it is highly likely that it will update the latest low, so it was possible to enter a sell (SHORT) position when it fell from the HA-Low indicator. As the price falls, I think it is better not to make a new transaction until the HA-Low indicator is newly created or the existing HA-Low indicator rises and shows support. If it is supported by the HA-Low indicator and rises, - 46.618 - 63.882-70654 You should check for support in the above section. If it is not supported, it is a time to sell in parts. In my chart, the MS-Signal indicator is an important indicator in terms of trend. Therefore, in order to turn into an uptrend, the price must be maintained above the MS-Signal indicator. - (12h chart) The current chart is so new that it is virtually impossible to see the trend. If you want to draw with the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool, the largest time frame chart you can draw is the 12h chart. The point where the finger points is the selection point. (30m chart) The chart above is drawn with the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool. The circles marked on the far right correspond to important support and resistance zones. When interpreting Fibonacci ratios, the 0, 0.5, 0.618, and 1 ratios can be interpreted as key ratios. Therefore, if it falls below 1, it may fall to around 1.618 (2.198), so caution is required when trading. The 0.618 (35.663) ~ 0.5 (39.612) section can be interpreted as an important support and resistance section. Since the HA-Low indicator is formed within this section, it can be interpreted that the role of support and resistance is emphasized. Even if the Fibonacci ratio is drawn in this way, it can be helpful in setting the timing of trading only when it is interpreted in accordance with the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Otherwise, it is likely that your subjective thoughts will be included and the transaction will proceed in the wrong direction. - The support and resistance points must be drawn by looking at the arrangement of candles on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts to be activated as support and resistance points. The support and resistance points drawn on the time frame chart below may have a weak role, so caution is required when trading. In that sense, I hope you understand the content of this idea as how to comprehensively interpret the Fibonacci ratio and support and resistance points. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
GOLD → Ahead of ATH. How can price react to resistance?FX:XAUUSD is updating its highs and is gradually approaching ATH. Before the last spurt consolidation or correction may be formed, but chances of reaching ATH are quite high. Gold price continues its bull run amid uncertainty in Trump's trade policy and expectation of PMI data in the US. Market participants are seeking protection in gold due to global growth fears related to trade conflicts and rate policy. The hawkish stance of the Bank of Japan and dollar weakness also support the metal. However, a pullback is possible on Friday due to profit taking ahead of US GDP data and the Fed decision. Technically, there is a strong resistance zone at 2790 - istric high ahead. A false break of the resistance may trigger a profit-taking and subsequent correction. Resistance levels: 2790 Support levels: 2770, 2762, 2750 Before reaching the ATH, the price may form a retest of the support at 2762. But, the main focus is on the historical maximum. The chance of reaching the target is very high, but watch the price reaction to the resistance. False breakdown may provoke a deep correction. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
GBPJPY → The CBJ has raised rates. What's in store for the pair?FX:GBPJPY experienced an attempt to break through resistance and rise, but failed to realize the intention as traders do not believe in bullish movement due to the actions of the Central Bank of Japan The Central Bank of Japan raised the rate by 0.25% to the highest since 2008. The bank sees accelerating inflation, a slowing economy and is likely to raise the rate further if inflation continues to rise. Fundamentally, the situation may trigger a fall in the currency pair, but it may be restrained due to the Pound's strength against the Dollar. Nevertheless, I assess the situation regarding a false break of resistance from the technical part, and from the fundamental part from the Japanese action, as they are targeting the medium term. Resistance levels: 193.00 Support levels: 192.00, 190.55 Another attempt to retest resistance before a further drop is possible. Traders are starting to build up longs on the Yen, which may lead to a bearish correction of the currency pair. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
16
DOT/USDT 4H Interval ChartHello everyone, let's look at the 4H DOT to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is bouncing off the local downtrend line, only when it breaks out of it upwards will it be able to move towards the next two trend lines. Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face: T1 = 6.67 USD T2 = 7.05 USD Т3 = 7.32 USD Т4 = 7.65 USD Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = 6.22 USD SL2 = 5.99 USD SL3 = 5.56 USD Considering the STOCH indicator we can see how we are again going below the lower boundary, which could potentially indicate an upcoming attempt to change the price direction.
Long
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD → The bulls are fighting for 2750. ATH is close!FX:XAUUSD is in a bull run phase due to rising risks. The price is testing new highs and trying to consolidate above key resistance. Trump's speech is ahead and high volatility should be expected. Gold price is consolidating in the bullish zone after breaking through the three-top resistance. Traders are analyzing the impact of President Trump's tariff policies, which have caused uncertainty in the markets and weakened demand for the dollar and bonds. Meanwhile, support for gold prices is provided by optimism from China's measures to stimulate stock markets. Investors' attention is focused on US economic data, including weekly jobless claims and Friday's PMI from S&P Global, which could affect expectations for a Fed rate cut. Weak statistics will reinforce forecasts of two rate cuts this year, which supports interest in gold. Technically, the focus is on 2750. If bulls hold their defenses above this zone, gold could head towards ATH. Resistance levels: 2750, 2762 Support levels: 0.5 fibo, 2732 Bullish trend, high risks, politics. Lots of reasons that support the metal. But, today is Trump's speech, and this man knows how to make noise in the market. High volatility is possible. But, in general, gold looks as if it is ready to go up, perhaps it can even renew ATH Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
USDJPY → Japan's central bank is about to raise ratesFX:USDJPY cannot continue its uptrend yet. Rumors about possible actions from the central bank of Japan will appear. The dollar in the meantime continues to rise.... 158.46 is a rather strong resistance formed by the bears, who continue to put pressure on the market. This week, we expect active actions from the Central Bank of Japan, namely - raising interest rates. In general, this phenomenon is quite rare, but it can support the currency pair very well. If the Japanese decide to take such actions, the currency pair may continue the correction from 0.5 - 0.7 fibo. Priority targets in this case may be the zones of interest at 153.24, 151.94. Resistance levels: 156.56, 157.22 Support levels: 155.1 Price fixing below 0.5 Fibo or below 155.95 may provoke aggressive selling. The decision on rates in Japan will take place on Friday, until then the price may be in consolidation.... Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
S&P ES Long setup target 6129 / Calls SPY target 605Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (6020.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (Jan 17) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (6129.00). CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (6129.00), Target 2 at 161.8% (6206.00) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6243.50) Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5983.00). Option Traders : My SPY AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (605), Target 2 at 161.8% (613) and Target 3 at 178.6 (616) Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (592).
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by rose_excellence
Will Trump continue to increase Solana?Hi all, let's look at the 1W SOL to USDT chart, as you know there is a lot of confusion about Solana, because Trump announced that he is considering it for the US reserve. However, here we can see how the price is moving in a specific uptrend channel, in its upper limit which so far has not been able to be positively broken. Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price must face: T1 = 265 USD T2 = 291 USD T3 = 324 USD Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = 247 USD SL2 = 236 USD SL3 = 220 USD SL4 = 200 USD Looking at the STOCH indicator, we can see that we have bounced off the middle of the range, which has given rise to the current increases, and there is still room for the price to go higher, but considering that any event related to Trump can have a major impact on the market, one should be extremely careful.
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD → bulls are aiming for ATH. The odds are high...FX:XAUUSD is in a rally phase aiming for ATH. Based on geopolitical data, we have a pretty good chance. The focus is on 2750. From this point the northbound train can continue its journey. Trump's policies are putting quite a bit of pressure on geopolitics due to creating trade problems for major nations like China, EU, Canada, BRICS countries. Chinese Vice Premier Ding Xuexian has warned of the negative effects of a trade war, which has further increased demand for safe havens like gold and the US dollar. Gold is also facing pressure because of the Fed, but the dollar correction is becoming another driver for the metal. Technically, the price is trying to consolidate above a rather important level. 2749. If the bulls manage to keep the defense above 2750, the metal may continue its growth in the short and medium term Resistance levels: 2759 Support levels: 2750, 2737, 2732 Emphasis on 2750. If the bulls keep this area under their control, the gold will go higher. But, I do not exclude a retest of 0.5 Fibo liquidity zone or 2732 before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
Interesting Simetry in $AMZNStarting from the 5th of August 2024 every time NASDAQ:AMZN reaches an important Fibonacci level retraces around 7%, then moves higher. Once it reached 0.618, the Fibonacci level corrected by 6.86% in 5 days and then moved higher. We have another wave up followed by another correction this time 7.62% in 9 days. And again another wave up followed by a correction of 7.51% in 10 days to Fibonacci level 1 Once it reached 1.618 Fib level retraced to 1.382 Fib level Correcting 7.24% in 18 days this time.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by WavesInvesting
EURUSD → An attempt to change the trend could be successfulFX:EURUSD gets a chance for a bullish run. The currency pair breaks the prolonged downtrend and consolidates for a chance to continue the upward movement The global trend is downtrend and at the moment it is too early to talk about a change of trend, as the price is under pressure from the strong resistance at 1.044. BUT! A pre-breakout base is forming around this area, so if the dollar continues its corrective course, EURUSD will have a chance to confirm the trend change. If the bulls are able to overcome 1.0448 and consolidate above this level, we will have a chance to rise to 1.06 and possibly higher.... Resistance levels: 1.0448, 1.0607 Support levels: 1.033, 1.0222 Technically, the focus is on the nearest trigger at 1.0448. A breakout and consolidation of the price above this zone may provide a convenient entry point to open long positions. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
QQQ vs S&P500Today we are looking at a ratio chart from TradFi. We are plotting the ratio of Nasdaq100 vs S&P 500. Even if both charts observed separately tell us the same story. That we are in a bullish uptrend on the daily chart for the past 1 year. But the ratio chart clearly shows Nasdaq100 peaked out relative to S&P 500 on Aug 2024 just prior to the unravelling of Yen carry trade. Since then, the ratio has not broken to the upside and registered an ATH even if the tech stocks have been doing exceptionally well recently. The ratio of QQQ vs SPX is within a local uptrend but still within the upward sloping Fib Retracement level between 0 and 0.618. The tech heavy QQQ can and will claim leadership once we break out of the range in the upward sloping Fib retracement level and break above the 0.618 levels.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by RabishankarBiswal
GOLD → A very strong uptrend may get its continuationFX:XAUUSD is rising due to high geopolitical and political risks. A strong bullish trend is forming, within which the price tests the strong resistance 2726 and draws a false break of the resistance... The rise is shaping up more on the back of Trump's threats on tariffs, adding to the risk-negative sentiment in the markets. Trump has proposed imposing tariffs on Mexico and Canada, as well as the EU and China, if a trade agreement is not reached. These threats are supporting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, the strengthening dollar and expectations of Fed rate cuts are limiting further upside for gold. Trading in the coming days will depend on the general market atmosphere and Trump's tariff discussions. Technically, a false break of such a strong resistance could temporarily slow the growth and move the price into correction or consolidation, but there are nuances of technical... Resistance levels: 2721, 2726, 2761 Support levels: 2703, 2697, 2690 At the moment it is worth paying attention to 0.5 fibo (2717) and 0.7-0.79 fibo. These are quite strong and important liquidity zones that can stop the correction and bring gold back to the uptrend. A retest of the local high of 2726 - 2732 will hint at the readiness of the metal to go even higher. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
Boeing is ready for next leg up to $200On December 10, 2024, we had a look at the weekly chart of NYSE:BA Boeing and it was a very good opportunity to get into this stock. Since then, we made over 20% in under one month. After consolidating for nearly three weeks, we may have another chance to get in for the next leg up to $200. The only thing to worry about are the earnings on January 28. Those could have a huge impact on the stock price, but chances are the impact will be positive. Since 2024 was a very challenging year for Boeing with lower net orders booked compared to Airbus the comparisons are much easier to beat than it is for Airbus. Boeing experienced a decline in various metrics last year. The company recorded 569 gross orders, representing a 61% decrease compared to the previous year. Cancellations increased by 50 units, mainly due to the anticipated cancellation of 135 jets ordered by Jet Airways. Net orders fell by 71% to 377 orders, and the net order value also decreased by 71% to $33 billion. This reduction in orders is attributed to the uncertainty surrounding Boeing's production schedule, which makes it less attractive for airplane orders. Deliveries fell by 34% to 348, and the delivery value decreased by 35% to $26.1 billion due to the grounding of the Boeing 737 MAX 9 and a subsequent strike. If we assume no further crashes or problems with Boeing aircrafts the numbers are easier to beat, and we come from a very low base. In addition, most analysts are quite conservative right now. Looking at the technical setup we just bounced from the 0.382 fib from the current upward movement. Below the fib we have another support at around $160 as well as a resistance at $200 with an open gap. Assuming no surprises during the earnings we’re up for another leg up to $200 (15% ROI). Target Zones $198-200 Support Zones $165 $160
NYSE:BALong
by LGNDRY-Capital
1
Example of how to use the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- There was a question about how to select the selection point when using the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool, so I will take the time to explain the method I use. Since it is my method, it may be different from your method. - Before that, I will explain the difference from the general Fibonacci retracement tool. The Fibonacci retracement tool uses the Fibonacci ratio as the ratio to be retracement within the selected range. Therefore, the low and high points are likely to be the selection points. The reason I say it is likely is because the lowest and highest points are different depending on which time frame chart it was drawn on. Therefore, in order to use a chart tool that specifies a selection point like this, you must basically understand the arrangement of candles. If you understand the arrangement of candles, you can draw the support and resistance points that make up it and determine the importance of those support and resistance points. The HA-MS indicator that I am using is a more objective version of this. Unlike the published HA-MS indicator, several have been added. I do not plan to disclose the formulas of these added indicators yet. However, if you share my ideas, you can use them normally at any time. The selection point for using the current Fibonacci retracement tool is the point that the fingers are pointing to. In other words, the 1st finger is the low point, and the 2nd finger is the high point. One question may arise here. Why is it the position of the 1st finger? The reason is that it is the starting point of the current wave. Therefore, you can find out the retracement ratio in the current rising wave. In fact, it is not recommended to use the Fibonacci ratio as support and resistance. This is because it is better to use the Fibonacci ratio to check how much wave is being reached and how much movement is being shown in chart analysis. However, the Fibonacci ratio can be usefully used when the ATH or ATL is updated. - If the Fibonacci Retracement tool was a chart tool that found out the retracement ratio in the current wave, the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool can be said to be a chart tool that found out the extension ratio of the wave. Therefore, while the Fibonacci Retracement tool requires you to specify two selection points, the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool requires you to specify three selection points. That's how important it is to understand the arrangement of the candles. The chart above is an example of drawing to find out the extension ratio of an uptrend The chart above is an example of drawing to find out the extension ratio of a downtrend Do you understand how the selection points are specified by looking at the example chart? - The chart above is the chart when the 1st finger point is selected. The chart above is the chart when the 1-1 hand point is selected. When drawing on a lower time frame chart, you should be careful about which point to select when the arrangement of the candles is ambiguous. Examples include the 1st finger and the 1-1 finger. It may be difficult to select 1-1 and 1 depending on whether they are interpreted as small waves or not. The lower the time frame chart, the more difficult this selection becomes. Therefore, it is recommended to draw on a higher time frame chart if possible. The reason is that the Fibonacci ratio is a chart tool used to analyze charts. In other words, it is not drawn for trading. In order to trade, you trade based on whether there is support or resistance at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by readCrypto
10
Will ETH take the direction of growth?Hi everyone, let's look at the 1D ETH to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a downtrend channel, currently there is no indication of which direction it will go. Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face: T1 = 3357 USD T2 = 3502 USD Т3 = 3600 USD Т4 = 3729 USD Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = 3211 USD SL2 = 3016 USD SL3 = 2877 USD SL4 = 2704 USD If we look at the MA indicator we can see how the blue line has entered above the orange one, which indicates the entry into a temporary uptrend, where the price may try to continue to grow.
INDEX:ETHUSD
by cryptodailyuk
Total2 Market Cap vs BTC Market CapToday we are looking at ratio charts. We plot the ratio of Total 2 Market Cap (Total Crypto Market Cap excluding BTC) to BTC Market CAP. This ratio chart is making new lower highs this BTC Halving cycle. There seems to be no bounce from the lows and Alt coin season seems to be elusive. As we move towards the end of the halving cycle there is very little time left for this Alt season. To reach the previous cycle highs of 1.5 in the chart the Alt Coins have to more than double from here and BTC must remain at this price for the rest of the cycle. For this the total Crypto market cap must reach almost 5 trillion USD, which remains unlikely. A better estimate will be the ratio of Total 2 Market Cap vs BTC Market Cap ratio reaches 1.09 which will be 0.618 Fib retracement level. This 0.618 fib retracement repeats in many instances. The same is true for BTC.D. What do you think?
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by RabishankarBiswal
Today's Market Overview and for Tomorrow Today's Market Overview: General Trend: The market seems to be consolidating after breaking key structural levels (BOS and CHoCH). The price is hovering near resistance zones (Premium and EQH) and shows potential for a move toward lower support zones (Discount and Equilibrium). Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support Zones (Fibonacci Levels): The range of $2,690 to $2,684 serves as a critical support area. Resistance Zones: The area around $2,718 to $2,725 acts as a strong resistance zone, likely to impede further upward movement. Scenarios for Tomorrow (January 21, 2025): If the price breaks above the $2,718 level and sustains, it may target the next resistance at $2,725 or higher. If the price drops below $2,698, it could retest the support zone between $2,690 and $2,684. Fibonacci Insights: Key Retracement Levels: Based on the chart, critical Fibonacci retracement levels seem to align near $2,705 (0.382) and $2,690 (0.618), making these levels important for potential reversals. Recommendations for Tomorrow: For Bullish Traders: Wait for the price to stabilize above $2,718 and look for buy (long) opportunities targeting $2,725 or beyond. For Bearish Traders: If the price breaks below $2,698, short positions targeting the $2,684 support zone could be profitable.
SAXO:XAUUSD
by hesamdrgym
Airtel Vs (TTML, MTNL, IDEA) - Pre-Rally Vs Post-RallyHere’s an assertive revision of your content: --- **Why Airtel Dragged While TTML, MTNL, and IDEA Blasted?** The government’s consideration of waiving 50% interest and 100% penalties on AGR dues created a buzz, and certain "gurus" began hyping a potential rally in **Bharti Airtel**, a fundamentally strong telecom stock compared to **TTML**, **MTNL**, and **Vodafone Idea**. **But the market did the exact opposite.** TTML (+16.5%), MTNL (+10.5%), and IDEA (+9.11%) soared, while Airtel struggled below 1%. The question is **why?** **The Answer: The Importance of Technical Structures, Supports, and Resistances.** Market participants often assume that fundamentals drive prices. This is the **biggest myth.** Fundamentals (valuations, PE ratios, book value, order books, quarterly results) can create momentum but never dictate its **direction.** Supports and resistances are the **primary drivers** of price movement. Relying solely on fundamentals is like pressing the accelerator while trying to reverse park—damages are inevitable. Now, let’s review the technical factors behind the explosive moves in TTML, MTNL, and IDEA compared to Airtel’s stagnation. --- ### **TTML** On the **monthly chart**, TTML formed a **bullish flag pattern**, breaking out in **July 2024**. However, the lack of momentum in the telecom sector kept it range-bound until now. **Key Points:** 1. A **77% correction** from its all-time high (ATH) formed the flag. 2. Sideways consolidation since March 2024 created a **strong base**. 3. This base aligned with the **Fib 0.618 retracement** from the previous high. TTML was primed for a move. The AGR news provided the necessary trigger, leading to the much-anticipated breakout. --- ### **MTNL** The **monthly chart** of MTNL shows a **multi-decade bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern**. After breaking out, the stock faced resistance at ₹103 and retraced **58.5%**, aligning perfectly with the breakout zone and the **Fib 0.618 retracement level.** **Why the Rally?** MTNL’s bounce was overdue, and the AGR news acted as a catalyst, triggering the massive move. --- ### **IDEA** Vodafone Idea, the weakest of the group, also surged 10% (hitting an intraday high of 15% before closing at 9.11%). Despite its struggles, IDEA displayed critical technical alignments: 1. A **65.54% correction** from its previous high. 2. Support at the **Fib 0.786 retracement** level. 3. A bounce from the **bottom of a rising parallel channel**. Though IDEA lacked the fundamental strength of TTML and MTNL, it still rallied due to the technical setup. --- ### **Bharti Airtel: Why Didn’t It Rally?** **Quarterly Chart** (Right): 1. Airtel has been traveling within a **multi-decade parallel channel**. 2. After consolidating for 13 years, it broke out in **October 2018**, delivering **613% returns** since then. 3. The stock reached an **extended Fibonacci target (Fib 2.618)**—an exhaustion zone. **Weekly Chart** (Left): 1. Airtel corrected only **15%** from its ATH. 2. It is still in a **lower high-lower low (LH-LL)** bearish formation. 3. The price was at a critical juncture of **two resistances**: - The **falling trendline** from ATH. - A **weekly resistance** at ₹1640. **Verdict:** Airtel had already rallied significantly before the news and was in an exhaustion phase. Strong resistances at current levels obstructed its movement. --- ### **Key Takeaways:** - TTML, MTNL, and IDEA rallied because they **completed major corrections, formed strong bases, and awaited a trigger.** - Airtel, having already rallied, was in a consolidation phase with significant resistance levels. **Conclusion:** Blindly trading based on news or fundamentals without considering technicals is a recipe for disaster. Fundamentals may create momentum, but the **direction** is always governed by supports and resistances. A sector-wide news event will not trigger the same momentum across all stocks unless their **technical structures** align. Always combine fundamentals with technical analysis for informed decision-making. **Disclaimer:** With over **3 years of teaching experience** in the stock market, including **Technical Analysis**, **Behavioral Analysis**, **Advanced Patterns**, **Emotional Management**, and **News-based Trading**, we are dedicated to educating, not advising on buy/sell decisions. We are **NOT SEBI Registered** and do not provide specific **Buy/Sell recommendations or calls**. Our primary goal is to deliver **detailed analysis** on how to review charts and offer multi-timeframe perspectives purely for **educational purposes**. We strongly recommend that our followers **"Learn to Ride the Tide, Regardless of Its Side."** **Important:** Always consult with a **financial advisor** before making any investment decisions. If you appreciate our detailed analysis, we encourage you to **rate, like, boost, and share your feedback**. **- Team Stocks-n-Trends**
NSE:BHARTIARTL
by Stocks-n-Trends
GOLD → A change in fundamental background. Strong resistanceFX:XAUUSD faces strong resistance at 2721 and enters correction phase, which also coincides with the change of fundamental background and economic data Weakening geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have reduced demand for safe-haven assets such as gold, the US dollar and US bonds. In addition, expectations of stimulus measures from China improved market sentiment. Despite this, the downward trend for gold may remain limited due to Trump's rather risky policies and expectations of two Fed interest rate cuts later this year. Overall, gold prices are likely to be volatile in the short term due to holiday market conditions and Trump's upcoming executive orders. Technically, the price is inside a symmetrical triangle, which in turn is located inside an ascending channel. If the resistance is not broken, pressure will be applied to the support.... Resistance levels: 2713, 2717, 2721 Support levels: 2702, 2697, 2690 A retest of 2702 will increase the chances of support breakdown and further fall. It can happen after the resistance retest. I do not exclude a false breakdown of one of the mentioned resistance levels before a further fall. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
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