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Fibonacci Retracement

XAUUSD: Buy when it falls back to the support rangeGold market fundamentals: Affected by this week's US economic data, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market currently has a 55.5% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September, down from the previous 70%. The increase in geopolitical risks in the Middle East has led to an increase in safe-haven demand (it is not convenient to explain in detail here, you can learn about the latest Middle East conflicts on your own) Gold market technical aspects: Yesterday I said that once the dense resistance range of 2411-2422 is broken, the potential for growth will increase. Now that the gold price has come above the resistance range, the dense resistance area has also turned into a dense support area. At the same time, this rebound has now formed an upward trend. If it can break through 2430-2440, then the gold price is likely to test the historical high again. Trading strategy: In the figure, 2416 is the previous high and the support of the lower track of the Bollinger Band. 2422 is the support of the middle track of the Bollinger Band and the Fibonacci retracement of 0.618. Therefore, I will buy if it falls back to the support range of 2416-2422 today, and I am bullish on 2430-2440. Support range: 2410-2400 Resistance range: 2430-2440 Daily risk data: Canada's July employment (little impact)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AntonyTP
$BABA | Allocation & Watchlist | Market Exec & Buy Stops |Technical Confluences: - Price action has been consolidating between a Wedge pattern - Price action is at a Demand Zone of all-time lows - Price is starting to slowly break above the 200MA - A break above the resistance trendline (been a good support/resistance TL) would be a significant move. Fundamental Confluences: - Considerably cheap valuations - Still one of the largest e-commerce players, don't see it dropping it off anytime soon - China's economy has been weakening and we are seeing efforts by the China government to help boost back the domestic economy. Potential for revenue boost. ________________________________ Putting in my first tranche of NYSE:BABA allocation for my Long-Term portfolio. Gonna be holding this share for years and will continue adding position with Buy Stop orders. Remember, DYOR. ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
NYSE:BABALong
by weekendanalyst
5
SOLANA → Correction to the liquidity zone before the rally ↑BINANCE:SOLUSDT enjoys high interest from both a fundamental and technical perspective. Bulls overcome key resistance, but the coin follows bitcoin and there are nuances.... Solana's growth is likely to continue because it is well positioned to capture the next wave of cryptocurrency adoption. Likewise, the coin is also strengthening as the third major crypto asset after Bitcoin and Ethereum. Investors evaluate such positive factors as: high activity amid the BTC correction, more meme coins (weird, but okay), growth in overall capitalization and DEX volumes on the network, and low commissions. This whole conglomerate suggests that Solana could be the next crypto-ETF to launch. Technically, we should pay attention to the nuance between Mt.Gox and BTC, accordingly, the market may slip to support until the situation stabilizes before further growth, which can be influenced by ETH-ETF. Resistance levels: 162.45 Support levels: 140.0 133.8, 122.3 The market may let the correction continue due to Mt.Gox, which activated BTC transfers after a test transaction today. And since SOL actively follows BTC, the moves could be correlated. The bullish trend will continue after the situation stabilizes. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with SOL ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
10
$SPY | Watchlist D1 | Buy Limit |Technical Confluences: - Recent Elliott wave count shows that we are now in a Wave 4 retracement - Price action seemed to have topped out at the 50% Fibo Extension for now (Ending Wave 3) - Price action may test the Supply Zone again before retracing downwards towards the Horizontal Trendline and the 38% or 50% Retracement Fibo Fundamental Confluences: - US economic outlook is weak currently and valuations needs to normalize before we make a new high - Businesses are suffering from high interest rate environment and for the FED to cut, growth needs to show definite weakness, which we are starting to see. - A FED cut will not instantly improve business prospects again as interest rate changes takes time to seep into the economy - Investors will also be wary about the upcoming elections as government policies may affect business activities ________________________________ Watching the Demand Zones as levels to begin some of my portfolio allocation into AMEX:SPY Will place my Buy Limit orders for the it. Remember, DYOR. ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
AMEX:SPY
by weekendanalyst
4
$CELH | Buy Potential D1 | Market Exec | Technical Confluences: - Elliot wave may have completed Wave 4 and begin the Wave 5 move - Price action is close to the 78% Fibo levels and a Demand zone (Yellow Zone) area. - Stochastics are at Oversold levels on both Weekly & Daily timeframes (TF) Fundamental Confluences: - Earnings was positive with both domestic & international revenue increasing, EPS beat, EBITDA also up - Slowly gaining market share in the Energy drinks segment ________________________________ I see these levels as good for me to being some allocation of my Portfolio into $CELH. Blue Zones & Fibo Extension levels (in Blue) will be the starting point of some my TP levels. Remember, DYOR. ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by weekendanalyst
BTC/USDT 4H chart reviewHello everyone, I invite you to a quick review of the BTC/USDT chart on the 4-H interval. As we can see, the price has dynamically returned to the local downtrend line and is currently struggling to maintain its position. Going further, you can see how the price returned above the support at $59,510, then support at $57,490, and then strong support at $54,308 and another very strong support at $52,000. Looking the other way, you can see resistance at the level of $62,000, which effectively rejected the price increase, the next resistance is at $65,426, and then there is strong resistance at $69,662. On the RSI, we can see the indicator falling, but the price does not record a major correction, which may have a positive impact on further upward movement.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
1
GOLD → What is the problem with a SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE ► ?FX:XAUUSD is still trading inside the flat 2420 - 2370 forming a symmetrical triangle. Traders continue to struggle for the area of 2400. News ahead... I understand that you don't like it when there is no clear direction on the chart, but there are nuances here and in some cases you need to have both bullish and bearish scenarios. Let's break it down... On D1 there is a rather encouraging situation indicating how the bulls continue to hold the support of the global trend. The issue of aggressive easing of the US Fed policy is still relevant. Likewise, speculators are closely watching developments around Iran's attack on Israel. If it happens, it is likely to give additional impetus to the growth of gold prices. Meanwhile, Initial Jobless Claims of the USA may provide short-term potential for the markets. Technically, gold is forming a symmetrical triangle on H1. The bearish pressure is still present in the market. Gold is not technical now, but depends on fundamental nuances. Resistance levels: 2400 Support levels: 2380 The problem with a symmetrical triangle is that no one knows where the price will go until the actual exit. Globally we have a bull market, locally there is pressure from the bears. There is a high probability of a breakout of the symmetrical triangle support and a decline to 2364-2351, but if the economic factor has a bullish effect on the market, gold may continue to test 2400 with the goal of a breakout and a rise to 2420. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
LTC/USDT 1D ChartHello everyone, I invite you to a quick review of the LTC/USDT chart on the 1D time frame. As we can see, the price had a sudden downward impulse below the local downtrend channel, but it quickly returned. Going further, you can see how the price returned above the support at $56.5, then support at $51, and then strong support at $44. Looking the other way, there is resistance at $62, the next resistance is at $65.5, and then there is strong resistance at $70. Only when the price breaks above this resistance will the path towards the next very strong resistance at $82 be opened.
by cryptodailyuk
XAUUSD: Strategies for dealing with the long-short tug-of-warGold market fundamentals: OANDA:XAUUSD The weak employment report prompted the market to expect a rate cut of nearly 105 basis points by the end of the year, with a 100% chance of a rate cut in September. This expectation has given gold some support, as rate cuts usually reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. However, with the rise of the US dollar index and the rebound of the 10-year Treasury yield, gold's rebound has also been suppressed. The above two points are the current shock factors that have led gold to enter the competition between long and short forces. Gold market technical aspects: From the Fibonacci retracement indicator of Monday's plunge, the current price has come to a dense pressure zone, 0.5 is 2411, 0.618 is 2422, and the high point of the oscillation range 2415 is also between the two, so it is not easy to break through here. If it breaks, there is a broad sky above, and if it does not break, it is likely to continue to maintain the oscillation pattern. Trading strategy: Although it is a tug-of-war between long and short positions, I prefer a decline that cannot break through, so I will choose to sell at a high level Support range: 2380-2364 Resistance range: 2411-2422 Intraday risk data: US initial jobless claims, US June wholesale sales monthly rate If you have different opinions or questions, please speak up and let’s discuss GOLD’s latest ideas together.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AntonyTP
Bitcoin 4hr Setup Bitcoin is currently experiencing a pullback, having dropped 2,000 pips over the past seven days. Several key factors are converging around the $60,000 level, making it a critical area of interest. These factors include the psychological round number of $60,000, previous market structure, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, and the presence of both an upward and a downward trend line intersecting near this price. Additionally, there's a notable rejection point in this vicinity. Given these confluences, I anticipate a reaction around this level, potentially leading to further downward movement. Bitcoin Daily Chart Bitcoin is showing several confluences on the daily chart around the $60,000 level. After a 1,000-pip rally without any significant pullback, a retracement seems likely, as the price may need to dip before resuming its upward momentum. This time, I anticipate that Bitcoin might close below the 200-day moving average during the pullback. However, once it completes this downward move, I expect the price to eventually close above the 200-day moving average and begin a climb toward the top of the current channel.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by ChartStrategist
XRP → The court case is complete. Triangle Resistance Retest...↑BINANCE:XRPUSD is forming a rally from the intermediate bottom area. The reason for this is the end of the litigation between Ripple and SEC. The market has been laying a positive outcome for the past few weeks.... The SEC was demanding $2 billion dollars, but the court reduced their demand by 94%, admitting they lost! This is a positive outcome for Ripple, the industry. Ripple is only fined $125 million instead of $2 billion. The rumors have been around for a while, but the market reacted quite positively, giving an initial boost of 27% Technically, at the moment, all eyes are on the range 0.6378, 0.5663. Emphasis on the resistance breakout. If the bulls can overcome this boundary, it will be a confirmation of the price exit from the global descending triangle, which may affect the formation of a bullish trend, the promising targets of which may be 0.900, 1.300. Resistance levels: 0.6378, 0.7440 Support levels: 0.5663, MA-50 Fundamentally and technically, everything is unfolding with favorable winds for the bulls. It opens the way to the north, but before that, the bulls need to try to overcome the strong resistance. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:XRPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
GOLD → Consolidation above global trend supportFX:XAUUSD is trading inside the global range. The focus is on local support and resistance levels. The dollar is temporarily rising, which has an impact on gold, which is globally in a bullish trend. The gold price remains vulnerable despite the US Federal Reserve's dovish stance. The gold price continues to lose ground for the fifth day in a row on Wednesday, approaching a one-week low on the back of a generally stronger US Dollar (USD) and rising US Treasury yields. There are not many key news today, so the general fundamental background and technical component should be evaluated as a priority. Technically, gold is not allowed below 2369 and 2380, forming a correction and a retest of the resistance at 2397-2400. If the bulls are able to break this zone and consolidate above the level, we can get on the train to the north, but an active struggle of differently-minded traders is forming in this zone. The trading range for today is 2420 - 2370 (confirmed by the movement of August 05 - 06). Resistance levels: 2397, 2400, 2420 Support levels: 2380, 2370 If bears hold resistance, price may test the lower boundary of the range. But, a retest and breakdown of 2420 would disrupt the market structure and character and create a fickle mood, within which the bulls may give impetus. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
XAU/USD: New head and shoulders top is forming, ready to sellToday's Asian and European sessions have seen little volatility, with gold prices staying below 2400 and not testing 2420, indicating gold is still in a consolidation phase. Therefore, we should adjust our outlook accordingly. The 4-hour gold chart shows a new head and shoulders pattern forming, with prices near the shoulder level. Historically, reaching the shoulder often precedes a new downtrend. This shoulder is near the 2400 level, suggesting a Sell around 2400. Additionally, the 1-hour chart shows that the Fibonacci retracement of Monday's $95 drop places the 0.382 level right at 2400, reinforcing this idea. Support levels to watch are 2370, then 2350. If 2350 breaks, further downside is expected. If you have different views or questions, let's discuss the latest insights on GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AntonyTP
6
The gold downtrend has begun, with the target below 2380From the hourly chart, we can easily see that the high point of gold is constantly moving down, which indicates that the overall downward trend is still continuing. In the previous article, I mentioned the decline of $95 on Monday. The Fibonacci retracement indicator shows that 0.382 is near the 2400 integer mark, and it also clearly mentions the bearish view here. At present, it seems that the price of gold is running along the preset downward line. If it can break the support of the lower track of the Bollinger Band at 2380, then the head and shoulders top pattern mentioned above can be confirmed. By then, it is likely to continue to test the support of 2370 and 2350. If it falls below 2350, the downward space will be further expanded. Now, traders who sell near 2400 can maintain their bearish beliefs. If there is no accident, this decline will most likely test the low of 2380. Let's wait and see. If you have different opinions or questions, please speak up and let's discuss the latest ideas of GOLD together
TVC:GOLDShort
by AntonyTP
The doomsday retracementWow, what a week it has been. SPX down 3.5% and up 2.5% the day after. My thought is this backtrack is going to be the biggest retracement for the drop, just like we saw on bitcoin. APPL seems to have DOJ issues, NVIDIA chip issues in Taiwan... all seems to be lining up for potential lower for longer. My only buy this year will be TSLA. More on that. Goldilocks is not going to bring us back to pre-pandemic levels, rate cuts are not going to save the market. The narrative has already changed on July 17th when Trump said he didn't want to invade Taiwan, good luck buying after august.
EIGHTCAP:SPX500Short
by Osmanomics
1
XAUUSD: Get ready for a gold reboundOANDA:XAUUSD Yesterday, financial markets plummeted due to recession fears, but today global stock markets and stock index futures are rebounding. Gold, despite its drop, is expected to bounce back as a safe-haven asset. Interest rate futures have almost fully priced in a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed in September Once recession risks are mitigated, gold's liquidity will make it a top safe-haven choice, especially as purchasing power declines. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical crises will keep influencing gold prices Technically, 2420 is a key level. Breaking it could open up more upside potential. If not, the downtrend may continue. The 2380-2360 area is strong support; if it holds, prices may rise again, but if broken, further downside is likely If you have different views or questions, let's discuss the latest insights on GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AntonyTP
3
GOLD → False break of range support led to a reboundFX:XAUUSD reaches the liquidity zone of 2370, forming a false breakdown, confirms the presence of a strong range boundary. The market may move into a sideways trend. Fundamentally, the situation is still complicated. The U.S. regulators are trying to change the market's mind on the recession issue, trying to keep the market calm. The question of aggressive actions of regulators is still open. At the moment everyone is watching the actions in the Middle East, as the activity on the background of the war already unleashed can again affect the price of gold. Markets continue to estimate almost 90% probability of a 50 basis points cut in US interest rates in September. Let me remind you that it is not the fact of reduction that matters, but the hints and comments of regulators. At this time, gold is forming a global range of 2480 - 2370. Resistance levels: 2420 Support levels: 2400 Technically, gold may go into a consolidation phase, but in the future it is worth watching the resistance at 2420. As a pre-breakout consolidation or a quick retest may lead to a breakout attempt and growth Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
5
GOLD → A retest of trend support. ISM PMI ahead...FX:XAUUSD is moving into the correction phase amid unstable fundamental environment. The price of the metal is declining towards the rather important zone of 2420, which has shown itself more than once. Fundamentally, the market is in fear because of possible recession, which may become a motivation for the Fed to take hasty actions and more aggressive easing of monetary policy Rumors are emerging about a possible emergency FED meeting in the near future. Not to forget gold as a hedge asset, which continues to feel supported in volatile times. Speculators are cautious and refrain from premature actions ahead of the ISM services PMI data and the tense situation in the Middle East. Support levels: 2419,6, 2403, 2382 Resistance levels: 2451, 2474 Technically, gold is at a strong support at 2419 and judging by the reaction of the price to the level, the buyers are acting quite aggressively, trying to hold the market. Against this background, the price may strengthen to the nearest resistance 2430, 2445, 2450, but if the price starts to return to 2419, forming a quick retest, it will increase the chances of a possible breakdown of the bullish channel and further decline to the zone of interest and liquidity. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
17