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Fibonacci Retracement

GOLD → Breaking the resistance level. Growing interestFX:XAUUSD enjoys interest despite the growing dollar. Geopolitical and economic crisis is the reason for seeking safe harbor. The price is breaking resistance and trying to renew local highs On the first trading day of the new 2025, gold rose along with DXY amid escalating geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East and eastern Europe and rising tensions around the upcoming policies of Trump and the Fed. Traders are awaiting US manufacturing PMI data from ISM and the Fed President's speech due later on Friday for more trade stimulus for the gold price. Support levels: 2649, 2639 Resistance levels: 2675, 2690 A false breakdown of key support areas is possible. If after the false breakdown the bulls hold the defense above 2639 - 2649, gold may strengthen to 2675 - 2690 in the short term. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
4
EURUSD → The bears are stepping up the pressureFX:EURUSD continues to form a downtrend. The price updates the local minimum, reaching the target indicated last year :). What's next? Fundamentally, the situation is weak due to Trump's policy towards the euro zone. The strong dollar also increases the bearish pressure on the market. Technically, the priority figure is the downtrend and the previously broken consolidation boundary - 1.033. It is this zone that the price is currently aiming for as a zone of interest. Resistance levels: 1.033, 1.0448 Support levels: 1.022 Both technically and fundamentally the situation is weak, therefore, the emphasis on strong resistance levels from which the fall may resume. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
LONG: Mahindra & Mahindra on the Rise: Targeting New Highs!🔍 Technical Analysis Report: NSE:M_M Current Overview: 📈 NSE:M_M have shown a strong reversal from its recent low of ₹2,665.55. This recovery is significant as it has crossed the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, with the highest reference point being the level 1 Fibonacci at ₹3,214.95. Key Observations: Volume Analysis: Over the past 3-5 trading days, the stock has displayed consistent positive volume, indicating sustainable upward movement. 📊🔼 Critical Resistance: Since mid-June, the stock has been approaching a key resistance level. It briefly breached the 0.5 Fibonacci level yesterday but closed near the 0.382 Fibonacci level. 🚧 Price Movement: Today, the stock opened around the 0.382 Fibonacci level at ₹2,827.10 and is inching upwards. 📈 Technical Indicators: MACD Analysis: The current MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows an impending buying crossover. If market conditions stay favorable, we anticipate the MACD histogram turning green tomorrow, reinforcing the bullish trend. 🔄🟢 Target Levels: 🎯 First Target: ₹2,942.15 🎯 Second Target: ₹3,005.10 🚀 Extended Target (if resistance is broken): Around ₹3,100.00 Risk Management: Primary Stop-Loss: ₹2,800.00 to protect against downside risk. ⚠️ Extended Stop-Loss: ₹2,720.85 for those accommodating broader market volatility. 📉 Conclusion: 🟢 If M&M opens in the green tomorrow, this will confirm the buying trend, potentially reaching the target levels mentioned above. However, cautious trading is advised, particularly around the set stop-loss thresholds, to manage inherent market risks effectively. ⚖️ #Hashtags: #MahindraAndMahindra #StockAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #FibonacciLevels #MACD #TradingInsights #StockMarketIndia #BullishTrend #InvestmentStrategy #RiskManagement #FinogentSolutions Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:M&MLong
by finogent
CAKE-USDT 4h chart ?Hello everyone, let's look at the 4H CAKE to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in the local upward trend channel, we are again heading towards the upper border of the channel, which with a slight rebound may result in an attempt to exit the current channel at the top. In such a situation, it is worth moving on to defining goals for the near future that the price must face: T1 = $2,698 T2 = $2,765 T3 = $2,964 Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline: SL1 = $2,622 SL2 = $2.56 SL3 = $2,453 SL4 = $2,281
by cryptodailyuk
1
Bitcoin Outlook Q1 2025BTC/USDT Weekly Outlook Based on this chart, Bitcoin is showing a strong uptrend on the weekly chart, currently navigating key levels that could determine its secondary trend before continue the next rally!. Here's my technical analysis using trend based fibonacci. KEY LEVELS TO WATCH Support Levels : 1. $94,800 (0.786 Fib). BTC is sitting near this level, which is acting as a short term support zone. Holding above this level keeps the bullish momentum alive. 2. $85,000 (0.618 Fib). This is a more significant support level. A drop to this level would still align with a healthy correction within the broader uptrend. Resistance Levels : 1. $107,000 - 108,000 (1 Fib). The next major resistance BTC needs to break for a continuation of the rally. 2. $120,000+ (1.272 Fib). This is the first target for a breakout beyond the major resistance, I think this is the base target for Bitcoin on this cycle and might as well the top on this cycle. Indicators : 1.Exponential Moving Averages 21&34 showing below the current price on weekly chart indicating a very bullish trend, we could see potential buy when Bitcoin reaching near above the EMA. 2. Stochastic, shows the Bitcoin is overbought, signaling a potential slowdown or minor pullback in the short term. However, in strong uptrends, overbought conditions can persist for weeks, so this isn't necessarily bearish. 3. Volume, the trading volume has been steadily increasing, which supports the ongoing uptrend. Watch for higher volume during breakouts to confirm the move. Scenarios to Consider : 1. Bullish Continuation If BTC holds above $94,800 and breaks past $107,000, the next target would be $120,000+ (1.272 Fib). This scenario aligns with the current trend and market strength. 2. Healthy Pullback A dip to $85,000 (0.618 Fib) would still be considered a natural retracement in the bigger picture. Look for buyers to step in at this level to keep the rally alive. 3. Bearish Reversal If BTC loses the $85,000 support and the moving averages start flattening or turning downward, it could signal a deeper correction or a potential trend reversal, keep an eye for reversal chart pattern and any signs of reversal. Overall, Bitcoin's bullish structure is intact, with the price consolidating near a critical Fibonacci level. While short term corrections are possible, the bigger picture points toward further upside if key supports hold. A breakout above $107,000 opens the door for a push toward $120,000+, but traders should keep an eye on the $94,000 and $85,000 levels for signs of weakness.
by FractalNoise
2
The Year that was and the year that can be. 2024/2025 story.Highlights of 2024: a) Single digit return for Nifty in 2024. Nifty and Sensex rise 9% each. b) Mid and Small Cap both rise 24% each. c) Pharma and Real Estate both rise 40% each. d) Trent, M&M and Bharti Airtel are the best performing Nifty stocks. e) Asian Paints, Indusind Bank and Nestle are the worst performing Nifty stocks. f) Dixon, BSE, OFSS and RVNL are the best performing Midcap stocks. g) Vodafone Idea, AU SFB & Bandhan Bank are top Mid cap loosers. Zones Where Nifty can form base and give closing in 2025. Pessimistic Zone: In case of very negative year and some global catastrophe we can find Nifty forming a bottom between 19922 to 18476. *(Looks very unlikely as of now)* Negative Zone: In case we have a negative closing for the year we may find Nifty closing the year between 21137 to 19922. *(Possible but we might get a bottom here and then the index might move upwards)* Neutral Zone: The combination of Neutral to negative and neutral to Positive zone ranges from 26277 to 21137. Nifty can consolidate in this range. *(These are the lows and high of 2024).* Positive Zone: We can see Nifty making a new high above 26277 and 27880. After which we can see a dip and further consolidation. *(A probable scenario)* Optimistic Zone: In case we have a fantastic year we might see Nifty making a major peak between 27880 and 30060. *(This is a very optimistic scenario and less likely but you can never say never)* Above assumptions of Nifty in 2025 are made based on Fibonacci Retracement applied from top to bottom and Bottom to top on the 2024 candle. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
BTC/USDT 1H chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1H BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in the local downward trend channel in which we very quickly saw a return to the lower border of the channel. Let's start, however, by defining the goals for the near future that the price must face: T1 = $93,246 T2 = $94,045 T3 = $94639 T4 = $95,413 Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline: SL1 = $92462 SL2 = $91,530 SL3 = $90,550 Looking at the RSI indicator, we see how we entered the downtrend again after dynamically exceeding the upper limit of the range.
by cryptodailyuk
HOVR Heading For New Horizons?! Cup & Handle Set-UpLets break down NASDAQ:HOVR on the Daily Chart! Price from Mid-Sept to Early-Dec outlined the "Bowl" of the Cup and on Dec. 11th, Price made the Retracement to the Golden Ratio Zone to start the "Handle"! Today we have Price printing a STRONG Bullish Candle Breaking the Confirmation of the Cup & Handle Pattern @ .8799! Fundamentally, NASDAQ:HOVR secured a $8.4 Million investment from an "unnamed investor" to help with the advancement of the Hybrid Electric Vertical Take-off Aircraft, the Cavorite X7. -https://www.tradingview.com/news/mtnewswires.com:20241220:A3286797:0/ *In order for the Pattern to be Validated, WAIT for Price to Close above Confirmation @ .8799, then we will expect Price to come back down to Retest the Break @ ( .8900 - .8799 ), THEN the Pattern is Validated and we can look for Buying Opportunities!! Indicators: -RSI Above 50 -BBTrend Printing Green Bars -Bullish Volume Building
NASDAQ:HOVRLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
9
VIRTUAL’s Incredible Year: Is a Top in Sight??VIRTUAL has experienced a phenomenal rise in recent months, climbing to rank 36 in the overall crypto market with an impressive $3.7 billion market cap. This meteoric growth is a testament to the strong interest and momentum behind the project. However, as we approach the end of the year, there are signs that a potential top could be forming. Let’s analyse the chart and key scenarios to watch for in the coming weeks. Key Levels and Observations: 1.) Elliott Wave Analysis: The price action suggests we are completing the 5th wave of an Elliott Wave cycle, signaling a potential exhaustion of the current uptrend. Based on the Fibonacci extension of the last corrective wave, the 1.618 level is a critical resistance at $3.8134. A breakout above $3.8134 could open the doors to test the psychological level of $4. However, failure to break this level might confirm the end of the 5th wave and initiate a correction. 2.) Head and Shoulders Formation (Potential Setup): There are early signs of a Left Shoulder formation on the chart. If the price rejects at the 1.618 Fibonacci level, we could see the development of a Head and Right Shoulder, forming a bearish reversal pattern. Confirmation of this pattern would require a clear neckline and increased selling volume, signaling a trend reversal. 3.) Time-Based Correction: A correction could align with the broader crypto market trends as we head into early 2025. Given the potential for Bitcoin to drop to the 84K support zone, this could trigger a sell-off in altcoins, including VIRTUAL. 4.) Overall Market Sentiment: While the broader market has been bullish, a Bitcoin-led correction could drag down the entire crypto market. Altcoins often experience sharper corrections during Bitcoin downturns, which could result in VIRTUAL retracing some of its gains. Volume Analysis: Monitor volume levels at key resistance points (e.g., $3.8134 and $4) for confirmation of breakout or rejection. Market Correlation: Keep an eye on Bitcoin’s price action, as any significant movement could directly impact VIRTUAL and other altcoins. Note: These are my personal thoughts and interpretations of the current market conditions. Please take them with a grain of salt. The crypto market is highly volatile and further data and confirmations are essential before drawing definitive conclusions. Happy trading!
Short
by SiDec
3
Understanding Fibonacci Retracementtool fans will like this one XD Fibonacci Retracement is a popular technical analysis tool used by traders to identify potential support and resistance levels. Based on the Fibonacci sequence, this tool helps traders predict price pullbacks and continuation levels in trending markets. What is Fibonacci Retracement? Fibonacci Retracement levels are derived from the Fibonacci sequence, a mathematical pattern where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (e.g., 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, etc.). Key ratios from this sequence, such as 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%, are used to indicate potential price reversal or continuation zones. How to Use Fibonacci Retracement 1.Identify a Trend: - In an uptrend: Draw the Fibonacci retracement from the swing low to the swing high. - In a downtrend: Draw the Fibonacci retracement from the swing high to the swing low. 2. Key Levels: -23.6%: Represents shallow pullbacks; usually seen in strong trends. -38.2% and 50%: Common retracement levels where price often consolidates or reverses. -61.8%: Known as the "golden ratio," a significant level for potential reversals. -100%: Indicates a full retracement of the trend. 3. Support and Resistance Zones: - Price may bounce or consolidate near these Fibonacci levels, acting as dynamic support in an uptrend or resistance in a downtrend. How to Interpret Fibonacci Retracement Levels -Reversal Zones: - If the price retraces to a Fibonacci level and then resumes the trend, it confirms the level as significant. - **Breakouts:** - A break above or below a Fibonacci level may signal continuation in the direction of the breakout. Strengths of Fibonacci Retracement -Simple to Use:Visual and straightforward for identifying support and resistance levels. -Widely Applicable:Works across various markets (stocks, forex, crypto, etc.) and timeframes. -Combines with Other Tools:Enhances the effectiveness of indicators like RSI, MACD, and trendlines. Limitations of Fibonacci Retracement -Subjectivity:The placement of swing highs and lows can vary among traders, leading to different retracement levels. -Lagging Nature:Like most technical tools, Fibonacci Retracement relies on past price action and doesn’t predict future movement. -False Signals:Not all retracement levels lead to reversals, especially in volatile or news-driven markets. Best Practices for Using Fibonacci Retracement 1.Combine with Other Indicators: - Use with momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) or candlestick patterns for stronger confirmation. - Pair with trendlines or moving averages to validate Fibonacci levels. 2.Use Multiple Timeframes: - Analyze Fibonacci levels on higher timeframes for broader trends and lower timeframes for precise entries and exits. 3.Set Realistic Expectations: - Don’t rely solely on Fibonacci levels for decision-making. Use them as part of a broader strategy. Example of Fibonacci Retracement in Action Imagine Bitcoin (BTC) last uptrend movement which I'm showing here, and the price moves from $67,000 to $106,000. After reaching $106,000, the price begins to pull back. By applying the Fibonacci Retracement tool from $67,000 (swing low) to $106,000 (swing high), you can identify key levels at $97,000(23.6%), $91,300 (38.2%), $86,700(50%), and $82,100 (61.8%). If the price retraces to $ 91,300 and bounces upward, this confirms the 38.2% level as strong support. (Green line) (shown on the chart) Conclusion Fibonacci Retracement is a valuable tool for traders seeking to identify potential price reversal zones and continuation points. While it’s easy to use, its accuracy improves when combined with other technical indicators and a thorough understanding of market conditions. Practice drawing Fibonacci levels on historical charts to develop confidence and refine your trading strategy. 👉 Follow me for daily updates, 💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts, 📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources! Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
Education
by CRYPTONIC_trend
BTC/USDT 4H Chart ReviewHi everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart, looking at the 4h time frame, we can see that the price is moving in a triangle where we are getting close to the exit and taking the direction of further movement. In the short term, we can start by defining potential SLs in a situation where the price continues to correct: SL1 = 94431 USD SL2 = 92902 USD SL3 = 91260 USD SL4 = 88598 USD However, if the price changes direction and the visible green candle starts to gain strength, it is worth moving on to setting goals for the near future, which include: T1 = 96526 USD T2 = 98225 USD T3 = 99528 USD T4 = 101113 USD When we look at the additional indicators, we can see how the CHOP indicator and the RSI indicator are around the middle of the range, which indicates a possible movement in both directions, but here we also have the STOCH indicator, which shows an upward movement below the middle of the range, which in the short term may raise the price a bit more.
by cryptodailyuk
NVIDIA and Tesla TechnicalsNVIDIA As much as I want the train to keep moving forward, we are at an inflection point where the bears are starting to really pile in. The bulls are pulling back, and we may experience that -10% S&P correction. Everyone says this would be "healthy" for the markets, which would align in the traditional sense. However, we live in a different time now. With emerging markets and excess capital, companies are healthy. But, the economy is weakening. The Biden Administration has propped up the stock market with faulty "jobs numbers" adding ridiculous amount of government employees to supplement Jots Jobs Reports. Furthermore, this is the time of year for reallocation for major capital holders. Hence, the volatility increase. I fear the Bears are taking advantage of this time to pile on. NVIDIA had an increase of shorted shares by 4.5% in December. If the Bears take over and the bulls pull back NVIDIA will move down to $120 NVIDIA at $120 is inside "The Golden Fibonacci Pocket", a round number, AND the HIGHEST VOLUME Price level for the entire year of 2024. 3 VERY significant technical reasons big money will wait for this $120 level to be reached. It will ALSO be where the Shorts of $139-$140 will cover. This could spawn a V shape recovery from $120 flying HIGH straight to $160 ($4 Trillion Market Cap). Apple is at $3.85 Trillion. NVIDIA currently does more Net income with 30% the Revenue that Apple does. Who will reach $4 Trillion first? TESLA In a much more simple analysis. TESLA is currently testing the 78% Fibonnaci Level. Already flushed through the short time frame "Golden Pocket". So, the 78% Fib is the last line of support for TESLA. The break of the 78% Fib level will be a clear sign of a move down to a lower low, with support being around the bottom of the downtrend channel seen in the chart. IF interested in shorting TESLA is the better one.... currently. However, that could change. I personally will only Day trade SHORTING TESLA looking for the $365 level to start buying in, and dollar cost averaging down. TESLA is here to stay, I'm sure. Same with NVIDIA JUST REMEMBER... Apple has gained 60,000% since 2001.... and I believe NVIDIA is the future. Because, AI is the future. Like smart phones were the future. I believe AI will be bigger than Tele-Communications.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Scottlee74136
Fibonacci retracement on Yearly Candle gives us 2025 levels. We will continue out study of reading charts Today we will try to understand how to read the chart with the help of only 1 candle and Fibonacci series we will try to predict the range in which Nifty can move in the year 2025. First thing that one must understand that reading the charts is not a rocket science. What we have done is very simple and anyone can do. The candle stick that we have take in a 12 Month Candle. That means, all movement of Nifty for the full year has been encompassed by a single candle. I have then applied Fibonacci retracement and reverse retracement. Which has given us various zones that determine levels of Nifty. In Case you do not know about Fibonacci Golden ration you may read about it in my previous articles about the subject in Smart Investment. Fibonacci series was seen in ancient Indian Sanskrit and Maths in the works of Pingala and Hemachandra few Thousand years ago. The series derives its name however from Italian mathematician who made it famous in the modern era. Neutral Zone: The results that we got by applying Fibonacci and reverse Fibonacci on 12-month candle tell us that the neutral zone in case of sideways movement throughout the year would see Nifty moving between 21137 to 26277. Candles however seldom repeat on yearly scale but you never say never. These are the highs and lows of the current year. Negative Zone: If something very negative happens in the budget or thereafter on local or global scale we might see Nifty pivot to this range or 21137 to 19922. Where it could find support and reembark its journey upwards. Pessimistic Zone: In case of a catastrophe or some thing very negative on global or local / Macro or Micro economic front the range that we could see will be Nifty deteriorating towards 19922 to 18476. However, this looks unlikely as of now and even if it happens the upward journey might soon begin as PE investors might see a great value buying opportunity. Positive Zone: If things fall in place and economic progress continues, there is no deterioration of GDP or inflation and if Rupee recovers swiftly the zone between 26277 pervious peak and 27880 is possible. We may see a new peak of Nifty in this range. Optimistic Zone: In case the FII return enemas and economy continues to bloom with few elections and political stability / border stability and GDP growth continues it is quiet possible that we may see Nifty reaching new highs which will be in this range between 27880 and 30061. This seems a little distant dream as of now but you can never say never. At least if we hit the sweet spot of economy and Fibonacci golden ration even this ‘Everstsesque’ peak might be summited by Nifty. Here we have given different hypothetical scenarios of Nifty based on Fibonacci and candlestick analytics. For indepth understanding of Techno-Funda investing you can read my book which is The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. This book is available on Amazon in paperback and Kindle version. The book contains valuable tips for you to maximise your profits from stock market and wealth creation. It also explains my much coveted Mother, Father and Small Child Theory. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. I, my family or my clients may have a long position in the stock. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
SOL/USDT 1W Chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1W SOL to USDT chart, looking at the large time frame, we can see how the price is moving in the uptrend channel in which we currently have a visible correction approaching the lower part of the channel. Seeing the current correction, which most likely held on support at our first stoplos, we will designate the locations of the next potential SLs: SL1 = 184 USD SL2 = 166 USD SL3 = 143 USD SL4 = 117 USD However, if the price changes direction and the visible green candle starts gaining strength, it is worth moving on to setting goals for the near future, which include: T1 = 211 USD T2 = 234 USD T3 = 253 USD T4 = 271 USD
by cryptodailyuk
Will Bitcoin Go Up or Down from Here?Where does Bitcoin go from here? In my previously published idea I supported the idea for a bounce from 95k. We did closed above 95K but looks like we are not going to hold it.. According to Fibonacci (using my Dynamic Fib Retracement indicator), if we now close below the preliminary fib line around 95K, this could spell trouble for Bitcoin and result in more downwards price action. Also according to the DFR , targets for that would be: 80.5K USD (The Orange 'Median Line') and 70-73K USD (Inside the blue Fib Golden Pocket) Follow me for more BTC analysis!
Short
by poolsideliquidity
2