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Fibonacci Retracement

Fundamental & Technical Analysis on USDCAD Short Fundamental : The COT Report for Canadian Dollar is showing a increase in Open Interest (OI) which is a Bearish sign. Commercial (Hedgers) Long positions are increasing at the same time OI is increasing which means they are covering their Longs and is also considered Bearish. Non-Commercial Short positions are increasing as well adding to the Bearish sentiment. COT Report: cot-reports.com Technical : We have the 5 EMA crossing down the 20 EMA while price action is underneath both, Momentum is negative, and the %K line is underneath the 50% line. Targets/Stop Loss : I'm using a Fib retracement from a recent Low to a High to determine my Take Profits and Stop Loss. My Stop Loss is at the 0.236 Fib LVL which is $1.38783 on the chart. At every TP I take half of my position off, for TP #1 I'm aiming for the 1.272Fib LVL which is $1.35778 on the chart, TP #2 is the 1.414Fib LVL which is $1.35366 on the chart, and the TP #3 is at the 1.618Fib LVL which is $1.34774. TP #4 is at the 2Fib LVL, TP #5 is at 2.272Fib LVL, and TP #6 is the final one which is at 2.618Fib LVL.
Short
by Iateyourcroissant
$PYPL | Allocated & Watchlist | Buy Limit & Buy Stop |Technical Confluences: - Stochastics are in Overbought conditions in the Daily Timeframe - Price is close to the top of the Parallel Channel and is currently in the Interest Zone - Price action bounced off the Mid of the Parallel Channel which strengthens a bullish trend - Fundamental Confluences: - Paypal is considered a market leader in digital payments space due to its extensive network, brand recognition and services - Revenue has been constantly increasing every quarter but lacking in revenue growth - Better EPS, good FCF and reduced operating expenses are good storylines - However, digital payment systems are facing alot of competition these days and Paypal being one of the initial pioneers will definitely need to step up and conquer back this space ----- I have previously allocated into Paypal previously at 58.80 (when it was bouncing off the 78% Fibo retracement line. I am still watching to continue to build up my NASDAQ:PYPL allocation. I will be looking to add more in the higher Buy Limit zone if the price breaks the Parallel Channel and goes above the Interest Zone. I will also look into buying again close to the 61% and 78% Fibo line; assuming price cannot break the parallel channel this round and retrace backs down. Will continue monitoring it. -----
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by weekendanalyst
GOLD → Consolidation within a bullish trend. News ahead...FX:XAUUSD is forming a consolidation in the triangle format. Traders are in a stupor and are not ready to act prematurely before the news, but buyers are still quite aggressive Fundamentally, today's focus is on initial jobless claims, we have seen a decline in unemployment lately, which generally indicates an improvement in the environment, analysts expect the same “warm” figures. But, the main focus for Friday is Powell's speech, where further policy, inflation and regulator's actions will be discussed. Most likely, the current course of the markets may be strengthened. Technically, the emerging above sma traygolnik on H1 is a “continuation pattern”, higher probability of resistance breakout. But, the news may affect the market more drastically, before further recovery (manipulation). Resistance levels: 2510, 2519, 2531 Support levels: 2498, 2488 Emphasis on resistance breakout, bulls are serious enough. But on the background of news MM can form liquidation (longsqueeze) before further growth. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
29
NZDUSD → Attempt to change the trend amid falling dollarFX:NZDUSD is strengthening from the opening session amid the dollar's return to southward movement. Traders are intensifying USD sell-offs amid expectations of interest rate cuts... Despite the New Zealand Central Bank's interest rate cut, the USD sell-off is more active on the currency pair. The dollar is forming a retest of support, which increases the chances of further decline in the price amid strong sell-offs. The currency pair is testing the resistance at 0.6083, but at the moment there is a high probability of correction to the imbalance zone. The reason is that we approached the zone too quickly, we need to accumulate the pre-breakout potential. But, if the bulls manage to consolidate above the resistance, then the market will move to the realization phase after the trend line breakout. Resistance levels: 0.60828, 0.61475 Support levels: 0.6036 Fundamentally, the environment points to the continuation of growth. Technically, the bulls will have to pass through the trigger at 0.60828 to start the realization phase. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:NZDUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
EURUSD → ATH update, false breakdown, but there are nuances...FX:EURUSD continues to strengthen, updating the December 2023 ATH and forming a false breakout that could form a small correction before a possible rise. . The key level is 1.1123, as well as the high of 1.1173. The struggle for the lower level continues, bears are not letting the price up, expecting to capitalize on the correction before the news. The focus is on Powell's speech, which will take place at 14:00 GMT. His tone, prerequisites and comments could set a strong medium-term backdrop for the markets. Technically, 1.1075 has formed a pool of liquidity that could be of interest to MM. But we need to watch price behavior, a small correction and a retest of resistance or consolidation near the level will be a good signal that the bulls are ready to go higher. Resistance levels: 1.1123, 1.1173 Support levels: 1.1047, 1.1009 The price is currently in the consolidation phase. The correction may start, but if the price turns to retest 1.1123, it is worth considering a breakout strategy and further growth. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
SOL → Accumulation in the bullish trend continues ↑BINANCE:SOLUSDT after the shakeout relative to resistance and triangle support continues to consolidate again on the background of the bullish trend. The priority of the figure is the continuation of the current trend. The strong fall due to fundamental reasons: the US unemployment rate, profit-taking and panic are quickly bought back, bringing the coin back into the range, which in general hints us at a strong bullish component of the market. After a retest of 162.45 resistance, a correction is forming, 0.5 fibo may be tested, or trend support before further upside. Emphasis on triangle resistance, a retest or pre-breakout consolidation may be formed before a breakout. Support levels: 141.2, 136.7, 126.4 Resistance levels: 162.45, 188.32 Fundamentally, the menet has a good potential. Technically, the price is in a sideways movement, but against the background of a global bullish trend. After consolidation, a distribution is formed and our task is to understand in time when this distribution can start... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:SOLUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
9
$BTC | Sell Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences: - Price action is considered at Overbought conditions in both Daily and H4 Timeframes - Price action is bouncing off the 78% Fibo retracement line - Aiming for a retracement to the Fibo Extension's 61% or 78% Fundamental Confluences: - The crypto market space has no new impetus at the moment and is in consolidation mode after the risk-on rallies - Market sentiment is positive with FED cutting rate, but if FED cut rates, what does it mean? Something is wrong with the markets that the FED needs to cut rate. - In the view that the risk-on rally is overdone now.
Short
by weekendanalyst
KLAYUSDT → Transition from bearish to bullish trendBINANCE:KLAYUSDT is entering the distribution phase after exiting the accumulation. The price is resting at the range boundary, but there are prerequisites indicating a possible continuation of growth Emphasis on the key level of 0.1600. I like the accumulation formed near the level. The key aspect, to forge a further scenario with the purpose of opening entry, I expect a retest or accumulation under the level, which will mean that the coin is ready to go even higher. On W1 the coin is still in consolidation and is not going to bottom, on D1 the price is breaking the resistance of the wedge, a pattern capable of reversing trends. Resistance levels: 0.1600 Support levels: 0.5, 0.7 fibo, 0.1246 Technically, such a rise may be followed by a correction either to the local lows on H1 or to the Fibo zone, but a quick retest will increase the chances of a breakout and growth. But, if the bulls manage to go beyond 0.160 and form a consolidation, the growth may start much earlier. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:KLAYUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
KLong
by RLinda
2
PEPE → Pre-break consolidation and retest of MA-200BINANCE:PEPEUSDT is consolidating after a shakeout. Bulls are emphasizing the resistance at 0.00000827. On W1, the coin is consolidating above key support, which is a good sign amid the overall bullish trend. PEPE is trading above trend support and is not going to go down yet. A decrease in volatility is forming - “consolidation” character of the movement. After retesting the resistance, the price returns to the level for another test, which only increases the chances of a breakout of the area. Consolidation of the price above this area may affect the breakout of MA-200, which will be a confirmation of the readiness to go up. Technically, the zone of interest is 0.00001088 and “ob” in the zone 0.000013. Resistance levels: 0.00000827 Support levels: 0.000007615 We continue to follow the price. The trend is bullish and there are no preconditions that would lead to a trend change. Technically, I expect an attempt to break the upper boundary of consolidation and further growth to the specified targets. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
BNX → The coin is stronger than the market. Bullish trendBINANCE:BNXUSDT looks quite strong relative to the entire cryptocurrency market, maintaining an already strong bullish trend. The price is forming a range and it is worth paying attention to its boundaries... The situation is complicated by panic, bitcoin is unstable and thus creates unnecessary volatility in the whole market. The ideal outcome would be to stop the market and reduce volatility or consolidate so that action can be taken. But in fact BNX looks stronger than the market and this is worth taking into consideration. The focus is on the strong 1.4252 - 1.2800 range. Because of the challenging technical environment, two scenarios are worth considering (but I like the resistance breakout the best) If the bulls hold 1.2800 and start gradually approaching 1.4252, we should expect a breakout with further upside to 1.75 range resistance or even higher in the long term. Support levels: 1.28, 1.1618 Resistance levels: 1.4252, 1.5161 However, if the bulls fail to hold 1.28 and the price breaks the support on the background of high market volatility, it may test 1.1618 - 1.0399 once again before further growth, as the uptrend is still in place Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BNXUSDT.P ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
How to Use Fibonacci Retracements to Find Entry and Exit PointsAlright, traders, let’s talk about Fibonacci Retracements — the tool that’s part math, part mysticism, and all about finding those sweet spots for entry and exit. If you’ve ever wondered how seasoned traders seem to know exactly when to jump in and when to cash out, chances are they’ve got Fibonacci retracements in their toolbox (or they’re insider trading). What Are Fibonacci Retracements? Fibonacci Retracements are based on the famous ​​Fibonacci sequence — a string of numbers discovered in the 1200s by the medieval Italian mathematician Leonardo of Pisa (later nicknamed Fibonacci, meaning "son of Bonacci"). The sequence of numbers starts with 1, 2, 3, 5 and grows by adding the sum of the two previous numbers. These mystical numbers show up everywhere from pinecones and seashells to the human hand and the Apple logo and, of course, the charts. It all comes down to 61.8%, the golden child of market moves and corrections. But before you go off believing Fibonacci is some sort of market sorcerer, let’s break it down. The Key Levels 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6% : These are the Fibonacci retracement levels you’ll see on your chart when you whip up the Fibonacci Retracement. They’re acting as the market’s pit stops — areas where the price could take a breather or reverse altogether. Traders use these levels to predict how far a price might pull back before resuming its trend. Put simply, it’s like finding the market’s sweet spot where it says, “Enough with the chit-chat, let’s bounce.” How to Use Fibonacci Retracements Identify the Trend : First, you need a clear trend — trace a price trajectory and make sure there is a well-defined and sustained move either up or down with a clear reversal at the end. No trend? No Fibonacci. Draw the Retracement : Stretch the Fib tool from the start of the move (swing low) to the end (swing high). If the trend is up, draw from low to high. If it’s down, high to low. Watch as those golden ratios light up your chart like a Christmas tree. Now you’ve got your levels mapped out and you can easily start looking for the potential turning points. Spot the Bounce : The series of horizontal lines on your chart — these are your Fibonacci levels, and they’re not just pretty—they’re potential support and resistance zones. When the price retraces to a Fib level, it’s decision time. Will it bounce, or will it break? The 61.8% level is the big one — the golden ratio. If the price holds there, it may be a sign that the trend could continue. If it breaks, well, it’s time to reassess. Think of it as the market’s line in the sand. Finding Entry Points Here’s where it gets interesting. Imagine the market’s been on a bull run, but then starts to pull back. You’re itching to buy, but where? This is where Fibonacci levels shine. When the price retraces to a key Fibonacci level (say 38.2% or 50%), it’s like the market is pausing to catch its breath. That’s your cue to consider entering a position. You’re aiming to ride the next wave up once the market finishes its coffee break at one of these levels. Nailing Exit Points On the flip side, if you’re already in a trade and looking to lock in profits, those same Fibonacci levels can be your guide for exiting. If the price is approaching a key level from below, it might be time to secure your gains before the market pulls another U-turn. For the bold and brave, you can even set your sights on the 161.8% level — this is where Fibonacci extensions come into play. It’s a target for when the market decides it’s not just going to bounce, but rocket into the stratosphere. Pro Tip: Fib Confluence Looking to up your game? Combine Fibonacci with other indicators like moving averages or trendlines. When multiple signals converge around a Fib level, it may be a strong confirmation that the trend could turn. Pay attention and always do your own research — fakeouts are real. Why It Works (and Why It Doesn't) Some say Fibonacci levels work because they’re rooted in natural mathematics. Others believe it’s a self-fulfilling prophecy because so many traders use them. And just like any strategy, it doesn’t work 100% of the time. The market has a mind of its own, and sometimes it just doesn’t care about your Fibonacci levels. But when they do work, they can give you a serious edge. The Bottom Line Fibonacci Retracements aren’t just a bunch of lines on a chart — they’re your reminder that maybe everything is indeed one from the universe’s perspective and there are naturally occurring patterns everywhere. Whether you believe in the math and the or just like the results, one thing’s for sure: Fibs can give you an edge in spotting when to hold back or lean forward. So next time you’re stuck wondering when to buy or sell, try the Fibonacci.
Education
by TradingView
12
LTC-USDT 4hI invite you to a quick review of LTC in pair with USDT, taking into account the four-hour interval. Visible, we can determine the local upward trend line above which the price remains. Just below the price there is support at the level of $60, then the second support is around $56 and then there is a strong support level at the price of $50. Looking the other way, similarly, after unfolding the fib retracement grid, you can see resistance at the price of $66, then the second resistance at $71, and then a strong resistance at $77.
by cryptodailyuk
$GBPCAD | Watchlist | Sell Limit | Technical Confluences: - Stochastics has entered into Overbought conditions in the Daily and H1 Timeframes - Price looks like it will target the top of the smaller parallel channel; it coincides with the 50% Fibo Extension levels - If the 50% Fibo levels break, we may visit the 61% Fibo Extension level; the next range of Interest Zone and the top of the larger Parallel channel - Gauging the Elliot wave count, GBPCAD is trying to complete Wave 3 move (we will then enter this trade to capture the Wave 4) ----- Will be looking to set some Sell Limit orders in the Sell Limit Zone area and Target the 50 - 61% Fibo Retracement levels -----
Short
by weekendanalyst
AUDUSD Long IdeasThe reason I chose to buy the AUD/USD currency pair is as follows: The RBA has kept interest rates on hold for a longer period due to inflation remaining stable and experiencing only a slight increase, which is favorable for the Australian economy. Meanwhile, the economic outlook for China is potentially improving, as interest rate cuts will continue if China’s economic data is found to be unsatisfactory. On the other hand, the Federal Reserve is getting closer to an interest rate cut in September. For market participants, this is a dovish signal for the USD.
Long
by ICT_ID
2
$USDCHF | Buy Trade | Market Exec | Technical Confluences: - Price action is at a Demand Zone that has seen Demands for USD a few times - Price is also supported by a descending support trendline - Stochastics is in Oversold conditions in the H4 Timeframe Fundamental Confluences: - Market seems to have overdone their expectation of many rate cuts and based on how FED normally reacts, they are more reactive than pre-emptive. - In that sense, the Jackson Hole event this Friday may disappoint markets if Powell sticks to his affirmation that Sept cut is highly likely but any other cuts will remain data-dependent (If I'm wrong, then we will cut it if it breaks the 2024 low) ----- Taking an entry into long FX:USDCHF here. Will have interest to add on as long as price remains within in my Orange Position area. -----
Long
by weekendanalyst
2
GOLD → We're up to 2500. What's next, up or down?FX:XAUUSD is updating its historical high due to fundamental reasons. At the moment the market is struggling for 2500, at the same time the dollar is showing the prerequisites of readiness to go south. Fundamentally, there is a lot of interest in gold for several reasons: Crisis in the Middle East, expectations of Iranian action. A shift in the policy dovish view of the economy by the Fed Jackson Hole Symposium. Traders are quite positive, in anticipation of Powell's comments on the economy and their impact. Technically, a strong bullish trend and the realization of accumulation is forming on D1. The price updates the high and closes Friday's session very promisingly (at the weekly and daily high) A price consolidation above 2510 will be a good starting point to the next psychological levels. Resistance levels: 2510, 2525, 2550 Support levels: 2495 Technically, the focus is on the 2510 - 2495 range. If a false breakout of resistance is formed, profit-taking or MM actions may provoke price decline to the imbalance zone before further growth. But, a confident consolidation of the price above the resistance may form an impulse to 2525. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
GBPUSD → Double bottom + false breakdown = reason for growth ↑FX:GBPUSD is changing its course to the north. Double bottom, false breakout, return in trend boundaries, support in the form of MA-200 & MA-50 is the reason to change the market mood and give confidence to speculators. An interesting and promising picture is forming on D1. The price on the background of the retest is confidently consolidating above the previously broken resistance of the symmetrical triangle, which held the market within its boundaries for quite a long time. Against this background, hedge funds increased their longs in GBP to the maximum for 6 years Technically, the focus is on the resistance at 1.2894. The primary retest may provoke a small rebound, but against the background of strong buying and weak dollar, the big buyer is still in the game, this fact may lead to the break of the key resistance and further growth to 1.30 - 1. 32 Resistance levels: 1.2894 Support levels: SMA, 1.2818 If the price is able to consolidate above 1.2894, we should expect further growth. But at the moment there is a high probability of a small correction before further growth. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3