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Fibonacci Retracement

AUDUSD → False breakdown of resistance. Ready to go down?FX:AUDUSD is forming a false break of the range resistance, but the market continues to struggle between traders. The focus is on the risk zone, the breakout of which will send the price flying downwards. The trend is neutral, after a long-range retest of 0.66676 resistance a false breakdown is formed and the buyer has no potential to go up. A retest of the local maximum is possible, but all the emphasis is on the support at 0.6648. A break of this area will be a confirmation of the buyers' loss, as well as a break of the local uptrend, which will provoke the formation of a strong bearish impulse. Resistance levels: 0.6668, 0.6715 Support levels: 0.665, 0.6558 Most likely, the buyers' strength will not be enough to pass the mentioned resistance from the first time. At the moment the seller is pushing the market and if the key support area is broken, the market will change its local mood Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
13
Hang Seng Tries to Hold Key Support Amidst Mixed Chinese DataThe relief rally of the past four-months fades as HKG33 concluded a four-week losing streak, leading to a challenge of pivotal support levels. The Hong Kong index tests the 38.2% Fibonacci of this year’s low/high advance, creating risk for a deeper correction towards the 61.8% level. China’s post pandemic recovery is bumpy, underscored by distressed property sector, subdued factory activity and weak domestic demand, with CPI hovering around zero for the past year. Today’s data showed a deceleration in industrial production to 5.6% y/y and another drop in house prices. Retail sales grew 3.7% y/y though, offering reasons for optimism. Furthermore, China’s real estate market may be in poor shape, but Beijing has found new growth pillars in electric vehicles, car batteries and solar cells. Adding to hopes for better days ahead, both the IMF and the World Bank recently upgraded their China GDP forecasts. HKG33 finds reprieve today and tries to hold the pivotal 38.2% Fibonacci and the 200 Days EMA (blue line. Successful effort will give it the opportunity to retake 18,736 and the chance to push for higher highs (19,794), but the latter has a higher degree of difficulty. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
H
by FXCM
GOLD → Open gestalt 2280 but the price goes up, what's next?FX:XAUUSD closed last week in the plus side despite the negative fundamental backdrop, but the focus is on the consolidation that the price is in. Previous patterns indicate that consolidation, amid a bear market, could be followed by buyers liquidation, but there is always a BUT!!!! Relevant, gold is closing in a pat range of 2340-2325. . The market doesn't know where to move yet. So the big question is: where will the price go on Monday? The general background is bearish, accordingly, the pressure from sellers continues. Technically: If the 2340 resistance is broken, the price will head towards the descending channel resistance. BUT, if the support is broken, the new trading week may start with a decline towards 2300. From a fundamental point of view, gold has no support China has temporarily reduced purchases. But at the same time, a rather hot conflict in the Middle East and Eastern Europe may support the gold price. Against the backdrop of the rising dollar, gold traders may intensify the sell-off of the asset and strike another blow to the buyers who appeared in the range of 2290 - 2325. There is not much news in the coming week, but the focus is on: CPI (eur), Core Retail Sales & retail Sales, Initial Jobless Claims, S&P PMI and Fed Monetary Policy. The data is expected to be relatively lukewarm for the dollar, but the situation changes daily. Resistance levels: 2340, 2355 Support levels: 2325, 2305, 2290 Technically, the market maker has not yet reached the key liquidity below 2380, there are no strong and obvious preconditions for the medium term, it is worth paying attention to the daily price behavior. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
7
ETH - Getting close to Major levels. COINBASE:ETHUSD is moving towards some major levels in time and price. We have the equal time and price with the August 2022 high, April 2023 high giving us a potential high around the 17th of December. There are double 1.27% Extension areas from those previous 2 highs around 2300. The 382 from the ATH @ 2400 and if we break that then the 2600 level will be waiting with double 1.618% Extensions. Once a top comes in the retracement will be key to the next move. I will post smaller TF targets shortly. An interesting run into the end of the year might set up the course for next year. Enjoy the Week. 👍👍
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by L_F
2
Will we see a price break attempt again on ETH?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of ETH in pair with USDT, on a four-hour interval. As we can see, the price has risen from the first channel of the downward trend, then we can see a break from the local upward trend line and now we can see the second channel of the downward trend, Currently, the price has bounced off the support at $3,495, but remaining in the descending channel, we may see the price drop to the support at $3,179. Going further, we have a very strong support zone from $2,954 to $2,678. Looking the other way, you can see how the price remains in front of a strong resistance zone from $3,645 to $3,814, then there is resistance at $4,098, and then we have a very strong resistance at $4,560. Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see that we are entering the upper part of the range despite a slight price movement on the chart, while the STOCH indicator shows that we are exceeding the upper limit, which may still result in another attempt at price recovery.
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD → Retest of resistance before possible decline to 2290FX:XAUUSD is forming the range of 2325 - 2290. In general, the market is bearish and the local bullish distribution that happened since the opening of the session may lead to a false breakdown and further decline Today at 15:00 GMT Fed Monetary Policy Report. I think it is worth paying attention to the Fed comments. As for Gold. All attention to the resistance area of 2315-2325. Most likely we should wait for a false breakdown, at the moment there is no potential to go up against a strong bear market. Against the background of the growth of the dollar index gold traders can strengthen the sales of gold. Consolidation of the price (after the false breakdown) below 2325 or below 2315 may lead the market down to 2300-2290. Resistance levels: 2325, 2340 Support levels: 2315, 2305, 2291 Friday may end with the price testing the resistance and returning to the boundaries of the sideways range, i.e. to the flat state. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
EURUSD → The currency pair may lose up to 2.5% ↓FX:EURUSD is testing the 1.0884 resistance again after breaking the local channel. But it does not lead to success, as the bears are not letting the price up yet amid the complex fundamental environment. Technically, the currency pair is under a strong resistance zone. The limit level of 1.0884, formed by a big seller, continues to have a negative impact on the price. EURUSD may test 1.0802 in the near future. It is necessary to monitor the price reaction to this area. A quick retest or consolidation could be a prerequisite for a downside breakout and further fall to the lower boundary of the global range at 1.0606 Resistance levels: 1.0884, 1.0942 Support levels: 1.0802, 1.0736 I expect that the bears will continue to dominate the market on the background of the expensive dollar, which may lead to the fact that the currency pair may lose up to 2.0-2.5% of its value. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
SAIL - Reversal pattern in action!Monthly Time Frame: Overview & Observation: 1. CHange in price structure from LL-LH to HH-HL 2. Good volume support 3. Bouncing from weekly demand and fib support zone. 4. Expected to continue to move higher. 5. Earnings are weak though! Trade Plan: 1. Entry = cmp 154 2. Stop Loss = 10-12% 3. Target = 40% - Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely! - If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading! Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing. Thanks & Regards, Anubrata Ray
NSE:SAILLong
by SuperNova396
2
HERITAGE FOODS - multi-year breakout - Buy on Dips!Monthly Time Frame: Overview & Observation: 1. Beautiful Double bottom formation and broke 7 years of resistance level in 1 shot shows strength in buying. 2. Good volume support 3. Earnings are strong. Trade Plan: 1. It has already gone to targets for the structure it gave BO. 2. Wait for a retracement for buying. - Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely! - If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading! Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing. Thanks & Regards, Anubrata Ray
NSE:HERITGFOOD
by SuperNova396
GOLD → Shakeout and false breakdown of 2325. PPI aheadFX:XAUUSD rises to 2340 on the back of yesterday's CPI and Powell's comments form a shakeup in the market and the price of the metal drops to 2308, forming a false breakdown of the key liquidity area of 2325. Today the market is expecting PPI (MoM) and Initial Jobless Claims. Producer Price Index is expected to be lower than last period 0.1% instead of 0.4%, but it all depends on the actual data. Mind you, yesterday the market got a CPI of 3.3%, versus the expected 3.4%. But Powell did not say anything interesting in the change of views and still sticks to the hawkish side. Technically, gold is breaking local upside support and forming a consolidation below 2325. If the data is bullish for the dollar, gold could continue to fall towards 2290-2265. Resistance levels: 2325, 2340 Support levels: 2305, 2291 Technically gold is showing weakness, but it reacts quite strongly to any small positive news. The whole emphasis on today's news, if the fundamental background remains negative, we will consider the targets below, if there are hints of a change in the background, we can consider price growth to 2340-2355. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
25
GOLD - last crash, then a new all time high! (buy here)GOLD is probably preparing for a last small crash to the main support of the expanding triangle in the major timeframe. This is a great opportunity to buy GOLD at the bottom of an expanding triangle because it is also in confluence with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. This Fibonacci level is very strong together with 0.618 because 0.618 + 0.382 = 1. You can buy gold here, or enter a long position on futures with leverage to increase your potential profit.  You probably know that I am very bullish on GOLD for the next few years and expect at least a double in price. After many years of sideways price action, GOLD finally broke out and made a significant new all time high. GOLD seems undervalued and should go higher.  It's always important to look at the Elliott Wave analysis, as it gives us a better understanding of the whole market structure. Where on the map are we currently? On the chart, you can see an impulse wave (12345) and after such move we can expect a corrective structure, such as ABC or WXY. Usually, you want to take a Fibonacci retracement of the previous impulse wave and look for 0.382 FIB or 0.618 FIB. I don't think GOLD will go all the way down to 2155, that would be pretty bearish after the previous breakout to a new all time high. Buying gold at current levels is definitely a good idea, but if you want better price and timing, I would take the 0.382 FIB. This will also increase your risk-to-reward ratio. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xanrox
11
Will BTC hold up for collection?Hello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour time frame. As we can see, the price remains at the upper limit of the downtrend channel Let's start by determining the support line and as you can see, the first support on which the price is based is $66,150, if the support is broken, the next support is $62,510, then at $59,824, and then the fourth very strong support at the lower border of the channel at $56,532 . Looking the other way, there is significant resistance at $68,248, and then just above the downtrend channel, there is a strong resistance zone from $72,012 to $74,000. There is a visible downward trend on the RSI indicator, and each rebound gives room for another price drop, while on the STOCH indicator we remain at the lower limit, which should help maintain the price.
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD → CPI and FED. What to expect from the market? FX:XAUUSD is stopping after correction, traders are afraid to make premature decisions as news is ahead. A consolidation below 2315 is forming. False break of support leads the price to retest 2310-2315, after which traders take a breather before the news. All eyes remain on the upcoming big events, CPI and Fed. Key US CPI data will help shape the Fed's view on interest rates, which will significantly impact the value of the US dollar and gold prices in the near term. The market is expecting neutral (no change) data, which could generally keep the same fundamental backdrop. But, all eyes are on the actual data as the market is still confused by last Friday's higher NFP than expected. Nevertheless, any initial reaction to the US CPI data may be temporary as gold traders will quickly switch to the FOMC & FED meeting. Resistance levels: 2315, 2325, 2354 Support levels: 2305, 2291, 2267 Technically and fundamentally, gold is weak at the moment. On the background of high volatility, the price may try to break through 2325 and test the liquidity area of 2335-2345, then move to the decline phase, if the fundamental background is suitable for this. Risks of further decline are quite high, but the coming news can both strengthen this decline and break the market structure. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
13
INJUSDT → Interested buyer. Ready to rise to 43.0?BINANCE:INJUSDT looks stronger than bitcoin and the crypto market. Against the background of the general decline, the coin is growing and this is a rather strong premise. The price may return to the range of 29.0 - 43.0. On D1, a pre-breakout setup is forming regarding the 29.2-29.45 area. If the price can consolidate above this area, then further traders will open bullish potential, the target of which could be a rise towards resistance (intra-range movement). The coin looks green in the red market and it means that someone is interested in it (big player). On the overall negative fundamental background there is a risk that the coin will go down, but for now I am looking out for further upside. *The long scenario will be broken if the price closes below yesterday's opening. Resistance levels: 33.62, 43.4 Support levels: 29.21, 29.85 The potential is there. It can be realized if the bulls hold the defense above the key support area. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
BITCOIN → Strong fundamentals and interest lead us to $80KBINANCE:BTCUSD reaches a strong $71500 liquidity zone as strong ETH-ETF related news is released. A trap from the market maker catches the crowd off guard and now the market is ready to move on Toretically, the correction wave ends after the false breakdown of resistance and liquidity zone 71500. Bulls successfully hold the defense above the support 67241. Liquidation of part of traders, liquidity capture below the zone increases chances for further growth. The market holds the course towards the global resistance 73679. Fundamentally and technically BTC looks strongly bullish, the general market background is also strong, which generally supports the theory of further growth with the possibility of ATH update. The fifth wave may be completed in the area of the current ATH, or, on the background of increased interest, may find its target area at 1.236 fibo - $81.980. Resistance levels: 71572, 73679 Support levels: 67241, 64545 The area of 67250 - 64500 is currently an intermediate bottom, in this place, relative to the whole range, the largest amount of the asset was purchased. We are waiting for a retest of 71572 with the possibility of further breakout and growth to the previously outlined targets CME:BTC1! CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
66
Pulse of an Asset via Fibonacci: AAPL at ATH Impulse Redux"Impulse" is a surge that creates "Ripples", like a pebble into water. "Impulse Redux" is returning of wave to the original source of energy. "Impulse Core" is the zone of maximum energy, in the Golden Pocket. Are the sellers still there? Enough to absorb the buying power? Reaction at Impulse is worth observing closely to gauge energy. Rejection is expected on at least first approach if not several. Part of my ongoing series to collect examples of my Methodology: (click links below) Chapter 1: Introduction and numerous Examples Chapter 2: Detailed views and Wave Analysis Chapter 3: The Dreaded 9.618: Murderer of Moves Chapter 4: Impulse Redux: Return to Birth place <= Current Example Chapter 5: Golden Growth: Parabolic Expansions Chapter 6: Give me a ping Vasili: one Ping only . . Ordered Chaos every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water. every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden. every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse. each line Gains its Gravity. each line Tried and Tested. each line Poised to Reflect. every Asset Class behaves this way. every Time Frame displays its ripples. every Brain Chord rings these rhythms. He who Understands will be Humble. He who Grasps will observe the Order. He who Ignores will behold only Chaos. Ordered Chaos . . . want to Learn a little More? can you Spend a few Moments? click the Links under Related.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by EuroMotif
2
GOLD → Price range. Test of resistance before the news FX:XAUUSD is testing trend resistance. The struggle continues, but on the background of strong dollar the price can test the minimum or even update it. The news is coming and the market may go flat. GOLD is testing the strong resistance area 2304 as well as the pullback level 2314.7, forming a new key resistance within the correction. The technical and fundamental background for gold is negative, in the mid-term we should expect a fall, but tomorrow we are waiting for news such as: CPI, FOMC and FED meeting, where obviously the overall inflation situation and the US interest rate will be discussed. If we pay attention to D1, we can see that the dollar continues to grow in an uptrend, at tomorrow's speeches, the regulators may continue to support the dollar, which may have a negative impact on gold, which by then may test the liquidity area 2304-2314-2325 before a further possible fall. Support levels: 2300, 2291, 2267 Resistance levels: 2304, 2314, 2325 Today the market may trade within the range of 2291 - 2325, the prospective direction can be discussed tomorrow (before the news), but within the intra-day I would expect a retest of resistance and a possible decline to support. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
30
GBPUSD → Negative fundamental backdrop could break the trend FX:GBPUSD is bumping into a strong limit resistance zone lined up by sellers. As the fundamental background changes, the bears are strengthening their positions. An impulsive downward movement is forming in the market The opening session is formed with a gap on D1, in general this is rare in the forex market, but indicates potential. We are interested in the level of 1.271. A break of this area will be a trigger for a fall, because, in general, the short and medium-term outlook based on the fundamental background is predetermined. Most likely, the first test of the support area will be followed by a bounce, but a retest of the support will strengthen the chances of a breakout and further decline to our target. Resistance levels: 1.28 Support levels: 1.271, trend support In the long term, we are waiting for a test of support and market reaction to the mentioned area. The local trend may be broken. Consolidation of the price in the selling zone will be the confirmation. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
TRX Defies Market Trends: Key Levels and Strategic Insights🔍TRX (Tron) is showing unique behavior amidst market volatility. Here's a detailed analysis to guide your trading decisions. 📆Coin of the Day: TRX (Tron) About the Project: TRX is the native cryptocurrency of the Tron network, used for transaction fees on the TRC20 network. It is widely staked, contributing to its relatively stable price movements. 🧩Technical Analysis 4-Hour Timeframe This analysis focuses on shorter-term trends, identifying critical levels and potential scenarios. 📉Support and Resistance: Key Supports: 0.11569 (0.382 Fibonacci level) - recently established support after a breakout. 0.11494 0.11104 Key Resistances: 0.11873 (0.618 Fibonacci level) 0.12740 (major resistance and potential trigger for long positions) 📈Bullish Scenario: Fibonacci Golden Zone: TRX is currently within a major supply zone, which overlaps with the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Breaking above this area could indicate strong bullish momentum. Targets: Key resistance levels to watch are 0.11873, 0.12438, and 0.12740 (trigger for significant long positions). 📉Bearish Scenario: Break Below Key Support: If TRX fails to maintain above 0.11569, it could signal a bearish reversal. Targets: The next support levels are at 0.11494 and 0.11104. 📊Volume and RSI: Volume Analysis: Recent volume spikes suggest increasing interest, which is critical for sustaining upward momentum. RSI Analysis: Current RSI: 61.50, indicating bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory. 💡Key Triggers: For Long Positions: Entry Trigger: Break and hold above 0.11873. Strategy: Open a position on the hold of this level, targeting 0.12438 and 0.12740. Use tight stop-loss orders to manage risk. For Short Positions: Entry Trigger: Break and retest below 0.11569. Strategy: Open a position if the price confirms a break below this level, targeting 0.11494 and 0.11104. Adjust stop-loss orders accordingly. 👨‍💻Trading Positions Long Position Entry Trigger: Hold above 0.11873 with confirmation from RSI and volume. Strategy: Open a position on the hold of this level, targeting 0.12438 and 0.12740. Use tight stop-loss orders to manage risk. Short Position Entry Trigger: Break and retest below 0.11569. Strategy: Open a position if the price confirms a break below this level, targeting 0.11494 and 0.11104. Adjust stop-loss orders accordingly. 📝TRX is demonstrating unique resilience compared to the broader market trends. Traders should closely monitor key levels and volume to determine potential entries and exits. RSI and volume trends will provide additional insights into momentum shifts. 🧠💼Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
1
GOLD → Causes of the fall. Can gold fall even lower? 2265?FX:XAUUSD is making a new low and there are a number of reasons for that. The price after Friday's sell-offs is returning in the bearish trend boundaries, which determines the medium-term prospects for us On D1, price is still in a global sideways range and support (global liquidity zone) is still untested. So why did gold fall? The market was negatively affected by the strengthening of the dollar, due to the positive NonFarm Payrolls for the US market, which generally forms a medium-term mood for the markets. Traders also moved to the bearish train on the background of news related to the suspension of global gold purchases by the Central Bank of China. Technically, the continuation of the downtrend on H1 is most likely. On D1, a takeover is forming and Friday's close is practically at the minimum values (The movement, theoretically, is not over yet), but before that the market may test the lower boundary of the consolidation (the nearest resistance). Resistance levels: 2315, 2325 Support levels: 2291, 2267 I expect local strengthening before the subsequent fall. Traders may try to buy back some of the decline (liquidity gathering) before further testing support with a view to breakout. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
7