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Fibonacci Retracement

FTM/USDT 1D Interval Hello everyone, I invite you to review the FTM chart in pair with USDT on a one-day time frame. Let's start by identifying the main downtrend channel in which the price is systematically falling with the blue lines. However, locally we can also determine a downward trend line, which currently shows how the price is struggling to go higher. Going further, we can see how strongly we are approaching a very important support point, which is currently the main support for the price at $0.31. Looking the other way, it is worth determining the resistance that FTM must face. And here you can see how we are approaching the resistance zone from $0.52 to $0.61, then there is strong resistance at $0.75, and then the price will have to face a very strong resistance zone from $0.84 to $0.97. It is worth looking at the RSi indicator here, where we can see a reflection from the lower border with room for continued growth, but here we can see how there is currently a fight to maintain the place where we could repeatedly observe reflections in one and the other direction.
by cryptodailyuk
AUDUSD W pattern completion - Can FallAUDUSD has reached an area where it has completed a complex W pattern. There are a few levels and zones (as on the chart) to be watched. When W pattern completes, a correction comes. This idea is on the daily time frame, so wait for a confirmation on smaller time frame to execute trades. If you found this interesting please consider supporting this analysis by liking, commenting, and sharing with friends, colleagues, traders, and trading communities. Thanks👍🙂
by vikinsa
1
ETC/USDT 1D Chart ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the ETC pair to USDT chart on a one-day time frame. Let's start by identifying the downward trend in which the price is moving using the yellow channels. Currently, you can see how we bounced off the lower border of the channel, which resulted in a 23% price rebound. Going further, we can see how the price reacted in our strong support zone from $21 to $18, when the price dropped to the lower border of the zone, we could see a strong rebound. However, if the price were to break down, the next very strong support is at $15.5. Looking the other way, we can determine resistances in a similar way, and as you can see, the price is currently struggling with the resistance at $22.5, when we break out of it, the next resistance is at $25.4 and then very strong resistance at the price of 29.8 $. Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see how an upward movement does not result in price increases, while a downward movement of the indicator gives a greater reaction, which may lead to another attempt at declines. Even though the RSI indicator shows room for the price to move up from the current resistance, the STOCH RSI indicator indicates that the upper limit has been exceeded, which in previous situations resulted in price declines.
by cryptodailyuk
USOIL Higher Time Frame Possible Bullish ScenarioThis is higher time frame bullish scenario on USOIL (WTI). This is only applicable if a bullish breakout occurs. 1. The price is inside a triangle which is getting squeezed and reaching its apex. That means we are going to have a breakout very soon. 2. Recently the price completed and M pattern and jumped higher. When M pattern completes the market goes higher. 3. If we get a bullish breakout from this triangle and if this breakout confirms, we can have formation of a potential W pattern. This when completed will have the potential to make oil fall again. 4. After that if the price stays bullish or becomes bullish again, we have a gap available around 100 area which needs to be filled at subpoint. 5. That will also lead us into a bigger multiple month and possibly multi year bullish formation of a W pattern. But first, we need to see how price breaks out of the triangle. If you found this post useful or information please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍✔ Also us for more.
TVC:USOIL
by vikinsa
Bitcoin Price Analysis Adjusted for Inflation: Key Reaction LeveOverview In this analysis of the BTC/USDT pair adjusted for inflation using the M2 money velocity (M2V), we examine the key Fibonacci levels and potential reactions from order blocks (OB) and fair value gaps (FVG). This provides a more accurate perspective on Bitcoin's price action in the context of inflation. Key Levels and Analysis Current Price: BTC/USDT adjusted for M2V is trading at 43,235.36, with a 1.57% increase. Fibonacci Levels: 0.236: 49,231.96 0.382: 42,763.04 0.5: 37,534.73 0.618: 32,306.42 0.786: 24,862.72 Potential Reaction Levels 0.5 Fibonacci Level (37,534.73): Order Block (OB): Just below the 0.5 level, an order block is present, indicating a potential strong support zone. Fair Value Gap (FVG): This zone also aligns with a fair value gap, suggesting a high probability of a significant price reaction. Targets Target 1: 49,231.96 - Key resistance level based on the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement. Target 2: 59,688.58 - Major resistance aligned with the 0 Fibonacci retracement level. Target 3: 87,331.31 - Based on the 0.618 Fibonacci extension. Target 4: 115,152.95 - Ultimate bullish target at the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level. Harmonic Patterns The chart shows a large harmonic pattern Cypher, indicating potential reversal zones: Point C: Previous peak, suggesting areas of interest for resistance and support. Current Price Action Support Levels: Immediate support at the 0.382 Fibonacci level (42,763.04). Stronger support anticipated at the 0.5 level (37,534.73) due to the presence of OB and FVG. Resistance Levels: 0.236 Fibonacci level (49,231.96) as the first major resistance. Potential Scenarios Bullish Scenario: Holding above the 0.382 level could lead to a break above the 0.236 level, targeting 59,688.58 and higher. Bearish Scenario: If the 0.382 level fails, a drop to the 0.5 level is likely, where a strong reaction is expected due to OB and FVG. Conclusion Adjusting for inflation with the M2 money velocity offers a clearer view of Bitcoin's real value. The 0.5 Fibonacci level (37,534.73) is critical, with strong support from OB and FVG, suggesting a significant price reaction. Monitoring these levels will provide valuable insights for trading decisions. Share your thoughts and analysis in the comments below! Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Long
by Neirolink
1
DOGE/USDT 1DintervalHello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of DOGE in pair with USDT on a one-day time frame. Let's start by defining the falling triangle in which the price is moving using the yellow lines. You can see here how the downtrend is starting to gather divergences. Going further, we will mark support lines and as you can see, currently the price remains at a strong support level of $0.105, but if we start to fall further, the next support is at $0.086, then at $0.074 and then $0.061. Looking the other way, we can similarly determine resistances, as you can see, we should encounter the first resistance at the level of $0.124, then around $0.144, then there is a strong resistance zone from $0.16 to $0.177, only after breaking above this zone the price will could continue to grow. Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see how an upward movement does not result in price increases, while a downward movement of the indicator gives a greater reaction, which may lead to another attempt at declines.
by cryptodailyuk
3
USDJPY → Interventions + CPI. The market doesn't believe it...FX:USDJPY is coming under bearish attack. Immediately after the US CPI release, the Japanese Central Bank intervened in the FX market to support the yen. Fundamentally this was to be expected. Japan's central bank is not trying very hard to preserve its national currency. In order to invest minimal effort, policymakers took advantage of the US CPI report. The CPI + Interventions tandem led to a 2.7% decline in the currency pair. But, traders are starting to buy back some of the decline. Ahead of PPI, the news could both amplify the fall and smear all the efforts of the BoJ. Technically, I don't think such actions will lead to anything global. The growth could continue. On W1 the nature of the market does not change, all interventions are gradually bought out and the currency pair will continue to update the highs. Resistance levels: 159.6, 160.2, 160.5 Support levels: 157.7 It is possible to buy out and test the imbalance zone before the subsequent decline. A favorable background may be the PPI report, but after the market calms down, traders may return to JPY sell-offs, which may lead to the continuation of USDJPY growth. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
GOLD → 2387 is key resistance, but ahead of CPI...FX:XAUUSD continues to maintain a bullish market structure, gradually pushing up to strong resistance with a breakout target. The US dollar is declining amid dovish US Fed assumptions.... All eyes remain on the US CPI report Powell's caution on weakening labor market conditions suggested that a September rate cut is likely just around the corner, which once again brought down the US dollar along with US Treasury yields. Softer US annual CPI data or a surprise decline in monthly inflation could confirm the September Fed rate cut and increase the chances of another rate cut in December. And vice versa... Technically, buyers are pushing up to 2387. A break of resistance will open the way to 2400-2437. But, there could be a correction before that Resistance levels: 2387 Support levels: 2378, 2370 Favorable news can strengthen the movement, in which case the resistance breakout is not to be missed. But, unexpected data may shake the market, the dollar may continue its strengthening phase and in this case gold will head towards 2350. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with gold ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
29
Bitcoin: Exploring Long-Term and Short-Term Scenarios📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on Bitcoin in the 1D time frame to examine both long-term and short-term scenarios. 🔍 Daily Time Frame Analysis Bitcoin has experienced a decline after breaking the support at 60303, producing a large, high-volume candle and also breaking the 58429 level. However, it has not yet managed to stabilize below this area and is currently in a resting phase. ⌛️ Recent Market Behavior Not much time has passed since the last analysis, and as predicted, after the selloff candle, the market entered a ranging phase with reduced volatility. This has indeed occurred, with volume decreasing during the ranging market. The long upper shadows on recent candles indicate that sellers have the upper hand and bearish momentum is present. 🧲 SMA25 Analysis The SMA25 indicator had moved away from the candles, contributing to the market's ranging and pullback behavior. One of the properties of moving averages is that they attract the price towards themselves like a black hole, or the price ranges until the moving average reaches it. As the SMA25 approaches the candles, we can expect new bearish momentum to enter the market. If the price stabilizes above this moving average, the trend could potentially become bullish again. Confirmation of this breakout would be with a candle stabilizing above 60303. 📊 Volume Analysis The volume is strongly confirming the trend. During declines, the volume increases, and during upward corrections, the volume decreases. This indicates that the volume is converging with the Medium Wave Cycle (MWC) trend and could also influence the High Wave Cycle (HWC) trend. 📈 Bullish Confirmation Relying solely on SMA for bullish confirmation is not very reliable due to its high error rate. From a price action perspective, if we want to confirm a bullish market, we can expect the price to move upwards with stabilization above the 63018 area. The target for this move could be the next resistance at 71607. Breaking 45.39 in the RSI can also confirm this upward breakout. 📉 Bearish Scenarios In case of further market decline, there is a significant support around the 55k area, which is more visible in the 4-hour time frame and coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci level. If this area is broken, we can expect the price to move at least to the 0.618 area, which is a logical target from a price action perspective and lies between 50k and 53k. This is a very important area that can prevent further price decline. The last support is at 46969, and if the price stabilizes below this support, the HWC trend in Bitcoin will change from bullish to bearish. 🛒 Buying Strategy in Spot For buying Bitcoin in the spot market, it is better to wait until buying volume enters the market and the price stabilizes above 63471. This assumes the price moves upwards without creating a ranging box for buying. If the price ranges in the current area, we can buy upon breaking the range ceiling. If the price starts to decline, we can buy spot with confirmation from candles in the 50k or 46k areas. Be sure to manage your capital and set stop-losses to limit potential losses if the market declines further. 🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Short
by itsparham96
EURUSD → The morning gap is bought out. The bulls are aggressiveFX:EURUSD opens with a gap down, but buyers are actively buying back the move. The nature of the market is bullish, but at the same time consolidation, as there is strong resistance ahead. The fundamental background is favorable, there is no news today. Last week traders took well the fact of unemployment growth, within the framework of which active buying started. Technically, on H4 a bullish distribution is forming towards 1.085, from which, after the initial testing of the liquidity area, a correction may follow. But in general, I expect the continuation of growth (rebound from 1.0816 or breakdown of 1.085). Resistance levels: 1.0852, 1.091, 1.1 Support levels: 1.0816, 1.078 The nature of the market is changing and the bulls are actively holding key areas. The market is bullish and a breakout of the nearest resistance will favor the continuation of growth. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
AUDUSD → Price squeezes in front of resistance. A breakout?FX:AUDUSD is forming a strong consolidation on the chart as the price is squeezing to the resistance at 0.67. On the background of weakening DXY, buyers have chances to break the area. There is news ahead and at the moment traders are preparing to break resistance. Favorable news may contribute to the breakout of the strong limit zone and the formation of a distribution towards 0.684. Technically, the chances are high (strong bullish pattern) Traders are waiting for: ADP, Initial Jobless Claims, SP PMI, ISM, FOMC. Quite a busy news day, against which high volatility is expected. After Powell's words yesterday, the situation is neutral, but the dollar is going into correction. Everyone is waiting for the data on the labor market, on which the further situation will depend. Resistance levels: 0.67 Support levels: 0.665, 0.662, 0.6586 Technically, the situation is bullish, the emphasis is towards the resistance breakout. Further everything will depend on the fundamental background. A favorable background for AUD will increase purchases, but a negative background may cause a correction. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
BTC-USD | 4H | SHORT | TECHNICAL CHARTHello traders, there are very few successful people in this business. Please do not believe or trust every trader and chart that comes your way. I have set my target on the chart. Those of you who know me know that my targets will always reach their target. Drawings are very important in this business. If you make the right drawings, you will reach your goals. Dear friends, I think there will be purchases from the BTC fibonacci 0.618 level. But if you want to receive continuous updates under this post, there must be at least 50 likes. Thank you to all the traders who support me by like. I wish you a happy trade. Regards, Love.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by TraderTilki
4
Copper Constructive but Struggles for BreakthroughFollowing a sharp pullback from May’s record peak, Copper made a strong start to the third quarter, returning above the EMA200 (black line) and regaining the initiative. It tries to take out the 38.2% Fibonacci of that decline that will allow it to push towards 5.000-5.041 handle and eventually challenge the all-time highs (5.200). The fundamentals remain favorable, as key miners have lowered their activity, while the AI boom and the clean energy transition drive demand for the non-ferrous metal. On the other hand, there are risks to the upbeat supply-demand outlook, like China’s bympy recovery and distressed property sector, along with a slowdown in EV adoption and other factors. Furthermore, Copper struggles to break above the pivotal 38.2% Fibonacci and failure would create scope for lower lows (4.323) but the downside appears well protected and sustained weakness past it looks hard, technically and fundamentally. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:COPPERLong
by FXCM
1
ETH/USDT 4h interval chart Hello everyone, I invite you to a quick review of the ETH to USDT chart for the 4H period. As we can see, the price is approaching leaving the local triangle, which indicates a possible direction for further movement. When the price starts to reverse, support levels are visible at $3,088, then support levels are visible at $3,048, and support levels are at $2,986, $2,942, and $2,885. However, when the price moves up again, it must overcome the resistance at $3,166 to continue towards the strong resistance at $3,264. Looking at the RSI indicator, we can see that we have entered the upper part of the range, but there is still room for the price to go up.
by cryptodailyuk
STX Daily Analysis: Anticipating a Breakout📅 Let's dive into today's analysis in the crypto market. Today's coin is STX, one of the coins that gave significant returns during Bitcoin's surge from 16k to 73k. We won't analyze Bitcoin today since I will provide a complete analysis of Bitcoin tomorrow. 🔍 Analysis of STX Project Overview STX is a layer-2 solution for Bitcoin, similar to other layer-2 solutions, it increases network speed and reduces transaction fees. Additionally, STX provides infrastructure on the Bitcoin network for building decentralized applications (DAPPs). Many well-known DAPP projects use this platform and protocol for their infrastructure. 🎲 Chart Analysis The analysis is conducted in the daily time frame. As you can see, STX had a powerful upward trend and, after reaching the resistance of 3.686 and concurrently with Bitcoin reaching its peak of 73k, it started to retrace. This retracement has been marked by a curved trendline and a trendline from the price bottom, leading the price down to the 1.316 area. 🧩 Key Support Level The support level at 1.316 is quite strong. It is significant not only from a price action perspective but also because it coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci level, adding to its importance. 📊 Volume Analysis During the last upward wave from 1.316 to 3.686, the volume of green candles began to decrease, indicating a weakening trend that was visible on the chart. After this, and during the correction phase down to 1.316, the volume continued to decrease, suggesting that traders did not engage in buying within the range of 1.316 to 3.686. This indicates that the resistance at 3.686 is not very strong, and the price is likely to test this area again. 🧲 Trendlines and Breakout Scenarios The trendlines that have brought the price down from 3.686 to 1.316 are nearing their end. The price will soon break either the upper or lower trendline. If the curved trendline is broken and its trigger is activated, the price could rise back to the 3.686 peak with a significant influx of buying volume. Conversely, if the trendline from the price bottom is broken, there are two potential scenarios: If selling volume enters the market and Bitcoin loses its 55k support, we can expect a strong bearish momentum. Breaking the 33.44 support on the RSI can confirm this momentum entering the market. If the trendline is broken but Bitcoin maintains its support and selling volume does not enter the market, we might see the bearish trend exhaust, and the price could move back above the 1.316 support level. 💥 Bitcoin's Influence The reason Bitcoin's support and resistance are crucial for this coin's movement is that STX is a layer-2 solution for Bitcoin. Layer-2 projects generally have a high correlation with their primary projects. Additionally, with Bitcoin's dominance at 54%, Bitcoin naturally influences all altcoins, especially one that serves as a layer-2 solution for Bitcoin. 🛒 Buying Strategy in Spot The safest trigger for buying this coin in the spot market is 3.686, which is the all-time high (ATH) for this coin. If the price stabilizes above this level, it could move towards new targets. However, this trigger is 130% away from the current market price, which is quite a distance. Until the price reaches 3.686, there are other triggers that, upon stabilizing above these levels, the price could move upwards. Naturally, these triggers are riskier than 3.686, and the probability of hitting a stop loss is higher. The first trigger is 1.801, which is the peak of the Low Wave Cycle (LWC). Since the price is in a High Wave Cycle (HWC) uptrend, you can consider entering in the LWC. The next trigger for buying is 2.422, which is the MWC resistance. After breaking and stabilizing above this area, we can move towards the 3.686 peak. 📝 Conclusion STX, a layer-2 solution for Bitcoin, is currently at a critical support level of 1.316, which is significant both in price action and Fibonacci terms. With decreasing volume indicating a potential test of the 3.686 resistance level again, traders should watch for key breakouts and Bitcoin's influence on the market. Considering the triggers and support levels mentioned, strategic entries can be made with proper risk management. 🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Long
by itsparham96
1
GOLD → An intermediate bottom of 2350 is forming. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is testing 2350, gathering liquidity below this zone. Bulls are actively holding the defense above the key area and the overall picture looks promising.... BUT! Powell's speech continues today ahead of CPI and PPI. Things are heating up, the slightest hint of an unpredictable outcome could shake the market. For now, there are some positive signs after Powell's words: - Keeping rates high for too long could jeopardize growth in the U.S. economy - A rate hike is unlikely to be the next step - The Fed has made significant progress in bringing inflation down to the 2% target, recent monthly numbers show modest further progress - Fed needs more favorable inflation data to cut rates Overall, traders are not getting enough of this, the market is in consolidation and no one is in a hurry to take premature action yet. We are waiting for today's comments of the Fed chief. Technically, gold is showing bullish dynamics after the bulls did not let the price go beyond 2350. The price is consolidating above the key level of 2365 and testing the area of interest and liquidity of 2375-2380. A breakout and consolidation of the price above this area may further strengthen the price, as the promising target, at the moment, is 2387 - 23400. Resistance levels: 2373, 2380 Support levels: 2365, 2355, 2350 A bounce to the downside before further growth is possible, but price consolidation above the key zones could form an interim bottom for the bulls. All emphasis on Powell's comments..... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with gold ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8
GOLD → The fight for 2365. Can we get to 2400? FX:XAUUSD is trading within an ascending channel, but traders are actively selling off all of Friday's growth. The key roll is played by the resistance 2365, at the moment bears are holding the market. The dollar stops falling amid expected comments from Powell, as well as CPI and PPI to be released on Thursday and Friday. The fundamental background is neutral at the moment, Against this background gold is getting under correction and testing the liquidity area of 2350. Now all the focus is on 2365, relative to which a false breakout has been formed. IF: sellers will hold 2365 and will not let the price above this level, we should expect a decline to 2350, 2341 and further it is worth watching the situation, because in this case the price can reach 2325. If the buyers continue to be active and can form a consolidation above 2365, it will open a channel, the upper boundary of which will be 2387 and we can go up to it. Resistance levels: 2365, 2387 Support levels: 2358, 2350, 2341 Two scenarios, as the situation is complicated due to the unstable fundamental background and the struggle between the participants in the key zone that divides the plane into bearish and bullish. I would prioritize a small bounce from 2365, resistance retest, breakout and bullish momentum to 2375-2385. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21
Gold sellGold could possibly be a sell setup as in previous days gold has shown us good opertunity of shoring the pair it has given a high voulme marked candle lastly if price Breaks that candles high and sustains over it we will put our buy orders if price shows us some bearish gesture as in current candle anyone can imagine a long entry but it will be too early to decide as market is in decisive phase and as early as we can get a bullish or Bearish signal we will be having a ride over
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Wakeel_Saab
USDCAD 1D Analysis: Anticipating a Breakout📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. We'll be focusing on the USDCAD pair in the 1D time frame. ⌛️ Long-term Range Box In the 1D time frame, we observe a large, long-term range box that spans 664 days. This box has experienced a complete High Wave Cycle (HWC) range, which is confirmed by the flat SMA99, indicating minimal slope and nearly flat movement over a long period. ♟ Key Levels Range Box Bottom: 1.31434 Range Box Top: 1.38725 Breaking either of these lines will likely initiate a new trend for the HWC. Medium Wave Cycle (MWC) Support: 1.35973 MWC Resistance: 1.37805 🪤 Momentum Indicators As discussed in yesterday’s analysis, momentum oscillators like RSI are less effective in range-bound markets. In this case, although the RSI broke the 43.14 support, the market did not gain bearish momentum because of the ranging condition. This exemplifies why RSI should not be heavily relied upon in such scenarios. 📉 Bearish Scenario If a candle closes below the 1.35973 area, we can expect the price to move towards the bottom of the range box at 1.31434. This support is crucial and could push the price back to the top of the range. 📈 Bullish Scenario Conversely, if the price breaks above 1.37805, it may move towards the top of the box at 1.38725. However, this move is less likely due to the weakness observed in the green candles, indicating weaker buyer strength. 🔍 Candle Analysis Examining the candles shows that reaching the top of the range box takes significant time, with small green candles. Conversely, reaching the bottom of the box from the top happens quickly with strong red candles. Given the weak green candles in the latest upward move that didn't even reach the top of the box, the likelihood of a downward breakout is higher. 🎯 Target Levels In case of a downward breakout, switching to the weekly time frame helps identify important levels: First Target: 1.30183 (0.5 Fibonacci level) Second Target: 1.27624 Third Target: 1.22926 (a very significant support for this pair) 📝 Conclusion The USDCAD pair is currently trading within a long-term range, showing weak buyer momentum and stronger bearish tendencies. A breakout from this range, particularly to the downside, seems more probable given the current market conditions. Traders should watch key levels closely for confirmation and be ready to act accordingly once a breakout occurs. 🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a pair you'd like me to analyze next.
Short
by itsparham96
1
Bitcoin - 42k soon! (Fibonacci channel, roadmap)Why am I bearish on BTC? With all the crypto regulations around the world and, recently, banning stable coins in Europe + high transaction fees - crypto is losing its popularity, and people are starting to hate crypto. Which means no one wants to use it, and where there is no use, there is no money. Maybe crypto is not as good a technology as presented by banks. Crypto has been a huge disappointment for all investors in recent years. Ask yourself a question: Are you happy with your crypto holdings or not? Wasn't it better to put your money into NVIDIA? Nvidia made 10x in only a 2-year period. And this is a big stock, not a penny stock. Bitcoin hit an all-time high in March and failed to continue the price discovery. Bitcoin was not strong enough to continue in the bull market, and instead, we saw a liquidity sweep, and it is currently experiencing a 27% crash from its peak. Bitcoin failed to sustain the black ascending channel (that you can see on the chart). What we want to see is a breakout above an ascending channel, then a retest of it, and then a continuation of the bull run. In Bitcoin's case, we did have a retest of the black channel in April, but recently the price went back to the channel, which is a strong sign of weakness. We have completed the Elliott wave impulse wave (12345). Waves 2 and 4 have both around 20% retracement. Bitcoin is definitely heading towards the 42k level. Why is this level so important? We need to take a look at the chart and draw a Fibonacci parallel channel. Always use significant points to draw it, such as the major swing high or peak of a bull market. In our case, we use the most important points: bull market peak (2021), bear market bottom (2022), and bull market peak (2024). We have a very nice-looking Fibonacci channel, and now we need to look for important levels. I always recommend using 0.618, 0.5, and 0.382. We also have 0.764 and 0.236, but these levels in general have a lower success bounce rate. 0.5 is not a Fibonacci number, but it's the middle of the ascending channel, which is logically a very strong dynamic level. The first major support is at 0.382 (around 42k) because we also have a POC (point of control) of the volume profile. Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Xanrox
118