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Fibonacci Retracement

EUR/USD Update: Short Position Addition OpportunityDescription: Looking to add to my short position on EUR/USD at 1.0772 with a take profit target set at 1.0664. This trade aligns with my bearish outlook on the pair, with the TP level strategically placed just below the monthly open. Stop loss set at 1.0801. Trade Details: Entry: Short at 1.0772 Take Profit: 1.0664 Stop Loss: 1.0801 Analysis: The EUR/USD pair has been exhibiting weakness in recent sessions, with bearish momentum potentially continuing. Fundamental factors such as economic data releases and geopolitical tensions are contributing to the downside pressure on the Euro. Additionally, technical analysis suggests that the pair is facing resistance at key levels, further supporting the bearish bias. Moreover, I anticipate the European Central Bank (ECB) to cut interest rates in their June meeting to stimulate the Eurozone economy, while the United States Federal Reserve might adopt a more hawkish stance later in the year, possibly considering interest rate hikes in response to strong economic indicators and inflationary pressures.
Short
by mackmackeyy
GOLD → How can the price react to the NEWS on inflation?FX:XAUUSD earlier returned to the range after a false breakdown of resistance. The market is now fading as it is in the waiting phase for Powell's speech as well as the rest of the inflation news. Traders are waiting for PPI ( ECONOMICS:USPPIMM ) today as well as tomorrow's CPI ( ECONOMICS:USIRYY ) . Earlier, the market discussed the interest rate cut as well as inflation, which continues to remain at a rather high level, which does not please the Fed. Traders are expecting inflation to drop from 3.5 to 3.4. This is possible, but it is still very high relative to what Powell, who will also speak today, is expecting. Gold may react strongly to the news as economic factors are unpredictable. It will be necessary to follow the actual data and not to trade before the news. Resistance levels: 2352, 2363, 2378 Support levels: 2328, 2306, 2295 Fundamentally it is still very bad, inflation is high, rate cuts are not expected, in general this scenario lays further strengthening of the dollar. In such a case, gold may continue to correct to the lows. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
13
EURUSD → Retest of downtrend resistance amid weak $FX:EURUSD is heading towards trend resistance with interest. This is also supported by the weak dollar, which is standing still. But, the currency pair is still in a bearish trend Buyers are trying to strengthen the euro. On D1 a consolidation format of movement is formed. In this case, the pair may test the trend resistance, but it will be difficult to break it the first time, because the dollar will continue to rise in price for some time due to the actions of regulators, which will affect the euro. Resistance levels: 1.0802, 1.0864 Support levels: 1.0736, 1.0703 At the moment there is a probability of a retest of the resistance area, but the bears can give strong resistance to the buyers' interests, which in general can be reflected as a pullback from the upper boundary of the trend. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
9
📈Strategic Insights on DYDX Movements🔔🔍Yesterday, Bitcoin was rejected at the 63,200 resistance level and remains within its trading box, potentially heading towards the bottom. As Bitcoin dominance continues to rise, altcoins have suffered more, with many breaking through their support levels and continuing to decline. One such altcoin is DYDX, a DeFi token that allows users to open long or short futures positions with leverage in a decentralized environment. This appeals to those concerned about the security of their assets and who do not trust centralized exchanges. ⏳Previously, I provided a spot market analysis for DYDX. Since then, the stop-loss has been triggered, and the trade ended in a loss. However, as emphasized repeatedly, proper risk management should minimize your losses. At worst, you should only be down 0.5-1% of your capital, which should be manageable given the risk coverage from other recommendations (such as TON). With this in mind, let's analyze DYDX in the 4-hour timeframe and identify trading triggers for futures positions. 📉The chart clearly shows a downtrend, suggesting that short positions are more favorable. The trigger for a short position was at 1.951, which has now been activated. The price is likely to move towards the target of 1.794. Based on this, you can either enter a short position with the current candle or drop down to a 15-minute timeframe to find a more precise short trigger. ⚡️If you have an existing short position from higher levels, it is recommended to hold it until you observe a reversal candle or signs of trend weakness. The initial target is 1.794, but considering the move from the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, the price could potentially reach the 1 Fibonacci extension level at 1.529, which coincides with a significant support level. 📊Given the downtrend and increasing volume in red candles, along with the RSI losing support at 31.71, we could see a sharp bearish move in the coming hours. However, the market is unpredictable, and the trend could reverse, pushing the price back into the box. If this happens, it indicates strong buying pressure and could drive the price higher. 📈If the downtrend is invalidated and the price stabilizes above 2.032, it may be a signal to enter a long position, as this would indicate a fakeout of the bearish move and introduce bullish momentum. A more reliable long trigger would be at 2.433. Until the downtrend changes, any long positions should be taken with lower risk and closed quickly to lock in profits. 📝In summary, DYDX presents a clear short opportunity given the current downtrend and bearish indicators. The target for the short position is 1.794, with a potential extension to 1.529. If the market reverses and stabilizes above 2.032, a cautious long position may be warranted, with a more secure trigger at 2.433. Proper risk management and monitoring of market conditions are essential for successful trading in these volatile conditions. 🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
Short
by itsparham96
GOLD → Price moves back into range. Waiting for a test of 2328FX:XAUUSD returns to the range after a false breakdown of the liquidity zone. A strong sell-off phase is forming and price is heading towards a key support and liquidity area. On local timeframes, reversal patterns cause price to test downside resistance and confirm its presence. False breakout provokes sell-offs towards 2328, this area is key for traders. The market maker is interested in a retest of the liquidity zone, relative to which a false breakout and growth towards range resistance can take place. In general, the market is still neutral-negative in the local perspective, accordingly, it is acceptable to consider both buying and selling intraday. Resistance levels: 2352, 2378 Support levels: 2328, 2306 The correction will end only after breaking through the descending resistance (area 2365-2370), but at the moment the market is still in the correction phase, which is developing within the 4 wave. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
GOLD → The bulls are back, the market is recovering. Is it 2400?FX:XAUUSD is testing 2378. For two weeks traders fought for the 2300 area and the bulls won. Favorable fundamental background and technical prerequisites played into our hands. Earlier we discussed with you the formation of the correction and the formation of the bullish pattern "descending wedge". The breakout of the resistance of the wedge confirmed the end of the correction, after fixing the price above 2300 the market allowed us to get an impulse of almost 700 pips and test the area of 2378. At the moment the market is still bullish. The favorable fundamental and technical background, together with the fall of the dollar index continues to motivate buyers. After updating the local high of 2378, a stop and correction is formed. The price may reach 2350-2340 before continuing its way up. Resistance levels: 2378, 2400, 2417, 2431 Support levels: 2350, 2340, 2327, 2316 2350 plays an important role as it divides the chart into bullish and bearish area. A false breakout is possible, but in general we should watch the price reaction to the liquidity area. Also, the zone of 0.382 and 0.5 Fibo is important. The market is bullish and it is worth prioritizing long positions Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
NZDCAD | Short H4 | Market Exec | Pure Retracement PlayTechnical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 and H1 time-frame. D1 is also entering Overbought Conditions. - Price action is close to last month's Resistance Trendline - Price action is in a consolidation zone - Targeting the 61.8% Fibo retracement Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 0.8210 - 0.8230 SL @ 0.8244 TP 1 @ 0.8184 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 0.8151 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.04 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Short
by weekendanalyst
ATOM/USDT 4HInterval Chart ReviewI invite you to review the chart of ATOM in pair to USDT, on a four-hour interval. Let's start by identifying the upward trend channel in which the price is approaching the lower border using the blue lines. After unfolding the trend based fib extension net and using the fib retracement net, we can determine the support at the level of $8.28, then support is visible at the price of $7.91, and then we have a strong support zone from $7.72 - $7.24 $. Looking the other way, you can see the first resistance at $9.19, then significant resistance at the upper border of the channel at $9.63, the next resistance at $9.93 and the next resistance at $10.35. When we look at the RSi and STOCH indicators, we will see a move below the downtrend line, now we need to wait for the move to break above this line.
by cryptodailyuk
Will Solana stay on current support?Hello everyone, let's look at the 4H SOL to USDT chart, as we can see the price is staying in the sideways trend channel marked with blue lines. Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can include: T1 = $145.9 was rejected T2 = strong zone that effectively reverses the price from $153-$163 AND T3 = $189 Now let's move on to the stop loss in case of further market declines: SL1 = $143.4 SL2 = $133.56 SL3 = $126.48 AND SL4 = $117.53 Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see that we are moving around the middle of the range, which gives a possible move in both directions, but the STOCH indicator is moving at the lower border, which should result in an upward price rebound if the price stays at the current support.
by cryptodailyuk
1
LINK/USDT 4H ChartHello everyone, let's take a look at the LINK to USDT chart on a 4-hour time frame. As you can see, the price is moving above the local uptrend line. Let's start by determining support and, as you can see, first we have a support zone from $13.77 to $12.90, then we have visible support at $12.34 and then the third support at $11.55. Now let's move on to the resistance lines, as you can see the first resistance is at $13.98, if you manage to break it, the next resistance will be at $15.02, $15.71 and the fourth resistance at $16.67. The RSI indicator and the STOCH indicator are approaching the lower limit, which may slow down the current correction, which will keep the price in the support zone.
by cryptodailyuk
MATIC/USDT 4H Chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 4H MATIC to USDT chart as we can see that the price is staying on a lopsided uptrend line. Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can include: T1 = $0.73 T2 = $0.76 T3 = $0.79 AND T4 = $0.82 Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case of further market declines: SL1 = $0.67 SL2 = $0.64 AND SL3 = $0.56 When we look at the RSI and STOCH indicators, we can see that the indicators are low and we additionally rely on the trend line, which may affect the price maintenance.
M
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD → Consolidation continues. Support retest before growth FX:XAUUSD continues to consolidate, the market is uncertain, there are reasons for both long and short positions, but everything will be determined only by the exit of the price from the specified range. The current situation is as follows: the price earlier broke the resistance of the wedge, which in general can be perceived as a hint of the end of the correction. But, a rebound from the strong resistance of 2328 is being formed. The price continues to trade within the consolidation and at the moment the whole emphasis is on the support retest. Whether it will be a breakout or a false breakout will only show the market reaction, but against the background of the general trend and potential there is a high probability to see a rebound and growth to 2328. Resistance levels: 2328 Support levels: 2300 The situation is stalemate and it is impossible to determine the movement in advance, it is worth watching the market reaction to certain key zones. Since the price is still inside the range, it is worth considering trading inside it Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
Potential Bearish Momentum on FRONTUSDT.PTrading Analysis Report: This trading analysis report provides insights into the recent price action of FRONTUSDT.P, focusing on key technical indicators and patterns observed on the 15-min timeframe. Following the bounce from the EMA 200-day (Wed 08 May), the asset surged by an impressive 53%, marked by a series of 5 red candles out of 34 candles in 8h 30m. However, the inability to breach previous peaks signaled weakness. On May 24th at 4:00 am, where a big red candle cross both the 50 EMA and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This event suggests a potential shift. The technical analysis indicates the possibility of a decline, estimated at approximately -23.73%, with a potential downside target around the 1.20 level. The price still on top of 200 EMA so just be aware of that. PHEMEX:FRONTUSDT.P May 9, 2024, 6:30am
FShort
by x4fcqmrdz5
AUDUSD Exposed to Pivotal Support in the RBA AftermathThe Reserve Bank of Australia raised its 2024 inflation forecast on Tuesday and appeared more concerned around achieving its 2-3% target. Despite considering the case for a hike, policymakers decided to hold rates at 4.35% for fourth straight meeting. The Aussie reacted lower, as markets likely expected a more hawkish language from the RBA, given the upgraded CPI projections. At the same time, inflation persistence in the US has turned the Fed cautious towards lowering rates, pedaling the higher-for-longer narrative. Markets have pushed back the timing of such moves to beyond summer and price in just 25-50 bps worth of cuts this year. AUDUSD is now exposed to the critical confluence of supports, provided by the EMA200 and the 38.2% Fibonacci of the April low/May high advance. Daily closes below it would shift immediate bias to the downside and open the door to further losses towards 0.6464. However, the policy differential is unlikely to fuel sustained weakness and if anything, it could become supportive. The Fed is still projected to cut this year, whereas markets have priced out such moves by the RBA for around a year more and Governor Bullock did not rule out hikes. Above the EMA200 and the 38.2% Fibonacci, bulls are in control with the ability to set higher highs. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Long
by FXCM
Will BNB maintain current resistance?Hello everyone, let's look at the 4H BNB to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a sideways trend channel, staying below the local downtrend line. Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can include: T1 = USD 579.2 at which the price struggles T2 = $605.9 T3 = $623.6 AND T4 = $648.3 Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case of further market declines: SL1 = $570.1 SL2 = $539.4 SL3 = $518.2 AND SL4 = $491.50 Looking at the RSI indicator, we can see that there is still room for price movement down, but when we look at the STOCH indicator, we can see that it has returned to the lower border of the channel, which may slow down the price decline.
by cryptodailyuk
Will BTC break through the resistance?Hello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC to USDT chart, as we can see the price is moving in a downtrend channel, where we are currently close to the middle of the channel where the price has encountered strong resistance. Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include: T1 = $64,088 T2 = $66,151 T3 = $69,473 T4 = $72,895 AND T5 = USD 76,015 Now let's move on to the stop loss in case of further market declines: SL1 = $58,351 SL2 = $54,678 SL3 = $51,709 AND SL4 = $48,237 The RSI indicator shows an upside from the first downward trend line, and there is still some space left to the second line, while the STOCH indicator remains near the middle of the range, also above the downward trend line, which may push the price higher.
by cryptodailyuk
EURUSD → How will NFP affect the pair? Down to 1.0600?FX:EURUSD is facing strong support at 1.0600. A rebound and counter-trend correction within the downtrend is forming. Traders are waiting for Friday's NFP Globally, the currency pair is in a bear market phase. There is a strong struggle for the 1.0700 area, especially ahead of Non Farm Payrolls, which may determine the medium-term outlook. Traders expect the NFP to be lowered to 238K, compared to the previous 303K. On the background of high news volatility, the price may test the liquidity zones above the price before continuing to fall, as the general background for the currency pair is still negative. Resistance levels: 1.07365, 1.0800, 1.08643 Support levels: 1.0703, 1.0606 Based on the general data there is a probability to see a positive NFP for the dollar, which in general will continue to have a negative impact on the currency pair. But the problem with economic news is still that it is high uncertainty. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3