BTCUSD | MT Long H4 | Continuing The Run-Up?Pair: HTX:BTCUSDT
Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT)
Direction: Long
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on D1 and H1 time-frames
- Price action may face resistances from being at the bottom of a parallel channel, there is a support trendline going through and there is a demand zone area as shown with the horizontal trendline
- Price is close to 32.8% Fib retracement Level
- Targeting to trade this position between the Supply-Demand zones as shown with the Horizontal Trendlines
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Market stabilization from geopolitcal risks and US's strong economic data is happening and may bring back risk appetite
- Fiscal dominance concern on the USD may see people try to buy BTC as a store of value (IMO, still not a store of value but as long as the market feels so, I'll go with it first)
- Further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension may bring on risk-off moves and see the BTC fall
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 61,500 - 63,500
SL @ 59,843
TP 1 @ 62,648 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 68,838
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.20 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Fibonacci Retracement
LTC/USDT 1DInterval ChartHello everyone, let's take a look at the LTC to USDT chart on a one-day time frame. As you can see, the price had a dynamic decline and a temporary descent below the upward trend line, but has now returned to the trend line level.
Let's start by determining the support line and as you can see, the price dropped and quickly returned to support around the level of $77.74, then there is an important support level at $68, and then a very strong support level at $56.
Looking the other way, you can see how strong the resistance level is again at $92.5, which may stop the price from rising again to the resistance zone from $102.5 to $115.
Looking at the RSI indicator, we can see how we remain in a downward trend and the confirmation of a return to the downward trend, while the STOCH indicator bounced off the lower end of the range with room to give a greater increase in the current price rebound.
MSFT’s Momentum Weakening: Where’re the defending levels?
Trend
- On the weekly chart: Still within the large uptrend channel since January 2023.
- On the daily chart: The minor uptrend channel since October 2023 was broken with moderate volume.
- Although the long-term uptrend remains intact, the short-term momentum may be pausing.
100% Symmetrical Projection: Uptrend “N” Patterns
- There are two price projection models, both leading to the same ultimate target price of $457.
The large purple N, starting from January 2023.
The small orange N, starting from October 2023.
- Symmetry break : If the price drops below the prior low at $400, the symmetry (the pullback) is violated. Following that, with increased uncertainties, anticipating the price action will become challenging.
- If the momentum is strong, we could expect a clear price movement toward the target price once it surpasses the symmetrical retracement box at $421. However, the price is currently hovering around $421, indicating weakening momentum.
N Pattern’s Target Price & Fibonacci Price Cluster
- Both N patterns are an A+ setup .
Retrace 0.382 of the prior swing and then continue to rise.
- The level of 1.618 Fibonacci projection of the prior swing is the N’s target price.
- The level of 2.618 Fibonacci extension of the retracement is the N’s target price.
- The price treats the key Fibonacci levels as significant support and resistance levels along the way up.
Conclusion
- Currently, the momentum is weakening, though not yet exhausted.
- Once the price breaks below $400, the short-term momentum will be exhausted, potentially leading to a trend reversal.
- In the long term, for MSFT to sustain the uptrend, the price should remain within the large uptrend channel and above the price level of $367.
**Not Financial Advice**
The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
ETH 1D LONGI invite you to review ETH on a one-day interval. Let's start with the current rebound, as you can see the price has dropped to the first buying zone, and when BTC stays above the $60,000 level, we may see prices rebound in the coming weeks. Next, we have a defined purchasing level 2, and then another very strong zone for price fairization, but I do not expect such large drops.
The green color shows the ranges of levels that I expect in the next months of the bull market.
GOLD → There's no limit to the bulls' activity. Support retest FX:XAUUSD is trading exclusively in a bull market. Quick and temporary reactions to the news are quickly exhausted and buyers regain the upper hand on the metal's price.
Yesterday the price made another retest of the support at 2330, which has the status of an intermediate bottom. This area held the price and after that the market returned to its true direction. On the background of activity of dynamic buyers the price tests 2390 and forms correction to the support. From 2365 the continuation of growth within the uptrend is also expected. Today from the news only the speech of the head of the Fed at 17:15 GMT.
Support levels: 2365, 2330
Resistance levels: 2390, 2400
Technically, a retest of the support is forming on the background of the uptrend. The 2365 area plays an important role, as the market earlier emphasized the presence of this area. A false breakdown before further growth is possible.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → CPI ahead. What should we prepare for?FX:EURUSD is testing 1.0864 for a breakout. The price is heading towards downtrend resistance. Unpredictable CPI ahead, but technically the currency pair could bounce back down.
All eyes are on the consumer price index today. Traders expect a strong decline in the CPI from 0.4% to 0.3%, which generally indicates the state of inflation and is a strong lever for the Fed when making interest rate decisions. Dollar index continue to decline amid news expectations, which makes the euro strengthen towards resistance. There is a high probability to see neutral-positive CPI data, which may support the trend of the currency pair.
Resistance levels: 1.08643, channel resistance, 1.09374
Support levels: 1.08027, 1.07365
Technically, on the background of the news, the price may test the resistance of the downtrend and after capturing liquidity to continue the decline to the targets indicated on the chart.
Regards, R. Linda!
How far can the price of BTC go ?The chart shows the levels to which the BTC price may drop in the coming days/weeks.
Currently, we can see that the price is based on the support at the 0.382fib level at the price of $60,000. I further identified a strong support zone from $55,000 to $52,000, which is between 0.382fib and 0.618fib, taking into account two fib retracement grids and trend-based fib extension.
The third place is the second very strong zone from $43,487 to $38,591, located between the 0.618fib and 1fib levels of the previously mentioned fib grids.
When we look at the RSI indicator, we will see a break at the bottom from the trend line, under which there is room to continue the downward trend. However, the STOCH indicator shows a descent below the lower limit, which previously resulted in a change of movement path, which in this case may return the price to the upward trend.
Currently, the correction level reaches 18%, which is a relatively small decrease compared to the earlier stages of the growth market. However, here I do not expect a descent below the first support zone, at which the correction would be around 30%.
RIVN reverses to upside LONGIn my previous idea, RIVN was short from the highs. That position was closed today as RIVN
fell below the target. I now based on this idea have a long position. RIVN's move the second
half of today's session was supported by a strong bullish move in the general market from the
federal financial data principally the jobs report.
On the 15-minute chart, RIVN formed a head and shoulders from January 29-31. The previous
trade was from the top of the right shoulder until this morning when RIVN was progressing
through a double bottom which intraday formed a " W" or " reverse cowgirl " pattern.
The bearish ( selling only ) volume profile shows high-volume nodes at 15.8 and 16.0 so
these are my targets. Price is above the POC line of the volume profile which is a bullish bias.
Price is currently near to the level of a standard Fibonacci retracement of the previous
downtrend I will take a long trade with targets as mentioned. The ideal entry is at 15.62
above a bearish high-volume node.
Additionally, I will take a call option striking 16 for February 9th.
As an aside, FSR is presenting a similar chart pattern and set up at a much lower price point .
However, as a penny stock FSR has higher volatilities and may represent a lower probability
overall. A trader may want to take a small position in each and see how they do.
GOLD → The price is not falling on the US news. Target 2450?FX:XAUUSD is showing strength as a hedge asset. The price continues to indicate to us that it intends to go even higher. The market is cleaned up after the shakeout and the big player continues to play his game.
(Idea from Apr.16: GOLD → There's no limit to the bulls' activity. Support retest)
Bulls form another intermediate bottom at 2365, building a limit support area. The price bounces and strengthens almost to 2400. Gold shows itself as a safe asset and finds interest from investors.
On H1, the price breaks local resistance and heads towards 2400. At the moment, the market's target is to break 2400 and reach the liquidity area of 2431.
Resistance levels: 2431, 2400
Support levels: 2371, MA-50, 2365
Technically, this is a strong bull market. It is worth looking for strong support areas to buy or strong resistance areas to trade on a breakout. Potential target is 2400, 2430, 2450.
Regards R. Linda!
Wave STructure Analysis | GBP/USD M15The rally that happened in the Cable due to the news has seen a follow-through that created the Bullish MH3 (Green Wave). This trend however has been weakened by the pullback of Structure 4. This price has traded below the prior Structure 2. Having said that, the price is still firmly trading in the Buy Zone of the Fibonacci measured from the low to the high of 3.
The high probability direction is still bullish based on the current setup. Below 2DL we will stand aside, which also corresponds to the 0.618% retracement of the current bullish wave.
Target 1: 1.2500
Target 2: 1.2529
Stop Loss: 1.2430
NKLA can move higher from a support level LONGNKLA had news this week with the litigation over the Badger brand. The news is over and the
real trend is hydrogen stations in California and perhaps Western Canada impacting the
buildout of infrastructure with the help of Biden administration handouts. NKLA has corrected
and fallen into the support of the Fib retracement. Zig and zag I look to enter a long trade
here and target the recent pivot high with an initial target of half way there as a retrace of
a retrace. This would be about 1.02 but I will round it down to 0.99 to be below the
psychological level. This is a risky penny stock trade. With FSR falling off the exchange,
NKLA is getting some extra trader interest which may help carry it higher. This is a 30 minute
chart and meant to be appropriate for intraday or short duration swing traders.
BNB/USDT 4HInterval ChartHello everyone, let's look at the 4H BNB to USDT chart, as we can see the price is approaching the lower border of the horizontal trend channel, which is located in the support zone from $517 to $486, while a break from the bottom of the channel and a drop below this zone can give a strong downward movement towards the support level of $396.
Looking the other way, if the declines were stopped, the price has several significant resistance levels. And here you can see the first resistance at $558, then the second one at $592, the third one at the last peak at $645, and then you can see the way towards $732.
Looking at the RSI indicator, there is still room for a greater recovery, while the STOCH indicator indicates that the lower limit has been exceeded and confirms the current price rebound.
GOLD BREAKS ASCENDING TRIANGLE OUTSometimes, you have to see the things from a different perspective, the chart of Gold against major currencies, writing this on the chart: "" TVC:GOLD/((FX_IDC:CHFUSD+FX_IDC:EURUSD+FX_IDC:GBPUSD)/3) "" you can observe that the price has successfully broken out from a long accumulation inside an ascending triangle and that it's about to break the all time high meanwhile if you look at the gold chart against dollar, there is a 4.5% remaining to reach the All time High.
I have been watching gold for a while and in my opinion it can be a good investment for the coming years and taking in to account the recent actions of the FED you can see what is the store of value number one. It always was and It always will be.
Just a small point, in December of 1913 the FED was created and one ounce of gold was worth 20.65$ now, today, more than 100 years later it is worth 1990$. You can see this in two ways, the gold went up a 9536.80% or the dollar went down a 98.96%. Imagine if you had keep your savings in dollars for all that time.
Now, going back to the idea, as you can see in the chart, the first target of the trade is 2229$ which is the height of the triangle and I think that can be easily reached within this year. About the entry, I would recommend wait for a retest of the breakout point, but taking in to account the current situation the chances of retest are not high so to enter now can be a good option.
I recommend to set a stop in 1595 because you can never be sure and the first is to preserve your capital, then grow it.
Basing my opinion in the Fibonacci Levels, I think that GOLD can easily reach 4085 in the coming years as level 1.618.
I hope that you found useful this idea, I will be happy to see your opinion in the comments and don't forget to give a boost if you agree.
🔥 Bitcoin's Biggest Cup & Handle Ever: Fibonacci Golden Pocket!In this analysis I want to discuss the possibility of Bitcoin forming massive cup and handle pattern, spanning over nearly 3 years.
With the halving coming up, Bitcoin's short-term price outlook has turned out sour. With this signal I want to prepare ourselves for the possibility of Bitcoin giving away all of 2024's gains and retesting the 40k-35k area.
My long-term price outlook is very bullish. It's a matter of time before BTC blasts through 100k.
By combining the cup and handle pattern with Fibonacci's golden pocket (0.65 to 0.618 retracement, purple area for sumplicity), I think we're combining two very strong narratives.
1) Bitcoin's bullish long-term outlook.
2) Bitcoin's short-term bearish outlook, fueled by the halving's potential sell-the-news event.
If BTC will somehow hit the 40k-35k area over the next few months, I think it will be an amazing time to step into the market for a move that takes us >100k.
Share your thoughts 🙏
ETH is in a loss phase againHello everyone, let's look at the 4H ETH to USDT chart, you can see how the price is moving in a downtrend channel, from which exiting at the bottom could result in a strong downward movement in the height of the channel itself.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can include:
T1 = $3,327
T2 = $3,622
T3 = $4,104
AND
T4 = $4863 LONG TERM
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case of further market declines:
SL1 = $2,903
SL2 = $2580
SL3 = $2166
AND
SL3 = $2166
Looking at the RSI and STOCH indicators, we can see that there is still room to continue the current recovery.
NGAS Upside Risk on Supply-Demand DynamicsNatural Gas prices have been dropping over the past four months due to progress on renewable energy and hot weather being among the drivers. However, market could become tighter this year, with slower supply growth and an acceleration in demand, while key US drillers have slashed their 2024 outlook. Further Middle East hostilities after the Iranian hit on Israel, could affect traffic and push prices higher.
On the technical front, the rejection of the EMA200 (black line) 23.6% Fibonacci of the 2024 high/low slump, make it vulnerable to new multi-year lows (1.523-13). Improving supply-demand dynamics though, can support a recovery towards the 38.2%, to what is a difficult technical path.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
GOLD → Profit-taking and another war. Opening with a GAP?FX:XAUUSD updates another high to 2431.4 and then begins to shed heavily amid profit taking by traders. The weekend also proved to be fundamentally important for the markets, which may react strongly.
Most of the nearly $100 drop is due to profit taking by traders as the price reaches psychological levels, but the drop to 2300-2350 allows to find new buyers at relatively cheap prices. From Saturday to Sunday the next and not unimportant armed conflict between Iran and Israel is developing, which in general can affect the prices of commodities and futures quite strongly.
On H1 the price is declining to the trend support and is testing the liquidity area of 2330-2350. In all likelihood, the market may open with a gap on Monday amid the crisis in the Middle East. The area below 2328 may still remain protected and play an important role in price formation.
Resistance levels: 2354, 2400, 2428
Support levels: 2328, 2303
Fundamentally everything is quite complicated and not stable, Gold still plays an important role as a hedge asset and interest in the metal is getting stronger, the growth from 2300-2350 is likely to continue
COMEX:GC1! TVC:DXY COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
ETC at the first support zoneHello everyone, let's look at the 4H ETC to USDT chart, as we can see, the price is staying in an uptrend channel, from which the attempt to break out from the bottom has been temporarily stopped.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can include:
T1 = $33
T2 = $40
AND
T3 = $50
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case of further market declines:
SL1 = $24 - $22.8
SL2 = $20
AND
SL3 = $15 - $13.50
Looking at the RSI indicators and the STOCH indicator, even though we are already quite low, which could indicate an upcoming rebound, we should be careful how BTC itself, which is followed by the entire market, will behave.
Alikze > FIL | Wave 3 or C continues bullishIn time D1 and W1, it is moving in an ascending channel. In continuation of the analysis of the previous post, where we examined the upward micro-waves of wave C, in this post, the long-term trend of the currency is placed in the 3rd big wave or C, in the long term. Pay attention to this wave, regardless of the fact that it will have small corrections in the low times, the target of $12.5 must touch 100% of the wave. It has completely broken the supply area of 6.25 and is currently in the supply area of its previous ceiling, which you can enter the upward trend until the target range of 1.28 and 12.5 dollars.
So I will try to provide the necessary updates for the post in the low times.
🟩Sup: 6.25 ~ 7.03
⛳️Tp 1:10.28
⛳️ Tp2 : 12.5
⛳️ Tp3 : 16.886 ~ 19.530
-----------------
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XRP | ST Long H1 | Chance to RallyPair: XRPUSDT
Timeframe: H1
Direction: Long
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastic momentum is neutral
- Price action supported by 100MA
- Price bounced off 61.8% Fib levels
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- XRP plans to launch US-denominated stablecoin to bridge the gap between Crypto & Fiat will help generate more uses & liquidity for the XRP Ledger blockchain
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.6030 - 0.6100
SL @ 0.5856
TP 1 @ 0.6225 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 0.6405
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 1.72 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
SPX local Top?With the MACD positive momentum waning, and the Stoch RSI crossing back under the Bullish control Zone i would look to the .236 fib retracement ( 4994) for the first target. The Bull Market Support Band will be closing in to the level in the future , may act as a magnet.
This idea is on a weekly time frame so it could take months to play out.
DOT in the first strong support zoneDOT includes a strong correction in the USDT pair, the current level reaches 43% and indicates a return to the first entry zone into a potential LONG, further a second zone has been defined for price averaging.
However, looking at the behavior of BTC, which may potentially make another attempt to reduce the price, one should exercise caution and common sense when opening new positions, because a return of the BTC price by another dozen or so percent may result in very strong declines in the price of altcoins.