GOLD → The calm before the storm. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating above 2645 and trying to test the strong resistance of 2664. Downside risks are quite high and it may happen after liquidity capture.
Gold has high risks due to yesterday's favorable data in the US. Hawkish expectations for the Fed, strong economic data put the dollar back on the northbound train. Markets priced in a 35% chance of a Fed interest rate cut this month.
Trump takes office on Jan. 20 and his proposed tariffs and protectionist policies are seen as inflationary, requiring higher interest rates and a stronger U.S. dollar. If risk aversion intensifies amid renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East or Trump's tariff threats, that could send gold higher
A symmetrical triangle is forming on D1, which confuses everyone - where will the price go? And all because the technical situation is neutral.
Resistance levels: 2664, 2674
Support levels: 2645, 2632.
False breakdown of resistance can provoke a fall to the strong support, the border of the triangle. Gold is growing reluctantly and slowly, as if something is in the way, and the risks and pressure are increasing.
BUT! If the price goes to 2664, it is important to watch the price reaction to this level: consolidation above the level may provoke further growth to 2674. Similarly with the support of 2645
Regards R. Linda!
Fibonacci Retracement
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GOLD → Price buyback, local bull characterFX:XAUUSD is in a narrow channel, in consolidation, which complicates intraday movement, but nevertheless traders have a chance for possible growth. There is a lot of important news ahead that may give traders a chance.
Despite the strong intraday movement in gold, we can say that the price is standing still in the range of 2600 - 2660. Quite a difficult place for the price due to the huge density of volumes, levels, tails... Traders are refraining from new directional bets ahead of the release of crucial data on ISM Services PMI and JOLTS job openings in the US.
After a strong fall the price was bought back and returned to resistance 2648 - 2650, most likely further struggle will be for this area. The falling dollar broke the support line, thus giving an advantage to gold.
Gold and the dollar are already starting to feel Trump's power and are reacting to his statements as quickly as they did during the last period of his presidency....
Resistance levels: 2649, 2664, 2674
Support levels: 2632, 2610
Until the price leaves the channel 2600 - 2665, most of the movements will not be very clean (nature of price movement inside consolidation). At the moment the emphasis is on 2649. If the bulls will keep the defense above this zone, then in the short term the price may show growth to the local maximum
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Consolidating before an important eventBINANCE:BTCUSD is consolidating between 99.5K and 91.8K as traders await action from politicians and Trump's inauguration as the main driver behind the rally.
Fundamentally, things are still good. Trump promised a lot of positive actions towards bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market in general, but at the moment the main issue is the inclusion of bitcoin on the balance of the federal reserve. But everything depends more on the realization of the promises, if the community does not get what they were promised, a correction may be triggered.
Technically bitcoin looks very strong. After a strong rally, there is no hint of a possible fall or deep correction, which means that someone is keeping the price in the specified range. Until important events, the price can still stand still, in the range between 100K and 90K.
As for altcoins, they are getting a chance as bitcoin dominance continues to decline after the trendline break. A capital move could spark a rally in strong altcoins in the near term.
Resistance levels: 99.5K, 102.5K, 103.5K
Support levels: 95K, 91.7K
Since the price is in neutral and trading between strong levels, I prioritize a false breakdown of resistance and correction inside the channel. Then further reaction may give hints. If there will be no fall and the price starts to consolidate in the resistance area, then we will have a chance to rise to 102-103K
Regards R. Linda!
What goals for ZEUS?Hi everyone, let's look at the 1D ZEUS to USDT chart, as we can see the price is moving in a local uptrend channel, where there is still potential for growth. However, here it is worth looking at the RSI indicator, which clearly indicates the crossing of the upper limit and the level at which the price usually reacted with a correction, which may indicate a potential change in the direction of the movement.
In such a situation, it is worth starting by setting a stop-loss in case the market decides to go into a downtrend:
SL1 = 0.904 USD
SL2 = 0.839 USD
SL3 = 0.733 USD
SL4 = 0.661 USD
SL5 = 0.571 USD
However, if the market decides to go further up in such a situation, we have clear goals for the near future, which the price must face:
T1 = 1.016 USD
T2 = 1.141 USD
T3 = 1.274 USD
T4 = 1.499 USD
BTC On Its Way To New ATH?!Nice recovery for Bitcoin!
It looks really good for an attempt to break the ATH I must say..
This is the 3D Chart.
We crossed back above and are bouncing off the light blue preliminary fib line on the DFR , this could be a leg up towards $120,000 but lets stay conservative and say $104,000 is our first target if we manage to break through $101,500.
The level to hold for bulls is $96,300. Everything in between is irrelevant and would suggest BTC going higher.
What are your thoughts? Is a new ATH near for Bitcoin?
GOLD → Pressure from the bears. Why are we falling?FX:XAUUSD does not react to strong support levels. The bulls, despite the positive background for them, could not keep the defense above the key structure. Weak structure on the D1 timeframe.
A complex structure is forming on the D1 indicating that the uptrend support is under pressure. That is, if this area is broken, there could be momentum in the market through capitulation. Fundamentally, the market is not reacting to the escalated situation in the middle east and eastern Europe, accepting what is happening at the moment. China has promised increased financial support for the economy and this could attract new capital into the gold market.
Markets are likely to trade cautiously as they prepare for a series of labor market data from the US later this week.
Resistance levels: 2637, 2648, 2664
Support levels: 2615, 2606, 2600
Technically, the price is inside the local ascending channel, but in the selling zone. Due to bearish pressure, the price may head down and test the 2600 area. But where to go from here? The reaction to the 2600 area after the retest will tell us.
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → Consolidation before continuing growthFX:USDJPY is consolidating after strong growth. A promising dollar and weak japanese central bank policy form a medium-term bullish potential in the currency pair
The currency pair returns almost all of the strong fall associated with last year's course of rate cuts in the U.S., rate hikes in Japan and interventions that were actively conducted by the Central Bank of Japan. What was the outcome of all the actions? It was all in vain. The price turned around and almost approached 162.0.
At the moment the emphasis is on consolidation, which has been forming for several weeks. We have clear boundaries, trend and strong levels to use in our trading.
Resistance levels: 158.1
Support levels: 156.74, 155.88
The trigger for me is the resistance at 158.1. A breakout and price consolidation above this level will be a confirmation that we are ready to move further towards ATH. I do not exclude the fact that now the price may not be let in and the currency pair will form a correction to the consolidation support before further growth
Regards R. Linda!
BIG BIG weekI think 7 FED speakers,
A lot of tension in the markets, tops mean polarisation, considering reflexivity theory extreme volatility will ensue.
A lot of people might think the -0.786 ATH we got before the holidays is the top. I think they are mistaken as seen in the analysis below.
There is still legroom for higher, this is a big bet on my part.
I have a few contracts on the mag7 (GOOGL, TSLA and META) focusing on GOOGL since they seem to be in the same headwind as S&P
Let's see how this plays out
GOLD → Retest of the level after its breakoutFX:XAUUSD inside the new flat is looking for strong support. The fundamental backdrop is complex and amid high risks, buyers are looking for a safe haven
Fundamentally, the situation is complex, the weakening of gold is influenced only by the hawkish stance of the Fed and the growth of the dollar. But the pressure for further growth is exerted by many other factors: the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. Trump's protectionist policies toward europe, asia. Geopolitical risks in the world.
Technically, the price is testing a strong support area after breaking through resistance.
Below is the key Fibo level of 0.5 - 0.7, which may play the role of the lower boundary from which the bulls will start an aggressive game.
Support levels: 2637, 2630, 2616
Resistance levels: 2649, 2665
In general, I am more inclined for a medium-term decline, but the local situation is quite tense and complicated.
If the bulls hold 2630 - 2640, the gold will continue to rise
If the bulls lose, the price will form a deeper correction with the possibility of further prolongation of the fall.
Regards R. Linda!
XRP/USD BULL FLAGS + FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT & EXTENSION XRP/USD Looks to be forming another Bull Flag. Last 2 Bull Flags (shown here with Green lines for the Flags and Blue lines as poles/pointers) ended in nice run-ups...
Fib Retrace on Daily shows price action pulled right back into the Golden Pocket after hitting most recent ATH. Met strong support at Golden Pocket as expected, so I'd expect it to remain bullish as long as it remains above $1.8.
To the upside, the Fib Extension shows Golden Pocket right at Prev ATH (obviously, since the retrace pulled back into Golden pocket on downside move), so this may be a strong resistance/rejection level, before XRP can breakthrough and run up to what I see as it's next important level - at $3.5.
What are your thoughts here?
XLM - 1hr Chart TA by GrokAI
Given the 1-hour chart of XLM/USD, here's an in-depth technical analysis:
Price Action & Trend Analysis:
Current Price: $0.449910 USD, showing a recent test of lower levels after a peak near $0.49.
Trend: The price has been in a downward trend but seems to be finding support around the $0.45 level. This could be a pivot point for either a bounce back or a breakdown.
Moving Averages:
200-period SMA (Simple Moving Average): The price is trading below this long-term average, indicating a bearish sentiment over a longer time frame.
50-period SMA: The price has also dipped below this shorter-term average, reinforcing the bearish outlook in the short term.
Volume:
The volume appears subdued, suggesting a lack of strong buying or selling pressure. This might indicate consolidation or a wait for a market catalyst.
Fibonacci Retracement:
The chart shows Fibonacci retracement levels from a recent swing low to high. Key levels to watch:
0.382 at $0.41841100: This could be a strong support level if the price continues to decline.
0.5 at $0.43855500: A test of this level could indicate further resistance or support, depending on price action.
Indicators:
Stochastic RSI: Positioned below 50, indicating a potential bearish phase or preparation for a bounce if it turns upwards.
MACD: While not visible in the provided image, typically, if the MACD line were below the signal line, it would suggest bearish momentum. Conversely, a crossover above the signal line would be bullish.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 45.57, it's neutral but shows a bearish divergence (price makes higher highs while RSI makes lower highs), which could precede a price drop if support doesn't hold.
Support and Resistance:
Support: Around $0.418 (0.382 Fib level). If broken, the next support could be lower, around previous lows or psychological levels.
Resistance: Near current price levels and above at $0.462 (0.5 Fib level).
Strategy:
For Sellers: Consider entering on a confirmed break below $0.418 with stops just above this level to manage risk.
For Buyers: Look for bullish signals or a clear reversal pattern forming near the $0.418 support, with stops below this level.
Market Sentiment:
Given the bearish signals from moving averages and RSI divergence, the market might be leaning towards further downside unless supported by volume increase or positive news.
Final Thoughts:
Always watch for volume spikes which could confirm the current trend or indicate a reversal.
Keep an eye on global crypto market sentiment, as XLM often correlates with broader market movements.
Use additional tools like trend lines, chart patterns, or other indicators for confirmation before making trading decisions.
This analysis provides a snapshot based on the given chart. Always combine technical analysis with fundamental analysis and risk management for the best trading outcomes.
BNB-USDT 4h chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 4H BNB to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has moved sideways from the uptrend line, and what's more, we can see how the price is staying on the local downtrend line.
Let's start, however, by defining the goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $714
T2 = $730
T3 = $743
T4 = $756
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $703
SL2 = $686
SL3 = $672
SL4 = $658
SL5 = $638
bitcoin hitting 99600 today BYBIT:BTCUSDT bitcoin is now on bull run (maybe a short bullrun) and it can go upto 99600 and if bitcoin able to sustain the bull run it can touch 100k in the next 6 hour.
the idea is 0.236 is the point where bitcoin boomed for like 3 to 5 hours after breaking the resistance at 0.236 level so this can happen again. (maybe happen again)
why im saying this? see iam also a noob trader, putting 100 dollars with 100X leverage. and just compared the Fibonacci retracement(the golden curve theory idk) so i got something crazy and if it works today. please hesitate to think that it will work everytime and following me will be worth it(clearly not). and yes i didn't forgot to add a '?' at the end of the title.
copy this and see
TW not allowing me to paste the chart link (not a paying customer) so i have to do this
tradingview . com/x/YF6euBnB/
BTCUSD ShortOn the higher timeframe we've broken a down trendline and price has stalled out, not completing the Fibonacci sequence. We had a shallow retracement.
I see the potential for retracement to $77K to $79K with the potential for deeper retracement to $68K should we break the key level of support to the downside.
GOLD → Breaking the resistance level. Growing interestFX:XAUUSD enjoys interest despite the growing dollar. Geopolitical and economic crisis is the reason for seeking safe harbor. The price is breaking resistance and trying to renew local highs
On the first trading day of the new 2025, gold rose along with DXY amid escalating geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East and eastern Europe and rising tensions around the upcoming policies of Trump and the Fed.
Traders are awaiting US manufacturing PMI data from ISM and the Fed President's speech due later on Friday for more trade stimulus for the gold price.
Support levels: 2649, 2639
Resistance levels: 2675, 2690
A false breakdown of key support areas is possible. If after the false breakdown the bulls hold the defense above 2639 - 2649, gold may strengthen to 2675 - 2690 in the short term.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → The bears are stepping up the pressureFX:EURUSD continues to form a downtrend. The price updates the local minimum, reaching the target indicated last year :). What's next?
Fundamentally, the situation is weak due to Trump's policy towards the euro zone. The strong dollar also increases the bearish pressure on the market.
Technically, the priority figure is the downtrend and the previously broken consolidation boundary - 1.033.
It is this zone that the price is currently aiming for as a zone of interest.
Resistance levels: 1.033, 1.0448
Support levels: 1.022
Both technically and fundamentally the situation is weak, therefore, the emphasis on strong resistance levels from which the fall may resume.
Regards R. Linda!
LONG: Mahindra & Mahindra on the Rise: Targeting New Highs!🔍 Technical Analysis Report: NSE:M_M
Current Overview: 📈 NSE:M_M have shown a strong reversal from its recent low of ₹2,665.55. This recovery is significant as it has crossed the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, with the highest reference point being the level 1 Fibonacci at ₹3,214.95.
Key Observations:
Volume Analysis: Over the past 3-5 trading days, the stock has displayed consistent positive volume, indicating sustainable upward movement. 📊🔼
Critical Resistance: Since mid-June, the stock has been approaching a key resistance level. It briefly breached the 0.5 Fibonacci level yesterday but closed near the 0.382 Fibonacci level. 🚧
Price Movement: Today, the stock opened around the 0.382 Fibonacci level at ₹2,827.10 and is inching upwards. 📈
Technical Indicators:
MACD Analysis: The current MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows an impending buying crossover. If market conditions stay favorable, we anticipate the MACD histogram turning green tomorrow, reinforcing the bullish trend. 🔄🟢
Target Levels:
🎯 First Target: ₹2,942.15
🎯 Second Target: ₹3,005.10
🚀 Extended Target (if resistance is broken): Around ₹3,100.00
Risk Management:
Primary Stop-Loss: ₹2,800.00 to protect against downside risk. ⚠️
Extended Stop-Loss: ₹2,720.85 for those accommodating broader market volatility. 📉
Conclusion: 🟢 If M&M opens in the green tomorrow, this will confirm the buying trend, potentially reaching the target levels mentioned above. However, cautious trading is advised, particularly around the set stop-loss thresholds, to manage inherent market risks effectively. ⚖️
#Hashtags: #MahindraAndMahindra #StockAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #FibonacciLevels #MACD #TradingInsights #StockMarketIndia #BullishTrend #InvestmentStrategy #RiskManagement #FinogentSolutions
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.