GOLD → Correction for liquidity. Should we wait for the fall?FX:XAUUSD has been updating the low to 2314 since the opening of the session and is forming a correction within which it is testing the previously broken consolidation support. The fall may continue from the liquidity area.
The fundamental and technical background for gold is negative at the moment. A possible area of interest for the market may be the area of 2305 - 2280. Accordingly, based on the general data, we can assume that a retest of the resistance area 2328-2336 may end in a false breakdown with a subsequent decline to the targets indicated on the chart. There is a possibility of price entry into the range and an attempt to rise to 2354, but in general, it will be regarded as an attempt to gather a more liquid position before reaching a global and promising target.
Let me remind you that globally we have a bullish trend, within which a local bearish trend is forming.
Resistance levels: 2328, 2336, 2354
Support levels: 2306, 2285
It is worth to keep an eye on the mentioned resistance areas. False breakdown followed by price consolidation below the mentioned zone will be a confirmation of bears' readiness to go down.
Regards R. Linda!
Fibonacci Retracement
GOLD → The calm before the storm. 2400 or 2200?FX:XAUUSD reduces volatility and shrinks into a narrow range before the news. US GDP did not play any role and traders are waiting for the general fundamental background. Locally, the downtrend.
The trend is downtrending, but on yesterday's news the price is trying to break the channel resistance, forming a consolidation of the price above the line. But if the price returns to the channel, due to the formed consolidation, the market may see a strong momentum towards 2280.
Ahead of the news, traders are waiting for PCE. But, the market believes that the index will remain at the same level and this generally complicates the situation because if in fact the situation changes it may trigger a violent reaction
Resistance levels: 2354, 2374
Support levels: 2328, 2306
Globally bullish trend, but there is no strong buyer yet. Everyone is waiting for the news. Locally the trend is bearish, to confirm the change of the trend to a local bullish one, the price should overcome the area of 2354 - 2364 and consolidate above, in this case - the way to 2400. But, a break of 2328 will make the market panic
Regards R. Linda!
BNB/USDT 4HInterval Chart ReviewHello everyone, let's take a look at the 4H BNB to USDT chart as we can see that we are getting close to trying to break out of the triangle.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can include:
T1 = $600
T2 = $608.50
T3 = $614.50
T4 = $621
AND
T5 = $643.50
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case of further market declines:
SL1 = $595
SL2 = $583
SL3 = $573.50
AND
SL4 = $563
When we look at the EMA Cross 50 and 200 indicator, we will see the yellow ema cross 50 line staying above the blue ema cross 200 line, which confirms that the uptrend is continuing.
BTC/USDT 1HInterval Chart ReviewHello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart on a one hour time frame. As you can see, the price is moving in the lower part of the channel marked with white lines.
Let's start by determining support and here, first of all, you can see a strong support zone from $67,238 to $66,289, while further support is visible at a level close to $65,000.
Now let's move on to determining the resistance points. And here we see resistance at the level of $68,240, then we have a second resistance at $69,299, and then the resistance zone from $70,041 to $70,959 is important, only when the price positively tests it will we be able to see new increases.
Looking at the EMA Cross 50 and 200 indicator, they indicate the continuation of the local downward trend.
The RSI indicator, which remains near the middle of the range, has room for movement in both directions, while the STOCH indicator remains in the upper part, which may again translate into a recovery movement.
Bitcoin - 10% crash is coming, buy at 62k (here's why)Bitcoin is preparing for a pretty significant crash (in June). Why do I think so? We need to look at the previous price action because in May, Bitcoin pumped by 25%. If we take a look at May's price action, we can see that the uptrend created a FVGAP at 62k, and these gaps tend to be filled sooner rather than later. This is, of course, not the only reason why I am bearish.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin finished the first impulse wave (1) and after such move we can expect a corrective ABC pattern because markets always move in waves. In general, a typical retracement for waves (1) is 0.618 FIB and also 0.382 FIB in strong bull markets. The 0.618 FIB overlays perfectly with the mentioned FVGAP, which gives us a pretty solid buying opportunity if the price reaches this level. The next good opportunity is to short Bitcoin on the futures market.
The next reason why I am bearish is this small red trendline. As you can see, the trendline is breaking down, which is, of course, a sign of weakness. This trendline is part of the rising wedge pattern, so it adds to the overall bearishness. Currently, I am bearish, so be careful during the summer as the price action is not the most volatile for Bitcoin during this season.
Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
XAU-USD | 4H | SHORT | TECHNICAL CHARTHello traders, I have determined my FOREXCOM:XAUUSD target on the chart. I expect traders to buy from the supply and demand zone. I have marked the key level.
Thank you very much for supporting me with your likes.
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Note: I have been in the forex, crypto, and stock financial sector for 14 years. I do day trading with harmonic patterns, smc, chart formations, and Elliot wave strategies. I am sharing signals from some of my operations with you.
Alikze => IOTX | Pullback to broken supply areaIn the previous post, it was mentioned about the movement of the currency in the weekly time. In this post, it is moving in a medium-term ascending channel in daily time. After the high strength failure of the supply area, pullback to the broken structure is currently being completed. Therefore, it is expected that this pool will be completed in the green box area, and in the first phase, it will be supplied to the next area, and after its failure, it will be able to grow to the next area. If the behavior and structure of the post changes, it will be updated.
🟩Sup: 0.04880
⛳️Tp 1:0.07940 ~ 0.08550
⛳️ Tp2 : 0.14045 ~ 0.15067
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ETH fighting against strong resistanceHello everyone, let's take a look at the ETH to USDT chart on a one-day time frame. As you can see, the price is currently bouncing off the downtrend line.
Let's start by determining the support line and as you can see, the first support in the near future is $3,530, then you can see support at $3,250, and then we have a strong support zone from $3,046 to $2,796
Now let's move on to determining the resistance points. And here we must start by identifying a very strong resistance zone from $3,821 to $4,110, only when we manage to break out and positively test this zone, we can see a move towards the resistance at $4,917.
Looking at the EMA Cross 50 and 200 indicator, they still indicate that the strong upward trend is maintained.
There is still room for growth on the RSI indicator, while the STOCH indicator shows a move towards the upper limit, so you should be careful and take into account a possible recovery.
SWING IDEA - MAHARASHTRA SEAMLESSMaharashtra Seamless , a leading manufacturer of seamless pipes in India, is showing technical patterns that suggest a potential swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
Support at 800 Level : The 800 level has proven to be a strong support zone, indicating significant buying interest at this price point.
0.382 Fibonacci Level Support : The price has found support at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a potential reversal or continuation of the uptrend from this key level.
50 EMA on Weekly Timeframe : The stock is trading around the 50-week exponential moving average, which acts as a support level and indicates a long-term uptrend.
Bullish Marubozu Candle on Daily Timeframe : The recent daily candle is a bullish marubozu, characterized by a lack of shadows, indicating strong buying pressure and potential for further upward movement.
200 EMA Support on Daily Timeframe : The stock is also finding support at the 200-day exponential moving average, which reinforces the overall bullish sentiment and provides additional support for the uptrend.
Target - 965 // 1095
Stoploss - weekly close below 735
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Will MATIC move towards $1.6Altcoins with small capitalization (young/new) have already made huge increases in the bull market, and what about altcoins with larger capitalization? The boom doesn't apply to them? I present to you possible growth scenarios with potential key places for continued growth. The first scenario assumes increases after repeating the 1:1 black correction, i.e. wave 2 as wave 4. The condition is that the price will rise above 1.54usdt. The second scenario is a flat ABC correction, where the condition is that the price increases to the red zone without breaking the top of wave 1 and falls to the green zone as wave C, ending the correction, after which I assume increases. Regards.
BNB - potentially getting out of the triangleA nice setup is currently being created on BNB. The upside exit from the triangle I marked should give a strong upward impulse. Entering riskier positions at the bottom of the triangle trend line with a fate stop below the last lows (worth the risk) or safely after a retest of exiting the triangle at the top. In both cases we are targeting the same TP of 1.618 measuring the fibo of the last correction:
TP - around $730
The negation of this analysis would be the formation of a lower low on the H4 time frame.
GOLD → The news will determine the medium-term outlookFX:XAUUSD is updating the low and forming a false break of support. Fundamental and technical background is negative. A quick retest of 2328 may lead to a fall, but there is NEWS ahead!
Before the news, gold goes into a local flat 2360 - 2330. The market is gathering potential and liquidity before the news. GDP and Initial Jobless Claims are ahead. This time traders expect an extremely low GDP: 1.6% This is generally negative for the US market, in general this figure is logical based on general market indicators, but traders pay attention to the actual data. It is also worth paying attention to Initial Jobless Claims.
Technically, under the current circumstances, a decline is possible after a retest of resistance. But, if the news is contradictory, the price may break the resistance, consolidate above 0.236 Fibo and head towards 0.618 (25-30% probability).
Resistance levels: 2343, 2347, 2354
Support levels: 2335, 2328, 2306
The gold market is dominated by bears on the background of general economic conditions. Globally, the trend is still bearish and a correction is forming within it. Today is a purely fundamental day and you should not get into the market before the news.
Regards R. Linda!
LINK → The potential is at +100%. Waiting for a breakoutBINANCE:LINKUSDT enters a new range, after updating the local maximum, against the background of the general market correction, the coin is declining. Support retest is possible.
The resistance at 18.320 plays a key role for the coin. A false breakout and correction is forming. A quick retest of the resistance or a pre-breakdown consolidation will hint that the market is ready to go higher. Now we should wait for a flat support retest and watch the price reaction to this area. A false breakout followed by price consolidation above this area will be a signal for buyers.
Resistance levels: 18.320, 0.618 Fibo (D1)
Support levels: 13.328, 16.60
The fundamentals are quite strong. The bulls need to consolidate above the key zone to make important decisions. The coin has a potential of +100%
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Break of the support of consolidation. Next is 2300?FX:XAUUSD is still bearish. The price is trying to leave the corrective range, which is formed after the false breakdown of support. The market is preparing to go lower.
On the 1H timeframe it is becoming clear who is showing dominance in the market. There is no strong buy yet, apparently, before the GDP and PCE publication on Thursday and Friday, no one dares to enter the market early. (Presumably, the dollar may get another dose of support, which could weaken gold even more). I think that in the short term the price may retest 2335.
Resistance levels: 2354, 2364
Support levels: 2335, 2328, 2306
Consolidation of the price below the previously broken local uptrend support (dotted line), will be a confirmation of the market's intention to go down. A quick retest of 2335 may lead to a break of support and further fall to 2300
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → False resistance breakout. Decline to 1.075?EURUSD is testing range resistance and forming a false breakout with further confirmation of the boundary. The bears are strong and are not letting the price beyond 1.0884 yet.
On Thursday and Friday strong and important news are published. Traders are interested in US GDP and PCE. There is a high probability to see data that could be bullish for the dollar in the current circumstances. As for EURUSD - trading inside the range may continue. Technically, I am waiting for a bounce from the local trend support and a retest of the resistance before a further decline.
Resistance levels: 1.0884, 1.0942
Support levels: 1.0802, 1.0736
False break of resistance is a confirmation that the price is not ready to go up yet. A breakdown of the scenario is possible, if the price breaks through and consolidates above 1.0884, but there are no reasons for that. We expect a breakout of 1.0836 with the purpose of further fall.
Regards R. Linda!
IBIO biotechnology pennystock completes retracement LONGIBIO popped 3x March 26-28 and then retraced into a standard Fib level above which it
has consolidated. The RSI lines are near to the 50 level and volumes are low. I can see where
IBIO could go higher if interest and buying volumes rise. I will watch this for the same. Having
profited heavily on the prior move, I would be happy to re-enter a long trade on IBIO.
BTCUSD - Topping out around 66k?BTC is yet to fully correct, at least on the weekly. In my eyes, these huge candles up are unsustainable without significant greed. Significant greed cannot continue indefinitely without returning to the mean (neutrality), and likely, significant fear.
There are a few factors I believe will influence a correction:
Greed across the traditional and crypto markets. See CNN's sentiment analysis and alternative.me's fear and greed index.
Only 5% of institutional financial managers are planning to hold BTC in 2021 (volatility being cited as the main reason), implying the feverishness of 'mass adoption' is overstated and overhyped.
Bitcoin is back in mainstream media. The more exposure it gets, the more FOMO and greed kick in, the more new investors pile in, the more people ready to buy right at the top and add selling pressure on the way down.
Big green (or red) candles, while difficult to gauge the top, often result in big moves back down. Similarly, an almost vertical acceleration implies a significant deviation from its mean (anecdotally, the further and quicker something deviates away from its mean, the quicker it comes back). Currently, BTC's yearly EMA is almost exactly the previous ATH of $20k.
Simply, a correction is due. It's gone up but hasn't come down much.
So, knowing that a correction is due at some point, we can then try and forecast the top.
While looking for similarities between the last ATH and this current rally, I noticed there was a period of consolidation, followed by a higher low that wicked down (marked on the chart).
Using these points as anchors, the next anchors are the ATH and the last high at $42k. While the intraday levels of these fibs fit nicely, there are 2 extensions that caught my eye on the weekly that fit almost perfectly.
The 1.618 level on the recent fib (grey) and the 3.618 level of the ATH fib (red) both sit around $66.1k and $66.3k respectively. Seeing how well the other levels line up through previous price action gives me confidence these are valid levels. I'll give coordinates at the end of this post so you can see what I mean.
I've also included a 3-factor BB on the chart for confluence. While the weekly close tomorrow will change the upper band, its near-vertical ascent will likely eventually be punctured by price. As denoted by the red circles, a reversal has occurred every time a swing has formed there. Moreover, for an asset to exceed 3 times its weekly standard deviation should ring alarm bells in anyone's ears.
Okay, so we know where the top might be. How can we make a trade based on this? I'll start with where I think it might end up.
If we use $66k as our first anchor and the bottom of the last consolidation at about $3.1k, then the 0.618 level (blue line) lines up perfectly with the most recent fib's 0.618 level on the way up. This falls at $27.5k, or rather, a contraction of 61.8%.
The tricky part is stop loss placement. I'm going to say that a technically invalid level would be past the 3.764 level of the ATH fib at $70k. Anything between $71-72k would likely invalidate this idea.
In summary:
Entry: $65k
Stop: $71-72k
TP: $27.5k, $31k if conservative, $42k if ultra conservative
Let me know what you think and give me a follow for more.
Happy trading!
COORDINATES:
ATH fib = (1) 1830.00, (2) 19666.00
Current fib = (1) 3122.28, (2) 42000.00
TP fib = (1) 66026.19, (2) 3122.28
EURUSD → A false breakout leads to a correction. 1.080?FX:EURUSD is forming a correction after a false breakdown. The movement is formed after updating the local highs. The fundamental background for the currency pair is positive.
The false breakout occurs against the resistance at 1.0885, as well as the rising line limiting the trend. If the fundamental background persists, in this case the correction will not last long and the global bullish movement may start to recover. On H1 it is worth paying attention to the support: 1,080 (liquidity area), which the price may test. This boundary may become the lower zone of the new range, which may confirm the change of trend.
Support levels: 1.080, 1.0766, 1.0736
Resistance levels: 1.0884, 1.0942
Technically, a false breakdown of resistance and corrective downward movement is forming. Today there is no strong news and movements can be calm.
Regards, R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Trend Change. Consolidation before the impulse FX:NZDUSD is entering the consolidation phase after breaking the local trend resistance. On D1 the price enters a new range and on H1 a golden cross is formed.
The dollar is standing still and losing positions since the opening of the session on the background of negative news. This is generally favorable for the currency pair. In this case, a retest of the support of the range forming above the bearish channel is possible with the aim of further growth. The currency pair has a potential and with the breakout of 0.604 the price may start to realize the accumulated potential and strengthen to 0.608 or 0.617.
Resistance levels: 0.604
Support levels: 0.600, 0.5983
Most likely trading inside the range may continue. False breakdown of support and further strengthening to resistance is possible, but further price reaction to resistance will show us the readiness of the market to go in one direction or another.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD is gaining momentum for sell!!!Based on higher time frame analysis, it is observed that Gold is struggling to move higher. It is now caught in a downward spiral as it closes below the EMA's and is slowly gaining momentum in lower timeframes like M15.
I believe we might experience a significant downward movement in the market.
Trade at your own risk!! this is not a signal service but my analysis on the market
NOTE: High alert new for FOMC so be careful
Stop Loss =2370
Profit Target = 2292
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Thank you