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Fibonacci Retracement

Alikze »» FLOKI | Upward wave 5 scenario🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending wave 5 scenario - Ascending triangle corner pattern - In the 1W timeframe, a zigzag correction was preceded by an inability to break through the supply zone. - Zigzag modification has formed an ascending angle triangle pattern. - According to the bullish structure and behavior, it can have another bullish cycle. - Currently, it has left the corner of the ascending triangle and has faced selling pressure in the supply area. - Therefore, it can break the supply zone after the pullback to the broken structure and move to the next supply zone. - This rising log can be wave 5 and the last wave of the rise, which can rise at least as much as the previous wave (wave 3). Or to be able to grow as much as the previous log. 💎Therefore, according to the size of the previous log, which has grown by more than a thousand percent, this log can grow by almost 1000 percent from the floor before the growth modification. ⚠️ Note: If the bottom is touched before, the zigzag correction will be complicated and the analysis will be invalid and need to be re-checked. ⚠️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:FLOKIUSDT
Long
by alikze
2
BITCOIN → The rally is manipulation. U-turn and down to 52K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT confirms the bearish market structure. After the 59K retest, the price rallies 7%. There is no technical or fundamental explanation for this market manipulation: $6K down, $ 4K up, $5K down, $ 4K up within the last two weeks... Bitcoin is still trading within a sideways range of 65K - 52K. The last resistance retest ended in a false breakdown and a price drop of 11% to 59K. Also, the local change of the market character (price confirms the downtrend) to bearish and formation of the downtrend channel (I remind about the downtrend on D1-W1) plays an important role. Emphasis on resistance 63400, 64130, 65000, possible retest or false breakdown followed by downside realization as we still have not reached the key liquidity zones.... Resistance levels: 63400, 64130 Support levels: 61320, 59000 The price is testing the resistance zone as part of the rally. There is no accumulation or technical potential to overcome this area for further growth. Within the bearish trend, the buyer does not show dominant signs and with high probability it will be stopped in the key zone. A reversal and decline to the lower zone of the sideways range is possible... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
120
XAUUSD: Can the rebound last? Where to enterYesterday, when most people in the market were still bearish, I clearly pointed out that gold had a bottom divergence pattern and bought in the 2605-2615 area. Friends who followed the copy signal made a lot of profit! The most important data this week are yesterday's CPI and initial jobless claims data. Among them, the CPI data all exceeded expectations. The data did not meet expectations, which was bearish at first glance, but you can analyze it yourself. You can compare the previous value with the published value, which is bullish for gold. In addition, the number of initial and continued unemployment claims rose sharply at the same time, reflecting the signs of weakness in the US job market. The trend of gold prices also fell to the 2605 support level after the data was released, and then rose rapidly. The current highest price is 2647 US dollars. From the chart, the current support area is in the 2624-2630 area, and the upper resistance is near 2653, which is also the 0.618 position of the Fibonacci retracement. Now the price is running at 2637. When the price runs between the support and resistance, everyone knows that I will not participate because the risk is relatively large. Therefore, today I will give you two options for your reference, and I will implement them when the time comes. The first option is to wait for a pullback to the 2624-2630 support area and buy bullishly. The upper target is 2640-2645 first, followed by 2660-2670 The second option is to choose to short near 2653, with the target of 2630-2624, followed by 2605 Whichever one arrives first, I will resolutely implement it, and I think the possibility of the second one is not great, so I am more optimistic about the first option, and what about you?
TVC:GOLDLong
by AntonyTP
4
Dollar rally slows after jobless claims; EURUSD ready to rise?EUR/USD has just touched a key support zone on the daily chart between 1.0900 and 1.0950, an area that previously acted as resistance in March and July 2024 but now appears to be turning into support. Yesterday’s candle formed a long lower shadow, signaling a possible rejection of selling pressure and a hint of buying strength. Additionally, the 1.0950 level aligns with the 61.8% bullish Fibonacci retracement on the daily chart, further reinforcing the potential for support. A little further down, the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) appears to be strengthening the whole area and increasing the possibility of it working as a support level. Several factors are currently converging around the 1.0950 mark: 1. EUR/USD is in a former resistance area, which now appears to be functioning as support on the daily chart. 2. The 61.8% Fibonacci bullish level is present at 1.0950. 3. The 200-day SMA adds strength to the support zone. 4. A daily candle with a long lower shadow suggests initial buying strength. Higher-than-expected US inflation data leads to short-term strength in USD, fades after jobless claims From a macroeconomic perspective, the release of CPI data in the US, which came in higher than expected, initially boosted the US dollar at the start of the trading session. However, optimism about the dollar faded by the end of the day, causing the price to retrace and leave a long shadow on the daily candle. This shift was driven by higher-than-expected Initial Jobless Claims (258,000 actual vs. 231,000 forecast), reminding investors that the Federal Reserve is balancing two objectives: controlling inflation while protecting the labour market. As a result, despite higher inflation, the Fed may remain lenient to support job growth in the short term. Based on these factors, if EURUSD manages to break above the 1.0960 level, it may rise to 1.1010 and 1.1090 over the next few days. Alternatively, if EURUSD breaks below 1.0890, it could fall to 1.0775, where a significant support area is likely to be found. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Long
by Marketscom
Alikze »» ETH | Wave 3 or rising C scenario - 8H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or rising C scenario - 8H - According to the analysis presented in the weekly time frame, after a short growth, it has entered a corrective phase up to the green box area, so we expect it to enter an upward phase up to the dynamic trigger area. - It is moving in an ascending channel in the 8-hour timeframe. - The 2062 range of wave B correction is over. - After the demand in the range of 2062, a complete movement cycle in the form of 5 waves towards the ceiling of the growth channel has continued. - A double top has been created in the area of the channel roof, which has entered a correction phase after that. - The corrective phase has completed a 5-wave cycle to the origin of the movement of the 2310 range. After that, it has a three-wave pattern up and a three-wave correction that can now enter the 3-of-3 microwaves. - In the first step, this upward cycle can continue until the supply zone (the first red box), after which it can have a short correction. 💎After that, it is expected that the big wave 3 in the middle of the channel, after a temporary correction, will enter the next bullish phase to the second red box range. 💎Therefore, the second step of the movement can have the goals of 3200 to 3500. ⚠️ In addition, in case of touching the range of 2151, the bullish scenario in the 8H time frame will be invalidated and should be reviewed and updated again. ⚠️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« KUCOIN:ETHUSDT
Long
by alikze
GOLD → Retest of descending channel resistance in front of PPI..FX:XAUUSD is forming a double bottom from which a rally towards strong resistance is forming. CPI showed worse than expected data, surprisingly. Manipulation? Price has not yet moved out of the corrective channel. Ahead of PPI. Annual inflation fell from 2.5% to 2.4% (expected 2.3%). The probability of a 0.25% interest rate cut in November rose to 86% (vs. 0.5%) The disappointing Initial Jobless Claims data in the US overshadowed the hot CPI data for September, keeping the hope of a rate cut in November... Ahead is PPI, a fairly important report that could affect prices... The metal is trapped in a descending channel and there is a huge liquidity density above 2645. The bears, the custodians of this liquidity, may put aggressive pressure if PPI shows strong data... Resistance levels: 2645, 2651, 2660 Support levels: 2637, 2623, 2600 Technically, gold is in a correction phase. From the bottom of the channel a strong movement of 2% has been formed and there is not much potential to break through the resistance. The most probable outcome is a decline after a false breakdown or consolidation below 2640. BUT! It is not excluded that a surprise in the news can turn the picture in the opposite direction.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
GOLD → Consolidation in correction phase ahead of news...FX:XAUUSD is in correction phase, but before important news a consolidation is formed due to fear and unpredictability factor. Analysts are expecting a decline in inflation, but what will happen in fact? A bull run or a dump? Markets are pricing in an 81% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut in November. But yesterday's minutes showed that most officials supported an excessive 0.5% rate cut to balance inflation confidence and labor market concerns. Ahead of CPI, Initial Jobless Claims ... If CPI shows stronger data, the question among regulators will be in a different vein of “should we cut 0.25?” which will only reinforce the dollar's rally and markets will continue a solid correction. A larger decline in CPI could revive hopes of an excessive Fed rate cut in November, triggering a correction in the US dollar. Gold could experience a fresh influx of funds..... Resistance levels: 2623, 2627, 2637 Support levels: 2605, 2600, 2585 Technically gold is in correction and the pressure from bears continues. In the mid (short) term, I expect a retest of resistance at 2623 (a false breakdown is possible) followed by a decline to 2600-2585. It is not excluded that the news may have an opposite effect... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
30
USDCAD → Breakout. One step away from distribution...FX:USDCAD makes an attempt to break through the resistance of the “wedge” consolidation on the background of a growing dollar, the reasons for which are economic data from the USA. NonFarm Payrolls are ahead! On the weekly timeframe, the currency pair is bouncing off the support trendline and heading towards resistance, the pattern as a whole resembles an ascending triangle. But still it is a global sideways range. The movements in it are quite difficult and the price is dragging between the local levels. Ahead is the NFP report, which may become an engine for the price, and based on the assumptions from Wednesday and ADP NonFarm we can assume that on this background the growth of the dollar and the currency pair may continue. Technically, the bulls are trying to hold the defense above the previously broken resistance. The impulse is beginning to form... Resistance levels: 1.358, 1.364 Support levels: 1.353, 1.347 If the bulls keep the price in the new plane (buying zone), the price may reach the nearest targets quite quickly. If the news will be favorable, then in this case a rally to the distant targets may be formed. Unpredictable data will bring the currency pair back to the range and may bring the price down to 1.347 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDCAD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
ETHEREUM → Support breakdown? Zone of interest 1550 ↓BINANCE:ETHUSD continues to give up positions. Buyers do not believe in growth in the near future. Bears are increasing their pressure, which may lead to the breakout of the strong support zone... As seen on W1, the next potential target, in terms of liquidity, could be the 1550 support. Any attempt to buy back the asset on a retest of the support does not result in anything radically bullish. The market will not allow the price to approach the intermediate highs, which indicates the buyer's weakness. On H4 the price is squeezed by local ascending support (bottom of the triangle) and descending conglomerate of moving averages, which clearly dictate the location of strong resistance. In the mid-term, there may be a rebound to the local highs or SMAs before a further decline. Resistance levels: 2471, 2520, SMA Support levels: 2310, 2250, 2111 So far there are no technical or fundamental reasons in favor of the buyer. Seller's pressure may be intensified. The breakout trigger is 2325. The trigger for a pullback is 2475 - 2500. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
GOLD → Support breakdown. The beginning of correction...FX:XAUUSD is entering the correction phase. The price is coming out of the consolidation downwards, and what we have been preparing for for the last few days has happened. Bears are trying to keep the defense below 2623.... Posted on October 8: The pressure from above is building. New lows... Traders are waiting for the Fed meeting minutes to gauge the magnitude of the next interest rate cut, especially after Friday's strong US NFP data removed bets on a 0.5% rate cut. The FOMC meeting is likely to show a discussion on the outlook for the labor market and inflation, as well as further action on interest rates. Traders are still not turning their eyes away from the tense situation in the middle east, but one must realize that reacting to any action is a temporary action in the market... Technically, on D1 we can see the beginning of the correction phase. Break of the strong level and fixing of the price below 2623. The market has defined a temporary outlook for itself..... Resistance levels: 2623, 2627, 2631 Support levels: 2613, 2600, 2585 News can have an additional impact on the market, but it all depends on the context. At the moment I consider the price decline. The bears are holding 2623 and we can see how the price has consolidated below this area, which may provoke further selling.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
EURUSD → The realization phase isn't over. Emphasis on 1.095 ↓FX:EURUSD breaks the uptrend and prepares to continue falling due to the change of fundamental background, the reasons for which were strong economic data in the US. The price is in the realization phase... The weekly timeframe clearly shows the forming sideways range (consolidation). The market failed to break the resistance of the channel, although a lot of effort was put on it (5 attempts on W1). At the moment the currency pair is testing last week's low, it is also worth noting the fact of weekly candle closing - almost at the low. This is a rather good and promising sign for the continuation of the downward movement. Emphasis on the support at 1.095. Breakdown and consolidation of the price below this area will strengthen the decline to the intermediate bottom... Support levels: 1.095, 1.0892 Resistance levels: 1.100, 1.1011, 1.1047 A pre-breakout consolidation is forming relative to support. Emphasis on the breakdown of the level and further decline to the zones of interest. As an unpredictable scenario we can have in mind a pullback to 1.100 and further decline... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
8
GOLD → The pressure from above is building. New lows...FX:XAUUSD stops testing local highs. Strong growth has stopped and the price is being squeezed between the boundaries of the narrowing consolidation. The exit of the price from the figure will be accompanied by an impulse... Last week changed the general fundamental background, gold traders are getting nervous and moving into a phase of profit taking on the back of strong economic data. Ahead is the FOMC meeting where further steps to regulate the US economy will be discussed. Technically, gold stops trying to update or test the highs, feeling pressure from above, but at the same time the price is probing the base from below, gradually updating the local lows. A gradually narrowing consolidation is forming on the chart and if there is a price exit from the figure, it will be accompanied by a strong impulse. Resistance levels: 2650, 2659 Support levels: 2632, 2623, 2613 I continue to hold that bears will continue to press the price, which will provoke the price exit downwards with further retest of 2623-2613-2600. But we need to keep an eye on the regulators' comments and the dollar's behavior... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
29
Dalmia Bharat Ready for a Bounce! Current Market Price: 1975 Stop Loss: 1880 Targets: 2040, 2141 Extended Target: 2262 (if it crosses 2141) Key Reasons: Small contraction breakout above the Fibonacci 38% level. Strong bounce from trendline support. Continuous lower lows followed by a breakout of the lower high pattern, indicating potential for more upside. 📉 Risk Management: As the market is volatile, it's crucial to manage risk effectively with appropriate position sizing. 📊 Disclaimer: As a non-SEBI registered analyst, I recommend conducting thorough research or seeking advice from financial professionals before making investment decisions. #DalmiaBharat #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalBreakout #RiskManagement #InvestmentOpportunities
NSE:DALBHARATLong
by satyam15
USDJPY Rebound Faces Pushback at Key ResistanceAfter the Fed’s jumbo pivot in September and aggressive easing path, Chair Powell adopted a more reserved approach at the start of the previous week. The cautious messaging was extrapolated at the end of that same week by the strong jobs report. Markets have now priced out bets for another outsized move, expecting 50 bps of cuts by the end of the year, in line with the Fed’s projections. At the same time, the Bank of Japan has shifted to a more patient approach to monetary tightening, after last month's hold, removing guidance for further hikes ahead. The August deceleration in wage growth adds a reason for caution, while the current political landscape does not favor aggressive tightening. With elections due later this month, the new Prime Minister does not see the need for more hikes. As a result of these developments, USD/JPY posted its best week of the year and extends its gains into the daily Ichimoku Cloud, testing the pivotal 38.2% Fibonacci. This creates scope for further recovery towards 151.90, but we are cautious about sustained advance as the upside is unfriendly technically and fundamentally. Inflation (ex-fresh food) in Japan has been rising for the past four months and remains above the 2% target for more than two years, wages are elevated and GDP posted strong growth in Q2. One more rate hike within the year is still reasonable and BoJ officials still see more tightening if the economy evolves as projected. Chair Powell may have struck a more cautious tone, but officials still expect another 150 bps of cuts by the end of next year, so the broader policy dynamics remains unfavorable for USD/JPY. The pair faces pushback at the 38.2% Fibonacci and rejection could send it back below the EMA200 (black line) and reaffirm the bearish bias. This would in turn create scope for new 2024 lows (139.57), although strong catalyst would be required. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”) (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
by FXCM
TONUSDT → Bulls dressing up as bears... ↓BINANCE:TONUSDT can't get out of the downtrend, facing a rather strong seller (or lack of buyers, amid fundamental problems). The coin is setting itself up for a further decline.... The trend change started to show back in July, with strong momentum being generated amid strong outflows due to the market crash following bitcoin manipulation. In Agusta, the coin faced another problem - Pavel Durov's court case, which had an extremely negative impact on the system. At the moment, buyers are turning around and have no fundamental and technical strength against the bear. The price is forming a pre-breakdown base relative to the key support at 5.16. A break of this area will open the way to 4.5. Resistance levels: 5.38, 5.44 Support levels: 5.16, 4.7, 4.5 Buyers are trying to hold 5.16, but the pressure of bears, increasing on the background of bitcoin correction, is increasing, the sellers' strength is growing, which provokes the first to leave the game, close or turn around. In the short term, I expect a breakdown of support and decline Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:TONUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
MKR/USDT 1W Long-TermHello everyone, let's look at the 1W MKR to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a downtrend channel, at its lower boundary. Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include: $2,063. $2,545. $2,767. $3,080 Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline: SL1 = 1250USD SL2 = $953 SL3 = 520USD Looking at the RSI indicator, we see as the indicator moves at the bottom of the range, which may translate into an attempt at price increases.
by cryptodailyuk
EURUSD Scalping-Day trading LONG1st Entry - 15min POI: I decided to open three trades using the OTE reversal strategy within the 0.705 to 0.79 zone, taking advantage of the range between the swing high and swing low. Entry timeframes: 1min Emotions: Calm and confident Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.58 Lot size: 0.5 2nd Entry: Entry Price: 1.0968 Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.53 Lot size: 0.8 Emotions: Calm and confident 3rd Entry: Entry Price: 1.0967 Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.45 Lot size: 0.3 Emotions: Calm, but I entered too quickly, as the price was nearly the same as my second entry. However, I'll close this trade earlier at the STR.
Long
by Jaytradermb
GOLD → Consolidation below the SMA. What was the impact of NFP?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating below previously crossed SMA50 & 200 after Friday's shakeout. A surprising NPF shook up the market. The dollar is rallying while gold is drawing downside resistance.... The main reason for a possible decline in gold prices is the weakening expectations of a 0.5% Fed interest rate cut in November. A very strong NFP report all but eliminated the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in November. The reading beat market expectations of 140K by a wide margin. Nevertheless, the price of gold managed to resist a corrective decline thanks to the ongoing geopolitical risks associated with the escalating conflict in the Middle East. Traders are now looking forward to the upcoming Fed speech. Gold is technically in the sideways range of 2685 - 2623. There is no actual direction, so you can trade between buy and sell levels.... Resistance levels: SMA, 2661, 2673 Support levels: 2639, 2631, 2623 Bears are likely to exert maximum strength in the resistance zone, the market may react by declining to the liquidity zones. There is a high enough probability of formation of a false breakout of resistance before further decline Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12