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Fibonacci Retracement

GOLD → Consolidation v. 2921. Ready for a breakthroughFX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen on the background of growing economic risks and also on the background of aggressive fall of dollar. The metal is at resistance at 2921 and is preparing to go even higher.... The dollar breaks the bullish structure on the background of comments of the U.S. Ministry of Finance on the reduction of rates. The verbal intervention as manipulation is affecting the markets quite aggressively. Further decline in gold is unlikely due to trade war risks and expectations of soft Fed policy.Additional impetus to gold may be given by weak ADP employment data and PMI data Gold has two important liquidity zones. 2913 and 2903, the closest area has already been tested (liquidity zone reached) and now all eyes are on 2920.7. If it holds, gold will return to 2913-2903 support, if resistance is broken, momentum will be formed. Resistance levels: 2920.66, 2942, 2954 Support levels: 2913, 2903, (0.5) fibo) Gold is testing 2913.34 at the moment, a rebound is forming due to the liquidity collected. In the short term, the focus is on 2920.7. Breaking the level and fixing the price above the trigger will most likely provoke the continuation of growth to 2942-2954 Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
CAKEUSDT → False breakout of resistance. Return to the trendBINANCE:CAKEUSDT is forming a false breakdown of key resistance as part of a bullish rally. Further altcoin decline may be influenced by bitcoin's decline, the flagship looks rather weak Technically, the move in Cake looks like a counter-trend maneuver to gather liquidity before a further, possible fall. The altcoin market is weak and most coins continue to look for a bottom, while bitcoin is consolidating but with a hint of a decline to 91-90K. CAKEUSDT is focusing on 2.6144 - 2.7288. If the bears keep the price below these zones, the coin could head down in the short to medium term Resistance levels: 2.6144, 2.7288, 2.2964 Support levels: 2.420, 2.0634 Statistically, a false breakdown provokes the strongest movements, often even trend changes. In this case, it is a counter-trend movement and if the price reverses locally, the coin will be under the pressure of the trend again. A price fixing below 2.6144 may strengthen the fall to 2.42, 2.06, 1.04. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
11
GBPUSD → Correction before bullish trend continuationFX:GBPUSD has been rising for the last month and a half as the market sentiment and the behavior of the dollar, which is gradually updating lows. The tariff war by trump is just in full swing. The dollar continues its correction on the back of US politics as well as inflation data. GBPUSD at this time is trading in the bullish zone, above the support at 1.262 - 1.2576. Thus, within the framework of the correction, which has been observed since the opening of the European session, the price may test the liquidity area before further growth. Resistance levels: 1.2718, 1.2678 Support levels: 1.262, 1.2576 The local trend is bullish and the price is forming a local correction. In this case, it is worth looking for strong support zones with the purpose of rebound and continuation of growth. Targets in this case are intermediate highs: 1.2718, 1.2811 Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
AARTI INDUSTRIES : Potential Bounce From Long Term Support!!🚀 Aarti Industries: Potential Bounce from Long-Term Support! 🚀 📍 CMP: ₹466 📉 Stop Loss: ₹385 🎯 Target: ₹530 | ₹660 🔹 Key Insights: ✅ Fibonacci Support at 61.8% on the long-term chart. ✅ Sector Strength: Specialty chemicals & CDMO sector showing positive momentum. ✅ Strategy: Staggered entry to manage risk in a volatile market. ✅ Long-Term Swing Trade: Positioning for monthly gains. ⚠️ Risk Management: Stop loss is big—strict discipline is key! 📉 Disclaimer: As a non-SEBI registered analyst, I recommend conducting thorough research or seeking advice from financial professionals before making investment decisions. #AartiIndustries #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading #InvestmentOpportunities #FibonacciSupport #SpecialtyChemicals
NSE:AARTIINDLong
by satyam15
XRP Weekly-Monthly Analysis / Retracement Levels for BuyWeekly - Monthly trend: Bearish Chart Pattern: Head & Shoulders (H&S) - Continuation Pattern Retracement Fib Price Levels: 0.00% (3.4000) 23.60% (2.6879) 38.20% (2.2474) 50.00% (1.8914) 61.80% (1.5353) 78.60% (1.0284) 100.00% (0.3827) Good prices for buy: 61.80% (1.5353) – Golden Zone / Golden Pocket 78.60% (1.0284) – Entry Zone Between 78.60% (1.0284) and 100.00% (0.3827) is the Risk Zone, which we have the Neckline of the ‘’ Quadruple Bottom Pattern ‘’ at the price range ‘’ 0.6291 – 0.7850 ‘’
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by JohnA97
5
Morning Star formation on Daily TF but..Morning Star formation on Daily TF. Monthly Closing above 29 would be a Positive Sign. However, 28 - 29 can be a Good Support Zone. 28.50 should not be broken, otherwise further Selling Pressure can be witnessed. On the flip side, 32 - 32.50 is an Important Resistance. However, only Morning Star formation is not enough, because it is currently at Strong Resistance around 32 - 32.5, so let it sustain this level. Sustaining this level may give 2-4 riyals gain.
TADAWUL:2190
by House-of-Technicals
NVDA: Fibonacci cluster support and 200MA at 126.5. NASDAQ:NVDA : Fibonacci Cluster Support at 126.5 Sets Up Potential 10% Rally to 140 Looking at NVIDIA's technical setup, I've identified a critical support zone that could launch NASDAQ:NVDA toward a significant target if it holds. Technical Analysis The current price action shows NVIDIA testing a key support zone consisting of: - Fibonacci cluster at 126.5 - 200 Moving Average support If this support zone holds, I'm targeting the next Fibonacci cluster at 140, representing approximately a 10.7% upside potential. Entry Strategy I'm monitoring two potential entry scenarios: Aggressive Entry (15-minute chart): - Wait for 8 EMA to cross above 34 EMA - Price must break above the most recent swing high - Entry on confirmation of this break Conservative Entry (30-minute chart): - Same criteria as above but on the 30-minute timeframe - Provides more reliable signals with fewer false breakouts Risk Management Stop Loss: Place stops below the 126.5 Fibonacci/200 MA support zone (approximately 124-125) Profit Target: First target at the 140 Fibonacci cluster Conflicting Indicators My analysis shows mixed signals that require caution: 1. My WillVall indicator on the weekly chart shows a potential buy opportunity at current prices, BUT it needs to change direction and move above the 15 level before confirming a long-term entry 2. Multiple timeframe squeeze indicators (Weekly, 4D, 3D, 2D) are currently in squeeze with negative momentum, suggesting downside pressure 3. According to IBD Market School methodology, the market is showing signs of correction and the buy switch is currently OFF, indicating we should avoid new long positions Trade Plan Given the current market conditions and mixed signals: - Wait for confirmation of support at the 126.5 zone - Look for entry signal confirmation on preferred timeframe - Use smaller position size due to conflicting indicators - Set clear stop loss below support (124-125) - Target the 140 Fibonacci cluster for profit taking I'll remain patient and wait for clearer market conditions before committing significant capital to this trade. The technical setup is promising, but broader market conditions suggest caution.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradeVizion
Possible CHOCH - Sell to Buy / EURJPYCurrently EUR/JPY has managed to pushed itself all the way back into last week Medium Risk Zone (ORANGE) . Personally I believe that the zone from last week won't be as strong as it used to be so there are also possibilities where EUR/JPY will use the zones from last week and bounce off. This means that there is a chance that EUR/JPY will touch Medium Risk Zone (ORANGE) retrace for a little bit into the High Risk Zone (ORANGE) and from then on bounce off to its respective structure. <--- Scenario 1 If EUR/JPY does not follow the first idea then I would prepare myself to buy at a more lower price which is in our Medium risk Zone (WHITE) & Low Risk zone (WHITE). I will only BUY if there are signs of reversals or at least a CHOCH in the smaller timeframe within these areas of interest.
Long
by ilyasmuzaffar
Price at a Crossroads: Will It Break or Drop?After a strong breakout from a falling wedge and handle pattern on Wednesday, Nov 6, 2024, price surged to an All-Time High of 109,358.01. However, a retracement followed, with the formation of a double top pattern leading to a breakdown below the neckline at 91,809.11, sending prices tumbling to 78,167.81, perfectly aligning with the golden ratio (50% Fibonacci level). From there, buyers stepped in, pushing the price back up to the 38.2% Fibonacci level, but strong resistance led to two rejections and the formation of three consecutive doji candles, signalling market indecision. What’s Next? 🔹 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 38.2% could lead to a neckline retest 91,809.11. 🔹 Bearish Scenario: If rejection holds, the double top projection targets is 74,279.20, with further downside towards 61.8% or 66%, aligning with the daily trendline. 📢 Risk Management Reminder: The market is at a critical level—manage your risk wisely! Set stop losses, use proper position sizing, and avoid over-leveraging. Patience and discipline are key!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by SpicyPips
3
Bitcoin, Mind The Gap (85,720) The massive move initiated from Trumps tweet Sunday about the Crypto Strategic Reserve has left a massive gap on the Bitcoin Futures Chart. Gaps tend to get fill sooner rather than later, with a high 90% hit rate on gaps getting filled. We could see a pullback this week to fill the gap with another run up following back above 90k to save the weekly close ... again. We see confluence with the golden pocket (0.6128 - 0.65 Fib) here on that retracement and also the most amount of volume (VPVR) being traded there. A final test of the demand below 90k, which if shown as support, will lead us back into the range of 90k to 110k.
CME:BTC1!
by Mamocoin
GOLD → Local downtrend, price under bearish pressureFX:XAUUSD has been strengthening since Friday. Standard reaction to the false break of the support at 2834. Price is still in a selling zone and heading for resistance before a possible pullback to the downside. The $ has strengthened strongly over the past week and looks poised to continue its rise, but it all depends on the tariff war, economic risks and regulatory policy in the US. Markets are reacting to attempts to regulate the war in eastern Europe. Ahead are Fed statements and US economic data. On 4H, gold is trading flat 2881 - 2834. Below 2881 gold is under bearish pressure (selling zone). But, due to the liquidity created in the 2878 - 2881 area, gold may test the area of interest before returning to the downside. Resistance levels: 2869, 2877, 2881 Support levels: 2859, 2834 At the moment consolidation is forming below 2869 (0.5 fibo) after a false breakdown. If the bears keep the price under the level, the decline may start earlier. We also have another trigger - 2859. A breakdown of this support will trigger a sell-off and liquidation, which may lead to a fall to 2834. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
9
EURCHF → Bears increase pressure to lower the priceFX:EURCHF breaks trend support and overall bullish structure. The rising dollar is putting negative pressure on the forex markets The fundamental background for the Eurozone is extremely negative due to Trump's policy and the US in general, especially when it comes to the tariff war. The dollar is strengthening, which generally creates a negative background for the markets. Technically, after breaking the support of the uptrend, the bears are confirming their dominance by keeping the price in the selling zone. Resistance levels: 0.93807, 0.94179 Support levels: 0.93299, 0.92945 A retest of the reversal zone 0.9400 is possible, but at the moment we can focus our attention on 0.93800. Consolidation of the price under this level will provoke further sell-offs. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
BTC/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart for USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves in the local channel of the downward tendu in which we currently see a strong reflection and a quick return price around the upper border of the channel. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face: T1 = 94020 $ T2 = 97698 $ Т3 = 102865 $ T4 = 109520 $ Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = 91130 $ SL2 = 88503 $ SL3 = 84723 $ SL4 = 81673 $ Looking at the MacD indicator, you can see that despite S
by cryptodailyuk
BTC Scaling Strategy: Trade Like a Pro with Precision EntriesIf you’re new to trading, this guide will walk you through a scaling in and out strategy. We’ll cover: Risk management – protecting your capital. Entry points – how to build your position gradually. Exit points – how to lock in profits while leaving room for further gains. Maximising profit – using a small runner to capture additional upside. By the end, you'll understand: ✅ How to enter trades at optimal levels ✅ How to take profits gradually ✅ How to manage risk so you don’t blow your account BTC Market Analysis Bitcoin has been trading in a tight range for over 100 days near the 100K mark. For 22 consecutive days, bulls have tried to break above 100K, but as the price nears this level, bears consistently rejected the move. Currently, BTC broke below our critical support level at 90K confirming a breakdown in market structure. Adding fuel to the bearish fire, Bitcoin has slipped below the weekly 21 EMA (89,503) and SMA (90,437). With the bears now in control, the critical question emerges: Where will Bitcoin find its next foothold? Let’s map the high-probability support zones and strategic entry points for the next potential long opportunity. Using Fibonacci analysis: Fib Speed Fan: With a low of 49K and an ATH of 109,588 (from March), the 0.618 trend line projects support between about 78K and 82K. Anchored VWAP: When anchored from 49K, the VWAP support is around 81.7K. Negative Fibonacci Retracement: From the ATH down to the current low at 91,231, the –0.618 level is at about 79,886. Fib Extension & Retracement: Additional levels lie around 79,466 (1.618 extension) and 79,230 (0.5 retracement). Moving Averages: The 233 EMA/SMA currently ranges between roughly 83K and 78.5K. These indicators converge to form a robust support zone between approximately 83K and 78K. For a more detailed breakdown, please check my previous Bitcoin analysis, where I conducted a deeper examination. Step 1: Understanding Risk Management (The Golden Rule) Before placing a trade, you must decide: 📌 How much you’re willing to lose (risk per trade) 📌 Where you’ll enter and exit (never place a trade without a plan) How Much Should You Risk? Always risk no more than 1–2% of your total account on a single trade. Example (for a $100K Account): 1% Risk = $1,000 max loss 2% Risk = $2,000 max loss For this trade, we plan to risk about $1,366, which is approximately 1.37% of a $100K account. This disciplined approach protects your capital over the long run. Step 2: Where Do We Enter the Trade? (Scaling In) Instead of going all-in at one price, we break our $30,000 investment into 10 smaller entries and exits. This method reduces risk and often achieves a better average entry price. 💡 Why? Because no one can time the exact bottom! Spreading entries reduces risk and gets a better average entry price. www.tradingview.com BTC Buy (Entry) Levels We will buy BTC as it falls from $83,050 down to $78,050 using the following allocation percentages: Entry # Price (BTC) % of Position Amount Invested ($) BTC Acquired 1 83,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 83,050 = 0.018072 2 82,550 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,550 = 0.018181 3 82,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,050 = 0.018278 4 81,550 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,550 = 0.029430 5 81,050 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,050 = 0.029606 6 80,550 10% $3,000 3,000 ÷ 80,550 = 0.037234 7 80,050 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 80,050 = 0.044974 8 79,550 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 79,550 = 0.045275 9 79,050 15% $4,500 4,500 ÷ 79,050 = 0.056956 10 78,050 20% $6,000 6,000 ÷ 78,050 = 0.076352 Total Investment: $30,000 Total BTC Acquired: 0.018072 + 0.018181 + 0.018278 + 0.029430 + 0.029606 + 0.037234 + 0.044974 + 0.045275 + 0.056956 + 0.076352 ≈ 0.37436 BTC Average Entry Price: $80,150 Stop Loss: Set at $76,500 Risk per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650 Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (~1.37% of $100K) Step 3: Where Do We Exit the Trade? (Scaling Out) We exit gradually as BTC rises between $86,950 and $91,450. The exit percentages are as follows: Exit # Price (BTC) % of Position BTC Sold Proceeds ($) 1 86,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 86,950 = $1,628.10 2 87,450 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 87,450 = $1,637.03 3 87,950 8% 0.029949 0.029949 × 87,950 = $2,638.15 4 88,450 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 88,450 = $3,976.39 5 88,950 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 88,950 = $4,664.19 6 89,450 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 89,450 = $4,691.19 7 89,950 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 89,950 = $4,047.12 8 90,450 10% 0.037436 0.037436 × 90,450 = $3,388.20 9 90,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 90,950 = $1,705.71 10 91,450 15% 0.056154 0.056154 × 91,450 = $5,137.68 Total BTC Sold: 0.018718×3 + 0.029949 + 0.044924×2 + 0.052420×2 + 0.037436 + 0.056154 = 0.374381 BTC (matches our total acquired ~0.37436 BTC)≈ $33,488.26 Profit on the Trade: Total Proceeds – Total Investment = $33,488.26 – $30,000 = +$3,488.26 Return on the Trade: $3,488.26/$30,000×100≈11.63% On Overall Account: For a $100K account, $3,488 represents a gain of about 3.49% if fully realised on this trade. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Risk = $1,366; Reward = $3,488; Ratio ≈ $3,488 / $1,366 ≈ 2.55:1 Step 4: Profit & Risk Summary Metric – Per Trade - Based on $100K Account Total Investment - $30,000 - $30,000 (30%) Risk (Stop Loss) - $1,366 (4.6%) - $1,366(1.37%) Profit (Closed) - $3,488 (11.63%) - $3,488 (3.49%) Profit + Runner - $4,311.18 (14.37%) - $4,311.18 (4.31%) Risk-to-Reward Ratio Calculation: If Stop Loss Hits ($76,500): Average Entry Price: $80,150 Loss per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650 Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account) If BTC Reaches Our Exit Targets: Total Proceeds: ≈ $33,488 Profit: $33,488 – $30,000 = $3,488 Profit Percentage on Trade: ~11.63% Overall Account Impact: ~3.49% gain on a $100K account Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~2.55:1 Step 5: The Power of Scaling In & Out Capital Protection: You risk only about $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account), protecting your capital even during a series of losses. Optimised Entry: Scaling in from $83,050 to $78,050 yields an average entry of about $80,150—significantly lower than the top price. Profit Locking: Scaling out from $86,950 to $91,450 allows you to lock in profits at multiple levels, ensuring you capture gains along the way. Healthy R:R: With a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 2.55:1, your potential reward significantly outweighs your risk. Discipline & Consistency: This structured approach minimises emotional trading and helps you stick to your plan. Optional Note: While this guide fully closes the trade, leaving a small portion (15%) open (runner) is an option if BTC continues to rally. Step 6: Final Pre-Trade Checklist 🔹 Support & Resistance: Is BTC trading near a strong support zone? 🔹 Technical Indicators: Is BTC holding above key moving averages (e.g., 21 EMA/SMA)? 🔹 Risk Management: Are you only risking 1–2% of your total account? 🔹 Trade Plan: Are you scaling in and out instead of going all-in? Are your entry levels and exit levels clearly defined? 🔹 Market Confirmation: Do volume, candlestick patterns, and order flow support your trade setup? Conclusion ✅ We protect our money by limiting risk ✅ We enter trades gradually (scaling in) ✅ We take profits at multiple levels (scaling out) ✅ We fully close the trade or leave some BTC open to ride the trend higher Final Tips: Common Mistakes to Avoid 👉 Overleveraging – 10x leverage + 2% risk = 20% account risk! 👉 Ignoring Volatility – Tight stops on Bitcoin often trigger early exits. 👉 Never trade based on emotions. Stick to your plan, adhere strictly to your risk management rules, and let your disciplined strategy work in your favour.
Long
by SiDec
1
BITCOIN → The “90K” door opened a corridor to $75,000BINANCE:BTCUSD is changing its market structure to bearish after the 90K breakout. A deeper correction is forming and in my opinion this is a logical and technically correct structure for a healthy market I think it is a wrong siutation when the market is only going up and solely due to buying (injecting huge amount of funds on a HYIP). A bitcoin correction or even a trend reversal can bring a drop of life to this market. Fundamentally, traders have not waited for any active support for cryptocurrencies from the US as stated in Trump's election campaign. Crypto exchange hacks, scam coins and bitcoin dominance are negatively affecting altcoins. Bitcoin's current decline and possible drop to 75-73K could give fundamentally valuable altcoins a chance, provided the flagging dominance index also starts to decline. As the simultaneous flow of funds from bitcoin to altcoins and bitcoin's rise from strong support could renew the chances of an altcoin season Resistance levels: 88150, 90700 Support levels: 75К, 73570, 66830 A small correction to resistance 88.1 - 90.7 is possible before price starts its decline. BTC may try to go deeper, but based on the situation with the market imbalance, lack of driver and support, the price may descend in the medium term and reach the zone of interest and liquidity 75-73.5K. Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
88