BTCUSD to $333,333 by mid-2025Fib retracements for each major phase since the beginning. Each phase has corresponding fib retracement levels to previous phase.
For example 0.786 of each phase aligns with 0.236 of the preceding phase.
If this plays out again, it would suggest the next major top at around $333,333.33 (approximately) for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Furthermore, Fib Time Zone extensions suggests possible time frame for next major price point to be around mid 2025.
Note: All Fib levels have been drawn for personal musings and entertainment, definitely not to be taken as financial advice.
Fibonaccitimezone
BTCUSD Fibonacci Time zonesI have drawn a Fibonacci time zone for each cycle from the top to the point the bottom is reached. After this, the Fibonacci sequence begins to count.
I am starting at the top of 2011 to the bottom at the end of 2011, and these time zones count in vertical black lines.
After this, I drew another Fibonacci time zone from the top of 2014 to the bottom in 2015, and here again, a new count starts and is visible in dashed lines.
Finally, from the top of 2017 to the bottom of 2018, I once again drew a Fibonacci timezone, which is visible in the dotted line. Based on the Elliot Wave principle, in which waves 1, 5, 21, and 89 are cycle peaks, and waves 2, 8, 34, and 144 are complete market cycles.
When I apply this principle to the drawn fib time zone tool described above, I conclude that it gives pretty accurate insight into when possible tops and bottoms are set; each number of each illustrated fib tool is in a different subdivision and grade.
For example, the 3 indicates when the price will reach an all-time high for the first time after a bear market; I marked this in orange.
Red indicates a top of a bull market, and ditto for 13 and 21.
Number 8 shows the bottom of the bear market.
We are again at point 8, where a bottom would be set. In my view, Bitcoin is getting ready for another first impulsive wave of a new trend.
In my Elliott Wave count, in 2019 to 14k wave 1, ABC correction with wave C completed in March 2020. This was followed by an impulsive wave 3 ending in early 2021 and then a truncated fifth in November 2021.
BTC/USDT Long term ideaThis is a personal idea for reference purposes only. I don't recommend anyone to invest in this idea 100%. This is a long term idea so actual price action will be different. Hope u make a lot of money.
Anything that doesn't make sense, please give me a comment. Please motivate me to develop myself and help someone needed.
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Bitcoin Squared with Gan SquareInteresting chart, just having fun with squaring, shows potential support/resistance. Think of the center of the circle as a Sun and each ring as a gravitational orbit, once price action is pushed to the left side of the star, we could see an uptrend(just an idea). If price action losses an "Orbit" then "gravity" pushes it to another ring. Can anyone apply some Rocket science to this so we know when Btc will go to mars?
Bloody Christmas? [Bitcoin and Altcoins with unusual movement]Hi.
Looking at some on-chain data on several blockchains, we have an unusual movement.
Price Drawdown from ATH
The percent drawdown of the asset's price from the previous all-time high.
When the value is equal to zero, we have no drawdown.
When it is less than zero we have a drawdown multiplied by 100 (percentage).
When the indicator hits the top several times at zero value, it indicates a lot of profit taking.
And when it reaches a value less than -0.50, it indicates a lot of loss taking (a huge drawdown).
Since nothing lasts forever, either for good or for bad, this indicator serves to demonstrate the exhaustion of both sides, bulls and bears alike.
What the graphic indicates:
now a maximum drawdown of 100% has been reached since the last all-time high.
Surprisingly, this was higher than the historical value of -0.92 in November/2011.
What can we interpret from this abrupt drop? Perhaps market players agreed to divest their positions at any cost to avoid further losses.
But looking back, the deeper the better the price to buy.
Mean Transaction Fees in USD
The total amount of fees paid to miners. Issued (minted) coins are not included.
High fees mean paying to perform a transaction at any cost!
When rates peaked, the price fell shortly thereafter.
Will it happen again? I do not know.
Mean Transfer Volume in USD
The mean value of a transfer. Only successful transfers are counted.
Looking at this indicator, when we have an increase in volume, we have a price increase.
And when we have a decrease in volume, we have a drop in price.
Right now we have a trend towards increasing volume.
As with the fees indicator, we had a peak in this volume, and generally after that we have a drop in price.
Conclusion
Caution is required. The on-chain data is diverging.
The Price Drawdown indicates a great time to buy, because when it reaches the maximum drawdown, right after the price goes up.
On the other hand, unusual transfers and fees indicate a possible downward movement.
However, it should be noted that it is not because an event occurred in the past that it will necessarily be repeated in the future.
These indicators are just an auxiliary tool.
The best indicator that exists is the price itself, and it will tell us what will happen from now on.
Bitcoin on Black Friday (second part)Hello.
I'm doing another Bitcoin analysis, complementing the first one (or correcting if that's the case).
Now I'm trying to be more simplistic and objective, considering the most recent scenario, and discarding some indicators that say the same thing.
1. Graphical analysis
High Channel
The price is testing the support line.
Now might be a good time to buy.
Moving average of 9-week lows
The price has been above this average since July 9, 2021, and now it's enough to test it for the second time.
My prediction is that it touches the mean and pulls back up.
Volume
Strong volume can indicate a top or bottom.
Volume is low at the moment, which makes it clear that we have not reached the top as the market is making no effort to move the price.
So a new historic high is yet to be discovered.
Fib Time Zone
Plotting the Fib Time Zone, considering the last bottom in March/2020 and the penultimate top in April/2021, we are exactly in the 0.382 zone.
If you consider a new cycle, we have a milestone date on 10/January/2022 at 0.5, and then 0.618 on 21/February/2022.
Fibo 1 ends on 25/July/2022, but until then there's a lot to roll.
What I think is important now is the next 3 months until February.
I believe that after that we will have the crypto winter.
2. On-Chain Analysis
Price Drawdown from ATH
The percent drawdown of the asset's price from the previous all-time high.
When the value is equal to zero, we have no drawdown.
When it is less than zero we have a drawdown multiplied by 100 (percentage).
This is always considering the last historic high.
When the indicator hits the top several times at zero value, it indicates a lot of profit taking.
And when it reaches a value less than -0.50, it indicates a lot of loss taking (a huge drawdown).
Since nothing lasts forever, either for good or for bad, this indicator serves to demonstrate the exhaustion of both sides, bulls and bears alike.
If we look at the historic highs of December\2017 and March\2021, we can assume that we are looking for a new historic high and more profits.
Total Transaction Fees
The total amount of fees paid to miners. Issued (minted) coins are not included.
High fees mean paying to perform a transaction at any cost!
So far we don't have an indication that the world will end up looking around here, so for now the scenario is bullish.
Hope this helps in some way.
Greetings.
Bitcoin's Dump before the Pump ...With the patterns in the Bitcoin chart and the indicator information, it is likely that Bitcoin will drop to 56.5 kg before reaching 70 kg.
The signs of a rise are fully visible, and I think this fall will be a healthy fall for the power of bitcoin.
*** Head and shoulders (bottom)
*** Fibo time zone
*** Stoch RSI
_ Be careful ...
QCOM longEntry price: 124-128$
Target price: 139-141$
Keltner Channels: The price is oscillating close to the lower boundary.
RSI: under 30 level, thus the asset is oversold.
Fib Retracement: The price is approaching 0 Fibonacci level.
Fib Time Zone: The price movement is supposed to occur around 14th of October.
Conclusions: RSI, Keltner Channels and Fib Time Zone suggest the trend reversal in the near future. Therefore, the long position is recommended between 0 and 0.236 Fibonacci levels. Moreover, the price is likely to achieve the target around 0.786 Fib level as there is very strong resistance zone.
No financial advice.
BNB in Correction WaveWhen BNB finishes wave (C) (or (E)) of this Correction Wave + prices be around 406-408-410 (fib levels) + the “time” is right + MFI is “low enough” = I shall go long again
BTCUSDT Weekly with fibonacci timezoneWith the remarkable accuracy of fibo when a new trend forms. We see this wave may not have completed its cycle yet. If 64k is the top of this cycle then I would expect btc to move sideways until it hits fibo timezine 21 and then creates an accumulation. While a number of alt coins have fallen to a very low value from their bottoms, I speculate that it is highly likely that we are in a correction phase of the bull cycle. This is just my personal opinion, thanks for watching and following me.
Anything that doesn't make sense, please give me a comment. Please motivate me to develop myself and help someone needed.
Don't forget click like, it's a hug for me. Thanks you!
BTC - 5th wave finished? Hello trader,
Good mood and profitable deals 💲
After the sharp drop in the 28k range, we were able to see beautiful 4h reversal candles with good volume . Supported by WMA 50. Now the question is can we expect further upward movements in the 50k range or are we currently in wave 3 of the 5th downward wave. I prefer further upward movements. Anything over 50k would make me longtherm bullish , but there is still a long way to go.
4h chart
1h chart
15m chart
BTC.D vs OTHERS.D
I call the top
I manage to call the end of the 5th wave as well? Follow the green arrow to the point
FIB logscale roadmap with fractal
I would like to mention that all I post are just options and my own opinion !
Always trade with SL, and do not risk more than 1% of your portfolio (max 3%) per trade.
➡️If you like my posts smash the like👍👍 button, comment or follow me.⬅️
Thanks for reading my ideas,
Trade save!!
When next VIX boom?Vix has been consolidating for a while, making my options relatively cheap to buy.
I generally discount the fib time zone tool because it is entirely dependent on how it's drawn. It is easy to fall prey into drawing to fit the pattern after the fact and therefore very prone to being a subjective tool.
But this is at least interesting to draw to get a sense of rough price timing, especially with VIX since its precise magnitude doesn't matter.
Drawing the 0->1 between the first two peaks of the first two parabolic highs after a long consolidation gives the following pattern:
0: Peak
1: Peak
2: not interesting enough
3: Peak
5: Peak
any time zone beyond this figure is too crazy to even attempt (if timing the market is that easy we'd all be rich).
///
Never use this tool to make a decision.
That being said, it's interesting to look at and gives a broad perspective that volatility may be close to finishing its consolidation pattern in the coming months. Eyes peeled now.
BTCUSD - Daily Outlook Over the last couple of weeks Bitcoin has be trading in a sideways range consisting of a triangle pattern. Using time projections, we will have completed about 75% of this triangle pattern between June 2nd and 3rd. At that time we should anticipate price reuniting with the 21 day average which has not been checked in with since the 13th of May. After June 3rd we should anticipate price start to complete the E leg of the Bearish Triangle before breaking out in either direction. Current Bias us sideways to up.
SNDL breakout trade !!Hello Trader,
good mood and profitable trades !
As you can see on the chart, SNDL forming a bullisht chartpattern !!
MACD : divergence an d bullish cross
RSI and STOCH: bullish divergence
TRIGGER: breakout whit confirmation on LTF or bullback
Fib bretracemant act as targets
SL if price falling back in the pattern under 0.618 , or under 1d ma20 !
Remember that things can change too .
If you like this idea , support me with likes and comments !!
Dyor and trade save !
Doge/USD FIB roadmap PART IIHello Trader,
good mood and profitable trades
If you're new in the game,and you are interested in my plan, check out my previous analysis :
DOGE/USD PARTI, Altcoinsession is comming, SC /USDT roadmap, , HOT/USDT and LTC/USD and BTC Hype PART III
This chart is a combination of 2 Fib channel, and Fib retracement. Confluence areas of the fibs are key price zones to watch... and act as targets !!
I would like to mention that all I post are just options and my own opinion !
Always trade with SL, and do not risk more than 1% of your portfolio (max 3%) per trade.
Discipline is the key to success !
Unfortunately, my english is not so good and I work with google translate, but if you have any questions I will be happy to answer them .
If you like my posts smash the like button, comment or follow me.
Dyor an trade save !
SC/USDT Algo roadmap !!Hello Trader,
good mood and profitable trades !
If you're new in the game, check out my previous analysis Altcoin session is comming, BTC fractal , HOT/USDT and LTC/USD !!
This chart is a combination of 2 Fib channel,Fib retracement and Fib time. Confluence areas of the fibs are key price zones to watch... and act as targets !!
I will post updates as price action progresses
TRIGGER: breakout whit confirmation on LTF or bullback
Remember that things can change too .
If you like this idea , support me with likes and comments !!
Dyor and trade save !
Bitcoin $666k by Dec? (I know it sounds crazy) Happy New Year!Let me start off by saying I hold a very small position in Ethereum, and do not think that Bitcoin will be the currency of the future. However, I came across this built-in ratio and couldn't resist playing around with Fibonacci time-zones to see if anything interesting popped up. The (potential) results I came across shocked me, so I thought I'd share them here and get thoughts from the community.
This is a Logarithmic chart of the ratio between Gold and Bitcoin. As we can see, there is a very clearly defined trend at play here. This trend saw a false breakout to the upside, which we can call the Covid anomaly. Other than that, it seems pretty clear that Bitcoin is being driven up as gold is being systematically crushed. To add to that, applying a Fib time-zone to the initial drop from Nov 2011-2013 as Gold came off its highs almost lines up perfectly with future pivots (O_o). This is where things get really interesting.
While my macro outlook calls for a major commodities bull market, I see gold initially rallying to $2500 this year, and silver to $42.70 before an engineered pullback to shake out retail investors before the true multi-year bull market. During this time, we are likely to see a flight into BTC/other cryptocurrencies, if it's not also being systematically crushed at the same time. Crypto bulls say it can't be crushed, so let's assume they are correct for the sake of this analysis.
The results show the following:
-XAUBTC Ratio Bottom = ~0.00377
-Ratio Bottom Date: ~Dec 12, 2021
-BTC Price if Gold @ $2500 = $663 130
-BTC Price if Gold @ $1700 = $450 928
I understand that there is a big range for the target, but it's rooted in analysis and dependent on the spot price of Gold. Curious to see what other people's targets are, and what methods you used to calculate them. Thank you for reading and happy trades!
TL; DR: This post is NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. It is simply an interesting projection for calculating a bullish target for BTC using Gold price.
UPDATE OF XAUUSDAs I say in my previous analysis we expect of gold to have a corrective B wave and from the next week we expect gold to go to 1900
all my analysis ( Elliot waves / Fibonacci RET / Trend lines / Resistant and Support ( still waiting for harmonic :D ) ) says that gold would stop between 1790 - 1800 and then it go for the C wave and Fibo PRO of A wave starting at the bottom of B wave says that we could reach for 1900
for now we just wait and observe
may force be with us :D
previous analysis down below
BTC/USD: Long Term Time Zones and Technical IndicatorsDisclaimer:
This is merely a speculative theory on Bitcoin's next potential move.
I trade based on confirmations provided, rather than predicting Bitcoin's future price action.
The future is something we need to prepare for, rather than predict.
In this post, I'll be providing my own theory based on a combination of Fibonacci Time Zones, and technical indicators
Analysis
- To begin with, we can see that Bitcoin's local tops and bottoms take place near the 618 Fib zones
- It showed local bottoms at 2.618, and 4.618, and local tops at 3.618, and 5.618
- The only exception was 1.618
- We can also see that by time zones, Bitcoin demonstrates consecutive up-trends and downtrends
- Technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) help our understanding
- The RSI reached overbought territories near local tops, and oversold levels near local bottoms, before a clear trend reversal
- The MACD, on the other hand, demonstrates death crosses near local tops, and golden crosses near local bottoms, after a trend reversal is confirmed
- The RSI on the weekly acts as a leading indicator, and the MACD as a lagging indicator that provides confirmation for a trend reversal
- The 200 Simple Moving Average (SMA) acts as long term trend support on the weekly, as both the local bottoms at 2.618 and 4.618 have bounced on it
- As the RSI is reaching oversold levels at the moment, passing through the 5.618 point, we could potentially expect a trend reversal
Conclusion
The chart above is a good chart to refer to for the long term. It allows traders to identify potential points of reversal, as well as key areas of support. Should this theory play out correctly, we should see a corrective trend for Bitcoin in the coming weeks.
If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content!
I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
Gold comfortably climbing up Remaining bias bull. Lots of news coming up could get shaky but bull bias remains strong.
High demand of physical.
Virus and world in fear.
Shattered economy's and investors looking for safe heaven.
New high's have been made, panic buy will come in, shorts will get swallowed and push price higher.
Time will tell!
good luck. Ideas are not gospel