Bitcoin's Capitulation Window, a close-up lookIf the fractal of the 2014 bear market is, in fact, repeating and gives us the clues then May 2021 seems to be what is written on the wall for Bitcoin's final capitulation-making-low.
Check out the related idea that is linked to this idea to learn more!
keep calm, hodl
Fibonaccitimezone
BTC -Updated bear scenarioI realized on my last analysis that we can't have an ending diagonal at my last forecast. Rather a continuation of the tested WXY-WXYXZ combo correction. Along with the 50 and 200ma DEATH CROSS.
Trend is our friend. Simply break that resistance line then this bear scenario is invalidated.
Fractal Fib Fan Full of Fun on Cardano! (ADA)Hello Friends, Traders, everyone,
In our last analysis, 1025 was identified as a probably buy zone with a target of 1300 Satoshi. That is still a good trade plan, but as you can see above, I have added some more hopeful targets. I don't have a plan for shorting ADA, simply I will be long or not in a trade at all. There just isn't really anything to give me a solid path for a short.
ADA seems to be quite responsive to the Fib Time Zone tool, as you can see above (pink dotted lines) we had a strong reaction to the 0.618 time zone which caused ADA to break out of the Fib channel and up to where we are now, retesting the channel support ~1150 ish area
That 0.618 timezone just so happened to coincide with the 50% resistance line, resulting in a nice pop and what is probably a new impulse wave that should carry us easily to Target 1 @ 1300.
Hopefully, momentum from this price action combined with healthy fundamentals as I've seen coming out of Cardano's corner will propel this coin to retest old highs....
If you aren't in ADA already, the green buy zone may be a good place to try.
Good luck, traders!
Ready Player TRON! - (TRX)Good morning Friends, Traders, Everyone...
I hope everyone has enjoyed the price action as of late! I sure have! Many coins are seeing drastic moves in what many are calling the new bull market?!?
I don't know about all that, but let's look at one of the coins everybody knows has been prone to some 'high profile' attention.......TRX!
In our last analysis,we observed TRX retracing from it's last impulse wave, finally settling down in this Fib channel where it has began to show signs of bubbling - right on time.
What have we got going on here? Well, analyzing the last impulse wave, we see that Tron is attempting to fight its way back into the fib channel above. Now, TODAY, we enter the 200% Fib Time Zone. In the past, this has been cause for significant influence on price. I want to see a strong reaction from this time zone. Also, you see sloping downwards I've got a Fibonacci speed resistance fan indicating also here that this is a crucial moment as Tron begins to grind against the .618 line....
Finally, we have the Fibonacci Circles, which provide exciting insight into the effect of time on the chart! Tron has been forced to move up as it nears ever closer to the Fib Circle's 1.618 Golden Ratio
It will continue to squeeze on all timeframes until finally it can't take being pigeonholed into this many Fibs at the same time....
In conclusion, TRX is definitely due for a pop! I would watch this closely. The targets from our last analysis are reasonable, so I will reiterate them now. First take profit is 550 - 575, Target is 777.
TRX has the potential to go much higher.
(OF COURSE, THIS IS SUPPOSING THAT BIG MONEY DOESN'T COME AND STOMP/DUMP ON BITCOIN...)
Good Luck, Traders!
Previous Analysis:
QUICK, EVERYONE PANIC - BITCOIN! (BTC)Hello Friends, Traders, Everyone!
For those of you who have taken a peek at my analysis on XAUUSD, you know how fond I am of this new (experimental) method of TA which uses a combination of Fib tools.
I thought, that this action on bitcoin would be a perfect place to see what kind of insight it can give us into crypto.
I was shocked at what I discovered
As you can see on the Weekly chart, Bitcoin has been on a parabolic run up until this week. From my last analysis - we hit our first target 127% / $9100 where we had a clear double top caused by the 50% speed fan resistance.
This caused traders to lose faith in the rally, which weakened Bitcoin right before an encounter with the first Fib Arc we have touched since 19 NOV 2018. This Arc just so happens to be the 1.618, the strongest of ALL the coefficients found in the Fibonacci equation. All of this while BTC also encountered the .5 time zone. That, is a lot going on.
Now, moving on to my favorite time frame, the H12. I have outlined the long trade that I will be taking. I can't stress how important a stop loss is here. I am tempted to short because we broke critical fib channel support , but there are also things telling me to go long. I will take this long with a small percentage of profits made from closing my $5150 long. As always with my strategy, stop loss will be the 100% retracement, as a break of that causes the retracement analysis to become invalid and we will have to look at a larger, more senior impulse wave, to find out who's in charge.
I won't drag the text portion of this analysis out too long. I don't have too much time today, busy busy traders :)
Previous Analysis:
A grand picture on timing in Bitcoin1.618 is our golden number here
With the high in December 2017 Bitcoin had just ended it's largest Elliott fractal (big blue wave) which had taken about 7 years plus to form.
There is evidence that Bitcoin currently sits in a major correction that is not only correcting the 2017 bull market but the entire 7 years bull market which could possibly extend the bear market significantly.
With the help of Fibonacci Time Zones, drawing each of them from the lows to the tops for each impulse wave that completed.
All capitulation phases start to align almost magically to the 1.618 number (red marked lines).
The question now is to which of the two red lines are we possibly correcting? my personal guess would be to both of them kinda! Please take this with a grain of salt Bitcoin is the most bullish asset in history just by its pure fundamentals alone a global black swan event could always bring the price possibly overnight to the very moon.
Bitcoin BTC/USD Fib Time Zones and ABCD patternSome thoughts on how BTC/USD will move for the next 12hrs. It seems that a ABCD pattern is forming. So far every single Fibonacci timezone played nicely so the trend should continue until fib 21 and from there either up to $6000-$6100 or another small correction (E?) which normally follows after ABCD pattern.
BTCUSD - is it different this time?!is it? i mean that's it? of course it looks like a bull flag but shouldn't we at least touch the historical support after this deep bear hole? so breaking out of a wedge did the trick? honestly, i don't know. this looks too easy and too good to be true.
i think the big difference is we are way overbought this time. :)
but who knows? maybe the Santa is real!
Hot BCC fundamental news jumped inIn technical view : if BCC could possibly break the Turquoise blue line, first three targets (TP1 TP2 TP3) are available.
Love you all <3
BTC - Price AnalysisAfter the ETF denial there has been continued FUD, fear selling, and about 30~ billion has retreated from the market overall.
Currently, the price broke it's 8k, and 7.5k support, and it's next level of support lies at the 7k-7.2k level.
Stochastic RSI - This is the lowest level the stoch RSI has seen since 5/28~ which means we are very heavily oversold at this point.
Relative Volatility Index - The same can be said for the RVI, it has reached a historically low point that has not been seen since 5/26~
Fibonacci speed resistance - The red trendline drawn vertically across the price shows that the initial bull run started with very little resistance to price momentum.
After the price ran up to ~8490 it had reached a point of momentum resistance and we can see this is confirmed by the tweezer top chart formation illustrated in the sky blue box at the top of the red trendline.
Currently, the price has moved into a zone with much less resistance on the time axis.
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo - Our Kumo has continued to decrease in it's size since the run from 6-8k. Confirming the lessening volatility as seen on the RVI. Furthermore, Senkou Span A is still curled in an upward fashion which may signal a potential bullish twist on the Kumo.
The Kijun is acting slight resistance as the price has dipped under it. Although the Tenkan is still acting as support and has not yet began to show much movement.
For these reasons, I believe we will find support above 7k~
Fibo time zones are showing possibility for a new uptrend.Fibo time zones are showing possibility for a new uptrend. Is possibility to have new uptrend channel with movement to some targets around fibo retracements which first is 6800. I think, uptrend will be in next 2 months, and final targets can be 7400 and 7800 based on fibo retracement and main resistance trend line.
Exotic trade +16% 1 day and a half RocketSo you want to take even more risk ? Just found something for you ! For those new on my trades this is a trade with a risk reward, using also a trailing/moving stop and I usually don't put ratios because I think this is something individual to each trade profile. But you need to use stop because it is a very risk trade so one can risk to loose for example 2% to gain 16% and have a ratio of 8. I will use the standard Fibonacci on 0.236 level as a target and to confirm timing and price with the time Fibonacci and Circle Fibonacci as we can see on Chart BTG ended a complete 1.618 Circle Fib and can rebound now !
BTC/USD support at $7100, $5600, $5000; >$9000 predictionThe ascending speed resistance fan line along with the Fibonacci arc intersect with the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement line, and $btc made a nice pullback if you can see the wick under all the stupid lines I put on the chart.
It is possible that the falling wedge is going to break out soon, since the OBV Shadow indicator along with volume show huge sell volume over buy volume. C M Super Guppy EMA lines turning gray provide further evidence for that. Evidence against a reversal now is the slight increase in short positions.
Based on a retracement beginning 25 Oct., we should bounce off $5,600. If not...
The descending speed resistance fan line intersects with the Fibonacci arc at $5,000. The falling wedge could complete its formation around that area, going for one more dip before rallying.
If Bitcoin value drops below $5,000 and does not make a wick and pull back like it did on the 23.60% retracement, I expect the #btc to be bearish/under $7,000 in the next Fibonacci timezone(11 Feb. - 17 Mar.).
(The Fibonacci timezone is the blue vertical lines in the background, numbered at the top)
Finally, if we do rally from the wedge, the ascending fan line should be about where $btc value will be headed, and we should be staying above $9000.