Gold – Potential Bearish Continuation After Lower High FormationMarket Context:
Gold has shown strong bullish momentum in recent sessions, but the current price structure hints at potential exhaustion. After forming a possible lower high near the $3,220 zone, price action has started to roll over, and the market may now be transitioning into a distribution phase.
Technical Breakdown:
- The chart shows a clear uptrend leading into the $3,220 region, followed by a rejection and initial breakdown.
- A lower low has already been printed, signaling a potential change in character (CHOCH) from bullish to bearish.
- A Fair Value Gap (FVG) has been left behind on the move down, sitting between approximately $3,160–$3,180. This area could act as a supply zone if price attempts a retracement.
Bearish Scenario Development:
Price is expected to retrace back into the FVG (imbalance), where selling pressure may reappear. This area also aligns roughly with a 0.28 Fibonacci level from the recent impulse down — a common retracement point for corrective moves in a shifting market.
Should this retracement hold and show rejection (e.g., wick rejections, bearish engulfing, displacement), the market could resume downward movement, continuing the developing bearish trend. The next potential liquidity target sits around the $3,060–$3,040 zone, aligning with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement of the prior bullish move.
Key Technical Levels:
- Supply/FVG zone: ~$3,160–$3,180
- Current resistance region: ~$3,220 (prior swing high)
- Potential demand zone: ~$3,060–$3,040 (0.618–0.65 retracement)
- Deeper retracement zone: ~$3,000 (0.786 level and prior structure confluence)
What to Look For:
- If price retraces into the FVG and shows weakness, this could confirm the lower high and continuation of the bearish leg.
- A clean break of the $3,060 level would further validate the bearish bias, likely drawing price toward deeper retracement zones.
- If, however, price reclaims and holds above the FVG zone, the bias may shift back to bullish, and a reevaluation would be necessary.
Conclusion:
Gold is currently setting up a possible bearish continuation following a lower low and signs of exhaustion. The upcoming reaction to the FVG zone will be crucial. If the market respects this supply region, it could offer a clean move toward the $3,060 area and possibly lower. As always, let price confirm before acting—structure and reaction at key zones remain vital in this unfolding setup.
Fibonnacci
SOL Bulls Strike Back — But Is It Sustainable?Solana continues to respect technicals with precision — after a +42.9% move from the $95 low, we're now at a pivotal moment in price structure. Let’s break down what’s happening and where the high-probability setups lie.
📍 Key Bounce Zone – Golden Pocket Confluence
Local Low: $95.26
Golden Pocket Zone (0.618–0.666): $97.09–$94.82
This area acted as a major demand zone, with price sharply rebounding.
First Volume Spike: Followed by retracement into Golden Pocket Zone at $102.
Second Volume Spike: Occurred right after touching Anchored VWAP ($108.21) from the $95.26 low, which added beautiful confluence with the Golden Pocket Zone – a secondary high-conviction long entry.
📈 Rally to Resistance – Short-Term Climax
After the anchored VWAP retest, SOL rallied into the key resistance zone aligned with the 0.786 Fib retracement from the previous down move — a historically reactive level and a prime profit-taking zone.
Monthly 21 EMA ($135.83) and the monthly 21 SMA ($133) — both key dynamic resistance zones.
Low-volume retest of that key high suggests buyer exhaustion, not continuation — a classic setup for a short-term reversal.
🧭 Current Market Structure
Current Price Action: Trading above both the weekly open ($128.38) and the monthly open ($124.54).
This forms a critical S/R zone between $124–$128, now acting as a potential battleground for bulls and bears.
As long as price stays above this zone, momentum remains with the bulls.
🔍 What to Watch Next – Reclaim or Reject?
Key Support to Watch:
$125 (psychological level) and monthly open at $124.54 – This zone is likely to be liquidity-hunted. Expect a sweep of this low, look for the reaction.
Daily Support Confluence: currently at 21 EMA: $123.77 & 21 SMA: $123.27
1.) 📈 Scenario A – Bullish Reclaim:
If SOL sweeps the low and shows strong buying reaction (bullish engulfing candle, volume spike), it sets up a potential long opportunity towards the weekly open, to watch for the next reaction.
2.) 📉 Scenario B – Failed Hold:
If there's no bullish reaction at $124–$125, expect further downside.
First target = $122
Second target = $120.65
🎯 Tactical Game Plan
Bulls:
Watch for reaction at $124–$125 – potential scalp long with tight SL.
Confirmation on volume expansion and break of $128.38 for continuation.
Re-enter long after clean retest of weekly open from above.
Bears:
Short setup possible if weekly/monthly open is broken and retested as resistance.
First TP = $122, second TP = $120.65.
A Bitcoin Fib-Time Based Cycle (Concept #4)In this chart we see the 4th Fib-Time based concept for Bitcoin. We take a simple approach in this chart, in comparison to my other concepts which are linked below. I published this chart because the results suggested that we are currently in the DCA out phase and that it ends in 30 weeks, somewhere around Oct 2025. The placement of these fib times are in pre ATH peaks, that start from 2012 pre launch into 2013 ATH and they continue again into 2016 pre launch of 2017's ATH and so on.
Without going to in-depth the signposts label DCA in and out phases. For 3 cycles they have been decently placed. However, we cannot discount that we do not need to repeat this pattern, we could be on the road to something very different. Although, the low in 2022 did fall within this period yet again.
Importantly, this is not a price prediction or estimation, nor does it offer an overall bearish or bullish take. Although the outlook seems bullish (short-term), cycles can play out over the years, and we may not have seen Bitcoin's final cycle just yet. This is why this is an alternative concept to others I have been exploring.
This merely presents a conceptual analysis of Bitcoin's time and cycles to date, highlighting key pivotal points worth watching for. Timing can be just as crucial as managing risk. Having a plan to correlate these factors allows you to spend less time watching charts and more time enjoying whatever you want.
Key Takeaways:
- It appears that in times to DCA out, the price exhausts towards the end of the signposts. Where as for times of DCA in, the price typically has made its low right from the start of the signpost.
- Both zones are about a year in time, but the bear market extends much longer during the peak bullish periods.
- We are currently reaching the 0.272 in a the next few weeks, which is the fib-time between where we are now. This could cause some volatility.
This is purely a concept and not financial advice. I apologise for the resolution. A screenshot can be viewed here:
Elliott Wave Analysis 🔹 Wave Structure:
The chart shows a clear corrective structure unfolded, currently developing as a complex correction (likely WXY or an ABC):
Wave A: Strong impulsive move to the downside
Wave B: Ongoing corrective rally (possibly a flat or zigzag)
Wave C (anticipated): Final downward leg yet to unfold
🟩 A green target box marks the potential end zone of the correction, aligning with a horizontal support level around 85.35.
📊 Indicators:
🔸 MACD:
Currently showing a bullish crossover (MACD line above the signal line) → supports the idea of a temporary B-wave rally.
Momentum is not very strong → another hint that the move might be corrective, not impulsive.
Watch for a bearish crossover as a possible trigger for the start of Wave C.
🔸 RSI:
RSI is recovering from lower levels, signaling short-term strength.
No overbought condition yet → allows more room for the B-wave to extend.
Key Watch: If RSI enters overbought territory while MACD turns down, it could mark the start of the C-wave drop.
🎯 Summary & Outlook:
We are likely in the final phase of Wave B.
Expectation: One last downward move in Wave C towards the green zone.
That area could offer a strong long opportunity, but only after clear confirmation (e.g., divergence, impulsive reversal, rising volume).
📌 Potential Strategy:
❌ No long entries yet – risk of another drop in Wave C.
🔔 Set alerts around 85–60 – monitor for reversal signs.
📈 Upon confirmation: potential entry for the next larger impulsive wave.
NQ volatility likely to persist until retest of 13k buy zonechart shows it all...expect more volatility this month, likely a retest of 61.8 fib level at 15k & 78.6 fib levels (based on lows from 2023) near 13k before we finally run to the highs again into 2026!
tariffs have similar impact as rate hikes...overall will be digested by markets just fine & we'll head back to the highs as fed sees more freedom to cut given those effects...very incentivized to prevent a "hard landing" economically without also boosting inflation too much, so this is all actually a good thing if you can see it :)
LTC Targets $70: A High-Probability Reversal SetupLitecoin (LTC) has just broken below the critical $80 low, signaling that bearish pressure is firmly in control. Currently trading at $79—just beneath the swing low at $80—LTC is also sitting below the monthly open at $82.98. With the bears flexing their dominance, traders are left wondering: Where does the price head next? What’s the target for the bears, and where can bulls find an opportunity to re-enter the market? Let’s dive into the charts, pinpoint the key levels, and craft a plan that could turn this downturn into a golden opportunity.
The Current Market Picture
LTC’s recent breach of $80 confirms the bearish momentum that’s been brewing since its peak at $147.06 on December 5, 2024. Litecoin enjoyed a stellar 122-day bullish run, soaring +195% from $49.80 to high at $147.06. Now, we’re on the 122nd day of a downtrend—a poetic symmetry that hints at a potential turning point. The question is: where will this descent find its floor, and how can we position ourselves for what’s next?
Support Zone: The $70 Fortress
To identify a robust support zone, we need confluence—multiple technical factors aligning to form a level that’s tough to crack. Here’s what the chart reveals:
Fibonacci Retracement: Using the Fib tool from the 2024 low at $49.80 to the high at $147.06, the 0.618 retracement at $86.95 has already been lost, turning our focus to the 0.786 level at $70.61. This deep retracement is a classic spot for reversals, making it a prime candidate for a support zone.
Yearly Level: At $70.14, this pivot is nearly identical to the 0.786 Fib level, adding significant weight to the area.
Volume Profile: The Point of Control (POC) from a 1.5-year trading range sits right around $70, just above the Fib level. This is the price with the highest traded volume over that period—a natural magnet for price action.
Yearly Order Block: Visualized as a green channel, this order block reinforces the $70 zone, suggesting past institutional buying interest or significant support.
Together, these factors create a $70 support zone that’s brimming with confluence. It’s not just a random level—it’s a fortress where bulls could mount a serious stand.
Long Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy: Use a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) approach to build your position. Start with small buys around $75, laddering down to $70, and increase your position size as price nears the core of the support zone. Aim for an average entry of $73/72.
Stop Loss (SL): Set it below $68 to protect against a deeper breakdown while giving the trade room to breathe.
Take Profit (TP): First Target: $80 (the swing low and monthly open not far off). Main Target: $100 (a key psychological and resistance zone).
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): With an average entry at $73 and SL at $68, you’re risking $5 to gain $27 (to $100)—a stellar 5:1 R:R or better. This is a high-probability setup that rewards patience.
Execution Tip: Watch for bullish signals in the $70-$75 range—candlestick pattern, volume spikes, or RSI divergence. This isn’t about chasing; it’s about precision.
Resistance Zone: The $100 Battleground
If bulls reclaim control and push LTC higher, the $100 psychological level looms as a major resistance zone. Here’s why it’s a HOTSPOT:
Yearly Open: At $103.28, this level is close enough to $100 to bolster its significance.
Anchored VWAP: Drawn from the 2024 low at $49.80, the VWAP currently sits around $102.4, adding another layer of resistance.
Historical Context: The $100 mark has been a recurring battleground, with bulls and bears clashing repeatedly. It’s a price that carries weight.
A rally to $100 wouldn’t just be a recovery—it’d be a statement. A clean break above could hint at a broader trend reversal, but until then, it’s a ceiling to respect.
What’s Next? Bears vs. Bulls
For now, the bears are driving LTC lower, with the break below $80 opening the door to the $70 support zone. That’s their likely target—a level where selling pressure could exhaust itself. For bulls, $70 isn’t just a floor; it’s a launchpad. The DCA long setup offers a low-risk, high-reward entry.
Wrapping It Up
Litecoin’s drop from $147.06 to $79 has been brutal, but the chart is screaming opportunity. The $70 zone—backed by Fibonacci, levels, volume, and order blocks—is where bulls could turn the tide. With a DCA entry at around $73/72, SL below $68, and a main target at $100, you’ve got a trade setup that could deliver a 5:1 payoff. Meanwhile, $100 stands as the bears’ next big test if momentum shifts.
So, will you wait for LTC to hit $70 and strike, or watch the action unfold? The levels are clear—now it’s your move. Use this analysis to sharpen your edge, and let’s see where Litecoin takes us in the days, weeks, and months ahead.
________________________________________
If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know, I’m here to break down the charts you want to see.
Happy trading =)
7 April Nifty50 important level trading zone #Nifty50
99% working trading plan
👆Gap up open 22920 above & 10m hold after positive trade target 23020, 23130
👆Gap up open 22920 below 10 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 22860, 22823, 22709
👆Gap down open 22862 above 15m hold after positive trade target 22918, 23018
👆Gap down open 22862 below 10 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 22818, 22709
⚡big gapdown open 22709 above hold 1st positive trade view
⚡big Gapup opening 23020 below nigetive trade view
Tep . Market new base hi carefully
📌For education purpose I'm not responsible your trade More education following me
“Gold’s Resilience: Sustaining the Long-Term Uptrend”XAUUSD remains in an uptrend and is estimated to be in wave (v) of wave ; more specifically, it is currently within wave iv of wave (v).
In the short term, XAUUSD is expected to undergo a correction toward the 2,948–2,989 area. However, in the broader outlook, I anticipate further upside movement toward the 3,091–3,161 level.
“Weak Demand Signals Potential for a Lower Low”Currently, the position of NCF1! or Newcastle Coal is within wave 5 of wave (C) of wave , indicating that Newcastle Coal remains vulnerable to further corrections toward the 86.55–96.15 range, as represented by the black labels.
A similar pattern is observed in the red labels, where Newcastle Coal is also nearing the completion of wave (5) of wave .
We observe continued pressure on coal demand due to weak consumption and oversupply, as many countries are increasingly investing in renewable energy sources amid slower global economic growth.
Altseason 2025 is upon us *A different take*Welcome back dearest reader,
I've been covering some altcoins i'm bullish on, and a deeper dive into bitcoin dominance is key for their succes. Well the downfall of the dominance that is.
On the chart:
~The fibonacci extension has shown gradual weakness throughout the cycles starting at the 1.618 then the 1, now the 0.786 is inbound. I expect it to be hit soon topping at around 66% dominance. We can see what happened next ''1''
~MFI is hitting an oversold zone like never seen before on the 3 month ''2''
~Stoch RSI is hitting an oversold zone and is bound to see a cross ''3''
Load up on your favourite alts and enjoy the ride.
~Rustle
EURUSD - Bearish Breakout or Bullish Rebound? Key LevelsThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart shows a bearish breakout from the rising channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. Price is currently interacting with the Fair Value Gap (FVG), making this a critical decision point.
Here are three possible scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1: If price reclaims the FVG and re-enters the bullish channel, we could see a rally toward the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level.
❌ Scenario 2: Price could reject at the FVG and continue its bearish momentum but remain above recent lows.
📉 Scenario 3: A stronger bearish continuation could push price further down, breaking through key support levels.
Which scenario do you think will play out? Drop your predictions below! 🔥📊
$NIO Wyckoff Accumulation – Schematic #1 or #2 in PlayMy base case at the moment is Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic #2 , where the Secondary Test ( ST-B ) could mark the very bottom. This idea will be validated for me especially if we see interaction with the High Time Frame Channel projection.
Green Zone:
We have multiple levels of confluence around this zone:
0.786 Fibonacci Retracement from the 2020 low to the 2021 top
MO – Monthly Open level
Volume cluster from previous local consolidation
Blue Zone:
If price drops as low as VAL, I expect it to be just a quick, volatile wick breaching into the Blue Zone.
High Time Frame Channel projection:
ETH - Bearish Reversal Expected from FVG ZoneIn this 1-hour chart analysis of ETHUSDT on Bybit, we observe a potential price reaction from a Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. The current downtrend has left an imbalance in the market, and price is retracing towards the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels , which align with the FVG area.
Key Observations:
🔹 Market Structure: The price is in a bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows.
🔹 FVG & Fibonacci Confluence: A strong resistance zone is marked within the $1,980 - $2,000 range, coinciding with the Golden Pocket (0.618 - 0.65 Fib levels) .
🔹 Expected Price Action:
- A bullish retracement ( green path ) into the FVG zone.
- A rejection from this resistance area, leading to a continuation of the downtrend ( red paths ).
- Potential targets for the drop are around $1,860 - $1,800 , aligning with previous liquidity zones.
Trading Plan:
📌 Short Entry: Around $1,980 - $2,000 if rejection signs appear.
📌 Stop Loss: Above $2,020 to invalidate the bearish setup.
📌 Target: $1,860 - $1,800 based on historical support levels.
This idea is based on market imbalance and liquidity dynamics , so watching for confirmation before entering a trade is crucial. 🚀🔍
Bitcoin Squeeze Point – Breakout or Breakdown?Bitcoin is approaching a key inflection zone where the Daily Downtrend Resistance and the Monthly Uptrend Support intersect. This confluence could be setting the stage for a major breakout or breakdown, and the next move could define BTC’s medium-term trend.
🧠 Key Levels to Watch:
Daily Downtrend Resistance (Red) – Price is testing this descending trendline again.
Monthly Uptrend Support (Green) – Strong support held since August 2024.
Fibonacci 0.5 Level (~79.3K) – Acting as mid-zone control point.
Fibonacci 0.618 Golden Zone (~72K) – Strong historical retracement support.
🟦 Bullish Scenario (Blue Arrow):
If BTC breaks above the daily downtrend and holds above the green uptrend line:
Possible target: 110K, aligning with the 1.0 Fibonacci extension.
Would confirm continuation of the larger bullish trend.
🔻 Bearish Scenario (Not drawn but implied):
If BTC breaks down below 79K and the monthly trendline:
Eyes on 72K for a potential bounce at the 0.618 Fib level.
Below that, potential deeper retracement toward the 65K–60K zone.
⏳ Conclusion:
BTC is sitting at a high-confluence zone. This is not the time to chase—wait for confirmation of breakout or breakdown before reacting.
Gold Price Outlook: Key Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Potential PriceThis 4-hour chart of Gold/USD highlights a critical Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone in the $2,960 - $2,980 range. The chart outlines two potential scenarios:
1. A bullish reaction with a price push toward the $3,040 resistance level.
2. A bearish move breaking below the FVG, targeting the $2,880 support zone.
Traders should monitor price action within the FVG for confirmations, with upcoming economic events marked at the bottom as potential catalysts.
LINK/USDT - Bullish Channel Breakout and FVG Re-TestThe LINK/USDT chart showcases a clear uptrend within a bullish channel. Currently, there’s a potential retracement towards the Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the $14.50 zone, offering a possible entry opportunity. If this zone holds, a new bullish impulse could push the price toward the channel's upper boundary around $16.50. Watch for price reactions in the FVG zone to confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
What is Gold Waiting For? Is This the ATH 3045? In our group, we secured profits in two rounds when gold hit an all-time high of $3045. Currently, we are still focusing on selling at $3040-$3045, as this is the liquidity grab zone for sellers.
I believe we can still trade within the sideway range, and be cautious of the two liquidity sweep zones as I have marked in the image.
Sell Liquidity 3040-3045: We can place Sell Limit orders in this area.
Buy Liquidity 3020-3025: We can place Buy Limit orders in this area.
The reason for this sideway phase of gold is that the market is awaiting the Fed meeting at 1:30 AM tomorrow, March 20th. After that, a strong trend will emerge. My plan is still leaning towards the Buy side, as the market is currently concerned about a potential economic recession in the US.
Therefore, we can focus on making small profits during this sideway period and wait for the next upward wave.
Thank you for your review, and I hope you'll stay longer by pressing Follow.
$AIOZ @AIOZNetwork Future Outlook - with Wider Range$AIOZ @AIOZNetwork ─ Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Schematic #1 or #2 scenarios.
Wider Trading Range: Range defined by Pivots from AR ─ ST
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Note:
A long trade is the most bullish scenario possible.
As always, my play is:
✅ 50% out at TP1
✅ Move SL to entry
✅ Pre-set the rest of the position across remaining TPs
It's important to take profits along the way and not let a winning trade turn into a losing one.
TRUMP/USDTFundamental Overview of TRUMP/USDT:
Official Trump Coin (TRUMP) has gained attention due to its association with former President Donald Trump. With a current price of $11.86 and a market capitalization of approximately $2.37 billion, TRUMP ranks among the notable digital assets in the market. (coinmarketcap.com) Its popularity and volatility attract both investors and traders seeking new opportunities.
Technical Analysis:
We see that TRUMP coin is currently trading within a descending channel, respecting two trendlines that form a falling wedge pattern. If the downward momentum persists, we expect the price to drop into the $4.5-$5.0 range, where we anticipate strong buying pressure to emerge.
Key VWAP levels, highlighted with green circles, act as price magnets, making them crucial points of interest for a potential reversal. Additionally, Fibonacci retracement levels indicate significant resistance around $21.15 (0.618 Fib) and $24.22 (0.786 Fib), which could serve as key breakout targets if the price initiates an upward move.
If the price successfully reclaims these resistance levels, a bullish scenario could unfold, potentially targeting $30+ in the mid-term. However, failure to hold support around $4.5-$5.0 could lead to further downside exploration.
Falling Wedge Breakout in Play? Key Levels to Watch!After analyzing the chart across multiple timeframes, we have identified a Falling Wedge pattern, signaling a potential bullish breakout. Additionally, bullish divergence is visible on most timeframes, reinforcing the likelihood of upward momentum.
Currently, the price is trading above a strong support level at 146.213, indicating a solid base. Our nearest resistance stands at 147.807—a breakout above this level could pave the way for further gains. The next key targets align with the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels, offering potential profit opportunities.
As always, stick to your risk management strategy to protect your capital. Stay disciplined and trade wisely!