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Fibonnacci

Daily DXY The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently indicating the likely direction after closing below 106.965. I anticipate a move back to the 107.200-250 range before continuing its bearish swing. Several confluences support this, including the reversal point, an ascending trendline, a descending trendline, a rejection candlestick, the daily 0.382 Fibonacci level, the 4-hour 0.5 Fibonacci level, and a 4-hour order block. My target for the DXY is 106.083. As for gold, it has reached a new all-time high of 2954.944. I expect a pullback before it heads higher, potentially towards the 3000 level. 4hr DXY Chart 1hr DXY Chart 30m Gold Chart
TVC:DXYShort
by ChartStrategist
1
Why I Believe Brent Crude Oil is Headed to $125 by 2026www.tradingview.com 1. Supply Constraints: Geopolitics & Trade Wars One of the biggest drivers of higher oil prices is geopolitical instability and trade policy shifts. We're already seeing major disruptions that could tighten supply further: Middle East Tensions – The ongoing conflicts in the Red Sea, Iran, and Israel continue to create uncertainty. Attacks on shipping routes and production facilities raise the cost of transporting oil and increase the risk of supply disruptions. Russia-Ukraine War – With Russian oil facing sanctions and restrictions, global supply chains have had to adjust, making energy markets more fragile. OPEC+ Output Cuts – OPEC has repeatedly restricted production to keep prices elevated, and there’s no indication they’ll reverse course anytime soon. U.S.-China Trade War & Tariffs – With Trump leading in the 2024 election polls, there’s a growing possibility that tariffs on China will return. If this happens, energy trade flows could be further disrupted, and retaliatory tariffs could add to price pressures. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) Depletion – The U.S. used a huge portion of its SPR to lower oil prices in 2022-2023, but refilling those reserves will create additional demand, pushing prices even higher. With these factors at play, supply is becoming more constrained, making it easier for prices to rise with even small increases in demand. 2. Demand Boom: AI, Bitcoin Mining, and Agriculture While supply is tightening, demand for energy is skyrocketing in unexpected ways. AI Data Centers & Industrial Demand AI computing is extremely energy-intensive, and as companies like Microsoft, Google, and Amazon continue to expand cloud computing infrastructure, demand for electricity is surging. Many data centers still rely on fossil fuels for backup power and cooling systems, meaning oil and gas usage will continue to increase. Bitcoin (BTC) Mining Bitcoin mining requires massive amounts of electricity, and as BTC prices rise, mining activity expands in energy-dependent regions. With the 2024 BTC halving, miners will have to run at full efficiency, which translates to higher global energy consumption. Agriculture & Food Production The world’s growing population and extreme weather events (like El Niño) are driving higher food production needs. Fertilizer production, transportation, and machinery all require oil, meaning agricultural commodities are directly contributing to higher energy demand. Together, these factors suggest that demand for oil is only going to increase, making it harder for supply to keep up. 3. Oil Price vs. Stock Market: The $100 Warning Zone Historically, when oil prices get too high, the stock market struggles. Some key examples: 2008 Recession: Oil peaked at $147 per barrel, right before the financial crisis. 2018 Market Drop: When oil hit $80+, stocks sold off sharply. 2022 Inflation Shock: Oil reached $120+, leading to Fed rate hikes and market turmoil. Why $100+ Oil is a Warning Sign for Stocks Higher oil prices = higher inflation. This forces central banks like the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates high, making borrowing more expensive. Energy costs impact corporate profits. Companies across multiple sectors will see shrinking profit margins as transportation and production costs rise. Consumer spending takes a hit. Gasoline prices cut into disposable income, which weakens overall economic growth. If Brent crude pushes above $100, expect increased market volatility and a potential selloff in equities. 4. Brent Crude Technicals: Price Targets for 2026 Current Setup Price Holding Key Support (~$70-$74) – Brent is respecting major trendlines, signaling strong demand in this area. Breakout Zone Around $80-$82 – If price moves above this level, it could trigger a rally to $100+. Fibonacci Levels Align with $125 Target: 0.618 Fib retracement at $106 → First major resistance. 0.786 Fib extension at $119 → Likely next target. 1.272 Fib extension near $125 → Final upside target for 2026. This technical setup aligns with macro fundamentals and historical oil cycles, making a move to $125 increasingly probable. 5. Investment & Trading Strategy Long-Term Bullish Strategy Accumulation Zone: $70-$74 (solid support). Upside Targets: $106, $119, $125. Stop Loss Consideration: Below $68 (invalidates thesis). Hedging Against Market Risk SPX Put Options / VIX Calls – If oil rises toward $100+, consider hedging against an equity downturn. Energy Stocks (XLE, Exxon, Chevron) – These stocks tend to outperform during oil bull markets. Gold & Commodities – Hard assets often rally when energy prices increase. Conclusion: The Path to $125 Brent Oil Geopolitical instability + supply cuts = higher prices. AI, Bitcoin, and food production = rising demand. If oil approaches $100, watch for an equities pullback. While no forecast is perfect, all signs point to oil prices rising into 2026. If this trend plays out, investors should be prepared for higher inflation, tighter Fed policy, and increased market volatility. Would love to hear your thoughts—do you think oil will hit $125, or are we headed lower? 🚀📊
ICEEUR:BRN1!Long
by JavierXBT
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) with Fibonacci on Large Candles Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) with Fibonacci on Large Candles (Bullish & Bearish) If you spot a large candle with high volume, whether bearish or bullish, you can use Fibonacci retracement on the candle itself to determine potential reversal or continuation zones. Here’s how to apply it in both scenarios: 1️⃣ Large Bearish Candle (Bearish Bar) 📉 (Red candle with high volume closing near the low) How to Identify a Bearish Candle? ✅ The candle has a large body and closes near the low (strong selling signal). ✅ The volume is significantly higher than previous candles → Institutional Selling (Smart Money Selling). ✅ If volume is high but the candle doesn’t close at the low, it could indicate hidden buying (stopping volume). How to Draw Fibonacci on a Bearish Candle? 1️⃣ Identify the high and low of the bearish candle: • High = The top of the candle. • Low = The bottom of the candle. • This represents the range of the selling pressure in the market. 2️⃣ Draw Fibonacci levels between the high and low: • 0% = Low (Bottom of the bearish bar). • 100% = High (Top of the bearish bar). • Key levels to watch: • 38.2% → Weak retracement, market may continue down. • 50% → Balance point, strong resistance possible. • 61.8% → Potential reversal zone; if price fails to break it, the downtrend may continue. • 78.6% → If price breaks this, trend may change. 3️⃣ If the market continues downward, check Fibonacci extensions: • 127.2% & 161.8% → Downside targets if the bearish trend continues. Confirming Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) for Selling ✅ Sell Entry: If the price retraces to 38.2% - 50% and rejects with weak volume. ❌ Stop Loss: Above 61.8% or the last swing high. 🎯 Targets: • Break of the large candle’s low. • Fibonacci extensions 127.2% or 161.8%. 2️⃣ Large Bullish Candle (Bullish Bar) 📈 (Green candle with high volume closing near the high) How to Identify a Bullish Candle? ✅ The candle has a large body and closes near the high → Strong buying signal. ✅ The volume is significantly higher than previous candles → Institutional Buying (Smart Money Buying). ✅ If volume is high but the candle doesn’t close at the high, it could indicate supply absorption. How to Draw Fibonacci on a Bullish Candle? 1️⃣ Identify the high and low of the bullish candle: • High = The top of the candle. • Low = The bottom of the candle. • This represents the range of the buying pressure in the market. 2️⃣ Draw Fibonacci levels between the high and low: • 0% = High (Top of the bullish bar). • 100% = Low (Bottom of the bullish bar). • Key levels to watch: • 38.2% → Shallow pullback, market may continue up. • 50% → Balance point, potential bounce area. • 61.8% → Strong support zone; if price holds with weak volume, an uptrend may continue. • 78.6% → If broken, trend may reverse. 3️⃣ If the market continues upward, check Fibonacci extensions: • 127.2% & 161.8% → Upside targets if the bullish trend continues. Confirming Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) for Buying ✅ Buy Entry: If price retraces to 38.2% - 50% and bounces with high volume. ❌ Stop Loss: Below 61.8% or the last swing low. 🎯 Targets: • Break of the large candle’s high. • Fibonacci extensions 127.2% or 161.8%. 🎯 Quick Summary: When to Enter? 🔴 Sell: • Large red candle, price retraces to 38.2% - 50% with weak volume. • Stop loss above 61.8%, target at 127.2% & 161.8% extensions. 🟢 Buy: • Large green candle, price retraces to 38.2% - 50% with strong volume. • Stop loss below 61.8%, target at 127.2% & 161.8% extensions.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
XAUUSD GOLD ⇒ Sellers interested in retesting gold.Hello, Traders! As we all know, this week gold made ATH with a red candle and also did a retest to 2799, but this retest is not enough for the continuation of the bullish trend. Here I have presented my analysis regarding gold. Currently, gold is trading at 2799 at the gold support level, as the new week begins in three hours, so gold can do a gap down opening with a strong volume candle, and we can see 2774 in gold because gold is in a strong bullish trend, so it should touch 2774, which is the golden zone of fib to continue its bullish trend. Support Level: 2758 – 2767 Resistance Level: 2815 – 2819 Fib Golden Zone: 2773 – 2763. Liquidity Zone: 2730 (strong low) Because gold is trading in an ascending channel, our aim would be the ascending trendline, but our entry point should be the golden zone of fib. Do not enter at ATH because it is the initial technical analysis, thus our buy entry is quite dangerous, so we will wait for a retest. For now, we can take sell trades for scalping, but always utilize SL because SL is better than liquidation, thus I'm in for sell until 2763. If you enjoy my analysis Please support my concept and follow me for more analysis. Have a wonderful day, thank you!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
ETH | C&H | $8k+++☕The C&H Pattern With a Little Tilt to It💧 This chart showcases how we can grab forecasted targets using chart patterns similarly to my other postings and how we can use these patterns to our convictions BITSTAMP:ETHUSD is currently still trading within the falling wedge pattern and will play a big role into being the cause of the C&H breakout As shown on the chart we can see the main trendline target in orange somewhat lines up with fib extension and C&H trajected target which creates a great confluence in forecasting what's next to come After price makes it's way to breakout at the upper trendline we should see a push towards $4,800 in the acts of a Pullback Trigger and Not Permanent Resistance Price action doesn't go in a straight line forever so we'd have to see a cool off period retesting atop from the breakout (SnR) for a second point contact to launch price further, the first point contact is where we are now, and by adding a SMA or EMA this will allow for optimal accumulating zones The red squares are the major and minor pivot points to calculate the levels for the Fibonacci extensions and also line up with Fib Channel which was measured from the base structure (main trendline in orange). Follow to stay tuned on what price action will do next after this hopefully plays out🚀
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Nathanl19
RVSN | AI Tech for the Railroad Industry | LONGRail Vision Ltd. engages in the design, development, and manufacture of a technology that focuses on cognitive vision and safety system for the railway industry. It operates through the following segments: Locomotives for Shunting Yards, Locomotives for Passenger and Freight Trains, and Light Rail Vehicle. The Locomotives for Shunting Yards segment focuses on the sale of RV200 system to shunting yard operators. The Locomotives for Passenger and Freight Trains segment promotes sales to passenger and freight train operators. The Light Rail Vehicle segment are in the process of developing an LRV system that will be designed for the light rail market segment. The company was founded by Elen Katz, Shahar Hania, Noam Teich, and Yuval Isbi in 2015 and is headquartered in Ra'anana, Israel.
NASDAQ:RVSNLong
by DivergenceSeeker
S&P ES Long setup target 6129 / Calls SPY target 605Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (6020.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (Jan 17) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (6129.00). CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (6129.00), Target 2 at 161.8% (6206.00) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6243.50) Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5983.00). Option Traders : My SPY AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (605), Target 2 at 161.8% (613) and Target 3 at 178.6 (616) Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (592).
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by rose_excellence
BTC IS GOING TO ALL TIME HIGH LADIES AND GENTLEMEN ! BTC ended up in a complex WXY correction. Initially what may have seemed like a FLAT ended up being WXY. No matter how much the MM plays with the market and no matter what news hits the screen, algos always run their course guys. We are in the early formation of wave 3, which will make history. True we may retrace a bit more to tap the lower levels but this will sling shot BTC to the ATH ! Remember the deeper the retracement of wave 2, the higher will be wave 3, a slingshot - - get it ;). Mega hidden bullish divergence on the weekly also playing out well. Invalidation of this idea is at the low of Wave Y. WorD of advice guys, avoid over leverage and practice risk management fells. DCA is the name of the game. When Bitcoin hits ATH, all ALTS will pop like fireworks hence DCA and Spot Buy is the name of the game, especially for all the young bucks and inspiring traders out there. Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
Long
by Pakcryptonomics
BTC/USDT Analysis: Bitcoin Riding the Waves of Optimism As we dive into this BTC/USDT chart, it’s clear that Bitcoin is not just a cryptocurrency—it’s an art form. The chart showcases a detailed Elliott Wave analysis, complete with corrective W-X-Y patterns and impulsive waves screaming, “I’m going places!” Let’s break it down step by step. The Elliott Wave Breakdown Bitcoin has been playing out its Elliott Wave structure with the precision of a virtuoso pianist. Here’s what we’re looking at: 1. Wave (1) to Wave (5): A Symphony of Higher Highs. 2. Wave (1) was the opening act, starting the bullish rally. 3. Wave (2) provided a dramatic correction, retracing as deep as a poet’s feelings on a rainy day. 4. Wave (3) emerged as the headliner, the longest and strongest wave, with Bitcoin shouting, “Catch me if you can!” 5. Wave (4), our consolidation buddy, is taking a breather, making sure BTC doesn’t exhaust itself before the final sprint. 6. Wave (5) looks ready to take the stage and hit the projected target of $128,647.56. The bulls seem to be prepping their rockets for this one. 2. The W-X-Y Correction Before the current rally, BTC went through a complex W-X-Y correction. Think of it as Bitcoin saying, “Let me stretch a bit before the next marathon.” This correction has set the stage for the bullish impulses we’re seeing now. Indicators: The Whispering Bulls 1. Williams %R and Stoch RSI: Hidden Bullish Divergences Both indicators are practically screaming “hidden bullish divergences” like fans at a rock concert. These signals suggest that the bulls are working behind the scenes, setting the stage for the next big move. 2. RSI: Staying Strong The RSI remains comfortably above 50, signaling that the bullish momentum is intact. It’s like Bitcoin is cruising down the highway, windows down, music blasting, and no signs of slowing. The Price Target: To $128,000 and Beyond! Bitcoin has been known to defy expectations. While $128K might feel like aiming for the moon, let’s not forget—this is Bitcoin, and the moon is just the first stop. Key Levels to Watch 1. Support Zones The $80,000 level is a key psychological support. If Bitcoin revisits this area, it could serve as a launchpad for the next leg up. 2. Resistance Levels The $100,000 mark will likely be a battle zone. Expect bears to put up a fight here, but with the momentum we’re seeing, the bulls might just plow through. In Conclusion: Strap In, Bulls Bitcoin is looking bullish on all fronts. The Elliott Wave structure, hidden bullish divergences, and strong RSI readings all point to higher prices in the near future. However, as always, remember that markets love surprises, and it’s always good to keep your risk in check. For now, though, it looks like Bitcoin is preparing for a grand finale. Let’s hope the bulls keep the momentum going because $128,647 is calling, and Bitcoin seems eager to answer. 🚀 Disclaimer: NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE!
Long
by Pakcryptonomics
SPX: MTF Cluster Support at 5,810 with EMA Confirmation StrategyCurrent Technical Setup The SP:SPX is testing a significant cluster support level at 5,810, identified by FibExtender Pro with multiple timeframe confluence. The price has shown a clear reaction at this level, making it a potential launching point for a bullish move. Entry Conditions Primary Triggers Required: 8 EMA crossing above 34 EMA on 30-minute chart (currently bearish) Price breaking above last swing high at 5,850 Price holding above cluster support at 5,810 Price Targets First target: 6,000 (psychological level and major cluster resistance - 4 levels) Second target: 6,170 (cluster resistance - 3 levels) Risk Management Stop Loss Parameters: Place stops below 5,810 cluster support Exit if price fails to hold above EMAs after entry Cancel setup if entry triggers aren't activated Timeframe Analysis 30-Minute Chart: Currently bearish configuration 8 EMA below 34 EMA Waiting for bullish crossover and Price breaking above last swing high at 5,850 Weekly Chart: Strong bullish structure Moving averages stacked positively 5,810 cluster support adds confluence 50 EMA > 200 EMA (bullish) Time-Based Considerations The January 13 time cluster provides an additional layer of confluence for potential trend reversal. This timing aligns with Fibonacci principles suggesting higher probability setups when time and price zones converge. Special Notes The mixed signals between timeframes require patience. The weekly chart provides a strong bullish foundation, but entry must wait for 30-minute confirmation signals to align. The setup becomes invalid if price breaks below cluster support without triggering entry conditions.
SP:SPXLong
by TradeVizion