2281: Potential Bullish Setup (Golden Pocket)Tanmiah earlier broke ATH and took correction
Price is moving in descending channel, however,
price has reached a significant support level
golden pocket (fib level) confluence
breakout will be bullish flag formation
Morning star formation at support level is positive for bullish trend after correction
Entry at current price or after breakout of channel (confirmation of HH and HL)
SL below Morning previous HL
Ride the trend with trailing SL
Fibonnacci
From Leonardo to Trading: The Evolution of Fibonacci LevelsIn the labyrinthine landscape of financial markets, where volatility reigns supreme and uncertainty lurks around every corner, traders seek reliable navigational tools to steer through the tumultuous waters of price movements. Among the myriad techniques at their disposal, Fibonacci analysis emerges as a stalwart companion, offering a nuanced understanding of market dynamics rooted in mathematical precision. In this comprehensive exploration, we delve deep into the multifaceted realm of Fibonacci levels, unraveling their historical significance, evolutionary trajectory, practical applications, and the diverse perspectives that shape their interpretation.
Tracing the Roots:
To appreciate the profound impact of Fibonacci analysis on modern trading methodologies, a journey back in time to the 13th century is warranted. It was during this epoch that Leonardo of Pisa, known colloquially as Fibonacci, unveiled a numerical sequence that would transcend mathematical realms and find profound resonance in the domain of financial markets. Beginning with 0 and 1, each subsequent number in the sequence is the sum of the two preceding ones, laying the groundwork for a sophisticated understanding of market movements rooted in the natural order of mathematics.
Evolution in Financial Analysis:
While Fibonacci himself might not have envisaged the application of his sequence in financial markets, the 20th century witnessed a paradigm shift as visionaries such as Ralph Elliott and Robert Prechter pioneered its integration into trading methodologies. Elliott's Wave Theory, with its emphasis on repeating patterns and sequences, forged an intriguing connection with Fibonacci numbers, laying the groundwork for a symbiotic relationship between mathematical principles and market analysis. This union catalyzed a renaissance in technical analysis, ushering in an era where Fibonacci levels became indispensable tools in the arsenal of traders worldwide.
Unveiling Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
At the heart of Fibonacci analysis lies the concept of retracement levels, a cornerstone of technical analysis that echoes the natural order observed in the Fibonacci sequence. These levels, including 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%, serve as pivotal markers in identifying potential zones of price reversal, offering traders valuable insights into market sentiment and trend dynamics. By applying the Fibonacci retracement tool to significant highs and lows, traders gain a nuanced understanding of market psychology, discerning the underlying rhythm of price movements amidst the chaos of market fluctuations.
Venturing into Fibonacci Extension Levels:
Beyond retracement levels, Fibonacci extension levels offer a panoramic vista into the future trajectory of price movements, illuminating the path for traders seeking to navigate the complexities of trending markets. With extensions such as 161.8%, 261.8%, and 423.6%, traders can delineate potential targets for price continuation after a correction, harnessing the mathematical harmony inherent in the Golden Ratio to set profit targets and manage risk effectively. These extension levels, rooted in the timeless principles of Fibonacci analysis, serve as guiding beacons for traders navigating the ever-shifting tides of financial markets.
Practical Applications and Precautions:
While Fibonacci levels furnish traders with a potent framework for analysis, it is essential to exercise caution and supplement Fibonacci analysis with corroborating indicators and risk management strategies. By integrating tools such as Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index, and candlestick patterns, traders can enhance the robustness of their trading decisions, mitigating the inherent uncertainties of financial markets and maximizing the efficacy of Fibonacci analysis.
A Tapestry of Perspectives:
As we reflect on the journey of Fibonacci levels through the annals of financial history, we encounter a tapestry of perspectives that weave together to form a rich tapestry of knowledge and insight. From Larry Pesavento's exploration of harmonic price patterns to Philip Carret's pioneering work in long-term investing, the legacy of Fibonacci continues to inspire and guide traders in their quest for market mastery. These diverse perspectives underscore the enduring relevance of Fibonacci analysis in an ever-changing landscape, reaffirming its status as a timeless ally in the pursuit of profit and prosperity.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the comprehensive exploration of Fibonacci analysis reveals its enduring significance as a cornerstone of technical analysis in financial markets. From its humble origins in the mathematical treatises of Leonardo of Pisa to its integration into modern trading methodologies, Fibonacci analysis embodies the timeless principles of mathematical harmony and market psychology. As traders navigate the labyrinthine paths of price movements, they find solace in the elegant simplicity of Fibonacci analysis, a steadfast companion in their quest for success amidst the ever-shifting currents of financial markets.
Thank you for reading! I hope this article proves to be interesting for all of you!
🔥 Bitcoin's Biggest Cup & Handle Ever: Fibonacci Golden Pocket!In this analysis I want to discuss the possibility of Bitcoin forming massive cup and handle pattern, spanning over nearly 3 years.
With the halving coming up, Bitcoin's short-term price outlook has turned out sour. With this signal I want to prepare ourselves for the possibility of Bitcoin giving away all of 2024's gains and retesting the 40k-35k area.
My long-term price outlook is very bullish. It's a matter of time before BTC blasts through 100k.
By combining the cup and handle pattern with Fibonacci's golden pocket (0.65 to 0.618 retracement, purple area for sumplicity), I think we're combining two very strong narratives.
1) Bitcoin's bullish long-term outlook.
2) Bitcoin's short-term bearish outlook, fueled by the halving's potential sell-the-news event.
If BTC will somehow hit the 40k-35k area over the next few months, I think it will be an amazing time to step into the market for a move that takes us >100k.
Share your thoughts 🙏
ONDO 4H After a big flash crash during Friday seeing BTC once again test the 4H 200EMA support, the altcoin market took a much bigger hit that we've seen for some time.
In these times it's always good to see how projects react to these market conditions. A strong reaction at key areas after a big pullback can show that there are big players willing to add to or make new positions further increasing the validity of that support level and giving the project a platform to continue moving up. The best case we've seen of this is ONDO, as the chart shows a perfect pullback into the FIB levels which align with a bullish OB provide a great support area, a strong reaction has put price back to where it originally was before dropping with a textbook V-shaped recovery which is rarely found across the crypto market right now.
ONDO is a big player in the RWA sector, a lending protocol supporting tokenized securities as collateral. With open collaboration with massive entities such as BlackRock and Morgan Stanley and Larry Fink personally saying he believes in a Tokenised future. I think it's easy to see why the recovery has been so strong, perhaps even BlackRock themselves buying up the dip?
I think the future of ONDO is bright, now a TOP 100 coin and big time backers targeting range high will be dependent on BTC but with the halving coming soon I believe it will behave. Next Target is $1, the FIB EXTENSION levels often give good price targets but one step at a time.
Bitcoin - macro analysis, determining the potential peak of the Hello, fellow traders. At the beginning, the first observation - we are in such a phase of the cycle that even I want to write something... :) It will be short and to the point. Not everyone will like it, because they don't assume that we get into the rockets, fasten our seat belts and fly immediately "to the moon". My previous analysis (unfortunately not available here, but it is on Twitter) based on a logarithmic chart and a simple RGR precisely measured the bottom of the bear market. When I drew it in April 2022, no one was convinced of such a possibility, no one wanted to see RGR at all. And of course, as I remember today, the voices saying "We will never be below 30k again!"
Coming to the heart of the matter, i.e. the current situation:
1. It seems very strange to me that we did not make a proper correction on the way to the current highs
2. Since we did not make a correction, I think it is very likely that we will make it by bouncing from the previous ATH.
3. The chart from ATH to the current moment looks like an arc movement to me
4. That's why I selected the "cup and handle" formation as an ideal one for drawing a macro projection assuming a correction from the previous peak.
5. I drew a line from the bottom of the bear market to the ATH and copied it above the current ATH to mark the top of the next bull market. Let me remind you that we are on the LOG chart.
6. In order not to limit myself perfectly to the lines from this simple measurement, I made two Fibonnacci retracements:
- One from the bottom of the bear market to now
- Second from the bottom of the last correction to now
7. I marked the peak zone between 5,618 fibo levels
8. I marked the correction zone between the 0.5 Fibo retracements
The potential peak according to this projection is $270-312k, but first we need to break the levels of the green zone.
To sum up, personally I am ready for correction and I expect it.
Greed is high, memes are going crazy - it's time to trick the street and buy it back in a few months, when they will be disappointed in the boom.
🌕🚀Long Opportunity on SOL/USDT: Leveraging POC, Fibs and SMC💰Welcome to my trading idea for SOL/USDT! We're eyeing a long position based on a confluence of factors including the Point of Control (POC), Fibonacci retracement levels, and Smart Money Concepts (SMC) with a Bullish Order Block (OB).
Entry: Our entry point is strategically set at 173.78, residing within the Golden Pocket of Fibonacci retracement levels. This zone not only intersects with significant POCs but also aligns with a Bullish OB, reinforcing its attractiveness as a potential entry point.
Stop Loss: To manage risk effectively, our stop-loss order is positioned at 165.22. Placed below the Golden Pocket, OB, and POCs, this level provides a buffer against potential downward movements.
Take Profit: Our take-profit target is set at 200.20$. This represents our first profit-taking level (TP1) and offers a favorable risk-reward ratio.
By leveraging these technical indicators and market insights, we aim to capitalize on potential bullish momentum in SOL/USDT, while ensuring prudent risk management. Remember to adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance and always stay informed of market developments. Happy trading! 🌟📈
Don´t forget to like (boost),follow me, comment and share it to your friends!
A Bitcoin Fib-Time Based Cycle (Concept #2)In this chart, we take a look at a second Bitcoin Fib-Time Cycles concept (2/5). Refer to the original idea for concept #1 linked below. This Concept #2 is an alternative 8-step cycle phase to my original concept. This zooms out further and takes Bitcoin from a greater 2-phase cycle perspective. This concept is for the long-term investor who aims to track major Bitcoin phases when time is not on their side. Treat each signpost phase as a ranged period mindset until the next is triggered. This is not to be conflicted with the original concept, however, another perspective.
In this second concept, the positioning of the trend-based Fib-Time Extensions has been drawn from Bitcoin's inception to the first impulse rally from 2009 to its 2017 all-time high. From there it is projected sequentially again to 2026. The reasons for placement are through an observational nature in the structure of the cycles, or at least how I see it. From 2009 > 2011 > 2013 > 2017 as being marked one cycle, to 2017 > to now as a potential being marked as the second cycle. A repeat of this cycle however is on a larger scale. The ATHs to cycle lows across these two cycles are also noted as 2011's low from ATH was -93% whereas 2013 was 86%. Thus in 2017, it was -84% and to date 2022 is -76%. It appears that it is 1 larger drop proceeding by a lesser % drop.
Note: These vertical projections are not manually placed; they are based on Fibonacci sequence numbers derived from the noted placements (0-1). Interestingly, where they end up relates to the major pivots across the start and end of the sequence.
Importantly, this is not a price prediction or estimation, nor does it offer an overall bearish or bullish take. Although the outlook seems bullish, cycles can play out over the years, and we may not have seen Bitcoin's final cycle just yet. This is why this is an alternative concept to others I have been exploring. More alternatives in the coming weeks and months.
This merely presents a conceptual analysis of Bitcoin's time and cycles to date, highlighting key pivotal points worth watching for. Timing can be just as crucial as managing risk. Having a plan to correlate these factors allows you to spend less time watching charts and more time enjoying whatever you want.
Key Takeaways:
With a 1-2 weeks variance, each fib level (signpost) approximately triggers the next phase. It is within that phase expect the noted legend and take that mindset.
Each fib range marks approximately 2900 days (8yrs)
Note that 0.5 is not an actual fib level.
Once a cycle of phases is completed, rise and repeat.
We are 8 weeks, 3 days until we hit the next phase (Climb the Wall of Worry)
This current second iteration cycle is projected to end in Dec 2025.
This is purely a concept and not financial advice. I apologise for the resolution. A screenshot can be viewed here:
$GME: Return to $15? 🚀🚀🚀Hi everyone,
In my previous analyses, I anticipated a potential price drop that could form a double bottom pattern if GameStop earnings weren't great. Recently, GameStop's stock failed to surpass a crucial weekly indicator, leading to a sharp decline. Moving forward, if the stock rebounds, I'll be monitoring its response to the first resistance level; breaching that could signal a push towards significant resistance on the daily and weekly charts.
Will update here if something exciting happens. Maybe insider buying in the next 2 weeks?
$GME: 🚨 Most Important TA Ever. $21 and beyond 🚀💎🙌Hi Everyone,
In my previous posts, I explained that NYSE:GME needs to remain above crucial levels to ascend, predicting a bounce between $13-$16 before earnings. Here we are, and according to my indicators, $15.44 needs to be surpassed and maintained tomorrow for a climb to $21 . Currently, during Robinhood's extended scam hours, it's at $15.68, peaking at $15.78.
What happens after reaching $21?
If GameStop reports profits exceeding Wall Street's expectations, we could see a breakthrough above this significant resistance level, potentially igniting a meteoric rally to $32 and then $41. At $41—where I'd consider taking profits—some resistance is anticipated. Beyond that, $56 and $298 are the next targets. However, a surge to $21 before the market closes could see a retest of this level, with real momentum expected if it breaks during regular trading hours.
And if we gap down?
A gap down could occur if GameStop's earnings beat expectations but with unimpressive profit margins, potentially leading to a double bottom pattern before a subsequent rally in after-hours trading or the days following.
Conclusion
Get pumped! Envision this: Ryan Cohen and team doubling down post-profit, pushing the price to test $41 and ultimately reaching new highs, with potential buybacks on the horizon. As always, this is not financial or investment advice. Trade cautiously tomorrow, folks! I'll try to post an update tomorrow. If you found this insightful, please leave a like or follow. 🚀
BTC WEEKLY & The Astonishing beauty of FIBONACCI CIRCLES
The first thing to notice here is simply how that RED 236 Fib Circle caused rejection EVERYTIME PA hit it. That is the SAME fib Circle from 2021 and Now, in 2024
That is amazing enough but what is ASTOUNDING is simply that the Root points used to create that Fib Circle are based in 2023, in fact, it is Jan 2023 and then the first high after.
SO, This Fib circle that technically did NOT EXIST in 2021 was rejecting PA. And not Just once, it rejected PA in 2021 14 times on a weekly Chart.....14 weeks of rejection.
Just let that sink in.
That last rejection was so strong, we only Just managed to come back up to hit it again last week after a 2 year Bear.
So, What now ?
What us different now is how, the last candle went down and bounced off the lower Fib Circle....that happened once last time and PA fell away for a few weeks after.
This could easily happen agani as we have a falling overbought RSI, as it is on the MACD.
We will have to wait and see what happens But this Fib Circle HAS to be broken at some point and I doubt we have the strength right now....
But, this is Bitcoin - Anything can happen and often does.
ARM - Momentum trade SMCI set some wild fire across all Semi-names. There will many sympathy plays across this sector this week, IMO.
I caught the ARM Short squeeze last week from 120 to 160. and I got few more commons when it dipped.
Below is the trade plan for commons, If you are trading options, have a tight stop loss.
Long between 137-145
Stop Loss - 130
Target #1 154
Target #2 172
Target #3 186, after a pullback.
COIN - Reckoning Incoming?COIN has been on an epic run. What goes up must come down as they say... but Bitcoin is at 73k tho bro. Just think of all the people who bought when it was at ~$50. A lot of institutional investment decided they were not going to miss out crypto this cycle and anticipated the run up. They are definitely going to take profits now that they are up almost 400% and they are also going to make sure to take advantage of the recent upsurge in retail interest and start selling into the momentum.
Bullish Fibs Upmoves in Oil - Now, Needs to Defend 61.8% LineOil has held bull fibs since Feb 1. The 3 previous fibs are documented and highlighted on the chart. We have been in a wide-range pattern for the past couple of weeks, threatening to keep and hold yearly highs, only to fall back down. Now, it is facing it's biggest test in the upmove, with two different saves at the 61.8% line over the last week. Given the dynamics of the recent down move, I expect this 61.8% line to be challenged early on Sunday night / Monday with a break of 40-60 cents. If we can hold those level above and regain this 77.60 level, I do anticipate a big move to new highs in oil, ALL THE WAY UP TO 82.11.