Diagonal chart pattern and fib ratiorising price has made diagonal chart pattern,
resisting upper trend line while supporting lower trend line.
visual you can sell at upper trend line while buy at lower trend line.
how will you know the exact top ?
this chart pattern follows abde corrective wave pattern , wave e is the last wave which ends at upper trend line.
we will use fib ratio to get numeric value of top. wave abde relate to each other by fib ratio
using fib retracement tool
a + a0.618 = c
c + c0.382 = e
b + b0.786 = c
d + d = e
using fib extension tool
a =e
a1.382 =c
(a+c)0.618 =e
with the help of fib ratio and trend line you can get exact top of the chart pattern,
using Elliott wave theory you can sell high right at the top
Fibratios
No Longer Random: Here's Why I Believe in Fib Ratios & HarmonicsI am going through a book on Harmonics and Fibonacci ratios (The Harmonic Trader by Scott Carney), and I'm seeing for myself how these ratios can be used as key areas of reversal.
I used to believe that day-to-day price action was random, but after looking at several charts for myself, I now reject my old belief and concede that price action is greatly tied to key Fibonacci levels and conforms decently to harmonic patterns.
The key levels I highlight here are
- 0.382
- 1.618
In the first leg, we draw our Fib off of the pivot around the $51 level to the pivot high around the $70 level. Here, we can see a reversal off the 0.382 level almost 100% cleanly.
In the second leg, we draw our Fib off that same pivot high around the $70 level to the pivot low around the $63 level. Here, we see a reversal off of the 1.618 extension level, another key reversal level.
In the third leg, we draw our Fib off that same pivot low around the $63 level to the pivot high around the $76 level. Here, we see a test of the 0.382 level, again.
But wait, there's more.
We can also draw an AB=CD harmonic using the following levels.
- A: Pivot low around $56
- B: Pivot high around $70
- C: Pivot low around $63
- D: Pivot high around $76
The AB leg is roughly the same length as the CD leg.
As you can see, AB=CD reversal also happens to be in that same 1.618 area.
All of this works together in unison.
Amidst all of these reversals off these levels, here's my Golden Rule : Use market structure as confirmation of these reversals. Look for 'M's (double tops) and 'W's (double bottoms), as well as bullish/bearish candles when appropriate, to confirm the direction of the reversal. Don't blindly trade solely off of levels.
I didn't cover them here, but I also love seeing reversals off of 0.618 and/or 0.786 levels. Those occur very frequently, too. Just gotta train your eyes.
$EUR vs. $CHF Daily Chart. Upside Termination| #eur #chf #forex Traders,
The five-wave sub-minuette impulsive pattern is coming to an end, paving the way for the larger minute degree, 5-wave sequence to start its 4th corrective wave structure.
When subdividing wave 3. into five smaller degree waves, we see that its concluding 5th-wave can be seen unfolding into a contracting/ending diagonal pattern, composed of five internal waves, subdividing into 3-wave sequences.
Fibonacci price measurements converge, projecting terminal price targets, which indicates that price action diffuses, loses its momentum and energy, so at that point we create a "reversal signature", where a price rejection could be enough to validate the diagonal's completion.
Downside targets are already measured, however, an update of them will follow after the reversal signature has been confirmed.
Trade with Discipline
Best
$GBP vs $JPY 4H Chart.Incomplete Flat Pattern | #gbp #jpy #forexTraders,
Previous GBPJPY development from 135.595 ( end price of (a) corrective wave) has completed unfolding into a corrective Zig-Zag pattern to 152.862 (end price of (b) corrective wave)
Labelled in minuette degree, a. - b. - c. and subdividing 5-3-5, the Zig-Zag can be ‘proofed’ using fib-price-ratios.
What can be derived from this Zig-Zag is that GBPJPY remains within a larger corrective structure, possible of a flat pattern (an expanding or a running flat).
Original downside targets for the next impulsive wave (c) are towards 139.000(+/-) for a running flat or 133.000(+/-) for an expanding flat where fib-price ratios confluence pinpoint.
Should expect a price-rejection around these levels which would be corroborated if a preceding high would be broken, and/or the upswing develops into a five wave sequence.
Trade with Discipline
Best
AUDNZD is in correction mode bearish forecast for the long termIdea is based on Elliott wave theory. According to my count, corrective wave nr 4 is on-going. Expect price to retrace into the 0.382 before wave nr 5 can initiate. Ratio confluence of waves nr 1 and 3 is used for the selection of the target. Good luck
"No doubt" A Harmonic Pattern.... but...?No doubt
The harmonic "force" is strong with this pattern having many confluence fib lines almost in a cluster around 2132 - 2139.
It fits well with my more overall target for the SP making a top at 2138.04...so I'm of cause biased here..... no doubt.
That said... I do not recognize this pattern from the rulebook of harmonics and I have not backtested it
so it can not be called a fully valid textbook harmonic. The closest I can get to a similar pattern structure is the cypher pattern.
My chart : Bullish Bat (see link underneath) argue for a target 2 at 2105....will price go further.....Well....Time will tell.
Fear not
@BLawrenceM
Plz. consider following me on Twitter...sometimes it's easier for me to make a quick update there.
Music at work:
www.youtube.com (Remember your subwoofer on this on)
www.youtube.com