Finance
US30 H8 - Short Signal 35,000US30 - H8
The US30 demonstrated upward momentum, aligning with the movements of XAUUSD and US100, as anticipated earlier. This surge was prompted by the revelation of inflation figures lower than anticipated during yesterday's trading session. Notably, the index has maintained a robust stance at the significant psychological threshold of 35,000 since August 2023, establishing it as a formidable trading range.
GBPUSD H8 - Short Signal GBPUSD H8
Yesterday evening, we thoroughly analyzed this particular currency pair with one of our coaching members. We emphasized the evident confluences, including notable supply and resistance zones, along with the psychologically significant 1.25 price level.
Today, we anticipate a slightly bullish trend for the USD, anticipating a relief rally after a substantial 190-point decline. Considering the magnitude of the drop, a modest 382-point rebound wouldn't be overlooked.
XAUUSD D1 - Long SignalXAUUSD D1
As previously highlighted in our analysis posts, with the recent weakening of the US dollar, we anticipate upward momentum for ***USD. While a brief dollar relief rally is plausible, all signs currently point to an upward trajectory for XAUUSD. Our analysis combines both technical and fundamental/risk assessments. We are on the lookout for an opportunity to enter the market during a potential pullback, with price targets set at $2,000, $2,015, and ultimately $2,050 per ounce.
GBPUSD: price increase but not stable.Hello dear friends!
GBPUSD is rebounding in today's trading session after dropping to the support level at 1.205. At the time of writing, this currency pair is trading at 1.213 and has increased by 0.08% for the day.
However, the long-term bearish trend on GBPUSD still weighs heavily, with market sentiment towards the Fed interest rates and the strength of the USD acting as significant obstacles for GBPUSD.
From a personal perspective, Karina believes that this is likely just a short-term increase for GU. Using the excellent Fibonacci tool from Trading View, there is a high probability that the upward movement could develop to two perfect levels at 1.215 and 1.220 before the downward trend resumes.
What are your thoughts on how GU will move today and in the near future?
PGR The Progressive Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PGR The Progressive Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 140usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $2.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
BTC/USD Daily Timeframe AnalysisIn the daily TF, after engulfing the $16,218 area, price started to accumulate. This accumulation took almost 60 days and BTC had very low fluctuation but after the accumulation price started to break all the SR lines and even the mid-term trend-line.
As a result of these engulfing these SR lines, we can see FTR zones were formed and had supported the rise in the price one after another. And also cased a formation of a very important base between $19,562 - $20,368. (Referring to the strength of this base and the pattern formed, we can consider this base an important Order Block).
By breaking out of the FTR zone $25,200 (orange) price formed a new FL between $24,745 - $32,376.
Generally, when price of BTC rose to $32,000 we can consider this a pullback to the DP of the weekly TF. And started to distribute.
In the current situation we must take the following into consideration:
⁃ currently price is ranging in a Flag ( indecision area) and non of FLs has been engulfed in order for us to have a clear for cast of BTC future moves !
⁃ As price is in downtrend in the higher TFs, and after making the pullback to the DP of the downtrend pattern price broke the mid-term uptrend trend-line.,The probability of engulfing the lower FL and descent of price to the base which was before the pole (FTR) is very high !
Kindly note that in Financial Market there are more than 1 scenario!
We in fact, by relying on rules and principles of Technical Analysis & also deep analysis of Fundamental Data, try our best in providing you with a thorough analysis together with e most probable scenario for the future values of assets and currencies.
Dollar General (DG) | Short-term OpportunityHi,
A leading American discount retailer, Dollar General operates over 19,000 stores in 47 states, selling branded and private-label products across a wide variety of categories.
In fiscal 2022, 80% of net sales came from consumables (including paper and cleaning products, packaged and perishable food, tobacco, and health and beauty items), 11% from seasonal merchandise (such as toys, greeting cards, decorations, and gardening supplies), 6% from home products (for example, kitchen supplies, small appliances, and cookware), and 3% from apparel.
Stores average roughly 7,500 square feet, and about 75% of Dollar General locations are in towns of 20,000 or fewer people.
The firm emphasizes value, with most of its items sold at everyday low prices of $5 or less.
Technically speaking it has reached inside an interesting area. A few criteria matching with each other and probably it is worth to take a shot, from the shown box - $90 to $119, should be technically okay.
Criteria are simple:
1. The long trendline
2. All-time Fibo level 62%
3. The round number, psychological number, $100
Target around $140 - $150
Good luck,
Vaido
STG Stargate Finance PriceT after Court approves FTX LiquidationGiven the recent developments in the crypto space, there are several factors that point towards a bearish outlook:
FTX Liquidation of $3.4 Billion in Crypto Assets: The approval by the Delaware Bankruptcy Court for FTX to liquidate $3.4 billion in crypto assets is a significant event. This influx of a substantial amount of cryptocurrency into the market could potentially lead to an oversupply situation. When a large amount of assets is dumped into the market at once, it can put downward pressure on prices.
Limited Sales in the First Week: The imposed limit of $50 million for the first week indicates a controlled release of these assets. This may imply that FTX anticipates potential market disruption if a large volume is sold at once. However, even with controlled release, the market could still experience downward pressure.
Potential for Increased Limits: The provision for increasing the limit with the approval of the creditors’ committee and ad hoc committee, or potentially even up to $200 million weekly with court approval, shows that there's room for further selling pressure in the coming weeks.
Binance US CEO Resignation: The resignation of Binance US President and CEO, Brian Shroder, could potentially signal internal challenges within the exchange. Leadership changes in major crypto exchanges can lead to uncertainty and can impact market sentiment.
Asset List: The assets listed for liquidation include some of the major cryptocurrencies in the market such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, WBTC, WETH, USDT, SOL, XRP, STG, APT, BIT, DOGE, MATIC, FTT, TON and more. If a significant portion of these assets are sold off, it could have a widespread impact on the market.
Market Sentiment and Confidence: These events combined might lead to a loss of confidence in the crypto market, especially if investors perceive them as signs of instability or potential oversupply.
Regulatory Considerations: The fact that a bankruptcy court is involved in this process highlights the regulatory environment surrounding cryptocurrencies. Heightened regulatory scrutiny or intervention can have a dampening effect on the market.
Considering the above, my Price Target for STG Stargate Finance is $0.35.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
DXY D1 - Long SetupDXY D1
Looking for a bit of a pullback, most likely now towards this 104.300 price before then gearing up for the final move towards that 105.500 price as indicated.
We were initially expecting straight continuations to that 105.500 price without the corrections, but since market open, that's no longer the case. Not expecting too much today, but hopefully this correction is opportunity to jump in long tomorrow.
DXY H4 - Long SignalDXY H4
So far the dollar playing out like poetry to start the week, we have seen the breakout following a smaller than expected correction yesterday, bullish bias confirmed nice and early in the week.
Not much US related data today, so let's see what unfolds as the overlap comes into play. Possible correction to retest the latest broken zone before taking off again.
Tesla (TSLA) | Approaching a Strong Support Level!Hi,
The well-known Tesla (TSLA)
Just in case I have to "reveal" my next buying zone in time because the pullback has started and it can be quite aggressive. Preparing is the key, and let's prepare then ;) The last idea TP levels reached perfectly, ~$300...
To the point, my eyes are pointed around $180 to $215 and the criteria are:
1. The trendline - the trendline has been drawn from the closing prices to remove the noise from the candlestick chart. If you use a candlestick chart then the closing prices are the right way to go if you want to remove the extra noise that wicks can make. Atm this major downward trendline has been broken during June and if the price starts to reach back there to retest it then it acts as a support level, as a buying opportunity for you!
2. Strong horizontal price zone - the middle gray area has been worked as a support and resistance level multiple times. Basically, if the price reaches there then investors "feel" it and something always happens. Hopefully, this time is not an exception and we can see quite a solid reversal from there.
3. The round number $200 - it is solid confirmation to the horizontal area if it matches with the round number and currently there is $200 waiting for us inside the marked area.
4. Minor trendline - the blue trendline, currently drawn from body to body, the third touch should add a bit of strength to the optimal buying zone.
5. EMA party - Moving averages on every timeframe which all should add strength: Weekly 50 and 200 are inside or close to the shown box, and Monthly 50EMA is inside the optimal zone to support the price.
6. Fibonacci retracement 62% , golden ratios, are inside or slightly under the buying zone.
7. The structure - it is mid-term bullish because we have there also a mid-term new higher high (HH) and probably this area around $200 can be a possible new mid-term higher low (HL)
* Considering technical analysis then the optimal buying zone should stay between $180 to $215
* First short-term targets updating on the chat room.
Good luck!
Coinbase (COIN) | Solid Price Action From The Current Bottom.Hi,
COIN has made quite a decent bottom price action but is it enough? Some months ago mentioned in the chat room that $50 can be the spot from where to grab it technically, and back then it worked quite well. The second option was after the breakout above $75.
Currently, we have a break above $75 and for me, this is quite a decent breakout - this mini bullrun managed to push above:
1. Bottom price action has drawn a bullish chart pattern called Inverted Head & Shoulders and it is activated because the mini-bullrun managed to break above the pattern neckline - now, if the price comes back and retests this area then it is an optimal buying zone and it should act as a support level.
2. Weekly EMA50 supporting the price. Basically, the average price of the last 50 weeks start to act as a support level of around $75
3. The round number $100 even got broken after the mini-rally.
4. The strong horizontal area itself got smashed and now this entire area should act as a support level to hold the price, gray horizontal line.
* Considering technical analysis then the optimal buying zone should stay between $50 to $75
* First target will update on the chat.
Good luck!
KAKOBANK WCA - Cup and HandleCompany: KAKOBANK
Ticker: 323410
Exchange: KRX Korea Exchange
Sector: Banking/Financial Services
Introduction:
In today's technical exploration, we focus on KAKOBANK, a prominent entity in the banking and financial sector. The weekly chart showcases a potential bullish reversal in the form of the Cup and Handle pattern, which has been developing over the past 50 weeks.
Cup and Handle Pattern:
The Cup and Handle pattern is a bullish continuation or reversal pattern that signifies a period of consolidation followed by a breakout. It's characterized by a rounded bottom (the "cup") and a consolidation (the "handle"), which precedes a breakout.
Analysis:
KAKOBANK's prior trend was bearish, as illustrated by the blue diagonal line. However, this downward trend seems to have been interrupted by a Cup and Handle pattern, suggesting a potential bullish reversal in the offing. The so-called "lip" or the resistance level of the pattern stands at 29,650 KRW.
The stock's price remains above the 40 EMA, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. If the price successfully breaks out above the lip, a bullish run is anticipated. The projected price target based on the pattern's depth stands at 43,550 KRW, amounting to an estimated rise of approximately 47%.
Conclusion:
KAKOBANK's weekly chart puts forth a promising bullish reversal scenario. A successful breakout above the lip of the Cup and Handle pattern could pave the way for an attractive trading opportunity.
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Remember, this analysis should be integrated into your broader market research and risk management protocols. It's not a direct trading recommendation.
If this analysis proves helpful, please consider sharing, liking, and staying tuned for more insights. Happy trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and shouldn't be considered as financial advice. Always undertake your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
ETH USD Idea Alright, dude, let's catch that wave and read the market! 🏄♂️
So, on the ETH/USD pair, we're approaching a weekly volume capper, which means there might be some significant price action coming our way. If we're lucky, we might see a volume spike that could indicate a potential trend reversal or a strong move in either direction.
Meanwhile, the dollar seems to be waiting for an economic push, possibly during the New York session. This means there might be some economic news or events on the horizon that could influence the dollar's movement.
Now, let's ride the wave of optimism and interpret the market's signals as they come. Just like a carefree surfer, we'll go with the flow and adapt to the market's movement. We'll keep an eye on the volume and price action on the ETH/USD pair and remain open to any surprises the market might throw our way.
Remember, dude, the market can be unpredictable, just like the waves in the ocean. So, we'll stay calm, observe the patterns, and make informed decisions. And no matter what happens, we'll approach it with a peaceful mindset and ride the market like a true surfing pro. 🤙
Good luck, my friend, and happy trading! May the waves be with us! 🌊✌️
Mastercard (MA) | ATH Monthly & Weekly Candle Close Confirmed!Hi,
The second technical confirmation after the June close (the first one was a previous idea Walmart) came from Mastercard (MA), buy the strength. Almost the same setup as Walmart has.
Mastercard is one of the largest payment processors in the world, having processed close to over $8 trillion in transactions in 2022. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
$380 to $400 the hardest fight in Mastercard history. Haven't been such a price level or price action at where the price of MA has been stuck so long. Actually, the fight is not fully over but the price action and the market sentiment are quite promising. The fight is not completely over because it would be ideal if we have also a monthly candle close above $400. Atm we have a weekly candle close above it so at least we have there something and it is already a good sign.
Now, the real technical reason why I want to share it is that MA got the highest monthly candle close and it occurred slightly above the strongest price level in that area. Plus, we have also the highest weekly candle close, and it's above $400.
I, personally, like this close, general price action looks bullish, and as said, recent market sentiment is also favorable.
* Considering technical analysis then the optimal buying zone should stay from current prices to $370
* First target $500
Good luck!
Bajaj finserv Bajaj finserv forming a triangle pattern I have spotted it bit earlier I don't know whether it will give a breakout or not but following a smart money concept and strategy risky swing traders can start accumulation of Bajaj finserv CMP 1618 looks like a bullish candle on monthly will close 12 day more for a bullish candle closing
Just a view only
Only for educational purposes
Ask your financial advisor before buying
Walmart (WMT) | The Long-awaited Breakout!Hi,
Waited for the end of June and we got the highest monthly candle close in Walmart history!
The area between $150 to $154 has been like a nightmare for WMT. As you see in the image it has tried many many times to make a breakthrough. Finally, it happened, barely but still, the price of Walmart has got the confirmed move, at least I like to think like that.
Literally, investors are ready to pay higher prices for WMT stock, we got that "letter" from investors, we take it as a sign and we are ready to make a buy from the current prices to $145.
This idea shows also how important is technical analysis! No matter what the WMT stock does from now but if you invested before that breakout (after the price reached the first time $150), then your money has been stuck for half a year to two years (depending on when you discovered it) in this asset! In the meantime, you see that almost the entire market is rallying.
So, if you have such a strong area, as Walmart has there around $150, then it is always wise to wait for a little letter from investors that they are ready to pay the first time, atm within three years, the highest price than before!
As the JPMorgan survey says: more profitable is to buy when the market has made an all-time high than on any random day. Again, it will confirm that the timing/technical analysis plays a key role in investment decisions!
* Considering technical analysis then the optimal buying zone should stay from current prices to $145.
* First target is $180 and currently the major one should stay around $200
Good luck,
Vaido
Charlie Munger's 10 Golden Nuggets!Charlie Munger, the esteemed Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, is known for his investment acumen and his indispensable role in building an investment empire alongside Warren Buffett. Munger attributes their phenomenal success to a set of fundamental ideas that guide their investment decisions. Below are the 10 key principles:
1. Consider Opportunity Costs - It is imperative to approach capital allocation with rigor and discipline. Munger advises to cautiously evaluate investment options and wait for an opportunity with great potential. When such an opportunity arises, allocate capital decisively.
2. Mitigate Financial Losses - Munger identifies common reasons for financial losses among investors, such as susceptibility to trends, excessive risk-taking without safeguards, complacency in the face of losses, and the erosion of purchasing power through inflation and interest rates. Addressing these issues is essential for capital preservation and growth.
3. Decisiveness in Execution - Being well-prepared to capitalize on an opportunity when it presents itself is crucial. Munger emphasizes the importance of quick and informed decision-making when a highly promising investment opportunity arises.
4. Focus on Key Priorities - In a world with endless investment options, Munger suggests narrowing one’s focus on investments with a proven track record, paying attention to relevant details, and having a well-thought-out investment plan.
5. Flexibility in Investment Strategy - The ability to adapt to changing market conditions is essential. Accepting new information, even if contrary to prior beliefs, and making necessary adjustments to one's investment strategy can be vital for success.
6. Exercise Patience - Munger stresses the importance of a long-term perspective in investment. It’s vital to develop and refine your investment strategy, and patiently wait for the results to materialize.
7. Cultivate Humility - It is important to recognize the limitations of one’s knowledge. Accepting that there are things you do not know can open avenues for learning and making better-informed investment decisions.
8. Commitment to Continuous Learning - Staying informed and constantly seeking to understand the underlying reasons behind market movements is crucial. Munger recommends reading extensively and engaging with diverse sources of information.
9. Risk Management - Munger suggests focusing on the value that an investment offers over its price, prioritizing wealth preservation over the sheer size of the portfolio, focusing on meaningful progress rather than constant activity, analyzing individual companies in-depth, and making projections based on fundamentals rather than past trends.
10. Maintain Independence in Thought and Action - Rather than following the crowd, Munger believes in the importance of independent thinking in investment decisions. This requires carving out a unique investment path that aligns with one’s principles and understanding of the market.
In summary, Charlie Munger’s insights serve as invaluable guidance for anyone looking to achieve long-term investment success. By diligently applying these principles, investors can make more informed decisions and build a sustainable investment portfolio.