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EURUSD D1 - Correction before LONGSIn the realm of EURUSD, a flurry of Euro-related CPI inflation data is poised to make its entrance in just a matter of minutes. Our focus is keenly set on witnessing a more pronounced rejection of the psychological price point at 1.10, paving the way for a potential support discovery around the 1.08500 mark or even the significant 1.0800 whole number. As our sights remain steadfast on the unfolding market dynamics, the ultimate goal is to orchestrate a breakthrough past the resilient 1.10 resistance. This strategic move is poised to set the stage for an ambitious ascent towards the coveted yearly high, with our eyes firmly fixed on reaching the pinnacle at 1.25.
Long
by Trade_Simple_FX
DXY D1 - Bullish BounceDXY D1 - Relief Rally The dollar index has undergone a significant retreat, showcasing a robust decline from the recent swing low to the swing high. It elegantly touched the 618 region, displaying a compelling wick, and gracefully closed just above our crucial 103.000 support level. Anticipating a potential rebound from this fortifying support zone, we may witness a temporary respite before a possible breach of the 103.000 support on the imminent second attempt. Meanwhile, the US30, US100, and XAUUSD are scaling impressive heights, mirroring the upward momentum seen in GBPUSD and EURUSD. Stay tuned for a detailed analysis unfolding shortly.
TVC:DXYLong
by Trade_Simple_FX
AUDUSD D1 - Long SignalAUDUSD has successfully executed an upward breakout, skillfully navigating a retest after surmounting the significant 0.65 threshold—a resistant range that has steadfastly held its ground for a considerable duration. Anticipating a pullback, seizing a buying opportunity within that zone seems prudent. A substantial upside potential beckons from 0.65, stretching toward our ambitious targets of 0.67200—a robust 220-point range. Notably, minimal resistance is expected beyond 0.65700 along this upward trajectory.
Long
by Trade_Simple_FX
ALTO's Comprehensive Trajectories: AI-powered InsightsS taying informed is a key to making well-considered decisions. Today, I revisit ALTO, shedding light on its current state, potential scenarios, and the nuanced interplay of technical analytics. A few weeks ago, I outlined why ALTO is considered a risky asset, and in a subsequent update, I signaled a near-term rally in the stock market, impacting ALTO's trajectory. Both perspectives remain relevant today. A s we assess the broader market, stocks may either sustain the rally briefly or consolidate around current levels. The clarity lies in the immediate market reaction next Monday, November 20. A continuation signals further upside, while a bearish pullback indicates consolidation. Even in the case of a dump, the potential for subsequent continuation exists, but it prompts consideration of safer target prices. ALTO 's appeal lies in its allure to traders seeking risk and potential profit. In the event of a continued rally, investors may find the courage to engage with this high-risk, high-reward asset. Conversely, if general stocks consolidate, sentiment could shift, prompting a move from ALTO to less risky stocks, casting a bearish shadow on ALTO. T urning to technical analytics, our Deep Neural Network-based AI, employing Support Vector Machines, predicted a support level of around 1.85. This prediction held true as ALTO bounced from this level on November 20. This level might serve as the target for a potential short position, succeeding the current long position. T he long position's target stands around 2.73, identified as a resistance level by our AI. In a sustained rally, this resistance could be breached, setting the stage for the next target price along the falling resistance on the purple line. As depicted in the chart, the timing of the rally significantly influences target price estimation. Rapid rallies elevate the probability of higher target prices, while extended consolidation brings them closer, possibly intersecting with the two resistances in August. N avigating this landscape, it's crucial to recognize ALTO's risk profile. The 2.73 resistance is formidable, and a bearish event could trigger a retreat to the support level. Below the support, free fall becomes a possibility, underscoring the importance of placing a stop loss, at least below this level. W hile near-term crash signs are not evident, it's essential to acknowledge ALTO's long-term bearish potential. Please note that this analysis serves educational purposes and is not financial advice. Best regards, Ely
NASDAQ:ALTOLong
by Elysian_Mind
Wholesale Inflation Posts Its Biggest Decline in Over Three YearA powerful one-two combination of data pointing to softening inflation is continuing to support investor sentiment and a strong equity rally with Producer Price data this morning showing weaker-than-expected price increases among wholesalers. The data follows yesterday’s release of the Consumer Price Index, which showed no m/m change. Stocks are also gaining additional support from data this morning depicting declining retail sales, which equity players are perceiving as disinflationary rather than contractionary. Markets are bifurcated today, however, with yields and the dollar higher, as bond and currency traders pare back some of yesterday’s bonanza. Consumers Rein in Spending The U.S. Commerce Department reported this morning that retail sales declined sharply in October, as consumer spending slowed from the third quarter’s blistering pace. The resumption of student loan repayments definitely had an adverse impact, as a portion of wages were allocated to debt service rather than consumption. Retail sales declined 0.1% month-over-month (m/m) in October, the first decline since March. October’s figure arrived better than the -0.3% projection, however, while slipping from September’s 0.9% growth rate. Retail sales excluding automobiles and excluding automobiles and gasoline rose 0.1% on both fronts, worse than the 0.8% figures from September. Sales Contraction is Broad Based Seven out of thirteen categories contracted during the period, with the following categories experiencing the noted m/m declines: Furniture showrooms, 2% Miscellaneous stores, 1.7% Automobile dealerships, 1% Sporting goods retailers, 0.8% Building materials shops, gasoline stations and general merchandise also had declines but of lesser degrees. Gains were led by health and personal retailers, with sales increasing 1.1%. Other categories produced the following increases: Grocery stores, 0.6% Electronics and appliances retailers, 0.6% Dining establishments, 0.3% Ecommerce, 0.2% The apparel category was flat. Wholesalers Hit with Price Declines Wholesale inflation cratered at its fastest rate since the depths of the pandemic in April 2020. October’s Producer Price Index (PPI) declined 0.5% m/m, less than projections of a 0.1% increase and September’s 0.4% growth rate. Core PPI, which excludes food and energy, was unchanged and weaker than the 0.3% estimated and the previous month’s 0.2%. On a year-over-year (y/y) basis, headline and core producer prices rose 1.3% and 2.4%, compared to the previous period’s 2.2% and 2.7%. Leading the wholesale price decline were a 6.5% drop in energy products, a 0.7% decline in trade services and a 0.2% contraction in food. Transportation and warehousing wholesale prices rose at a sharp 1.5% rate, meanwhile. Services overall came in unchanged m/m while goods excluding food and energy rose 0.1% during the period. Equities Gain, but Positive Sentiment Eases Optimism sparked by yesterday’s CPI and this morning’s PPI appears to be easing, with stocks off their highs of the day while yields and the dollar have given back a good chunk of Monday’s gains. Still, all major U.S. equity indices are higher, with the small-cap Russell 2000 leading, having gained 0.8% while the Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial indices are higher by 0.3%, 0.3% and 0.2%. Sectoral breadth remains impressive, with all sectors higher while the defensive health care and utilities sectors are 0.1% and 0.4% lower. Leading the sectors are materials and consumer staples, with each gaining 0.6% as technology looks tired from its recent monster run. Indeed, to secure more gains going forward, the market will need to broaden out and begin to exhibit momentum in cyclical and value stocks. The dollar and yields are higher, with the 2- and 10-year Treasury maturities up 8 and 10 basis points (bps) to 4.92% and 4.55% while the greenback’s index is up 22 bps to 104.30. The dollar is gaining relative to the euro, yen and pound sterling while it loses ground versus the franc, yuan and Aussie and Canadian dollars. Crude oil is down 1.3% or $1.02 to $77.14 per barrel in response to the Energy Information Administration reporting a 17-million-barrel inventory increase in the U.S. over two weeks. Buoyant supply, continued concerns about weakening demand and waning worries over a potential escalation of the Middle East crisis are weighing on the commodity’s price. Consumers Cut Spending and Seek Bargains Target’s third-quarter results illustrate how consumers are cutting back on discretionary purchases while results for TJX highlight how consumers are increasingly turning to off-price retailers for low-cost items. At Target, comparable sales, which is derived from stores operating for 12 months or more and online channels, fell 4.9% during the third quarter. It was the second-consecutive quarter of declining same-store sales. On a y/y basis, the company’s revenues dropped from $26.5 billion to $25.4 billion, a 4.3% contraction. The result, however, exceeded the $24.24 billion anticipated by the analyst consensus. On another positive note, the company’s earnings per share (EPS) of $2.10 exceeded the consensus expectation of $1.48 and increased from $1.54 in the year ago quarter. The quarter was impacted by Target aggressively discounting merchandise as it sought to reduce an inventory glut, a strong trend among retailers. Target also attributed its third-quarter earnings growth to improved sales of “high-frequency items” such as groceries and beauty items, the addition of a new line of trendy kitchenware, and other new items. Target also said it has continued to reduce its inventory which as of the end of the third quarter was down 14% y/y. TJX, which operates discount retailers T.J. Maxx, HomeGoods and Marshall’s, raised its full-year guidance and said its third-quarter results benefited from capturing market share as its off-price stores attracted cost-conscious consumers. The company expects to generate a full-year EPS of $3.71 to $3.74, up from its earlier guidance of $3.66 to $3.72. TJX expects same store sales to increase 4% to 5%, an increase from its earlier guidance of 3% to 4%. During the third quarter, its sales revenue of $13.27 billion jumped approximately 9% from the $12.17 billion generated by the company in the year-ago period. Analysts expected $13.09 billion. Its overall same-store sales, furthermore, climbed 6%. TJX also posted an EPS of $1.03, which climbed significantly from $0.91 in the year-ago period. The recent quarter EPS exceeded the analyst consensus expectation of $0.99. In addition to benefiting from shoppers seeking bargains, TJX is also benefiting from its suppliers having excess inventory. The company provides discount prices by acquiring surplus items that retailers are removing from their inventories. Washington Makes Progress of Avoiding Government Shutdown In Washington, the House of Representatives appears to have avoided a government shutdown by passing a plan that will extend government funding until early next year. The measure is expected to be approved by the Senate and was passed by the lower chamber even though, it delays political battles over spending for border security and the Ukraine-Russia War while failing to make budget cuts in other areas of government spending. The House Freedom Caucus opposed the continuing spending resolution because it doesn’t include budget cuts and address border issues. The Balancing Act Today’s weak economic data highlights an important consideration going forward. Is data decelerating slow enough to be supportive of a soft landing, or is activity falling sharply and more consistent with recessionary conditions? The question is of the essence for capital markets as we operate within late-cycle monetary policy tightening, the riskiest juncture. While the former case would be supportive of current earnings estimates, the latter case would certainly point to projections falling from the $240 expected in 2024 for the S&P 500.
SP:SPX
by IBKR
12
GBPUSD H8 - Short Signal GBPUSD H8 Yesterday evening, we thoroughly analyzed this particular currency pair with one of our coaching members. We emphasized the evident confluences, including notable supply and resistance zones, along with the psychologically significant 1.25 price level. Today, we anticipate a slightly bullish trend for the USD, anticipating a relief rally after a substantial 190-point decline. Considering the magnitude of the drop, a modest 382-point rebound wouldn't be overlooked.
Short
by Trade_Simple_FX
2
XAUUSD D1 - Long SignalXAUUSD D1 As previously highlighted in our analysis posts, with the recent weakening of the US dollar, we anticipate upward momentum for ***USD. While a brief dollar relief rally is plausible, all signs currently point to an upward trajectory for XAUUSD. Our analysis combines both technical and fundamental/risk assessments. We are on the lookout for an opportunity to enter the market during a potential pullback, with price targets set at $2,000, $2,015, and ultimately $2,050 per ounce.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_Simple_FX
GBPUSD: price increase but not stable.Hello dear friends! GBPUSD is rebounding in today's trading session after dropping to the support level at 1.205. At the time of writing, this currency pair is trading at 1.213 and has increased by 0.08% for the day. However, the long-term bearish trend on GBPUSD still weighs heavily, with market sentiment towards the Fed interest rates and the strength of the USD acting as significant obstacles for GBPUSD. From a personal perspective, Karina believes that this is likely just a short-term increase for GU. Using the excellent Fibonacci tool from Trading View, there is a high probability that the upward movement could develop to two perfect levels at 1.215 and 1.220 before the downward trend resumes. What are your thoughts on how GU will move today and in the near future?
by Karina_Bella
4
BTC/USD Daily Timeframe AnalysisIn the daily TF, after engulfing the $16,218 area, price started to accumulate. This accumulation took almost 60 days and BTC had very low fluctuation but after the accumulation price started to break all the SR lines and even the mid-term trend-line. As a result of these engulfing these SR lines, we can see FTR zones were formed and had supported the rise in the price one after another. And also cased a formation of a very important base between $19,562 - $20,368. (Referring to the strength of this base and the pattern formed, we can consider this base an important Order Block). By breaking out of the FTR zone $25,200 (orange) price formed a new FL between $24,745 - $32,376. Generally, when price of BTC rose to $32,000 we can consider this a pullback to the DP of the weekly TF. And started to distribute. In the current situation we must take the following into consideration: ⁃ currently price is ranging in a Flag ( indecision area) and non of FLs has been engulfed in order for us to have a clear for cast of BTC future moves ! ⁃ As price is in downtrend in the higher TFs, and after making the pullback to the DP of the downtrend pattern price broke the mid-term uptrend trend-line.,The probability of engulfing the lower FL and descent of price to the base which was before the pole (FTR) is very high ! Kindly note that in Financial Market there are more than 1 scenario! We in fact, by relying on rules and principles of Technical Analysis & also deep analysis of Fundamental Data, try our best in providing you with a thorough analysis together with e most probable scenario for the future values of assets and currencies.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TraderAceAcademy
Dollar General (DG) | Short-term OpportunityHi, A leading American discount retailer, Dollar General operates over 19,000 stores in 47 states, selling branded and private-label products across a wide variety of categories. In fiscal 2022, 80% of net sales came from consumables (including paper and cleaning products, packaged and perishable food, tobacco, and health and beauty items), 11% from seasonal merchandise (such as toys, greeting cards, decorations, and gardening supplies), 6% from home products (for example, kitchen supplies, small appliances, and cookware), and 3% from apparel. Stores average roughly 7,500 square feet, and about 75% of Dollar General locations are in towns of 20,000 or fewer people. The firm emphasizes value, with most of its items sold at everyday low prices of $5 or less. Technically speaking it has reached inside an interesting area. A few criteria matching with each other and probably it is worth to take a shot, from the shown box - $90 to $119, should be technically okay. Criteria are simple: 1. The long trendline 2. All-time Fibo level 62% 3. The round number, psychological number, $100 Target around $140 - $150 Good luck, Vaido
NYSE:DGLong
by VaidoVeek
5
STG Stargate Finance PriceT after Court approves FTX LiquidationGiven the recent developments in the crypto space, there are several factors that point towards a bearish outlook: FTX Liquidation of $3.4 Billion in Crypto Assets: The approval by the Delaware Bankruptcy Court for FTX to liquidate $3.4 billion in crypto assets is a significant event. This influx of a substantial amount of cryptocurrency into the market could potentially lead to an oversupply situation. When a large amount of assets is dumped into the market at once, it can put downward pressure on prices. Limited Sales in the First Week: The imposed limit of $50 million for the first week indicates a controlled release of these assets. This may imply that FTX anticipates potential market disruption if a large volume is sold at once. However, even with controlled release, the market could still experience downward pressure. Potential for Increased Limits: The provision for increasing the limit with the approval of the creditors’ committee and ad hoc committee, or potentially even up to $200 million weekly with court approval, shows that there's room for further selling pressure in the coming weeks. Binance US CEO Resignation: The resignation of Binance US President and CEO, Brian Shroder, could potentially signal internal challenges within the exchange. Leadership changes in major crypto exchanges can lead to uncertainty and can impact market sentiment. Asset List: The assets listed for liquidation include some of the major cryptocurrencies in the market such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, WBTC, WETH, USDT, SOL, XRP, STG, APT, BIT, DOGE, MATIC, FTT, TON and more. If a significant portion of these assets are sold off, it could have a widespread impact on the market. Market Sentiment and Confidence: These events combined might lead to a loss of confidence in the crypto market, especially if investors perceive them as signs of instability or potential oversupply. Regulatory Considerations: The fact that a bankruptcy court is involved in this process highlights the regulatory environment surrounding cryptocurrencies. Heightened regulatory scrutiny or intervention can have a dampening effect on the market. Considering the above, my Price Target for STG Stargate Finance is $0.35. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Short
by TopgOptions
1