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ALTO's Comprehensive Trajectories: AI-powered InsightsS taying informed is a key to making well-considered decisions. Today, I revisit ALTO, shedding light on its current state, potential scenarios, and the nuanced interplay of technical analytics. A few weeks ago, I outlined why ALTO is considered a risky asset, and in a subsequent update, I signaled a near-term rally in the stock market, impacting ALTO's trajectory. Both perspectives remain relevant today. A s we assess the broader market, stocks may either sustain the rally briefly or consolidate around current levels. The clarity lies in the immediate market reaction next Monday, November 20. A continuation signals further upside, while a bearish pullback indicates consolidation. Even in the case of a dump, the potential for subsequent continuation exists, but it prompts consideration of safer target prices. ALTO 's appeal lies in its allure to traders seeking risk and potential profit. In the event of a continued rally, investors may find the courage to engage with this high-risk, high-reward asset. Conversely, if general stocks consolidate, sentiment could shift, prompting a move from ALTO to less risky stocks, casting a bearish shadow on ALTO. T urning to technical analytics, our Deep Neural Network-based AI, employing Support Vector Machines, predicted a support level of around 1.85. This prediction held true as ALTO bounced from this level on November 20. This level might serve as the target for a potential short position, succeeding the current long position. T he long position's target stands around 2.73, identified as a resistance level by our AI. In a sustained rally, this resistance could be breached, setting the stage for the next target price along the falling resistance on the purple line. As depicted in the chart, the timing of the rally significantly influences target price estimation. Rapid rallies elevate the probability of higher target prices, while extended consolidation brings them closer, possibly intersecting with the two resistances in August. N avigating this landscape, it's crucial to recognize ALTO's risk profile. The 2.73 resistance is formidable, and a bearish event could trigger a retreat to the support level. Below the support, free fall becomes a possibility, underscoring the importance of placing a stop loss, at least below this level. W hile near-term crash signs are not evident, it's essential to acknowledge ALTO's long-term bearish potential. Please note that this analysis serves educational purposes and is not financial advice. Best regards, Ely
NASDAQ:ALTOLong
by Elysian_Mind
Wholesale Inflation Posts Its Biggest Decline in Over Three YearA powerful one-two combination of data pointing to softening inflation is continuing to support investor sentiment and a strong equity rally with Producer Price data this morning showing weaker-than-expected price increases among wholesalers. The data follows yesterday’s release of the Consumer Price Index, which showed no m/m change. Stocks are also gaining additional support from data this morning depicting declining retail sales, which equity players are perceiving as disinflationary rather than contractionary. Markets are bifurcated today, however, with yields and the dollar higher, as bond and currency traders pare back some of yesterday’s bonanza. Consumers Rein in Spending The U.S. Commerce Department reported this morning that retail sales declined sharply in October, as consumer spending slowed from the third quarter’s blistering pace. The resumption of student loan repayments definitely had an adverse impact, as a portion of wages were allocated to debt service rather than consumption. Retail sales declined 0.1% month-over-month (m/m) in October, the first decline since March. October’s figure arrived better than the -0.3% projection, however, while slipping from September’s 0.9% growth rate. Retail sales excluding automobiles and excluding automobiles and gasoline rose 0.1% on both fronts, worse than the 0.8% figures from September. Sales Contraction is Broad Based Seven out of thirteen categories contracted during the period, with the following categories experiencing the noted m/m declines: Furniture showrooms, 2% Miscellaneous stores, 1.7% Automobile dealerships, 1% Sporting goods retailers, 0.8% Building materials shops, gasoline stations and general merchandise also had declines but of lesser degrees. Gains were led by health and personal retailers, with sales increasing 1.1%. Other categories produced the following increases: Grocery stores, 0.6% Electronics and appliances retailers, 0.6% Dining establishments, 0.3% Ecommerce, 0.2% The apparel category was flat. Wholesalers Hit with Price Declines Wholesale inflation cratered at its fastest rate since the depths of the pandemic in April 2020. October’s Producer Price Index (PPI) declined 0.5% m/m, less than projections of a 0.1% increase and September’s 0.4% growth rate. Core PPI, which excludes food and energy, was unchanged and weaker than the 0.3% estimated and the previous month’s 0.2%. On a year-over-year (y/y) basis, headline and core producer prices rose 1.3% and 2.4%, compared to the previous period’s 2.2% and 2.7%. Leading the wholesale price decline were a 6.5% drop in energy products, a 0.7% decline in trade services and a 0.2% contraction in food. Transportation and warehousing wholesale prices rose at a sharp 1.5% rate, meanwhile. Services overall came in unchanged m/m while goods excluding food and energy rose 0.1% during the period. Equities Gain, but Positive Sentiment Eases Optimism sparked by yesterday’s CPI and this morning’s PPI appears to be easing, with stocks off their highs of the day while yields and the dollar have given back a good chunk of Monday’s gains. Still, all major U.S. equity indices are higher, with the small-cap Russell 2000 leading, having gained 0.8% while the Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial indices are higher by 0.3%, 0.3% and 0.2%. Sectoral breadth remains impressive, with all sectors higher while the defensive health care and utilities sectors are 0.1% and 0.4% lower. Leading the sectors are materials and consumer staples, with each gaining 0.6% as technology looks tired from its recent monster run. Indeed, to secure more gains going forward, the market will need to broaden out and begin to exhibit momentum in cyclical and value stocks. The dollar and yields are higher, with the 2- and 10-year Treasury maturities up 8 and 10 basis points (bps) to 4.92% and 4.55% while the greenback’s index is up 22 bps to 104.30. The dollar is gaining relative to the euro, yen and pound sterling while it loses ground versus the franc, yuan and Aussie and Canadian dollars. Crude oil is down 1.3% or $1.02 to $77.14 per barrel in response to the Energy Information Administration reporting a 17-million-barrel inventory increase in the U.S. over two weeks. Buoyant supply, continued concerns about weakening demand and waning worries over a potential escalation of the Middle East crisis are weighing on the commodity’s price. Consumers Cut Spending and Seek Bargains Target’s third-quarter results illustrate how consumers are cutting back on discretionary purchases while results for TJX highlight how consumers are increasingly turning to off-price retailers for low-cost items. At Target, comparable sales, which is derived from stores operating for 12 months or more and online channels, fell 4.9% during the third quarter. It was the second-consecutive quarter of declining same-store sales. On a y/y basis, the company’s revenues dropped from $26.5 billion to $25.4 billion, a 4.3% contraction. The result, however, exceeded the $24.24 billion anticipated by the analyst consensus. On another positive note, the company’s earnings per share (EPS) of $2.10 exceeded the consensus expectation of $1.48 and increased from $1.54 in the year ago quarter. The quarter was impacted by Target aggressively discounting merchandise as it sought to reduce an inventory glut, a strong trend among retailers. Target also attributed its third-quarter earnings growth to improved sales of “high-frequency items” such as groceries and beauty items, the addition of a new line of trendy kitchenware, and other new items. Target also said it has continued to reduce its inventory which as of the end of the third quarter was down 14% y/y. TJX, which operates discount retailers T.J. Maxx, HomeGoods and Marshall’s, raised its full-year guidance and said its third-quarter results benefited from capturing market share as its off-price stores attracted cost-conscious consumers. The company expects to generate a full-year EPS of $3.71 to $3.74, up from its earlier guidance of $3.66 to $3.72. TJX expects same store sales to increase 4% to 5%, an increase from its earlier guidance of 3% to 4%. During the third quarter, its sales revenue of $13.27 billion jumped approximately 9% from the $12.17 billion generated by the company in the year-ago period. Analysts expected $13.09 billion. Its overall same-store sales, furthermore, climbed 6%. TJX also posted an EPS of $1.03, which climbed significantly from $0.91 in the year-ago period. The recent quarter EPS exceeded the analyst consensus expectation of $0.99. In addition to benefiting from shoppers seeking bargains, TJX is also benefiting from its suppliers having excess inventory. The company provides discount prices by acquiring surplus items that retailers are removing from their inventories. Washington Makes Progress of Avoiding Government Shutdown In Washington, the House of Representatives appears to have avoided a government shutdown by passing a plan that will extend government funding until early next year. The measure is expected to be approved by the Senate and was passed by the lower chamber even though, it delays political battles over spending for border security and the Ukraine-Russia War while failing to make budget cuts in other areas of government spending. The House Freedom Caucus opposed the continuing spending resolution because it doesn’t include budget cuts and address border issues. The Balancing Act Today’s weak economic data highlights an important consideration going forward. Is data decelerating slow enough to be supportive of a soft landing, or is activity falling sharply and more consistent with recessionary conditions? The question is of the essence for capital markets as we operate within late-cycle monetary policy tightening, the riskiest juncture. While the former case would be supportive of current earnings estimates, the latter case would certainly point to projections falling from the $240 expected in 2024 for the S&P 500.
SP:SPX
by IBKR
12
GBPUSD H8 - Short Signal GBPUSD H8 Yesterday evening, we thoroughly analyzed this particular currency pair with one of our coaching members. We emphasized the evident confluences, including notable supply and resistance zones, along with the psychologically significant 1.25 price level. Today, we anticipate a slightly bullish trend for the USD, anticipating a relief rally after a substantial 190-point decline. Considering the magnitude of the drop, a modest 382-point rebound wouldn't be overlooked.
Short
by Trade_Simple_FX
2
XAUUSD D1 - Long SignalXAUUSD D1 As previously highlighted in our analysis posts, with the recent weakening of the US dollar, we anticipate upward momentum for ***USD. While a brief dollar relief rally is plausible, all signs currently point to an upward trajectory for XAUUSD. Our analysis combines both technical and fundamental/risk assessments. We are on the lookout for an opportunity to enter the market during a potential pullback, with price targets set at $2,000, $2,015, and ultimately $2,050 per ounce.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_Simple_FX
GBPUSD: price increase but not stable.Hello dear friends! GBPUSD is rebounding in today's trading session after dropping to the support level at 1.205. At the time of writing, this currency pair is trading at 1.213 and has increased by 0.08% for the day. However, the long-term bearish trend on GBPUSD still weighs heavily, with market sentiment towards the Fed interest rates and the strength of the USD acting as significant obstacles for GBPUSD. From a personal perspective, Karina believes that this is likely just a short-term increase for GU. Using the excellent Fibonacci tool from Trading View, there is a high probability that the upward movement could develop to two perfect levels at 1.215 and 1.220 before the downward trend resumes. What are your thoughts on how GU will move today and in the near future?
by Karina_Bella
4
BTC/USD Daily Timeframe AnalysisIn the daily TF, after engulfing the $16,218 area, price started to accumulate. This accumulation took almost 60 days and BTC had very low fluctuation but after the accumulation price started to break all the SR lines and even the mid-term trend-line. As a result of these engulfing these SR lines, we can see FTR zones were formed and had supported the rise in the price one after another. And also cased a formation of a very important base between $19,562 - $20,368. (Referring to the strength of this base and the pattern formed, we can consider this base an important Order Block). By breaking out of the FTR zone $25,200 (orange) price formed a new FL between $24,745 - $32,376. Generally, when price of BTC rose to $32,000 we can consider this a pullback to the DP of the weekly TF. And started to distribute. In the current situation we must take the following into consideration: ⁃ currently price is ranging in a Flag ( indecision area) and non of FLs has been engulfed in order for us to have a clear for cast of BTC future moves ! ⁃ As price is in downtrend in the higher TFs, and after making the pullback to the DP of the downtrend pattern price broke the mid-term uptrend trend-line.,The probability of engulfing the lower FL and descent of price to the base which was before the pole (FTR) is very high ! Kindly note that in Financial Market there are more than 1 scenario! We in fact, by relying on rules and principles of Technical Analysis & also deep analysis of Fundamental Data, try our best in providing you with a thorough analysis together with e most probable scenario for the future values of assets and currencies.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TraderAceAcademy
Dollar General (DG) | Short-term OpportunityHi, A leading American discount retailer, Dollar General operates over 19,000 stores in 47 states, selling branded and private-label products across a wide variety of categories. In fiscal 2022, 80% of net sales came from consumables (including paper and cleaning products, packaged and perishable food, tobacco, and health and beauty items), 11% from seasonal merchandise (such as toys, greeting cards, decorations, and gardening supplies), 6% from home products (for example, kitchen supplies, small appliances, and cookware), and 3% from apparel. Stores average roughly 7,500 square feet, and about 75% of Dollar General locations are in towns of 20,000 or fewer people. The firm emphasizes value, with most of its items sold at everyday low prices of $5 or less. Technically speaking it has reached inside an interesting area. A few criteria matching with each other and probably it is worth to take a shot, from the shown box - $90 to $119, should be technically okay. Criteria are simple: 1. The long trendline 2. All-time Fibo level 62% 3. The round number, psychological number, $100 Target around $140 - $150 Good luck, Vaido
NYSE:DGLong
by VaidoVeek
5
STG Stargate Finance PriceT after Court approves FTX LiquidationGiven the recent developments in the crypto space, there are several factors that point towards a bearish outlook: FTX Liquidation of $3.4 Billion in Crypto Assets: The approval by the Delaware Bankruptcy Court for FTX to liquidate $3.4 billion in crypto assets is a significant event. This influx of a substantial amount of cryptocurrency into the market could potentially lead to an oversupply situation. When a large amount of assets is dumped into the market at once, it can put downward pressure on prices. Limited Sales in the First Week: The imposed limit of $50 million for the first week indicates a controlled release of these assets. This may imply that FTX anticipates potential market disruption if a large volume is sold at once. However, even with controlled release, the market could still experience downward pressure. Potential for Increased Limits: The provision for increasing the limit with the approval of the creditors’ committee and ad hoc committee, or potentially even up to $200 million weekly with court approval, shows that there's room for further selling pressure in the coming weeks. Binance US CEO Resignation: The resignation of Binance US President and CEO, Brian Shroder, could potentially signal internal challenges within the exchange. Leadership changes in major crypto exchanges can lead to uncertainty and can impact market sentiment. Asset List: The assets listed for liquidation include some of the major cryptocurrencies in the market such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, WBTC, WETH, USDT, SOL, XRP, STG, APT, BIT, DOGE, MATIC, FTT, TON and more. If a significant portion of these assets are sold off, it could have a widespread impact on the market. Market Sentiment and Confidence: These events combined might lead to a loss of confidence in the crypto market, especially if investors perceive them as signs of instability or potential oversupply. Regulatory Considerations: The fact that a bankruptcy court is involved in this process highlights the regulatory environment surrounding cryptocurrencies. Heightened regulatory scrutiny or intervention can have a dampening effect on the market. Considering the above, my Price Target for STG Stargate Finance is $0.35. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Short
by TopgOptions
1
Tesla (TSLA) | Approaching a Strong Support Level!Hi, The well-known Tesla (TSLA) Just in case I have to "reveal" my next buying zone in time because the pullback has started and it can be quite aggressive. Preparing is the key, and let's prepare then ;) The last idea TP levels reached perfectly, ~$300... To the point, my eyes are pointed around $180 to $215 and the criteria are: 1. The trendline - the trendline has been drawn from the closing prices to remove the noise from the candlestick chart. If you use a candlestick chart then the closing prices are the right way to go if you want to remove the extra noise that wicks can make. Atm this major downward trendline has been broken during June and if the price starts to reach back there to retest it then it acts as a support level, as a buying opportunity for you! 2. Strong horizontal price zone - the middle gray area has been worked as a support and resistance level multiple times. Basically, if the price reaches there then investors "feel" it and something always happens. Hopefully, this time is not an exception and we can see quite a solid reversal from there. 3. The round number $200 - it is solid confirmation to the horizontal area if it matches with the round number and currently there is $200 waiting for us inside the marked area. 4. Minor trendline - the blue trendline, currently drawn from body to body, the third touch should add a bit of strength to the optimal buying zone. 5. EMA party - Moving averages on every timeframe which all should add strength: Weekly 50 and 200 are inside or close to the shown box, and Monthly 50EMA is inside the optimal zone to support the price. 6. Fibonacci retracement 62% , golden ratios, are inside or slightly under the buying zone. 7. The structure - it is mid-term bullish because we have there also a mid-term new higher high (HH) and probably this area around $200 can be a possible new mid-term higher low (HL) * Considering technical analysis then the optimal buying zone should stay between $180 to $215 * First short-term targets updating on the chat room. Good luck!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by VaidoVeek
Coinbase (COIN) | Solid Price Action From The Current Bottom.Hi, COIN has made quite a decent bottom price action but is it enough? Some months ago mentioned in the chat room that $50 can be the spot from where to grab it technically, and back then it worked quite well. The second option was after the breakout above $75. Currently, we have a break above $75 and for me, this is quite a decent breakout - this mini bullrun managed to push above: 1. Bottom price action has drawn a bullish chart pattern called Inverted Head & Shoulders and it is activated because the mini-bullrun managed to break above the pattern neckline - now, if the price comes back and retests this area then it is an optimal buying zone and it should act as a support level. 2. Weekly EMA50 supporting the price. Basically, the average price of the last 50 weeks start to act as a support level of around $75 3. The round number $100 even got broken after the mini-rally. 4. The strong horizontal area itself got smashed and now this entire area should act as a support level to hold the price, gray horizontal line. * Considering technical analysis then the optimal buying zone should stay between $50 to $75 * First target will update on the chat. Good luck!
NASDAQ:COINLong
by VaidoVeek
2
KAKOBANK WCA - Cup and HandleCompany: KAKOBANK Ticker: 323410 Exchange: KRX Korea Exchange Sector: Banking/Financial Services Introduction: In today's technical exploration, we focus on KAKOBANK, a prominent entity in the banking and financial sector. The weekly chart showcases a potential bullish reversal in the form of the Cup and Handle pattern, which has been developing over the past 50 weeks. Cup and Handle Pattern: The Cup and Handle pattern is a bullish continuation or reversal pattern that signifies a period of consolidation followed by a breakout. It's characterized by a rounded bottom (the "cup") and a consolidation (the "handle"), which precedes a breakout. Analysis: KAKOBANK's prior trend was bearish, as illustrated by the blue diagonal line. However, this downward trend seems to have been interrupted by a Cup and Handle pattern, suggesting a potential bullish reversal in the offing. The so-called "lip" or the resistance level of the pattern stands at 29,650 KRW. The stock's price remains above the 40 EMA, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. If the price successfully breaks out above the lip, a bullish run is anticipated. The projected price target based on the pattern's depth stands at 43,550 KRW, amounting to an estimated rise of approximately 47%. Conclusion: KAKOBANK's weekly chart puts forth a promising bullish reversal scenario. A successful breakout above the lip of the Cup and Handle pattern could pave the way for an attractive trading opportunity. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Remember, this analysis should be integrated into your broader market research and risk management protocols. It's not a direct trading recommendation. If this analysis proves helpful, please consider sharing, liking, and staying tuned for more insights. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and shouldn't be considered as financial advice. Always undertake your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
KRX:323410
by KarimSubhieh
3
ETH USD Idea Alright, dude, let's catch that wave and read the market! 🏄‍♂️ So, on the ETH/USD pair, we're approaching a weekly volume capper, which means there might be some significant price action coming our way. If we're lucky, we might see a volume spike that could indicate a potential trend reversal or a strong move in either direction. Meanwhile, the dollar seems to be waiting for an economic push, possibly during the New York session. This means there might be some economic news or events on the horizon that could influence the dollar's movement. Now, let's ride the wave of optimism and interpret the market's signals as they come. Just like a carefree surfer, we'll go with the flow and adapt to the market's movement. We'll keep an eye on the volume and price action on the ETH/USD pair and remain open to any surprises the market might throw our way. Remember, dude, the market can be unpredictable, just like the waves in the ocean. So, we'll stay calm, observe the patterns, and make informed decisions. And no matter what happens, we'll approach it with a peaceful mindset and ride the market like a true surfing pro. 🤙 Good luck, my friend, and happy trading! May the waves be with us! 🌊✌️
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by themarketknight
Mastercard (MA) | ATH Monthly & Weekly Candle Close Confirmed!Hi, The second technical confirmation after the June close (the first one was a previous idea Walmart) came from Mastercard (MA), buy the strength. Almost the same setup as Walmart has. Mastercard is one of the largest payment processors in the world, having processed close to over $8 trillion in transactions in 2022. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies. $380 to $400 the hardest fight in Mastercard history. Haven't been such a price level or price action at where the price of MA has been stuck so long. Actually, the fight is not fully over but the price action and the market sentiment are quite promising. The fight is not completely over because it would be ideal if we have also a monthly candle close above $400. Atm we have a weekly candle close above it so at least we have there something and it is already a good sign. Now, the real technical reason why I want to share it is that MA got the highest monthly candle close and it occurred slightly above the strongest price level in that area. Plus, we have also the highest weekly candle close, and it's above $400. I, personally, like this close, general price action looks bullish, and as said, recent market sentiment is also favorable. * Considering technical analysis then the optimal buying zone should stay from current prices to $370 * First target $500 Good luck!
NYSE:MALong
by VaidoVeek