XAUUSD 30 04 2021XAUUSD 30 04 2021
After the price bounced off the support level 1675.91 for the second time at the end of March, it continues to rise. At the same time, growth is accompanied by a large number of pullbacks and corrections. Nevertheless, the price has already managed to break through the support lines of 1737.06 and the level of 1763.79. Now it is in the resistance zone between the lines of March 2018 and August 2020. The price bounced off the resistance line in March 2018 from the point 1797.39. And now I expect it to be able to break through the August 2020 line at 1767.22. And the support level is 1763.79. After that, it will fix on the line in the area of 1757.53 and continue to fall. So my final target is support line 1715.51.
Finance
GBPJPY H4 - Short Trade SetupGBPJPY H4
Currently sat around our 152 whole number price, resistance is around 20 pips higher at 152.200, a lower timeframe structure break and retest would be ideal, seen some big extensions amongst most ***YEN pairs...
Even USDJPY is pulling back upside towards resistance, bearing in mind we were dovish off the back of the PC yesterday evening.
USDCHF 28 04 2021USDCHF 28 04 2021
At the end of March, the price touched a resistance zone consisting of April and January 2019 lines at point 0.946. After that, the price collapsed and a week ago made an important breakdown of the resistance level of 0.918. The price has already broken this level - during the fall in July 2020 and during the rise in March 2021. Now, after the breakdown of the level, the price tried to gain a foothold on it and grow. The price is supported by the strong line formed on the chart in June 2019. The price has already made two touches of this line and now bounced off it at the 0.910 point. Now the price is at the level and I expect it to be able to break through the 0.918 level, rise and come to the 0.930 resistance line. This will be our goal.
XAUUSD 28 04 2021XAUUSD 28 04 2021
Although gold is not showing strong movement, it still continues to follow my predictions. First, the price reached the level of resistance and prepared for a fall. Then she turned around and began to fall. Then it stayed in the resistance zone of 1792.36 before starting to fall. Nevertheless, it reversed and began to fall, returning to the main downtrend that has existed since August 2020. Now the price is within the resistance line 1770.43 and I expect it to continue falling. The price will break the support line 1781.51. It will consolidate at the resistance of 1759.05 and fall to the support line at 1709.39. This will be our goal.
Ethereum (ETH) Ridiculously Undervalued Own at Least 1 Ethereum Everybody always ask me which cryptocurrency has the most potential and upside this cycle. My answer is if you're looking for performance start stacking Ethereum or if you don't have at least one Ethereum start making that a worthy goal before it's too late.
When I look at the Ethereum / Bitcoin pairing chart we still have a long journey to reach the ETH/BTC all time highs of the previous 2017 cycle. It's crazy to even think at one point Ethereum was valued at 100,000,000 satoshis in April 2017 which is practically 1 Bitcoin . Ethereum is currently only 4.6 million satoshis.
As of right now the average American does not have enough in savings to even afford 1 Ethereum at $2560. According to a GOBankingRates 2019 savings survey found that nearly 70% of Americans have less than $1000 in an emergency savings. It was only about a year ago when Ethereum was less than $300. I've been saying this for a while now that Ethereum is second evolution of the internet and the decentralized global internet. Also EIP 1559 is tentatively scheduled for July which essentially states every transaction on Ethereum will forever burn Ethereum. Meaning Ethereum will start to become scarce in the near future.
Even at $2560 Ethereum is a still as it's primed to be a 5 digit cryptocurrency. Bitcoin is digital gold while Ethereum is digital oil. The ETH/BTC run-up will be epic and one for the history books this year. Please don't sleep on Ethereum before it's too late. Make it a goal to own at least 1 Ethereum.
Remember I'm no financial advisor. Much peace, love, health, and wealth!
EURJPY H4 - Short SetupEURJPY H4
This range here on EURJPY is crazy, and has been running for circa 3 weeks with the exception of 1 or 2 fake-outs.
Monitoring this closely this week, we can trade the range from support to resistance and also resistance to support, but as soon as we break, we can trade the retest.
Don't fix it if it's not broken.
AUDCHF 26 04 2021AUDCHF 26 04 2021
The price has been moving in a confident upward turn. The only tangible channel breakdown occurred from February 2021 to March, when the price broke through the resistance line. However, in March of this year, it again broke through it already during the fall at the point 0.716 and returned to the growing channel. The price dropped in the channel and touched the support line at 0.703. Then it rebounded, but again reversed from the resistance line 0.715 - the line formed in the channel in October last year. After the reversal, the price touched the support line again at the 0.706 point and thus fixed on it. I expect that after fixing the price will continue to rise and come to the resistance line 0.721.
BTC DROP LEVELS/ GRADUAL BTC/USD DERIORATION.I ll be brief.
Rebounds as per chars are 42.000$ after retest of previous high which needs to start pumping B on the weekly candle expiry.
Then as per levels we again and mechanism of the BTC price indicates that this is the end of the bullrun (at least temporary), but B already dropped after tripple top attempt in and overall behavior of the fractal is temporary bullish from 00:00 UTC on weekly.
Fractal was formed from 10.000---->>>64750$.
We haven't saw 42.000$ retest attempt, we just had a second rebound from 47770$ (47500$ on binance).
We haven't saw 30k restest (which many condsider a " base" but, nor 20.000$ isn't retested as well and it will be retested later on (when BTC fails to breach 30.000$ from bottom 25.000$ drop).
From now onwards as per fractal movement and overall BIG TIME overbought BTC (MACD WEEKLY IS SCARY).
Drop will be gradial in a form LH from current price (i'd suggest not higher than 55.500$ as safe. (i marked 57211$ as top).
Next rebounds B levels will be 57221$ which will be followed by drop towards 42.000$.
Then we will se a rebound towrards 52500 and further deep drop towards 30.000$.
Then long towards 42000 and further collision through 30.000 and restest of 25k or instant 20.0000$ drop.
BTC dominance will decrease over time up to 32-33% (rest will be altcoins).
ONCE AGAIN
NEXT LONGS ARE :
-(47700 ongoing)--->57211 at best
-42.000$
-30.000$
-20.000$ (25.000 with s.l./2%)
-12.000$
__________________________________
Don't use big leverages (not larger of 4-4,5X at most (since next drop will be nominal 20% plus (57200===>42.000$) B. therefore it would wipe your positions mercifully if you don't follow level mentioned above.
Good luck everyone
BITCOIN | Full of Bearish Pressure!Hi,
Over a year, we can say that the price of Bitcoin is in the bearish market. Do you want it or not but we have several confirmations from the price action which confirms that it is true.
Bearish confirmations from the Daily timeframe:
1. The correction from the top is more than 26% (standard bearish market definition is 20% correction from the top)
2. Almost all the bullish trendlines are broken, the drawn white trendline needs a Daily candle close below of it and it will be confirmed - basically the key criterion.
3. We have a first lower low (LL) since Sept. of 2020
4. We have Daily candle closes below 50EMA. Haven't seen it since Oct. of 2020
These are major criteria that allow me to think that the bearish market has started. I don't know how long it will last but still, I want to point out some areas which can play important role in the further price action.
The first important area comes around 40k, if the price falls lower than the current price then I think this price zone will stop it and even can produce reversals (if the price reaches there I will make an update).
It depends on how today's candle will close. If it closes below the trendline the 50k retest and we are going approach 40k.
I'll start to write a long post but I started to think that the whole concept of this will be ruined after today's candle closes above 50k and above the trendline.
So, take this post as an alert and you have been worn ;)
Stay healthy,
Vaido
EURNZD H4 - Long SetupEURNZD H4
This is exactly what we wanted to see when we marked this up yesterday, a bit of a correction from resistance to then break on the second attempt.
This just means we shouldn't expect such a big correction after we (hopefully if) break resistance price of 1.68.
Looking to break 1.68 resistance, retest as support and trade long up to 1.69700 ish. Massive 1:7 on that basis.
NZDCAD H4 - LONG SETUPNZDCAD H4
Little bit dangerous here as it looks like we have marginally cracked beneath support and we are trading sub 0.90.
However, we are still evidently up-trending, fib pullbacks tie in nicely with our 618 support zone. And no doubt looking to the left we still have an element of support. Currently jumped in this with a small 0.3% risk, 1:5R.
Should be able to jump out if I get in trouble.
#GBPUSD 21 04 2021#GBPUSD 21 04 2021
At the end of February, the price reversed from the strong resistance zone 1.416 where the lines of June 2018 and March 2013 intersect. After that, the price began to fall and formed a downward channel. Falling in this channel, the price came to the support line 1.375. This line was formed in April 2020 and is quite strong despite breakouts. Its strength was enough for the price to start a strong growth after touching it. As a result, the price was able to break through the border of the 1.389 channel. However, it is already clear that she turned around and return to the channel. I expect that the breakout will be false, the price will break the 1.388 support line again, fall and come to the 1.377 support line. This will be our goal.
GBPUSD H4 - Short SetupGBPUSD H4
Sold off perfectly from our 1.40 handle, real sticking point resistance price. Sold off with ease down to 1.39, 100 pips without a H4 pullback. Now starting to see a bit of a correction.
Need to break 1.39 support and then we could set our eyes on potential moves down to 1.38.
#EURUSD 20 04 2021#EURUSD 20 04 2021
The price continues to stand at the resistance line in the area of 1.207 and therefore I extend my previous forecasts - I continue to expect a fall from the resistance. Let me remind you that since March last year, the price has been moving in an upward trend. In January of this year, it fell from the upper bound of the trend - 1.237 to its lower bound 1.171. The touch happened in April. After that, the price began to grow, broke through the support of August 2020 - 1.195 and touched the resistance line of October 2019 - 1.207. we expect the price to fall from this point and come to the 1.184 support line.
#USDJPY 20 04 2021#USDJPY 20 04 2021
The price is at the support line, getting ready to make a correction to the fall and rise to the reversal. Let me remind you that during the growth in a downtrend, at the beginning of this year the price bounced off the support line 102.58. After that, it rose strongly and stopped only at the resistance zone of 110.69. At the point where the lines of 2015 and 2013 intersect. After touching this zone, the price dropped, but stopped at the 2017 support line 108.33. There is also a strong level of support. I continue to expect the price to bounce off this support and rise again to resistance. Thus, my final target is the resistance line 110.43.
#EURAUD 20 04 2021#EURAUD 20 04 2021
In October 2020, the price touched the resistance line at 1.677. This is a very strong line - the border of the main trend formed in July 2013. After touching the resistance level , the price fell and formed a downtrend. In March of this year, the price touched the support zone 1.527, started to rise and broke through the trend line 1.543. After that, the price continued to rise and worked out several corrections within the resistance line 1.568. The price touched this line again last week and is now falling. I expect it to go down to the 1.531 support zone, where the July 2013, March and August 2012 support lines intersect. Then it will rebound and return to the resistance line 1.570. This will be our goal of support level
AMZN H4 - Long SetupMissed the top entry as I've been too focussed on crypto markets today, however this circa 300 day trading range seems like it wants to see another range fill.
3425 down to 2950 could be witnessed again with a huge 1:11R potential if we push 3400 again, I'll look to grab an entry. ALERT SET!
EURUSD H4 - Long SetupEURUSD H4
A strong H4 break here on EU, waiting for a correction back down towards our hopefully newly found support zone, we can simply look to scout out long entries from here up to breakout high initially and then towards our 1.21 region, area of resistance and weekly key level.
EURJPY H4 - Long Trade SetupEURJPY H4
Based on last weeks resistance we saw a downside gap here on EJ followed by bearish continuations pulling us all the way down to our 129.800 support price.
Since, we have seen some sizeable wicks, interested to see where this H4 closes in 10 minutes. Possible second opportunity from support back up to resistance.
#EURUSD 19 04 2021#EURUSD 19 04 2021
Since March 2020, the price has been moving in a global upward channel. And during this movement at the beginning of this year, it touched the resistance line 1.237 - the upper border of the channel. Then the fall began. And now we see that falling in the channel the price has come to the lower border of the main uptrend in the support zone of 1.170. In addition to the channel line, there is also a support line for October 2019 and March 2020. From this zone, the price showed excellent growth and in three weeks rose to the resistance line 1.198. Now I expect the price to fall from this line and consolidate in the 1.179 support zone. After which he will receive a strong support, he will begin to grow. The price will break the line 1.193, fix at the local price level 1.196 and rise to the resistance line 1.216. This will be our goal
Troy continues to climb perfectly before swap. ($TROY)Helen of Troy! Zoom out to the big picture and buy the dip. Troy is setting up as a massive win for all those seeking new value from DOGE and XRP gains. Swap and airdrop coming shortly.
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Good luck.
EURUSD 15 04 2021#EURUSD 15 04 2021
The price is now at the 1.196 support line, which has been on the chart since August 2020. The price came to this point by pushing off from the 1.171 support line - this line was formed in March 2020 and is the border of the global ascending channel. Since the price has such strong global support, and no less strong local support, I expect that now the price will continue to rise and touch the resistance zone 1.208, where the two strong lines of October 2019 and February 2020 intersect. After that, the estimate will turn around and return to support 1.184. This will be our goal.
BITCOIN | Possible Targets & How To Identify Them!?Hi,
I get a lot of questions, and even I have seen a lot of bets, where the price of Bitcoin goes? So, let's do it the same! Leave a comment and tell us your thoughts about where it goes, is it 70k or 80k or 120k, name it, and say why you think so - is it just a guess or you have some technical criteria to look for. The most accurate call will win free technical analysis of your favorite altcoins ;) The game ends after we have seen at least a 17-20% correction.
The target areas.
To predict and narrow the price levels above the ATH is quite tough, luckily I have some tools which have helped me to do that. Obviously, they aren't so precise to start to short from there but they can be a good partial take profit areas.
Tools that might help you to find take profit places:
1. Channels - the upper trendline of the channel can be very precise resistance level from time to time.
2. Channel projections - quite often the price moves in channels, as you see on the image, black lines form a perfect channel. Channel projection assuming that it starts to form a channel. You need two dots to draw the trendline below the candles and one dot above the candles to copy/paste the lower trendline to the high-dot. Channel projection is the orange lines in the chart. Short-term very good to predict bounces.
3. Equal waves of AB=CD, will not explain it but perfect if the AB=CD matching perfectly with channel projection.
4. Fibonacci Extensions are also quite good to predict take profit areas.
5. Round numbers, psychological numbers.
So, using these tools I found some areas to keep an eye on. The first target area will stay around 70k. There is a minor trendline, channel projection, 2x equal waves of AB=CD, Fibo Extensions and 70k will act as a round number. At the moment, they all act as resistance levels and matching quite perfectly with each other around 70.
Always look for several criteria to narrow the target area. If you can draw multiple criteria into one place it will give much more power to the potential target/resistance area
As said previously, it is only the target area - full target, partial target, or whatever. Never try to short from these levels. You can start to think about shorting only then when the price has stopped around your identified area, has stayed there to consolidate and lower timeframes offer some price action to keep an eye on. To try to short immediately after the price has reached the area, you will burn your fingers, hands, body and etc. entirely, especially in these market conditions.
The pre-mentioned target area is currently the strongest and nearest but I have put another one a bit higher. It is not the case atm but still, a good example of the channel and AB=CD crossing area. It says slightly above 80k.
Can you jump into the possible another leg upwards? Yes, around 60k will be technically a good place for a retest.
On the weekend I shared in the other site quite a step-by-step break and a retest, which took a bit more time than expected but worked out perfectly - break above 60k and retest afterward, and here we are.
Hopefully, you found something helpful for your further analysis, especially for identifying take-profit places.
Stay healthy,
Vaido