Financialcrisis
Mortgage Delinquencies About to Skyrocket"Financial Advisors" tend to be clueless about the overall health of the market and the economy.
The "advisor" profession is laced with toxic narratives about "your goals" and "focusing on the long term" and "staying invested". They're clueless as to what is going on.
As the recession sets in and the market collapses, we will see mortgage delinquencies soar.
Remain patient, refrain from buying ANYTHING with a debt component (ie homes / cars). We will soon see a credit freeze, as banks and lenders dump their assets and borrowers fail to meet their loan covenants.
This is the real deal, folks.
Stay low and move fast!
Is SP500 strike to cover crisisDear All,
This is SP500 to GDP Ratio chart which is show us maybe we should ready for another crisis. If you compare this chart to Will500PR to GDP Ratio I have published before you can clearly see negative bearish divergence between these two that means total public traded shares do not touched higher top but SP500 index reaches higher rates; So its obvious to see a sharp shrinkage as soon as possible. See if FED can cover it by soft landing or not?
Strategic Approach to Volatility Trading: Preparing for VIX DownWhen the VIX drops below $12, it's time to consider a cautious approach. Instead of jumping in headfirst, I gradually enter long positions in UVIX and UVXY calls over the course of one week to several months, while directly holding onto VIX, UVIX, and UVXY.
Past experiences with mistimed UVXY Long Calls, particularly during the pre and post-COVID periods, have taught me to be wary of recency and confirmation biases. To navigate these waters, I adopt the perspective of a five-star general overseeing a drone center, analyzing the market with precision.
While I anticipate fluctuations, my outlook remains bearish until the VIX hits $12, taking into account both short-term ups and downs. This is a strategy geared towards a relatively long or intermediate-term perspective, focusing on the bigger picture.
XAUUSD FOMC UP then Downtrend❤️MY FOREX TEAM❤️
INFORMATION
Gold (XAU/USD) rose for the fourth straight session on Tuesday (+0.50% to $2,027), firmly establishing itself above the $2,025 mark, supported by declining U.S. Treasury yields and a subdued U.S. dollar, with risk-averse sentiment on Wall Street likely reinforcing the metal’s advance.
💲BUY GOLD 💲
💲SELL GOLD 💲
Signal Updates in chart. Followers continuously receive update.
Everyone success..👍👍👍
❤️MY FOREX TEAM - Technical Analysis
Technical indicators SMA | EMA | MACD | SAR | VWAP | RSI | MARKET TREND | NEWS
❤️NOTE
FOMC MINUTES IN FEW HOURS
❤️MONEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
⚡️ Only Trade With Risk Capital
⚡️ Cut Losses Short, Let Profits Run On
⚡️ Avoid Using Too Much Leverage
⚡️ Avoid Taking Too Much Heat
⚡️ Do Not Give in to Greed
⚡️ Take profit equal to 4-6% of your capital
⚡️ Stop lose equal to 2-3% of your capital
The Hartford. Head & Shoulders Strategy Takeaways the GlenThe Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc., usually known as The Hartford, is a United States-based investment and insurance company. The Hartford is a Fortune 500 company headquartered in its namesake city of Hartford, Connecticut.
It was ranked 160th in Fortune 500 in the year of 2020. The company's earnings are divided between property-and-casualty operations, group benefits and mutual funds.
The Hartford is the 13th-largest property and casualty insurance company in the United States. It sells products primarily through a network of agents and brokers, and has also been the auto and home insurance writer for AARP members for more than 25 years.
The main technical graph illustrates it's been a long 15-years path since The Hartford NYSE:HIG has 24x crashed within the 2007-09 financial crisis before it reached the bottom in 2009 around $ 3 per share, compared with $ 106 per share at the top of 2007.
Following to massive Head & Shoulders structure, mostly above 5yrs SMA, helped The Hartford to recover almost all losses since 2007 , while currently stocks prices are around $ 85 per share - at the highest level over the past 15 years since January, 2008.
In nowadays technical graph says The Hartford is about to break the rules, while strong H&S breakout is happening and can help stocks to achieve new highs in a short future.
Echoes of the Past: Analyzing E-mini S&P Futures 2008 vs. 2024Introduction to E-mini S&P Futures
E-mini S&P Futures stand as a testament to the intricate dynamics of financial markets, capturing the essence of broader economic trends and investor sentiment. As we navigate through 2024, these futures face a situation reminiscent of the prelude to the 2008 global financial crisis. This article embarks on a journey to analyze the current market position of E-mini S&P Futures against the backdrop of October 2007, unraveling the echoes of the past through which we could have a glimpse into the potential trajectory for 2024.
Historical Parallels: 2007 vs. Today
In October 2007, E-mini S&P Futures approached the precipice of a significant market downturn, attempting to break the all-time high set in March 2000 in vain, marking the peak before the devastating 2008 crash. Fast forward to today, we find ourselves in a similar position, with the market challenging the all-time high set in January 2022. However, the context now is markedly different, with indicators and market fundamentals suggesting a more robust potential for upside than downside.
Technical Analysis of Current Market Position
A detailed technical analysis paints a vivid picture of the current market. Key resistance and support levels are scrutinized, with a particular focus on how they compare to those of 2007. Indicators such as RSI, and MACD are employed to dissect the market's momentum and volatility, offering insights into potential future movements.
Additionally, to ensure the analysis remains impartial, we're utilizing a 42-day regression channel on both prices and indicators. This sophisticated tool will discern whether there's a convergence of trends or, conversely, a divergence between price movements and indicator signals.
2007/2008 Presented a Strong Divergence
Prices and Indicator are Not Diverging in 2024
The October 2007 Echo
The situation in October 2007 serves as a stark reminder of the market's capacity for sudden and profound shifts. By analyzing the market patterns, investor behavior, and economic indicators from that period, we draw parallels and contrasts to the present day, providing a multi-dimensional view of the potential market trajectory.
Breakout Teaser in 07/08
In October 2007, the E-mini S&P Futures made a daring attempt to surge beyond the previous all-time high price levels. However, this potential breakout turned out to be a deceptive "fake-out," setting the stage for a significant downtrend that persisted until March 2009.
Consequently, as the potential breakout faltered and the E-mini S&P Futures prices began their descent, they encountered minimal resistance to the downward movement. This was primarily because there were no significant support levels in close proximity, leaving a considerable gap until the next substantial support zone was encountered at markedly lower price points.
Potential Opportunities Amidst the Bad News
Despite the ominous shadow of 2007, the current market scenario reveals opportunities. The bad news dominating headlines may indeed present favorable conditions for trading E-mini S&P Futures at more attractive prices. An objective analysis, free from the emotional weight of the past, reveals a market teeming with potential for informed traders.
Break-Out or Fake-Out this Time?
The above chart bears a striking resemblance to the scenario observed in October 2007. However, it's crucial to acknowledge the distinct differences in our current market conditions. In 2024, the convergence of the RSI and MACD with the price, as opposed to divergence, paints a notably different picture. Furthermore, as depicted in the chart below, the proximity of significant support price levels forms a robust barrier, challenging the development of a downtrend and underscoring the unique nature of the current market landscape.
Forward-Looking Insights
The analysis leads us to a series of forward-looking insights. A comparative historical approach, coupled with current technical analysis, suggests that while the market is at a critical juncture reminiscent of 2007, the outcome may not necessarily follow the same path. The article discusses potential market scenarios for E-mini S&P Futures, considering the interplay of economic reports, investor sentiment, and global events.
With this delicate balance, influenced by both past events and current market conditions, we present a comprehensive detailed trade plan which would benefit from such potential new all-time high prices being formed.
Trade plan elements for a Risk-Defined E-mini S&P Futures Opportunity:
Understanding the Instrument : E-mini S&P Futures is a futures contract with a point Value of $50 per point. Traders willing to reduce the risk of the trade can use MES (Micro ES) which would reduce the exposure by a factor of 10 times less.
Risk Management : Experienced traders prioritize risk management. Using stop-loss orders or hedging techniques is imperative to avoid undefined risk exposure.
Precision in Entries and Exits : Aligning entries and exits with relevant market price levels can help manage risk. When a price point generates a bounce, the trader stays in the trade; if a price level is violated, the disciplined action is to exit the trade promptly for a predetermined loss.
Relevant Price Levels for E-mini S&P Futures : Currently, ES1! shows relevant support levels starting 4662.50.
Proposed Trade Plan:
ENTRY: At a significant support level identified by the analysis: 4662.50.
STOP-LOSS: Set at a calculated risk level below the entry: 4481.25.
TAKE PROFIT TARGET: Aimed at an identified resistance level which in this case does not exist and therefore we are taking a Fibonacci projection: 5300.50.
This plan offers a structured approach with a clear Reward-To-Risk ratio, aiming to capitalize on potential market movements while ensuring disciplined risk management.
Navigating 2024 with Lessons from 2008
As traders look to navigate the uncertain waters of 2024, the lessons from 2008 become invaluable. The article provides a nuanced strategy framework that incorporates risk management, market timing, and scenario planning. It emphasizes the importance of vigilance, adaptability, and informed decision-making in capitalizing on potential market movements.
Conclusion
The echoes of 2008 reverberate through today's market, presenting a unique blend of challenges and opportunities for traders of E-mini S&P Futures. By analyzing the past and present, this article provides a comprehensive view of the potential market dynamics for 2024. It concludes with strategic insights and a potential opportunity for traders to leverage the lessons from the past while remaining agile and informed in the face of future uncertainties.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes, forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 22, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Throughout this week's trading session, Bitcoin has been trading within a
Mean Sup 41200 and completed Outer Coin Rally 44500. This range has created a level of stability in the market and has allowed for some downturn in the short term: the intermediate down target is the robust Mean Sup 42300. This is a crucial level for traders to watch, representing a solid support level for Bitcoin. Overall, Bitcoin is projected to revisit the completed Outer Coin Rally 44500 and continue the upward trajectory as specified on the chart.
The Banking Crisis and the Bank of America CorporationIntroduction
The Bank of America Corporation is one of the most famous of Warren Buffets holdings. It is right behind Berkshire’s Apple holdings in size and it has only grown during the recent banking turmoil. This is while he is “dumping” other banks because of red flags in their financials. That is beginning to look like a bad decision based on the technical of BAC.
Source:
markets.businessinsider.com
The United States and the world appears to be facing a very serious financial crisis and we are in the stages where equities are still slow moving. The real impulse will begin when a lower timeframe rally is shorted and the news gets apocalyptic. BAC is ultimately on the chopping block.
Analysis
This is a pared down version of my momentum charts where I try to get the most out of a trend by riding the impulse. As such I don’t have a trade on because price has not slipped the 200 yet. If you want a full breakdown it is in the linked idea on Matic and Solana. Now, due to how fast bank failures can happen I might miss this trade being to patient.
The MACD and Signal are below zero on the mothy. That is bad in itself. Price has slipped the 50 month, that is also bad in itself. Both of these things have occurred as BAC is dropped out of a falling wedge. Also very bad. BAC has also set a lower high from the high before the 2008 financial crisis. That is catastrophically bad because it sets BAC either a W bottom or an ABC correction. The W is shown on the main chart and the ABC correction is shown below.
The wider view
A banking crisis is the apparent reason bitcoin was created in the first place. It also lead to a pump in silver and gold once there was a “paper” decline in price. I remember reading the news stories from the 08 crash were people were selling their precious metals for wide margins on eBay and other platforms while the exchanges were selling silver derivatives for cheaper and cheaper.. As such, another banking system crisis should see the anti-fiats begin to pump once the thrash has happened. I would expect a massive risk off situation but somehow bitcoin and other cryptos look bullish. If is a very schizophrenic time to being doing TA. It is also a crazy time to trade. I don’t know if I will be engaging in capital destruction because of bad trade or just because my exchange collapses.
Most likely I will buy the dip in paper silver and ride the gains up. Dark times with a silver lining.
Satoshi ReserveCheck this out.
"Satoshi" mined 1M BTC before everyone else started mining. "He" is blue. Since then, his balance remained intact.
Red are the biggest mining pools; as you can see, they sold almost everything. They have 150k BTC.
Green are all the other miners. And they currently own 650k BTC.
Everything else is distributed (traded or lost) to the retail.
This makes "Satoshi" the owner of the single largest quantity of BTC 12 years after "he" stopped mining. That is what I call "well-armed."
Now, let's look at when BTC was "born." At the time when 2008. the financial crisis was taking its toll; alternative value storage was created, mined, and released into the world.
Which currency has been hyper-inflated for decades, and which country is trying to regulate the entire crypto world?
Who would want to pull sufficient quantities of money from the market without giving valuable resources, thus increasing the underlying value of the said currency?
Why are banks going down and BTC going up?
And how much manipulation can be done with 1M BTC in the future?
Point?
If this scenario is correct, BTC can fix the difference between money's value and the number on the bill.
We will see a lot more bull and bear markets.
Everything that will be done so that most of BTC ends up in the hands of governments. And after that, everything will be done to create scarcity so that the price will increase.
There are 15-20 years more until the last is mined. And the single largest quantity remains intact.
Think about it. It's fun. And scary.
Robert Kiyosaki and now Larry Fink on Credit Suisse's demiseThis 2 charts reminds me of a James Bond movie, Skyfall.
There is a claim by many that, these companies are too big to fail. Oh yeah?
7th largest investment bank in the world is get steamrolled. Yesterday about 6pm Malaysia time, Credit Suisse ($CSGN) got halted due to excessive selling.
Robert Kiyosaki predicts this bank will be next. Today, Larry Fink of Blackrock is echoing Rich Dad Poor Dad author.
2nd largest Swiss bank is going under real soon and this will rock Eurozone badly.
On to US banks, Moody's have place 5-6 banks under watch for downgrading due to contagion following SVB, Silvergate and Signature bank's catastrophe.
The pack leader is First Republic Bank ($FRC). Since last week Thurs, already down 80%. Holy moly!
Others will be Western Alliance Bancorp ($WAL), Intrust Financial Corp, UMB Financial Corp ($UMBF), Zion Bancorp ($ZION) and Comerica Inc ($CMA). This year will be crazy.
Will Jerome Powell finally pivot? He got 2 options, raise rates and crush the economy OR pivot and deal with rising inflation again.
What I think is, you will keep printing money. Like you always do and that's all you can do, dear central banks.
Stop covering up simple stuff with euphemism such as Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) to cover up for money printing.
As if Quantitative Easing is not euphemistic enough.
By Sifu Steve @ XeroAcademy
1929 styled Bank Run Starting Tomorrow !!!SIVB SVB Financial Group Buyout or Bail Out, the only options!
SVB was the second-largest banking failure in the history of the United States!
Only 2.7% of Silicon Valley Bank deposits are less than $250,000. Meaning, 97.3% aren't FDIC insured, resulting in over $160 billion of uninsured customer deposits.
Roughly 50% of the US venture capital-funded startups are clients of SVB, potentially putting 65,000 startups at risk of payroll disruptions. Such a situation could have significant consequences for the startup and tech sectors.
SVB did business with FTX, plus many other formerly overvalued tech companies.
With $210 billion in assets, $SIBV was the 15th largest bank in the US in terms of deposits.
SVB held $91 billion in bond portfolio, classified as “held-to-maturity” securities, with an yield of 1.78!
SVB CEO Greg Becker explained that the bank was selling its available-for-sale bond portfolio for $21 billion due to anticipated sustained higher interest rates, challenging conditions in both public and private markets, and elevated cash burn levels from its clients.
This move resulted in a total loss of $1.8 billion for the bank.
I think we are going to see a government take over of SIVB SVB Financial Group on Monday.
In case they don’t do that, a 1929 styled bank run starting tomorrow!
So i don’t think they have a choice other than bail out SVB Financial.
In case of a Takeover, the buyout area should be $12.75 - $32.
This is my Price Target for SIVB.
2020 Covid Lockdown level was $128 so the stock is Still expensive right now!
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
BTCUSDT Historic Overlap LONG-TERM Our indicator shows that we are approaching historic data overlap transpired on 18/JAN/2021 .
Somewhat early but we expect next week to be a final decider for Bitcoin trend direction.
We expect another SHORT term retraction to 15,700 k mark and proceed towards 20k Mark with 2 weeks period if successful we shall expect rapid ascend to 40k Mark in a matter of 2 months.
Our Entry for Long-Term position LONG would be set @ 15,700-15,800 mark in a meantime we expect SHORT market with HIGH Volatility.
SPX WAVE AND TREND ANALYSISBe sure to stick to Stop Lost and TAkE Profit. This is an idea and not a bargain offer
This is just idea, not trading advice, use at own risk.
reasons:
It is recommended to buy in this price limit
It is mandatory to pay attention to the stop loss and the target marked on the chart
Do not be greedy and adhere to the specified principles. I hope you will be profitable
Note that there is no 100% analysis and it is possible to stop flirting
This is a personal analysis and you should not enter into a transaction without review
If you know this, make a purchase
Be sure to adhere to the principles of capital management and do not invest more than 2% of your capital in each transaction.
High-risk individuals can enter a maximum of 5% of risk capital in this transaction by accepting risk-taking.
This analysis has been analyzed with the classic Elliott topics and neo wave style. Also, the principles of price action have been used.
NASDAQ INDEX TREND AND WAVE ANALYSISBe sure to stick to Stop Lost and TAkE Profit. This is an idea and not a bargain offer
This is just idea, not trading advice, use at own risk.
reasons:
It is recommended to buy in this price limit
It is mandatory to pay attention to the stop loss and the target marked on the chart
Do not be greedy and adhere to the specified principles. I hope you will be profitable
Note that there is no 100% analysis and it is possible to stop flirting
This is a personal analysis and you should not enter into a transaction without review
If you know this, make a purchase
Be sure to adhere to the principles of capital management and do not invest more than 2% of your capital in each transaction.
High-risk individuals can enter a maximum of 5% of risk capital in this transaction by accepting risk-taking.
This analysis has been analyzed with the classic Elliott topics and neo wave style. Also, the principles of price action have been used.
PEPSICO TREND AND WAVE ANALYSISBe sure to stick to Stop Lost and TAkE Profit. This is an idea and not a bargain offer
This is just idea, not trading advice, use at own risk.
reasons:
It is recommended to buy in this price limit
It is mandatory to pay attention to the stop loss and the target marked on the chart
Do not be greedy and adhere to the specified principles. I hope you will be profitable
Note that there is no 100% analysis and it is possible to stop flirting
This is a personal analysis and you should not enter into a transaction without review
If you know this, make a purchase
Be sure to adhere to the principles of capital management and do not invest more than 2% of your capital in each transaction.
High-risk individuals can enter a maximum of 5% of risk capital in this transaction by accepting risk-taking.
This analysis has been analyzed with the classic Elliott topics and neo wave style. Also, the principles of price action have been used.
NIKE WAVE AND TREND ANALYSISBe sure to stick to Stop Lost and TAkE Profit. This is an idea and not a bargain offer
This is just idea, not trading advice, use at own risk.
reasons:
It is recommended to buy in this price limit
It is mandatory to pay attention to the stop loss and the target marked on the chart
Do not be greedy and adhere to the specified principles. I hope you will be profitable
Note that there is no 100% analysis and it is possible to stop flirting
This is a personal analysis and you should not enter into a transaction without review
If you know this, make a purchase
Be sure to adhere to the principles of capital management and do not invest more than 2% of your capital in each transaction.
High-risk individuals can enter a maximum of 5% of risk capital in this transaction by accepting risk-taking.
This analysis has been analyzed with the classic Elliott topics and neo wave style. Also, the principles of price action have been used.
TMUS TREND AND WAVE ANALYSISBe sure to stick to Stop Lost and TAkE Profit. This is an idea and not a bargain offer
This is just idea, not trading advice, use at own risk.
reasons:
It is recommended to buy in this price limit
It is mandatory to pay attention to the stop loss and the target marked on the chart
Do not be greedy and adhere to the specified principles. I hope you will be profitable
Note that there is no 100% analysis and it is possible to stop flirting
This is a personal analysis and you should not enter into a transaction without review
If you know this, make a purchase
Be sure to adhere to the principles of capital management and do not invest more than 2% of your capital in each transaction.
High-risk individuals can enter a maximum of 5% of risk capital in this transaction by accepting risk-taking.
This analysis has been analyzed with the classic Elliott topics and neo wave style. Also, the principles of price action have been used.
SPX Is The US market crash coming?We have 3 types of “crashes”
Correction <15% downward movement in a major indicy
Bear Market <20% downward movement in a major indicy
Black Swan event, something very unexpected that tanks the market, think 1987, 1929, challenger disaster, 911 and so on.
The fourth type is the 1919, 1929, 1999 and 2008 scenario that people generally refer to as a “crash” 2022 a new one ?
Which currency pairs benefited from financial crisis 2007-2008The stock market has been rising in spite of the covid pandemic. Even before that, some well-known names were predicting a huge cruse with Peter Schiff republishing his same old book every year for some time now. Anyway, many of us agree, that there is something wrong with the markets and even more reputable managers predict a crash. It is, therefore, a good idea to look where the money tends to go should that happen.
Forex is a central point of the financial markets. Bonds, stocks, and commodities each is denominated in a currency. Buying the right asset from the right asset class is great. Buying it with the right currency is even greater ☺
One of the winners is clearly an American Dollar. I will leave it in all the following charts. After a long downtrend, the crisis put a halt to that and in 130 days, 860 days worth of losing the value was recovered. Of course, such rapid growth in currency value must have made exports difficult, so I assume there must have been some major intervention and the downtrend resumed after a beautiful double top.
(the chart below dollar is SP500 as another anchor for our analysis)
Then, there are two losers in this chart. It is important to mention two things. First, the charts present futures as the other indexes don't go as far. Second, a weak currency doesn't mean the country handled the crisis poorly. But as far as currencies go, AUD and EUR did perform rather poorly. // I think this is likely to be a repeated behavior. AUD is still a commodity currency and EUR pegs diverse economies to each other. This raises a question about stability as successful currencies require political and economical union too.
Oil currencies such as NOK or CAD seem to also have dropped. I added Oil chart at the bottom. // I do think that this is likely to repeat with NOK, but not necessarily with CAD. Although the CAD is another commodity currency, it is perceived as safer to some degree. At least as far as I know.
(could not find reliable NOK index)
When it comes to currencies generally perceived as safe, Yen performed nicely and has risen more than 25% measuring from the lowest low between 2008 to the nearest significant top. The pair USDJPY was sideways-ish before the years 2007-2008 but is clearly downward-slope as Yen somewhat outperforms US Dollar. The same can't be said about the Swiss Franc which has only woken up after the dollar started to reverse. You can point out several weekly candles when the investors were rushing from the dollar and buying CHF in exchange in these times. // I think a Yen will express similar behavior. I am not sure what to make of CHF which is backed by gold more than other currencies and the gold has already risen quite high.
I will leave it here without further interpretation, but I am looking forward to discussion if there is one, and I will make a few more similar posts in the future if this one becomes any popular.
The Bubble Could Pop Like It Did In 1929I and others who try to spot patterns in charts are starting to see a lot of similarities compering bull run from the 2008-2021 and the one from 1921-1929. You can clearly see that patterns are profoundly which to be honest, it keeps me up at night. Stock market as well as crypto market are VERY high. In last few years/months. everyone wants to become a day-trader or whatever, and having a mindset that everything can only go up from here. It was the same mindset back in 1928-1929 where everyone knew about the stock market, getting overleveraged and promoting it as it could make you rich over night. It is the same now so i want to worn people about all this. Don't listen CNBS and financial media as they are only there to create liquidity for the institutions so they can sell when the time comes. That time is right around the corner.
Also a fib. extension levels extended over previous fall in 2008 takes us to around 11-13% above where we currently are with DOW. Don't be naive and say that this time is different. It's not. Maybe the fall will not be that dramatic as the bubble is not as big as it was in 1929 but we certainly could and probably will fall below the bottom of 2008 ( roughly to 6k), so don't be surprised if it turns out this bear market is longer and deeper, because we need such correction for the market to stay healthy.
I am not financial advisor so non of this is a financial advise, just a BIG warning to you all.
DJ:DJI
US dollar about to collapseDXY FREE UPDATE
- Yello!
Let's make everything crystal clear and understand a bit better what is going on in the market right now. Let's talk about the Dollar Index, ladies and gentlemen
This index (DXY) basically measures the dollar's strength against all other currencies (FIAT). And to understand the context, please refresh your mind and read our update about DXY from February this year click here and read it now.
Since our last update from February, DXY respects our support zone perfectly and keeps bouncing off it (keep in mind that the more often support or resistance is tested, the weaker it gets). Moreover, over the last few weeks, the DXY is showing some continued strength, primarily due to the FEDS announcement to tighten rates by 2023. The US government tries hard to push away the financial crisis and colossal inflation. But doing these things will just make it worse in the future.
However, it indicates that the US dollar is starting to regain strength in relation to other Fiat currencies at the moment.
And what about Bitcoin? Whilst there may be no direct connection between the DXY and Bitcoin, the correlation on short/mid-term price action is intense and always have been.
To understand better the correlation: Normally, we see BTC gaining strength while the dollar weakens; similarly, we are now seeing a decline in BTC due to the dollar regaining strength. DXY is approaching a local resistance right now, which can send it back to the support. That would be logical as BTC is trading at support right now. But if there will be some other positive news by FED actions, we expect DXY to break the resistance, which would mean a further upside for Dollar Index. We are preparing for some huge volatility soon. Make sure you have a plan and a great strategy going into this week.
Read our previous DXY update
We wish you a happy, safe Monday,
your ParadiseTeam