Financialcrisis
12 Years a Slave - S&P ChannelI think the chart explains itself. We are at a critical moment. If price finds support on top of channel (making higher highs), then a new cycle outside of channel has begun. Expect another bull cycle?
If price does not find support on top of channel and is rejected, then we could come back down to the bottom of channel and re-test March lows.
This month will be critical to find out.
Bitcoin Ultimate Buy and Sell GuideBuy lower — Sell higher!
Buy the rumors — Sell the news!
Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own.
I’ll tell you how to become rich. Close the doors. Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful.
👉 Find out who said this quotes and send in comments your favourites :)
Watch latests researches about bitcoin price action below:
Chainlink ready for Blast OFF!!!
After Major banks stop accepting Cash Chainlink it appears is ready for lift off.
Quick Tip RSI is on the high end Above 60 we might get some crazy Readings
Indicators are a strong help but no one can time the market exact just wanted to remind the new adopters to Crypto pay attention to the News because it has a strong effect on the crypto space.
anything under 40 for chainlink on the RSI i would consider a Buy signal still the closer we are to 30. If RSI shows 50 thats neutral. to better understand the RSI indicator for new users so the higher the RSI number indicates the coin is being over bought the lower the number indicates the coin is being over sold. Simple effective yet easy trading indicator take time learn a little more each day diversify your portfolio be quick take your buy and sell signals even when small small trades add up a lot when swing and Day trading choose a chart 15m or higher for better results with your trades.
Haven't posted the past couple days because i also was affected by the banks yet again which is why im so Bullish on crypto
This Isn't Financial Advise
you are responsible for your own investments i just figured i would start posting ideas to allow more people to learn if possible have a great day have Fun
note to self not every trade will go as planned no matter how good your strategy is you will take losses you will make gains have a solid plan for your risk management and your own financial goals.
Hit the thumbs up if your new and learned at all from any of my posts
feel free to message as well .
VIX S&P 500 buy long termHello traders and analysts,
Here is our insight to the VIX which represents the volatility of the S&P500.
Linked below is the idea relating to the S&P500. - S&P we have an island formation
Capitulation - where surrender or give up the recapture of lost gains as a result
of sharp sell offs. This is the zone where investors indicate where price has toppled to.
Gold is still rallying to so pay close attention to Gold buys.
Technicals:
Divergence formed between the VIX sending a great message to the S&P500 that price has now passed beyond UTAD - price can reach this double top by pure greed, we cannot do anything on this other than wait.
From an imbalance method, we have a good double top retest which is showing profit and greed taking.
Price has seen a bounce back to 'normal priced of demand' however this is not really how halted economies can return so fast. it is artificial growth so after the constant printing by the FED their will be a sovereign debt issue amongst multiple nations predominantly G13 members. LEDC countries will suffer just as much but at a wider scale with pressure for providing on a lower budget.
Divergence - we did not use this but looking at the pattern, we have a huge distinguishing gap. Showing disconnect.
Fundamentals:
US election rallies before taking place at the end of the year with campaigning.
We have NFP numbers showing millions return to work.. but also high unemployment 11%, state wide issues with re-opening.
Trade war with China, Hong Kong unfolding with US responding
High figures in multiple states which are concerns for large communities.
Fiscal intervention in July, August for stimulus.. constant printing money is not good for the economy.
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100 YEARS OF GLOBAL CRISES, PANDEMIA, RECESSION and DEPRESSIONHere is the modern 100 years history of Human Being. Starting from WW1-Depression-WW2-ColdWar-DotComBubble-FinancialCrisis-COVID
Will the history repeats again with Crash and Recovery?
On chart I pointed with 1&2 phases of history is from 1915 to 2001 and from 2001 to current.
Chart as image:
1. The Great Depression, World War II, Cold War, Dot Com Bubble
The Great Depression began in the United States after a significant drop in stock prices, which began around September 4, 1929, and became world news after the stock market crash on October 29, 1929 (known as Black Tuesday). Between 1929 and 1932, global gross domestic product (GDP) declined by about 15%. In comparison, global GDP fell by less than 1% from 2008 to 2009 during the Financial Crisis. Some economies began to recover by the mid-30s. However, in many countries, the negative effects of the Great Depression continued until the outbreak of World War II.
The Great Depression had devastating consequences in both rich and poor countries. Personal income, tax revenue, profits and prices fell, and international trade fell by more than 50%. Unemployment in the United States rose to 23%, and in some countries rose to 33%.
Cities around the world have been hit hard, especially those that depend on heavy industry. Construction was virtually halted in many countries. Agricultural communities and rural areas suffered as crop prices fell by about 60%. Faced with a sharp drop in demand with several alternative sources of jobs, the most affected areas are those dependent on primary sector industries such as mining and logging.
What stocks survived the Great Depression?
Electric Boat Company gained +55,000% from 1932 to 1954, topping this interesting list of the top-10 performing Great Depression Stocks.
Electric Boat (Defense; +55,000% Return) ...
Truax Traer Coal (Coal; +30,503%) ...
Spicer Manufacturing (Auto; +26,221%) ...
Zenith Radio (Radios, Televisions; +24,146%)
World War II , also called Second World War, conflict that involved virtually every part of the world during the years 1939–45. The principal belligerents were the Axis powers—Germany, Italy, and Japan—and the Allies—France, Great Britain, the United States, the Soviet Union, and, to a lesser extent, China. The war was in many respects a continuation, after an uneasy 20-year hiatus, of the disputes left unsettled by World War I. The 40,000,000–50,000,000 deaths incurred in World War II make it the bloodiest conflict, as well as the largest war, in history.
Cold War , the open yet restricted rivalry that developed after World War II between the United States and the Soviet Union and their respective allies. The Cold War was waged on political, economic, and propaganda fronts and had only limited recourse to weapons.
The result in 1989 was a wave of revolutions that (with the exception of Romania) peacefully overthrew all of the communist governments of Central and Eastern Europe. The Communist Party of the Soviet Union itself lost control in the Soviet Union and was banned following an abortive coup attempt in August 1991.
The dot-com bubble (also known as the dot-com boom, the tech bubble, and the Internet bubble) was a stock market bubble caused by excessive speculation in Internet-related companies in the late 1990s, a period of massive growth in the use and adoption of the Internet.
There are various ways to measure the amount of wealth that was annihilated when the bubble burst. As early as November 2000, CNNFN pegged the losses at $1.7 trillion
What companies survived the dot com bubble?
Here are some companies which survived the dot-com bubble.
Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) +45000% Return since 2001
eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) +1700% return
Apple (NASDAQ: APPL) +36000% return
2. The Financial Crisis of 2007–08, COVID-19 recession, the Great Shutdown
Financial crisis of 2007–08 , also called subprime mortgage crisis, severe contraction of liquidity in global financial markets that originated in the United States as a result of the collapse of the U.S. housing market. It threatened to destroy the international financial system; caused the failure (or near-failure) of several major investment and commercial banks, mortgage lenders, insurance companies, and savings and loan associations; and precipitated the Great Recession (2007–09), the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression (1929–c. 1939).
The U.S. government then came out with National Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, which created a corpus of $700 billion to purchase distressed assets, especially mortgage-backed securities. Different governments came out with their versions of bailout packages, government guarantees and outright nationalization.
The financial crisis of 2007-08 has taught us that the confidence of the financial market, once shattered, can't be quickly restored. In an interconnected world, a seeming liquidity crisis can very quickly turn into a solvency crisis for financial institutions, a balance of payment crisis for sovereign countries and a full-blown crisis of confidence for the entire world. But the silver lining is that, after every crisis in the past, markets have come out strong to forge new beginnings with some kind of turnaround. A small selection of investors even profited from the crisis.
The coronavirus recession, also known as the COVID-19 recession, the Great Shutdown, or the Great Lockdown , is a major global recession which arose as an economic consequence of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. The first major sign of the coronavirus recession was the 2020 stock market crash on 20 February, and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) reported on 14 April that all of the G7 nations had already entered or were entering into a "deep recession" and that there had already been a significant slowdown of growth in emerging economies. IMF projections suggest that the coronavirus recession will be the most severe global economic downturn since the Great Depression, and that it will be "far worse" than the Great Recession of 2009.
The pandemic has led to more than a third of the world's population being placed on lockdown to stop the spread of COVID-19. It has caused severe repercussions for economies across the world, following soon after a global economic slowdown during 2019 that saw stagnation of stock markets and consumer activity worldwide.
This recession has seen unusually high and rapid increases in unemployment in many countries, and the inability in the United States for state-funded unemployment insurance computer systems and processes to keep up with applications. The United Nations (UN) predicted in April 2020 that global unemployment will wipe out 6.7 per cent of working hours globally in the second quarter of 2020—equivalent to 195 million full-time workers. In western nations, unemployment is expected to be at around 10%, with more severely affected nations from the COVID-19 pandemic having higher unemployment rates. The developing world is also being affected by a drop in remittances.
The recession saw a drop in the price of oil triggered by the 2020 Russia–Saudi Arabia oil price war, the collapse of tourism, the hospitality industry, the energy industry and a significant downturn in consumer activity in comparison to the previous decade. Global stock markets crashed around 20 to 30% during late February and March 2020, respectively. During the crash, global stock markets made unprecedented and volatile swings, mainly due to extreme uncertainty in the markets.
👉 So many people claiming for next crisis/recession and global shit to happen, but:
👉 General question, are you really want this to happen?
Stay profitable
this is Artem Crypto
First rebound of the 2020 market crash is DONE! GOING DOWN!The figure shows how long the previous market crashes have taken in time and how the crashes have always had significant upwards retracements in it. The overall trend of 2020 is now confirmed to bearish and there is a lot to come in the near future. Stay tuned!
XAUUSD GOLD BUYYGold will always be the safest investment epically with the world circumstance nowadays so I have published this trade to everyone to take this opportunity before you regret it our first target is $1800 and 2nd target is $1900 and our final target will be above $2000 as we are heading to a huge financial crisis we never saw in history which will attract investors to buying gold.
the reason I say we are heading to a financial crisis is because the total world GDP atm is $85 trillion dollars and the world debts is 3 times higher than the GDB which is $260 trillion.
EU have once said when the world debts is more than 60% then we are in a dangerous situation and today we are 300% higher than the GDP.
To conclude we are gonna have a huge financial crisis which is different than any we had in the past (2008&1929) and also USA will start the war with China before the election and starting the war will make trump win the election.
Dow Jones 1930 Breakdown of the trend -81% Update after 25 yearsA similar situation is happening now. Then a breakthrough of the uptrend line, price fixing below the uptrend line and another -81.5% market fall. Previous highs were updated only after 25 years.
The situation on the Dow Jones now. A very similar schedule as in 1930. It is important how the price will react near the uptrend line, which will act as a support. If there is a breakdown of the uptrend line and the price consolidates below it, a very dangerous situation will arise like in 1930 and a complete collapse of the US economy. Let's hope this does not happen.
My former trading idea is an indicator. Published in April 2019.
Which gave a signal of a market reversal before its fall.
The relationship of the Dow Jones and the Fed% rate We are ahead of the financial crisis.
Gold Holds The Shine 🌟👑🌟The precious metal not losing its seat against other assets knowing the fact that uncertainties are still spiraling around the world by that pandemic. Every time risk bets work fine but at end plunge back to what it gained and it seems no reason to hope much from risk bets still and market players aren't leaving their hands off from this precious metal. The precious metal is already in the middle of a climb these days back again, and the ongoing COVID-19 market turmoil could provide additional momentum for a longer-term climb. The flurry of interest rate cuts and stimulus efforts from central banks eventually sparking a divergence between equity markets and gold. Can't neglect the historical financial crisis facts when the bling nearly tripled its value from $700 to $1,900 . What do you think we are facing right now? Thanks for reading my idea fellow traders if it added some value in your trading please do support with likes and follow so I can bring such interesting post again for you.
$SPX possibly revert back to long term trendlineBased on the chart posted below I think it is entirely possible for us to revert all the way back to a trendline that stems all the way back to the great depression. This is a worst case scenario for me and would be equal to about $1600.00 on $SPX. It would also happen to intersect with the 2008 highs support.
SILVER TO CATCH A BID Prepare for Stagflation in Global Economies
See Chart for details on TVC:SILVER price forecast. Multiple bullish Technical patterns forming in silverprice. Falling wedge to push Silver into double bottom then to become extremely bullish.
Lots of fundemental support being established for Silver.. Expecting a monster rally in FOREXCOM:XAUUSD soon as another Insurance driven Financial crisis is peaking its head around the corner.
Wonder how many old folks have AIG life Insurance? So much more to worry about right now but just a thought.
Recomended articles regarding the unprecedented state of risk with regard to the current fed and monetary environments..
www.cbsnews.com
thehill.com
Japanese Yen Positioning Itself as a Market HavenInvestors flock to FX_IDC:JPYUSD in times of economic uncertainty. During the 2007-2008 crisis, the Yen rose 63.42%. As the coronavirus continues to batter supply chains, technology conglomerates suffer lost workforces and unstable earnings. Treasury yields have collapsed to all-time lows.
In the very least, as insurance, the Yen awaits.
Gold: Weekly Forecast 24th - 28th February 2020The gold achieved the highest closing price in 85 months last week.
The price has climbed continuously throughout the week and regained all losses from the previous week.
It is worth to note that three major central banks announced a rate cut in the same week, with one of them been an emergency rate cut and it was none other than the Fed.
This is already a very major sign of a worsening economic downturn globally and risk sentiment will continue to increase with the spread of the coronavirus, jeopardising business activities on a global scale.
At the current rate, the gold is expected to climb much further than what was expected in late 2019.
It was first projected to peak at 1620 but was very soon surpassed, and the current projection can easily hit 1800.
In fact, the gold could break its historical high of 1920, should the current situation develops into the next financial crisis since 2008.
This week, we expect the gold to pull back at first as the dollar rebounds off from a low.
We will be watching the current demand zone around 1640 to buy the gold.
FINANCIAL CRISIS IMMINENT! DERIVATIVES ARE IMPLODING!LARGEST WEEKLY EURODOLLAR VOLUME IN RECORDED HISTORY!
LAST TIME THIS OCCURRED WAS LATE JULY 2007!
REPO MARKET ILLIQUIDITY/RISING EURODOLLAR CONTRACT INDICATES AN IMMINENT FINANCIAL CRISIS!
Hong Kong as a black swan and its consequences, FOMC protocolThe other day we wrote about the calm prevailing in the financial markets and the absence of “black swans”, which can turn the situation upside down and provoke a sharp surge of volatility.
Judging by how events are developing, Hong Kong could become such a “game-changer”. And the point here is not even the intensification of protest activity in the country and its transition to the bloody phase of the confrontation, but the reaction of the world to these events. In particular, the US Senate passed a bill in support of demonstrators in Hong Kong.
Since the events in Hong Kong are extremely important for China, they view such US actions as extremely hostile and painful. In particular, China said it would retaliate.
All this happens on the eve of the final rounds of the first phase of negotiations between the US and China, the positive outcome of which is already included in current market prices. So the aggravation of the situation may well provoke a breakdown in the negotiation process, and we will return to the situation when countries actively exchange new tariffs, that is, to intensify trade wars.
Although this scenario is relatively unlikely, you should not write it off. Moreover, investors are already trying to discount under a possible negative, and the press is beginning to "disperse" this topic. Accordingly, our recommendations for buying safe-haven assets continue to be relevant.
In general, in which we note that a critical mass of reasons to start a full-fledged financial crisis has already been formed and the whole issue is in the trigger. The conflict between the two largest economies in the world - what could be the best candidate for the role of a catalyst?
The United States yesterday reported good statistics on the real estate market (building permits grew in October by 5% with a forecast of a decline of 0.4%), but the ongoing hearing about the impeachment of Trump does not give traders a reason to concentrate on buying the dollar. FOMC protocols have given little to the markets in terms of understanding the Fed’s future moves. A pause is a current vector in betting policy.
Our position on the dollar remains unchanged: we are looking for points for its sales. Moreover, every day such opportunities appear in one or the other pair. For example, a pair of USDCAD was a good substitute.
31 October 2019 - Platinum - 10 year breakout Might seem a bit optimistic, but it's clear that Platinum has broken out of its 10 year downward-sideways triangle range...
Fundamentally this is due to a number of factors:
Reason #1: Supply is dropping mainly in Russia and South Africa
~ Impala is cutting over 13,000 jobs '
~ Shafts are reducing from 11 to six
~ Lonmin is cutting over 5,270 jobs
Reason #2: Demand is pumping
~ Platinum demand has picked up over 660,000 ounces compared to last year
~ Impala platinum is paying dividends
~ Platinum companies are considering fund acquisitions and share buy backs.
Reason #3: Crucial $780 is dirt cheap and buying is picking up pushing the price up...
Thoughts?
Will update as things progress, I do see a number of platinum companies lining up breakout patterns,
BITCOIN COULD REPLACE BANKSIn this video I show a key level of support for BTC. It coincides with a 3-day ATR trendline for the north. I'm not saying Bitcoin can't go south.
I deal with a far bigger issue, where in the heat of a financial crisis banks close. This has happened several times before (and Google is your friend on this point).
There is a lot of chatter out there from very reputable experts about a serious banking crisis approaching. Stop - I don't listen to sensationalist nonsense.
The 'big reset' is now a realistic probability for people in the know. I'm talking about people who understand the global financial system to the core. The reset will mean that not only stock markets meltdown but the money system globally is frozen. What are you gonna do when there is no money? Well, history has shown that people went back to bartering.
At the moment Bitcoin functions as a store of value - even if unstable. The banks can't lock down Bitcoin. When the banks freeze up people will exchange BTC value for goods and services. That's just common sense. Not everybody will have Gold to exchange and physical gold is not available to everybody. But BTC is available to everybody right now.
In the lead up to the banking crisis you will see BTC rocket north. How? Insiders always know and leak what's coming.
Get prepared. I'm not saying that 'you' should put all your money into BTC. I'm saying a reasonable store of BTC is a good back up plan if worse comes to the worst.
Disclaimers: This is not financial advice - even if so construed. It is opinion only. Your losses are your own. Sue yourself if you lose your money.
REPOCALYPSE NOW!This is serious. Find out what 'REPOCALYPSE' is about. Protect your positions very carefully.
Get real - I don't know when it's happening nor does anybody else.
REPOCALYPSE is not just doom-saying stuff, though it might appear sensationalist. This is reality mates.
Those who keep there heads in the sand and do not take protective actions will be flushed out.
DISCLAIMER: All statements here are over-simplifications of very complex issues, and are speculative opinion. This is not constructed as advice for making decisions about trading in securities. Your losses are your own.
Declaration : This post is consistent with Tradingview's house rules on text-based analyses.