Financialcrisis
Will Stocks Reach All Time Highs Or FINANCIAL CRISIS? MUST SEE!Ladies And Gentlemen
The oracle D4rkEnergY will guide you. Don't worry. Before you jump into US Stocks cause you've been told we will make new highs, take a step back and breathe.
I called the bear market last time. But I was wrong, when I thought we would stay in bear market territory. It was based on historical data, which show us that only 20 % of the times we will get out again when we first are on the hook. But we sure did get away - as you can see we went on this crazy rally which began Christmas Eve.
SO NOW WHAT?
I still believe we will see a bear market and a financial crisis here in 2019 or start-mid 2020. Both TA and FA are pointing in that direction.
FA:
a. Real Estate Crisis in the bigger cities - US Real Estate Bubble about to implode also
b. Expectations to when and how much FED and chairman Powell's will raise interest rates (G
c. The Consumer Confidence Index ( CCI ) is extremely high which usually always happen before a Market Crash
Looking at the chart we can easily spot the bulls plan. They are looking for some consolidation and then a sudden move up and through the roof, which give them a Higher High and we are making new All Time Highs.
What is more likely is down though. For me this look like Dumb Money bait - A Financial Crisis seems unavoidable, and THIS is how you fool the most money out of retail investors.
What support this idea is when we look at Smart Money/Dumb money index, which show that Smart Money have left back in December where Dumb Money is still in.
Also the strength in bonds lately is another factor.
D4 <3
PS. Please leave a LIKE and I will provide you with more info why we most likely will witness a Financial Crisis!
DOW SHORT! HIGH RR3 key bearish indicators :
-Overbought according to the RSI hovering around 70.
- Break below ascending trendline
-Stalling at key resistance level.
Even though the RR is very high and might seem unrealistic, our lot size is fairly large and we will hedge our way out throughout the trade for better risk management and capital preservation.
Adar Capital.
S&P500 prints fractals from financial crisis '08In the beginning of the financial crisis in 2008, the S&P500 broke down below the MA 200 and fell -20.3% from the top to bottom in Mars 17th '08 before printing a rising wedge formation. The rising wedge took off and in conjunction with crossing the MA 200, price was quickly rejected and fell -54%. Today, after another long bull market, the S&P500 has once again broken down below the MA 200 with a fall of -20.3% and just like last time, we are yet again in the middle of a similar rising wedge formation heading towards the MA 200. The question is, will history repeat itself one more time?
History has a tendency to repeat itself, but the approach can be different. We see resemblance in these fractals but also dissimilatiries such as a quicker downfall followed by a more aggressive rising wedge. If you zoom in, you will also see that we're currently in a rising wedge within a rising channel and it is not certain price will break down, a continuation within the trending channel is also possible.
It is important to always stay flexible and not tie yourself to a specific scenario.
This is not financial advice.
/onefouronetrading
Are we entering a new recession? Death cross on S&P.S&P500 printed this month a Death Cross (MA50/MA200) and is already -8.40% since its appearance. A similar occurrence took place in 2008 at the start of the global financial crisis. In 2008 the Death Cross resulted into a fast (around 1 month) -14.40% decline on the index and assuming that the same sequence will follow, we can expect S&P to drop below 2,400 and around 2,360 in the next 20-30 days.
The similarities (another -11.80% decline that preceded) and timing between the two periods are astonishing. If the monetary governing bodies do not turn the very negative market psychology around soon by reviewing their policies, we should be looking into a new recession in 2019. If that's the case, and the full bear cycle sequence of 2008 is followed, we may see S&P losing around -55-60% of its value, making a bottom around 1,250.
Of course this is just a technical projection based on recurring patterns and similar candle sequences from the historical volatility at hand.
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SEISMIC: Solid Gold becomes easily electronically transferable. Yes - of course some will know about credit transfers of solid Gold. But the latest stuff is bigger! Some very clever people have found a way to transfer solid gold in more than just 'credit', by very robust electronic means. In other words wherever you are in the world you can ask for your solid gold and it will be sent to your hands! Ain't that crazy!? You can now buy stuff and pay in real Gold, using plastic! Ok so that part is like credit but it isn't. No longer is that totally linked to the US-Dollar value. So this is just like cryptocurrencies - but slightly better. In other words private individuals and some corporations are re-creating the 'Gold Standard' independently of governments and central banks.
What does that mean? It means that the 'big boys' with the smart money have been ahead of the race. They spotted some time ago, to their minds that the US financial situation - which has been labelled as bankrupt (not by me), with an unprecedented Debt to GDP ratio of 105.4, and a total debt of $16 Trillion - is frankly dangerous. People have become drunk on credit. Personal credit allowances are all adding up into one massive tsunami - which nobody is really looking at.(Well except the big boys of course).
Gold is has been connected to the US Dollar as we know it today. However, strangely currencies are no longer backed by Gold (since the 1970s). This has allowed the widespread printing of national currencies backed by thin air - and confidence in trade agreements etc. On top of all that, interest rates had been held near to zero in the USA for the last 10 years, and that's why there is such tension about The Federal Reserve (which is factually a bunch of private bankers), deciding to raise interest rates. They know a bubble has been created.
In other words, the crisis of 2008 was not solved at all. It was papered over and made worse. Yes - it's taking time to pop. Sometimes real bubbles made of soapy water will touch a surface several times and not pop. But when they pop and when Ponzi schemes crash, it happens in the blink of an eye. If/when the financial bubble pops Gold will rule again. But it will be too late for the average investor to get on board.
I'm not saying that everybody should rush out and buy Gold. What I'm saying is that sensible investors and traders need to get prepared now. In fact 'now' is a bit too late.
VIX Surge Is a Wake-Up Call for Investors!!SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Chart time frame - M
Timeframe - 6-12 Months
Actions on -
A – Activating Event
The CBOE Volatility Index is creeping higher and starting to find support at the @20 level!.
B – Beliefs
The Financial Crisis in 2007 - 2009 we saw the VIX move rapidly towards the 61 level. Slowly we are heading in the same direction and maybe using @20 level as a launch pad. Is history repeating itself? Time will tell, however i do feel that way
CBOE:VIX
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This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!
DAX30: Weekly - Long-term chart targeting 1566 till year 2020This is the main idea of the final wave for DAX30 and the indices similar to it based on the 90-year cycle from 1929 (Great Depression) + 90 years = 2019
90 years as in 90°down in the markets. The 90-year cycle is also the 90-year debt cycle.
The 90-year cycle is one of the most powerful cycles out there and it causes huge drops as DAX30 and other indices similar to its pattern has reached a triangle formation, the steam off the bull market runs out and the only way becomes down when the formation is so prevalent on the log chart.
At the same time a 'Wolfe Wave' pattern has been in the making for the past 30 years and is now finalizing the triangle just before it drops till year 2020 with the 90-year debt cycle.
Wolfe Wave Example
i.imgur.com
This crash will most likely be a fast one because of the algorithms in the markets today. The fundamentals can be linked to anything associated at the time but Deutsche Bank ($DBK) which is the most obvious contagion to date will likely be the cause to this next financial crisis because of the amount of debt that the bank holds within the banking system.
What's important to remember is that a graph is a graph and that technicals shows you everything you need to know about the future, regardless of the time frame when a pattern like the 'Wolfe Wave' is so prevalent on the Weekly log chart a drop follows, especially when a big cycle like the 90-year debt cycle expires around that date together with this wave.
After year 2020 it will be a good time to re-invest in the world's stock markets again till year 2026 and 2033.
$HSBC | Multi-Year Consolidation | Targeting Near 10-Year LowHello Traders,
HSBC has been in a large consolidation since the Financial Crisis of 2008. Based on my model, this is still 60% probability that 25.21 will be hit before this Multi-Year Consolidation is over. There have been two sell signals both pointing to the same target of 25.21 from my model, therefore, this chart is worthy of a share.
XLF Has Its Pre Financial Crisis High In SightsThe popular ETF, XLF follows the financial sector and after weeks of selling, it looks to have found support and be gearing up for a big move indicated by the Weekly Squeeze coiling for the past 8 weeks, with the momentum shifting to bullish this week. If you take a look at C (Citigroup), it too has a Weekly Squeeze. If you take a look at it on a Daily it also has a Squeeze which looks like it will fire long. If this move for the financial sector plays out long, I would expect a retest of its high back from January (30.33) then a retest of it's high of 30.84. This high (30.84 - May 28, 2007 - 11+ year ago) is an important one because this was the peak of the financial sector ETF ( XLF ) before the financial crisis of 2008.
AIG showing signs of multi-month improvementAIG was hit particularly heavily in the 2007-2008 mortgage crisis, and whilst other names, such as JPM have managed to recover, American International Group has been a stark underperfromer.
There are early signs of improvement, however, as prices begin to push above the critical USD64.93 year high of July 2015, with rising studies suggesting further gains in the coming months towards significant resistance at USD80.00. Still higher is the October 2008 high.
It would seem Hedge Funds and Asset Management teams will likely further increase their exposure in AIG, and this could help to maintain, or even catalyse, the implied rally.
BUY BUY BUY GOLD, BYE BYE BYE DOLLAR#Gold and other precious metals are in high demand as of the financial crisis that is about to occur. China are big buyers of #gold since they are backing their own currency YUAN with it. China have also devaluated their currency to protect their economy from the house market bubble which is one of many reasons that will lead to the collapse of the #US dollar.
// Carl_G