Get started

Financials

How to Choose the Right Stocks to Invest inIn this analysis, I'll be talking about the two approaches you can take in choosing the right stocks to invest in: the top down, and bottom up analysis methods. I have seen posts explaining the top down and bottom up analyses by time frames, but that's not correct. Time frames don't have anything to do with this approach. If you wish to check out my other educational post on how to properly use the fibonacci retracement tool (as many people get confused with this as well), click on the post below. Bottom Up Analysis Explained - The bottom up method is the method that the majority uses to analyze stocks. - The investor first chooses a stock that he wants to potentially invest in. - Then, he analyzes the financials of the company, and compares it with that of other companies in the same industry - Afterwards, he assesses the industry itself, and decides whether the industry as a whole is prominent and healthy - Lastly, he takes a look at the entire macroeconomic situation, and assess if this is the best time to get in the stock that he has his eyes on. Top Down Analysis Explained - With the top down method, everything is done in the same way, but in reverse. - The investor first asks himself what the macroeconomic situation is like, and which country he should invest in. - He even takes a look at factors like demographics change (which is actually much more important than most people think it is) - Afterwards, the investor takes a look at which sector he should invest in. - Once he chooses a sector, he goes through all the individual companies he could potentially have his money on - He goes through a list of the companies in that sector, and compares each and every one of them. - Once he chooses the most prominent company in the sector, he takes a look at the company's financials, and decides whether to invest or not. Conclusion Broadly speaking, there are two methods of approach in choosing the right stocks to invest in. Since most retail investors hardly conduct top-down analysis, it might be a good idea to test out different approaches in choosing winning stocks. If you like this educational post, please make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
TVC:SPXEducation
by Michael_Wang_Official
3
Potential short set up for JPMThis is a potential set up and not yet actionable unless you want to take an aggressive starting position. JPM has finally up to pre COVID price level. The run up recently has been too fast too sharp in my opinion. RSI is extreme over bought reading. Any marginal high will extend the PPO divergent high. Be careful trading this since the earning is coming up on this Friday before the bell. I can see rejection here or making a marginal new high and fade. That would be a bull trap and down move may be pretty swift. Down side target for me is the yellow trend line from COVID March low or the top of the gap at $112.55.
NYSE:JPMShort
by TK0421
4
EUR/USD Weekly Daily Chart Analysis For January 11, 2021Technical Analysis and Outlook The Euro retracement price action is in a corrective mode and well placed following completion of the Inner Currency Rally $1.2349 , and marginally Outer Currency Rally $1.2370 . Formation of Mean Res $1.2210 and Key Res $1.1173 are confirmed by Trade Selector System proprietary 'TARC' symbol - Trade accordingly/appropriate to your risk strategy. To continue the rest of the market story, see the 'Weekly Market Review & Analysis For January 11, 2021" at the usual site.
by TradingSig
PER, PBR, ROE, EPS Explained for Beginner InvestorsLegendary stock investor Peter Lynch once said that there’s a reason why the majority of people make money in real estate, but not in the stock market. People spend months on finding the right property, whereas in choosing the right stock to invest in, they only spend a few minutes. In this post, I'll be explaining the concepts of: 1) Price Earnings Ratio (PER) 2) Price-to-book Ratio (PBR) 3) Return on Equity (ROE) 4) Earnings per Share (EPS) by explaining the formula, what they tell us, and the best way to understand these concepts through an example. Return on Equity (ROE) So let’s start with the Return on Equity, or ROE. This measures the profitability of a company in relation to stockholder’s equity. The ROE is calculated by dividing the net income by the shareholder’s equity. Price Earnings Ratio (PER) Next, we have the price earnings ratio, or the PER. This is a good tool to determine whether a company is overvalued. The PER is calculated by dividing the current share price by earnings per share. For instance, if a company’s share price is at $100, and their earnings per share is $10, this gives them a PER of 10. Price-to-book Ratio (PBR) Then, we take a look at the price to book-value ratio, or the PBR. This measures the market’s valuation of a company relative to its book value, and is calculated by dividing the market price per share by the book value per share. Earnings per Share (EPS) Lastly, the EPS, or earnings per share. This is simply the company’s profit divided by the outstanding number of shares outstanding, and works as a good indicator of how profitable a company is. Example - Let’s take a look at an example to help your understanding. - You currently have $100,000, and you decide to open a restaurant. - You are required to pay $100,000 in deposits, and $3,000 in monthly rent. - You started this restaurant in the form of a limited liability company. - You started the company with $100,000. - Given that you issue shares that are worth $10, you issue 10,000 shares in total. - A year later, you check how well your business has done. - You find out that the restaurant did $300,000 in revenue, and after subtracting all costs, you’re left with $30,000. - With this, you can calculate the return on equity by dividing 30,000 by 100,000, which gives you an ROE of 30%. - Through the ROE, you look at how much return your own money was able to generate in profits. - From the perspective of an investor, the higher the ROE, the better. - You can also calculate the EPS, or earnings per share. - In this case, the restaurant generates $30,000 in profits. - So if we divide that by the number of shares, which is 10,000, we get an EPS of $3. - Now let’s assume that you ran the business for 3 years, and you now want to sell your business to someone else, so you can move on to do other things. - How much do you want to sell the restaurant for? After 3 years, you now have loyal customers, and it consistently generates $30,000 in profits every year. - So, you decide to sell the restaurant for $200,000 in total, with a $100,000 premium on top of the deposit. - If someone buys the restaurant for that price, it means that you and the other party agrees that the business is worth $200,000. - Now if this restaurant is sold for $200,000, that means the $10 shares you hold are sold for $20. - When we invest in stocks, this is how we make money. - With all the information above, we can calculate the PER and PBR. - If a restaurant that generates $30,000 in net profits gets sold for $200,000, the PER is 6.7. - And then, we also have the PBR. - You started the business with $100,000 of your own money, and sold it for $200,000, which gives you a PBR of 2 - For the PER and PBR, the lower the better. - A low PER means that you are buying a company that generates a lot of net profit for a cheap price. - Same for the PBR. The lower it is, the more undervalued it is. Conclusion The PER, PBR, ROE, and EPS can be great tools to help us identify whether a stock is a good buy or not. Understanding these concepts are imperative for beginner investors. If you like this educational post, please make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
TVC:SPXEducation
by Michael_Wang_Official
39
My Personal Plan For 2021I’m Markus Heitkoetter and I’ve been an active trader for over 20 years. I often see people who start trading and expect their accounts to explode, based on promises and hype they see in ads and e-mails. They start trading and realize it doesn’t work this way. The purpose of these articles is to show you the trading strategies and tools that I personally use to trade my own account so that you can grow your own account systematically. Real money…real trades. My Goals For 2021 In this article, I want to talk about my goals for 2021, and how exactly how I’m planning to achieve the goals, so I thought it would be fun to write them down and share them with you. Now, as you know, goals need to be specific, measurable, attainable, relevant, and time-bound. Now, I will show you my financial goals both for trading, because after all, this is what I love to do, but also for wealth building. After that, I will share with you the goals for my company, Rockwell Trading as well as my personal goals, and also my goals for this channel. FINANCIAL GOALS Trading For Income For my financial goals, let’s kick things off and start with trading. The plan here is to trade for income, and my target goal is to make $15,000 per month. This is meant to cover my living expenses. Now, here’s the deal. This is a rough estimate of how much I have in living expenses. So this means that I am looking to make $180,000 per year. For this trading plan, I opened a new account. I put in $250,000 into this new account, and it is a margin account. Since having a margin account doubles your buying power, this turns that $250,000 into $500,000 of buying power that I will use for trading to achieve this goal. To figure out how much buying power I needed, I needed to figure out my living expenses. So as far as I know, my living expenses are around $9,000 per month. You might be wondering, “If your living expenses are only $9,000 a month, why would I try to make $15,000 per month?” Well, very easy, there is this thing called taxes and I want to account for it. This cost is estimated. Quick side note. By now you may be wondering why I seem to be unsure of exactly how much my living expenses are. I will cover this later in this article. So, again, the goal here is to trade for income. My next goal is for wealth building. Wealth-Building Goals One of the avenues I like to use for building wealth and one I’ve very knowledgeable about is real estate. So the plan here is that this year, I plan to buy a 10 million dollar apartment complex. Now, I’ve already been investing in apartment complexes for the past few years, but the rough idea of the financials is: - 7 million dollars will be used through financing. So I will find a bank that is basically financing 30% of this. - I’m actually planning to raise 2 million dollars through investors. - The last one million dollars will be my own money that I’m putting into this deal. This is very typical for how investing in commercial real estate is done. Now, here is the plan. The goal is to sell this for 15 million dollars in three to five years. So we’re selling it for 15 million. Then, of course, we have to give back 7 million dollars to the bank, right? Because we’re borrowing 7 million dollars. 2 million go back to the investors because everybody needs their money back right? Then 1 million dollars will need to go back to me because I also want to make my money back. Now, this is only ten million dollars. That leaves five million dollars in profits that can be divided among the investors and me. So essentially, I’m planning on making two million dollars based on the one million dollars that I invested, which would be a very healthy return. Throughout this whole process, I’ll show you exactly how this process unfolds as it happens, and what apartments I’m looking at with video updates on my YouTube channel as they happen. My other plan for this wealth-building goal is possibly buying a resort in Mexico, and here’s why. Those of you who already follow me know with my company, Rockwell Trading, we do have a Mastermind program, and we have Mastermind meetings at least three times a year. Now, recently due to covid, we weren’t able to have these in-person meetings, but if buying a resort in Mexico is feasible, then not only could we host our Mastermind meetings here in the future, I can also rent these rooms out for Airbnb. Now while I have experience with real estate, I’ve never been in the hotel business, so this might be a really stupid idea, but maybe it is a good idea. Right now this is just a goal, and will look into the details deeper to figure out if this will be feasible. Cryptocurrency So we talked about trading for income and wealth-building with real estate. My next financial goal has to do with something that I definitely have on my radar is that this year, and that is cryptocurrencies. Some of you know that in the past, I’ve been very, very public about being completely against cryptocurrencies, but I can’t deny that Bitcoin had a fantastic run this year. Bitcoin is now trading above $30,000. So guess what? Seems I was wrong. Moving forward I will definitely be looking into Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies more closely, and fortunately, I have access to some fantastic resources of experts on cryptocurrency that I will interview for myself. I will also share these findings with you on my YouTube channel, and future blog posts throughout the year. My Goals For Rockwell Trading At my company, Rockwell Trading, we offer The PowerX Optimizer Software, and I am determined to make this the very best software in the world. For this, I am planning to release PowerX Optimizer 2.0 in the first quarter of this year, and I’m also developing an awesome trading log that will be integrated with PowerX Optimizer. So why do you need a trading log? Well, with this trading log it will be easy for you to analyze your trades. We all need to analyze our trades, and so this is definitely something that I will tackle this year. One other feature that I want to look into is possibly being able to execute trades through PowerX Optimizer by integration with actual brokerages. As it stands right now, you use The PowerX Optimizer to find stock, and then you have to enter the trades into a broker platform separately. I want to see if I can make this process easier, because, I have the same challenges. I see it on PowerX Optimizer, and now I have to enter it into the broker platform, so not only making trading easier for myself, but for everyone who uses The PowerX Optimizer. I’m constantly thinking of ways to improve The PowerX Optimizer, because not only do I believe in it, but I believe in Rockwell Trading as a whole. I believe this company, Rockwell Trading, can be an Inc 500 company. I am super passionate about trading, creating the best trading tools, and showing you the very best trading strategies that you can use to grow your account. It’s because of this drive I have to provide awesome value for you, that makes me believe we can make their list of the fastest-growing companies. Now I’d like to move on and share my personal goals for 2021 with you. PERSONAL GOALS Writing More Books The first of my personal goals for this year is, I want to publish two more books. So the first book, as some of you are already aware, will be on The Wheel strategy, which is a trading strategy for trading options. Right now I’m in the process of giving the book one final proof-read before sending it to the printers, and I only have a few more chapters to go, but I will be rolling this one out shortly in the coming weeks. The second book I’m thinking about writing will cover wealth-building strategies, which will cover what I’ve been doing over the past years to become a multimillionaire. When I came to the United States in 2002 18 years ago, I had $30,000, and today I am a multimillionaire, so I know a thing or two about how to build wealth. I think this would be another great book to share with you, that you can get a lot of value from. Buying A Plane Here is an absolute crazy personal goal that I have for this year, and you might actually say that this is a stupid idea, but for years I have been dreaming & fantasizing about owning a private plane. I’ve decided that 2021 might be the year where I make this a reality. Now again, this could be an absolutely stupid idea. Don’t get me wrong, I’m pretty smart about how I spend my money, and I’m not planning to buy a 10 million dollar jet because here’s the deal. A private plane is an expense, not an investment, right? However, everybody is allowed to spend money however they want, and this might be one of the things that I decide to splurge on. For other people, it might be exotic vacations, for me, the idea here is a private plane. So it’s smaller like an executive plane, and this is the kind of plane that I’m looking into. I’m definitely not planning to fly it myself, so no worries there. I’m planning to have a pilot fly it for me because I have no idea how to do this. I will look deeper into this and see if buying a plane actually makes sense or not? These are some of my personal goals. Now, in terms of habits, there are also a few habits that I want to start doing this year. HABITS Keeping Track Of My Finances First of all, I want to track everything. What do I mean by this? Well, when I say track everything, I want to get better at tracking my wealth, which would be my net worth. Now I have a rough idea of what my net worth is, but I should be probably getting much better about this so that I know at any given time how many millions I have. You see, the challenge is once you have money, it’s not that important anymore, but I want to do this and I also want to get a little bit better about tracking my expenses. Remember earlier, when I was talking about how I wasn’t sure exactly what my monthly expenses were? This is where being better at keeping track of finances, as a whole comes into play. I said that I’m planning to trade for income on my YouTube channel and that I think I need $15,000 a month, but I actually don’t know exactly how much I need. So I need to get better about keeping track of my finances. Health & Fitness I also want to get better at tracking my weight and calories. I’m 51, so I’m getting older, so it’s important to take care of this. I want to track everything from my water intake, calorie intake, and what kinds of food I’m eating. I also want to keep track of my workouts, and as of now, my workouts are very, very easy to track because it is actually zero, so I want to be better at getting exercise as well. My YouTube Channel Now how does all of this affect you? I mean, why would you even care about all this? Well, this is the beautiful thing about my channel. If you’re interested in what I’m doing with these goals, I’m planning to post videos there throughout 2021. Five times per week, I will post a daily stock market update. I used to talk about what was going on in the markets during the “Coffee with Markus” live streams. These are now separate, daily videos, 5 days a week, and this will be in four minutes or less. Two to three times per week, I will continue the “Coffee with Markus” live streams, but without the market updates, as they will now be in the other videos. I am planning actually keeping you updated on the wealth-building strategies I was talking about, with video updates. I will post videos updating everyone on the progress of my goals, and, of course, I also will continue to post videos covering the very specific strategies that I will use for trading. When it comes to trading, I will continue to show you exactly the two strategies that I’m currently using, which is The Wheel strategy, and the PowerX strategy. If I decide to trade any other strategies this year, I will post videos about that as well. I will share videos with my real estate adventures, which as of right now, is where I’m planning to invest in a 10 million dollar apartment, possibly buying a resort in Mexico. I’ll be sharing everything with you, the good, the bad, and the ugly. I also want to cover topics I haven’t covered before, for example, credit cards. I have a bunch of credit cards and I’m using them wisely, so for instance, topics about credit cards like, “The Apple Card, is it worth it?” I have 3 American Express cards so I’ll cover whether or not they’re worth it. I also can tell you that right now I have 650,000 airline miles, so I will show you exactly what I’m doing to get all of these points because, with 650,000 airline miles, you can go around the world several times. Another topic of interest is that interest rates are low right now. So we will talk about, for example, LOC these lines of credit, or does it make sense to refinance your home? I have been looking into refinancing my home and I will let you know what I found of whether it makes sense or not, and other strategies to employ when interest rates are low, and then when interest rates are high. For example, when interest rates are high, I will cover high yield savings accounts as well as CDs. YouTube also has these so-called “shorts” and these are videos below one minute or less. These will be videos that I do as a quick reference guide. So for example, what is the bid/ask spread? What is Theta in options? Recap So let’s just briefly recap, I wanted to share my goals with you for 2021 and they are: - Will publicly trade here for income with a new $500,000 margin account, with the goal of making $180,000 a year. - For wealth building. I’m planning to buy a 10 million dollar apartment complex, and am looking into buying a resort in Mexico for the Mastermind meetings for Airbnb? - I will look into cryptocurrencies and see which cryptocurrency. Does it make sense to invest in Bitcoin? Are there any other cryptocurrencies worth investing in? Is it better to maybe invest in gold or silver? - I will look into publishing two books. - Improving the PowerX Optimizer Strategy. - I’m looking into if a private plane is a stupid idea or not. - Keeping better track of my health and finances. - Becoming an Inc. Fastest Growing Company. - Providing more content on my Youtube channel. So long story short, this will be an exciting year. I am super excited for 2021. This is the first time ever that I’m doing anything like this, and I will really be pulling back the curtain throughout to show you everything that I personally do. I hope that you find this not only interesting but that these are also strategies that you can employ in your life right away, but this really depends on what stage of life you’re at. You might be at a stage where you are still trading for growth, trying to build an income, and I will show you very specific trading strategies for doing this. It might be that you have a retirement account and you’re looking back right now. You’re getting your initial statement and you say, “You know what? This hasn’t been doing anything over the past year and I want to have better wealth-building strategies.” If so, there will be videos on my channel as well. Sometimes you might be wondering, “Does it make sense for me to open an American Express account or to have an American Express credit card?” Or something relating to this. And I will share all of this with you. Hope that you’re enjoying this. And this is what you can expect from me in 2021.
TVC:NDQEducation
by rockwelltrading
3
$MA - 5-count Breakout with Pending CatalystHas recently broken out of a wedge with internal 5-count started in early November on news of stimulus passing. A larger stimulus payment would be very bullish for $MA - likely enough to take it to & through ATH of ~$367. Below are my targets & extended targets. Entry: Either re-test of Wedge ($342) or Break above $348.21. TG1: $355 TG2: $363 Extended TG3: $370 Extended TG4: $380 Invalidated: <$330 Like & follow if you enjoy my work :)
NYSE:MALong
by willoptions
1
How to chart financials for any companyThis chart shows some key financial metrics for Netflix. We're using the multi-chart layout feature to show the following financial situation: 1. Netflix Quarterly Revenue 2. Netflix Cash & Equivalents 3. Netflix Total Debt 4. Netflix Forward Price-to-Sales ratio With the financials feature on TradingView, we could chart a lot more than this. Including EPS, R&D, PE ratio, EBITDA, Market cap, and more. We wanted to share this layout with you to demonstrate what's possible. Whether you're a value investor or a short-term trader you can chart the financial situation for a company to better understand the fundamentals that are driving price or telling the story behind a particular asset. For example, Netflix's cash is growing and so is Netflix's revenue. But this chart layout shows that it's not all good news. Netflix has taken on some massive amounts of debt. Debt continues to rise as content becomes more expensive. This post is not investing or trading advice, instead it is educational. As a TradingView member, this data is available to you right now. You can examine the financial situation for Netflix or other companies. To get started, click the Financials button located at the top of your chart. The Financials icon looks like the bar chart 📊 emoji. Once you've opened the Financials menu, you can sort by Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow, and Statistics. You can also use the search field to find specific financial metrics that are relevant to you. Before you head to the comments to leave a positive review with some interesting feedback 😁, we have a few more tips to share: 1. When you open the Financials menu, you can hover your mouse over a Financial metric. To the far right of that metric select either Quarterly or Annual. Quarterly will show you the numbers a company reported every 3 months or quarter and annual will show what a company reported every 12 months or full year. 2. For other financial metrics, when you hover your mouse over them, to the far right you will see a question mark icon appear. You can click this question mark to get a definition for that specific financial metric. So if you ever need to learn something new, it's just one click away. Below we've shared some examples: Price to Sales Ratio Research and Development Basic EPS Free cash flow Enterprise value Thanks for reading and following along. If you have any questions or comments, please write us below. You can also leave feedback or product requests. Our team is listening! 💙
NASDAQ:NFLXEducation
by TradingView
17
DoorDash (DASH): Everything You Need to Know After the IPOThis is my analysis on DoorDash (DASH), written prior to the IPO. Most of the information below is available from the S1 that the company filed to the SEC. This is not investment advice. This was written for educational purposes only. You are responsible for your investments and trades. Invest at your own risk. About DoorDash - DoorDash (DASH) is America’s #1 delivery & takeout platform, covering over 51% of the market share. - They currently have over 390,000 merchants, 1.8 million users, 1 million delivery workers (dashers), with an average delivery time of 35 minutes. - During the latest series H, which took place in June 2020, the company raised $400 million, and was valued at $16 billion. - Main competitors of this firm include Uber Eats (which acquired Postmates for $2.65b), covering 30% of the market share, and Grubhub, which covers 18% of the market share. IPO (Initial Public Offering) - DoorDash priced its IPO price at $102 a share - There was tremendous buy volume as soon as the market opened, with the stock reaching $195 at one point - The stock closed at $189 yesterday, after a successful IPO Business Model - DoorDash charges restaurants a 20% fee on average, for every order made on its platform. - On top of that, they earn money by charging customers fees for delivery, which normally ranges between $6-8 depending on the distance and current demand. - They also offer a subscription service – Dashpass – which exempts its users from paying service fees. - They have an extremely systematic virtuous cycle involving consumers, merchants, and dashers, in which the cycle creates local network effects, economics of scale, and increasing brand affinity. Financials - The company has shown tremendous and consistent growth in revenue over the years. - Nonetheless, they also continue to spend more and more and sales and marketing costs, as well as general administrative costs. - DoorDash is also one of the many companies that benefited from the Covid-19 Pandemic. - In 2019, the company generated $885 m in revenue, and in the first nine months of 2020, they generated over $1.9 b. - While these are extremely impressive numbers, it’s still important to take into account the fact that the company is still not profitable. - In 2019, they had a net loss of $667 million, and in the first nine months of 2020, they lost $149 million. - Nonetheless, a company not being profitable is common with unicorns and startups, as they seek growth as their number one target, keeping in mind that profitability follows easily once they dominate the market. - Another good news is that they currently have more cash and cash equivalents to cover their total liabilities, and thus won’t suffer from issues regarding lack of cash. - Given the current momentum in the delivery market caused by Covid-19, experts anticipate 2021’s revenue at $5.2 billion, which is a 93% yoy growth rate, with operating profits of $280 million, which is a 23% yoy growth rate. Risks - The company might not continue to grow on pace with historical rates - There is intense competition within the delivery industry - Reliance on merchants for the success of the platform - Their focus on expansion might not maximize financial results, and could result in lagging stock prices. Precedent - There are precedents of success regarding delivery & takeout platforms in other countries as well. - Baedal Minjok, South Korea’s largest food delivery app, is in talks of being acquired by Delivery Hero. - Baedal Minjok is a unicorn, which recorded a revenue of close to $8 billion in 2019. - Considering that their 2020 records will be even higher, due to the Covid-19 pandemic, we could expect DoorDash to do even better, since it’s the most dominant company of a bigger delivery market. - Precedent cases demonstrate that the food delivery industry has significant room for growth. - Nonetheless, considering that Baedal Minjok’s revenue is 8 times higher than that of DoorDash, and yet is valued at $4 billion is quite concerning for DoorDash, as it indicates that the hype and growth potential is factored into its valuation. Mike’s Insight In my opinion, I think DoorDash is a company worth looking into. It operates in a solid industry that benefits from the Covid-19 pandemic, and while the growth rate will slow down once the pandemic is over, precedent cases from other countries demonstrate significant room for growth. Nonetheless, since expectations for future growth seem to be factored into the company’s valuation, I’d be cautiously bullish on this company. If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content! I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight :)
D
by Michael_Wang_Official
30
+15% profit (SAF) = Set and forget trade ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)So , here is the trade i took a month ago (Along with my students ) . Made nice profit in that stock . More-over, At a time , Everyone was having " We'r all gonna die moment " but i stood up and said "NO" We'r going up and we did ! . Good luck everyone , keep learning until you become humble but please don't become broke , this business is great . Take it slowly or get an education there is no shame on asking for help . If you think it's shame to get help and education then you are another arrogant human being and the stock-market will take care of your EGO :) . #Trade_small #Stay_safe .
NYSE:AON
by K-alonzi
1
S&P 500 Weekly Daily Chart Analysis For November 30, 2020 Technical Analysis and Outlook The Spooz bounced off the Mean Sup $3,548 and heading to Current Outer Index Rally $3,750 , followed by Inner Index Rally $3,820 and Next Outer Index Rally $3,870 . The current ''Buy Zone'' and Mean Sup $3,625 stands as an excellent opportunity for buying once the prices drop this zone. To continue the rest of the market story, see the 'Weekly Market Review & Analysis For November 30, 2020" at the usual site.
TVC:SPX
by TradingSig
ECPG - Poised to move on Fundamentals? ECPG is well placed from both a fundamental and technical position. Had a very strong rebound in September/October before trading down in late October/November. Like the set-up heading into Q1 as Govt support runs off, as well as Balance Sheet strength of business. While there is yet to be a sustained technical position the fundamentals are very positive. Am long this name, despite the noise in teh price over the past few weeks. Has been signalling higher lows recently, which is a positive that supports strength going forward. There has also been insider buying in last few weeks which is a net positive.
NASDAQ:ECPGLong
by Fraser_G
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Weekly Daily Chart Analysis For Nov 23, 2020Technical Analysis and Outlook Bitcoin's sudden drop should not be a big surprise to us. The completion of Outer Coin Rally $18,500 on Nov 18th and significant TARC formation (TSS proprietary symbol not shown) within the buffer zone of All Time Key Resistance $19,650 was the red flag. The coin 3-Step rebound to Key Res $19,190 , Inner Coin Rally projection $19,800 , and the Outer Coin Rally $22,600 is in the process. There is, however, a remote possibility of one more drop to Mean Sup $14,865. See 'Weekly Market Review & Analysis For November 23, 2020, page to continue the rest story.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by TradingSig
Airbnb (ABNB): Everything You Need to Know for the IPOAirbnb is an online rental marketplace for lodging, home stays, and tourism experiences. The company does not own any real estate listings, but offers a platform through which people can take part in the sharing economy. Airbnb announced its filing for an initial public offering (IPO) in August. In this analysis, we’ll be going over everything investors need to know about the IPO, and my own insight on whether this is a golden opportunity. Most of the information provided below is based on the S1 Airbnb Submitted to the SEC. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This is meant for educational and entertainment purposes only. Business Model - Airbnb connects hosts who are willing to provide room, with guests - Airbnb profits from charging a service fee to both the host and the guest - While it initially started off as hosts providing bedrooms, the company has managed to find and expand on different types of lodges. - Airbnb is well known for its systematic operations; they have a unique guest/host review system, rules regarding cancellations and deposits, and is oriented and focused on building a community. Counterparts Cases - Airbnb’s counterparts include companies like Expedia group (EXPE) and Booking Holdings (BKNG) - It’s important to take into consideration the growing competitiveness within the booking market. - Unlike Airbnb, both Expedia group and Booking Holdings are reporting solid earnings as their operating profits increase yoy. - TripAdvisor (TRIP), which reported $156m in revenue for 2019 and an operating profit of $18.7m, while small, is another example of companies competing against Airbnb - However, to be fair, these companies also all fell victim to the Covid-19 pandemic. IPO Information - The company will be listed on the NASDAQ exchange under the ticker ABNB - The specific date of the IPO and price per share is yet to be officially announced. Financials - Due to Covid-19, the company’s revenue and profitability plummeted in 2020. - Q2 2020 revenue was $350m, which is a 67% compared to Q2 2019, which recorded a quarterly revenue of over a billion. - These numbers are less than half of the reported revenue for Q1 2020, of $842m - As a result, the company’s valuation dropped from $31b to $18b. - The fact that the company is not profitable yet is also quite fatal. - In 2017 and 2018, there was a lot of hype around the company as they showed positive numbers for their EBITDA (earnings before interests, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) - But, the company has been reporting inconsistent revenue ever since, and their sales and marketing - As of September 30 2020, the company has $2.6b in cash, which is more than numbers reported for cash and cash equivalents in 2019 and 2018. - Nonetheless, this is way below their short term net liabilities of $4.38b, which is considered a warning sign in terms of financial stability. - Additionally, they have $1.8b in long term debt as well. - Taking all of this into consideration, we could make an educated guess that Airbnb is trying to seek for funds through this IPO. - It has already undergone its Series F investments, and is a unicorn company (a private company with a valuation over $1b), which makes it difficult to receive any further meaningful investments. Covid-19 Impact - Airbnb is part of the industry that was arguably most heavily affected by the Covid-19 pandemic - They had a net 4.1m cancellations in March, when fear regarding Covid-19 peaked. - I’ve mentioned this in a previous analysis, but Covid-19 has fundamentally changed the way we live forever - As a result, Airbnb’s goal of creating a community of hosts and guests has faced a huge obstacle, as people prefer to stay at hotels, which involve lower risk of Covid-19 infections. - Thus, whether people would want to travel via Airbnb after the pandemic is solved still remains extremely murky, as clear solutions to the current situation are yet to be proposed. - Unlike other large tech companies, Airbnb lacks the cash to endure a long phase of hardship. - Due to the impact of Covid-19, the company has laid off over 1,900 employees to cut costs. Historical Cases - We have seen other companies within the sphere of the sharing economy take part in IPOs that have failed miserably - Companies such as Uber Technologies (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT) are prime examples. (Refer to the charts on the right) - They were provided multiples way above their actual value, and their stock prices eventually fell way below the IPO price. - WeWork, once valued at $47b, failed its IPO due to massive debt and shaky corporate structures, and is now valued at $2.9b - Given past cases of other tech companies within the realm of the sharing economy having undergone failed IPOs due to overvalued multiples, it’s important to consider why Airbnb might be exempt from this case. Mike’s Insight In summary, while Airbnb’s listing is arguably the most important IPO of 2020, investors need to consider all possible factors before participating in the IPO. Its growing number of users suggest that the business is on the right track over the long run, but is faced with a serious external risk that the company has no control over. As this risk extends throughout time, the more damaging it is to the fundamentals of the business, thus providing room for investors to reconsider the proper valuation of the company. In my humble opinion, given that the company goes public at a $30b valuation, I think we’d see prices drop sharply after the IPO. Nonetheless, I could consider adding it to my portfolio as we see clearer signs of the world recovering from the coronavirus. If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content! I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight :)
NASDAQ:ABNB
by Michael_Wang_Official
52
Alibaba (BABA): Dissecting the FUD, Fundamentals, and TechnicalsAlibaba Group is a Chinese multinational tech company specializing in e-commerce, and IT. This Chinese company is listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) as BABA. In this analysis, I’ll be covering the company’s fundamentals by looking at its business model and financials, as well as technical analysis for the stock. I’ll also be providing my own insight on why this stock has been rather underperforming for the past few weeks, and what we can expect for the future. Business Model - Alibaba, while it initially started with a focus on e-commerce, has expanded to other territories as well - It aims to offer the necessary digital infrastructure as an e-commerce platform, providing small businesses the necessary tools and equipment to operate online. - Alibaba also takes part in cloud computing, just like AWS and Azure, offering data storage, big data analysis, and machine learning services. - Alibaba also has a business dedicated to digital media, producing original content - Alibaba owns 33% of Ant Financial’s shares, which is what affected the price action so heavily recently Ant Financial IPO FUD - Ant Financial is a company that was formerly known as Alipay. - Its expected market valuation after the dual listing was expected to reach over $310 billion, which would have significantly affected BABA’s price as well. - However, the Chinese Communist Party halted the Initial Public Offering (IPO) of this company, without an official explanation. - Ant Financial has transformed the way Chinese people interact with money. It challenged China’s banking system by brining easy use of payments, borrowing, and investing through smartphones across the entire country - Ant Financial’s business model, in essence, puts financial services outside the direct control of the CCP and Chinese banks Financials - So at this point, we understand why Alibaba’s stock prices have been negatively affected by news. - Looking at the company’s financials, we can discover that the firm’s fundamentals remain solid - The company has shown a parabolic growth in their revenue since 2010, reaching record highs for the 2020 Estimate - Accordingly, its operating income grows at a steady pace as well. - Its gross profit margin averages at 55.5%, which is considered as extremely high profit margins - They did report a decline in yoy EPS for the 12 months ending in September 30, 2020, and a 60% yoy decline in the EPS for the quarter ending at the same time. - Nevertheless, it has still managed to beat the consensus EPS, and continues to demonstrate yoy growth Technical Analysis - This is the weekly chart for Alibaba - We can see that it was consolidating in a rising wedge pattern, before breaking out in July 2020. - Due to the Ant Financial IPO cancellation FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt), stock prices fell from $320 down to $255. - Elliott Wave counts suggests a further potential downside to $220-230 levels, where it could complete the corrective wave at the gap support - We can also see that prices have never broke down the 150 Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the weekly. - This indicates that the converging point of the 150 SMA and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement support at $200 could be considered our last line of support - Thanks to the recent corrective move, however, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been flushed out to neutral levels, from overbought territories - It seems as though the RSI could bounce on the trend line support soon Conclusion Alibaba is a solid company with strong fundamentals and financials, as well as a business model that expands throughout a wide range of areas. It has fallen victim to the restrictions imposed by the Chinese Communist Party recently, but it’s important to understand the role this company plays for the Chinese economy and the world economy. Companies like Alibaba are essentially too big to fall. There are attempts made by governments of various countries such as the US with big tech companies, and South Korea with Samsung Group, to regulate dominant firms. Regardless, none of them have actually succeeded besides a small correction in stock prices driven by FUD. As such, while technical analysis suggests further potential downside, I believe that investors should approach this stock from a buy perspective. If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content! I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
NYSE:BABALong
by Michael_Wang_Official
10
LONG REP/USDT - setting up for possible breakout...Augur is a decentralized prediction market project aiming to use “The Wisdom of the Crowds” to create an accurate forecasting platform. Augur is creating a decentralized open-source prediction market platform and oracle service. The project was founded in 2014 and released an alpha version of the platform in June 2015. Due to issues with the Serpent language, which pre-dated Solidity, the team had to re-write their code in Solidity leading to a delay in development. Augur launched their beta in March 2016 and mainnet in July 2018. Prediction markets on the platform will enable users to create a market for forecasting a specific future event, such as who will win the next election or which team will win the World Cup. Participants in the market will be able to buy “shares” of the specific outcome they see as most likely. At the end of a pre-determined period the outcome is checked and those that own shares in the correct result receive a monetary reward. Prediction markets can be useful tools in tracking the true sentiment for results, as typically only the most informed individuals will risk money when making a prediction. The team believes that by creating a fully decentralized prediction market they can overcome issues seen in centralized markets such as needing to trust that a result is correctly reported and that a payout is received. In addition, by creating a framework for the creation of these markets users can forecast the outcome of almost any event. Once a market is created trading begins immediately. The outcome of the event is determined by Augur’s oracles which are incentivized to report on event outcomes. Upon determination of the outcome, traders can close their positions and collect their payouts.
RLong
by HodlTradeCrypto
DJI Weekly Daily Chart Analysis For October 26, 2020Technical Analysis and Outlook Since Dow Jones Industrial Average intermediary trend of the 'Inauguration of Donald Trump' line, we have completed the Outer Index Rally $29,500 and developed a significant Key Sup marked at $29,132 . The stocks will need to complete the Inner Index Dip $25,853 to launch a meaningful rally to Mean Res $27,570 and encounter major Key Res $29,132 , and this will signify the challenge of the completed Inner/Outer Rallies. To continue the rest of the market story, see the 'Weekly Market Review & Analysis For October 26, 2020" at the usual site.
TVC:DJI
by TradingSig