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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Weekly Daily Chart Analysis For Oct 19, 2020Technical Analysis and Outlook Bitcoin's brake-out of a powerful Mean Sup, $11,900 , and rocket it to Major Key Res $12,930 , completing Inner Coin Rally $13,150 and re-retested, topped Outer Coin Rally $13,222 - Marked on 26 Jan 2019. The intermediate end/pause confirmation (TSS proprietary TARC symbol not shown) is in the process - The next Outer Coin Rally is marked as $14,470 with the odds of 80%, while the probability of the price drop stands at 20-40% chance.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by TradingSig
ACNB Corp isn't just a trade! This should be an investment!Resting right on the 20dma I am anticipating a nice long opportunity if the pivot point holds here to R2. This company makes a great investment due to fundamental analysis and we can see the downside here remains in-wedge most likely at $20 making downside risk very low. HQ is in Gettysburg PA Alan Stock is Chairman and sits on $750k worth of equity in the company. If you investigate the SEC Form 4 there has been a great deal of accumulation from various directors and the C-Suite through Sept15th tp now. Get long folks!
NASDAQ:ACNBLong
by ZenMode
Financials in trouble200sma has been a strong resistance since the March drop. The red circles show 4 times trying to get to it. Placing fibonacci retracement lines shows confluence with a support level (green rectangle from late June --> early July) The 20sma crossed below the 50sma on September 27th. (Bearish signal trend model) Also, if we close at the current price, we are getting a bearish engulfing candle. I would feel comfortable getting in around $22.7, being fundamentally bullish on the sector.
AMEX:XLF
by dorfmanmaster
Russell 2000 Index, Weekly Daily Chart Analysis For Sep 28, 2020Technical Analysis and Outlook As noted before, the small-cap Russell 2000 index is an excellent overall market indicator; The index shows us resuming it the Main/Intermediary uptrends since Sep 24. A buying zone is identified at Mean Sup $1,502 , with the exit at Mean Res $1,553 and Mean Res $1,591, and completed the Inner Index Rally marked at $1,602 respectively, based on one's money management scheme. To continue the rest of the market story, see the 'Weekly Market Review & Analysis For June 29, 2020" page at the usual site.
TVC:RUT
by TradingSig
Facebook (FB): An In-depth Analysis of an Undervalued CompanyIn this post, I’ll be providing an in-depth analysis of Facebook (FB), which was part of FAANG (Facebook, Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), and Google (GOOGL)), leading the stock market since the financial crash up to 2019, before it was replaced by MAGA (Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon, Google, and Apple). I'll be exploring its business models, financials, weaknesses and threats, the technical analysis of the stock, and my final outlook on the company. Facebook has been under scrutiny for a while, due to issues regarding: fake news scandal regarding the US presidential elections, the violation of data protection laws in Europe, and advertisement boycotts. However, it seems that Facebook is ready for another run as a high-potential growth stock, through its diversification in business models and streams of revenue. Business Models 1. Target Advertisements Based on its tremendous number of users, Facebook has its strength in targeted ads. The ads provided through facebook are optimized through their algorithms, allowing Facebook to receive more money for ads compared to its counterparts. There was a time when Facebook’s ad revenue went up by 50% every year, but growth has slowed down to 10% a year. Nevertheless, based on the recent increase in users, there is huge growth potential as Facebook seeks to advertise in the field of gaming and e-commerce. 2. Increase in users Facebook is another company that benefited from the Corona Virus (COVID-19) pandemic. Its user base increased significantly; FB’s daily active users (DAU) increased by 13%, and monthly active users (MAU) by 12% compared to those of last year. Considering the fact that Facebook’s user growth rate was at a single digit, the increase in number of users demonstrates strong growth potential. With the number of advertisers at 9 million, despite the boycott, Facebook will be able to capitalize on ad demand from mid-small sized companies. 3. Family Applications Facebook owns other family apps such as: Instagram, Facebook Messenger, and Whatsapp. The monthly active people (MAP) for all these applications combined is at 3.14 billion, which makes Facebook the most used social application excluding China. The DAU and MAU for the family applications have also increased by 15.4% and 13.8% each compared to those of last year. 4. E-commerce In August 25, Facebook added a ‘Facebook Shops’ tab on the explore page, allowing users to directly purchase goods. This feature is also available on Instagram as well. This indicates significant growth for Facebook, as it incentivizes users not to open their own shops on Shopify or Amazon, but to open a shop directly on Facebook, which can provide a products page that is optimized for a mobile experience. Considering that the e-commerce landscape is changing to a D2c (directly to customer) format, Facebook and Instagram can easily be the largest market share holder. Also through the use of Facebook messenger, communication between the buyer and the seller is much easy, and live shopping, in the form we have seen in Instagram, is being tested as well. 5. Mobile Payments Whatsapp is launching a service in Brazil, offering payments that could be made to purchase goods, or wire someone money. Consumers can use this service for free, but companies have to pay a 3.99% fee. In the near future, we’ll see people purchase goods directly from Instagram and Facebook, and as such, Facebook has partnered up with e-commerce corporations such as Shopify (SHOP) and Big Commerce (BIGC). 6. Gaming Facbook’s market share in live game streaming has been showing a steady increase, and creating a creator community. They also have strength in the AR/VR gaming industry, as they have acquired the VR headset company oculus in 2014. The growth in revenue of these gaming devices mark a 40% yoy growth. Facebook’s diversification in the gaming industry will also provide them an opportunity for growth. Financials - Facebook generates 98% of its revenue from advertisements - Their ad revenue was less than $20 billion in 2015, but has since grown exponentially to about $70 billion in 2019. - While their gross margin percentage has been declining since 2017 due to traffic acquisition costs, it’s still close to 82%. - Facebook’s cash generation from operations demonstrates phenomenal numbers. - FB is a cash generating machine, and heavily reinvests that capital back into R&D, marketing, and infrastructure. - FB is free cash flow positive, with over $20 billion in 2019. - This means that the company has enough cash on hand to repay creditors and issue dividends to shareholders. - 71.6% comes from Facebook ads, 25.2% comes from Instagram ads - Facebook’s 2020 Q2 ad revenue exceeded expectations. While the cost of advertisement reduced by 21%, with the increase in user traffic, ad revenue increased by 10.2% compared to last year’s quarter, marking $18.32 Billion. - Overall, Facebook demonstrates extremely healthy financials with a mix of steady and exponential growth in their earnings Technical Analysis - To begin with, we can first see that the daily chart is testing the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement resistance - The SMAs are aligned in the order of – 20, 60, and 100 – indicating that the overall trend is an uptrend - Prices have entered, and bounced on the Ichimoku Cloud support - Counting Elliott Waves, we can see that an Impulse Wave Count (12345) has played out since the drop caused by the pandemic, and that we are going through a small phase of correction, potentially counting an Elliott Corrective Wave (ABC). - While a corrective move down to $220 levels around the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement support is possible, it’s not yet probable as significant support levels have not been broken yet. Weakness/Threats - Facebook is exposed to the threat of regulation risks regarding laws of personal information protection. - While Facbook aims to combine all its family apps for synergy, measures will the taken by the government to regulate such efforts, to prevent monopoly. - Apple’s new IOS 14 policy made it difficult for app developers to advertise their product on Facebook, and it’s expected that Facebook’s 2020 Q4 earnings will be affected by it. Final Outlook Overall, Facebook is a big corporation that still has huge growth potential by diversifying its business model. Facebook’s strategy to lock up users within their platform, install shops, and ultimately grow into a payment platform is extremely ambitious yet totally possible. While most people know this company, they are overlooking the growth potential it can achieve, and thus, this stock would be a gem for the long term outlook. If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content! I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
NASDAQ:METALong
by Michael_Wang_Official
6
XLF- Mac-D serving as an early buy signal.AMEX:XLF has seen some channel trading from 2018 too early this year. Finding its range peak in February of 2020 it crashed hard and has been working it's way up since. In red and green (A-D) are the main support and resistance levels and I have noted on the MAC-D where price has reversed, and also accounted for some major financial events such as the Chinese trade war and COVID-19 pandemic. XLF seems to have found its new channel and will either retest its support on the downside and hold the channel or test the SMAs as resistance on the upside and possibly find its way into the former price range leading up to the election. I am going to use MAC-D as my signal to buy as we near a cross.
AMEX:XLF
by crawfordpaul
S&P 500 Weekly Daily Chart Analysis For September 21, 2020 Technical Analysis and Outlook The S&P 500 hit the Key Sup and Outer Index Dip $3,216 , on September 24, respectively. The ''All Out Buy Zone'' and Mean Res $3,315 was an excellent entry up and down for the Trade Selector Signal system all week long - intraday traders accumulating a whopping 305 handles trading single E-mini S&P 500 Futures contract (We love this kind volatility). To continue the rest of the market story, see the 'Weekly Market Review & Analysis For September 21, 2020" at the usual site.
TVC:SPX
by TradingSig
2
XAUUSD Gold | SWING - 13. Sep. 2020Hello my friend | Welcome Back. Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful. *** The last three gold candlesticks mean a strong decline, but at the same time a triangle is formed if the triangle is not supported, it may head towards the upside and complete the rise, but if the support is broken, the price may head to $1,816. *** Here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate No single analysis is To make a decision follow your own thoughts. *** The information given is not a Financial Advice. BTCUSD Apple GBPUSD EURUSD XAUUSD AUDUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Saeed966
10
SHACK: A Technical and Fundamental Approach to Shake ShackIf you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post! I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight. In this analysis, I will be explaining my on views on the high-end burger brand, Shake Shack (SHAK). I'll be exploring the technicals and financials of the stock, as well as the overall business model of the company. Technicals - Shake Shack's price history demonstrates a phase of immense bullish momentum - It formed a textbook cup and handle pattern, in which the breakout led to the formation of all time highs - However, after topping out, in November 2019, Shake Shack announced that it would temporarily shutter locations for upgrades in 2020 - This led to a significant drop with the addition of the Corona virus (COVID-19) pandemic, too severe to the point where the 5 year trend line support was tested. - As it was technically oversold, stock prices bounced off support, forming a reverse head and shoulders pattern - Based on the current technical setup, we could see the stock rally towards its previous all time high levels, completing the reversal pattern Financials - Shake Shack is one of the businesses that has been hit hard by the Corona virus (COVID-19) pandemic - Due to lockdowns initiated by the government, their earnings for the second quarter of 2020 were at a net loss - In terms of financials, the major issue is that they are short in cash - With $112m in cash, they are spending $1.5m every week to cover fixed costs such as rent - They have also laid off hundreds of employees and sold their stocks to secure more cash - Due to their being a 2 Billion Dollar company, Shake Shack did not quality for the government's payroll program, and thus could not receive $10m in aid - Currently, only over half of Shake Shack's licensed global units remain open, limiting Shake Shack's cash flow - However, it's also important to note that they have shown a 25% growth in revenue year over year for the past five years. Business Model - Nevertheless, Shake Shack's Business model cannot be undermined. - They have positioned themselves as a high-end burger place, unlike other fast food restaurants such as Mc Donald's (MCD) - This is a strength for Shake Shack during the Corona Virus Pandemic, as people seek to purchase luxurious goods during hard times. - As people can't eat out as frequently as they used to, when they do decide to eat out, they get an expensive meal. - Just as luxurious goods are high in demand during recessions, Shake Shack's quality burgers will continue to be in demand during the pandemic. - It's just the severity of the situation, and lockdowns initiated by the government, that prevent people from visiting Shake Shack stores as frequently as they used to. - Shake Shack's management model is highly effective and efficient, providing the customer not only a pleasant experience, but also consistently delicious burgers through their meticulous quality control. - This allows Shake Shack to scale tremendously over time, just as Mc Donald's has managed to do. - They have great brand loyalty with a huge customer return rate, and the engaging ambiance they provide at their restaurants is what sets them apart from their competitors. Conclusion Shake Shack is a extremely solid company, struggling during hard times. However, it's important to note that SHACK is an overlooked growth stock, with immense potential for scalability. Given that the virus ends some time within 2021, we could expect a fast recovery, and huge continued growth from this company, as its fundamental business model continues to remain solid.
NYSE:SHAKLong
by Michael_Wang_Official
$IWM Financials Bull Run - Component #2 AMEX:IWM As we continue to embark on this epic economic bubble , there will be varying components that will be mixed in so the trend can continue. To allow some normality to the markets, profit rotations still seem to be taking place and tech seems to be the one market that is becoming exhausted. With that said, I think we continue to see those absurd profits roll into financials and small caps, allowing $IWM to be a benefactor of that, which the technicals are starting to show. With that thought in mind, looking at the chart you can clearly see a strong bullish breakout, with volume (last green volume bar to the right) from consolidation and our first attempt at breaking the first red trend line. I expect us to retrace a bit from here, and each red line there after once contacted, but also fully expect us to make our way up to at least the $170 region (3rd and final red trend line). From there, in J. Powell we trust and Gods speed. I leave you with this, "cut your losses early and let your profits run" - J. Livermore - PennyBag
AMEX:IWMLong
by PennyBagsCapital
Doomsayers Beware: Potential Resistance on Bond PricesAs most people know, sentiment has been running uber-bearish. That’s lifted gold and depressed interest rates. But now the action in bond prices may be showing an end to the move. The iShares 20+ year Treasury Bond ETF tracks the prices of long-dated bonds. And they may have recently hit a peak around $172, near the same level where it was rejected in April. There could be several implications if this potential double-top holds. First, and most obviously, it would boost longer-term bond yields. That, in turn, would steepen the curve and could help banks and financials. It could also lift some economic forecasts using bond yields as indicators. That, in turn, could make it harder to own high-multiple “growth” stocks and keep money flowing toward cyclical “value” names like small caps, industrials and financials. Higher rates could also support the U.S. dollar and make precious metals a little less precious. The news flow today is consistent with this kind of shift: 1-TSA data shows air travel back to its highest levels since March. 2-China is moving to reopen visits to Macau. 3-Washington is inching toward a stimulus bill.
NASDAQ:TLT
by TradeStation
1