Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 24, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Like last week, Bitcoin's price has remained within the 37800 Inner Coin Rally range and the robust 35600 Mean Support level. This indicates that the market has been relatively stable, with neither bulls nor bears having a strong grip on it.
On the upside, there is potential for intermediate upward momentum in Bitcoin's price, which could lead to a breakout above the current Inner Coin Rally of 37800. If this occurs, the next price target would be at the Outer Coin Rally #1 of 39200, followed by #2 of 41200 and #3 of 43700. This suggests that there is significant room for expansion in the near future, which could attract more investors/traders to the market.
On the downside, the Mean Support level of 35600 is expected to support Bitcoin's price strongly. If the price were to drop, it would likely find support at this level. Overall, the market is consolidating, with prices trading within a relatively narrow two-thousand-dollar range.
Financials
XLF breaking out?XLF has had a pretty good month so far. Probably the worst sector is showing some signs of life despite issues with the banking system. This week XLF has poked its head above the triangle and the close was pretty good. Volume increased from last week as the down trendline was breached. Now, it is not a confirmed breakout yet as horizontal resistance is right above it and things are getting a bit overheated in the shorter time frames. It will be interesting to see how the pullback plays out. Markets are due for a nice pullback soon. If $31.5 - $32.5 area holds on the pullback then it might go off to finish the primary wave 5 sometime during the first half of 2024. This may also pull regional bank stocks that will benefit Russell and IWM.
Software for finance $PAYPaymentus Holdings provides a cloud-based platform for electronic billings like utilities, taxes, insurance and others.
The bullish divergence with the ROC was signaling a change of character for the stock.
Now is forming a second base withing its confirmed uptrend; my favorite setup, and the risk/reward looks good.
I'll use this week's gap up has support zone to place my stop and my target profit is near the lext resistence level at $22.50, that's a 30% move.
The financial sector AMEX:XLF , is the 4th best sector this month and technology AMEX:XLK is the 1st.
Paymentus Holdings earns the No. 2 rank among its peers in the Finance-Card/Payment Processing industry group.
dLocal NASDAQ:DLO is the No. 1-ranked stock within the group.
SWING IDEA - ICICI BANKtechnicals suggest a gradual upside in ICICI BANK . There are multiple confirmations for the same. The reasons are stated below :
954 levels previously acted as a strong resistance and now the stock price broke 954 levels, which now acts as a support.
there has been a consolidation in the stock price for last 2months forming a falling wedge pattern(bullish sign)
support on the 50EMA (ON DAILY TF)
break of the trend line
Stock could easily move unto 1050 - 1111 levels in coming weeks.
S&P500 Vulnerabilities: from Money Supply to Sectoral ImbalancesAs much as we try not to repeat ideas here, occasionally, an opportunity emerges to harp on the same point.
As we have previously laid out the bear case for the S&P 500 from a historical volatility behavior perspective, this week we will zoom in on other metrics showing why we think the S&P may struggle from here.
The first and most interesting measure, in our opinion, is the S&P 500 when adjusted by the money supply. Once again it appears to have peaked and is on the path of reversal now. The S&P500 / Money Supply has reached these levels not once, not twice but thrice, stopping at the same level before reversing. More importantly, overall, we see the S&P 500 clearly climbing up in line with the level of money supply.
Money supply has been on a decreasing trend since the start of the Federal Reserve hikes. While the downtrend has been paused momentarily with money supply slightly increasing in early 2023 it now seems to have resumed the downward path. This could spell bad news for equities given that the S&P has broadly followed money supply and the clear resistance observed on the S&P 500 / Money Supply chart.
As yields creep higher, investors will eventually second guess whether it still makes sense to put more into the equities when cash now yields more. The 6-month treasury yield is now higher than the S&P 500 earnings yield, a phenomenon not experienced since the turn of the millennium. A federal reserve resolute in keeping rates higher for longer might just be the kicker for investors to turn to these shorter dated treasuries while waiting out equity volatility.
With a series of better-than-expected economic data, the Federal Reserve once again gains greater headroom to maintain its higher for longer stance, which is causing discomfort in the equities market. All eyes will be on the Non-Farm Payrolls numbers coming out tomorrow for further confirmation if the US economy can indeed take this regime of higher rates.
Within the S&P 500, the Technology sector remains the significant outperformer compared to other sectors like Financial, Consumer Staples and Energy. With the Technology Sector / Financial Sector ratio extending far beyond the trend from 2017.
The combination of money supply metrics, yield comparisons, and sectoral imbalances, among other factors, makes a compelling case for a bearish outlook on the S&P 500. For investors seeking targeted strategies, CME E-MINI Select Sector Futures offers a refined approach, allowing for an overall bearish view on the S&P 500 while building positions in certain sectors through a relative value strategy. To express the bearish view on the technology sector relative to the financial sector, we can take a short position on the E-MINI Technology Select Sector Futures and a long position on the E-MINI Financial Select Sector Futures. Given the contract size differences, to roughly match the notional, we will need 3 E-MINI Financial Select Sector Futures at the current level of 405 to match 2 E-MINI Technology Select Sector Futures.
3 x E-MINI Financial Select Sector Futures Notional = 3 * 405 * 250 USD = $303,750
2 x E-MINI Technology Select Sector Futures Notional = 2 * 1678 * 100 USD = $335,600
Each 0.1 index point move in the E-MINI Technology Select Sector Futures is $10, while each 0.05 index point move in the E-MINI Financial Select Sector Futures is $12.5.
The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
Reference:
www.cmegroup.com
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BTC/USD weekly timeframe analysisBTC Chart in the weekly timeframe, after setting an all time high ($19660) BTC has formed a Flag between $2,972 & $13,880. and had formed a very wide and long trading range !
As the formation of this flag, price has made a 2TB (2nd time back) to the lower FL and according to the huge buy orders which we can see in the candle formation, a new uptrend had started.
This uptrend was so strong that had engulfed the upper FL & ($19,666) SR line - & could cause a 1692% growth in the value of this asset and hit a new ATH of $64,895 !
After engulfing the FL, a new FTR was formed ($16,218-$19490) which in general we can call this a Decision Point for the green FL zone. We must consider this zone very important as it has been formed by breaking the SR lines and engulfing the previous FLs.
Next, price formed a new Flag between $28.800 - $64,895. We must take into consideration that in the first Pullback to the lower FL price engulfed this zone which was a sign of an end for the latest uptrend for the price of BTC ! And then we can see the price faking out of the Red FL zone in order to collect liquidities.
As you can see in the chart, after price descending under the FL and engulfing the SR lines, it has formed a new zone called FTR that is actually the DP for the engulfed FL zone.
In the big picture we could see a Wyckoff being formed which is a sign of change in the trend of price to a downtrend.
Then , price fell to the MPL zone of the previous FTR/DP and was supported to rise higher, but as there were huge sell orders after a tight compression, price made a pullback to the FTR in the lower TF and continued to fall to the point that it engulfed the MPL zone by crossing down $16,000.
XLF - Looking Very WeakFinancials charts have completely been rejected by the downscoping trend line.
A weekly bear flag looks like it's about to trigger and send price action much lower.
Since the daily chart is getting oversold, waiting for bearish consolidation is a wise decision if you are wanting to short.
With the rise in yields recently, it's clear the Banks net interest margins are being squeezed. Will we see another banking crisis?
The last time we saw the XLF close below the weekly 50MA, we saw a quick 10% drop.
Canadian Solar: Why You Should Buy NowWhy You Should Invest in Canadian Solar Inc.
Canadian Solar Inc. is a leading global solar power company with a strong financial position and a bright future. The company has a long history of profitability and growth, and it is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for solar energy.
Financial analysis
Canadian Solar's financial position is strong. The company has a healthy balance sheet, with a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.23. It also has a strong cash flow, with free cash flow of $1.5 billion in 2022.
In addition, Canadian Solar's financial metrics are attractive compared to its peers. The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.5 is lower than the average P/E ratio of 20 for other solar power companies. Its price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.6 is also lower than the average P/B ratio of 2.5 for other solar power companies.
Technical analysis
Technical analysis also suggests that Canadian Solar is a good investment. The stock is currently near its monthly low, which indicates that it is oversold. Additionally, the distance from the 180-day moving average is about 35%, which suggests that there is room for a recovery.
Analyst rating
The consensus among 11 analysts is to buy Canadian Solar. This suggests that there is a high level of confidence in the company's future.
Smart money concept analysis
Smart money concept analysis also suggests that Canadian Solar is a good investment. The stock is currently in a discount, which means that it is trading below its intrinsic value. This suggests that there is a high probability of a rebound.
Entry signal
The entry signal for Canadian Solar is a green candle closing after touching the monthly low. The stock should also be exiting the discount zone.
Target
The take profit for Canadian Solar is the weekly high if you want to exit the position in the short term. For a longer-term investment, the take profit is close to the balance zone and the change of character (CHoCH). The stop loss is at the break of structure (BoS) of 2022.
Conclusion
Based on the above analysis, Canadian Solar is a good investment for investors who are looking for a company with a strong financial position, a bright future, and attractive technical and valuation metrics.
Additional considerations
Of course, any investment carries some risk. However, Canadian Solar is a well-managed company with a strong financial position and a bright future.
Here are some additional considerations for investors who are considering investing in Canadian Solar:
The global solar market is growing rapidly, but it is still in its early stages. This means that there is some risk of competition from new entrants.
Canadian Solar is a global company with operations in over 20 countries. This exposes the company to political and economic risks.
The company is subject to government regulations in the countries in which it operates. These regulations could change, which could impact the company's business.
Investors should carefully consider these factors before investing in Canadian Solar.
XBK.AX ~ Snapshot TA / ASX 200 Banks IndexChart mapping/analysis for ASX 200 Banks Index ASX:XBK
Constituents:
- Big 4 Banks = ASX:ANZ ASX:CBA ASX:NAB ASX:WBC
- Mid Tier = ASX:BEN ASX:BOQ ASX:JDO ASX:VUK
- Small Banks = ASX:ABA ASX:BBC ASX:BFL ASX:KSL ASX:MYS
Note: Macquarie Group Ltd classified as Diversified Financials but also facilitates Banking ASX:MQG
ASX ETFs
- Pure-Play Banks: ASX:MVB
- ASX Financials (Banks/Insurance Providers): ASX:OZF ASX:QFN
Global Banks ETF: ASX:BNKS
CAPITALCOM:AU200 ASX:XJO ASX:XFJ
How To Add Indicators & Financials To Your ChartIn this Tradingview tutorial video, we take a look at how to add indicators & financials to your chart.
We'll discuss how to access them, where you can go to learn more about the specific indicator/financial & what you can do in order to customize there appearance and/or location on your chart.
If you have any questions please leave them below & I promise that I'll respond.
See you guys next video!
Akil
Moncler: A Stylish Investment on the RiseHello investors,
In this report, we dissect the financial intricacies of a prominent stock, leaving no detail unexplored. From market capitalization and price-to-earnings ratio to revenue conversion and cash reserves, we analyze every facet to equip you with strategic insights. We'll go beyond the numbers and charts, painting a vivid picture of the company's financial health. Moreover will be also sharing with you at the end what is my personal expert opinion and future outlook for the financial details of Moncler.
Moncler is a luxury fashion company with a market capitalization of 16.875 billion EUR. It currently trades at a Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio of 31.05, which indicates that investors are willing to pay 31.05 times the company's earnings per share (EPS). The current Basic EPS (TTM) stands at 2.01 EUR.
Now, let's dive into the Revenue to Profit Conversion for the year 2022:
- Total revenue: 100%
- Gross profit: 68%
- EBITDA: 40%
- Net income: 23%
The Revenue to Profit Conversion indicates that Moncler is generating a reasonable amount of revenue, but the conversion of that revenue into profits is somewhat lower. This could be an area of concern for investors, as a higher gross profit and net income conversion would generally be preferred.
Next, let's examine Moncler's financial health based on key financial metrics for the years 2018 to 2022:
- Debt: The company's debt has increased over the years, reaching 912.78 million EUR in 2022. This increasing debt level is a point of caution and needs to be monitored closely, as it may affect the company's financial flexibility.
- Free Cash Flow: Moncler has shown a fluctuating trend in free cash flow, with significant variations from year to year. While the H1 2023 free cash flow stands at 492.72 million EUR, this could impact the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities or return value to shareholders.
- Cash and Equivalents: Moncler has maintained a relatively stable level of cash and equivalents over the years, which provides a degree of liquidity and financial strength.
Now, let's analyze the Financial Position based on the figures from 2022:
- Short-term Assets: 1.62 billion EUR
- Short-term Liabilities: 963.71 million EUR
- Long-term Assets: 3.02 billion EUR
- Long-term Liabilities: 773.31 million EUR
Moncler's financial position seems relatively strong, with a higher value of assets compared to liabilities, both in the short and long term. However, it's important to keep an eye on the company's debt levels and how they might impact its financial position in the future.
Regarding the company's earnings per share (EPS) history and projections:
- EPS in 2020: 1.18 EUR
- EPS in 2021: 1.53 EUR
- EPS in 2022: 2.24 EUR
- H1 2023: 0.54 EUR
Moncler has shown an increasing trend in EPS, which is generally positive. However, the H1 2023 EPS has seen a decline compared to the previous year. This dip could be due to various factors, and it's crucial to closely monitor the reasons behind it to assess its potential impact on future performance.
Now, let's review the financial statements for H1 2022, H2 2022, and H1 2023:
- H1 2022:
- Total revenue: 918.38 million EUR
- Gross profit: 576.21 million EUR
- Operating income: 180.17 million EUR
- Pretax income: 168.54 million EUR
- Net income: 211.25 million EUR
- H2 2022:
- Total revenue: 1.68 billion EUR
- Gross profit: 1.19 billion EUR
- Operating income: 594.38 million EUR
- Pretax income: 578.79 million EUR
- Net income: 395.44 million EUR
- H1 2023:
- Total revenue: 1.14 billion EUR
- Gross profit: 731.59 million EUR
- Operating income: 217.79 million EUR
- Pretax income: 206.47 million EUR
- Net income: 145.35 million EUR
Moncler's financial statements show an overall positive trend in revenue, gross profit, and net income. However, the H1 2023 figures indicate a decline in net income compared to H2 2022. It's essential to assess the reasons behind this decline and evaluate whether it's a short-term setback or a potential cause for concern.
Future Outlook:
As for me, my rating for Moncler stock would be cautiously optimistic. The company has demonstrated strong financials, stable cash reserves, and a consistent revenue stream. The increasing EPS until 2022 indicates growth and profitability.
However, there are some concerns that need to be closely monitored. The rising debt level and fluctuating free cash flow could impact the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives or handle unforeseen economic challenges.
The decline in H1 2023 net income raises questions about the company's performance during this period. To make a more accurate assessment, it's crucial to investigate the reasons behind this decline and evaluate the company's strategies for addressing potential challenges.
In conclusion, Moncler appears to be a solid luxury fashion company with growth potential, but potential investors should conduct thorough research and analysis to make informed decisions. The financial health and future outlook should be continually monitored, considering the evolving market conditions and economic landscape.
Disclaimer : Please note that the future behavior of the stock is subject to market volatility, industry trends, and global economic conditions. I highly recommend you guys staying updated with the company's quarterly reports and financial statements for a more accurate evaluation of its performance and prospects. Additionally, all of the information that I used can be found in the trading view app related to MONC financial details.
Assurant Inc. DCA - Inverted head and shouldersCompany: Assurant Inc.
Ticker: AIZ
Exchange: NYSE
Sector: Financials
Introduction:
In this analysis, we focus on Assurant Inc. (AIZ) listed on the NYSE, an important player in the financial sector. The daily chart highlights a potential bullish reversal signaled by an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern that has been forming over the past 39 weeks.
Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern:
The Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern typically signals a reversal of a downtrend and a potential start of an uptrend. It is characterized by three troughs with the middle trough (the "head") being the deepest and the two outside troughs (the "shoulders") being shallower and roughly equal in depth.
Analysis:
Assurant's previous trend was clearly downward, depicted by the blue diagonal resistance line. However, it appears this downward trend is being interrupted by the formation of an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, suggesting a potential reversal to the upside. The symmetry between the shoulders is good, and the horizontal neckline is well defined at 135.
The price is currently above the 200 EMA, indicating a bullish environment. Should we see a breakout above the horizontal neckline, it could favor a long entry. The price target in such a scenario would be at 165, representing a potential rise of 22%.
Conclusion:
Assurant's daily chart shows a promising bullish reversal setup through the Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. If confirmed by a breakout above the neckline, this could offer an appealing long trading opportunity.
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Please remember, this analysis should form part of your overall market research and risk management strategy, and is not direct trading advice.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more insights. Wishing you successful trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh
Disclaimer: This analysis is not financial advice and is intended for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MKTX: MarketAxess - Finding Cycle Troughs in a Rising MarketI recently added new position MKTX to the portfolio.
MarketAxess operates the leading platform for the electronic trading of corporate bonds.Recently, we found for an active high-yield bond fund, and on the manager call they mentioned they exclusively use MarketAxess for their trading activity. The company is poised to capture broad-based capital market growth as they've recently expanded their business into different segments of the fixed income market. I've been following MKTX for a long time, and think the setup looks attractive.
Morningstar gives it a Wide economic moat, a Stable moat trend, Exemplary capital allocation, and a four star valuation. A fair value of $350 means MKTX is trading at a 27% discount.
Technically, the "h" pattern is a durable double bottom setup.
Mastercard Incorporated WCA - Rectangle PatternCompany: Mastercard Incorporated
Ticker: MA
Exchange: NYSE
Sector: Financials
Introduction:
Our focus today is on Mastercard Incorporated (MA), a heavyweight in the Financial sector, listed on the NYSE. The weekly chart is revealing a Rectangle pattern, which indicates a potential bullish continuation.
Rectangle Pattern:
The Rectangle pattern typically appears during periods of market consolidation and can suggest a continuation/reversal of the trend, bullish or bearish, depending on the breakout direction. It is defined by a trading range where the price oscillates between a clear support and resistance level.
Analysis:
Previously, Mastercard was clearly in an uptrend, which was interrupted by a consolidation phase forming a Rectangle. This pattern, lasting for 1092 days, is interpreted as a bullish continuation. There are five touch points on the rectangle's upper boundary and two on the lower one.
Currently, the price is above the 200 EMA, which supports our idea to look for bullish opportunities. The latest candle movement shows the price breaking above the rectangle's upper boundary, signaling a potential long entry point.
Assuming a valid breakout, the price target is set at 506.86, suggesting a potential gain of approximately 28.56%.
Conclusion:
Mastercard's weekly chart presents a promising setup with a bullish Rectangle breakout, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend. This setup could offer an excellent long trading opportunity.
As always, this analysis should be used in conjunction with your overall market research and risk management strategy, and not as direct trading advice.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more insights. Wishing you profitable trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh
Disclaimer: This analysis is not financial advice and is intended for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
CFG Citizens Financial Bearish ShortTrend Bearish
Lower Highs
Lower Lows
POC falling
RSI below 50
Stochastic Bearish
MACD Bearish
A break below Pivot(See Chart) would reach quickly next Target at 13,80
Citizens Financial Group, Inc. Announces Preliminary Stress Capital Buffer
This document contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any statement that does not describe historical or current facts is a forward-looking statement. These statements often include the words “believes,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “estimates,” “intends,” “plans,” “goals,” “targets,” “initiatives,” “potentially,” “probably,” “projects,” “outlook,” “guidance” or similar expressions or future conditional verbs such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “would,” and “could.”
Forward-looking statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations of management, and on information currently available to management. Our statements speak as of the date hereof, and we do not assume any obligation to update these statements or to update the reasons why actual results could differ from those contained in such statements in light of new information or future events. We caution you, therefore, against relying on any of these forward-looking statements. They are neither statements of historical fact nor guarantees or assurances of future performance. While there is no assurance that any list of risks and uncertainties or risk factors is complete, important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include the following, without limitation:
Negative economic, business and political conditions, including as a result of the interest rate environment, supply chain disruptions, inflationary pressures and labor shortages, that adversely affect the general economy, housing prices, the job market, consumer confidence and spending habits;
The general state of the economy and employment, as well as general business and economic conditions, and changes in the competitive environment;
Our capital and liquidity requirements under regulatory standards and our ability to generate capital and liquidity on favorable terms;
The effect of changes in the level of commercial and consumer deposits on our funding costs and net interest margin;
Our ability to implement our business strategy, including the cost savings and efficiency components, and achieve our financial performance goals, including the anticipated benefits of the Investors acquisition and HSBC transaction;
The effects of geopolitical instability, including as a result of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the imposition of sanctions on Russia and other actions in response, on economic and market conditions, inflationary pressures and the interest rate environment, commodity price and foreign exchange rate volatility, and heightened cybersecurity risks;
Our ability to meet heightened supervisory requirements and expectations;
Liabilities and business restrictions resulting from litigation and regulatory investigations;
The effect of changes in interest rates on our net interest income, net interest margin and our mortgage originations, mortgage servicing rights and mortgages held for sale;
Changes in interest rates and market liquidity, as well as the magnitude of such changes, which may reduce interest margins, impact funding sources and affect the ability to originate and distribute financial products in the primary and secondary markets;
Financial services reform and other current, pending or future legislation or regulation that could have a negative effect on our revenue and businesses;
Environmental risks, such as physical or transitional risks associated with climate change, and social and governance risks, that could adversely affect our reputation, operations, business, and customers;
A failure in or breach of our operational or security systems or infrastructure, or those of our third-party vendors or other service providers, including as a result of cyber-attacks; and
Management’s ability to identify and manage these and other risks.
Strong Daily Stock price targets for CitizensFirst CZFC are 25.49 and 25.92
Monthly Target 1 23.59
Monthly Target 2 24.63
Monthly Target 3 25.176666666667
Monthly Target 4 26.22
Monthly Target 5 26.77
RateGain - Breaking out RateGain Technologies NSE:RATEGAIN is one of the largest SaaS provider in the travel & hospitality industry.
Breaking out with over 100% 50-Day RVOL in first two hours of the trading day.
Already a pocket pivot volume signal.
It is also an Easy Earnings Comparison (EEC) candidate, meaning it is expected to report very good earnings in the forthcoming quarter.
$GS Trade Idea - Bank Stress Test With the Bank Stress Test showing positive results, here's a possible trade gameplan for GS into qEnd provided conditions are met and we have a bullish reaction to GDP + Unemployment numbers in pre-market tomorrow.
The path on the 15 min chart looks messy since that's the lowest resolution I can publish, so I've included a 5 min version in the screenshot below.
Ideal Gameplan:
1. Price opens above risky area shown on chart and holds above the orange rectangle on the pullback
2. Long 6/30 $325C or $327.5C
3. Can cut some at 10 am if you wish, or hold for the push into 11:30
4. On the first decent pullback after 10 am, grab some $330C "lottos" if you've scaled out Cost Basis from the initial call position
5. By 11:30, price should've made an HH that will only be exceeded near the EOD or on Friday morning (can trim most/all of $330C here if you want)
6. If above conditions are met and price continues to base above $327.50-328 during the afternoon session, can look to re-enter $330C for the late-day push, holding final runners for Friday, but keep in mind there will be theta burn overnight
Note:
If price opens in the orange box shown, or enters orange box during the initial pullback after open, it's best to wait until the orange box is safely cleared, as there is a chance we backtest the afterhours PA under $320
Commonwealth Bank of Australia is Setting Up to Decline Over 77%CBA, Australia's Biggest Bank, is currently breaking down below a trend line after previously confirming Bearish Divergence on the monthly MACD and RSI, and the nearest strong support level is all the way down at around the levels of $40–$22.
This may be the ultimate sign that we are about to see a significant greater move down of the global financial sectors sooner rather than later.
GEDYH DCA - Cup and Handle Company: Gedik Yatirim Menkul Degerler
Ticker: GEDYH
Exchange: BIST
Sector: Financials
Introduction:
Welcome to our weekly technical analysis, where today we're focusing on Gedik Yatirim Menkul Degerler (GEDYH), listed on the BIST in the Financials sector. The weekly chart showcases a Cup and Handle formation, suggesting a bullish continuation.
Cup and Handle Pattern:
A Cup and Handle pattern is a bullish continuation pattern that marks a period of consolidation followed by a breakout. It's characterized by a "cup" - a round, bowl-like pattern, and a "handle" - a small bearish channel or consolidation, following which a breakout occurs.
Analysis:
GEDYH's chart demonstrates a clear Cup and Handle formation over the course of 833 days. This pattern often indicates a bullish continuation, signaling potential for growth. The price is convincingly above the 200 EMA, further emphasizing the bullish environment and a preference for long setups.
The horizontal resistance is established at 8.23 TRY. If we witness a breakout above this level, we could potentially initiate a long position. The price target, following a successful breakout, is set at 12.78 TRY, representing an estimated gain of approximately 55.83%.
Conclusion:
GEDYH's weekly chart presents an interesting Cup and Handle formation, suggesting a potential bullish continuation. This analysis should be part of a comprehensive market research and risk management strategy.
Please note, this is not financial advice and investing always carries risk.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more insights. Wishing you profitable trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh
$IWM Outlook 05/30 - 06/02 @capgainsgroupAs the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ rally into the green for the year, the Russell 2000 (aka the small cap index) has lagged behind and is barely green at +1.03% YTD for 2023. One of the reasons why this index hasn’t been doing well can be attributed to the index’s 15.18% allocation in the Finance Sector. Failing regional banks such as Silicon Valley Bank ( NASDAQ:SIVB ) and Signature Bank ( OTC:SBNY ) haven’t helped the index much.
Investors who would like to play the Russell 2000 should pay attention to the 5 major sectors that makes up 73.23% of AMEX:IWM : Health Care (17.62%), Industrials (16.66%), Financials (15.18%), Information Technology (12.74%), and Consumer Discretionary (11.03%).
Technical Analysis:
AMEX:IWM recently formed a Death Cross (50 SMA x 200 SMA) on the daily chart in mid April. Although not very clean, there is a support uptrend line dating back to October 2022. Also, it seems like we have a head and shoulders pattern, using the Daily 170.30 level as the neckline.
Bulls will want price to reclaim the weekly 178.90 level as a support.
I lean bearish on this index. If AMEX:IWM can’t reclaim the two daily gaps above, at 176.74 - 177.42 and 180.53 - 181.28, I expect it to come down and test the yellow uptrend line and potentially break it to the downside in the coming weeks.
Upside Targets: 176.74 → 177.42 → 180.71 → 181.28 → 183.76 Extended: 186.91
Downside Targets: 174.09 → 172.33 → 171.41 → 170.30 → 169.32 Extended: 166.81
COMM: Bullish Divergence Holding at $4.00 w/Improving FinancialsI mostly became interested in this stock due to the sector and the recent shift in it's quarterly profit margins; but the stock price did not reflect what I saw in the recently rising profit margins so upon closer inspection it became somewhat apparent that the debt incurred by the company has been utilized to finance their day-to day operations and that these debts have been very heavy and this is likely what's been weighing down on the stock's price, especially because for a long period of time, they have been operating without generating any profits relative to the debts they've incurred.
But recently for the last few quarters a notable shift has occurred, and they are now showing signs of newfound profitability, thus signifying that those earlier debts may have been worth it.
It is also nice to see that they have not resorted to diluting their shareholders, as many stocks with this sort of price action and debt tend to do.
If this Weekly Bullish Divergence plays out, we could see it make a run to the 61.8% Retrace