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$GS Trade Idea - Bank Stress Test With the Bank Stress Test showing positive results, here's a possible trade gameplan for GS into qEnd provided conditions are met and we have a bullish reaction to GDP + Unemployment numbers in pre-market tomorrow. The path on the 15 min chart looks messy since that's the lowest resolution I can publish, so I've included a 5 min version in the screenshot below. Ideal Gameplan: 1. Price opens above risky area shown on chart and holds above the orange rectangle on the pullback 2. Long 6/30 $325C or $327.5C 3. Can cut some at 10 am if you wish, or hold for the push into 11:30 4. On the first decent pullback after 10 am, grab some $330C "lottos" if you've scaled out Cost Basis from the initial call position 5. By 11:30, price should've made an HH that will only be exceeded near the EOD or on Friday morning (can trim most/all of $330C here if you want) 6. If above conditions are met and price continues to base above $327.50-328 during the afternoon session, can look to re-enter $330C for the late-day push, holding final runners for Friday, but keep in mind there will be theta burn overnight Note: If price opens in the orange box shown, or enters orange box during the initial pullback after open, it's best to wait until the orange box is safely cleared, as there is a chance we backtest the afterhours PA under $320
NYSE:GSLong
by bullspacman
2
GEDYH DCA - Cup and Handle Company: Gedik Yatirim Menkul Degerler Ticker: GEDYH Exchange: BIST Sector: Financials Introduction: Welcome to our weekly technical analysis, where today we're focusing on Gedik Yatirim Menkul Degerler (GEDYH), listed on the BIST in the Financials sector. The weekly chart showcases a Cup and Handle formation, suggesting a bullish continuation. Cup and Handle Pattern: A Cup and Handle pattern is a bullish continuation pattern that marks a period of consolidation followed by a breakout. It's characterized by a "cup" - a round, bowl-like pattern, and a "handle" - a small bearish channel or consolidation, following which a breakout occurs. Analysis: GEDYH's chart demonstrates a clear Cup and Handle formation over the course of 833 days. This pattern often indicates a bullish continuation, signaling potential for growth. The price is convincingly above the 200 EMA, further emphasizing the bullish environment and a preference for long setups. The horizontal resistance is established at 8.23 TRY. If we witness a breakout above this level, we could potentially initiate a long position. The price target, following a successful breakout, is set at 12.78 TRY, representing an estimated gain of approximately 55.83%. Conclusion: GEDYH's weekly chart presents an interesting Cup and Handle formation, suggesting a potential bullish continuation. This analysis should be part of a comprehensive market research and risk management strategy. Please note, this is not financial advice and investing always carries risk. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more insights. Wishing you profitable trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
BIST:GEDIK
by KarimSubhieh
$IWM Outlook 05/30 - 06/02 @capgainsgroupAs the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ rally into the green for the year, the Russell 2000 (aka the small cap index) has lagged behind and is barely green at +1.03% YTD for 2023. One of the reasons why this index hasn’t been doing well can be attributed to the index’s 15.18% allocation in the Finance Sector. Failing regional banks such as Silicon Valley Bank ( NASDAQ:SIVB ) and Signature Bank ( OTC:SBNY ) haven’t helped the index much. Investors who would like to play the Russell 2000 should pay attention to the 5 major sectors that makes up 73.23% of AMEX:IWM : Health Care (17.62%), Industrials (16.66%), Financials (15.18%), Information Technology (12.74%), and Consumer Discretionary (11.03%). Technical Analysis: AMEX:IWM recently formed a Death Cross (50 SMA x 200 SMA) on the daily chart in mid April. Although not very clean, there is a support uptrend line dating back to October 2022. Also, it seems like we have a head and shoulders pattern, using the Daily 170.30 level as the neckline. Bulls will want price to reclaim the weekly 178.90 level as a support. I lean bearish on this index. If AMEX:IWM can’t reclaim the two daily gaps above, at 176.74 - 177.42 and 180.53 - 181.28, I expect it to come down and test the yellow uptrend line and potentially break it to the downside in the coming weeks. Upside Targets: 176.74 → 177.42 → 180.71 → 181.28 → 183.76 Extended: 186.91 Downside Targets: 174.09 → 172.33 → 171.41 → 170.30 → 169.32 Extended: 166.81
AMEX:IWMShort
by peterjames_6
COMM: Bullish Divergence Holding at $4.00 w/Improving FinancialsI mostly became interested in this stock due to the sector and the recent shift in it's quarterly profit margins; but the stock price did not reflect what I saw in the recently rising profit margins so upon closer inspection it became somewhat apparent that the debt incurred by the company has been utilized to finance their day-to day operations and that these debts have been very heavy and this is likely what's been weighing down on the stock's price, especially because for a long period of time, they have been operating without generating any profits relative to the debts they've incurred. But recently for the last few quarters a notable shift has occurred, and they are now showing signs of newfound profitability, thus signifying that those earlier debts may have been worth it. It is also nice to see that they have not resorted to diluting their shareholders, as many stocks with this sort of price action and debt tend to do. If this Weekly Bullish Divergence plays out, we could see it make a run to the 61.8% Retrace
NASDAQ:COMMLong
by RizeSenpai
Marsh & McLennan Companies (MMC) Weekly Chart AnalysisCompany: Marsh & McLennan Companies Ticker: MMC Exchange: NYSE Sector: Financial Services Introduction: Hello and thank you for taking the time to read my post. Today, we analyze the Marsh & McLennan Companies (MMC) chart on the weekly scale, focusing on a classic price pattern called the "Rectangle Pattern." Marsh & McLennan Companies is a global professional services firm operating in the financial services sector, traded on the NYSE under the ticker MMC. Classic Rectangle Pattern: The classic rectangle pattern is a chart pattern formed when the price of an asset moves between two parallel horizontal lines, representing support and resistance levels, over a period of time. In essence, it reflects a consolidation phase where the market is undecided about the direction of the trend. Analysis: In the case of MMC, we find a textbook example of a rectangular formation, with several points of contact to the upper and lower boundary. The resistance was at 177.32 and the support at 146.73. The price pattern has formed for 497 days, and now, for the first time, a weekly candle has closed above the resistance level of 177.32. The price is currently retesting the resistance as support, which provides an ideal entry opportunity. The price is clearly above the 200 EMA, implying a bullish environment. Additional Analysis: With the breakout above the resistance level, we should closely monitor MMC's price action for confirmation that the breakout is genuine and not a false breakout. A successful retest of the 177.32 level as support could signify that the breakout is valid, and we may expect the price to move towards the target at 203.53, which represents a ~15% price increase. Conclusion: The Marsh & McLennan Companies (MMC) weekly chart showcases a classic Rectangle Pattern, reflecting a consolidation phase in the market. A breakout above the resistance level and a successful retest as support indicate a bullish scenario. By closely monitoring the price action and support and resistance levels, traders can be better prepared for any potential price action in the future. As always, it's essential to consider risk management and proper position sizing when trading based on chart patterns. Please note that this analysis is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence when investing or trading. If you found this analysis helpful, please like, share, and follow for more updates. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
NYSE:MMCLong
by KarimSubhieh
SVB Crashing and burning to $33 - Here's why SVB Financial group has had a major Inverse Cup and Handle forming over the last few years. Today it broke below the brim level and has confirmed strong downside to come. Price<200 - Bearish RSI<50 - Bearish Target $33 WHAT HAPPENED? Silicon Valley Bank's parent company, SVB Financial Group, saw a 60% drop in its shares after launching a $2.25 billion stock sale to recover from declining deposits from tech start-ups. They admitted to losing about $1.8 billion on the sale of securities, which led to a huge loss in their market capitalization. This event also caused other financial stocks to decrease in value, highlighting how rising interest rates can affect net interest income at other banks. On Thursday, the four largest US banks lost a total of $52.4 billion in market value.
SShort
by Timonrosso
$IBKR forms weekly shark pattern NASDAQ:IBKR may be one of the leaders of this sector. Back in February of 2022, the relative strength ration with AMEX:XLF showed a bullish divergence against the stock's price; soon after, the stock bottomed and since has rallied +50%. The $80 level is key and the price has formed a shark pattern near it. As the stock is in an uptrend, I'll wait for the breakout above $83.20. For a daily analysis, please refer to the link I left of one of the analysts that I follow closely.
NASDAQ:IBKRLong
by dpuleo19
Argentinian Banks Present Us w/ a Short SignalI've been watching Buenos Aires based bank stock BBAR for a while now, ever since I noticed that it was the Argentinian ADR with the closest correlation to the Merval. I noticed it coiling up for some event that I wasn't paying too much attention to (the World Cup-- please, don't judge, I'm an American) and ever since Messi scored those goals Argentinian stocks have gone absolutely vertical. FOMO set in quickly, and I've been salivating at a topfish for the past couple months. Head and shoulder after double top after false breakdown after moving average crossover. But finally I think we can see the triple top on all of these names. Shown here are BMA and GGAL, but really this applies to all these ADR's, such as YPF and TEO. The Merval itself reached a double top. Why? Listen. Argentina's economy has a bright future because of its natural resources and work ethic, but man does its fiscal situation need some paternal scolding. Join currencies with Brazil? Don't strengthen the peso, other countries love your cheap exports! Anyway, the market is communicating this message to us. If you'd like to profit from this disfunction, now is your chance. Hopefully after this short's performance Direxion will create a 3x Bear Argentina MERVAL ETN.
NASDAQ:GGALShort
by sdeutsch95
My thoughts on Goldman Sachs going into the Earnings Weekly Timeframe After a challenging start to the year, the company's stock bottomed out at around 280$. This level was tested three times before the stock experienced a month-long rally. The bulls exhausted at around 350-360$ after which the price went on to make a higher low. There it formed a new demand zone and rallied again reaching 2-3 standard deviations and setting a new high. After that a retracement and consolidation, at around 340-350$, bouncing from the 20-period moving average and the 0.5 Fibb level. The RSI has remained above 50, forming three consecutive higher highs and higher lows. Suggesting that the upward movement is likely to continue. Daily Timeframe The price has consolidated and found a support zone. The 14-period RSI broke its trendline and is now moving upward. The MACD line crossing above the signal line also adds confirmation to this potential reversal. Overall, it looks like the market is primed for a strong trend in the coming days. Going forward… on the Daily Chart… Thanks for reading The Seeker! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work. In early November, the price broke its previous structure and has since made higher highs and higher lows. The potential for a new high and a move above the 390$ level looks promising, with a solid risk-to-reward ratio.
NYSE:GSLong
by RickHardyPro
JPM Nov18 140/Nov 25 136 Diagonal Call High Base Setup: Financials have a +1 outlook this week and JPM has had a nice run higher the last few weeks. It's made it to 135 which was one of my resistance points and now looks like it's basing here in this area. I decided to get in now, even though we need to see a minimum of 5 days basing, just because it's had a lot of good upwards momentum. Either way, it should base here in this area before making its way higher. Not setting up for any stops since im positioned for max loss. My 140 target was determined by going back to the end of March and saw that it based in this 140 area last time. Could be a small supply and demand zone again which is why I decided to put this trade on for a week, worse case I'll have the 136 strike until next Friday Trade Setup: This recently made a new swing high and is currently trading above it's 50-day SMA. Although the consolidation has not yet brought this back to the 9-Day EMA,, I should have waited for it to catch up to the stock. I think I'll still have enough time anyways. The last three days it's consolidated somewhat in a range of relatively equal pivot highs & lows. Volume has been trending down the last 3 days as well. T.E.S.T. So Ideally I'd want this to make it to 140 by late Thursday or Friday to reach its apex. If it pulls back, I'll have another week. My entry was at 135 and have no stop cause I'm set up for max loss. Profit Score: Potential 5.00 ATR 3.16 Score 1.58 Stock Outlook: +1 Trade Management: If this gets' to 140 by Thursday afternoon or Friday morning, I'll close it out. If it pulls back, I'll have the 136 Strike until next Friday. I'll consider a re-entry if it turns out to be a Bull Pull Back.
NYSE:JPMLong
by MMOTA_