SoFi Technologies (SOFI) AnalysisCompany Overview: SoFi Technologies NASDAQ:SOFI has been on an impressive growth trajectory, with its member base increasing by over 40% year-over-year to reach 8.8 million as of Q2 2024. This significant expansion underscores SoFi's ability to not only acquire new members but also retain and cross-sell to its user base, positioning the company as a major player in the fintech space.
Key Catalysts:
Product Mix Shift: The strategic shift from a reliance on lending products to a broader array of financial services products—which now outpace lending offerings—boosts margins and improves the lifetime value of SoFi’s customers. This diversification strengthens the company's business model by lowering its dependence on traditional loans.
Earnings Momentum: SoFi has consistently outperformed earnings expectations, evidenced by 11 upward revisions in the last 90 days. This signals strong financial management and operational efficiency, which is expected to drive further investor confidence.
Growing Member Base: SoFi's ability to grow its member base at a 40% annual rate is a clear sign of the company’s competitive advantage in the fintech space, particularly through the seamless cross-selling of products across its ecosystem.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on SOFI above $9.00-$10.00, as the company’s ability to grow its member base and shift to higher-margin products sets the stage for sustained growth and stock appreciation. Upside Potential: Our upside target for SOFI is $15.00-$16.00, driven by strong earnings performance, a diversified product mix, and expanding membership, all of which contribute to improving financial metrics and stock valuation.
🚀 SOFI—Fintech Leader on a High-Growth Path. #Fintech #FinancialServices #EarningsOutperformance
Financialservices
Is SP500 strike to cover crisisDear All,
This is SP500 to GDP Ratio chart which is show us maybe we should ready for another crisis. If you compare this chart to Will500PR to GDP Ratio I have published before you can clearly see negative bearish divergence between these two that means total public traded shares do not touched higher top but SP500 index reaches higher rates; So its obvious to see a sharp shrinkage as soon as possible. See if FED can cover it by soft landing or not?
GLE - Société Générale: Revenues were €6.7b, approximately in line with whatthe analysts expected, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) crushed expectations, coming in at €1.41, an impressive 35% ahead of estimates.
Trading at 70% below estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 21% per year
Domino Effect -Australia's Exposure to a Sino-Taiwanese ConflictA potential armed conflict in the Taiwan Strait poses significant geopolitical risks with profound economic implications for Australia. As a key member of the Five Eyes intelligence alliance, Australia’s strategic interests are deeply intertwined with regional stability. The potential impact of such a conflict on the Australian economy.
Economic Impact Assessment
A Sino-Taiwanese conflict would likely trigger severe economic disruptions for Australia. The nation's reliance on China as a primary trading partner, particularly in the mining and agricultural sectors, would exacerbate the negative impacts. Key sectors and their potential implications are outlined below:
Mining: As a dominant contributor to Australia's GDP and a significant component of the S&P/ASX 200, the mining sector would face substantial challenges. Disruptions to iron ore and coal exports to China would negatively impact major mining companies such as BHP Group and Rio Tinto, collectively representing approximately 5% of the index.
Agriculture: Given China's status as a key market for Australian agricultural products, the sector would experience significant revenue losses. This would affect companies involved in grain, meat, and dairy production, although their overall weight in the S&P/ASX 200 is relatively smaller.
Tourism: The tourism industry, still recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic, would face renewed challenges due to decreased international travel. Qantas Airways, a prominent component of the S&P/ASX 200, would be directly affected by declining passenger numbers.
Financial Services: The broader financial system would likely experience increased volatility, credit rating downgrades, and elevated insurance claims. Australia's major banks, including Commonwealth Bank, Westpac, and ANZ, which collectively hold substantial weight in the S&P/ASX 200, would be exposed to these risks.
Implications for the S&P/ASX 200
The S&P/ASX 200, as a market-capitalization-weighted index, would undoubtedly reflect the economic challenges posed by a Sino-Taiwanese conflict. Given the significant weightings of mining and financial services in the index, a sharp decline is highly probable. The severity and duration of the market downturn would depend on the scale and duration of the conflict.
Historical Precedent
While direct comparisons are limited due to evolving economic structures and geopolitical contexts, historical data from World War II and the Korean War provide valuable insights. Both periods were characterized by significant market volatility, with sharp declines followed by varying recovery periods.
Conclusion
A Sino-Taiwanese conflict presents substantial economic risks for Australia, with the S&P/ASX 200 serving as a barometer of these challenges. The potential impact on the Australian economy and financial markets underscores the importance of robust risk management strategies and contingency planning.
Angel One : So Close.Here is all you need to know about Angel One:
- With Financial services gaining momentum, Angel One is definitely a good bet
- It consolidated for good 2 years in which it trapped bulls once, only to get back in the zone
- It recently gave in a breakout and sustained above the resistance zone
- BUT, Today NSE barred it from onboarding any new APs for a period of 6 months which made the stock bleed red for 7%
- APs are basically sub-brokers associated with a broker who brings in more clients and thus more business
- With the stock market on a bull run, the funds are flowing in and the inability to onboard new APs will definitely affect its growth in a short run
- Don't let the analysis end here! Give us a boost if you find it helpful
- The long run will still be dictated by its strong fundamentals and growth.
Below are some interesting stats:
- Profit growth of 52.2% CAGR over the last 5 years
- return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 44.1%
- Sales growth (5Y) - 31%
- Profit growth (5Y) - 52%
What are your thoughts? Feel free to comment :)
⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
XCH on Risk but with Potential?The old "Maybe Bottom" did not hold on the news that Chia Network Inc will sell 200k XCH worth ~ 5 Million USD from the prefarm.
The questions are:
- How many prefarm XCH will get sold the next years and how often? This risk now is clear visible.
- How is the financial situation that selling part of the prefarm was worth the lost in trust?
- How far in the future is the IPO?
- How is the situation about potential B2B customers and partners?
In case it isn't that bad the XCH downtrend could turn around. More bad news on the other hand could create a massive loss in value. In my opinion the risk is very high, higher than before. I am not sure if that is realy reflected in the price, so the new "maybe bottom" is weak.
XCH trend was always off the general crypto market even that the trend influences the XCH trend. XCH and Chia Network as a brand is also not worth much currently. Outside of the Chia space it is unrecognised, forgotten or viewed as a scam. But this is not necessarily a bad thing at this point.
Goldman Sachs, the Buyback King?Goldman Sachs, one of the very few giant financial services companies left, is intending to do the first mega buyback program that will exceed One TRILLION dollars into 2025. Gasp.
So the chart shows the initial buybacks commencing and the support of its stock price during the very dicey sideways trend.
The company reports earnings Monday, April 15. Enough time to catch another swing run to earnings if the current consolidation breaks out to the upside.
NYSE:GS is a Sell Side Institution and admits it is heavily vested in NASDAQ:NVDA and other big tech stocks at this time. GS benefits from higher interest rates holding through this year.
GBPUSD WITH 100 PIPS BEARISHThe pair has been on a clear trend all through this week and may likely continue in the early part of next week before a possible reversal,
The price is projected to leave the 50/618 FIB level and any bearish engulfing candle will be a confirming ,
However, According to DANCOLNATION CAPITAL Trading strategy, we shall take our partial profit at 100% retracement with 100 pips at 1.2800 price because of any failure to make a new low signals the change in trend.
PNC The PNC Financial Services Group Options Ahead Of EarningsLooking at the PNC The PNC Financial Services Group options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the HKEX:130 strike price Calls with
2023-6-16 expiration date for about
$4.80 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
JPMorgan Chase (JPM) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the daily chart in the US company JPMorgan Chase (JPM). JPMorgan Chase & Co. is an American multinational financial services company. It is the largest bank in the United States and the world's largest bank by market capitalization (as of 2023).The firm operates the largest investment bank in the world by revenue. The Triangle broke through the resistance line on 15/04/2023. If the price holds above this level, you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 9 days towards 145.00 USD. According to experts, your stop-loss order should be placed at 126.85 USD if you decide to enter this position.
JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), Citigroup (C) and PNC (PNC) all reported surging revenue and profits in the first quarter even as regulators seized some regional lenders and panic spread across the financial system in March.
JPMorgan’s net interest income jumped +49%, as average loans increased +5% and net-interest margin expanded to 2.63% from 1.67% in the year-earlier period.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals and cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Amex (AXP) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the daily chart in the US company American Express Company (AXP). American Express is an American multinational financial services corporation specialized in payment cards. It is one of the most valuable companies in the world and one of the 30 components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The Triangle broke through the resistance line on 25/01/2023. If the price holds above this level, you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 18 days towards 165.00 USD. Your stop-loss order, according to experts, should be placed at 144.26 USD if you decide to enter this position.
American Express Company AXP is set to report its fourth-quarter 2022 results on Jan 27, before the opening bell.
In the last reported quarter, the diversified financial services company’s adjusted earnings per share of $2.47, primarily due to continued business momentum and a solid revenue stream. American Express also benefited from better volumes and higher Card Member spending, due to a significant increase in Travel and Entertainment spending. However, the positives were partially offset by higher operating costs.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Indusind Bank Limited - Breakout Soon 📊 Script: INDUSINDBK (INDUSIND BANK LIMITED)
📊 Nifty50 Stock: YES
📊 Sectoral Index: NIFTY BANK / NIFTY500 / NIFTY
📊 Sector: Financial Services
📊 Industry: Banks / Private Sector Bank
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at upper band of Bollinger Bands (BB) and giving breakout of it.
📈 Crossover in MACD .
📈 Already Crossover in Double Moving Averages.
📈 Volume is increasing along with price.
📈 Script is moving towards resistance level which is around 1240 if script is breaking its resistance level it may go up.
📈 Current RSI is around 73.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade only above 1240.
BUY ONLY ABOVE 1240
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
City Union Bank Limited - Trendline Breakout📊 Script: CUB (CITY UNION BANK LIMITED)
📊 Nifty50 Stock: NO
📊 Sectoral Index: NIFTY BANK
📊 Sector: Financial Services
📊 Industry: Banks / Private Sector Bank
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at upper band of Bollinger Bands (BB) and giving breakout of it.
📈 Crossover in MACD .
📈 Already Crossover in Double Moving Averages.
📈 Volume is increasing along with price.
📈 Script has given Trendline Breakout.
📈 Current RSI is around 75.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 189.45
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 204
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 182
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
The New India Assurance Company Limited - Just a view 📊 Script: NIACL (THE NEW INDIA ASSURANCE COMPANY LIMITED)
📊 Nifty50 Stock: NO
📊 Sectoral Index: NIFTY FINANCIAL SERVICES
📊 Sector: Financial Services
📊 Industry: General Insurance
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at upper band of Bollinger Bands (BB) and giving breakout of it.
📈 MACD is giving crossover.
📈 Already Crossover in Double Moving Averages.
📈 Volume is increasing along with price.
These are positive factors for long on NIACL BUT in RSI script is facing hurdle at 70 level shown in chart. once script crosses hurdle level 70 and all the positive confirmation with all indicators then only one can go for Swing Trade.
BUY ONLY ABOVE RSI 70 LEVEL.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
Mastercard Inc. (MA) bearish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the US company Mastercard Inc. (MA) at daily chart. Mastercard Inc. is an American multinational financial services corporation. Throughout the world, its principal business is to process payments between the banks of merchants and the card-issuing banks or credit unions of the purchasers who use the "Mastercard" brand debit, credit and prepaid cards to make purchases. The Triangle has broken through the support line on 22/01/2022, if the price holds below this level you can have a possible bearish price movement with a forecast for the next 12 days towards 327.08 USD. Your stop loss order according to experts should be placed at 377.68 USD if you decide to enter this position.
Britain's payments regulator on Tuesday last week fined five payments companies including Mastercard a total of 33 million pounds ($45.01 million) for cartel behavior involving prepaid cards issued to vulnerable people on welfare benefits. Mastercard received the largest fine of 31.56 million pounds ($43.04 million). The other companies fined were allpay, Advanced Payment Solution, Prepaid Financial Services, and Solution.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Block/Square needs consolidate in the bullish pattern Block needs to consolidate in the bullish pattern in 'a' wave of the 2nd wave.
crab harmonic pattern:
X=$426
AB=0.61 XA
BC=0.38 AB
0.78 BC=$81
0.88 BC=$90
0.78 XA=$183
1.6 BC=$209
0.88 XA=$271
2 BC=$322
2.24 BC=$424
2.6 BC=$654
1.13 XA=$712
1.27 XA=$1248
3.6 BC=$2051
1.41 XA=2153
4.23 BC=$4157
1.6 XA=$4898
Paysign, a cheap buy Higher lows in the amazing oscillator.
Jumps in the accumulation/distribution indicator not reflected in the price properly.
70% below its all-time high in July 2019.
Close to a strong support level at $ 4.70.
Positive net profit margins.
Positive sales growth.
Moving average flattening.
With support from BlackRock, Renaissance Technologies, Vanguard and State Street Capital.
Everything seems to indicate that there will soon be a strong price shock and that the start of an uptrend is likely.
"Paysign, Inc. is an experienced and trusted prepaid debit card payment solutions provider and integrated payment processor with over 2.5 million cardholders in its portfolio. Paysign designs and develops payment solutions, prepaid card programs, and customized payment services for consumer , corporate and public sector applications."
NASDAQ:PAYS
JPM long entry with break of downtrend lineA downtrend line has been forming since pre-COVID highs forming a solid setup. Recent highs over $106 failed to break upwards, a break out of the downtrend can see targets above, with the marked fib close as the support below. Stop loss set below the lows of the most recent daily candle.
Financials Looking Good $XLFAMEX:XLF
Financials are looking good mostly thanks to Uncle Jerome's aggressive stimulus plan and banks of course "being too big to fail". With that said, there are several key players ($GS $JPM) in this space that are also at the forefront of financial services innovation and strong cash flows/liquidity. All of this paints a pretty bullish fundamental for the short/immediate term and with the additional announcement of a potential round 2 of stimulus checks... Money Printer go Brrrrrrrr?
From a technical standpoint, we are are about to breakout from a symmetrical triangle to the upside. My target is $25 with movement happening by 8/6. Hopefully the mods leave this up for you guys.
- PennyBag
JP Morgan $JPM$JPM is still in bearish channel even though it is just above the 50SMA which is good sign for future trend. I would expect to hold above $115 before get in.
12 months Consensus Price Target: $111.99
if you find my charts useful, please leave me "like" or "comment".
Please don't trade according to the ideas, rely on your own knowledge.
Thx
Focus Fİnancial Partners $FOCSEntry. $30.79
S/L $29.25
TP $34.96
12 months Consensus Price Target: $34.25
if you find my charts useful, please leave me "like" or "comment".
Please don't trade according to the ideas, rely on your own knowledge.
Thx