USDCAD: Day 3 cycle, First Red DayHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range ✅ Day 3 cycle
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day ✅
First Green Day
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump ✅
Dump&Pump
Frontside
Backside ✅
4. THESIS:
Long: secondary, after the dump of Friday, the market can consolidating down low into the current LOD, going to stop short trader in profit from previous HOW
Short: primary, Monday to Friday possibly built order flow for a potential quick short move into the LOW, where trader long bought for a whole week
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
Firstredday
OIL: Monday closed as First Red Day Hi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
Let’s jump into the Technical Analysis:
WEEKLY TEMPLATE (1hr chart):
Yesterday, Monday, the market broke through the previous HOW and failed, closing the day as a first red day. Since the last Wednesday the market pumped up and now look like starting the backside move of a big template of pump and dump
DAILY TEMPLATE (15min chart):
Asia and London session mostly dumped all the day, breaking the current low of the week
THESIS :
In the short scenario this market can go fo a range expansion, targeting the previous LOW, it would be my main trading opportunity.
In the long scenario, considering money on top at the HOW, I would be targeting the yesterday CP(HOD) or current HOW if strong momentum is presented.
SETUP :
Short: pump at least into previous LOD(LOW)
Long: Low in place, consolidation for 30/45 min and second/third hour NY session reversal
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
EURUSD: Dropping in the backside move, First Red DayHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
Let’s jump into the Technical Analysis:
WEEKLY TEMPLATE (1hr chart):
Monday to Wednesday the market has been pumping on the frontside, triggering breakout long traders for three days in a row.
Thursday, the market pushed higher and failed the weekly breakout, closing as well as a first red day.
DAILY TEMPLATE (15min chart):
The market today triggered other time frames short in the market, currently out of balance.
THESIS :
This is a typical scenario of weekly template pump and dump, however no major red news on the calendar, so I won't expected such a big short move today.
Long traders are in huge profit, majority of the stops are below the LOW.
SETUP :
Short: Pump into previous LOD/CP and dump with size
Long: not interested
SIMILAR TEMPLATE FOR THE DAY:
GBPUSD
GOLD
However, both of them are still inside the previous high low range, at the moment the best template is EURUSD
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
GOLD, FRD, this is how it should be done!In this video, we go over today's Gold market volatility and identify the setup and how traders can take advantage of such a repeatable trade setup that will show up over and over again in markets.
The thesis on Gold was short as per the prior videos and the start of the week's pre-open analysis that was posted to Trading View on Sunday / Monday Asia ahead of the open.
Short IdeaThis is a day trade idea for 11/27.
Ideally you want t push to 4$, then a fade.
Look to sell the break of previous day low.
cover in cover zone
15 min or 5 min timeframe.