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Fixedrange

SGX/Stock: Keppel DC REIT, Are We There Yet?Analysis Forecast: Potential Support Level Analysis is for: SG Market Position Trading Income Portfolio Supporting Technical Observations: 1. Price resting near Fibo 50% Retracement 2. Fund Flow Index (FFI), positive divergence Forecast: Currently, expecting Short term rebound towards S$2.65 resistance area. If accumulation trading range is formed, we will see a potential upward reversal. Trading below S$2.40 will falsify above analysis.
SGX:AJBULong
by Brandon_Leu
How to trade with Volume Profile (Market Profile)???What is Volume Profile??? Volume Profile is an indicator that shows us the amount of traded asset at a certain price level. It shows the data we needed as a histogram in Y-axis next to the price levels. Difference between Volume Indicator and Volume Profile??? There are two major differences in these important indicator. As we spoked, Volume Profile is defined as Y-axis histogram next to the price levels but the Volume Indicator is based in X-axis bellow the price chart. The other major difference is that, Volume indicator shows the volume parameter by time. for more information, I can tell you that Volume Indicator tells us how many trades happens at specific timeframe. Unlike Volume Indicator, Volume Profile tells us How many trades were made at a specific price level. The longer the bar is, it shows are the more trades were made on that certain price point. Three different types of Volume Profile: Visible Range (VPVR): Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) is the simple one that most traders use it. As we spoke above it is put next to price levels as histogram. VPVR is automated, that means it shows the volume traded in the price level from the candles shown on your screen. If you zoom in/out or go back and forth in your chart, the VPVR will change also. Fixed Rage (VPFR): Volume Profile Fixed Ranged (VPFR) is more likely to VPVR with a tiny difference. You can define the start and endpoint for this type of Volume Profile in specific time period, when you want to see the traded volume in that period time of price action As you can see in it's name, the benefit of VPFR is that the Volume Profile will not change by scrolling in the chart. So you can always stay focused in your desired selected amount of candles. Session Volume (VPSV): Me Myself, see VPSV as the most exciting one. Volume Profile Session Volume show the Volume Profile for all sessions shown on a chart. You can see a divided Volume Profile for each session presenting on the chart. Each session is considered as a day no matter with time frame you're looking at. Volume Profile different pieces: High Volume Node (HVN): HVN is a point in Volume Profile where there is a lot higher traded volume than average. I believe the most feature in Volume Profile is to show us the most traded prices for specific time periods and that's what we call it HVN or High Volume Node. You can find HVNs as those bars that are much longer that others around them. Low Volume Node (LVN) LVN is exactly defined as the opposite of HVN. In these areas there are much less trades has occurred. So we will see shorter bars in LVN. Point of Control (POC) POC is the highest volume node on the Volume Profile. The point of control or POC is the longest volume bar or sometimes shown as a line that shows us most of the trades happens around it. You as a trader can use POC just like support and resistance area or an important retest point in that session. Value Area (VA) VA is 70% of the volume or trades happens there. We consider VA as the surrounding area of POC. How to trade with Volume Profile??? If the price is consolidating: Value Area will be located in the middle of the volume profile. The price will bounce between HVNs and LVNs. So you can move into positions around HVNs and LVNs. If the price is trending upward: The value area will be located at the bottom of the volume profile. The price will likely retrace to Value Area High. So you can move into positions around VA and take profit around HVN. If the price is trending downward: The value area will be located on the top of the volume profile. The price will likely retrace to the value area low. So you can move into positions around VA and take profit around LVN. You can trade breakouts by using a Volume Profile. It is less risky to trade breakouts when you use a Volume Profile. I mean you may still get caught by a false breakout, but if you learn the correct way of using volume profile, you will be more right than wrong in a series of trades. The strategy is when you see the price is going up or going down and it goes through major HVNs, it shows you the momentum is on that side. You should wait until the price goes through HVNs successfully and arrives in a zone in which lots of LVNs (low volume nodes) are there. You can buy (if the price is going up) or sell (if the price is going down) through the LVNs. ---IMPORTANT--- Volume Profile is a valid strategy for trading. But as all the traders have experienced it, every strategy has it's own risks. So, I strongly recommend you not to use Volume Profile alone in you trading. I suggest you to learn and practice some other strategies. Use them in your your trades as you're using Volume Profile as a confirmation for your trade... I hope I could tell you what ever you need to learn about Volume Profile (Market Profile), So you can now easily trade with this tremendous indicator. But, if you need more information you can ask whatever you like about Volume Profile. I will try my best to help you.
by ArshiaZojaji
68
April 19 Market Update | Technical, Fundamental, NewsDescription: An analysis for the week ahead. Points of Interest: 61.8% Retracement (YTD VWAP Nearby); 127.20% (2900) And 161.80% (2920) Extensions; 2790 Gap Fill. Technical: Despite terrible news, the value of the current down-move (2/19-4/17) shifted higher, as evidenced by fixed-range POC at 50% retracement. Other broad market indices, such as the $NDX, have shown extreme strength, trading above 61.8% retracement. Note, however, that we did put in a “hanging-man” candlestick on $NDX, which can point to a bearish reversal in coming sessions. Despite that, the overall picture is bullish until serious sellers step up. On 4/9, the market breached the 50% retracement, leaving a poor high in early morning trading. The following session’s b-profile was indicative of long-inventory liquidation, helping remove sellers and strengthen the market. On 4/14, market breaches 50% retracement, taking out the 4/9 poor high and closing at a key resistance, or low-volume area evidenced by the 2/19-4/17 fixed range profile. Low volume areas act as support/resistance, and so the initial move was a quick snap to the 50% retracement, leaving value behind, higher. The rather mute 4/16 session was followed by a massive gap to the upside on some good COVID-19 coronavirus news. As soon as the overnight session opened, the market trended lower. On 4/17, the morning intraday session failed to introduce any real selling or excess, suggesting downside would be limited. Intraday filled the 4/16-4/17 gap partially, and failed to bring value lower. The market later rallied, closing above the 50 simple moving average. In case of higher prices, targets include the 127.20% (2900) and 161.80% (2920) extensions, as well as the 61.8% retracement (higher blue line). In case of lower prices, immediate targets include 50% retracement (~2790 gap fill), nearby VPOC, and 2730. Scroll to bottom of document for non-profile charts. Fundamental: Key Events: Initial Claims, New & Existing Home Sales, Durable Good Orders, Earnings. Social Distancing Impact: “A majority of people say they would resume at least some level of normal activities if the federal government announced a coronavirus reopening, but more than a third say they would remain in quarantine” (bit.ly). Unemployment: Peak in Q2 (between 8-16%), due to scaling back of business in response to consumer demand drop (bit.ly). Likelihood of more layoffs/furloughs in the retail, transportation, construction, hospitality, and leisure sectors. China Growth: GDP -6.8%, but the huge hit is history as provinces reopen earlier than expected and investors remain confident (bit.ly). Adding, “As counterparts in the West absorb the twin shocks from China and their own measures to combat the coronavirus, that will make life much harder for Asia’s largest economy. There are also, of course, risks of a second wave of infections from travelers returning to China.” Second Quarter U.S. GDP Change Forecasts: -7% Congressional Budget Office, -9% Bloomberg, -25% Citi, -34% Goldman, -38% Morgan, -40% Capital Economics. Comparison: “Between Q3 2008 and Q2 2009, the economy contracted 4.3% on an annual basis.” Read More Here: bit.ly Insurance Is Hot: Health insurers helped by “a perverse substitution effect” as COVID prompted fewer elective surgeries, less claims, and reduced doctors visits (bit.ly). SME Funding: “The $349 billion cap for small business loans for the coronavirus stimulus was reached” (bit.ly). Government aides are confident additional funding agreements will be made. Here is Moody’s take on what it will take for SMEs to get through 2020: bit.ly Boeing ($BA): Restarting production with 27,000 employees (bit.ly). Bail-Outs: “The US banking sector is facing $100B (or more) in loan losses, the Fed will have no choice but to once again step in and bail-out the US financial sector” (bit.ly). Debt: “Global debt to GDP was at a record 355% at the end of 2019 according to data from the IMF and BIS compiled by the Institute of International Finance” (bit.ly). “What seems like an enormous fiscal and monetary response worldwide to date to counter it is a mere drop in the bucket compared to the household wealth and economic growth that has already been lost.” Car-Buying: "’If there’s a silver lining to this crisis, it is the rapid adoption of digital tools and processes’ to modernize the car-buying process” (bit.ly). Travel: People are booking trips and cruises for next year despite the virus (lat.ms). Next Crisis: States and cities at stake amidst revenue drop, budget crunch (bit.ly). Oil Target: Goldman Sachs said that output cuts were not enough prompting it to establish a $20 price target for WTI; the demand shock necessitates an additional 4 million bpd reduction (reut.rs). Still, over time, other nations may participate in further reductions up to 10 million bpd (reut.rs). Oil Price Implications: “Almost 40% of oil and natural gas producers expect to go under this year if West Texas Intermediate crude stays around 30 per barrel this year” (bit.ly). Adding, "Net purchases of ICE Brent future and options were the largest in any week for seven months, since early September 2019, when expectations started mounting for a U.S.-China trade deal” (bit.ly). Mortgages: More than 2 million Americans have entered into mortgage forbearance agreements (bit.ly). Important to know the growth rate of requests has declined. Sentiment: Massive decline, but respondents confident about the future (bit.ly). ‘Hold Tight’: Unwind of globalization due to tightening supply chains will push up manufacturing costs and prices (yhoo.it). Adding money into the system to aid spending will increase inflationary pressures, pushing yields lower. The expected sharp drop in earnings “coupled with increasing costs could trigger a wave of defaults.” Note that anti-inflationary weapons include rate hikes which could trigger defaults in the face of “a heavily indebted environment.” ‘V-Shaped Recovery’: "While real GDP could be hit through mid-year by cancelled flights and conferences and other business disruptions causing another round of inventory and capital spending cuts, the rubber band associated with a global rebound has been stretching for more than a year now” (bit.ly). Sentiment: 34.9% Bullish, 22.4% Neutral, 42.7% Bearish as of 4/17/2020 (bit.ly). Gamma Exposure: (Trending Lower) 1,907,158,484 as of 4/17/2020 (bit.ly). Dark Pool Index: (Trending Higher) 46.4% as of 4/18/2020 (bit.ly). Index Analysis: $SPX: TVC:SPX $NDX: TVC:NDX $RUT: TVC:RUT $DJI: TVC:DJI $NYA: TVC:NYA $UKX: TVC:UKX $NI225: TVC:NI225 $HSI: TVC:HSI Futures Analysis: /GC: AMEX:GLD /CL: AMEX:USO /NG: AMEX:UNG /ZB: NASDAQ:TLT Disclaimer: This is a page where I look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. If questions, concerns, or suggestions, feel free to comment. I think everyone can improve, especially me. In no way should this post be construed as investment advice.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Physik
EURJPY in cadutaCiao a tutti traders, siamo davanti ad una lunga discesa di questa coppia di valute dove il prezzo si trova esattamente sul punto di controllo dell'ultimo movimento ribassista a seguito di un ritracciamento su time frame da 30m. Per un operatività a breve termine possiamo attendere l'incrocio delle due medie mobili da 20 e 100 periodi insieme al rimbalzo sul primo punto di controllo in cui si trova ora il prezzo, con un take profit nell'area delineata dal secondo.
Short
by IshiTrading