Emerging markets (EEM) - Bear Flag targets $18Back in 2021, I posted about Emerging markets with a title "EEM. Emerging markets could drop within the last leg down"
The plan plays out well so far and I found another educational pattern for you on it today.
The Bear Flag appears in the chart as I spotted it on time. The price is still within the Flag
and breakdown below the downside of the pattern would trigger the continuation of the downtrend after this consolidation.
The target is located at the distance of the Pole subtracted from the downside of the Flag.
$18 is the bottom of the large range and the aim for the Bear Flag.
This is the beauty of the patterns as they match with other type of analysis.
Flag
Why WAITING on XAU Will pay BIG TIME The charts cover different timeframes of the XAU/USD (Gold/US Dollar) pair, and they reveal several key technical structures and patterns that are useful for trading analysis.
1. Flag Pattern and Breakout (5-Minute and 15-Minute Charts)
- On the 5-minute and 15-minute charts, there is a visible **flag pattern** following a strong upward move (bullish flag). This pattern typically indicates a continuation of the prevailing trend after a consolidation phase.
- The flag's lower trendline (support) and upper trendline (resistance) are marked in yellow. The price consolidated between these lines, and the breakout occurred upwards, confirming the bullish continuation. This breakout could be a potential entry point for a long position, with the stop loss below the flag's lower trendline and a target based on the flagpole's length (the initial strong upward move preceding the flag).
2. Descending Channel and Potential Reversal (1-Hour and 4-Hour Charts)
- The 1-hour and 4-hour charts display a **descending channel** (marked with yellow trendlines). The price recently touched the lower trendline and bounced back, showing signs of a potential reversal.
- If the price continues to break above the upper trendline of the descending channel, it could signal a bullish reversal, providing a possible entry for a long trade. The risk management strategy should include placing a stop loss below the recent low (or the channel's lower trendline) and targeting previous resistance levels or the channel's upper boundary.
3. Broadening Wedge Formation (4-Hour Chart)
- The broader view on the 4-hour chart shows a **broadening wedge pattern**, where the price has been making higher highs and lower lows. This pattern is generally considered a sign of increasing volatility and potential trend reversal.
- If the price breaks above the broadening wedge's upper trendline, this could further confirm a bullish reversal. Conversely, a break below the lower trendline would suggest further downside potential.
4. Support and Resistance Zones (Highlighted on All Charts)
- Several horizontal lines mark significant **support and resistance levels** around $2,507 and $2,532.144, respectively. These levels could serve as potential entry or exit points based on how the price reacts when approaching them.
- Observing how the price interacts with these levels can provide clues for future price action. For example, a sustained move above $2,507 could confirm a bullish sentiment, whereas a rejection or false breakout might suggest the continuation of the bearish trend.
Trading Strategy Recommendations:
1. Flag Pattern (Short-Term Bullish) If looking for short-term trades, consider entering a long position on a confirmed breakout of the flag pattern, with a stop loss below the flag's lower trendline. Target a move equal to the height of the flagpole added to the breakout point.
2. Descending Channel (Potential Reversal):If trading based on the descending channel, a break above the upper trendline could signal a reversal and a potential buying opportunity. In contrast, if the price rejects the upper trendline, consider shorting with a stop above the recent highs and target the lower boundary.
3. Broadening Wedge (Cautious Approach): For traders cautious about volatility, wait for a confirmed breakout from the broadening wedge to determine the trend direction. Enter long if it breaks upwards and short if it breaks downwards, setting stop losses just beyond the breakout points.
4. Support and Resistance Levels (Decision Zones): Use the marked support and resistance zones as decision points. Enter trades based on confirmation signals near these levels, and manage risk by adjusting stop-loss orders accordingly.
By combining these observations with confluence factors such as higher time frame trends, candlestick patterns, and multi-touch confirmations, you can refine your entry and exit points and enhance your trading strategy.
Looked good but...No positions here. Apparently Tesla is forming a bearish flag. I think is going back to the 170 support or even 150. I'm not buying the dip, I'm selling the rallies. We are in a bearish market or a consolidation phase. I have all my longs covered with calls. As soon I get a chance, I'll sell them.
Freeport in Freefall?Freeport-McMoRan has struggled since the spring and some traders may see risk of further declines.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of higher highs and higher lows since early August. The copper miner fell through the bottom of that channel on Tuesday, creating a potential bear-flag breakdown.
Second is the zone around $43.30. It was a high in December and important breakout level in March. FCX recently tried to hold this support area but yesterday tore through it.
Third, the breakdown is occurring around the 200-day simple moving average. That may suggest that a longer-term uptrend is ending.
Speaking of the long run, the price action between April and July could be viewed as a top. Not only did FCX fail to break above its 2022 peak. It also formed a potential head-and-shoulders reversal pattern.
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Alikze »» FET | Bearish Flag🔍 Technical analysis: Bearish Flag
- In the analysis presented in the weekly Time, after a corrective trend up to the major ceiling area, it encountered demand, which led to a growth of more than 80%.
- Currently, in the 4H time frame in an ascending channel, in the middle area of the channel, as you can see in the chart, a bearish flag has been formed.
- Therefore, due to the failure of the supply zone, which is also recorded as a rejection candle, it can have a correction to the origin of movement after exiting the short-term ascending channel or the flag as high as the previous leg.
💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if it can stabilize above the supply zone, the bearish flag pattern will be invalidated and it can continue up to the top of the growth channel.
🛑 Resistance: 1.172
🟢 Support: 0.78
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BINANCE:FETUSDT
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Intraday Bearish Confirmation
Update for our yesterday's setup on WTI Crude Oil.
The price successfully retested a broken structure.
Our intraday bearish confirmation is a breakout of a support line
of a bearish flag pattern on an hourly time frame.
The fall will continue now at least to 72.1
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This Simple Strategy Could Make You a Fortune in the Gold Marketprice action of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) in relation to the trendlines and patterns indicated.
Chart Analysis
1. Weekly Flag Trendline:
- The first chart shows a trendline forming a "flag" pattern on a higher time frame (possibly weekly or daily). This flag appears to be a bullish continuation pattern, indicating that after the consolidation within the flag, the price might continue in the direction of the prior trend, which seems to be up.
2. Price Action Inside the Flag:
- Within the flag, there is a period of consolidation marked by the parallel trendlines. The price has been respecting these lines, creating higher lows and lower highs, indicating indecision or preparation for a breakout.
3. Potential Breakout Zones:
- Key breakout zones are marked by the upper resistance of the flag pattern around the 2,530 level and the lower support trendline of the flag around the 2,470 level. A breakout above the upper resistance could signal a continuation of the prior uptrend, while a break below the lower support could indicate a reversal or deeper pullback.
4. Smaller Patterns:
- On the second chart (1-hour time frame), there's a more detailed view of recent price action with a potential bearish flag or pennant forming, suggesting a temporary pullback or consolidation within the larger flag. This smaller pattern appears to be within a trading range bounded by the horizontal support and resistance levels.
5. Key Support and Resistance Levels:
- The charts show horizontal support around the 2,433.301 level, which aligns with a historical low that could serve as a significant support level. Similarly, the resistance level is around 2,530, where the price has repeatedly failed to break above.
6. Current Market Context:
- The price is currently hovering around 2,497, near the middle of the trading range, suggesting indecision. This midpoint could be a neutral zone where the price could move in either direction based on upcoming market momentum or news.
Trading Strategy and Considerations
- Entry Points:
- If considering a bullish scenario, a long entry could be planned near the lower support line of the flag, around 2,470, with a stop loss slightly below the flag's support to manage risk. A breakout above the 2,530 resistance could also provide a good entry point for a continuation of the uptrend.
- For a bearish scenario, a short entry could be considered if the price breaks below the 2,470 support level, confirming a breakdown from the flag pattern.
- Risk Management:
- The proximity of the price to both upper and lower boundaries of the flag pattern provides clear levels for stop placement. This helps in managing risk effectively, keeping losses contained if the trade goes against the initial bias.
- Monitoring Price Action:
- Watch for potential breakouts from the smaller patterns within the flag, as these could provide early signals of the larger move's direction. It would also be essential to keep an eye on volume changes, as increased volume could confirm the validity of a breakout or breakdown.
By aligning your trades with these patterns and key levels, you can take advantage of the potential setups provided by the price action within these consolidating formations. Ensure to adapt to new market conditions and stay disciplined in executing your trading plan.
US100 CASH BULLISHI am monitoring Nas100 for a buying opportunity around 19,472 ob level, once i will receive any bullish confirmation the trade will be executed
Disclaimer Alert: these are just charts to watch, keep in consideration the news, the best entry, the risk management and price action confirmation. Trade is reactive not predictive.
Sell EUR/CHF Bearish FlagThe EUR/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.9392, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.9327
2nd Support – 0.9290
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.9420. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Will GBPUSD Buy?Hello traders, this is a very wonderful trade but is has some downsides to it
As you can see looking at the 4h we come from a very strong uptrend. It is not yet matured that is why we don't see many pullbacks.
Now we can identify the demand zone. That alone can be a trade idea on it's on but we're not done yet.
We can identify that there is a well respected horizontal level here.
I'm sure you've already guessed it a flag pattern
My entry will be right at that red level which is where they will put their stop losses.
The downside of this trade is that head and shoulders.
Chart Pattern LongGood day traders, i hope you all have been well. Lets get into it, so on BTCUSD we clearly see that price has been really kind of messy but there is a bigger picture here and we'll break it down one day at a time. Firstly we saw that price has been quite bullish on the H4 before we had this mess we can assume to be a correction and because of that, with regards to possible chart patterns( bullish flag), rejection of the Support(48981.30) and the formation of a new Support at areas(57706.56-55996.83)..Buy@Support-Sell@Resistance. Thank you.
RAIL VIKAS NIGAM LTD - RVNLRVNL -
Daily TF shows a breakout with good volumes. Also a Flag and Pole breakout. RSI above 60.
Good RR for entry around CMP. Safer entry will be above ATH so around 650 levels Strict SL of 545 on closing basis. Target will be Flag Height giving a good RR.
Standard disclaimer :
I am not a REGISTERED SEBI Analyst.
I am not responsible for anyone's losses or gains. These ideas are for my own studies
USDCAD: Past, Present and FutureHi, traders
Here is my idea sharing with you.
Currency Pair: USDCAD
TimeFrame:1D
Scale: Large
Past: From the past data on 1 Month time frame market is moving within a range and on 1Day time frame market is moving between Resistance 1 and Resistance 2 (previously Support)
And form a poles (pattern) or Impulse (wave)
Present: This days market is moving upward channel towards resistance 2 forming flag(pattern) or correction (wave)
Future: After market reach to Resistance 2 Bearish Flag (pattern) then another Impulse (wave) which it will reach to monthly support zone.
Stay Safe, Happy Trading
Thank you