EURAUD: Intraday Bullish Confirmation?! 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
Update for EURAUD.
Earlier, we spotted a confirmed Change of Character on a daily
and a violation of a significant resistance.
Today, we see a retest of a broken structure.
The price formed a bullish flag pattern on a 4H time frame
and broke its resistance line.
We can expect growth now.
Next goal - 1.662
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Flag
EUR/AUD Chart Technical AnalysisThere is bullish trend also the continuation pattern of Bullish flag. There is Bearish Divergence but the Characteristic of this chart it does not respect the first divergence so I am Bullish bias in this trade. For the safe side took entry (Buy Stop) at the breakout of the pole and SL on the last HL.
All About the Flag Pattern (Beginner-Friendly)Hello everyone,
Today, I’ve prepared an educational guide on chart patterns, specifically focusing on the Flag Pattern.
This content is designed to be easy for beginners to follow, so I hope you find it engaging and informative. :)
Below is the outline I’ll be using for this post:
————
✔️ Outline
1. What is a Flag Pattern?
Definition
Key Components
Characteristics
2. Bullish Flag Pattern
Basic Characteristics
Examples
3. Bearish Flag Pattern
Basic Characteristics
Examples
————
1. What is a Flag Pattern?
1) Definition
A Flag Pattern forms during a brief consolidation phase after a strong price movement, often signaling the continuation of a trend. It typically appears when prices make a sharp move, either up or down, followed by a period of sideways or slightly counter-trend movement.
Flag Patterns can occur in both uptrends and downtrends, named for their resemblance to an actual flag. After a strong price move, the market consolidates briefly before continuing in the original trend direction.
2) Key Components
Flagpole: The initial strong price movement that sets the overall trend direction before the consolidation phase.
Flag: The consolidation period where prices move sideways or slightly counter to the trend, often forming a rectangle or parallelogram. This phase typically occurs with a decrease in trading volume.
Breakout: The moment when the price resumes its original trend direction. In an uptrend, this is an upward breakout, and in a downtrend, a downward breakout, confirming the continuation of the trend.
3) Characteristics
Duration: The Flag Pattern typically lasts longer than the Flagpole but varies depending on the timeframe.
Volume: Volume usually decreases during the Flag’s formation and increases once the breakout occurs.
Reliability: The Flag Pattern is considered a reliable indicator of trend continuation, making it a favorite among traders using trend-based strategies.
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2. Bullish Flag Pattern
1) Basic Characteristics
A Bullish Flag forms after a strong upward price movement, signaling a temporary consolidation phase. During this consolidation, volume typically decreases, suggesting that the market is pausing rather than reversing. After this phase, the price often continues its upward trend, accompanied by an increase in volume. Bullish Flag Patterns also help relieve overbought conditions in technical indicators, providing the market with a chance to prepare for another move up.
2-1) Example 1
This chart from May 2023 shows a strong Flagpole followed by a long consolidation phase (Flag). The volume then increased as the price broke out, completing the Bullish Flag Pattern.
2-2) Example 2
In this chart from March 2021, we see a similar setup: a strong Flagpole, followed by a consolidation phase, leading to a breakout that continued the upward trend.
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3. Bearish Flag Pattern
1) Basic Characteristics
The Bearish Flag Pattern is the inverse of the Bullish Flag. It follows a strong downward move (Flagpole) and is followed by a period of consolidation (Flag) with decreasing volume. Like its bullish counterpart, the Bearish Flag can relieve oversold conditions, leading to a continuation of the downtrend after a breakout.
2-1) Example 1
This chart from May 2022 displays a Bearish Flag Pattern: a strong downward Flagpole, followed by a Flag consolidation phase. After the consolidation, a breakout occurred, continuing the downtrend.
2-2) Example 2
This chart from February 2022 also illustrates a strong downward Flagpole, followed by a consolidation phase (Flag), leading to a breakout that completed the Bearish Flag Pattern.
This guide will help you better understand the Flag Pattern and how it can be used in your trading strategy effectively!
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✔️ Conclusion
I hope the various Flag Patterns and market analysis techniques covered in this post prove helpful in your investment journey. Chart analysis is not merely a technical skill but also a deeper understanding of market psychology and movement. Flag Patterns, along with other chart patterns, visually reflect the psychological dynamics of the market. Mastering their use can greatly contribute to successful trading.
That being said, the crypto market is inherently unpredictable and fast-moving. While technical analysis is a valuable tool, it’s important to adopt a comprehensive approach that considers broader market trends and external factors. I encourage you to apply the insights gained from this post with a balanced and cautious perspective when making investment decisions.
New opportunities are constantly emerging, and those who are prepared to seize them will find success. The chart represents the market’s voice. Listening to it, interpreting it, and making informed decisions based on that interpretation is "the essence" of chart analysis.
I sincerely hope that, through continuous learning and experience, you’ll evolve into a more confident and successful investor.
POPCAT/USDT: READY FOR A 100% PUMP!!Hey everyone!
If you're enjoying this analysis, a thumbs up and follow would be greatly appreciated!
POPCAT looks good here. It breaks out from the bull flag-like structure in a 4-hour time frame and a retest is also done. Buy some now and add more in the green box.
Entry range:- $0.51-$0.55
Target:- 80-100%
SL:- $0.47
What are your thoughts on POPCAT's current price action? Do you see a bullish pattern? Share your analysis in the comments below!
Bull Flag Pattern. Bitcoin is respecting the channel and it may drag on it for some more time until we see any action to the upside. To summarise we still on a bull market (despite the recent lack of action) and the potential to top should be around the 105K figure (if we measure the pool of the bull flag that is forming on the renko chart here on the image. However we could before that drop as low as 38K and in between reaching that top or hitting that low we may well still stay leveled as we are for some time. The chances of hitting 38k are less likely to happen first before we hit a new all time high however it's still a prospect in the horizon.
NZDUSD Strategy 1 Trade Plan There was a Bullish trend, forming the bearish harmonic pattern also have bearish divergence.
Now, trend changed printed the LL, there is continuation pattern of bearish flag.
We take entry (Sell Stop) at the breakdown of the pole i.e. 0.61570 and keep our Stop loss above the LH once it will get mature near 0.61954 according to Fib Retracement of 38%.
Bitcoin Approaching Critical Support: Prepare for a Big MoveBitcoin is entering a decisive phase this September, with a Descending Broadening Wedge pattern forming on both the weekly and daily charts. This pattern typically signals potential volatility, and we are now approaching the descending support trendline, which also aligns with the wick from the sharp price dump on August 5th. This region, around 48K, is likely to be tested in the coming days as the market seeks to sweep liquidity.
Key Support Zones to Watch:
Crucial Support Zone 1: The first line of defense. If Bitcoin holds here, we could start seeing signs of bullish momentum returning.
Crucial Support Zone 2: A deeper level of support. Breaking below this zone could lead to a more extended bearish trend.
In the event that these levels are broken and confirmation bearish candles start forming, we could see Bitcoin testing 42K, 40K, and even 36K in the weeks ahead. However, if Bitcoin holds these zones and begins to print higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), it would be an early sign that the downtrend might be over.
Also an important element in this setup is the 100-day EMA, which aligns perfectly with Crucial Support Zone 2. This adds a layer of confidence that the price may find strong support here. The confluence of the 100-day EMA with this key support level suggests that a touch of this zone could trigger the next major move, potentially kickstarting a rally.
Strategy for Traders:
Swing Traders/Spot Traders: Pay close attention to the support zones, as these levels could present excellent buying opportunities. A bounce from these areas might indicate the start of a new rally, so it’s time to prepare and fill your bags.
Scalpers: Be mindful of the resistance zones. The price may spike slightly before retesting lower levels, providing potential shorting opportunities. Watch closely for a "soft" or "hard" landing around 50K-48K.
Caution: Bull Trap Alert
If Bitcoin encounters a pump in the near term, be cautious about falling into a bull trap. All signs currently point to a retest of the 50K and 48K zones as highly probable, so don’t get caught up in premature optimism.
Dollar Index (DXY): Time to Grow?!
Dollar Index has a nice potential to keep growing next week.
The market nicely respected a daily horizontal structure support,
bounced and violated a resistance line of a falling parallel channel on an hourly time frame.
The market may reach at least 101.44 level.
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NQ Futures Daily Bullflag to $22,000After a sudden drop from ATHs and a big rebound, a daily bullflag formed into month end setting September up for a very big run.
Upside PTs are: 20150, 20300, 20450, and 22000 if a break above the previous ATH to finish out the bullflag
SL would be invalidation of the flag
Exxon Mobil May Show Bearish SignsEnergy is the worst-performing sector so far this year, and some bearish signs may be appearing in Exxon Mobil.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of higher lows since mid-June. Most of them were followed by higher highs, but a lower high occurred in late August. A lower low followed this week. Is a breakdown starting?
Second, prices have slipped below the 50-day simple moving average. That may reflect weakness in the intermediate term.
Next, the lower study with our 2 MA Ratio script shows the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) crossing below the 21-day EMA. That may reflect weakness in the short term.
Finally, TradeStation data showed the Select Sector Energy Index ended yesterday 9 percent above its 52-week low. However, XOM was 18 percent above its 52-week low. That could make some investors think it will play catch-up to the downside.
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Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
The BEST Shortcut to Consistent Trades: Multi-Timeframe Magic!Here’s a **top-down analysis** of the **XAUUSD (Gold Spot)** based on the charts and liquidity zones (LQZ) , starting from the **higher timeframes** to the **lower timeframes**. This approach helps to align trade decisions with the broader market context.
1. Weekly Timeframe:
- Weekly Flag Trendline: The price is testing the upper boundary of a long-term flag pattern. This flag could be seen as a **continuation pattern** in a larger bullish market structure.
- Scenario: A breakout above this weekly flag would suggest the resumption of the broader **uptrend**, targeting significant levels around **$2,600 and higher**.
- Bearish Risk: A strong rejection from this trendline could signal a larger pullback, potentially targeting support around **$2,470** (Daily LQZ) or lower.
2. Daily Timeframe:
- Trend: The daily structure shows price building towards testing resistance at the **4-hour LQZ** of **$2,532.144**. If momentum continues, a breakout could confirm a larger bullish push.
- Daily LQZ: Located at **$2,470.804**, this is a critical support level. A break below it would signal a change in the market structure towards more bearish conditions.
3. 4-Hour Timeframe:
- **4-Hour LQZ**: Key resistance at **$2,532.144**. If this is breached, it confirms a breakout of the flag on higher timeframes, leading to a stronger bullish move. A failure to break this level could trigger a reversal back to lower support zones.
- Pattern: The current price action is consolidating near the top of the wedge, indicating indecision but with potential to resolve upwards if the breakout sustains.
4. 1-Hour Timeframe:
- Support: **1-hour LQZ** at **$2,513.704** acts as immediate support. It’s vital to monitor how price reacts around this area. A hold above this level suggests bulls remain in control.
- Entry Considerations: Watch for a clean breakout above the **weekly flag trendline** with price closing above the **4-hour LQZ** and respecting the **1-hour LQZ** during pullbacks. A break of this support may invalidate the bullish scenario, leading to downside risks.
Key Scenarios:
1. Bullish (Preferred):
- A breakout above the weekly flag pattern, supported by a breakout of the **4-hour LQZ** at **$2,532.144**, would signal a continuation of the bullish trend.
- Target higher levels around **$2,560** initially, with potential further upside towards **$2,600** if momentum remains strong.
2. Bearish (Risk Scenario):
- A failure to break the **4-hour LQZ** or a rejection at the weekly flag trendline, coupled with a break below the **1-hour LQZ** at **$2,513.704**, could lead to a move lower.
- Targets for shorts would include the **Daily LQZ** at **$2,470.804**, with further downside to **$2,420** and **$2,402** if bearish momentum builds.
Confluence Factors:
- The alignment between the **weekly flag breakout** and price respecting **lower timeframe LQZ** levels will be crucial for confirming a sustained trend.
- Conversely, any rejection and failure to hold these levels could shift bias towards downside risks.
Conclusion:
This **top-down analysis** favors a **bullish breakout**, but careful monitoring is required at critical resistance levels. Risk should be managed tightly around the **1-hour and 4-hour LQZs** to confirm trend direction.
GBPUSD: Bullish Trend-Following Movement Ahead! 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD leave multiple bullish clues on a 4H time frame.
First, the price broke and closed above a resistance line of
a bullish flag pattern.
Then, a confirmed Change of Character CHoCH occurred.
The price has a good potential to continue growing.
Next resistances - 1.3182 / 1.3212
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Emerging markets (EEM) - Bear Flag targets $18Back in 2021, I posted about Emerging markets with a title "EEM. Emerging markets could drop within the last leg down"
The plan plays out well so far and I found another educational pattern for you on it today.
The Bear Flag appears in the chart as I spotted it on time. The price is still within the Flag
and breakdown below the downside of the pattern would trigger the continuation of the downtrend after this consolidation.
The target is located at the distance of the Pole subtracted from the downside of the Flag.
$18 is the bottom of the large range and the aim for the Bear Flag.
This is the beauty of the patterns as they match with other type of analysis.
Why WAITING on XAU Will pay BIG TIME The charts cover different timeframes of the XAU/USD (Gold/US Dollar) pair, and they reveal several key technical structures and patterns that are useful for trading analysis.
1. Flag Pattern and Breakout (5-Minute and 15-Minute Charts)
- On the 5-minute and 15-minute charts, there is a visible **flag pattern** following a strong upward move (bullish flag). This pattern typically indicates a continuation of the prevailing trend after a consolidation phase.
- The flag's lower trendline (support) and upper trendline (resistance) are marked in yellow. The price consolidated between these lines, and the breakout occurred upwards, confirming the bullish continuation. This breakout could be a potential entry point for a long position, with the stop loss below the flag's lower trendline and a target based on the flagpole's length (the initial strong upward move preceding the flag).
2. Descending Channel and Potential Reversal (1-Hour and 4-Hour Charts)
- The 1-hour and 4-hour charts display a **descending channel** (marked with yellow trendlines). The price recently touched the lower trendline and bounced back, showing signs of a potential reversal.
- If the price continues to break above the upper trendline of the descending channel, it could signal a bullish reversal, providing a possible entry for a long trade. The risk management strategy should include placing a stop loss below the recent low (or the channel's lower trendline) and targeting previous resistance levels or the channel's upper boundary.
3. Broadening Wedge Formation (4-Hour Chart)
- The broader view on the 4-hour chart shows a **broadening wedge pattern**, where the price has been making higher highs and lower lows. This pattern is generally considered a sign of increasing volatility and potential trend reversal.
- If the price breaks above the broadening wedge's upper trendline, this could further confirm a bullish reversal. Conversely, a break below the lower trendline would suggest further downside potential.
4. Support and Resistance Zones (Highlighted on All Charts)
- Several horizontal lines mark significant **support and resistance levels** around $2,507 and $2,532.144, respectively. These levels could serve as potential entry or exit points based on how the price reacts when approaching them.
- Observing how the price interacts with these levels can provide clues for future price action. For example, a sustained move above $2,507 could confirm a bullish sentiment, whereas a rejection or false breakout might suggest the continuation of the bearish trend.
Trading Strategy Recommendations:
1. Flag Pattern (Short-Term Bullish) If looking for short-term trades, consider entering a long position on a confirmed breakout of the flag pattern, with a stop loss below the flag's lower trendline. Target a move equal to the height of the flagpole added to the breakout point.
2. Descending Channel (Potential Reversal):If trading based on the descending channel, a break above the upper trendline could signal a reversal and a potential buying opportunity. In contrast, if the price rejects the upper trendline, consider shorting with a stop above the recent highs and target the lower boundary.
3. Broadening Wedge (Cautious Approach): For traders cautious about volatility, wait for a confirmed breakout from the broadening wedge to determine the trend direction. Enter long if it breaks upwards and short if it breaks downwards, setting stop losses just beyond the breakout points.
4. Support and Resistance Levels (Decision Zones): Use the marked support and resistance zones as decision points. Enter trades based on confirmation signals near these levels, and manage risk by adjusting stop-loss orders accordingly.
By combining these observations with confluence factors such as higher time frame trends, candlestick patterns, and multi-touch confirmations, you can refine your entry and exit points and enhance your trading strategy.
Looked good but...No positions here. Apparently Tesla is forming a bearish flag. I think is going back to the 170 support or even 150. I'm not buying the dip, I'm selling the rallies. We are in a bearish market or a consolidation phase. I have all my longs covered with calls. As soon I get a chance, I'll sell them.
Freeport in Freefall?Freeport-McMoRan has struggled since the spring and some traders may see risk of further declines.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of higher highs and higher lows since early August. The copper miner fell through the bottom of that channel on Tuesday, creating a potential bear-flag breakdown.
Second is the zone around $43.30. It was a high in December and important breakout level in March. FCX recently tried to hold this support area but yesterday tore through it.
Third, the breakdown is occurring around the 200-day simple moving average. That may suggest that a longer-term uptrend is ending.
Speaking of the long run, the price action between April and July could be viewed as a top. Not only did FCX fail to break above its 2022 peak. It also formed a potential head-and-shoulders reversal pattern.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.