Link Analysis (12H)Chainlink (LINK) Technical Outlook – Elliott Wave Perspective
After applying Elliott Wave Theory, the chart appears to speak for itself — the downward corrective phase seems to have concluded.
Zooming into lower timeframes, there are several bullish signs suggesting that LINK is primed for an upward move.
Key Technical Reasons Supporting Upside Potential:
Bullish Flag Formation: A clear flag pattern has formed in lower time frames, and LINK is currently testing its resistance level.
Elliott Wave Count: Based on wave structure, Wave 3 appears to be nearing completion. Should we see a short-term pullback, it would likely be Wave 4, offering a strong buy opportunity around the support zone of the flag.
Fib Confluence: The potential retracement aligns perfectly with the 50% Fibonacci level — a typical target area for Wave 4 corrections.
Two Possible Scenarios:
Immediate Breakout: With support from Bitcoin’s continued momentum, LINK could extend its current Wave 3 and break out from the flag without any significant pullback.
Healthy Correction: Alternatively, LINK could retrace to the 50% Fib level before initiating the final leg of Wave 5 — providing a textbook buying opportunity.
Target:
In both scenarios, the upside target remains the same: $18.00 to $18.40 range.
— Thanks for reading.
Flag
The perfect setup A+ (short)This is the perfect setup for a short position in my book, overall trend is a downtrend on the Daily time frame, it has been constantly going down and it’s showing more downside since it did a pullback creating a bear flag, which it has broke out of the flag and it’s retesting, this trade is offering a very good risk reward 1:2 being conservative but it show more potential this is a swing trade for the short term.
Comment what do you think about my first idea
$$$
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeHere's a detailed technical breakdown of the Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD), 1H timeframe chart using Volume Profile, Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), and ADX:
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3395.88
Value Area Low (VAL): 3311.18
Point of Control (POC): 3381.67 (recent) / 3311.18 (previous)
High-volume nodes: Concentrated around 3380–3390 and earlier at 3300–3320, suggesting strong buyer interest.
Low-volume gaps: Between 3350–3370, indicating weak resistance and potential for swift price movement.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters: Around 3400 (recent swing high), and 3310 (swing low/POC) — potential liquidity sweep zones.
Order Absorption: Strong delta buildup near 3380–3390 indicates heavy buying pressure and potential large-position accumulation.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High (Volume Spike): 3395.88 – recent high with strong breakout volume.
Swing Low (Volume Spike): 3311.18 – confirmed reversal point with heavy absorption.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Uptrend (confirmed by multiple bullish CVD bars and higher highs).
ADX Strength: ADX > 20 with DI+ > DI- ⇒ Confirmed uptrend.
CVD Confirmation: Rising CVD with bullish price action = Strong demand confirmation. Market is led by aggressive buyers.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 3311.18
POC: 3381.67
Swing Low with Absorption: 3310
Resistance:
VAH: 3395.88
Swing High: 3400–3410 zone
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Gann Swing Low: 3311
Gann Swing High: 3395
Key Retracements (From 3311 to 3395):
1/2 level: 3353
1/3 level: 3339
2/3 level: 3367
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Bullish
Supported by rising price structure, channel breakout, and rising CVD.
b) Notable Patterns:
Bullish channel forming (highlighted in purple).
Breakout above previous consolidation range (POC breakout).
Retest of POC at 3381.67 acting as support now.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (Confirmed by CVD + ADX):
Entry Zone: 3381–3385 (retest of POC/support).
Targets:
T1: 3410
T2: 3440
Stop-Loss (SL): Below swing low at 3350
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (Wait for breakdown of trend):
Entry Zone: 3310 (if price breaks below support).
Target:
T1: 3275
Stop-Loss (SL): Above 3350 (last high-volume rejection)
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing: Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade.
Bitcoin Dominance Update (4H)It appears that Bitcoin Dominance is preparing for one final upward move.
I believe this could be the last dominance rally before a major bullish breakout across the broader market.
For a more detailed perspective, please refer to my previous analyses on Bitcoin Dominance and the "Others" market cap.
— Thanks for reading.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – 1H
🏛 1. Current Market Structure
📉 Price is currently moving within a small ascending channel after rejecting the red zone (IFVG 1D), but this move might be a bear trap.
⚠️ A downside breakout is likely, aiming to sweep liquidity lower.
🌍 2. Bigger Picture Outlook
🔍 The market could drop toward the grey support zone (below $91,500) before a potential bullish recovery.
📅 Overall structure remains dependent on a key macro catalyst, particularly Jerome Powell's upcoming speech.
🔍 3. Key Technical Observations
🟥 IFVG 1D: Clean rejection from this zone, increasing selling pressure.
📉 Suspicious ascending channel: Often a corrective pattern before continuation downward.
🟩 FVG 1D below: A potential liquidity zone, likely to trigger a reaction if tested.
🎯 4. Short-Term Expectations
📉 Favored bearish scenario:
Channel breakdown
Liquidity sweep
Retest of the grey support area (~$91,000)
📈 Bullish reaction possible afterwards, depending on how price behaves at support and macro conditions.
🔥 5. Upcoming Catalysts
🕰 Powell’s speech on Wednesday: Highly anticipated by the market.
💸 A rate cut could support BTC, but short-term uncertainty keeps pressure on price.
🔎 Until then, expect high volatility as the market seeks clarity.
✅ Conclusion
👉 Current price action suggests a bear trap with a likely liquidity grab to the downside.
📍 Key levels to watch:
Grey support zone (~$91,000)
Green FVG 1D (~$89,000)
Market reaction post-FOMC
⏳ Until the FED decision, the market remains fragile and liquidity-driven.
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeHere is a full professional breakdown of the attached XAU/USD 1H chart (Gold Spot) using Volume Profile, Gann levels, CVD + ADX structure.
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights
Value Area High (VAH): $3,364.00
Value Area Low (VAL): $3,314.00
Point of Control (POC):
Current session: $3,314.78
Previous key zone: $3,257.03
Volume Node Analysis:
High-Volume Nodes: Around $3,314 and $3,257 – shows strong institutional interest and base-building.
Low-Volume Gaps: Between $3,285–$3,305 – fast move zones, expect volatility on re-entry.
b) Liquidity Zones
Buy-side Liquidity (stops above): Near $3,364 and projected $3,400+
Sell-side Liquidity (stops below): $3,314 (POC), $3,257 (previous POC), $3,245
Absorption Zones: Heavy volume observed near $3,314 and $3,257
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows
Swing Low Support: $3,257 (confirmed with POC and structure)
Swing High Resistance: $3,364 (local high tested)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis
Trend Direction: Uptrend – confirmed by rising price action + volume support
ADX Strength: > 20 and DI+ > DI- → Confirmed Uptrend
CVD Confirmation: Strong uptrend alignment – CVD is rising with price → indicates strong demand
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels
Support:
$3,314 (POC – session)
$3,257 (Major POC)
$3,245 (historical volume cluster)
Resistance:
$3,364 (recent high / VAH)
$3,400 (psychological round number + potential stop cluster)
b) Gann-Based Levels
Recent Swing Low (Gann): $3,257
Recent Swing High (Gann): $3,364
Retracements from $3,364 High:
1/3: $3,328
1/2: $3,310
2/3: $3,292
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Bullish Trend – Higher highs and higher lows with volume confirmation
b) Notable Patterns:
Breakout from consolidation at $3,314
Potential Bullish Flag/Wedge forming inside the channel
Retest possible near $3,314–$3,292 for continuation
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry
Entry Zone: $3,314–$3,292 (retest of breakout and channel base)
Targets:
T1: $3,400
T2: $3,440–$3,480 (upper channel bound)
Stop-Loss (SL): Below $3,257
Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry
Only valid on break and close below $3,257
Entry Zone: $3,257
Target: $3,220
Stop-Loss (SL): Above $3,292
Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing
Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade
BNB Bull Flag Activated — Watching for $794 CRYPTOCAP:BNB is showing strong bullish momentum after rebounding off the marked support zone. This level, which previously acted as resistance, is now holding firmly as support following the breakout.
As long as BNB sustains above this zone, the bullish structure remains intact — and the path toward a new All-Time High (ATH) around $794 is wide open. The 50 EMA continues to act as dynamic support, further strengthening the setup.
DYOR, NFA
I'm shorting thisTwo weekly timeframe for a better understanding. Looks like a large bearish flag forming. Price just bounce off the bottom of the flag. But I think is a dead cat bounce. Is hitting a resistance level 35-36. Doesn't look too sting to break it up. SL triggers if a weekly candle breaks up the resistance and closes above it.
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 1H Chart using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3,312
Value Area Low (VAL): 3,230
Point of Control (POC):
High-Volume Nodes: Dense cluster near 3,229–3,250 and again around 3,312
Low-Volume Gaps: Noticeable void between 3,260 – 3,290, suggesting possible fast movement zone
b) Liquidity Zones:
Liquidity Pools:
Order Absorption:
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High (Volume Spike): 3,312 – area of rejection with reduced follow-through
Swing Low (Reversal Support): 3,230 – heavy volume absorption followed by rally
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Currently shifting bullish after a prolonged downtrend
ADX Strength: ADX > 20 with DI+ > DI- (early bullish momentum building)
CVD Confirmation:
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
Resistance:
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Swing Low: 3,230
Retracement Levels:
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Turning bullish (CVD rising, ADX > 20, price forming HLs)
b) Notable Patterns:
Reversal Base formed near 3,230 with upward breakout
Forming ascending channel – prices respecting the lower boundary support
Retest of breakout zone (POC + lower trendline) acting as potential launchpad
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 3,240–3,250 (near lower trendline + POC retest)
Targets:
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,225 (below POC + swing low)
RR: Approx. 1:2.5
b) Bearish Entry (Only if trend reversal confirmed):
Entry Zone: Below 3,225 (loss of POC/VAL with CVD breakdown)
Target: T1: 3,200 (psychological + historical support zone)
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,255 (back above POC)
RR: Approx. 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Use 1–2% capital per trade to manage downside risk
CreditAccess Grameen (CREDITACC) – Bullish Breakout SetupStock Name: CreditAccess Grameen (CREDITACC)
Trend : Bullish
Timeframe : Daily
Trade Setup
Entry Point: ₹1,163
Stop Loss: ₹1,089 (Risk: ~6.4% from entry)
Targets:
Target 1: ₹1,205.70
Target 2: ₹1,248.75
Target 3: ₹1,294.15
Target 4: ₹1,337.15
Final Target: ₹1,385
Technical Rationale for Breakout
Bullish Flag Pattern Breakout: Price has broken out of a Bullish Flag pattern, signaling a continuation of the prior uptrend.
200 DEMA Support: The stock crossed above and retested the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (DEMA), now acting as strong support.
RSI Strength:
Daily RSI: Above 60 (indicating bullish momentum).
Weekly RSI: Also above 60 (confirms broader bullish bias).
Volume Confirmation:
Breakout day volume: 4.0M (extremely high vs. previous day’s 406.05K), validating the breakout’s strength.
Key Observations
The combination of a Bullish Flag breakout, volume surge, and RSI strength suggests a high-probability trade.
The 200 DEMA support adds confluence to the bullish structure.
Risk Management Tips
Strictly adhere to the stop loss.
Trail stops as price progresses toward targets.
Consider partial profit booking at each target level.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Trading in equities carries inherent risks, including the potential loss of capital. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a certified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The author assumes no responsibility for financial losses or gains based on this post. Volume, price, and indicator data are subject to market volatility and may change rapidly.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments! Are you watching this setup? 📈🔍
EURUSD update and new bearish view
FX:EURUSD one more view on EU, we can see long zone and break of same how currently looks, two bounce on sup zone 1.13500, price now pushing till crucial zone 1.12700, if we see break here we will have confirm.
Currently how everything looks, its expected to see stronger fall here.
SUP zone: 1.14000
RES zone: 1.11700, 1.11200
FLAG AND POOL PATTERN - XAUUSDXAUUSD
📊 Price Summary:
Low: 2951
High: 3498
Current Price (as of 3 May 2025): 3240
Pattern Identified: Flag and Pole, with potential breakout
Possible Pullback: To around 3175 before breakout
🧠 Technical Analysis View:
The flag and pole is a bullish continuation pattern, especially when the prior trend (the "pole") is steep and strong — which it is in this case (2951 → 3498).
A pullback to 3175 would represent a healthy retracement (~50% of the flag range), allowing the market to reset before a potential breakout.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
Support zone: 3175 – 3200 (watch for rejection or consolidation here)
Resistance (breakout zone): ~3255–3275 (if broken with volume, confirms breakout)
Target after breakout:
Measured move projection = Height of pole (~547 pts) → 3498 + 547 ≈ ~4045 (longer-term target if clean breakout)
Conservative target: 3350–3450 area
⚠️ Risks:
If 3175 breaks down with volume, pattern might fail — watch next support near 3120–3100.
Gold often reacts to macroeconomic events, USD strength, and interest rates, so keep fundamentals in mind.
USDJPY: Bullish Continuation Confirmed?! 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY looks bullish after a test of a recently broken resistance.
The price formed a bullish imbalance candle on an hourly time frame
after its test and violated a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern then.
I believe that the pair will continue growing.
Goal - 145.8
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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NFP market, looking for opportunities to short goldFundamentals:
Mainly focus on today's NFP market;
Technical aspects:
Gold rebounded near 3200 and has gradually rebounded to around 3265. This wave of rebound is not surprising. After all, I have been insisting on short-term long gold since yesterday, and I have also gained a good profit. As gold falls and breaks through many key supports, my expectations for the magnitude of this rebound are not high. In the short term, it will first face resistance in the 3270-3275 area, and secondly, it will face resistance in the 3285-3295 area.
Moreover, the rebound and rise of gold before the NFP market is very confusing in itself. It is not ruled out that it is to pave the way for the sharp drop in the NFP market. Once gold falls again, it is likely to fall below 3200 and continue to around 3180.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider shorting gold when it rebounds to 3270-3280, TP: 3240-3230;
2. Consider continuing to short gold when it rebounds to 3280-3290, TP is the same as above.